KBO star Jung Hoo Lee has been one of the more intriguing potential free agents of the upcoming offseason ever since reports back in January indicated that he would be posted by his KBO club, the Kiwoom Heroes. A wrench was thrown in that plan when he recently required ankle surgery, though Jon Morosi of MLB.com reports today that Lee is still expected to sign with a major league club this winter.
Lee, 24, already has an impressive résumé in his short career. He won Rookie of the Year in the KBO in 2017 by hitting .324/.395/.417 when he was just 18 years old for most of the season. He continued to take steps forward in the years to come, especially in 2022. He launched 23 home runs and finished with a batting line of .349/.421/.575 for a wRC+ of 175. He struck out in 5.1% of his plate appearances while walking in 10.5% of them. He stole five bases and won a fifth straight Gold Glove, with all of those attributes leading to a Most Valuable Player award.
This year won’t be the perfect platform season for him, as he’s been a notch below that MVP form. His walk rate went up to 12.7% but he hit just six home runs, leading to a .319/.407/.456 batting line. His 142 wRC+ indicates he’s still been well above league average but not quite as outrageously as he was last year. To top things off, he’s now missing the final months of the season due to his aforementioned ankle surgery.
Perhaps he or the Heroes would have given some second thought to his posting, maybe delaying it by a year, though it seems the plan has yet to be altered. Morosi relays that neither party has given any indication that the path forward has changed.
Lee will turns 25 years old later this month and will no longer be considered an “amateur” by MLB rules and won’t be subject to the bonus pool system. He will therefore be free to sign a contract of any length or dollar amount, with the signing club also responsible for paying a posting fee to the Heroes. That’s tied to the size of the contract itself, with the MLB team owing the KBO club 20 percent of the contract’s first $25MM, 17.5 percent of the next $25MM and 15 percent of any dollars thereafter. That fee is on top of any dollars guaranteed to the player himself, and subsequent earning (e.g. performance incentives, contract options) are also subject to the posting system once they become guaranteed to the player.
This winter’s free agent class is headlined by starting pitchers, with very few impact bats expected to be available. Assuming Lee’s ankle heals up in the months to come and he is posted as expected, he figures to still draw plenty of interest.
Thanks DD for keeping abreast of this.
Double Ds are nice abreast!
Somebody’s mind is in the sewer again, now is this comment relevant to baseball?? You do understand this is a family website. (Hey did you know the Astros have a cheerleading squad, man every MLB team needs cheerleaders, why is it only the Astros who get all the fun? I need to write to my Senator about that.)
Especially loving how it’s the guy with the name “Ignorant Son-of-a-b” who calls this a family platform intended for all people to converse!
Someone told him to “grab his ankles” he did and now surgery.
Maybe he was excited by this, but I’m not.
I think he’s being sarcastic but he buried it to deep. Look at his last two sentences in brackets. Seems strange to make that complaint and then the next thought out of your mouth is wishing your team had cheer leaders.
He definitely buried it deep.
He’s got Blue Jay written all over him
Not so fast. He would pair well with Ha-Seong in San Diego.
Are they known to be friends?
They were teammates with the Heroes
I read somewhere he wanted to go to the Dodgers and interests were mutual.
That was the 19 year old the Dodgers just signed. Lee has not expressed any preferences that I have read about.
Not that it means a thing but he was seen wearing one of those ugly Padres City Connect jerseys with Kim’s name and number on it while out on the town a few weeks back when the Korea series was announced. I would guess that his former teammate Kim sent him a gamer to try to recruit him.
Hyun-seok Jang. He is a pitcher that has not played in the KBO and signed with the Dodgers for $900k.
mlbtraderumors.com/2023/08/dodgers-to-sign-top-kor…
I wonder if his ankle heals up nicely if the braves might want to finally sniff around and land an Asian player. It’s been way too long since the Kenshin kawakami experiment to still be used as a cautionary tale for the braves not to dwindle in the Asian market. He’s young, wont be the most expensive Asian player to land, and could have very good upside. The upcoming free agent class doesn’t have many bats to offer, and the braves need a fix in left field and this just might be it. I’m tired of seeing braves fans not want an Asian player because of Kenshin kawakami, it’s honestly outdated, rude, and ridiculous for the braves and our fan base not want to pursue them because of one player that didn’t work out.
Send a strong scout or two out there to assess Japan and Korean players. It could be a situation at the time where the Braves best scouts did not want to go there the first time around. Maybe.
Braves had bae before the mlb took him away
what position does he play?
Lee is a tough guy to forecast what type of contract he’ll be offered by MLB teams. While he’s young and hits for average with a high OBP, his power numbers in the KBO, specifically HRs, are well below what most clubs look for. Even with gold glove caliber defense, he’s a couple of tiers below Suzuki & Yoshida when it comes to contract value. I could see teams offering him 5/$60M or somewhere in that range.
If he feels like he can truly succeed in MLB, it might be smart of him to only sign a 3 year deal in the $35M – $40M range. That way, if he is successful, he would be a free agent again at age 29 and could secure a very lucrative contract. The flip side is that if he doesn’t do well in MLB, he’ll have left considerable money on the table by not taking 5 years to start with. It will be interesting to see what his market will be should he end up being posted.
I think 4/40 not including the posting fee sounds about right. Look at Ha-Seong, also elite in Korea before coming over, he got 4/28 a few years back and it’s been a bargain for the padres
I would think that Kim’s contact would be a good comp for Lee. Something around 4/28.
While Lee plays good defense and hits for average in the KBO, his power is far below what Kim produced there. Kim’s platform year in the KBO was 30 HR in his age 24 season.
2 reasons I think he’ll get more than Kim’s 4/28:
1) Lee’s career OPS in the KBO (7 seasons) is .898. Kim’s career OPS in the KBO (also 7 seasons) was .868. Their KBO career slugging % is nearly identical, at .491 and .493, respectively.
2) Kim’s recent rise likely has a few GMs upset they didn’t sign him. 4/40 is a drop in the bucket for a guy who could develop into one of the best contact hitters in the game.
Kim’s recent rise likely has a few GMs upset they didn’t sign him.
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That’s it, imo. The reason he will get more than Kim, is because of Kim.
Haha as sad as it sounds, I’m in the same boat, Joe.
Spent the day at the Red Sox ST complex watching a friend’s son play and talking to people. We were sitting across the aisle from and directly behind a group of 8 scouts and we got them talking about a number of players. The consensus on Lee was that because of Kim he would likely get another year at a similar AAV or slightly higher. Lee is an OF not an infielder so most but not all felt that combined with his lack of power would hold his value down.
We also got them arguing about what team would sign him. They were like fans once it came to that question. The consensus was a west coast team, Padres and Dodgers were both mentioned, or the Cubs or Mets.
It will be interesting to see how it goes. The KBO had long been considered a lower level of play than the NPB but the emergence of Kim may have changed that.
All of the teams you mentioned have had scouts in Korea to watch Lee. Eppler was spotted at Heroes games on the same trip that he scouted Yamamoto in Japan. There have also been articles that the Giants sent scouts to watch him play, so add him to that list of probable landing spots.
si.com/mlb/giants/rumors/sf-giants-scouting-jung-h…
I think Lee will get more than Kim but not because of Kim. I think he will get more because there are so few quality bats that will be on the FA market.
My guesstimate is 5/40-45
Is there a comp to a current mlb player skill set and stat wise he compares to?
@Perksy Ha-Seong Kim and maybe even that Korean shortstop the Pirates had who got caught with a DUI
Jung-ho Kang?
Jung-ho Kang
Those are terrible comps
Perksy11 hours ago
Is there a comp to a current mlb player skill set
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Kim is almost a perfect comparison. They were teammates for 4 years. Lee is younger, so you need make an allowance, but in Kim’s final two KBO seasons, his OPS was about .900. In the same two seasons, Lee has about a .882. And Lee was only 20 & 21. He’s developed more power since then.
So the offensive stats are almost identical. Maybe a little more power for Kim and a little better bat control for Lee.
Kim started off pretty slowly in the US, but now might be the best SS in MLB, assuming he was allowed to play SS.
Bottom line-If he duplicated Kim’s 107+, with GG-level OF defense, he’d be pretty good.
Kim came to the US after his age 24 season. Lee will be coming to the US after his age 24 season.
Kim’s final two seasons were an .880 OPS and .921 OPS and .901 OPS for the two seasons
Lee’s final two seasons are .996 and .863 in the shortened 2023 season. A slightly higher OPS for Lee in those two seasons combined.
Kim’s power at that age was slightly higher with 19 and 30 HRs and a .510 slg his final two seasons in the KBO while Lee had 23 Hr last season and 6 HRs in 2/3 of the season this year with a .495 slg.
Lee puts the ball in play more than Kim did. Kim had both a higher percentage of SO and of BB in his final two seasons in the KBO than Lee has the past two seasons.
Kim has much more speed than Lee does. In the KBO Kim had 56 stolen bases in his final two seasons while Lee had 5 last season and 6 this season.
They are still a good comp for each other.
You can YouTube his swing, Perksy (Ichiro-like)… but maybe his best current comp would be Nimmo. Going back a lil, maybe Steve Finley.
Steve Finley had one season where he slugged a lot, but if I remember correctly he wasn’t really a slugger more of a line drive hitter. Interesting comps though will have to YouTube his swing.
The comp I have read the most in scouting reports is former Oriole and Brave Nick Markakis,
Betting the Marlins are all in on this ankle breaker!
He won’t sign with the Giants, as he apparently is talented and Farhan only signs mediocre and below free agents.
The Giants sent scouts to see him several times this season. twice in camp and once in the regular season that has been reported in the media. I wouldn’t count them out.
A good comp would be Yoshida of the Red Sox. Yoshida has more power, but Lee has more speed, better defense and plays CF.
Both hit well, have low strike out totals, good walk totals. Great average and OBP. Lefty hitters.
He’s going to the Dodgers.
If you are going to continue mentioning KBO Gold Gloves, please add context. It is a totally different award than MLB’s Gold Glove (it’s for best player at that position, not best defender; there is a GG award for DH)
This is the kind of hitter the Brewers need, but I’m not sure they’d pull it off. They play a bit risky with guys like Winker, Renfroe, Perkins, Avi Garcia, so they are a bit more enamored with power potential than I’d like. I’d prefer them to spot in a few more like this guy who can get on base and keep the strikeouts down. Doesn’t mean he’ll walk into MLB and keep that level of production of course, but I like the mindset
let’s go yankees
This guy should be the Yankees top priority. A lefty CF who gets on base at a very high rate. Exactly what they need to replace Bader.
Gets on base, isn’t slugging his way to each at bat, and he’s 24/25 years old, Yankees need to get younger too
If Scott Harris is serious, then the Tigers desperately need to go out & get him.