Wolf, Baez to new homes
Looks like Randy Wolf is about to become a Dodger. Apparently LA is set to sign him to a one-year deal with an option for 2008; I’d guess it’s in the $6-7M range. The same article speculates that Greg Maddux is looking for a raise on his $9M salary from last year–a two-year deal for Mike Mussina money. I guess I didn’t realize quite what a stud he was after the trade last year, but I don’t know who’s going to give him that kind of cash. I’ve been a Maddux fan since the first time he was with the Cubs, but if you had the choice between Maddux at $22.5M/2 and Ted Lilly at $27M/3, isn’t that a no-brainer? Then again, we don’t know that Lilly won’t get more than that.
Also, Danys Baez looks to be headed to Baltimore. The Orioles seem to think that, whatever their problems were last year, they can be solved with a very expensive bullpen. It’s a three-year deal, according to the Baltimore Sun, and I suppose it could open up the possibility that Chris Ray could be traded for something that the Orioles really need. Like, oh, I don’t know, an 1B/OF/DH type who can hit above replacement level? (Otherwise known as "the Fahey line.")
By Jeff Sackmann
Carlos Lee Sweepstakes
The Houston Chronicle provides the latest update on the chase for Carlos Lee. It suggests that Tim Purpura could ultimately decide to give El Caballo an Aramis Ramirez-type contract–5 years, $73 million. Right now, the deal the Astros have offered Lee is believed to be 5 years for $60 million.
The Chron has a source saying that an AL team (gotta be the Orioles) has floated a $70M/5 deal. It sounds like the Phillies haven’t made an offer; maybe Pat Gillick will realize that signing Lee just to replace Pat Burrell would be a bizarre waste of time. As it is, it seems like the Astros are banking on getting some kind of hometown discount, while the Orioles are hoping that Carlos wants to play for a mediocre team for the remainder of his productive career.
Then again, it’s always possible that the Cubs will sweep in and sign Lee and Julio Lugo this weekend. Once you spend $200M, what’s another $70M?
UPDATE: Roch Kubatko reports that the Orioles are willing to go six years, for between $80 and $90 million. Carlos loves his cattle ranch, but the gap between the O’s and the ‘Stros seems to be widening.
By Jeff Sackmann
Assorted updates: Alou, Hudson, Garland, Okajima
Earlier today, we found a report that Moises Alou was about to sign with the Mets. Now Rosenthal is saying that it could be a two-year deal. With Carlos Gomez right behind Lastings Milledge, putting two established vets in the outfield through 2008 would seem to make Milledge expendable.
Yesterday, Phil Rogers speculated that Mark Buehrle could be headed to Texas. Rosenthal says it’s Jon Garland, and hints (as Rogers did) that John Danks and Brian Anderson could be part of the package, especially if the deal gets bigger.
And, Buster Olney is reporting chatter about Tim Hudson heading to the Orioles. If, as Olney speculates, the return could include Adam Loewen or Hayden Penn, it would seem to be ideal for Atlanta: free up payroll for Tom Glavine, and get another (cheap) potentially decent starter in the deal as well.
And here’s something out of nowhere: Hideki Okajima, a lefty reliever, may be coming to the states. Okajima, a longtime Yomiuri Giant and recently a Nippon Ham Fighter, had a great 2006 but a mediocre ’05. Sounds like your typical middle-bullpen fodder.
By Jeff Sackmann
O’s Close On Jamie Walker
According to Ken Rosenthal, the Orioles are close to signing southpaw reliever Jamie Walker to a three-year, $10MM pact. Walker has been solid since coming to the Tigers in 2002.
Should the Orioles close the deal, the White Sox and Tigers will have to look elsewhere for top-notch lefty relievers. Alan Embree, Steve Kline, Darren Oliver, and Mike Stanton may be the best options.
Here’s my 2007 Team Outlook for Baltimore. They’ll probably add more relief help, a starter, and some 1B/LF types. They snagged one possibility today. The O’s would have to increase payroll past $80MM to make it work.
Kevin Mench for Rodrigo Lopez?
Rodrigo Lopez has been on the trading block for what seems like years. And anyone who has taken the time to count the Brewers outfielders know that some of them–including Kevin Mench and Geoff Jenkins–will be on the block this offseason. So, it’s only logical that the Brewers and Orioles have chatted about Lopez for Mench.
I wrote about Lopez in a post on my blog when it was first reported that the Brewers had inquired after him–he had a disastrous year last year, posting a 5.90 ERA, but he’s not too old, he’s been a reliable innings eater, and he has had a couple of decent years pitching in the brutal AL East. A switch to the NL Central, with a steady diet of the Pirates and Astros, could do wonders for his fantasy value.
Contract-wise, the deal makes sense: both are entering their final year of arbitration, and both are coming off of years that could make a case for non-tenders. Rosenthal points out in the article that having Lopez would free up the Brewers to trade Doug Davis, another innings eater coming off a so-so year. Their contract situations are the same, but Davis probably has more trade value than Lopez (if only because Davis’s ERA wasn’t near 6 last year).
Posted by Jeff Sackmann
Orioles Interested In Drew?
Word from the Washington Post is that the Orioles have discussed signing right fielder J.D. Drew. I’m not sure where they’d play him, as Corey Patterson is manning CF and Nick Markakis is in right. Moving one of the three to left field would create a solid outfield defense, though.
While Peter Angelos might not be best friends with Drew’s agent Scott Boras, the O’s did have some Boras clients on the roster this year. Bruce Chen, Patterson, and David Newhan are all represented by the uberagent. The O’s have missed out on Boras clients like Vladimir Guerrero, Kevin Millwood, Ivan Rodriguez, and Magglio Ordonez in the past.
UPDATE: The Red Sox may have made Drew an offer right out of the gate.
Orioles To Acquire Jaret Wright
The Baltimore Sun reports that the Orioles will acquire Jaret Wright for Chris Britton, pending commissioner approval.
Wright, who turns 31 soon, could benefit from a reunion with pitching coach Leo Mazzone. Still, the over/under on his innings pitched is 150. Wright is hard-pressed to make 30 starts or go past five innings in any of those. I would call 2007 a success for him if he posts an ERA below 5. I have my doubts on that.
Besides Wright not being very good, another reason I dislike the deal for Baltimore is that they already have a staff of guys who don’t go deep into games. Erik Bedard, Adam Loewen, and Daniel Cabrera average less than six innings per start, while Kris Benson and Rodrigo Lopez a touch over six. The Orioles needed a Jason Jennings, a Freddy Garcia, a Jon Garland in my opinion. Guys who go seven innings more often than not.
Basically the Orioles managed to both increase their already heavy reliance on a lousy bullpen while subtracting one of their better relievers.
Britton, who turns 24 soon, is a big guy who throws strikes. He has a couple of decent pitches and can be a useful bullpen piece for New York. The deal is a clear win for the Yankees. Getting Wright out of the rotation is a plus, and adding a warm body to the bullpen is just gravy.
Orioles Could Trade For Jaret Wright
According to Jeff Zrebiec of the Baltimore Sun, the Orioles have talked to the Yankees about acquiring 31 year-old righthander Jaret Wright.
First the Yankees have to choose whether to buy Wright out for $4MM or pay him $7MM for the 2007 season. If they don’t buy him out and do trade him to the Orioles, Wright could be reunited with former Braves pitching coach Leo Mazzone. Wright had his only full season success under Mazzone in 2004.
Otherwise perhaps the Orioles would just sign Wright to a free agent contract.
Zrebiec: O’s Not Interested In Bonds
Baltimore Sun writer Jeff Zrebiec covers all the bases in his latest article. It looks like same ol’, same ol’ in Baltimore:
– Kris Benson probably will not demand a trade, so the rotation will remain largely intact.
– The O’s probably will not bid on Daisuke Matsuzaka.
– They’ll listen to offers for Miguel Tejada but are not actively shopping him. Three players required.
– The Orioles are talking to agents for Alfonso Soriano, Carlos Lee, and Aramis Ramirez and will likely to fail to get any of them. That last clause comes from me and not the article.
– Not interested in Bonds.
Come on, Orioles! Do something different for once! Jeff Suppan is not the answer.
2007 Baltimore Orioles
It was suggested I take a look at the Orioles’ prospects for 2007, so here we go.
Mike Flanagan’s contract obligations:
C – Ramon Hernandez – $6.5MM
C – J.R. House – $0.38MM
1B –
2B – Brian Roberts – $3.075MM
SS – Miguel Tejada – $12MM
3B – Melvin Mora – $8MM
IF – Brandon Fahey – $0.38MM
LF –
CF – Corey Patterson – $2.8MM
RF – Nick Markakis – $0.38MM
OF – David Newhan – $0.55MM
OF – Adam Stern – $0.38MM
DH – Jay Gibbons – $5MM
SP – Erik Bedard – $1.4MM
SP – Daniel Cabrera – $0.385MM
SP – Kris Benson – $7.5MM
SP – Jaret Wright – $3MM
SP – Rodrigo Lopez – $3.75MM
SP – Adam Loewen – $0.8MM
RP – Chris Ray – $0.38MM
RP – Todd Williams – $0.775MM
RP – Hayden Penn – $0.38MM
RP – John Parrish – $0.6125MM
RP – Kurt Birkins – $0.38MM
RP – Brian Burres – $0.38MM
RP – Brian Finch – $0.38MM
RP – Sendy Rleal – $0.38MM
The contracts should be in the ballpark of $52 million after accounting for some raises. The club entered 2006 with a $72.5MM payroll, so there is money to burn. The Orioles have been somewhere between contention and rebuilding for a few years now, kind of like the Cubs. They can’t seem to commit, and this offseason looks like no exception.
Plenty of options to fill the first base void; the O’s were a bit below average at the position in ’06. Free agent options: more Kevin Millar, maybe Nomar, Aubrey Huff, Craig Wilson, or Shea Hillenbrand. The trade market could include Gary Sheffield, Mark Teixeira, Carlos Delgado, Todd Helton, Chris Duncan, Chris Shelton, or Adam Dunn.
Many of the above-mentioned names would be suitable solutions in left field as well. Left field also opens up the following possibilities: Alfonso Soriano, Pat Burrell, Moises Alou, Carlos Lee, David Dellucci, Frank Catalanotto, Geoff Jenkins, Kevin Mench, or Luis Gonzalez. Of course we know that Burrell has said he won’t waive his no-trade for the Orioles.
There’s even talk of moving Melvin Mora to left field. He last played there in 2003. That opens up still more options to find that big-name slugger.
Some of these names are inspiring, others make Orioles fans wince. Ken Rosenthal recently spoke to a GM who thought the O’s would win the Soriano derby at 6/94. Personally I wouldn’t be surprised to see something less splashy, like Millar, Alou, Dellucci, or Gonzalez. The O’s have been left standing in the game of free agent musical chairs in recent years. On the other hand, this is the same club that signed Miguel Tejada and Albert Belle.
Lopez will be offered arbitration, and Benson did not demand a trade. The rotation currently has six pitchers at the moment. Change is likely – Lopez could be moved (perhaps to the NL) and a mid-tier free agent could be signed. I could see Jeff Suppan. Baltimore will also need both Cabrera and Loewen take a step forward (entirely possible) to have decent starting pitching.
The O’s will need a lot of bullpen help, as most of their starters don’t average six innings. Maybe a deal for an innings eater like Salomon Torres or Scot Shields could work. Darren Oliver, Ron Villone, or Jamie Walker could be added via free agency.
To me, this Orioles club is fairly Cub-like. A few stars, some foolish long-term deals, a promising core of young pitching. The Cubs don’t have a Markakis type position player, though. In my opinion neither club should be trying to compete in 2007, especially the one in the AL East. With some luck and shrewd moves the Orioles might find a way, yes. Is this really a shrewd front office though?