The trade deadline is now just a few days away and the Reds are looking to buy. Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports that Cincinnati is looking for a middle-of-the-order bat as well as bullpen upgrades.
It’s understandable that the Reds would buy. They haven’t made the playoffs in a full season since 2013. They are currently 55-50, just one game back of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. That spot is currently being held by the Padres, who will face some challenges the rest of the way. As Rosenthal notes, the Friars have a tight budget and have traded away a lot of prospects in recent years, which puts that club in an awkward spot. They are apparently considering all sorts of creative solutions, including things like trading Dylan Cease while simultaneously acquiring starters from other clubs.
A few of the clubs just behind the Reds in the standings are the Cardinals and Diamondbacks. The latter club has already started a selloff, having flipped Josh Naylor to the Mariners and Randal Grichuk to the Royals. Trades of Eugenio Suárez, Zac Gallen and/or Merrill Kelly are likely in the next few days, in addition to a few others. The Cards seem to be leaning towards selling as well. In short, the Reds could have a decent shot if they’re aggressive.
A middle-of-the-order bat would be a sensible add for the Reds. The team’s offense has not been a strength this year. The team has a combined .248/.321/.395 batting line and 96 wRC+, the latter figure being in the bottom third of major league teams. No one on the team has more than 18 home runs. Elly De La Cruz, who has 18, is the only guy with more than 11. That’s despite the Reds playing in one of the most homer-friendly ballparks in the league.
Adding a bit of thump would therefore be a nice boost. They have already been connected to old friend Suárez, who has 36 homers already this year, twice as many as Cincinnati’s current team leader. There are some other sluggers who could be available.
Taylor Ward has 24 homers on the year and the Angels have fallen to 5.5 games back of a playoff spot. The Halos also have Jo Adell and his 21 long balls, though he’s cheaper than Ward and controlled for an extra year, so he should be harder to pry loose. Brandon Lowe has 19 homers in just 86 games and Yandy Díaz has 18 this year. The Rays are reportedly growing more open to the idea of flipping one or both of those two. It’s been speculated that the Athletics could be willing to part with Tyler Soderstrom, though it would surely take a haul to get him. Marcell Ozuna is available but has been in a slump for about two months. It’s a somewhat similar story for Ryan O’Hearn. Luis Robert Jr. is out there but his production and health are both mercurial. Mickey Moniak has somewhat quietly hit 16 homers this year. He’s controlled for two more seasons but the Rockies just traded Ryan McMahon, who was signed through 2027, so they should be open to flipping Moniak as well.
The Reds will have some flexibility in where they add. Gavin Lux has bounced between left field, second base and third base this year. Noelvi Marte has mostly been at the hot corner but has dabbled in right field lately. Spencer Steer is the regular at first but he can play the outfield corners. The club also doesn’t have an everyday designated hitter, giving manager Terry Francona some creative license in setting the lineup.
It’s unclear how much financial wiggle room the club will have. Their offseason moves were fairly mild. They extended a $21.05MM qualifying offer to Nick Martinez, which he accepted. The rest of the winter, they only spent a combined $7.5MM to bring in Austin Hays and Scott Barlow on one-year deals. Some of the aforementioned trade candidates still have $5MM or so to be paid on this year’s salaries. If that’s too much for the Reds, perhaps they could ask a trading partner to eat some money, though the Reds would then have to forfeit a bit more prospect capital.
The bullpen is also a logical target area for the Reds. Cincinnati relievers have a collective 3.83 earned run average this year, which puts them 13th in the majors. Emilio Pagán is the club’s closer and he has a strong 2.70 earned run average and 30.4% strikeout rate. However, he also has a .186 batting average on balls in play and 82.8% strand rate, neither of which are sustainable. His 3.83 FIP and 3.02 SIERA point to him being a solid reliever but not the ideal lock-down closer a contending club wants in the playoffs.
There are dozens of relievers available at this time of year, many of whom recently featured on MLBTR’s Top 50 list. The two top relievers on that list are David Bednar and Ryan Helsley, though those pitchers are currently rostered by Cincinnati’s division rivals. That might make it hard to line up a deal but there are lots of other options, such as Seranthony Domínguez, Danny Coulombe and old friend Raisel Iglesias.
Photo courtesy of Sam Greene, Imagn Images
Sounds good. Get it done. The only prospect untouchables for me would be Sal Stewart and Tyson Lewis. Chase Burns too, but he’s a big leaguer now.
I would add Hector Rodriguez to that list.
I wouldn’t. H Rod is a sure fire big leaguer at this point with a low or average ceiling. If he’s a headliner for a major acquisition or even him and/or Stewart- both should be available
They will need Tyson Lewis when Elly goes to the big city. Rodriguez is their only OF prospect right now.
Petty, Arroyo or any of the other 17 shortstops and Collier (since they have Stewart) are all fair game. Get rid of some of the redundancy for what you need.
Burns or Lowder is what it would take to land Tyler Soderstrom and the A’s might make that trade as bad as their starting pitching is.
They shouldn’t but they might.
I wouldn’t trade Soderstrom for either myself.
I doubt they would do what it takes to land Soderstrom.
No way that trade happens.
Bednar for Cam Collier and a pitcher
That’s a horrible proposition
Why?
They don’t even mention laureano.. but this is good news none the less
Reds should have signed him in the offseason
Bring back old friends Suarez and Iglesias.
I’m here for iglesias
Old friend JakobJunis too
“As Rosenthal notes….”
Rosenthal apparently doesn’t read this posts on this site where there are multiple teams looking at SD young pitching prospects.
Cool, I’ll believe the Reds make a serious trade when I see it.
I don’t believe many of the names mentioned are serious trades but I feel ya.
I assume you mean trading away prospects. Adding Brady Singer, Jose Trevino and Gavin Lux should all qualify as serious trades.
They have about 1.0 WAR between the 3 of them combined. Trevino has been better than expected. None of them are difference makers.
WAR is a poor measure for these 3, two of which are role players. Trevino has been excellent, while Singer gives you a very good SP5 (that was quite the game he pitched yesterday). Lux has also contributed nicely; no one expected him to take McLain’s spot at 2B. The team’s depth is so much better after acquiring these players.
All 3 trades were solid if not very good.
How about Bogaerts and Cease for some LF and catching help..
Bro
Wow!
I think Padres need to look elsewhere, unless they just want Connor Joe back.
Bogaerts is owed 1 billion dollars. He’ll be staying a Padre
Reds don’t have any pitching depth left in the upper minors to trade from, so we probably won’t get Geno. Petty bombed again last night, and wouldn’t doubt he’s hurt, too
Yeah, but he’s only 22 and controllable. He still has a lot of value.
Luis Robert Jr to the Reds seems like it’s been inevitable all season.
It does but if they still think he’s worth some big return they shouldn’t even listen, I’d rather give something up for laureano
Agreed. Or just take on Ozuna and his remaining salary for a lottery ticket or two.
@Wire: There is no way JR will pick up the 20mil option on LRJ. Getz is stuck hoping he’s healthy and playing a bad poker hand best he can.
WSox will likely kick in the 2 mil to cover someone likely declining that ’26 option in order to get the best position player prospect they can from whoever (Reds, more likely Mets with all the smoke).
I think reds should stay away from Robert. They got lucky he’s not already a red so might as well just stay away at this point
I don’t see the Reds trading for any FA guys like Suarez or Cease unless they can give up secondary prospects.
I could see Adolis Garcia from the Rangers and maybe Ozuna as the only FA from the Reds to add. Maybe even a Yandy Diaz from the Rays.
They could use a good veteran starter who can be at least a #2 but it depends on what they have to give up. If they are sold on Marte as the long term answer at SS build a deal with Collier.
They need a power bat and a late inning reliever much more than a #2 starter. They have this guy named Hunter Greene who might slot in nicely at or near the top of the rotation.
I agree. Though the above average veteran in the rotation would help take the pressure off. They don’t have a lot of playoff experience in the rotation.
Why would the Rangers, in the same position as the Reds, with the same record, deal Adolis for lotto tickets?
Give me Laureano or another solid corner OF/IF bat that is controlled thru 2026.
Also need a late inning reliever. Playoff games are won with strong bullpens.
Adell is a local guy or near enough, he’s also seemed to have finally turned a corner in his development. Like to see the reds get him ! Maybe after his time in LA he’s looking for a smaller city long term
That’s 2 years away
The Angels waited too long to trade Adell now. He’s finally producing. The guy the Angels need to deal is Ward.
Ward would fit nicely is that stadium.
Tell us something we don’t know.
That’s what we have you for.
I think Suárez is exactly what they need on offense, but if the Guardians make Steven Kwan available that’s a better option in my opinion but I’d guess he will cost more than Geno…..Kwan I believe is 28 a couple years left on his deal, he’d be an upgrade in their outfield, and is a polished hitter to lengthen their lineup…jmo
Good point and Francona would be happy getting his former player added for the WC push.
I find it hard to believe Cleveland would deal Kwan, but if so and I were the Reds, I’d be all over that. They do need outfielders, after all.
Why are Pagan’s metrics unsustainable?
He’s done it for 100+ games. Maybe his strength is inducing weak contact….
Over-thinking the numbers maybe.
Some sabremetricians think everything is a small sample and any success any player has is unsustainable. Some will probably tell you we never saw enough of Babe Ruth to really know who he is.
I think they need another back end of the bullpen guy as an alternative for using Santillan and Pagan every day. Santillan especially may get burned out.
Not super familiar with the Reds and how their fans view and value their players so forgive me
Taylor Ward for one of Marté, Petty, or Collier? Too much? Too little?
Reds management is like Golem with the one ring with his prospects – “mu precious” even if they have several at the same position.
I doubt Marte is traded unless they get Suarez and extend him and maybe he even goes to RF. Petty and Collier probably not traded unless for a big name.
I wouldn’t be mad if petty were part of a ward trade
Cookie Monster, I’d rather keep Marte than trade him for Ward (who has a lesser OPS and is almost 32 vs almost almost 24). And Marte is controlled through 2030 vs 2026 for Ward.
Too little for Marte or Collier, but debatable on Petty.
This One, the character you reference in your off target metaphor is Gollum.
Smh … lol
As an Angels fan, the only one worth much would be Chase Petty. I think the Angels can do much better than those other 2 options.
Petty Plus another prospect might get it done.
Angels need to dump Ward on someone immediately!!! They should be able to get a nice prospect in return.