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8 Potentially Undervalued Free Agents

By Steve Adams | November 29, 2017 at 1:00pm CDT

Every notable name that was a free agent when the market opened three weeks ago remains on the board in what has been the most painstakingly slow offseason in recent memory. There are numerous theories as to what’s holding up the top end of the free-agent market, but at some point, even with the top names lingering on the board, the lower tiers of free agency should begin moving.

While the entrants on this list haven’t grabbed many headlines early in free agency, each is coming off a quietly strong season and has a shot at landing a multi-year deal or, at worst, providing surplus value on a one-year pact. Black Friday and Cyber Monday have mercifully come and gone, but here’s a look at some perhaps undervalued and underappreciated players available in free agency:

  • Yusmeiro Petit, RHP: Petit has had to settle for a one-year contract and a minor league deal over the past two offseasons, but his 2017 performance should generate much more robust interest. The 33-year-old led MLB relievers in innings this past year while pitching to a pristine 2.76 ERA with 10.0 K/9 against 1.8 BB/9. He’s worked as a swingman, a starter and a high-leverage arm in late innings and somewhat anonymously set a big league record for most consecutive batters retired while pitching with the Giants. Petit lacks the blistering velocity that many of his late-inning peers boast, but he’s posted a 3.59 ERA and 3.40 FIP in 399 innings dating back to 2012.
  • Joe Smith, RHP: Smith was one of the best one-year signings in baseball this past season, though his strong work with both the Blue Jays and Indians flew largely under the radar. Like Petit, Smith lacks premium velocity but nonetheless posted elite K/BB numbers. In 54 innings, the sidearmer posted an impressive 11.7 K/9 against 1.8 BB/9 en route to a 3.33 ERA. Many would be surprised to note that Smith has only posted an ERA north of 3.60 once (3.83 in 2010) and boasts a 2.97 ERA over an 11-year career. His 37.8 percent chase rate and 11.4 percent swinging-strike rate in 2017 were far and away the best marks of his career. Smith will turn 34 next spring and doesn’t even average 90 on his fastball, but he continually posts effective numbers.
  • Matt Albers, RHP: Another mid-30s reliever? Another mid-30s reliever. Albers struggled through a disastrous 2016 season but rebounded with a 1.62 ERA in 61 1/3 frames for the Nationals this past season — his second sub-2.00 ERA in three years. The righty averaged 9.3 K/9 against 2.5 BB/9 with a 51 percent grounder rate in 2017, serving as the Nationals’ most reliable reliever over the course of the year. Albers will be 35 in January, but his velocity and swinging-strike rates sat at their best levels since 2013 in what proved to be a terrific rebound season.
  • Brian Duensing, LHP: Duensing will turn 35 in February and doesn’t have a lengthy track record, but he enjoyed his best full season as a reliever with the Cubs in ’17, tossing 62 1/3 innings with 8.8 K/9, 2.6 BB/9 and a 48.6 percent ground-ball rate en route to a 2.74 ERA. Pitch values from Baseball Info Solutions pegged his sinker/two-seamer and his changeup as his two best offerings, and they were two of his least-used pitches. If he can sustain their effectiveness over a greater usage rate, Duensing could enjoy similar success in 2018.
  • Austin Jackson, OF: He’s not the star he once was, but Jackson will turn just 31 in February and somewhat quietly rebounded with an excellent season for the Indians in a part-time role. In 318 trips to the plate, Jackson slashed .318/.387/.482 with seven homers, 19 doubles and three triples. Jackson’s production was buoyed by a .385 BABIP that he surely won’t repeat, but he’s always handled lefties well (with the exception of 2016) and made significant K/BB gains against southpaws this past season. Jackson may have fallen into the part-time mold sooner in his career than he hoped, but a fourth outfielder that can play all three spots and mash lefties still carries value, as Chris Young and Rajai Davis can attest.
  • Cameron Maybin, OF: Maybin is somewhat similar to Jackson in that he’s a right-handed-hitting fourth outfield option that can play all three spots, but he doesn’t come with Jackson’s track record against lefties, so he doesn’t fit as nicely into a platoon. Maybin’s baserunning, however, remains elite — as evidenced by the 33 steals he tallied in 2017 despite collecting just 450 PAs. He’s also improved his walk rate in three straight seasons (11.3 percent in ’17) and should still be capable of above-average glovework in the outfield corners while also handling some time in center field.
  • Chris Iannetta, C: Big seasons from Alex Avila and Welington Castillo generated far more notice than Iannetta’s under-the-radar campaign in Arizona. He’ll turn 35 in April but still put together a very strong .254/.354/.511 slash with 17 homers and 19 doubles in just 316 PAs. Iannetta’s 24 percent caught-stealing rate wasn’t great but was in line with his career mark (25 percent), and he posted very strong framing marks for the second time in the past three seasons. Avila, Castillo and Jonathan Lucroy get the most attention on the market, but a club looking for a quality backup to help guide a young staff or mentor a young starting catcher could get a bargain if Iannetta can come anywhere close to his ’17 output.
  • Adam Lind, 1B: Lind hammered righties at a .303/.364/.534 clip in 269 plate appearances last season, but age (34), a longstanding struggle against left-handed pitching and the flooded market for platoon first basemen should suppress his earning power despite solid on-field value in the right role. He should earn a raise from last year’s $1.5MM base salary with the Nats, but Lind could still be had as a nice bargain for a team with a right-handed platoon option. He did fake it in left field for nearly 200 innings last season as well, but most clubs will likely view him as a first-base/DH only candidate.
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37 Comments

  1. kmeadno1

    8 years ago

    Adam Lind=Angels

    Reply
    • jgb2412

      8 years ago

      Not a fan! He is a bench player, Angels need somebody who can play every day

      Reply
      • Brixton

        8 years ago

        platoon him and Cron

        1
        Reply
        • jdodson1822

          8 years ago

          Cron hits righties better than lefties, so platooning him won’t work. He needs to play everyday or be traded (but he has almost no value)

          4
          Reply
  2. 2012orioles

    8 years ago

    Chris Tillman could be a solid 3 or 4 pitcher for a contender. I think his injuries led to his bad 2017. He’s been solid for the past few years. I hope the Os bring him back

    Reply
    • realgone2

      8 years ago

      Only on a heavily incentive laden deal

      Reply
    • beard

      8 years ago

      he was remarkably bad last year, he certainly could bounce back but I’m not sure that I would expect it. Seems more likely to go to a non-contender to eat innings then maybe cash in at the trade deadline if he is successful..

      1
      Reply
      • Kirby34

        8 years ago

        See also: the receiver matters.

        Reply
  3. g55s

    8 years ago

    Yusmeiro Petit had some great games for Giants!
    – 6 innings of shutout ball in relief against Nats in playoffs
    – 1 out away from a perfect game
    – 88 pitch shutout
    – MLB record for consecutive outs in relief

    Great Giant!

    1
    Reply
    • WalkersDayOff

      8 years ago

      Gee why would you ever let him go

      2
      Reply
      • Gret1wg

        8 years ago

        Booby Evans!

        1
        Reply
      • gilgunderson

        8 years ago

        The belief that the Giants’ younger, cheaper bullpen arms were ready to step up, and that they could spend Petit’s $2.5mm salary to bolster other parts of the roster? Made sense on paper, at least.

        Reply
    • Chris Sale Amateur Tailor

      8 years ago

      The MLB record for consecutive batters retired: 46. All time. Pretty impressive.

      Also 15 1/3 consecutive perfect innings, longest ever.

      The guy can spot start, and go long relief.

      No one seems to value this guy.

      Reply
    • Chris Sale Amateur Tailor

      8 years ago

      The MLB record for consecutive batters retired: 46. All time. Pretty impressive.

      The guy can spot start, and go long relief.

      No one seems to value this guy.

      Reply
  4. Jbigz12

    8 years ago

    Austin Jackson is one of those guys who probably regrets not getting an early in the career contract.

    2
    Reply
    • dugdog83

      8 years ago

      Agreed. His defense is extremely undervalued. When he played for a Detroit he was automatic. Snagged everything. Not much of an arm tho mixed with a bad bat won’t get you a giant contract.

      Reply
  5. Logjammer D"Baggagecling

    8 years ago

    I’d love for Brian Duensing to return to the cubs. The others on the list are not undervalued but river rated

    Reply
  6. slowcurve

    8 years ago

    If you factor in how much money he saved Taco Bell patrons this October, Maybin does provide excellent value.

    8
    Reply
    • acarneglia

      8 years ago

      slowcurve deserves a big contract for that comment! You are my idol

      2
      Reply
    • bosoxforlife

      8 years ago

      Definitely in the Comment Hall of Fame.

      1
      Reply
      • slowcurve

        8 years ago

        You guys bring tears to my eyes. Or maybe that’s just the baseball offseason depression talking.

        Reply
    • dugdog83

      8 years ago

      Haha

      Reply
    • aceofrainbows

      8 years ago

      Lol you win

      Reply
  7. vinscully16

    8 years ago

    I’d like to see Jackson land in Boston.

    Reply
  8. Michael Chaney

    8 years ago

    If the Indians can’t bring back Santana, I wouldn’t mind seeing them sign Lind and potentially have him platoon with Guyer at DH…it’s definitely not sexy but it could get the job done

    Reply
    • Michael Chaney

      8 years ago

      Of course, that would require playing Edwin at first and that might not necessarily be a great idea either

      Reply
      • sufferforsnakes

        8 years ago

        Bingo

        Reply
        • Michael Chaney

          8 years ago

          Yeah it seemed like a great idea until I realized that Edwin would be playing first and that isn’t exactly ideal

          Reply
  9. angelsinthetroutfield

    8 years ago

    Free Agent face-off: 2nd tier edition

    Maybin vs Jackson

    Who gets the better contract? Both 1 yr deals? Over/Under $5m

    Reply
    • bosoxforlife

      8 years ago

      Jackson gets a couple for a little more than $5M/ year.

      Reply
  10. balloonknots

    8 years ago

    There will plenty of cheaper options at 1b if you just wait it out. Too many good ones at AAA that are out of options so these vets will have to settle for a short contract late in spring training if they want a job.

    Reply
  11. Chris Sale Amateur Tailor

    8 years ago

    Austin Jackson was a star?

    1
    Reply
    • bosoxforlife

      8 years ago

      Briefly. He had a 5.8 WAR in 2012 and that ain’t too shabby.

      Reply
  12. AngelsAdvocate

    8 years ago

    Steve,
    By “Adam Lind”, you meant “anyone but Adam Lind”. Though seeing Lind in left field for the Nats wasn’t quite as discouraging as watching Miguel Montero catch for the Blue Jays – it was almost as surprisingly painful, though.

    Joe Smith and then Dillon Gee are the top of this list.

    Reply
  13. sufferforsnakes

    8 years ago

    I can see the Tribe bringing back Smith and Jackson. Both are affordable, and both fill a need. Plus, both probably love playing for Chewy. And with Smith, he’ll want to stay near his sick mom.

    Reply
  14. GarryHarris

    8 years ago

    Yusmeiro Petit is the class of this bunch but gives up HRs more than we would like to see. You just never know. Remember Mark Lowe.? He converts one good season into a multiyear deal with the Tigers then rewards them by being the worst pitcher in MLB.

    Reply
  15. mstrchef13

    8 years ago

    So much for being undervaled now.

    Reply

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