Offseason Outlook: Minnesota Twins
2020/11/offseason-outlook-minnesota-twins-11.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … The Twins' unfathomable postseason losing streak stretched to 18 games when they fell to the Astros during a Wild Card sweep.
Offseason Outlook: Chicago Cubs
2020/11/offseason-outlook-chicago-cubs-11.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … This year’s arbitration projections are more volatile than ever, given the unprecedented revenue losses felt by clubs and the shortened 2020 schedule.
Offseason Outlook: Los Angeles Angels
2020/11/offseason-outlook-los-angeles-angels-7.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … The 2020 campaign was another disappointment for the Angels, who finished under .500 for the fifth straight year and expanded their playoff drought to six seasons.
Tommy Kahnle Elects Free Agency
2020/10/tommy-kahnle-elects-free-agency.htmlIn electing to become a free agent, Kahnle will now look for a change of scenery in a new organization and see if he can land a two-year commitment --- as per the usual model for TJ recovery cases, Kahnle would earn a minimum salary in the first year of the contract and then a larger salary in the second year when he is expected to actually pitch. … Right-hander Tommy Kahnle declined an outright assignment from the Yankees and instead chose to become a free agent, the team announced.
Offseason Outlook: Detroit Tigers
2020/11/offseason-outlook-detroit-tigers-11.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … The Tigers made notable progress in 2020 (granted, there was nowhere to go but up after their previous campaign), but they still finished well under .500 for the fourth straight year.
Offseason Outlook: Atlanta Braves
2020/11/offseason-outlook-atlanta-braves-10.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … The Braves won the National League East for the third straight year in 2020, but they fell to the eventual World Series champion Dodgers in the LCS.
Offseason Outlook: Texas Rangers
2020/11/offseason-outlook-texas-rangers-11.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … What was supposed to be a win-now Rangers club finished with one of MLB's worst records, so 2021 is now looking like a re-evaluation and rebuilding year in Arlington.
Offseason Outlook: Baltimore Orioles
2020/10/offseason-outlook-baltimore-orioles-11.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … The Orioles briefly flirted with Wild Card contention in this year's greatly expanded playoff format, but the O's ultimately finished out the year at 25-35 with a -20 run differential.
Offseason Outlook: Cleveland Indians
2020/10/offseason-outlook-cleveland-indians-11.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … Has Francisco Lindor played his last game in an Indians uniform? The shortstop's fate is the biggest of several questions facing the Tribe this winter.
Offseason Outlook: Tampa Bay Rays
2020/11/offseason-outlook-tampa-bay-rays-11.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … The reigning American League champions will deploy their usual strategy of tight payroll management and canny roster maneuvering as they look to take the final step of capturing a World Series.
Offseason Outlook: Boston Red Sox
2020/11/offseason-outlook-boston-red-sox-11.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … Note on arb-eligible players: this year’s arbitration projections are more volatile than ever, given the unprecedented revenue losses felt by clubs and the shortened 2020 schedule.
Offseason Outlook: Toronto Blue Jays
2020/11/offseason-outlook-toronto-blue-jays-12.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … After three losing seasons, the Blue Jays both topped the .500 mark and returned to the playoffs in 2020.
Offseason Outlook: St. Louis Cardinals
2020/10/offseason-outlook-st-louis-cardinals-11.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … For the second straight year, the Cardinals overcame a lackluster offense to reach the postseason, though 2020 also saw the club emerge from a widespread COVID-19 outbreak.
Offseason Outlook: San Francisco Giants
2020/11/offseason-outlook-san-francisco-giants-11.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … A potentially intriguing offseason awaits the Giants, who are positioned to be one of the winter's more aggressive teams depending on how they approach their long-term spending.
Luis Perdomo Undergoes Tommy John Surgery
2020/10/luis-perdomo-undergoes-tommy-john-surgery.htmlHe didn't quite fit the normal relief pitcher model given his knack for generating grounders (57.3% career ground ball rate) rather than strikeouts (career 6.7 K/9), but Perdomo posted a solid 4.00 ERA over 72 frames during the 2019 season. … Padres right-hander Luis Perdomo underwent Tommy John surgery last week, The Athletic's Dennis Lin reports (via Twitter).
Examining The Yankees’ 2021 Payroll Situation
2020/10/examining-the-yankees-2021-payroll-situation.htmlIf there's a model for the Yankees to mimic, it's the Dodgers more so than the Rays. … The Yankees 2020 season was a success by most measures - except for the 2nd-place finish behind Tampa Bay.
Offseason Outlook: Pittsburgh Pirates
2020/10/offseason-outlook-pittsburgh-pirates-11.htmlMLBTR contributor Matt Swartz, who developed our arbitration projection model, used three different methods to calculate different projection numbers. … The Pirates were baseball's worst team in 2020, although that came as little surprise following a winter where their only moves of note were to fire their manager, fire their GM and eventually trade away their best position player.
Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2021
2020/10/projected-arbitration-salaries-for-2021.htmlMatt Swartz has created a model to project salaries for arbitration eligible players, which we've been publishing at MLB Trade Rumors for ten years. … This winter, due to the pandemic and 60-game MLB season, there's more uncertainty than ever with arbitration, as I explained here.
MLB Reportedly Considering Playoff Bubble Format
2020/08/mlb-reportedly-considering-playoff-bubble-format.htmlIn the event baseball does follow the hockey model for the postseason, MLB would likely use "at least three hubs" during the wild-card round, Passan writes. … Coronavirus outbreaks have already had a significant impact on the truncated Major League Baseball regular season, as teams such as the Cardinals and Marlins have been sidelined for extended periods since the campaign opened a couple weeks ago.
Cards Set Roles For Kwang Hyun Kim, Carlos Martinez
2020/07/cards-set-roles-for-kwang-hyun-kim-carlos-martinez.htmlThere's a model to follow in Martinez himself, who was a high-quality MLB starter for years before health issues intervened. … Newly inked southpaw Kwang-Hyun Kim is headed to a high-leverage relief role, while right-hander Carlos Martinez will step back into the rotation.
Support MLBTR And Go Ad-Free
2020/07/introducing-trade-rumors-front-office.htmlFree websites supported only by advertising seemed to be a thing of the past, but the model was working well enough for us. … For the past 15 years, virtually all of the revenue generated by this website came from banner ads.
Details On Potential 2-Team Nashville League
2020/07/details-on-potential-2-team-nashville-league.htmlIt's a whole different model from a typical affiliated minor-league club, more akin to an independent league effort. … In a typical MLB season, many former big leaguers are kicking around in the upper minors and independent leagues, ready to grab an opportunity when one arises.
KBO Preparing For Return Of Fans
2020/07/kbo-preparing-for-return-of-fans.htmlKorea's top league has already provided a model for relaunching play, but its strict standards for maintaining its schedule -- the league says it will shut down for at least three weeks if any member of a team tests positive -- would almost certainly be unworkable for MLB. … JULY 1: The return of live fans will have to wait at least a bit longer, per Yoo (via Twitter).
Creative Playoff Expansion Can Get a Deal Done
2020/06/creative-playoff-expansion-can-get-a-deal-done.htmlMatt created the arbitration salary projection model for MLB Trade Rumors, and co-created the SIERA pitching statistic available at FanGraphs. … He has consulted for a Major League team since 2013, in addition to working in his day job as an economist in the cable industry.
MLB Collective Bargaining and Risk Sharing
2020/06/mlb-collective-bargaining-and-risk-sharing.htmlMatt created the arbitration salary projection model for MLB Trade Rumors, and co-created the SIERA pitching statistic available at FanGraphs. … He has consulted for a Major League team since 2013, in addition to working in his day job as an economist in the cable industry.