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Poll: Who Will Win The NL Division Series?

By Anthony Franco | October 7, 2024 at 8:11pm CDT

Monday is a travel day for the National League. Both series are knotted up 1-1 as they head to the homes of the lower seeds. Nick Castellanos’ walk-off hit capped off a back-and-forth affair in Philadelphia yesterday, squaring things with the Mets. The Padres had a much more convincing (but still drama-filled) beatdown of the Dodgers to tie that series.

The latter has a couple health situations to monitor. Freddie Freeman and Xander Bogaerts each departed yesterday’s game. Bogaerts’ absence was on accounting of hamstring cramping and came after the Padres had taken a six-run lead. That seemed precautionary at the time, and skipper Mike Shildt said today that the team’s belief is that it was simply a result of dehydration (X link via Annie Heilbrunn of the San Diego Union-Tribune). Freeman has had a bigger problem, playing through a sprained right ankle. L.A. manager Dave Roberts told reporters (including Fabian Ardaya of the Athletic) this evening that Freeman was receiving treatment; his status for tomorrow’s game remains uncertain.

San Diego looks to have the distinctive edge from a pitching perspective for Game 3. They’ll turn to righty Michael King, owner of a 2.95 ERA in the regular season. Los Angeles counters with the scuffling Walker Buehler, who allowed more than five earned runs per nine this year after returning from his second career Tommy John surgery.

Neither team has named a starter for Game 4. Shildt kept open the possibility of turning back to Game 1 starter Dylan Cease on short rest on Wednesday (X link via AJ Cassavell of MLB.com). They’d presumably only do that if they lose tomorrow and are facing elimination in Game 4. Roberts has already shot down the possibility of bringing his Game 1 starter, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, back on short rest. That very likely leaves L.A. to turn to rookie Landon Knack in the fourth game.

There’s more clarity on the pitching plans in the NL’s other series. The pair of NL East rivals have already named starters for both games that’ll take place in Queens. It’s a matchup between Aaron Nola and Sean Manaea tomorrow. They’ve both had good seasons, though Manaea was a bit better than Nola was down the stretch.

It’ll be a pair of southpaws on Wednesday. Philadelphia turns to Ranger Suárez, while the Mets counter with José Quintana. Quintana followed up a brilliant September with six scoreless innings to help keep the Mets alive in the rubber match of their Wild Card series in Milwaukee. Suárez has yet to pitch this postseason. He’s generally as good as any fourth starter in MLB. Suárez looked as if he’d even be in the Cy Young conversation early in the year, but he was hit hard in September after losing a month to a back injury. He finished the season with a 3.46 ERA through 150 2/3 innings.

Philadelphia will have Zack Wheeler in reserve if the series goes to a decider. New York is expected to counter in a potential Game 5 with Kodai Senga, who managed two innings on 31 pitches in his return from the 60-day injured list last week.

Which two teams will punch their ticket to the NLCS later this week?

 

 

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93 Comments

  1. Ranger Danger19

    8 months ago

    Padres and Phillies in 5

    9
    Reply
    • BabyDegenerate

      8 months ago

      Couldn’t be the Orioles! Not only are they not in the NL, but they aren’t even in the postseason anymore!!! Sell the team Rubenstein!

      1
      Reply
      • Floyd Rayford's cat

        8 months ago

        But they’re close!

        3
        Reply
      • Patriot12992

        8 months ago

        The guy has owned the team for like one season lol give him a chance

        5
        Reply
    • DarkSide830

      8 months ago

      I believe the same.

      1
      Reply
  2. CardsFan57

    8 months ago

    I have no idea on either one. It will be fun to watch though.

    3
    Reply
  3. Misty Moobs

    8 months ago

    Padres are way better and don’t have a terrible fan base so pretty obvious they will win

    6
    Reply
    • Put John Sterling in Sarco Pod ASAP

      8 months ago

      Most popular teams have a big section of garbage fans. I’ve seen many padres fans drunkenly start something because of a jersey same as LA. Pittsburgh, Philly, Boston are especially bad, much more mob mentality when you’re in a homogenous area for fandom.

      13
      Reply
    • Blue Baron

      8 months ago

      Misty Moobs: Fanbases have no effect on the outcomes.

      4
      Reply
      • BabyDegenerate

        8 months ago

        Do you have any academic literature to back that up?

        3
        Reply
        • Blue Baron

          8 months ago

          FletcherFan: It’s not an academic inquiry. Agree or disagree as you choose.

          1
          Reply
        • BabyDegenerate

          8 months ago

          Do you have a degree relating to fanbases and their effect on sporting event results? I’d like to see some hard data if you’re going to make unsubstantiated claims

          3
          Reply
        • Blue Baron

          8 months ago

          Do you have a problem or multiple problems?

          If you wish to find something, go look it up.

          2
          Reply
        • BabyDegenerate

          8 months ago

          I looked up “do fanbases have any effect on game outcomes?” and I found a joint study between Yale and Oxford that said that the entire game is decided by the fans

          You can pay to remove ads from this site but you can’t pay to remove stupid from your brain!

          5
          Reply
        • Blue Baron

          8 months ago

          I understand what you’re saying, even though there was no such study, certainly not involving anyone with whom I crossed paths while working on my degree at Yale, but if I agreed with you, then we’d both be wrong.

          But tell me, were you born on the highway? That’s where most accidents happen.

          1
          Reply
        • BabyDegenerate

          8 months ago

          Oh… nobody told you about the secret Yale research engine that holds all the world’s real knowledge? They only give access to cool guys who crushed puss and got invited to super epic Yale parties. I’m shocked a perfect genius like you didn’t get added!

          I guess it shows that people don’t like overly litigious midwits who hold others to standards they can’t meet themselves!

          5
          Reply
        • Blue Baron

          8 months ago

          Guess you have a problem then, don’t you bud?

          I don’t consider anything you say to be of consequence, so go get help for it or go pound sand.

          I don’t give a rat’s posterior.

          1
          Reply
        • BabyDegenerate

          8 months ago

          What’s ur bench and squat 1rm

          2
          Reply
      • Put John Sterling in Sarco Pod ASAP

        8 months ago

        @bluebaron I would normally agree with you, but throwing stuff on the field causing a delay essentially “ices” a pitcher. I’d like to see a warning system. If some fans keep pushing it, then you punish the home team. If they keep throwing stuff, automatic forfeit or like inning ends there for the home team on offense.

        8
        Reply
        • fox471 Dave

          8 months ago

          They are not going to cause a team to forfeit during a playoff series. It just won’t happen.

          3
          Reply
        • Ezpkns34

          8 months ago

          @Sarco

          You realize this isn’t a teeball game, right?

          2
          Reply
        • Put John Sterling in Sarco Pod ASAP

          8 months ago

          I know. But, I would love to see a team lose and chaos to break out.

          Reply
        • Put John Sterling in Sarco Pod ASAP

          8 months ago

          Yes, tee ball games don’t have drunk slobs throwing things at players, unfortunately.

          Reply
    • Mojo37

      8 months ago

      Last night’s display by some fans at Dodger Stadium is indefensible. But you can’t indict the entire fan base based on a few drunken morons. Pads have a great team. Dodger starters are in tatters. But “Padres way better”?
      Also wrong.

      8
      Reply
      • Brew88

        8 months ago

        Mojo. So true, it’s not the fanbase it’s a few bad seeds. But no excuses, both teams are dealing with a lot of injuries, the deepest team will win.

        6
        Reply
        • Mojo37

          8 months ago

          Agreed Brew. Hope it goes 5. More baseball is a good thing.

          6
          Reply
        • Ignorant Son-of-a-b

          8 months ago

          More baseball is always the right answer!!!!

          2
          Reply
    • fox471 Dave

      8 months ago

      Moobs- nonsense!

      Reply
  4. Luis_Fazenda

    8 months ago

    The Dodgers rotation isn’t going to cut it.

    7
    Reply
    • douglasb

      8 months ago

      relying on Walker “Syndergaard 2.0” Buehler is a big risk.

      4
      Reply
  5. Canuckleball

    8 months ago

    The projected LA starters for the next few games have to leave Dodger fans a little uneasy. At the moment, it feels like the pendulum has swung toward the Padres.

    Things can change, obviously, but right now the Pads have to be the favorites.

    The Mets/Phillies series feels like a toss up right now.

    12
    Reply
  6. Yankee Clipper

    8 months ago

    Phillies/Pads NLCS, imho. My question is: how secure is Dave Roberts’ job if they get bounced in the division series again?

    6
    Reply
    • ACK

      8 months ago

      If the Padres beat the Dodgers, than you need to look at Andrew Friedman not Dave Roberts. 20 years ago the manager made the lineup & decision when to pull SP . In 2024 it is the FO making those decisions. Friedman is using Dave Roberts as a shield.

      Reply
      • fox471 Dave

        8 months ago

        Prove it, ACK.

        3
        Reply
      • Luis_Fazenda

        8 months ago

        It’s a moot point. Take a gander at Ohtani’s contract, and see what could potentially happen if Friedman gets the axe.

        Reply
    • Brew88

      8 months ago

      Roberts comments to the media this afternoon about Manny throwing at him in the dugout sure wasn’t supported by video, and makes him look like a complete loser.

      13
      Reply
      • Mojo37

        8 months ago

        Brew..
        love to see that video. You have the link?

        Reply
        • Brew88

          8 months ago

          I’d like to see it too. And that was my point

          2
          Reply
        • Mojo37

          8 months ago

          Ha!

          Reply
        • Brew88

          8 months ago

          Playing the victim after last night is rich. Roberts is only inciting more bottle throwing or worse, assuming there’s a game 5 in the ravine. A leader should take a higher road.

          7
          Reply
        • Mojo37

          8 months ago

          twitter.com/annieheilbrunn/status/1843480257137082…

          2
          Reply
        • Gwynning

          8 months ago

          “Designated Hitter, Joe Ohtani!”

          Jomboy has a similar vid up too, 99% of the comments are crushing Doc on this. cheers Mojo

          Reply
        • Longtimecoming

          8 months ago

          That is hilarious! Dave Roberts and all the Dodgers making something out of a weak 3 hopper to the dugout door. I’m sure they were so afraid of being injured!

          I’ll bet Tatis wished that JF’s pitch to the hip was that soft!

          LOL. Roberts get so out of whack. He sure wasn’t making any moves to go to LF to tell the fans to cut it out.

          I’ve seen home coached in basketball games take the mine and tell fans to cut it out. Of course a technical foul can give a point to the other side but still show a little effort to do the right thing DR as opposed to continuing to incite.

          3
          Reply
        • Mojo37

          8 months ago

          It’s a lame complaint by Roberts. Embarrassing.

          5
          Reply
        • kgcubs

          8 months ago

          Aloha Gwynning, so happy for your Padres tonight! I was getting frustrated with King, lol! Thankfully he and the rest of the staff, including a former Cub, Estrada, took care of business! I hope the team can win the series tomorrow! Mahalo Nui!

          2
          Reply
        • Gwynning

          8 months ago

          Shaka braddha!

          1
          Reply
        • kgcubs

          8 months ago

          Today is a big bradduh! Let’s hope the starting pitching is solid, defense strong and hitting continues. Keep this momentum going! Mahalo!

          1
          Reply
        • Gwynning

          8 months ago

          Mahalo nui loa brah, good luck to your Cubbies in ’25

          Reply
      • Gwynning

        8 months ago

        It’s no surprise to anyone- Manny always tosses the infield ball to the 3rd base dugout. I think the Dodgers are just circling the wagons around Flaherty’s jawing from the top step, which is their prerogative… but looks silly to hide behind a false narrative. Whatever, just manufactured drama. Give me the game between the lines and may the better team win!

        Idk why Clip, but Doc’s job seems just as secure as Cashman’s!

        8
        Reply
      • OldSaltUSN

        8 months ago

        I’ve always respected Dave Roberts, even when some (mostly LAD fans) were ragging on him. I also understand his intent to back up his ballplayers, and fan their (apparently, based upon his own words) lagging energy and enthusiasm.

        However, claiming Machado tossed a ball at him “with intent”, is weak sauce. Worse yet, it’s a ridiculous lie. Any respect I ever had for Roberts is gone, zip, zero, nadda. Machado is 10x the ballplayer and leader that Roberts ever was, or ever will be.

        3
        Reply
      • Butter Biscuits

        8 months ago

        Really punk move by Manny

        Reply
    • Citizen1

      8 months ago

      Id say roberts job not very secure. Burns all his starters to win the division and dodgers come up short in the post. If Ohtani says otherwise, Roberts stays on 1 more year

      2
      Reply
    • Acoss1331

      8 months ago

      Death and taxes. Boone and Roberts are going nowhere.

      3
      Reply
    • fox471 Dave

      8 months ago

      Yankee clipper: i doubt that Roberts will be fired, if the Dodgers lose. That is not to say he shouldn’t be fired. He has been given outstanding teams over the years and only one WS to show for it. At some point, the Dodgers need to move on from Roberts. If a manager like Mattingly or Torre had these teams, I truly believe flags would be flying.

      2
      Reply
      • petefrompp

        8 months ago

        Ummm – Dave hasn’t own any world series – covid 60 game season doesn’t count – seriously

        Reply
  7. sad tormented neglected mariners fan

    8 months ago

    Padres did it last year they have the dodgers number and the Mets have that it factor on their side

    5
    Reply
  8. SadMsFan

    8 months ago

    I want the Padres to win. Dodgers fans are just awful-so rude. Them throwing the ball and other items at Profar…bot cool at all.

    I want the miracle Mets to win, just because that’d be cool if they did. I always root for the underdogs.

    So rooting for the Tigers and Royals as well.

    8
    Reply
    • YankeesBleacherCreature

      8 months ago

      You do you but “miracle Mets”???

      1
      Reply
    • Ma4170

      8 months ago

      Are the mets considered that much of an underdog? I know Phillies are favored, but mets had best record in baseball last four months. Its not like they came out of nowhere suddenly.

      6
      Reply
      • Bill M

        8 months ago

        Mets were 6th seed, Phillies 2nd seed.

        2
        Reply
        • met man

          8 months ago

          It’s a matter of getting hot at the right time

          2
          Reply
        • Ma4170

          8 months ago

          I know, but separated by only 6 games and played each other even all year. Like I said, Mets were the better team for 2/3 of the season. I don’t think they’re that far apart in reality.

          2
          Reply
        • vjwhitmore

          8 months ago

          And now with the series going to NY, the Phillies were great in their bandbox home and mediocre on the road 41-40

          1
          Reply
  9. warnbeeb

    8 months ago

    Tigers in 4
    Royals in 5

    Reply
    • Keithyim

      8 months ago

      Who?

      Reply
  10. Misty Moobs

    8 months ago

    Can’t wait for Ohtani to strike out to end the dodgers season. About time for baseball’s golden boy

    6
    Reply
    • Mojo37

      8 months ago

      Ain’t jealousy grand

      8
      Reply
    • fox471 Dave

      8 months ago

      Hey Misty, you got two upvotes for your dumb comment about Ohtani. Keep up the good work. You are apparently not alone.

      6
      Reply
    • OldSaltUSN

      8 months ago

      Ohtani has been nothing but talent, hard work, and class. I’m saying that as a Padres fan. I can’t understand why anyone would want to seem him “fall” like that. I hope the Padres keep him contained, the way that Darvish was able to. EVERY hitter can be pitched to, can be beat. It takes a very good pitcher, and it takes execution.

      Any pitcher’s margin of error against Ohtani is very, very small. Darvish did it by mixing off-speed stuff. Power pitchers will need to pitch to power outside, and with varied off-speed inside. Just challenging him is a mistake, particularly when he’s as hot as he’s been recently.

      9
      Reply
  11. Acoss1331

    8 months ago

    I picked Phillies and Padres for the NLCS. Rematch of 2022! I’ve no idea who’d win, both teams are really good.

    6
    Reply
  12. 3 finger split

    8 months ago

    .I’m watching the Padres vs Dodgers game as all the lowlife fans started throwing baseballs at Profar and then Tatis and wondered if the umpires would call a forfeit and then I remembered the last time that happened was in 1995 and the umpires declared a forfeit of a game because fans threw baseballs at players on the field and guess where it was…YUP…DODGER Stadium…I guess the total lack of class is generational.

    3
    Reply
    • fox471 Dave

      8 months ago

      3 finger – all the fans threw baseballs at Profar? Really! Geez. Is he ok?

      1
      Reply
      • The Magic Loogie

        8 months ago

        No, he said it was just the “low life” ones.

        2
        Reply
  13. Crunchtime1969

    8 months ago

    The Dodgers lack leadership. Crybabies. Their fans are brutal. No class. Their stadium smells like piss. Their hotdogs are horrible. All they have going for them is a fat wallet.

    4
    Reply
  14. Biggavelli

    8 months ago

    Mets in 4 padres in 5

    5
    Reply
    • vjwhitmore

      8 months ago

      Looking more like the Mets in 4 & Padres in 4

      1
      Reply
      • Biggavelli

        8 months ago

        Absolutely! Starting pitching, defense and offense has been lights out! Theres something special about this team! Not a superstar filled lineup and they getting it done.. one at bat at a time.. LGM

        2
        Reply
        • Brew’88

          8 months ago

          suddenly Manaea is Cy Young

          Reply
        • jwt421

          8 months ago

          Not suddenly. He’s been pitching like that the whole 2nd half with the exception of his last start in Milwaukee during the regular season.

          After ‘22 he went to Driveline and reinvented himself. Showed signs of improvement late last year. Sometime between June and July this year he dropped his arm angle mimicking Chris Sale.

          He’s for real and will cash in this off season as he’s a free agent.

          2
          Reply
  15. saavedra

    8 months ago

    I don’t see why the Padres should NOT use Cease in game 4, since he didn’t really threw that many pitches in game 1. Other option would be Martin Perez game 4 and Cease game 5. Cease game 4 and Darvish game 5 is EXPONENTIALLY better.

    Reply
  16. Rally Goose

    8 months ago

    Team that eliminated the Brewers from the playoffs has never not made it to the World Series.

    3
    Reply
    • PhilliesFan91

      8 months ago

      I don’t buy into that , that is just a timing

      3
      Reply
  17. 3 finger split

    8 months ago

    There are three sections of California…Nor Cal =SF Giants Battery Chucks, SoCal= LA Dodger Whiners and then we have LoCal = SD Padres Loud and Proud, Classy Fans. I hope that’s the case tonight on National TV. What better way to show the baseball world that San Diego has the best fans in the country…Beat the Dodgers and do it with class.

    With that being said I wonder what the attitude is about Flarety hitting Tatis…Major league pitchers DON’T miss by 2-3 feet with a fastball…curveball sure…fastball… not a chance. You want to “move’ their feet” without hitting them so what do the Padres do?

    I know if Dick Williams was the Manager somebody is going down but Mike Shildt is a class act and wants to let his “Dudes” handle it so the question is does anybody get dotted? Do you let your hottest player get hit and just take it or do you just take it and beat their ass and don’t return the favor? The Pitchers want to protect their teammates but who on this staff would do it? I just don’t see it happening unless another Padre gets hit…Profar, Tatis, Machado…where is Craig Lefferts when you need him? 🙂

    GO PADRES and SCREW Dodger Blue

    3
    Reply
    • Brew’88

      8 months ago

      A clear-thinking Flaherty would not intentionally hit Tatis as it was a terrible time to give him 1st base. But he clearly threw inside to send a message (he said so in postgame interview), and that’s fine. Alternatively, he just lost his cool after several Tatis 118 mph barrels, and hit him on purpose, despite it being boneheaded to do so. We’ll never know.

      4
      Reply
  18. highflyballintorightfield

    8 months ago

    Sportsbook odds still (as of Tuesday morning) narrowly favors the Dodgers. All this overwhelming Padres sentiment hasn’t been backed up by $. Money to be made here…

    1
    Reply
  19. vjwhitmore

    8 months ago

    Don’t be so quick to think the Phillies.
    They were great at home with a record of 54-27, However they were suspect on the road at 41-40.

    4
    Reply
  20. The Magic Loogie

    8 months ago

    Padres and Phillies in 5

    Reply
  21. b00giem@n

    8 months ago

    I have no dog in the fight here this postseason but I really enjoy watching the Dodgers choke and I hope that trend continues this season. That fan base in the amount of money they spend. It’s a beautiful thing when they do.

    3
    Reply
  22. nosake

    8 months ago

    I could see the Mets winning the Series.

    4
    Reply
  23. PhilliesFan91

    8 months ago

    Phillies in 5 , Padres in 4

    Reply
  24. vjwhitmore

    8 months ago

    Phillies had their problems on the road again dropping Game 3, 7-2 to the Mets.
    Is looking like the Mets in 4

    2
    Reply
  25. brucenewton

    8 months ago

    Phils in 5. Lock it.

    Reply
  26. Longboy

    8 months ago

    Mets in 4. Have a hunch. Bet everything you have

    3
    Reply

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