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Astros Notes: Abreu, Garcia, Tucker

By Steve Adams | May 22, 2024 at 1:23pm CDT

Although prior indications were that Jose Abreu could return to the Astros for this Friday’s series opener against the A’s, it seems his optional assignment in the minors will last at least a bit longer. Manager Joe Espada told the Astros beat today that Abreu will play games with the organization’s Arizona Complex League affiliate today and tomorrow before heading to Triple-A Sugar Land on Friday (X link via Brian McTaggart of MLB.com). A return later in the weekend series hasn’t been ruled out, but the team isn’t formally committing to a timeline at this point.

Abreu, 37, rather surprisingly agreed to an optional assignment earlier this year after enduring the worst stretch of his major league career. The former AL MVP opened the season mired in a calamitous slump, hitting just .099/.156/.113 in 77 plate appearances. He’s currently 6-for-18 with a pair of doubles, a walk and two strikeouts — albeit against Rookie-level competition. Any sign of life from Abreu is an encouraging step, given his awful start to the season, however. It seems he’ll get at least a game or two against more advanced Triple-A competition after that confidence booster and mental reset in the ACL.

Abreu is in the second season of a three-year, $58.5MM free agent contract signed when the Astros were operating without a general manager in place. Owner Jim Crane largely oversaw baseball operations between the surprise ouster of former GM James Click and the hiring of current general manager Dana Brown. That contract gives the club plenty of incentive to try to get Abreu back on track, difficult as his time with the organization has been thus far. Since putting pen to paper, Abreu has mustered only a .221/.280/.352 batting line in 671 plate appearances.

In Abreu’s absence, Jon Singleton has taken up the everyday first base job. He’s turned in a .224/.346/.448 slash in 81 plate appearances with Abreu off the roster, though much of his damage came in the first few games following Abreu’s demotion. Singleton homered last night, but that was his first extra-base hit in nearly two weeks. Between Singleton and Abreu, Houston first basemen have posted a combined .170/.260/.275 line on the season.

Woeful first base production has been just one of many issues for a disappointing Houston club. The Astros’ injury-plagued starting staff has seen major regression from Hunter Brown and J.P. France while rookie Spencer Arrighetti has struggled in his debut campaign. Righty Ronel Blanco is in the midst of a breakout, but stalwart lefty Framber Valdez has been inconsistent. Each of Valdez, Justin Verlander and Cristian Javier has spent time on the injured list already this season.

The Astros are awaiting the eventual returns of notable arms like Luis Garcia and Lance McCullers Jr., both of whom opened the year on the injured list while rehabbing from major surgeries. Garcia took a notable step in his recovery this week, throwing off the mound at Minute Maid Park, tweets Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle.

The 27-year-old Garcia underwent Tommy John surgery early last May, so he’s now past the one-year mark in his recovery. He’ll still need to face hitters in live batting practice/simulated games before heading out on a minor league rehab assignment, so a return isn’t nigh just yet. At the same time, it’s encouraging that he’s progressed to mound work and has yet to incur any sort of setback. In 352 innings from 2020-23, Garcia pitched to a 3.61 ERA with a 25.3% strikeout rate and 7.8% walk rate.

Even as the Astros navigate these shorter-term issues, there are still big-picture items to consider. Brown has said countless times since being hired that he hopes to extend outfielder Kyle Tucker and keep the former No. 5 overall pick in Houston for his entire career. He did so again today, appearing on the Sean Salisbury Show on SportsTalk 790 and stating (X links via 790’s Brian LaLima):

“Currently, not talking extension. We love Kyle Tucker. We have him under contract til 2025. I talked to his agent during spring training but right now we aren’t in discussion. We’d love him to retire here if possible. He knows we want to sign him here and his agent knows we want to sign him here. At some point, we’ll get an offer to him.”

At this point, Astros fans surely take such quotes with a grain of salt. The Astros quickly extended the aforementioned Javier after Brown was hired and have since hammered out a new long-term deal with Jose Altuve, but Brown has routinely made public comments about his desire to extend Tucker, Alex Bregman, Valdez and others without talks ever appearing to gain real steam. That he’s suggesting the team “will get an offer” to Tucker “at some point” seems a clear indicator that there haven’t yet been serious negotiations. Given Tucker’s increasing proximity to free agency and his ascension to bona fide MVP candidate, it’s tough to envision a deal coming together.

Tucker, 27, was already an excellent hitter from 2021-23, but this year’s offensive output is on a whole new level. In 215 trips to the plate, he’s slashing .293/.425/.649 — a mammoth 101% better than the average hitter, by measure of wRC+. Tucker has already belted 17 home runs (one every 12.6 plate appearances) and has walked more than he’s struck out (18.6% to 16.7%).

That level of production, coupled with the fact that Tucker will reach the open market heading into his age-29 season, should position him for the type of long-term megadeal from which Crane has shied away. The Astros haven’t given out a contract longer than Yordan Alvarez’s six-year, $115MM extension under Crane’s ownership, and the $151MM in new money that was guaranteed to Altuve on the second of his three Astros extensions is the largest sum Crane has committed at once. Tucker could realistically double that sum (and then some) in free agency.

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Houston Astros Jose Abreu Kyle Tucker Luis Garcia (Astros RHP)

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19 Comments

  1. metalhead

    1 year ago

    Give Abreu some credit for willingly going to the minors to try and work things out.

    5
    Reply
    • Blackpink in the area

      1 year ago

      I think that ridiculous contract is giving him more than enough credit as it is.

      2
      Reply
    • avenger65

      1 year ago

      metalhead: And put the blame on Crane for signing Abreu after his talent had nose dived considerably in his last year with the White Sox. It seems Crane thought he was signing the Abreu who had 100+ RBI and hit 30 HR a season for a long time. Some times a player.skates along on reputation. That’s Crane’s fault not Abreu’s.

      4
      Reply
      • JoeBrady

        1 year ago

        Sometimes it is best to put aside all the numbers and focus on HRs & K/W. Regardless of his OPS, if someone told that you were going to get a very limited 1B that would hit 15 HRs with a 110/68 K/W, at age 36, i don’t even know if you would bid on him, let alone sign him for $58.5M.

        It’s the same as Bogaerts. Once you put away all the other numbers, he had 15 HRs with a 118/57 K/W, with a mediocre glove. That’s nice for a SS, but not the production that warrants one of the most expensive contracts ever.

        Reply
      • angryaggie

        1 year ago

        Crane deserves plenty of blame because the buck literally stops with him, but the disastrous meddling of Bagwell (who has become an Iago like caricature) is not serving this team well.

        Reply
      • Memphis Kong

        1 year ago

        Count Bagwell, Jackson and Biggio in that also.

        Reply
  2. Liberalsteve

    1 year ago

    Do you think they are still using the trash can?

    3
    Reply
    • sultan of swat

      1 year ago

      Not sure….but do I think you have any brain cells left….no…I don’t.

      3
      Reply
      • myaccount2

        1 year ago

        Sultan of swat is an Astros apologist

        1
        Reply
        • Astros_fan_in_Aus

          1 year ago

          And liberalsteve is a child.

          Reply
        • myaccount2

          1 year ago

          And Astros_fan_in_Aus is a whiny baby.

          1
          Reply
  3. Curly Was The Smart Stooge

    1 year ago

    Lose the voodoo beard, it’s bad juju (and it’s just plain ugly)

    4
    Reply
  4. steven st croix

    1 year ago

    Tucker should get $400 mil.

    Reply
  5. Blackpink in the area

    1 year ago

    With a little luck I could go 6 for 18 playing rookie ball. Wasn’t the point of sending him down to allow him to perform against the next best thing besides big league pitching?

    1
    Reply
    • JoeBrady

      1 year ago

      I was going to say something similar. 18 ABs are virtually nothing. And he has a 2/1 K/W and -0- HRs in those 18 ABs. Is there anything there that suggests that Abreu has turned it around?

      Reply
      • DarkSide830

        1 year ago

        He went .214/.267/.357 in the first 3 too, so it’s possible that that one game was a blip and he’s not even going to keep hitting that well. Respect to Ahreu, but I’m really thinking he’s cooked.

        Reply
  6. Butter Biscuits

    1 year ago

    Tucker has 2 months left before he gets traded to the NL west

    Reply
    • thickiedon

      1 year ago

      Based on how the team has been performing recently?

      Reply
  7. Astros_fan_in_Aus

    1 year ago

    Alex Bregman is drawing more money this year than any other player on the Astros roster – allowing for the fact that the Mets are paying a chunk of Verlander’s salary.
    Trade Bregman and get some benefit before he walks in Free Agency.
    With his salary gone, make Tucker an offer in the $30M/Yr range.
    The only outfielders with a salary in excess of $30M are Judge, Trout and Soto, though it is quite a stretch to call Soto an outfielder.

    1
    Reply

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