Blue Jays Re-Sign Max Scherzer

TODAY: Scherzer’s contract also contains full no-trade protection, Jon Heyman reports.

MARCH 2: The Blue Jays officially announced they’ve re-signed Max Scherzer to a one-year contract. The Boras Corporation client is reportedly guaranteed $3MM and can earn up to $10MM in incentives. He’d earn his first $1MM bonus at 65 innings and reach another $1MM bonus for every tenth inning, up through 155 frames overall. Toronto cleared a 40-man roster spot over the weekend by waiving infielder Ben Cowles, who was claimed by the Cubs.

It’s the future Hall of Famer’s second season in Toronto. The three-time Cy Young winner signed a $15.5MM deal with the Jays during the 2024-25 offseason. He was coming off an abbreviated season in which he’d been limited to nine starts for the Rangers. Scherzer had undergone back surgery the previous offseason, and a nerve issue in his throwing arm limited him once he recovered from the back procedure.

The arm remained problematic last season. Scherzer left his team debut after three innings because of thumb soreness. That had been traced to the nerve issue and ultimately led the Jays to shut Scherzer down for a couple months. He didn’t return to an MLB mound until late June.

Scherzer was able to avoid the injured list after that point but didn’t perform to his usual level. He allowed more than five earned runs per nine innings for the first time in his career. He closed the season with a 5.19 mark over 85 innings. Scherzer only once allowed more than four runs in a start, but he only went beyond five innings on seven occasions. He had six quality starts in 17 appearances.

The 17-year veteran is still capable of missing bats at a league average level. He struck out a slightly above-average 23% of batters faced against a tidy 6.4% walk rate. The issue is the damage hitters have done when they make contact. Scherzer allowed more than two home runs per nine innings for the first time in his career. It was the fourth-highest homer rate in MLB among pitchers who threw 70+ innings.

Scherzer’s fastball averaged 93.6 mph last season. That’s a tick higher than his 2024 mark, reversing a slight downward trend in his velocity during his late 30s. He nevertheless had a tough time getting hitters to chase his breaking pitches outside the strike zone. Scherzer obviously doesn’t have the same caliber of stuff he did at his peak, which makes him more hittable when he’s forced to challenge hitters. He has allowed a higher than average home run rate in three straight seasons.

At age 41, Scherzer profiles as a back-end starter on paper. Yet he has a wealth of big game experience and showed he’s still capable of getting outs on the biggest stage. The Jays left Scherzer off the roster for their Division Series matchup with the Yankees. They brought him back for the AL Championship Series against Seattle and the World Series showdown with the Dodgers.

Scherzer tossed 5 2/3 frames of two-run ball to get the win in ALCS Game 4. He struggled a bit in Game 3 of the World Series before coming back with one run allowed in 4 1/3 innings in Game 7. Scherzer left the mound with a 3-1 lead in a performance that would have been etched into Toronto sports history if the bullpen had held the lead.

They’ll aim to get over the hump in 2026. Assuming Scherzer builds up in time for Opening Day, he’ll probably slot into a six-man rotation to begin the season. Shane Bieber will begin the year on the injured list after experiencing forearm fatigue during the playoff run. Toronto had been slated to open the season with a starting five of Dylan CeaseKevin GausmanTrey YesavageJosé Berríos and Cody Ponce.

Yesavage is entering his first full MLB season. Ponce is a bit of a wild card in his return from Korea. Scherzer presumably isn’t going to log 150+ innings at this stage of his career. Opening with a six-man rotation would allow the Jays to take some of the burden off a rotation that shouldered as heavy a load as possible into October.

That comes with a trickle-down impact on the bullpen, however. The 13-pitcher limit means the Jays would be down to a seven-man bullpen if they go this route. That increases the importance of having a quality long reliever like Eric Lauer to handle multiple innings.

At the same time, this makes it less likely that Lauer will have a chance to win a rotation spot. The left-hander is an impending free agent and said he’d prefer a starting opportunity. There hasn’t been any indication that Lauer would seek a trade if the Jays keep him in a relief role, though the southpaw told Mitch Bannon of The Athletic he believes that pitching out of the bullpen last season cost him money in arbitration. Lauer lost his hearing, meaning he’ll make the team’s desired $4.4MM salary rather than his camp’s $5.75MM filing figure.

That could be a situation worth monitoring if everyone remains healthy closer to Opening Day. For now, this looks like the ideal outcome for the Jays and Scherzer alike. The $3MM base salary will push their franchise-record luxury tax payroll to approximately $319MM, according to RosterResource. The Jays are taxed at a 90% rate on spending above $304MM. This signing comes with a $2.7MM base tax. Earned performance bonuses are part of a team’s CBT calculation, so the Jays would also pay that 90% fee on any dollars that Scherzer unlocks by hitting innings milestones throughout the year.

Jon Heyman of The New York Post first reported the agreement. Shi Davidi of Sportsnet had the $3MM base and $10MM in incentives. Heyman reported the incentive structure. Image courtesy of Jay Biggerstaff, Imagn Images.

Padres Notes: Pivetta, Song, Cronenworth

The Padres are pushing Nick Pivetta’s scheduled start on Sunday back due to arm fatigue, reports Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune. San Diego’s staff ace had been scheduled to throw a standard bullpen session this afternoon. That was also delayed, though Acee writes that Pivetta should throw a bullpen within a few days and could be back in game action next week.

There doesn’t seem to be any real concern. Pitchers are still building up arm strength at this stage of Spring Training. Pivetta also has one of the stronger durability track records of any pitcher in the league. Aside from illness, he has only gone on the injured list once in his MLB career — a month-long absence early in 2024 due to a flexor strain. He returned without issue and had the best season of his career for San Diego last year.

If the pause lasts more than a few days, it’s possible it’ll lead the Padres to reconsider the way they order their season-opening rotation. San Diego hasn’t announced who’ll take the ball against Tarik Skubal and the Tigers on March 26. Pivetta would be the obvious choice on the heels of a sixth-place Cy Young finish. He has made two starts this spring, building to 43 pitches on Tuesday. Michael KingJoe Musgrove and Randy Vásquez are expected to follow him in the rotation. There’s an open competition for the fifth starter role.

A more notable camp storyline is the health of utility player Sung-mun Song. The former KBO star tweaked his right oblique during offseason training. Song was cleared early in camp and has appeared in seven Spring Training games, batting .250 with one home run across 19 plate appearances. He felt renewed tightness in the oblique during Thursday’s game and was lifted after two at-bats.

Song didn’t play on Friday and is listed as day to day. Manager Craig Stammen told Acee the team will approach the situation with increased caution now that the oblique has flared up twice. He noted that it’s more general soreness than something that can be traced to one swing, which likely would have signified a more acute strain. Song’s status for Opening Day is nevertheless back in question. If he’s not available, Mason McCoy or Will Wagner could win a utility role.

A second/third baseman in Korea, Song was making his first professional start at shortstop in yesterday’s game. The Padres have also had him take outfield drills to build more defensive versatility. They’ll have Jake Cronenworth and Manny Machado in the lineup most days at Song’s respective primary positions.

Cronenworth is out to a strong start in camp, batting .353 through his first 18 plate appearances. He connected on his first home run of exhibition play in Thursday’s 27-6 rout of the Mariners. AJ Cassavell of MLB.com notes that the longball came to left-center field. That’s not ordinarily noteworthy, but the lefty-hitting Cronenworth has never hit a regular season home run to the opposite field. He has 80 career longballs over six seasons, all of which have gone to the pull side.

One exhibition homer isn’t going to suddenly make Cronenworth an all-fields power threat. It came off a Double-A pitcher in a game where the wind was blowing out; the teams combined for 12 homers altogether. Still, it’s a positive indicator that aligns with some tweaks which Cronenworth made over the winter to his weight transfer and bat path. Cassavell chats with the veteran infielder and first-year hitting coach Steven Souza Jr. about the adjustments for a piece that Padres fans will want to give a full read.

Peralta Seeking “Seven Or Eight” Years In Extension Talks

The Mets paid a fairly significant prospect price to acquire ace Freddy Peralta from Milwaukee in January. A bargain $8MM salary was a big part of his trade value. The Mets surely have some interest in keeping the impending free agent in Queens at what would be significantly higher prices beyond this year.

Although Peralta has expressed openness to extension talks, he’s targeting the kind of contract which the Mets have mostly avoided under president of baseball operations David Stearns. Peralta told Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic earlier this week that he was looking for a long-term deal. He was more specific on Friday, telling Jon Heyman of The New York Post he’s seeking “seven or eight years.”

It’d be surprising if the Mets go to that length, at least before Peralta hits the open market. As shown on MLBTR’s Contract Tracker (available to Front Office subscribers), the Mets haven’t signed a pitcher for more than three years since Stearns was hired in 2023.

Last winter’s three-year, $75MM deal with Sean Manaea is their only pitching contract beyond two seasons. They reportedly made a 12-year offer to Yoshinobu Yamamoto, but he was an ace coming over from Japan at age 25. It has been a similar setup on the position player side. They were willing to do essentially whatever it took to sign Juan Soto, but they’ve otherwise pursued short-term deals at huge annual rates with their free agent targets.

Stearns has traded for Peralta twice and signed him to a bargain early-career extension when he was running baseball operations in Milwaukee. He understandably loves the player and clearly appreciates what he brings to the clubhouse.

That said, Peralta would be a more typical high-end free agent than a nearly unique case like Soto or Yamamoto. He turns 30 in June, so the first year of an extension or free agent deal would be his age-31 season. He’s an excellent pitcher but is a clear notch below the likes of Tarik Skubal and Paul Skenes as the best arms in MLB.

Last season’s fifth-place Cy Young finish was the first time in Peralta’s career that he appeared on ballots. He’s coming off a career-low 2.70 earned run average through 176 2/3 innings. He ranked 11th among starters (minimum 120 innings) with a 28.2% strikeout rate. Peralta hasn’t missed a start in three seasons and ranks 15th in innings pitched during that time.

There’s some recent precedent for a seven-plus year deal with that profile. Aaron Nola commanded seven years and $175MM from the Phillies at the same age in 2023. Nola was extremely durable but didn’t throw as hard as Peralta does and had started to struggle with the home run ball.

Dylan Cease pulled seven years and $210MM (albeit with deferrals dropping the actual value closer to $185MM) from the Blue Jays last offseason. Cease throws a little harder and misses a few more bats than Peralta does, but his start to start efficiency was lacking. Max Fried is the only pitcher in his 30s to sign for eight years within the past decade. He got to $218MM from the Yankees as a lefty with plus stuff who hadn’t allowed an ERA higher than 3.25 in any of the five seasons preceding free agency.

Peralta fits in that group on talent. The difference between his current situation and the aforementioned trio is that he’s still a year away from the open market. Walk year extensions for Luis Castillo and José Berríos landed south of $150MM. Peralta presumably isn’t looking for an annual value in the low $20MM range simply to stretch the length of the contract.

Rosenthal reported on Monday that the sides had yet to seriously broach an extension. They’ll likely have those conversations within the three weeks leading up to the start of the regular season. Whether there’s a long-term deal in place or not, Peralta will make his team debut on Opening Day. Skipper Carlos Mendoza made that unsurprising announcement last week. They’ll host the Pirates (who’ll surely turn the ball to Skenes) in a marquee pitching matchup.

Chad Patrick To Open Season In Brewers’ Rotation

Jacob Misiorowski and Chad Patrick will open the season in the Brewers’ rotation, manager Pat Murphy tells Adam McCalvy of MLB.com. The rest of the starting five is still up in the air depending on injuries and camp performance.

Brandon Woodruff and Quinn Priester are locks for rotation roles when healthy. Woodruff is the likelier of the two to be available by Opening Day. The Brewers are exercising caution in building him back from last year’s season-ending lat injury. He’ll make his Cactus League debut tomorrow against the Angels.

Priester is behind due to what appears to be minor wrist discomfort. The righty threw batting practice early in Spring Training but hasn’t faced hitters since then. Priester told reporters yesterday that he’s still playing catch but occasionally feels the nagging soreness (video via Curt Hogg of The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel). Testing hasn’t revealed anything off structurally, but he’s unlikely to be ready for the start of the season in less than three weeks.

Misiorowski was a lock to make the season-opening rotation regardless of Woodruff’s and Priester’s statuses. Patrick entered camp as the favorite for the fourth starter role but seemed less assured of a job. That’s less a reflection of his own performance than the fact that Milwaukee’s depth pushed him out of the starting five in the second half of last season.

Patrick turned in a 3.52 earned run average over his first 19 career appearances. Milwaukee nevertheless optioned him to Triple-A on July 6 once Woodruff returned from shoulder surgery. Patrick spent six weeks in the minors. The Brewers used him in a swing role when they recalled him in mid-August. He pitched out of the bullpen in the playoffs, tossing nine innings of two-run ball with 11 punchouts across six appearances.

The 27-year-old Patrick never garnered much fanfare as a prospect. He’s a former fourth-round pick who was traded for Jace Peterson and Abraham Toro, respectively, before making his MLB debut. It’d be easy to lose him in the shuffle of Milwaukee’s more well-known controllable arms. Patrick nevertheless earned a roster spot by striking out more than a quarter of opponents with a 3.53 ERA across 119 2/3 innings as a rookie. He built up to three innings and 52 pitches this afternoon in his second Spring Training start.

If Woodruff avoids the injured list, the Brewers would have three-fifths of their opening rotation in place. Trade pickups Brandon Sproat and Kyle Harrison join Logan Henderson and Robert Gasser in the battle for the final two spots.

Murphy noted today that left-handers Aaron Ashby and DL Hall are being considered as potential starters as well. Both southpaws worked out of the bullpen or as openers last year. That’s likely where they’ll be used most frequently, though they can work as tandem starters or multi-inning relievers if they don’t win a traditional rotation role.

Offseason In Review: Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers retained one of their top starters on the qualifying offer. They traded their other veteran ace as he enters his walk year. Milwaukee was active as ever on the trade market — many of which were forward-looking moves — but they’ll expect to compete for another NL Central title.

Major League Signings

2026 spending: $27.025MM
Total spending: $28.525MM

Trades and Claims

Option Decisions

Notable Minor League Signings

Extensions

  • None

Notable Losses

The Brewers were MLB’s best regular season team in 2025. They won a league-high 97 games and were comfortably in charge of the NL Central throughout the second half. After defeating the Cubs in the Division Series, they were blanked by the Dodgers in the NLCS. The front office was faced with the usual challenge of maintaining that level of success with a bottom half payroll and their two best pitchers at or nearing free agency.

Milwaukee’s first significant decision was whether to issue a $22.025MM qualifying offer to Brandon Woodruff. The two-time All-Star had an excellent 12-start run in his return from shoulder surgery. His velocity was down a few ticks from pre-surgery levels. Even more alarming is that he suffered a lat strain during a September bullpen session that wound up ending his season.

A qualifying offer would nevertheless have been an easy call for a team running a $200MM+ payroll. Woodruff’s track record is so strong that he’d be great value at that price point if a team knew he’d stay healthy. It’s a much bigger roll of the dice for a club that opened last season with a $115MM payroll. Woodruff could realistically account for 20% of their spending on players.

The Brewers took the upside play and issued the offer. Woodruff accepted and will be back for a ninth season. The Brewers may have been a little surprised that he took a one-year offer, but it certainly wasn’t out of the realm of possibility. The team wouldn’t have issued the QO if they feared it’d cripple them financially.

At the same time, it immediately ramped up speculation about Freddy Peralta’s future. Exercising an $8MM club option was the easiest decision the team made all winter, but that didn’t preclude a trade. (Woodruff, by contrast, couldn’t be traded without his consent until June 15 as a major league free agent signee.) President of baseball operations Matt Arnold initially downplayed the possibility of dealing Peralta, but those conversations would pick up steam in the second half of the offseason.

Milwaukee reportedly discussed Peralta with the Yankees, Astros, Dodgers, Braves, Padres and Twins (presumably among others). The most natural destination, however, always seemed to be the Mets. New York front office leader David Stearns knows Peralta well from his time running baseball operations in Milwaukee. The Mets’ rotation lacked an established headliner alongside touted rookie Nolan McLean. They had a deep enough farm system that it made sense for them to push in some chips below their top prospect tier in a consolidation trade.

The Brewers were probably willing to carry both Woodruff and Peralta on the payroll, but this kind of trade is par for the course. They simply weren’t going to spend what it took to keep Peralta off the open market. They could hold him until free agency and make the qualifying offer, as they did with Willy Adames, but they’d surely get a more valuable trade return than the compensatory draft pick.

The question was whether they were getting enough back that it outweighed the hit they were taking to the 2026 roster in trading one of the National League’s five best pitchers. The Brewers never operate as clear-cut buyers or sellers. They weren’t kicking off a rebuild one year after winning 97 games. As was the case with the Josh HaderCorbin Burnes and Devin Williams trades, they needed to feel the package itself was too strong to ignore.

Each of those previous three deals netted cost-controlled major league players. That’s a clear priority for a team trying to remain annually competitive. Arnold eventually pulled the trigger on a deal that sent Peralta and swingman Tobias Myers to Queens for rookie starter Brandon Sproat and top infield/outfield prospect Jett Williams.

Sproat is a 6’3″ righty who sits in the 96-97 mph range and has a five-pitch mix. He made his first four MLB starts last September. The command is a work in progress, but he’s around the strike zone enough to project as a starter. He has mid-rotation caliber stuff and is competing for a rotation spot this spring.

Williams, a 5’7″ utility player, is coming off a .261/.363/.465 showing with 17 homers and 34 stolen bases in the upper minors. He’s a plus athlete with good strike zone discipline and more power than one might expect based on his height. There’s some swing-and-miss to his game and questions about his position, but he fits well in a group that emphasizes defensive versatility and aggressiveness on the bases. Williams has yet to reach the majors but should be up this year, perhaps as soon as Opening Day.

The trade almost certainly makes the Brewers worse in 2026. They were never going to get a McLean-level prospect for one year of Peralta. Myers is overshadowed in the bigger picture but had developed into a nice swing option in his own right over the past two seasons.

It’s similar to the 2024 Burnes trade, which also netted two MLB-ready pieces who’d recently been at the back of Top 100 prospect lists (DL Hall and Joey Ortiz). They didn’t get much out of either of those players last season, but Ortiz had a 3-WAR campaign as Milwaukee’s third baseman in 2024. Getting that kind of combined value from Sproat and Williams this year would go a long way toward keeping them competitive while stockpiling long-term value.

Ortiz was the most vulnerable position player in the starting lineup entering the offseason. He moved seamlessly (from a defensive standpoint) to shortstop to replace Adames but didn’t perform offensively. His .230/.276/.317 line was third-worst among hitters who tallied 500 plate appearances. Top prospects Cooper Pratt and Jesús Made figure to eventually push Ortiz off the position, but neither player is likely to get consideration for the Opening Day roster.

Williams has a better chance of taking over shortstop within the first half of the season. If Ortiz bounces back enough offensively to hold the job, they can use Williams as a multi-positional piece. That could include work in the outfield or at third base, where the Brewers made potential sell-high trades on unheralded prospects coming off strong rookie seasons.

That started in mid-December when Milwaukee dealt left fielder Isaac Collins and middle reliever Nick Mears to Kansas City for lefty sinkerballer Angel Zerpa. Collins finished fourth in Rookie of the Year balloting behind a .263/.368/.411 line across 441 plate appearances. He’d been a good Triple-A hitter as well but surprised evaluators with that kind of performance in his age-27 season. His batted ball metrics weren’t as impressive. There’s a decent chance he’s closer to a league average hitter moving forward.

Mears is a power arm who had a career-low 3.49 ERA last season. His strikeout rate was down more than eight percentage points relative to 2024, however, and he’d fallen out of favor as he struggled and battled injuries in the second half.

The Brewers will try to coax more out of Zerpa, who has an ERA right around 4.00 in 177 big league innings. He throws hard and has one of the highest ground-ball rates in MLB. Zerpa doesn’t miss bats at a high level and has gotten knocked around by right-handed opponents (.282/.340/.470 in 488 career plate appearances). Although Milwaukee has left the door open to building him up as a starter, the platoon issues suggest he’s better served in a relief role. He’s pitching out of the bullpen in Spring Training and should replace Mears in that spot.

Collins felt a little superfluous in a Milwaukee outfield that also includes Jackson ChourioSal FrelickGarrett Mitchell and Christian Yelich on occasion. Blake PerkinsTyler Black, Brandon Lockridge and offseason signee Akil Baddoo are all depth options on the 40-man roster. (Collins is a more decisive upgrade for a K.C. team that had arguably the worst outfield in the league.)

That wasn’t the case for the other second-year position player whom the Brewers surprisingly traded away. Caleb Durbin would have been Milwaukee’s everyday third baseman. Acquired from the Yankees in last offseason’s Williams trade, the 25-year-old Durbin hit .256/.334/.387 with 11 homers and 18 steals over his first 136 big league games. He placed third in Rookie of the Year voting. Durbin is small and doesn’t hit the ball hard, so he was never a marquee prospect. Yet he commands the strike zone, puts the ball in play, and has the athleticism to play a quality second or third base.

It stands to reason the Brewers didn’t enter the offseason looking to trade Durbin, whom they controlled for six more seasons. With the number of higher-ceiling infield prospects they have coming through the farm system, he’s also not someone they’d refuse to discuss. They wound up working out a deal with the Red Sox — who felt that his right-handed bat could play up at Fenway Park — centered around Durbin and left-hander Kyle Harrison.

There’s a clear parallel between the Durbin trade and last spring’s deal with Boston for Quinn Priester. Harrison is a former top prospect whose stock had seemingly dropped within each of his two previous organizations. The Giants included him as part of the Rafael Devers trade. The Red Sox shied away from calling him up for most of last season even as they navigated rotation injuries and stuck with a struggling Walker Buehler for the majority of the year.

Harrison has a 4.39 ERA with league-average strikeout and walk rates in just under 200 big league innings. He’s 24 and still has a minor league option remaining. He struck out roughly 26% of Triple-A opponents a year ago but has had inconsistent command. The Brewers control him for at least five seasons. It’s not easy to convince teams to trade controllable starting pitching. The Brewers got the higher upside end of the deal but are taking a risk in trading a solid everyday infielder for more of a developmental pitching play.

It wasn’t a direct Durbin/Harrison swap, though they’ll very likely be the players whose careers determine which team got the better end. The teams also exchanged utility infielders. Milwaukee reacquired speedster David Hamilton (a former Brewer draftee who was traded to Boston in the deal for Hunter Renfroe) while sending Andruw Monasterio, Anthony Seigler and the #67 pick in this year’s draft to Boston. Depth starter Shane Drohan, a 27-year-old who has yet to make his MLB debut, also landed in Milwaukee.

The Brewers needed to backfill an infield spot after the Durbin trade. They took a $3.5MM flier on Luis Rengifo, who is coming off a replacement level season for the Angels. Rengifo didn’t hit at all last year but turned in a .273/.323/.431 line in more than 1200 plate appearances between 2022-24. He can move around the infield but won’t provide strong defense anywhere.

Rengifo is the favorite to start at third base on Opening Day. That’s fine as a stopgap, though the Brewers are hoping he’ll be pushed into a utility role by someone from within the farm system (Williams, Pratt, etc.) before long.

The right side of the infield is more settled. Brice Turang is one of the game’s steadiest hands at second base. Andrew Vaughn played his way to the everyday first base job with his monster second half. Milwaukee tendered a $2.7MM arbitration contract to Jake Bauers as a left-handed bench bat, while Black could also hit his way into the mix.

Vaughn’s emergence made it an inevitability that the Brewers were moving on from Rhys Hoskins. They paid him a $4MM buyout on an $18MM mutual option. Milwaukee also bought out veteran starter Jose Quintana and backup catcher Danny Jansen.

William Contreras plays as often as any catcher in MLB. The backup catcher role in Milwaukee isn’t a huge priority. Jansen, who commanded a two-year deal from the Rangers, was overqualified. The Brewers want to allow prospect Jeferson Quero to continue playing regularly in the minors, so they needed to make a cheap depth move behind the plate.

Milwaukee circled back to old friend Gary Sánchez on a $1.75MM contract. He hit 11 homers in 89 games for them two seasons ago. Sánchez commanded $8.5MM from the Orioles the following winter, but his lone year in Baltimore was tanked by wrist and knee injuries. He only got into 29 games. The Brewers have some insurance in the form of minor league signee Reese McGuire.

Aside from the Woodruff qualifying offer, Milwaukee stayed away from the free agent pitching market. Sproat and Harrison will be in the mix, but they’re relying heavily on their collection of talented in-house arms to step up behind Woodruff.

Priester has a rotation spot once healthy, though he’s delayed by a wrist issue this spring and could start the season on the injured list. Manager Pat Murphy said today that right-handers Jacob Misiorowski and Chad Patrick are in the rotation (via MLB.com’s Adam McCalvy). Righty Logan Henderson and lefties Robert Gasser, Aaron Ashby and DL Hall are all in the conversation. The Brewers have a lot of flexibility to shuffle pitchers up and down from the minors. Woodruff is their only starter who can’t be sent down.

There’s a similar level of flexibility in the bullpen, where Rob Zastryzny is their only out-of-options arm. The Brewers already had one of the best relief groups in MLB. Aside from the Mears/Zerpa swap, they didn’t need to do much at the back end.

Milwaukee took calls on closer Trevor Megill, who is down to two seasons of arbitration control, but didn’t find an offer to their liking. He’ll probably be traded next offseason as part of the team’s usual operating procedure. They’ll hold him for now alongside Abner UribeJared Koenig, and Zerpa. Ashby and Hall will be in the bullpen if they’re not starting. Milwaukee’s relief pitching should once again be a strength.

The Brewers also took care of some administrative business at the beginning of Spring Training. Murphy, who was entering the final season of his contract as manager, signed a new three-year deal that guaranteed him nearly $9MM. Murphy’s job security obviously wasn’t in question after consecutive Manager of the Year wins, but he’s now locked in for the foreseeable future.

There hasn’t been any reporting about extension talks with players this spring. It’s likely too late to get anything done with Contreras — as with Megill, he’s a likelier trade candidate headed into his walk year next winter — but the Brewers are happy to lock up pre-arbitration players long term. They’ve done so with Peralta, Chourio and Ashby in recent years.

Chourio’s was a pre-debut extension, and it stands to reason they’ll be open to that possibility with Made soon enough. Speculatively, any of Misiorowski, Frelick or Priester would stand as potential targets. Turang is earning a little over $4MM as a Super Two player and will go through arbitration four times. This spring might be the last one in which an extension could be within Milwaukee’s financial comfort zone.

That would cap off a very Brewers style offseason. They made one big trade that was widely expected and a couple more that almost no one saw coming. They’ll rely on internal development and a few of their upper level trade pickups to try to claim a fourth straight division title.

How would you grade the Brewers' offseason?

  • C 35% (489)
  • B 33% (465)
  • D 16% (228)
  • A 10% (135)
  • F 5% (73)

Total votes: 1,390

Red Sox’s Vinny Nittoli Facing Elbow Surgery

Red Sox reliever Vinny Nittoli is weighing Tommy John or internal brace surgery, reports Tim Healey of The Boston Globe. The righty has been diagnosed with ligament damage in his elbow and is seemingly headed for a season-ending operation.

Nittoli is in camp as a non-roster invitee after signing a minor league contract last month. He made three appearances this spring, allowing four runs over 2 2/3 innings. Manager Alex Cora told Mac Cerullo of The Boston Herald on Wednesday that the team was awaiting imaging results after Nittoli reported elbow discomfort during his most recent appearance. The news obviously wasn’t what he had been hoping.

The 35-year-old Nittoli is on the 12th organization of a decade-long professional career. He has pitched at the highest level for five teams. His career high in MLB appearances with one team is seven, as he threw eight innings for the Athletics in 2024. Nittoli has had cups of coffee with the Mariners, Phillies, Mets and Orioles as well. He has logged 18 2/3 major league innings, striking out 13 against five walks while allowing five runs.

A former 25th round pick, Nittoli has spent six seasons at the Triple-A level. He owns a 4.76 earned run average in 223 innings despite a strong 28.3% strikeout rate. Nittoli combined for a 4.58 ERA with a 26% strikeout percentage and 8% walk rate between Baltimore’s and Milwaukee’s top affiliates last year.

Orioles Believed To Have Made Nine-Figure Offer To Ranger Suárez

The Orioles were among the teams most frequently tied to Ranger Suárez before the southpaw signed a five-year deal with the Red Sox. He commanded a $130MM guarantee to slot behind Garrett Crochet in the Boston rotation.

Baltimore was seemingly in a similar range. Jon Heyman of The New York Post reports that the Orioles are believed to have made an offer around $125MM. It seems likely that would also have been a five-year proposal at approximately $25MM annually.

It’s an offseason footnote at this point. Suárez got a slightly better deal to join an AL East competitor. The Orioles wound up turning to Chris Bassitt on a one-year, $18.5MM deal to build out the rotation. Bassitt should be a solid mid-rotation presence, while the O’s took a higher variance swing on the trade market. They sent four prospects and a draft pick to the Rays for Shane Baz in December.

The Post report doesn’t specify when the Orioles made their offer to Suárez. He didn’t sign with Boston until a month after the Baz trade. The O’s pursuit of high-end starting pitching extended beyond the Baz trade, so it wouldn’t be a surprise if their offer came at a similar time as the Red Sox’s one that got the deal done. Baltimore signed Bassitt three weeks later.

Until last offseason, the Orioles had not signed any players to a nine-figure deal under president of baseball operations Mike Elias. They weren’t entirely averse to such commitments. They reportedly offered Corbin Burnes four years and $180MM before he signed with the Diamondbacks in 2025.

They hadn’t actually signed any free agents for even $50MM+ until their Winter Meetings splash to add Pete Alonso for five years and $155MM. They were evidently willing to add another significant deal to the books. Suárez would also have been the O’s first free agent signee under Elias who had rejected a qualifying offer (thereby costing the signing team a draft choice).

Baltimore will open the season with a front five of Trevor RogersKyle Bradish, Baz, Bassitt and Zach Eflin. They’ll probably go with a six-man rotation to also keep Dean Kremer in the mix as long as everyone gets through camp healthy.

Where Can The Orioles Find A Ryan Mountcastle Trade?

The Orioles' decision to tender Ryan Mountcastle an arbitration contract was surprising in November. The already odd fit became all the more so when the O's signed Pete Alonso to a five-year deal at the Winter Meetings. Mountcastle hasn't had a real path to playing time since that signing, yet he remains on Baltimore's roster.

An initial out would have been for the O's to proceed to an arbitration hearing, then release Mountcastle during Spring Training. Arbitration salaries that are determined at a hearing aren't fully guaranteed until Opening Day (whether the player wins or loses). Teams can release those players during Spring Training for 30 or 45 days termination pay, depending on when they make that move.

It wouldn't have been an ideal sequence to drop Mountcastle for a little over $1MM, but that situation isn't without precedent. The Giants' decision to release J.D. Davis in Spring Training two years ago was motivated by the Matt Chapman signing, which didn't take place until after they'd tendered Davis an arbitration contract.

It appears that Mountcastle's camp learned from the Davis situation. Arbitration hearing salaries aren't fully guaranteed during the spring, but settlements are locked in at the time of signing. Mountcastle and the Orioles reached a settlement in the middle of January on a $6.787MM deal for 2026, with a $7.5MM club option for the '27 season. Mountcastle's '26 salary is an exact match for what he earned last year.

That's a savvy move by his representatives, who were clearly aware of the termination pay possibility. Arbitration salaries essentially never decrease year over year, so the $6.787MM number would have been the floor had he gone to a hearing, but it wouldn't have been locked in until Opening Day. By settling, he ensured that money is fully guaranteed. In exchange, the Orioles picked up the club option that gives them control over a potential free agent year. They did something similar with Ryan O'Hearn a couple seasons ago and were rewarded when O'Hearn played well enough to make an $8MM club option an absolute bargain.

None of that addresses the roster glut, though. It's frankly difficult to see a path in which Mountcastle is a near-$7MM value to the Orioles in either of the next two years. Alonso basically never takes a day off, so Mountcastle is not going to get first base reps unless the Polar Bear gets injured. They're likely to divide most of the DH playing time between their two catchers and/or Tyler O'Neill.

Holding Mountcastle as a bench bat isn't ideal for anyone. It's a roster spot they'd probably rather use on a utility infielder. They'd be better off clearing the salary and leveraging it into more payroll flexibility at the deadline. The player is entering a potential walk year and should welcome an opportunity to get more at-bats than will be on the table in Baltimore.

That all makes it unsurprising that Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reported in mid-February that the O's were still open to trades involving Mountcastle and Coby Mayo. There's less urgency to trade the latter, who can fill in at third base with Jordan Westburg facing an uncertain timeline due to an elbow ligament injury. Mayo also has a minor league option remaining and could be sent to Triple-A if the infield gets too cluttered. The O's don't have that luxury with Mountcastle.

Most of the trade activity is behind us, but we may yet see one or two deals involving notable players before Opening Day. Mountcastle is among the more accomplished players known to be available. He's coming off a poor season in which he hit .250/.286/.367 while missing two months with a hamstring strain. He was a slightly above-average hitter in each of his first four and a half seasons in the big leagues. Mountcastle has never been a star, but he's usually reliable for 1-2 wins above replacement. He's a career .263/.312/.438 hitter in nearly 2700 trips to the plate.

Which teams might still be in touch with O's president of baseball operations Mike Elias?

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Offseason In Review: San Francisco Giants

The Giants checked a few boxes this offseason, adding a pair of back-end starting pitchers and everyday players at second base and in the outfield. Their biggest splash might be in the manager’s office, as they stayed away from the top of the free agent market.

Major League Signings

2026 spending: $44.95MM
Total spending: $68.78MM

Trades and Claims

Option Decisions

Notable Minor League Signings

Extensions

  • None

Notable Losses

Before the offseason got underway, president of baseball operations Buster Posey identified the priority. “Our focus is going to be on pitching, to try to fortify our starting staff. The same goes with the bullpen,” he told Alex Pavlovic and Laura Britt of NBC Sports Bay Area in early October.

Posey had acted decisively in pursuing star players during his first year running baseball operations. He’d signed Willy Adames to a franchise-record contract the previous offseason and made the biggest trade of the 2025 season when he took on the Rafael Devers contract from the Red Sox in June. The Giants were naturally a popular pick to land one of free agency’s top arms — ranging from Dylan CeaseFramber Valdez and Ranger Suárez in the rotation to Edwin Díaz at the back of the bullpen.

That was not to be. Not long after Posey’s comments, high-ranking team personnel began to downplay expectations. General manager Zack Minasian told John Shea of The San Francisco Standard they’d focus more on depth arms. CEO Greg Johnson made similar comments to Susan Slusser of The San Francisco Chronicle, noting that they were wary of making extended free agent commitments. None of that contradicted Posey’s identification of the focus, but it pointed to the more quiet offseason that would follow.

Indeed, one could argue the Giants’ biggest move didn’t involve the roster at all. San Francisco fired manager Bob Melvin at the end of the season. That was at least moderately surprising, as the Giants had exercised their 2026 option on Melvin’s services just three months earlier. The team’s 29-36 record in the second half was apparently the impetus for the change, but the Giants played at the same .500 level they had for most of the season after August despite selling multiple pieces (e.g. Mike YastrzemskiTrevor RogersCamilo Doval) at the deadline.

In any case, the front office felt a change was necessary enough that they ate Melvin’s reported $4MM salary. They’d go on to make one of the boldest managerial hires in recent memory. After considering more traditional candidates like Kurt Suzuki, Nick Hundley, and Vance Wilson, the Giants wooed college baseball’s best coach.

They hired Tony Vitello away from the University of Tennessee, paying a premium to do so. Vitello is reportedly making $3.5MM annually on a three-year contract. The Giants also paid a $3MM buyout to the university. They’re committing $10.5MM to the managerial position this year all told, which is probably the most in MLB. Teams don’t publicly disclose managerial salaries, but Dave Roberts’ extension with the Dodgers pays an $8.1MM average annual value that is believed to be the most in the league.

Vitello built what had been a floundering Tennessee program into a national powerhouse during his eight years in Knoxville. It’s nevertheless a virtually unheard of hire for an MLB team. Vitello made the jump directly to major league managing without any previous experience in pro ball.

That has some precedent in other sports but hasn’t really been done in MLB, where college staffers making the move have usually begun their careers as coaches or in player development roles. He’ll have the advice of some experienced voices. The Giants added Ron Washington to the coaching staff while bringing Bruce Bochy back to the organization as a special advisor (joining Dusty Baker in that regard)

Fascinating as the hire is, Vitello will have more constraints as an MLB manager than he did as a college coach. College coaches are also primarily responsible for putting their rosters together via recruiting and the transfer portal. That’s obviously not the case in MLB, where the front office was tasked with addressing the pitching staff and fixing two obvious holes in the lineup.

As the aforementioned comments from Johnson and Minasian suggested, the front office seemingly didn’t have much long-term payroll flexibility. They’d signed three nine-figure contracts (Jung Hoo LeeMatt Chapman and Adames) in the previous two offseasons. They took on close to $215MM in future commitments on the Devers deal — including the money saved by attaching Jordan Hicks as a salary offset. They also paid $17MM to division rival Blake Snell in January as a deferred signing bonus from his 2024 free agent deal.

Although the Giants would take aim at a few high-impact trade targets, they limited themselves to the third and fourth tiers in free agency. That began with a two-year, $22MM deal for right-hander Adrian Houser. It’s a hefty price for a pitcher who was playing on a minor league pact as recently as last May. Houser pitched very well in 11 starts for the White Sox but struggled to a near-5.00 ERA over 10 outings following a deadline trade to Tampa Bay. He slots into the back half of the rotation as an innings eating grounder specialist.

The Giants made a similar move with a one-year, $10MM flier for Tyler Mahle. There’s maybe a little more upside with Mahle, who is coming off a 2.18 ERA across 16 starts for the Rangers. That’s driven largely by an elevated strand rate and minimal batting average on balls in play that covered for a mediocre 19.1% strikeout rate.

Mahle missed bats early in his career with the Reds but hasn’t had the same caliber of stuff since then due to injury. He pitched a total of 107 MLB innings from 2023-25. A May ’23 Tommy John surgery was the most significant injury, but he also lost chunks of time in each of the past two seasons to shoulder problems. His average fastball speed has dropped two ticks from a 94 mph high back in 2021. Mahle still has excellent command and enters camp healthy, but he has back-of-the-rotation stuff despite last year’s impressive earned run average.

Signing Houser and Mahle all but ensured the Giants wouldn’t re-sign Justin Verlander, who’d been their only free agent of much note. Verlander pitched well down the stretch, but the Giants evidently preferred the other veteran arms to betting on a player entering his age-43 season. San Francisco also traded away depth arms Mason Black and Kai-Wei Teng in minor deals.

The free agent pickups slot behind Logan Webb and Robbie Ray. Having one of the 10 best pitchers in MLB anchor the group is an excellent start. Ray shows the ability to pitch at a legitimate #2 level at times but can also battle his command and had a rough second half. Landen Roupp is the in-house favorite to round out the starting five. He’s a quality back-end arm.

It’s not a bad group, though it’s lacking the ceiling behind Webb that’d compete with the upper tier of rotations in MLB. That might need to come from an unexpected step forward from an internal arm. The Giants have some intriguing depth pieces on the 40-man roster. Hayden BirdsongTrevor McDonaldCarson WhisenhuntBlade Tidwell, and Carson Seymour are all optionable starters with modest big league experience.

Individually, no one from that group projects as a high-end starter. There’s enough volume the Giants can hope someone takes an unexpected step forward with a velocity jump or new pitch. Birdsong has the best raw stuff but disappointed when given a rotation opportunity a year ago. He simply didn’t throw enough strikes.

Although Birdsong enters camp as a starter, the Giants should probably focus him on a relief role this year. They’re likely to need more than one of the rotation depth pieces in the bullpen — which they did puzzlingly little to address over the offseason. They not only stayed away from the Díaz/Devin Williams price range but also opted not to bring in any middle-tier relievers (e.g. Kyle FinneganKenley Jansen).

Free agent bullpen prices were high. The Giants may have simply thought that playing in that area was bad value. However, it leaves them with one of the thinner bullpens of any team that expects to contend. In addition to the Rogers and Doval trades, they lost breakout closer Randy Rodríguez to Tommy John surgery as they were playing out the string.

San Francisco’s only acquisitions were reclamation projects. They signed Jason Foley and Sam Hentges to cheap one-year deals. Both pitchers are coming off shoulder surgery and headed for season-opening injured list stints. Rowan Wick is essentially a 2027 version of the same idea. San Francisco brought him back from Japan for barely more than the league minimum. He’ll miss the entire season after recently undergoing Tommy John surgery but could be kept around via minimal club option next year if he’s recovering smoothly.

An already thin group has taken a couple more hits in camp. Waiver pickup Reiver Sanmartin tweaked his right hip in an exhibition game for Colombia in the World Baseball Classic. Hard-throwing righty Joel Peguero was diagnosed with a Grade 2 hamstring strain just last night.

Ryan Walker feels like the closer by default despite an up-and-down 2025 season. Righties JT Brubaker and José Buttó can’t be optioned and will make the team. Erik Miller and the out-of-options Matt Gage lead an uninspiring group of left-handers. Minor league signees Gregory Santos and Michael Fulmer have a clear path to middle relief spots. Aside from the general difficulty in predicting relief pitching, there’s not much reason for excitement unless someone like Birdsong or McDonald gets a bullpen job and runs with it.

Can the Giants outhit their pitching concerns? This was a league average lineup a year ago, a disappointing result for one that should be better than that on talent. They entered the offseason with two obvious potential problem areas: second base and right field. Tyler Fitzgerald floundered at the former position, leaving Casey Schmitt to hold the job in the second half. He’s a low-end regular who profiles better as a utilityman. Right field was an even bigger issue, as they got nothing out of the position after the Yastrzemski trade.

San Francisco addressed both positions via free agency. They added Harrison Bader on a two-year, $20.5MM contract in their second-biggest investment of the winter. The front office successfully waited out Bader’s push for a third year to add an impact defender coming off a career-best .277/.347/.449 showing. They’ll expect some regression offensively — Bader dramatically outperformed his batted ball metrics thanks to an inflated .359 BABIP — but he’s an ideal fit for the spacious Oracle Park outfield.

Bader will play every day in center field, pushing Lee to right. Lee is coming off a .266/.327/.407 season that’d be fine even with the higher offensive bar to clear in a corner outfield spot. Despite above-average speed and an excellent arm, Lee occasionally had some trouble tracking balls in center field. Bader will be a notable upgrade, while Lee’s athleticism should remain an asset with the amount of ground to cover in the right-center gap.

They’ll be joined in the outfield by Heliot Ramos, a 2024 All-Star who underwhelmed last season. Ramos had a huge May (.347/.407/.600) but had a sub-.720 OPS in every other month. He batted .248/.316/.358 in the second half. Ramos still topped 20 homers with slightly above-average offensive numbers overall, but left field could be a position to monitor at the deadline if his late-season form carries into 2026. Former Guardian Will Brennan could factor in there as a left-handed complement but seems likelier to begin the season in Triple-A after an offseason split deal.

The Giants’ biggest pursuits came at second base. Bay Area native Nico Hoerner would have been an ideal fit, but the Cubs never had much motivation to trade him. The Giants made a run at landing Brendan Donovan from the Cardinals; he wound up traded to Seattle instead. Talks with the Nationals about CJ Abrams reportedly stalled when Washington balked at a prospect package built around shortstop Josuar Gonzalez.

They ended up turning back to free agency. In a weak middle infield class beyond Bo Bichette, they opted to give Luis Arraez another opportunity at second base. It’s difficult to quibble with the price, as the three-time batting champion settled for one year and $12MM. The risk is that comes with the promise of moving Arraez back to the keystone after two years working mostly as a first baseman in San Diego.

Fans are familiar with Arraez’s skillset. He’s the most difficult player in MLB to strike out and one of a handful of hitters who can reasonably be expected to bat .300. The all-contact approach doesn’t leave much room for walks or any kind of power. Last season’s .292/.327/.392 batting line came out to roughly league average overall, by measure of wRC+.

Arraez’s career numbers are better than that (.317/.363/.413), and he should certainly be an offensive upgrade over Schmitt. They’ll probably need to live with well below-average defense in the process despite expressing hope that working with Washington can turn things around. Arraez doesn’t move especially well and has been a below-average defender from the time he reached the majors.

Schmitt is a much better defensive player and should stick around as a utility piece and potential late-game substitute. Schmitt’s name has been floated in trade rumors, but there probably aren’t many teams that view him as a clear everyday player. If most other clubs also see him as a utility piece, he’s more valuable to the Giants as an Arraez complement than netting a fairly modest trade return. Fitzgerald was a non-factor in the second half and doesn’t have much of a path back to playing time in San Francisco. A change of scenery trade for a low-level prospect could make sense.

Chapman and Adames will play almost every game on the left side of the infield. Devers will divide his work between first base and designated hitter. Top first base prospect Bryce Eldridge is trying to break camp after a brief 2025 debut. He’d play regularly alongside Devers if he’s on the roster. If the Giants have him open the season in the minors, that’d increase the odds of an out-of-options Luis Matos or Jerar Encarnación sticking around.

There’s also a camp battle for the backup catcher job. Patrick Bailey is such a good defender that he’ll remain the primary catcher despite providing very little at the plate. Prospect Jesus Rodriguez is competing with Rule 5 selection Daniel Susac and minor league signee Eric Haase for a bench spot.

The Giants hit most of the obvious needs they had entering the offseason — though the bullpen stands as a curious exception. They did so mostly with moves to raise the floor rather than upside plays, seemingly because of payroll restrictions. Did they do enough to jump the Padres and Diamondbacks as the second-best team in the NL West and at least snag a Wild Card berth?

How would you grade the Giants' offseason?

  • C 48% (983)
  • B 27% (556)
  • D 18% (373)
  • F 4% (90)
  • A 3% (59)

Total votes: 2,061

Dodgers Outright Jack Suwinski

The Dodgers sent Jack Suwinski outright to Triple-A Oklahoma City, as first reflected on the MLB.com transaction log. The team had not previously designated Suwinski for assignment, so this drops their 40-man roster tally to 39.

Los Angeles claimed the lefty-hitting outfielder off waivers from Pittsburgh last month. They assumed his $1.25MM salary and an accompanying $1.375MM luxury tax commitment in the process. It always seemed like a depth move. Suwinski is out of minor league options and didn’t have a great chance to break camp with the two-time defending champions.

The Dodgers pay a few million dollars to get him into the organization without occupying a 40-man roster spot. Suwinski showed promise a few seasons ago but hasn’t performed well over the past two years. He hit 26 homers with a .224/.339/.454 slash line for the Pirates in 2023. He has been well below the Mendoza line with an on-base percentage under .300 in the two years since then.

Since the start of ’24, Suwinski carries a .169/.271/.297 mark across 455 plate appearances. He has gone down on strikes at a 30% clip and only combined for 12 home runs. Suwinski had a much more impressive .283/.389/.565 showing in Triple-A last year. That also came with a concerning number of strikeouts, though, and he needed to go through waivers before a team could assign him back to the minors.

Suwinski will remain in big league camp as a non-roster invitee. The Dodgers have Teoscar Hernández, Andy Pages and Kyle Tucker left to right in the outfield. Alex Call has a decent shot to win a bench job as a righty platoon bat, while Ryan Ward and Michael Siani occupy spots at the back of the 40-man roster.