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Archives for July 2009

Olney On The Battle For Young Talent

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 5:11pm CDT

Baseball's becoming younger and teams are changing the way they operate, as ESPN.com's Buster Olney shows. In the steroid era, teams relied on players older than 30 for their production. With the help of Baseball Prospectus, Olney shows that teams have become much more reliant on younger players. Here are the reasons why teams rely on young talent and the effect this reliance has around the league:

  • Players are cheapest for their first six years in the majors, before they become free agents.
  • As Oakland GM Billy Beane says, "everybody" is now working to develop their own talent.
  • Even Yankees GM Brian Cashman prefers to develop his own players.
  • Since teams are heavily invested in their top minor leaguers, they're providing them with better nutrition and more ways to stay in shape. 
  • Teams are willing to spend considerably more on amateur players, internationally and in the draft.
  • There's now less information sharing between rival organizations, as the competition for talent has increased.  
  • Some teams, like the Red Sox, are sending multiple scouts to watch players since they want to be more confident in their evaluations.
  • Teams have adopted a "broader use of statistics in evaluating players."  
  • Teams will poach the best coaches from other organizations to maximize their return on every player. 
  • There's more of a personal emphasis on players than before.  
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Angels Interested In Aroldis Chapman

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 4:30pm CDT

Aroldis Chapman isn't ready to sign with an MLB team yet, but once he is, the Angels will be interested, according to Mark Saxon of the OC Register. Angels scouting director Eddie Bane told Saxon that the Angels always have interest in top pitchers. They scouted Daisuke Matsuzaka and took a look at Stephen Strasburg even though there's no way he was falling to the Angels at 25th overall.

The Angels have already scouted Chapman and they're impressed with his fastball, but say he needs to develop his secondary pitches.
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Los Angeles Angels Aroldis Chapman

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Discussion: Trade Deadline Predictions

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 4:17pm CDT

Just for fun, why don't we kick off the second half of the MLB season with a few trade deadline predictions? Here are three from me and I'm looking forward to reading yours in the comments below:

  • The Blue Jays will trade Roy Halladay to the Phillies for a group of prospects headed by Kyle Drabek, Michael Taylor or Dominic Brown. 
  • The Nationals will trade Nick Johnson to salvage some value from their first baseman before he hits free agency. Johnson missed three quarters of last season, so he's not likely to rank high enough under the Elias rankings to bring the Nats compensation picks and they won't want to let him walk for nothing.
  • The A's will hold onto Matt Holliday as the market for pricey ($13.5MM), slumping (no homers since June 5th) players isn't strong.  
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Odds And Ends: Strasburg, Huff, Pedro

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 2:24pm CDT

Some links to read through this afternoon…

  • ESPN.com's Jerry Crasnick says the Nats "absolutely, positively must sign" Stephen Strasburg this summer. The Strasburg saga is just one of Crasnick's nine stories to watch in the second half.
  • Stan McNeal of the Sporting News says a fringe prospect should be enough for the O's to ship Aubrey Huff and his $8MM salary away.
  • Pedro Martinez said he was pitching hurt with the Mets, but feels better now, according to the AP (via ESPN).
  • Benjamin Kabak of River Ave. Blues says the Yankees would have to be prepared to give up a painful amount in a possible Roy Halladay deal.
  • Pirates reliever Tyler Yates had Tommy John surgery, according to Dejan Kovacevic of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
  • Check out my thoughts on the market for outfielders this offseason at NESN.com. Evans Clinchy of NESN.com believes it's now time for the Red Sox to lock Jason Bay up.
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Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox New York Yankees Philadelphia Phillies Pittsburgh Pirates Washington Nationals Aubrey Huff Jason Bay Pedro Martinez Roy Halladay Stephen Strasburg Tyler Yates

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Cards Willing To Make Strong Offer For Halladay

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 1:29pm CDT

The Cardinals are prepared to offer talent for Roy Halladay, but they're not going to disassemble their entire system to acquire the Jays ace, according to Joe Strauss of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.

"We may be able to give up an arm or a leg," a Cardinals source told Strauss. "But we're not going to sacrifice the whole body."

Strauss hears that the Jays want major league-ready pitching in return for Halladay. This could pose a problem for the Cards, as they may have to surrender Jess Todd or Francisco Samuel to complete the Mark DeRosa deal. The Blue Jays wanted top Cards prospect Brett Wallace in the 2008 draft.

Not only do the Cards have a history of pulling off big trades (Larry Walker, Scott Rolen), they have a history of picking up former Blue Jays starters. Chris Carpenter, Woody Williams and Pat Hentgen all pitched for the Jays then the Cardinals.
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St. Louis Cardinals Toronto Blue Jays Roy Halladay

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Heyman On GMs, Mulder, Bay, Reds

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 12:50pm CDT

SI.com's Jon Heyman identifies the GMs facing the most pressure heading into the second half of the season and passes along some rumors, too:

  • Despite "occasional rumblings" about Omar Minaya's job security, injuries are to blame for the Mets' disappointing start, so Minaya's bosses aren't about to blame him for the season.
  • The Nats plan on hiring a permanent GM soon and acting GM Mike Rizzo is in the running for the position.
  • Giants GM Brian Sabean saved one of his best showings for his walk year. He's put together a playoff contender and a talented crop of minor leaguers just as his deal's about to expire.  
  • Royals GM Dayton Moore and Braves GM Frank Wren are expected to have some time to work with.
  • It doesn't look like Indians GM Mark Shapiro will ascend to club president this year.
  • Heyman likes the Phillies' acquisition of Pedro Martinez.  
  • Mark Mulder could be the next pitcher to sign, as he's 95% ready, according to his agent. 
  • Heyman thinks the Red Sox will be able to lock Jason Bay up once they start talking extension. 
  • Look for the Reds to continue their hunt for outfielders. 
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Atlanta Braves Boston Red Sox Cincinnati Reds Cleveland Guardians Kansas City Royals New York Mets Philadelphia Phillies San Francisco Giants Washington Nationals Jason Bay Mark Mulder Pedro Martinez

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Should The Pads Listen To Offers For Gonzalez?

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 12:19pm CDT

Adrian Gonzalez is not on the block. The Padres aren't contenders, but they want to keep their All-Star first baseman and they have many reasons to hold onto Gonzalez:

  • He's their best hitter, with 24 homers and a massive walk total (67).
  • He adds value on defense, according to FanGraphs.
  • He's just 27, playing in his prime. 
  • They only have to pay him $3MM this year, $4.75MM next year and $5.6MM the year after that.
  • They let Trevor Hoffman walk and publicly tried to deal Jake Peavy, so their fans need to see the team commit to one of its stars. 

But some of those same points would make Gonzalez incredibly appealing to other clubs. Here are some reasons the Padres could consider dealing him:

  • Their team isn't about to win now, or in the near future.
  • Gonzalez could command a Mark Teixeira-esque haul.  
  • His slugging percentage is 115 points higher on the road this year.  
  • He hinted that he'd like to play for a winner.  

So what are your thoughts? Should the Padres entertain offers for their best player? 

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San Diego Padres Adrian Gonzalez

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Odds And Ends: Chapman, Werth, Marlins

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 10:37am CDT

More links for the morning…

  • One GM told Brian Lewis of the New York Post that he expects Cuban lefty Aroldis Chapman to sign for less than the $52MM that Daisuke Matsuzaka received before the 2007 season.
  • One executive told Lewis that Chapman will need some minor league seasoning.
  • Padres GM Kevin Towers told MLB.com's Corey Brock that the Padres tried to sign Jayson Werth a few years ago. Towers is impressed with the former catcher's athleticism in the outfield.
  • Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald hears from Marlins president David Samson that the team isn't discussing long term deals with any of its players. Even with a new ballpark on the way, Samson said the Marlins need to be cautious spenders.  
  • Be sure to follow MLBTR on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook, where we're asking a question that's on everybody's mind: Where will Roy Halladay end up?
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Miami Marlins San Diego Padres Aroldis Chapman Jayson Werth

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Wright Wants To Be A Met For Life

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 9:50am CDT

First Victor Martinez, now David Wright. The Mets third baseman told Kevin Kernan of the New York Post that he would "love" to be a Met for life (Hat Tip: MetsBlog). The Mets can keep Wright through 2013 under his current deal, so it's a little early to consider extending it, but Wright says he's open to talking if the Mets ever want to extend his contract.

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New York Mets David Wright

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Odds And Ends: Pedro, Milton, Halladay

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 9:29am CDT

Some links to check out after a surprisingly quick All-Star Game…

  • Pedro Martinez will begin his tenure with the Phillies on the DL, according to David Murphy of the Philadelphia Daily News.
  • The Phillies will announce the signing at 11am CST.  
  • Bob Ford of the Philadelphia Inquirer says the Pedro signing can't be the biggest move the Phillies make this month.
  • Dodgers pitcher Eric Milton had back surgery and will likely miss the rest of the season according to ESPN.
  • Roy Halladay says the Blue Jays have a lot to look forward to, but he's not sure this is their year, according to ESPN.com's Jayson Stark.
  • I preview the offseason outfield market over at NESN.com so check out the Q&A for some thoughts on Johnny Damon, Jason Bay and Carl Crawford.
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Los Angeles Dodgers Philadelphia Phillies Toronto Blue Jays Eric Milton Pedro Martinez Roy Halladay

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