Michael King will make his return from the injured list on Saturday, the Padres informed reporters (including Dennis Lin of The Athletic). San Diego will activate him from the 60-day IL to go opposite Lucas Giolito in the second game of their weekend series against Boston. The Friars already have an opening on the 40-man roster, so unless they make another move tomorrow, they’ll only need to make an active roster move involving a pitcher.
King’s return was expected when the Padres optioned JP Sears on Tuesday. That allowed San Diego to play with a nine-man bullpen for a few days. They’ll drop back to eight when King rejoins Dylan Cease, Nick Pivetta, Yu Darvish and Nestor Cortes in the rotation. The righty reached 61 pitches across 3 1/3 innings in his only Triple-A rehab start. It’s likely manager Mike Shildt will keep him around 75 pitches in his first MLB appearance in almost three months.
The injury began innocuously enough. King was scratched from a scheduled start on May 24 after telling the coaching staff that he felt he slept uncomfortably on his shoulder. He went on the 15-day IL a day later with what the team called inflammation. They later announced that he was battling an issue with his thoracic nerve that was sapping the strength in his shoulder. It ended up costing him two and a half months, though the team stressed that there weren’t any structural concerns.
King’s fastball averaged 92.7 MPH during his Triple-A start. That’s a tick below his MLB season average. That’s probably to be expected after an extended layoff. If King gets back to his pre-injury form, he’ll arguably be San Diego’s best starter. The 30-year-old had turned in a 2.59 earned run average through his first 10 starts. He struck out 28.4% of opposing hitters against a 7.6% walk rate. It was an even better performance than last year’s excellent first season in San Diego: 173 2/3 innings of 2.93 ERA ball with a 27.7% strikeout percentage.
The Padres welcome King back at a time when they occupy the second Wild Card spot in the National League. They’re one game above the Mets and 4.5 clear of the Reds, the top team that is not in playoff position. San Diego trails the Dodgers by just two games in the NL West.
King’s performance down the stretch will also have a significant impact on the upcoming free agent market. He’ll decline his end of a $15MM mutual option, reject a qualifying offer, and hit free agency for the first time. There’s an argument that he’s the second-best starter in the class behind Framber Valdez. That’s dependent on him showing no ill effects from the injury down the stretch and into the postseason.
Go Pads! Sweep the Sox! (We need help!)
YBC – This weekend is a perfect example of luck evening out. The Sox have fortunately missed a lot of really good starting pitchers, but this weekend they are getting SD’s 3 best. It will be a good test for my team.
And you’re already getting help from the Dodgers, as they are sending Snell and Yama against the Jays this weekend!
Starting Snell and Yamamoto doesn’t matter when the Dodgers’ garbage bullpen will lose the game anyway….
San Diego is no place for a King.
Never thought I’d be agreeing with a real first place team
I don’t foresee King leaving SD. A deal will get done.
You probably didn’t foresee Soto leaving either.
There’s a large gap between Soto’s lead up to free agency and King’s. I think it’s possible if the Padres have a deep postseason run.
King goes back to the Yankees after 2025. Watch it happen.
I knew they couldn’t afford Soto for the long term. Glad they got a good return on the trade – which included King.
Can’t afford King either.
Totally depends on health the rest of the year, but I don’t foresee the Pads being able to compete for him on the open market with their budget constraints.
@16
That’s my read as well, unfortunately. King is only sticking around in SD if he wants to settle for less than what his market will bear.
It will be interesting to see what that market is based on 1 full season as a starter and being injured for most of his walk year.
@Moff_Nick
My favorite example of the crazy prices for pitching remains how Mike Clevinger, coming off getting lit up in the 2022 NLCS after a mediocre season coming off Tommy John surgery, still somehow managed to get $12 million from the White Sox with a second mutual option year. If there was ever a time a pitcher should have not been able to score an eight-figure contract, it was then.
Nick – Any time I see the word “thoracic” I cringe, it usually means the end of a pitcher’s effectiveness.
And oh yeah, the whole Tyler Thornburg thing …. I’m still not over that one.
I keep reading about budget constraints and then they keep spending. They are just a couple million under the third CBT tier now and I have read that they have anywhere between $55 and $70 million coming off the books at the end of the season depending on options. Can you explain what budget constraints you mean?
The only budget constraint was a desire to get under the luxury tax and reset the penalties. But then ownership decided to give preller the green light to take another swing this year.
Steve Phillips agrees with you. Dan O’Dowd said that he was gone at the end of the season.
Would love for King to stay in San Diego.
(What is not to like about the team, the stadium the city, the climate?).
But, I wouldn’t be surprised if he signed elsewhere. Some pitching needy team will over pay for him.
outinleftfield is the same guy as Pads Fans, websoulsurfer, PLTuna, BaseballisLife and Baseballisthebest.
Padres – Blue Jays world series tilt is looking better each day…
Blue Jays fans come out of hiding only twice as often as cicadas
FanGraphs has the Jays with the third highest WS win probability at 8.9% and the Padres 9th at 5.9%.
So, how likely is it that they meet?
If we assume a 50% chance of winning if they reach, the Jays’ chances of getting there are 18% and the Padres 12%.
The probability of those two events both happening is (.18 * .12) 2%.
Highest likelihood WS, Dodgers (19.9% to win) vs Jays (9% to win), is (.4 * .12) 5%.
How likely is it that Fangraphs is correct?
oilf
I don’t know. I’ve not seen any study of that.
Almost certainly more correct then guessing.
You can do that study if you’d like.
Already did. It’s not very likely.
If you want accurate predictions, look to the largest betting houses.
oilf
“Already did. ”
I don’t believe you. Not at all.
Please share your results and methodology.
You won’t. You don’t have any.
I sincerely hope Milwaukee emerges from the NL. Nothing would be more gratifying than having them top off a season sweep of the Dodgers with a playoff run that finally rewards years of nearly flawless player development.
dY
As a Dodger fan, they would be my number 2 pick in the NL
Since I’m here waiting for breakfast, I’ll rank my preferences (with more than minimal, but less than maximum thought).
First tier: Dodgers
Second tier: Brewers, Tigers, Mariners, Reds, Padres
Third tier: Jays, Rangers, Phillies, Mets
Fourth tier: Yankees, Red Sox, Astros, Cubs
York – As much as I’d like to see old friends Xander and Nick in the WS, it’s hard not to root for Priester and the Brew Crew.
King and pivetta can carry the padres pretty far if king can stay healthy.
King is coming back at just the right time to get the Padres into a playoff spot.
Out of all the people the Padres added at the deadline, King returning is more important for them winning I would have to think.
Can Perry convince Arte Moreno to go 5 years so we at least have a shot at signing a starting pitcher as good as King?
Money is nice and all, but I would take less money to not sign with the Angels if I were King.
“Say what? You already got three years, Perry! Go get Marcus Stroman and get out of my office!” – Arte
YBC, sadly for all Angels fans that is probably a direct quote.
Not that you would know about that PF
This arguably a bigger upgrade than any of their deadline acquisitions. Just going to give a general ‘good luck’ because the NL playoffs are going to be an absolute dogfight.
I hope he’s moved past this issue and can be effective the rest of this season. It’d be a huge boost to have King at the top of the rotation.
A playoff rotation of King, Pivetta, Cease, and Darvish. With Cortes, Sears, and Vasquez waiting in the wings if needed.
I like it.
Playoff Cease makes me vom.
Why is the Dem party so hated? Trump is under water,but not even close to what the Dem Party is. Should they become more socialist like AOC?
Are you lost?!
Check your Google settings.
The Monty Python “argument clinic”
is on another page/stream…