Offseason In Review: San Francisco Giants

Last but not least, the Giants conclude our Offseason In Review series.

Major League Signings

Notable Minor League Signings

Extensions

Trades and Claims

  • Claimed Rule 5 P Steven Johnson from Orioles; returned 3/16/10
  • Acquired cash considerations from Blue Jays for P Merkin Valdez
  • Acquired a player to be named later or cash from Red Sox for IF Kevin Frandsen

Notable Losses

Summary

Giants GM Brian Sabean signed five position players to free agent contracts and extended four of his own pitchers.  Let's evaluate.

Sabean spent $34.75MM to secure DeRosa, Sanchez, Molina, Uribe, and Huff.  These five players combined for an offensive line of .266/.313/.431 in 2009.  Sabean has crafted a lineup with only one dangerous hitter in Pablo Sandoval; CHONE projections indicate that the Giants will again have one of the four worst offenses in the league.  The Uribe signing was defensible.  Molina wasn't terribly overpriced, though a combination of Buster Posey and a cheaper veteran would've offered more upside.  DeRosa, Sanchez, and Huff will need to stay healthy and exceed their '09 production to justify the signings.

Pitching should again be a strong suit.  Wellemeyer and Mota were decent minor league pickups.  Sabean did well to secure Lincecum through 2011 and avoid an arbitration hearing.  The Cain extension saved the Giants a little money in the short term, guaranteed his 2011 salary, and bought out one free agent year, potentially a win for both sides.  Sabean exchanged risk for cost certainty on Wilson, and can retain Affeldt for an extra year or two.  All four extensions made sense, and the Giants have a clearer picture of their payroll for the next few years. 

As much as I like the Giants' pitching, I don't think it will be enough to carry them past the Rockies and Dodgers to the playoffs.  The Giants haven't scored 700 runs in a season since Barry Bonds, Ray Durham, and Moises Alou led the way in '06.  Sabean's offseason tinkering doesn't convince me they'll reach that modest level in 2010.

2010 AL Rookie Of The Year Predictions

Not many people predicted A's reliever Andrew Bailey to win the 2009 AL ROY award.  Instead, the preseason favorites were Matt Wieters and David Price.  I'll take Brian Matusz this year, but here's a list of candidates to consider:

Brian Matusz, Neftali Feliz, Wade Davis, Jeremy Hellickson, Austin Jackson, Desmond Jennings, Carlos Santana, Justin Smoak, Brett Wallace, Michael Saunders, Aaron Crow, Reid Brignac, Tyler Flowers, Dan Hudson, Jake Arrieta, Jesus Montero, Michael Taylor, Lonnie Chisenhall, Chris Carter, Kyle Drabek, Zach Stewart, Josh Bell, Michael Brantley, Scott Sizemore, Alex Avila, Hector Rondon, Fernando Perez, Danny Valencia, Carlos Carrasco, Lou Marson

Who are we missing?  And what's your prediction for AL ROY?  We'll do the NL tomorrow.

Blalock Not Interested In Minors

Hank Blalock's minor league deal with the Rays allows him to opt out tomorrow if he's not on the Rays' 25-man roster.  According to Marc Topkin of the St. Petersburg Times, the Rays have "until after Friday’s exhibition to put him on the roster."

Topkin spoke to Blalock, who suggested he'd leave baseball before playing in the minors:

"I don't have any plans on playing minor-league baseball this year.  At this time in my life, if there's no major-league opportunities for me then I'll find something else to do."

Topkin explains that the Rays are currently choosing between Blalock and Reid Brignac, with Brignac offering more positional flexibility.  When Matt Joyce recovers from an elbow strain, the roster picture will get even muddier.  Employing two DHs in Blalock and Pat Burrell wouldn't make things easy for manager Joe Maddon.  Burrell could be released at some point, though that's just speculation on my part.

Mets Claim Manny Acosta

The Mets claimed reliever Manny Acosta off waivers from the Braves, tweets MLB.com's Mark Bowman.  Acosta, 29 in May, posted a 4.34 ERA, 7.7 K/9, and 4.6 BB/9 in 37.3 innings for the Braves last year.  He was better in his 27.3 minor league innings, but walked too many there as well.

Acosta throws a mid-90s fastball and racked up groundballs in his better years.  He even served as the Braves' closer in early '08 when Rafael Soriano went down.  Hamstring and shoulder injuries cut that season short, however.  The Mets snagged a quality arm from their division rivals, but now they must help his stuff translate to results.

Odds & Ends: Padron, Washburn, Moeller, Chapman

Links for Tuesday…

Red Sox Make Four-Year Offer To Beckett

3:55pm: Nick Cafardo of the Boston Globe weighs in, agreeing with Olney's optimism for a deal but saying Beckett's agent currently seeks a five-year extension in excess of John Lackey's $82.5MM.  WEEI's Rob Bradford talked to Beckett, who is mostly staying out of the negotiations between the team and agent Michael Moye.

11:10am: Josh Beckett has a four-year offer on the table from the Red Sox, reports ESPN's Buster Olney.  Olney writes of "optimism a deal will be completed in the next week or two."

Olney envisions a total package in the $65-70MM range.  His colleague Gordon Edes wrote on Saturday that "concerns about Beckett's right shoulder have dissuaded the Red Sox from going to a fifth year."

Beckett projects as one of the best available free agent starters after the 2010 season, and with a strong season he could conceivably get a sixth guaranteed year on the open market.  Cliff Lee, Javier Vazquez, and Brandon Webb will also be eligible for free agency after the season if they're not signed to extesions.

Offseason In Review: San Diego Padres

The Padres are next in our Offseason In Review series.

Major League Signings

  • Jon Garland, SP: one year, $5.3MM.  Includes $6.75MM mutual option for 2011 with a $300-600K buyout.
  • Jerry Hairston Jr., IF/OF: one year, $2.125MM.
  • Yorvit Torrealba, C: one year, $1.25MM.  Includes $3.5MM mutual option for 2011 with a $500K buyout.
  • Total spend: $8.675MM.

Notable Minor League Signings

Trades and Claims

Notable Losses

Summary

Jed Hoyer's tenure as Padres GM kicked off quietly, with a November 25th waiver claim of pitcher Radhames Liz.  Hoyer went on to spend $8.675MM for three free agents and make one big trade.  Let's take a look.

Hoyer added free agents Garland, Jerry Hairston Jr., and Torrealba on reasonably-priced one-year deals.  The affordable trio should have a small amount of trade value, in contrast to overpaid veterans like Jason Marquis, Ivan Rodriguez, and Kevin Millwood.  We've seen varying approaches by rebuilding clubs this winter – the Nationals and Orioles spent about $30MM, the Padres, Blue Jays, and Pirates spent $8-10MM, and the Indians spent less than $3MM.

The Scott Hairston acquisition was a lateral move, as the Padres and A's were looking to fill different needs.  Kouzmanoff has one more year of team control than Hairston, a possible point in Oakland's favor assuming these players aren't eventually non-tendered.   It's difficult to predict the outcome of the Sogard-Cunningham portion of the deal.

Hoyer has the Adrian Gonzalez situation on the horizon, but in the short-term he's likely to see how the team performs for the season's first three months.  The Padres project to have a terrible offense, possibly the worst in the NL.  Their pitching may be better than you realize, with a slew of guys capable of ERAs in the low 4.00s and Mat Latos bringing #1 starter stuff.  To contend in 2010, the Padres would need breakout years from Chase Headley and Kyle Blanks and quality bats added to the offense in midseason trades.

Cubs Release Kevin Millar

The Cubs released first baseman Kevin Millar, reports Paul Sullivan of the Chicago Tribune.  The Cubs will go with Chad Tracy for a corner infield bench role instead.  Tracy made more sense, given his ability to back up Aramis Ramirez at third base.

Millar, 38, hit .223/.311/.363 in 283 plate appearances for the Blue Jays last year, playing 386.6 innings at first base.  In an article Sunday, ESPN's Jim Reeves said Millar is on the Rangers' watch list.  However, MLB.com's T.R. Sullivan writes today that the Rangers are not interested.

Marlins Acquire Nate Robertson

The Marlins acquired lefty Nate Robertson and cash considerations from the Tigers for minor league reliever Jay Voss, according to a Tigers press release.  The Tigers are paying $9.6MM of the $10MM owed to Robertson, tweets Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports.

Robertson originally came up through the Marlins' system, and was traded to the Tigers in the Mark Redman deal in January of '03.  The 32-year-old posted a 5.44 ERA, 6.3 K/9, and 5.1 BB/9 in 49.6 innings last year.  He started the '09 season in the Tigers' bullpen and hit the DL in May with a back strain.  In June, he had surgery to remove four masses in his elbow.  He rejoined the rotation in September, but strained his groin shortly thereafter.  Robertson had November surgery to repair that tear.  With a fresh start in Florida, perhaps Robertson can chew up 175 innings with an ERA around 4.50.  The trade opens the Tigers' fifth starter spot for Dontrelle Willis.

Voss, also a southpaw, turns 23 in April.  He spent '09 as a reliever, posting a 2.72 ERA, 8.3 K/9, and 3.3 BB/9 at High A and Double A.  Baseball America ranked Voss 23rd among Marlins prospects, seemingly projecting a future as a lefty specialist.