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The Opener: Astros, Sasaki, Contreras

By Nick Deeds | December 19, 2024 at 8:48am CDT

As the offseason continues, here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on today:

1. What’s next for the Astros?

The Astros are one week removed from a franchise-altering trade that shipped star outfielder Kyle Tucker to the Cubs in exchange for a package of three players, including All-Star third baseman Isaac Paredes. Even with Paredes in the fold, Houston not only remains in the market for Alex Bregman — they also reportedly made a push to acquire Nolan Arenado from the Cardinals only for Arenado to block the deal with his no-trade clause.

Had Houston successfully brought in Arenado, it seems likely they would’ve moved Paredes over to first base. That remains a possibility for the club if they re-sign Bregman or Arenado can be convinced to waive his no-trade clause at some point down the line, but it also seems possible that the club could turn to Paredes at third and target first base help such as longtime Diamondbacks slugger Christian Walker, to whom they’ve been connected in free agency and in the lead-up to the 2024 trade deadline.

2. Sasaki scheduling meetings with teams?

Yankees GM Brian Cashman revealed to reporters (including Chris Kirschner of The Athletic) yesterday that his club has been granted an in-person meeting with star NPB right-hander Roki Sasaki, who was posted for MLB clubs during the Winter Meetings and figures to sign with a team as an international amateur next month. Until Sasaki makes his decision sometime after the international amateur free agency window for 2025 opens on January 15, he’ll be heavily courted by the majority of the league, given the unique circumstances of his free agency.

3. Contreras resolution imminent:

When the Rangers landed right-handers Nathan Eovaldi and Jacob Webb in free agency last week, that left the club in need of a 40-man roster spot. They chose to designate right-hander Roansy Contreras for assignment, which gave them a seven-day window in which they could either work out a trade involving Contreras or attempt to pass him through waivers. That window is set to expire today, meaning an announcement regarding Contreras’s future should be imminent. (Since waivers take 48 hours, which are included in that weeklong window, it seems Contreras is already on waivers.)

The 25-year-old hurler was once a consensus top-100 prospect with the Pirates and looked like at least a solid back-of-the-rotation arm as recently as 2022, when he posted a 3.79 ERA in 95 innings. A disastrous 2023 season caused him to move to the bullpen, however, and since then he’s profiled more as a middle reliever as he’s moved from Pittsburgh to Anaheim to Arlington. Now, Contreras may find himself on the move again if he’s claimed off waivers by another club. Should he clear waivers, the Rangers would have the opportunity to outright him to the minor leagues as non-roster depth for the 2025 season.

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The Opener

Nolan Arenado Uses No-Trade Clause To Block Trade To Astros
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Luzardo Talks Between Cubs, Marlins Have Reportedly Cooled
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Post a Comment

91 Comments

  1. Fever Pitch Guy

    5 months ago

    Well so much for the notion Roki doesn’t want to pitch for a large market team.

    Hopefully the Red Sox have a chance, especially with Roki being buds with Yoshida.

    3
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    • Beernbaseballguy

      5 months ago

      I feel like he’s going to grant most if nit all teams a chance to make their pitch since it doesn’t hurt to hear them out. As much as I would love him on my Yankees and hope the presentation blows him away, I still think he’ll end up in San Diego…if not the Dodgers

      5
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      • Fever Pitch Guy

        5 months ago

        Beer – I wouldn’t be surprised if all 30 teams are willing to sign him, I can’t picture him wanting to meet with all of them.

        I think the biggest factors will be comfort level, winning potential, and whether he wants to be an ace or instead wants to join a team that already has one (or more) aces. If I were him I’d also look at strength of defense and bullpen.

        I agree kinda, Dodgers most likely and Padres second-most.

        2
        Reply
        • avenger65

          5 months ago

          FPG: I think we can rule out Colorado and my beloved White Sox. If he’s interested in the Sox I would suggest someone drop a net on him and show him the final standings from 2024.

          3
          Reply
        • Fever Pitch Guy

          5 months ago

          avenger – Yeah realistically I can’t see him signing with either of those teams, or with Miami.

          1
          Reply
    • ReyDay

      5 months ago

      He’s just doing his due diligence, I think he’d be doing a disservice to himself not to at least hear what teams have in mind for him and the future.
      Taking a meeting is harmless and in no way an indication if he plans on going to a mid / small market team or the bigger dogs.

      5
      Reply
    • arty! Believes Jevon Belcher Quit on the Chiefs

      5 months ago

      Nobody said he doesn’t want to pitch for a large market team. LA is a pretty large market.

      They have said like many before him Sasaki probably stays west coast bound cause it’s easier for big name Japanese players to stay connected to the Japanese market.

      Reply
      • Fever Pitch Guy

        5 months ago

        Harrison – Nobody has said it?

        Here’s a direct quote from his agent: ““I think that there’s an argument to be made that a smaller, mid-market team might be more beneficial for him.”

        Technically that doesn’t rule out large market teams, but considering it came from his agent it held some weight … and perhaps still does.

        7
        Reply
        • arty! Believes Jevon Belcher Quit on the Chiefs

          5 months ago

          Reread that quote again focus on the word “might”

          What’s his agent suppose to say when asked about where he will wind up? “Well, only certain teams should apply”

          Yeah his agent isn’t gonna eliminate and burn bridges with 20 mlb clubs and maintain good relations with 10 that Sasaki already has interest in.

          2
          Reply
        • Fever Pitch Guy

          5 months ago

          Harrison – That’s what agents do, they use words that are not definitive so as to not rule out any team.

          There’s a reason he said what he said.

          4
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        • dave 2

          5 months ago

          Wow, I’m shocked his agent is trying to generate as much interest as possible instead of closing doors before talks begin. It’s almost as if the agent is trying to start a bidding war. Weird!

          4
          Reply
        • arty! Believes Jevon Belcher Quit on the Chiefs

          5 months ago

          Yeah. To maintain open relationships with all clubs cause when he hits free agency one day you don’t want to have bad blood with clubs cause that’ll drive down suitors and price tags. Same thing he’s doing now. Ensuring all clubs feel like they have a chance even small market ones so price tag goes up high as possible.

          Reply
        • arty! Believes Jevon Belcher Quit on the Chiefs

          5 months ago

          Totally new concept no agent has tried before. Scott Boras could learn a thing or two from Roki’s agent

          Reply
        • MLB Top 100 Commenter

          5 months ago

          Dave2

          Because Sasaki chose not to wait two years, there is no bidding war to be had. At least 28 out of 30 teams are all willing to give Sakai their maximum available allotment. No bidding or negotiation, Sasaki and his agent just have to say “I choose you.”

          4
          Reply
        • Fever Pitch Guy

          5 months ago

          MLB – This is a legit question, do perks get factored into the value of a contract?

          I ask that because (incredibly) Soto demanded his own personal luxury suite for every game and he also demanded 4 up front tickets behind home plate for every game.

          So could teams pursuing Roki use perks to gain an advantage on signing him?

          3
          Reply
        • arty! Believes Jevon Belcher Quit on the Chiefs

          5 months ago

          The bidding war will be when new funds become available teams will trade prospects for extra IFA money to increase their offer. You’ll see a flurry of moves of teams who think they have a shot trade with teams who don’t think they have a shot or don’t have a lot of ifa money to begin with.

          This will probably be the biggest movement of ifa money we ever see at one time.

          Reply
        • MLB Top 100 Commenter

          5 months ago

          True, but still peanuts in the grand scope of things.

          2
          Reply
        • Rexhudler86

          5 months ago

          @feverpitchguy. I never looked it up, but someone said they aren’t allowed anymore. It happened with ohtani. It was never disclosed, but he definitely had a list of demands that the teams needed to meet.

          1
          Reply
        • vtadave

          5 months ago

          There won’t be a “bidding war”. His agent knows how much bonus pool money each team has.

          2
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        • Rexhudler86

          5 months ago

          @vtadave. Yeah but every team can atleast get up to 8 million. Some teams can get to 12-13. Since you can add 60% of the base amount via trades. He’s a 100 percent going to pick a team, and say OK you need to max out the bonus money.

          1
          Reply
        • dasit

          5 months ago

          this is a unique and fun situation. would love the yankees to get him but it would also be cool if he said the hell with it i’m going to the pirates

          2
          Reply
        • dasit

          5 months ago

          absolutely. any means necessary

          Reply
        • avenger65

          5 months ago

          Harrison: His price tag can only go as high as a team’s international bonus pool. After six years comes the big money.

          Reply
        • avenger65

          5 months ago

          FPG: Reggie Jackson has a clause in his contract with the Yankees that he had to be on camera a certain amount of times each game.

          1
          Reply
        • Fever Pitch Guy

          5 months ago

          avenger – Wow that’s interesting, didn’t know that!

          1
          Reply
        • Baseballisthebest

          5 months ago

          FPG, things like a luxury suite at the stadium or tickets beyond what teams make available due families would or charter flights from Japan for his family would. Things like a suite in the hotel when team is on the road wouldn’t.

          1
          Reply
        • Rexhudler86

          5 months ago

          @avenger. In theory your correct. Would not surprised me if teams have attorneys looking at loopholes to incentize his deal within the rules. Trying to find the updated rules. Sponsorships is probably one way.

          1
          Reply
        • Fever Pitch Guy

          5 months ago

          Baseball – I find it fascinating the Yankees offered Soto $760M but refused to give him his own luxury suite at the stadium.

          I give them credit for sticking to team policy, would have been interesting if he had also demanded permission to grow a beard.

          2
          Reply
        • Baseballisthebest

          5 months ago

          Sasaki already makes more in endorsements than any MLB player in the US other than Ohtani. About 1.2 billion yen per year.

          Its part of the reason he is not too worried about coming to US ahead of actual free agency at age 25.

          1
          Reply
        • Baseballisthebest

          5 months ago

          Biting off your nose to spite your face?

          Just pay him the extra $525k the suite and 4 front row tickets cost retail and then say he bought it just like the other players.

          That was stupid on their part.

          1
          Reply
        • Fever Pitch Guy

          5 months ago

          Baseball – It all depends on how you look at it, but I would think if he wants the free suite he would include the cost of it in his salary demand.

          Think of it this way ….. let’s say you have a job offer in LA and one company offers you $500K annually which is twice as much as every other offer you receive. Would you also demand the company buy you a $2M home even though it’s against their policy? I would think you’d factor the cost of a home against your salary offer.

          I mean I’ve taken job offers where I demanded more or less based on whether my income would be subject to state tax or not.

          I believe the 4 tickets wasn’t an issue, the Yanks had agreed to it.

          1
          Reply
        • Rexhudler86

          5 months ago

          @baseball. Never looked into deals with Japan. Figured it was up there, but surprised he toppled Yamamoto or senga. Japan is definitely serious about baseball. Probably even more than mlb. Bauer was kicked out of the stands for causing a distraction. He originally thought it was a rule, but I guess he had a whole bunch of people asking for autographs so he was tossed. Lol. In theory it shouldn’t matter about money but it becomes a ego thing. Ohtani has so much he didn’t even know 30 million was missing. If he didn’t care he would’ve signed in the 2024 pool. So it’s a factor to a degree. Still think he’s going to require 8-9. Ohtani asked the angels to increase the amount to when he signed.

          2
          Reply
        • Rexhudler86

          5 months ago

          @FPG. The word going around is his friends/family were causing trouble with security. I’m sure they had plenty of leeway and warnings. Probably on the Yankees side was to prove a point, and he didn’t like it.

          1
          Reply
        • Baseballisthebest

          5 months ago

          FPG, The difference in what he was offered by teams was 0.6%.

          Reply
        • Baseballisthebest

          5 months ago

          Rex, from what the FBI has said, the $30 million Ohtani was missing from his accounts was more than 20% of his gross career earnings to that point, meaning before taxes.

          Reply
        • Fever Pitch Guy

          5 months ago

          Rex – Great post! You are absolutely right, baseball is the #1 team sport in Japan and has been for many decades. They have played it there since 1872.

          Personally I would love to see the percentage of Japanese players in MLB increase to at least 30%. Not just because of their talent, but because they play the game and conduct themselves in a respectful, professional, honorable manner.

          It’s unfortunate Ohtani won’t play long enough to topple the all-time HR record set by Bonds.

          2
          Reply
        • Fever Pitch Guy

          5 months ago

          Rex – Thanks, I was unaware.

          1
          Reply
        • Rexhudler86

          5 months ago

          @baseball. I feel like that could be wrong because it was during his arb years, and he was signed to a deal with asics before his new balance deal. Unless he is deferring payments on everything. When I searched ohtani it said his net worth was 50 million, doesn’t seem right unless he invested money in other things.

          Reply
        • Baseballisthebest

          5 months ago

          That was in the FBI report released to the public about the gambling indictments. I figure they had a record of what he had made to that point. You could be very right about his net worth.

          1
          Reply
      • Baseballisthebest

        5 months ago

        Far more Japanese players have signed with teams that are not on the West Coast than with any of the 6 West Coast teams. Iirc the most was with the Red Sox.

        Reply
    • towinagain

      5 months ago

      The Padres will miss out on Sasasaki, have spent nothing this offseason and have holes all over the roster.

      The only thing this organization will market is the successes of the last few years and the “hope” fans should have for next year.

      Selling “hope” is much more cost efficient than adding payroll.

      Reply
      • Rexhudler86

        5 months ago

        @tow. If your going to troll atleast spell his name right. It’s on this page.

        2
        Reply
      • avenger65

        5 months ago

        One thing that will likely factor in his decision will be, where does he want to be for the next six years? That’s a big decision.

        1
        Reply
    • avenger65

      5 months ago

      FPG: And Darvish. I hope Sasaki doesn’t give in to the lure of one of the big three and takes a shot with an up and comer, like the Red Sox or Mariners, or even a contending team like SD. There has to be some other appeal than the Mets, Dodgers and NYY.

      2
      Reply
      • Fever Pitch Guy

        5 months ago

        avenger – He could make up to an additional $3M in postseason pay if he signs with one of those teams, that’s not chump change. And postseason gives him the opportunity to make a bigger name for himself.

        Losing is not fun for athletes, except maybe for Rondon.

        1
        Reply
    • 'Tang It

      5 months ago

      Don’t trade yoshida until he signs haha

      Reply
    • Show all 45 replies
  2. Big whiffa

    5 months ago

    I bet padres are willing to trade a top prospect for the bulk of your international salary cap. Hmmm….and you kno they draft better than you !

    1
    Reply
  3. johncoltrane

    5 months ago

    Prediction
    Sasaki will strike out 19 in his 1st start for dodgers
    Then blow his elbow out in 2nd start and miss 16 months
    Then come back to win cy young
    Then blow blow the elbow out again & leaves mlb back to tokyo

    3
    Reply
    • Brew88

      5 months ago

      With climate change comes extreme weather

      5
      Reply
      • johncoltrane

        5 months ago

        Senga missed a whole yr with injury
        Yamamoto was hurt half the season
        Ohtani has had 2 TJ surgeries in the majors

        Roki is screwed

        2
        Reply
      • WadeBoggsWildRide

        5 months ago

        Hahaha Brew!

        1
        Reply
    • sad tormented neglected mariners fan

      5 months ago

      You just described Aaron Rodgers jets career

      4
      Reply
  4. TrillionaireTeamOperator

    5 months ago

    I kind of wonder if maybe the Astros should just sell the club, trade everybody away or release guys nobody else wants to take and start from scratch.

    They’re tainted from the trashcan stuff and people either don’t want to play there or the guys who have been playing there or like to play there don’t have the kind of respect and integrity attached to their numbers that free agents want to be associated with.

    2
    Reply
    • whyhayzee

      5 months ago

      No one outside of the “fan” cares about the trash cans. It’s completely meaningless.

      6
      Reply
      • Fever Pitch Guy

        5 months ago

        hayzee – Ask Joe Kelly.

        4
        Reply
        • orbitsbrother

          5 months ago

          Joe Kelly was upset that they admitted to it, not that they did it.

          1
          Reply
        • Fever Pitch Guy

          5 months ago

          orbit – That’s not the quote from him that I read, do you have a link?

          Doesn’t really make sense because they admitted it only after they were accused and the evidence presented. They could no longer deny it even if they wanted to.

          2
          Reply
        • orbitsbrother

          5 months ago

          They admitted to the whole scheme to the league. The league put a stop to it once they fessed up to the whole thing. Ie, it stopped his teams from doing the same thing. Really easy to see why he was upset at them.

          Reply
        • Fever Pitch Guy

          5 months ago

          Orbit – So you’re saying the Dodgers were using trashcans too?

          Well we can’t prove his motive, so no real point in speculating. He was mad at the Astros, that much we know.

          Reply
      • dave 2

        5 months ago

        Houston — a place where your prime star is ignored so a ridiculous cheating scheme can help lesser players. Yeah, no free agent cares about that.

        2
        Reply
    • Rexhudler86

      5 months ago

      @trill. You realize Altuve, and pressly are the only ones left right. It’s far fetched to say it’s because of the scandals. Especially with different managers, and front office running the team. Sounds like it’s a baseless opinion or troll attempt luckily I’m not a Astros fan.

      6
      Reply
      • Fever Pitch Guy

        5 months ago

        Rex – Exactly! Plus Arenado made it clear he wasn’t ruling out the Astros, he just didn’t want to commit to them right now.

        3
        Reply
      • RodBecksBurnerAccount

        5 months ago

        Altuve is the only one left from the 2017 team. Pressly was still on the Twins in 2017.

        3
        Reply
        • Rexhudler86

          5 months ago

          @rod. I was on the fence about adding pressly knew it was close. Not a Astros fan just calling out the troll comment.

          2
          Reply
        • Tom E. Snyder

          5 months ago

          Don’t forget McCullers.

          Reply
        • RodBecksBurnerAccount

          5 months ago

          Forgot about him. He hasn’t pitched since 2022. I’m skeptical he will make it back.

          1
          Reply
    • Fever Pitch Guy

      5 months ago

      Trill – Arenado is waiting for Bregman to sign, then other potential suitors will be more motivated to acquire him.

      Sucks for the Cards though, they would have been relieved of all but $5M per season of Arenado’s contract.

      4
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    • RodBecksBurnerAccount

      5 months ago

      “People don’t want to play there.”

      I hate the Astros too but that’s ridiculous. Josh Hader just signed there last season. He could of signed anywhere he wanted.

      Arenado has a full no-trade clause but gave 6 teams he’d waive it for and the Astros were not on the list. Just because Arenado didn’t want to approve a trade there, doesn’t mean “nobody” wants to play there.

      4
      Reply
    • PsySq

      5 months ago

      Yet that won’t stop you from crying about them will it now. Be honest. It’s ok.

      2
      Reply
      • avenger65

        5 months ago

        Rod: Arenado’s list of six teams is apparently not the full list.

        1
        Reply
        • RodBecksBurnerAccount

          5 months ago

          Haven’t heard that. He has a full no-trade clause regardless.

          1
          Reply
    • NYCityRiddler

      5 months ago

      Crane’s, flaky, little 150-160M, 5-6 year max stand is way past its expiration date. Time to step up or step off Jimmy. Ahahahaha!

      Reply
  5. rememberthecoop

    5 months ago

    I believe he’s going to either the Dodgers or Padres. For most Japanese players – not all – the west coast is preferable for obvious reasons, so they each have that built-in advantage. Additionally, we all know that the Dodgers are a very well-known brand in Japan while the Fathers employ Roki’s idol.

    3
    Reply
    • Ma4170

      5 months ago

      I could see Seattle too, especially w a pitchers park and an elite staff, he would have very little early pressure.

      3
      Reply
      • avenger65

        5 months ago

        Ma: It surprises me that Seattle isn’t more of a draw for Japanese players. Huge Japanese population not only in Washington but all the way into British Colombia. Plus, all-time great Ichiro works in the M’s front office.

        1
        Reply
  6. BronxBombers23

    5 months ago

    Sasaki‘s stuff is so great, I’m happy that he’ll pitch in the MLB. I wish him a healthy career. Sadly I don’t think that the Yankees will land him.

    2
    Reply
  7. bbgods

    5 months ago

    I find it strange that Joel Wolfe mentioned Sasaki’s trouble with Japanese media.

    I assume it’s more about criticism rather than just volume. However it is not a good indicator for handling pressure in the future.

    Reply
    • Baseballisthebest

      5 months ago

      The Japanese media follow his parents to the grocery story. The video of the media throng following them while they tried to shop is hilarious and more than a little scary.

      Reply
  8. Footjoyboi

    5 months ago

    Damn you Arenado. Rejecting the Astros just gave them good karma to win the World Series in 2025. I wish you would just go there so you can jinx them out of the playoffs like you have for every year of your career besides the short playoff stints of 2017, 2018 and 2021.

    1
    Reply
  9. saj

    5 months ago

    If I was in charge of MLB, I would put my thumb on the scales. Sports leagues love TV$ which loves top markets. Sasaki is a 100mm$ asset and so I would intervene to make sure he goes to a major market.

    Prob plenty ways to do it, but an easy one comes to mind – get major advertiser or two to sign him for big endorsement $.

    Reply
  10. Salzilla

    5 months ago

    Personally, I don’t think Sasaki is coming to the Yanks. I’d love to be wrong, of course, but I’m realistic. He’s got friends in the league already like Yoshida abd Darvish so I’d give the Sox and Pads the best chance.

    As for Arenado, I want to see that resolve by Christmas for the guy. Knowing for sure now that your team no longer has to suck. Here’s to a swift resolution with a team he’d like to go to.

    2
    Reply
  11. Zippy the Pinhead

    5 months ago

    Ichiro is personally leading the Mariners’ meeting with Sasaki. The about-to-be Hall of Famer still has a lot of sway in Japan, where he is somewhat godlike. At that ballpark, he has a chance to have a sub 2 ERA and if they use Castillo to get a solid 3B and sign one of the Kims to play 2B, they’ve got more than a good chance to win the West. After that, who knows?

    7
    Reply
  12. GarryHarris

    5 months ago

    Roki Sasaki is on a plane to Toronto at this very moment.

    5
    Reply
    • Brew’88

      5 months ago

      it’s true, Ki-ki to K’nada chants were heard outside the grange in Mississauga

      5
      Reply
  13. Old York

    5 months ago

    With that new study on pitching injuries, is the commissioner going to make a new rule that pitchers can’t throw any harder than 90mph and have to keep the spin rate low? Maybe 15 RPMs?

    1
    Reply
    • dasit

      5 months ago

      just require everyone to throw knuckleballs
      whether they know how to do it or not. games would be nothing but wild pitches and hit batsman but starters could throw 350 innings!

      Reply
  14. ❤️ MuteButton

    5 months ago

    I would be very interested to know why Pete Alonso doesn’t seem included in first base options for the Astros

    Reply
    • Yanks4life22

      5 months ago

      I wouldn’t be shocked if they were looking his way. It doesn’t seem as if Alonso is going to be the next to sign. I think once Bregman signs and Arenado gets traded you’ll see the odd teams out make a run for him.

      Would love him in Houston for the ballpark though. I really think he would exploit that park with his hit tool. I could see average go up again there.

      Reply
  15. Yanks4life22

    5 months ago

    Anyone here actually live in/from Japan? I’m curious as to who is among the most popular MLB teams over there right now. Long shot but you never know.

    West Coast teams always have a leg up due to the easier travel back to Japan so obvious answer is the Dodgers with Ohtani and Yamamoto already there, their past history with Japanese players and then being the most recent champs. Always have the classics like Yankees, Red Sox and Cubs with the 100+ year old brand names as a possibility too.

    I really have a feeling it’s Seattle though. Kid is coming over without getting a massive payday so he needs to perform and the way the Mariners churn out SP’s it’s a great spot for a young pitcher. Also the fact that the ballpark is pitcher friendly. Mariners being one of the most Japanese invested franchises player wise bodes well too. Then add in Ichiro in his ear who is an absolute rock star in Japan.

    Final answer: Seattle

    2
    Reply
  16. baseballguru

    5 months ago

    Roki, The Yankees are old with aging bad contracts on diminished skill players of yesterday coupled with zero depth in a horrific minor league system that ranks 29th of the 30 MLB teams. Go to the team with the #3 overall farm system that already promoted a series of young studs in Casas, Duran, Abreu, Rafaela, Hamilton, Wong & Sogard. They have the top 3 prospects in all of baseball all in the top 10 in MLB prospects. Play with your peers in terms of age, and a tradition of Japanese pitchers and players well documented. Play at Fenway Park the oldest park in MLB where Babe Ruth played and won 3x Championships. Thereno better fit for you than Boston with Andrew Bailey & Co., leading the new pitching development system that has already helped every arm in the system take steps forward. There’s a dynasty in Boston, don’t miss it Roki!

    Reply
  17. GarryHarris

    5 months ago

    Chaim Bloom wasn’t so bad.

    Reply

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