This is a question better geared for my RotoAuthority blog, but I figured I’d throw it out here.  I feel ashamed for having to ask this, since I completed at least a couple of statistics classes in college.  Oh well.

The question: what’s a valid sample size for us to use to judge a baseball player’s season?  Let’s assume 550 ABs for a hitter and 200 innings for a pitcher.  When do the 2007 numbers start to become predictive of the player’s entire season?  200 ABs, 75 innings?  Beats me.

I am so far removed from "real" stats that I don’t know where to begin.  Anybody out there know how to mathematically decide to cut bait on a player?  Give your thoughts in the comments, or else email me at rotoauthority@gmail.com

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