One day after the Major League Baseball Players Association released the details of its initial proposal on a new collective bargaining agreement to the public, the league submitted a counteroffer to the union, as expected. While MLB did not formally disclose the details to the public, ESPN’s Jesse Rogers reports that the league’s proposal contained a hard salary cap set at $245.3MM and a salary floor set at $171.2MM.
The Athletic’s Evan Drellich adds that the league is proposing an even 50-50 split in revenues. It’s not entirely clear how that can coexist with the more concrete numbers the league also suggested. In the event of a percentage-based revenue sharing split, the cap and floor would be fluid and dependent on revenues.
We’ve seen that fluidity play out in other leagues. NBA players, for instance, were only paid 90.9% of their reported salaries for the 2024-25 season after the league’s revenues came in under projections. (The NBA’s bargaining agreement calls for 51% of league revenue to go to players.) The NBA held 10% of player salaries in escrow to begin the season, and 91% of that money wound up going back into teams’ pockets rather than to the players. It’s possible that the $245.3MM cap and $171.2MM floor are just based on current projections for the 2026 season, but specific details surrounding the proposal have not fully come to light.
Rogers further notes that MLB’s proposed floor includes player benefits (insurance, transportation costs, etc.). Player benefits are already factored into each team’s luxury-tax ledger to the tune of about $18MM per year. It’s not clear whether the $1.667MM each team contributes yearly to the leaguewide pre-arbitration bonus pool are factored into that spending floor as well, but that sum does count toward a team’s CBT calculation. If both player benefits and pre-arb bonus pool contributions count toward the floor, that $171.2MM floor proposal (however it’s been calculated) would realistically call for closer to $150MM of spending toward player salaries.
That’s still a higher sum than a dozen teams in baseball are paying. The $245MM cap, conversely, would require at least eight teams to reduce payroll. Whether that’s actual cash payroll or luxury-tax payroll (calculated based upon the combined average annual values of a team’s contractual commitments) also remains unclear, though the latter seems likely. Either way, a cap/floor system would likely be implemented gradually. The Dodgers surely wouldn’t be forced to trim $200MM from payroll, just as the Guardians wouldn’t be forced to add $90-100MM to reach the floor in a single offseason.
A cap system has long been a total nonstarter for the union. MLBPA interim director Bruce Meyer and his charges have been staunchly against the implementation of any form of restriction on player earnings. The union has already issued a swift rebuke of the league’s proposal. Bill Shaikin of the L.A. Times has the full, lengthy response for those who wish to read it in full. Within, the union makes the pointed claim that owners are not seeking a cap “out of generosity or a desire to protect the game’s well-being” but rather “to control costs, increase profits and maximize franchise values.” The MLBPA’s statement also states:
“The last time the owners made such an explicit push for a cap — over 30 years ago — it led to the longest work stoppage in MLB history. For generations, our members have fought against cap systems because they harm players at all levels, erode or eliminate contractual guarantees, pit player against player, lead to more work stoppages, not less, and get worse for players over time. Caps don’t lower ticket prices for fans, eliminate tanking or ensure teams are run with equal competence. They suffocate competition by offering owners an all-purpose excuse for inaction and mediocrity.”
Baseball is the only of the four major major North American sports that doesn’t presently have a salary cap. The league will focus its arguments on the necessity for a cap to balance the playing field and create greater parity, leveraging recent World Series titles for the big-spending Dodgers as “proof” that the current system is untenable. The union, conversely, will undoubtedly point to torrid starts from small-market clubs like the Rays and Brewers (to say nothing of flops from big-payroll clubs like the Mets, Astros, Giants and Red Sox) as their own “proof” that the existing system isn’t an impediment to competitive balance. The eye-popping sticker price in the recent sale of the Padres will undoubtedly be a talking point as well.
There’s little sense in delving too deeply into the weeds on original proposals. Both sides’ first overture was always going to be a total nonstarter for the other party. That the league and union began exchanging proposals more than six months prior to the expiration of the current collective bargaining agreement (on Dec. 1) is likely to be a moot point. The last time around, they began negotiating even earlier, and the two parties still spent the 2021-22 offseason embroiled in a 99-day lockout that put a stoppage on all major league transactions (e.g. trades, waiver claims, free agent signings). Both sides continually blew past artificial negotiating “deadlines” until a much more tangible, real-world deadline — Opening Day 2022 — was firmly on the horizon.
It’d register as an immense surprise if Meyer and commissioner Rob Manfred were able to hammer out a new deal prior to the expiration of the current agreement. However, the fact that a lockout is a near inevitability does not mean that the same is true of missed games in 2027. The league’s formal proposition of a cap/floor system is surely intended to signal a hardline stance, as was the case with the union’s proposal (which, among other things, included a soft salary floor with no cap, substantial increases to league minimum salary, a tripling of the pre-arbitration bonus pool, and an earlier path to free agency).
That said, it’s in the best interest of the league and the players to avoid any work stoppage that actually sees games lost in the 2027 season. The league can claim a cap is a virtual necessity, but MLB has also taken great pride in touting continually rising attendance and broadcast numbers. Renegotiation of national media broadcast rights and streaming deals with platforms like Netflix, Apple and Peacock are all looming on the near horizon as well, in 2028. Similarly, the union can point to the deterioration of the “middle class” of players, but there have been notable earning gains through the increased minimum salary and the implementation of the pre-arb bonus pool, while salaries on the top end of the earning spectrum continue to rise. And in the event of lost games, ownership will invariably try to recoup some of those losses by decreasing spending on player acquisition in the years following any season with lost games.
Put more concisely: the specifics of these initial proposals will prove inconsequential. Neither party expects anything other than an outright refuting from the other. The league and union both seem to constantly jostle for the upper hand in a PR battle with fans, though they’d arguably be better off just conducting negotiations behind closed doors since most proposals from either party tend to alienate some section of the fanbase.
Ultimately, the notable takeaway from today’s proposal is that the league came out swinging with a hard cap/floor system. The players are again touting goals like earlier free agency and substantial increases to early-career earning power. Both sides will dig in their heels. Subsequent counters will be made, but it’s unlikely we’ll see any serious movement in negotiations before November, and in all likelihood, a lockout will drag talks on a new CBA into 2027.

Well I don’t know about the rest of you, but I am certainly looking forward to an exciting 2027 season…
…of Bananaball.
What’s bananaball? I’m excited for baseball next year.
Josh think about if you mixed the Harlem Globetrotters with baseball and what you get is the Savannah Bananas which created a league around the country. It’s a great event but it’s not competitive baseball, it’s baseball with antics like a Globetrotters game.
Agreed! Savannah’s long-time dream of relevance within the shriveling world of America’s favorite pastime alongside Atlanta is coming into focus folks. At least the opening salvo drama has gotten underway💀
Marlins are going to have a hard time meeting that salary floor. With their total payroll at 78.8 million.
There is an expectation of greater revenue sharing by all teams to help these lower spending clubs make up the difference.
I know people look at the Marlins and wonder how on earth do they spend so little money (and not saying you’re saying this). But it matters what market you’re in. They don’t have the TV deals of big teams. They don’t have the customer base, somehow, to drive a lot of fan traction. You need revenue sharing in any of this to make it work.
Before you feel bad for the owners, though, I suggest reading Drellich’s great article in the NYT yesterday saying that the push for a salary cap has little to do with competitive balance and more to do with MLB teams not increasing in value at the same rate as NBA and NFL teams. They are sad their franchises have only doubled in value and not quadrupled. So sad for them.
If MLB locks players out, I hope Shohei leads players to start playing in Japan instead and turn NPB into the global league. That would be better global sports drama than LIV.
MLB will lock players out. Its procedure. Unless they come up with a deal before Dec 1.
171m floor? :O
Nominally … but not really.
As laid out thereafter, player benefits account for $18MM currently — probably closer to $20MM in subsequent years. Plus, if pre-arb bonus pool contributions are included (as they are in CBT calculations), it drops the number that must be spent on salary even further. Beyond that, the number will inherently fluctuate with revenues in a percentage-based system, so not sure where the league is pulling those numbers. I would assume it’s based on 2026 revenue projections or something along those lines, but even those could change in 2027 — especially if games are actually missed.
That is one punchable face.
MLBTR, we may need some more moderation to keep the ‘lockout fans’ and trolls in check.
Typical MLBPA BS….. publicly providing details of the offer. A true negotiation is between two interested parties without outside parties having information nor input. Always an issue with the MLBPA wanting to play for public sentiment. Really too bad there is not someone like Marvin Miller involved to even the strengths of the two parties as MLBPA has been over-matched for years.
I’m definitely tired of the MLBPA always acting like the offer put forward by MLB is the worst offer in the world. The drama queen crap gets old.
MCTC
A supposed baseball fan who seems to hate players
Such a strange phenomenon
Nah, I don’t hate the players at all, but the players aren’t making any concessions in their initial offer. The owners are making concessions with a cap floor. I would just like both sides to act like adults instead of running to the media and complaining. Compromise has become a dirty word in all walks of life and it’s just childish.
This sport so desperately needs a cap and floor. Now let’s hope baseball isn’t locked out for too long.
As in the previous CBA article where you begged for this: There won’t be a salary cap, whether you like it or not.
Hockey got one 20 years ago, and the players union was vehemently opposed to a cap at first.
This is baseball, not hockey. Go watch hockey if that interests you more.
Typical. I love baseball and want to see it fair for every team, but hey I guess I can’t do that now since you said so.
The NHL is about to get record low ratings for the Stanley Cup because the salary cap (and other pointless changes) has made the sport a race to the middle. Look how useless the Presidents’ trophy has become.
MLB got some low ratings in the World Series three years ago between the Rangers and Diamondbacks. These matchups are bound to happen every so often.
You might be right. But the MLBPA doesn’t need to dig in to avoid a cap at all cost. Their best negotiating approach is to make a cap seem to be as out-of-line an ask as possible, so that if/when the MLBPA even cracks the door open to consider it it can try to justify a long list of benefits as a trade-off.
I don’t think they have a leg to stand on to sincerely die on the hill of never allowing a cap. But they certainly don’t have to admit to that! Say “no” “no” “no” “no” “no” until the what the league offers to get it is suitable, and then it can say “fine”.
bbf90
“This sport so desperately needs a cap and floor. ”
No. It doesn’t
It may need increased revenue sharing to improve parity, but it doesn’t need a cap and floor to do that. The player’s offer shows one option
No – there needs to be no cap.
Yes there does. Teams should not be allowed to spend any amount they want on players.
Look, all I want is competitiveness for free agents in the offseason, that’s all. It’s not good for the sport when all of the top players sign with big market teams. And on the flip side, small market teams or cheap owners should be forced to do what they can to be competitive.
“Look, all I want is competitiveness for free agents in the offseason, that’s all.”
Guardians owners will never spend no matter what happens.
The top ten FA this offseason signed with ten different teams. The top 20 signed with 16 different teams.
Please tell us how that isn’t competitive for free agent signings?
bf
“Teams should not be allowed to spend any amount they want on players.’
Yes they should
“Look, all I want is competitiveness for free agents in the offseason, that’s all.”
That has nothing to do with a cap
One more comment from me:
There won’t be a lockout/strike, no salary cap, and Trevor Bauer is not coming back.
MLBTR, please take care of the rest of the trolls. Thanks.
Just because a lot of fans feel it would be in the best interest of the sport to have a cap and floor doesn’t make us trolls.
There MIGHT be a brief off-season lockout. That is the only potential thing that will happen. You’re right about the rest. Julio Urias will get a second chance before Bauer.
I’d rather baseball never be played again than play without a cap. The Dodgers have broken baseball and it’s time to fix it.
“I’d rather baseball never be played again than play without a cap”
One thing you can do yourself is to stop watching and leave our sport alone.
JAG
“I’d rather baseball never be played again than play without a cap.”
That seems pretty weird
What is your issue with the player proposal?
:gets popcorn:
I won’t stop watching regardless of whether or not there is a cap, but the player proposal puts no limits on team spending. Not having a cap only helps out the stars. MLBPA is not looking out for the best interest of all players, only the stars. If you aren’t going to allow for a cap then they need to agree to severe penalties for going over a certain amount. Oh wait, the players won’t allow that either. They want their cake and to eat it, too.
MCTV
“MLBPA is not looking out for the best interest of all players, only the stars.”.
MLBPA proposal doubles the minimum wage
Plenty of other teams can spend just as much but choose not to.
Bye-bye Just_A_Guy!
Nobody will force you to watch.
The Dodgers haven’t broken anything. If they had, the Rays, Mariners and Guardians wouldn’t be leading every AL division. The A’s wouldn’t be just half a game behind the Mariners. The Brewers wouldn’t be leading the NL Central yet again, a year after having the best record in baseball and making the NLCS.
Screw gradual….Make the dodgers trim the 200 Mil NOW and make Cleveland actually spend some money NOW.
Its about damn time folks. LFG.
All I want is for all 30 teams to have a real shot at winning a World Series title. How is that too much to ask for?
Go look at the last WS champions in the last 30 years.
Compare the champions to the NBA, NHL and NFL.
Seems like baseball has given better chances for different teams, right?
Compare also to the footy leagues in England, Spain, Germany, France, and Italy.
The Premier League has been around since 1992 and only twice has England’s champion not come from London or Manchester.
I’m a Raiders fan. If your team has an incompetent owner and front office, a cap and floor isn’t going to help one bit….
It’s hard for the league to argue a cap is a necessity when it’s operated without one for so long with the increases in attendance and revenue we’re seeing.
It’s also hard to argue for a cap when the small-market Rays are doing so much better than the big spending teams like the Mets and Phillies.
A salary cap is a very pro-management, anti-labor, position. Maybe free agency being eliminated would be worse but that seems to be against the law. Any Power-to-the-People Fight-for-15 supporters of workers who also support a salary cap are betraying their principles.
That’s why it works in every other league
The proposed floor is a higher number than I anticipated. There’s no way the ceiling would be agreed-upon at 245, but raising the floor that much would certainly put more money in the pocket of the lower level players. I would rather see more players go from 1 million to 5 mil, as opposed to the handful of players making 40, 50, or even 60. Most teams will never approach a high ceiling anyway, so it would be more effective to raise that floor as much as possible. If anything, it would encourage the higher payroll teams to be more careful with the top-tier contracts that they dole out. Most of those upper tier contracts don’t work out well for the teams anyway.
In looking at Spotrac, the bottom 11 payrolls in baseball would need to increase to meet this level of a floor (which is much higher than I expected the owners to propose.)
Yah, no baseball for you …. one year!!!
I think I like MLBPA’s proposal more. We don’t need a cap or floor, baseball can function with a soft one. But don’t worry they’ll work it out and we will have baseball in 2027.
Me if I’m the owners this is it. Take or leave it. If you want to leave it fine, we’ll start over again.
I think Clark might have steered the MLBPA into a bad deal, even a potential cap. This new guy isn’t going to. There will be a final deal made that looks something like this:
6 year free agency with maybe 30-35% Super 2.
CBT threshold set to $300m even, with similar tiers to now.
Some tweeks to revenue sharing tied to a modest increase in expected spend, but no floor
An increase of pre-arb to maybe a tiered system of 850k, 950k and 1.050m for the first 3 years.
A revised QO system that doesn’t penalize teams, but does give comp picks and a higher number making it more enticing for players to accept. Maybe top 100 salaries.
They’re gonna have to completely redo revenue sharing for teams like the Marlins and Rays to have a $170M payroll/yr.
I hope there is a lockout until a salary cap is implemented.