Astros right-hander Jose Urquidy pulled himself from a minor league game after 43 pitches due to pain in his right elbow, manager Joe Espada told reporters (X link via Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle). He’d been scheduled to throw around 60 pitches.
It’s a concerning development for a Houston club that will see Justin Verlander open the season on the injured list and knows it’ll be without Lance McCullers Jr. and Luis Garcia for the early portion of the 2024 campaign as well. Prior to this news, it looked as though Urquidy would join Framber Valdez, Cristian Javier, Hunter Brown and J.P. France in the Astros’ Opening Day rotation. That’s no sure thing now.
Urquidy, 28, missed more than three months of the 2023 campaign with a shoulder injury, which only makes further arm troubles all the more ominous. He pitched to a career-worst 5.29 ERA when healthy enough to take the mound, with the second-lowest strikeout rate (16.4%) and the highest walk rate (9.1%) he’s turned in during any big league season.
Prior to last year’s rough showing, Urquidy was a steady and arguably underrated member of the Houston staff. From 2019-22, he pitched 342 innings of 3.74 ERA ball with a below-average 20.3% strikeout rate but an excellent 5.2% walk rate. Durability has been an issue for the right-hander, but he’s been effective more often than not when he’s taken the ball.
The mounting number of injuries on the Houston staff could potentially spur the team to action. General manager Dana Brown said not even two weeks ago that he wasn’t in the market for more starting pitching … only to suggest the opposite to Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle this week. Rome, citing a multiple anonymous sources, reported that the ’Stros are indeed still in the market for arms. Brown spoke in generalities when asked about Blake Snell, telling Rome: “As long as Snell is on the market, we check in to ask what is the latest. Nothing new as of now.”
It’s telling that those comments came even before today’s potential injury to Urquidy. Presumably, if there’s real concern that Urquidy might miss some time, that would only hasten the team’s desire to add to the rotation, whether in the form of Snell, Jordan Montgomery, Michael Lorenzen, Mike Clevinger or any of the other arms the free agent or trade market may have to offer. Crane did act aggressively and decisively when the Astros found out they’d lost setup man Kendall Graveman for the season, surprising many onlookers by signing Josh Hader to a five-year, $95MM contract.
Snell, of course, would be the costliest free agent on the market in terms of financial outlay and future considerations. Because he rejected a qualifying offer, Snell would cost the Astros their second-highest draft pick and $500K of space from next year’s international free agent bonus pool. Since they already punted a second-round pick to sign Hader, however, that’d “only” be a third-round pick.
Since the Astros are already at a projected $255.7MM of luxury obligations (per RosterResource), signing Snell would push that figure past the $257MM second-tier threshold and past the third-tier $277MM threshold. That $277MM line is of particular note, as crossing that barrier drops a team’s top pick in the following year’s draft by 10 places.
Any additional players signed by the Astros would be subject to penalty under the luxury tax, although because Houston didn’t pay the tax last year, they’re considered a first-time offender. That subjects them to much lesser fees than third-time offenders like the Yankees, Dodgers, Mets, etc. Houston would owe a 20% tax on the next $1.3MM spent, followed by a 32% tax on the next $20MM and a 62.5% tax on the next $20MM. That tax would be based on the annual value of the contract.
A $30MM AAV on a Snell deal, for instance, would cost the Astros around $12.1MM in luxury taxes. That’s a steep price, but it’s nowhere near the 110% tax rate the Yankees, Phillies, Dodgers and others would face. Whether that makes it palatable enough for owner Jim Crane to further add to what’s already a franchise-record payroll by a wide margin remains to be seen.
If our pitchers are hurt, yours must be hurt as well! (From a Rangers fan)
Another elbow injury? These things are popping up all over now. I bet the free agent pitchers and agents are working those phones.
Clevinger is pretty serviceable for low 8 figures. Lorenzen good luck unless it is a lower 6mil type figure.
It’s our daily TJS article
Dorothy Mantooth IS A SAINT!
It’s the new uniforms.
It’s gotta be.
(Sarcasm, obviously. This sucks though, way too many injuries already)
Tiger’s FO, sleeping……
Again.
Could have already sewn up the market. I don’t understand why they don’t pounce on these opportunities.
I don’t remember this many elbow/shoulder injuries prior to the 90’s. Maybe I’m wrong.
Pitch clock, imo.
The Hader signing and Altuve extension suggest Crane is still willing to spend to field a very competitive team. “Mr. Crane, Scott Boras on line 1.”
Urduiqying me!
A deal for Clevinger would be the “safest” in terms of investment, but I could actually see Houston ponying up for Snell or Monty on a short-term deal with a high AAV with opt outs. The rotation has questions and the reigning champs are in their division. Plus, Seattle really improved their lineup and still has the best rotation in the game. A Snell deal could be just what they need.
The thing about Snell is, he’s terrible every season the first half..and with no ST, I expect that to carry on even longer than usual. I wouldn’t touch him if I were the ‘Stros..especially since their main need is a first half starter until their rotation gets healthy..
This would be for the playoffs. I don’t think there is any concern about missing the playoffs (assuming the stars do t get hurt and Verlander only missed the a few weeks).
They may need him down the stretch and into October though. Having another bona fide ace would be huge.
Doubtful. The division isn’t a concern. This, like the Hader signing is about the postseason.
@Wagner>Cobb:
“Seattle really improved their lineup and still has the best rotation in the game.”
Last year, Seattle had the 4th best rotation by ERA, 9th best entire staff by ERA+. (couldn’t find the ERA+ for just the starters, although the relievers also ranked 4th by ERA)
Point is that they were very good, but not the best. They could be the best this year though.
Bet they’d like a do-over on Hader signing about now…
Nah.
Not so much. But the Abreu and Montero signings for sure. Hader will earn his money.
Now the NYY will have to out-bid the Astros for Lorenzen.
With injuries happening like the leaves in Fall, dropping like contenders chances, how many times we we talk about Boras, Lorenzen, Clevenger, etc? I’m dreading the injury on the person just signed to replace another injured pitcher. Maybe these guys are trying to ramp up too hard, too quickly?
Hahaha, I guess now the Astros are like every other team. Maybe Hader can start for you. He is getting paid like a starter.
Welcome to Houston Mr. Snell
Houston as the dark horse team for Snell just lightened up a shade for sure.
Maybe all these injuries have something to do with the fact that everyone throws 900 MPH on every freaking pitch. Who could have foreseen such things? Honestly it’s laughable seeing Mark Prior’s career arc become the normal thing now. It’s stupid.
Urquidy isn’t one to throw 900, but as someone else pointed out earlier, throwing a baseball isn’t a natural thing for a human body. It could happen to anyone at any time except for Verne Ruhle. Just an unfortunate stroke of luck
Is it just weird or what – it seems there are an awful lot of injuries this year and it’s just sprng!!
Boras has a death ray and he’s pointing it at elbows.
Boras hired Papa Shango.
Teams should think about introducing a cut off between 1 and 2, save some arms. A little physics goes a long way.