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The Opener: Winter Meetings, Rangers, Free Agent Prediction Contest

By Nick Deeds | December 1, 2023 at 8:18am CDT

As baseball’s busiest time of the offseason approaches, here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world headed into the weekend:

1. Winter Meetings on the horizon:

The main attraction of MLB’s offseason, the Winter Meetings, are set to begin this weekend. From the time executives, agents, players and owners arrive in Nashville on Sunday until they depart this coming Thursday, a flurry of activity is expected to get underway to truly kick off what has to this point been a relatively quiet offseason. Of course, the name poised to receive the most attention over the next week is two-way superstar Shohei Ohtani, but other top free agents like Yoshinobu Yamamoto as well as trade candidates like Juan Soto and Dylan Cease also figure to be hot-button topics of conversation. Be sure to check back with MLBTR throughout the coming week as we provide round-the-clock coverage of the Meetings from the moment they begin.

2. How will the Rangers’ payroll restrictions shape the offseason?

In recent years, the Rangers have been perhaps the most active team on the free agent market, landing superstars Corey Seager, Marcus Semien, and Jacob deGrom across the past two winters while also making smaller signings such as Jon Gray and Nathan Eovaldi. With the team coming off its first World Series championship in organizational history, many expected the club to once again be at the forefront of the winter. That may not prove to be the case, however, as GM Chris Young downplayed the club’s financial capabilities this offseason, indicating the club may focus on more complementary additions while sticking with the core they currently have in place.

Those comments put into question not only the club’s ability to pursue Ohtani, but also their ability to land other top pieces they’ve been connected to such as Jordan Montgomery and Josh Hader. Of course, it’s worth pointing out that Texas committed around $500MM in free agent dollars during the 2021-22 offseason before following up with an additional sum north of $200MM the following offseason. A splashy move for a player such as Hader could still come in well below those numbers, even when paired with additional complementary moves. Still, with the Rangers seemingly poised to sit out the very top of the market for the first time in years, it could create an opportunity for other clubs to establish themselves as contenders for the league’s marquee talents.

3. MLBTR’s Free Agent Prediction Contest Leaderboard goes live:

In case you missed it yesterday, the leaderboard for our annual free agent prediction contest is now live! You can find the link to the leaderboard here. With just seven of MLBTR’s Top 50 Free Agents currently signed, Tom Diesman currently leads the pack with an impressive five correct picks. Meanwhile, MLBTR’s Leo Morgenstern leads the staff with three correct picks.

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The Opener

Chris Young Discusses Rangers’ Spending Outlook
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40 Comments

  1. Champ world champion Texas Rangers

    2 years ago

    Texas going for Blockbuster Trades.

    1
    Reply
  2. Bennie

    2 years ago

    The Rangers only need to shore up the bullpen. They have 6 starting pitchers already. Let Foscue DH. Sign Hader and another reliever. Trade for another reliever.

    3
    Reply
    • Fever Pitch Guy

      2 years ago

      Ben – Scherzer is gone after next year, and possibly Eovaldi too. I think they will try to keep Monty or sign Ohtani for 2025 and beyond.

      1
      Reply
      • Bennie

        2 years ago

        I hope Leiter and White are ready by 2925, if not sooner. Guys like Bratt, Stephan, Corniell, and Curry could be close as well. It will be interesting to see how fast Porter climbs up the ladder in 2024.

        1
        Reply
  3. Randall Charles

    2 years ago

    Cmon Jerry make some good moves for the M’s!
    Sign 1B Rhys Hoskins 5/80
    Sign DH Soler 3/56
    2b Jorge Polanco for Ty France
    Rf Santander for SP Hancock, SP Marco Gonzales

    Reply
    • rememberthecoop

      2 years ago

      That’s a lot for Hoskins. I’m thinking a one-year pillow deal for him to the Cubs.

      2
      Reply
    • kylek58

      2 years ago

      Hoskins is not going to get more than a 2 year deal because he’s coming off a season lost to injury
      They won’t sign Soler because they’re looking for contact hitters
      Polanco kinda makes sense but the Twins have no need for France and would need another player because Polanco is better
      Santander also kinda makes sense

      3
      Reply
      • Randall Charles

        2 years ago

        Hoskins won’t come to Seattle on a pillow contract
        One of Soler/ Santander might be enough
        France is way more durable than polanco, younger , cheaper, and better stats even on a down year. He’s primed for a major bounce back too

        Reply
    • Fever Pitch Guy

      2 years ago

      Dilbert – Snell really, really wants to pitch for his hometown Mariners. I hope it happens.

      2
      Reply
  4. mikey48

    2 years ago

    St Louis should go after Bieber not Cease and then beef up the bullpen

    3
    Reply
    • rememberthecoop

      2 years ago

      Bieber scares me. His numbers have shown a marked drop since his best years. He may cost more than he’s worth.

      1
      Reply
      • Bleachers@Busch

        2 years ago

        Cards need to be in on Cease or Logan Gilbert if Seattle makes him available. I completely agree that Bieber’s fall off looks troublesome

        Reply
  5. Old York

    2 years ago

    1. Can’t wait for the hot stove to heat up for the Royals & A’s. Should be an exciting and productive week for those teams.

    2. Dump the salary cap and let teams spend how they want. If your team is too cheap to spend then beef up your player development program like the Rays do.

    3. I can’t wait to see my 0/50 record by spring of 2024.

    3
    Reply
    • Longtimecoming

      2 years ago

      York – I got off to a hot start last year hitting something like 7 of first 10 (I think a couple were the freebies that we all got) and then I only got 2 out of 40! I enjoyed a few days on the first page though.

      Good luck.

      1
      Reply
    • NewYorkSoxFan

      2 years ago

      I think a salary floor is just as necessary as a salary cap. Realistically, a Kansas City team is going to be easily out matched talent wise by a New York team if the cap is non existent. You see it today with Shohei, a player every team should covet but realistically only a few can afford. If you want a competitive balance you have to implement these safeguards. The cap floor I think is needed because as we see with some teams, they’ll penny pinch and blame it their market even though they are raking in millions. Player development will only get you so far. The Rays are the pinnacle of this method and have less World Series wins than the Royals in the past 10 years.

      2
      Reply
      • Blue Baron

        2 years ago

        @NewYorkSoxFan: There isn’t and will not be a salary cap in MLB for the foreseeable future.

        And salary caps create a fixed pie and zero sum game for player compensation, preventing players from sharing in the revenue growth created by their skills and efforts.

        They hamstring teams from increasing payroll and do nothing to reduce costs for fans.

        Salary caps only benefit owners and do nothing for players or fans.

        2
        Reply
    • Blue Baron

      2 years ago

      @Old York: There are luxury taxes, but there is no salary cap.

      1
      Reply
      • Old York

        2 years ago

        @Blue Baron

        Semantics at best. It’s there to discourage teams from spending how they please to spend.

        1
        Reply
        • Blue Baron

          2 years ago

          True enough and you are correct. But as we see in the NBA and NHL, hard caps are much worse for everyone but team owners.

          2
          Reply
  6. Digdugler

    2 years ago

    As a Jays fan, I can confirm the Jays are not in on Ohtani. This happens with every big FA spanning back decades. Fielder, Darvish, etc. They never finish first. (Ryu and Springer are at the same level of FA and the Jays had to go more years/money on both)

    1
    Reply
    • rememberthecoop

      2 years ago

      Same with my Cubs. They’re always listed for the top guys but seldom get them.

      1
      Reply
    • budman_63755

      2 years ago

      You sir are not a reliable source.

      5
      Reply
    • Cardsfan21

      2 years ago

      I love that any fan believes they can “confirm” what their front office is in on.

      2
      Reply
      • Digdugler

        2 years ago

        Clearly you don’t know the Jays.

        1
        Reply
        • cadagan

          2 years ago

          @Dig,
          Do you have strong connections to the front office or something?

          If not, you are relying on similar information the rest of us are. A front offices job is not to educate or give you true data.

          3
          Reply
  7. rememberthecoop

    2 years ago

    Hey what would be cool is if the winner got a 60-day writing opportunity with MLBTR. A chance to prove themselves at minimum wage for ex. Just a thought…

    1
    Reply
    • WiffleBall

      2 years ago

      Eff minimum wage. Pay them well.

      1
      Reply
  8. Fraham_

    2 years ago

    Who is Leo Morgenstern

    Reply
    • Badfinger

      2 years ago

      Who’s High Pitch?

      1
      Reply
  9. Tom the ray fan

    2 years ago

    Rays trade glasnow for a bunch of relievers and a prospect lottery ticket.

    Reply
  10. Teamspirit

    2 years ago

    The Rangers and the Mets don’t have the money to sign Shohei. Are we back to the Cubs, Jays and Braves? I don’t think the Dodgers or Giants will sign. The Padres and Seattle have GM/manager problems. West Coast doesn’t have the lock on him anymore. He could sign a 3 year with the Angels, until he gets back to pitching.

    1
    Reply
    • kylek58

      2 years ago

      None of this makes any sense

      6
      Reply
  11. Vince Coleman'sTarpMachine

    2 years ago

    Ohtani only had 12 quality starts, Gibson had 17. Those spankee fans said qs mean nothing hahaha

    1
    Reply
    • budman_63755

      2 years ago

      Which Gibson are you talking about?

      1
      Reply
      • Vince Coleman'sTarpMachine

        2 years ago

        Kyle Gibson cards 15/31 qs league average 35 percent ws champs rangers 41 percent and Gibson nearly 50 yet cubs and spankee fans called him garbage here. Window lickers all of em haha

        1
        Reply
        • Manfred Rob's Earth Band

          2 years ago

          Pot meet kettle

          Reply
        • Vince Coleman'sTarpMachine

          2 years ago

          How so? I showed my math. Please have facts or gfy haha

          1
          Reply
        • JackStrawb

          2 years ago

          A ‘quality start’ involves results that are worse than MLB’s average ERA every year since 2000.

          A 4,50 game ERA is a QS?

          !!Trophies for everyone!!

          Reply
  12. Mr. E Team

    2 years ago

    Hopefully the execs will try to prevent another infectious disease outbreak at this meeting.

    1
    Reply
  13. Hemlock

    2 years ago

    “Winter” meetings? Who came up with that name for it? It is still Fall or Autumn.

    Reply

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