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Yankees Discussing Jack Flaherty Trade, Planning To Deal Nestor Cortes If Completed

By Tim Dierkes | July 29, 2024 at 3:41pm CDT

The Yankees are in “extensive trade talks” for Tigers righty Jack Flaherty, according to Bob Nightengale of USA Today.  The Yankees plan to trade starter Nestor Cortes if they land Flaherty, adds Nightengale.  Earlier today, we learned that Flaherty has been scratched from tonight’s start against the Guardians, with a trade expected soon.

Flaherty, who will be a free agent after the season, has experienced a resurgence this season and is sporting a career-best 27.5 K-BB% through 18 starts.  The Tigers are 5.5 games out in the wild card and are a long shot to reach the playoffs, so Flaherty seems very likely to be dealt before tomorrow’s 5pm central time trade deadline.

The Yankees, meanwhile, are one game back of the Orioles in the AL East and currently hold a wild card spot.  The Yanks have limped to an 8-13 record in July, though they won their last two at Boston.  Senior vice president and GM Brian Cashman added Jazz Chisholm Jr. via trade yesterday, and is known to be seeking reinforcements for the pitching staff.

The New York Post’s Joel Sherman connected the Yankees to Flaherty on Saturday, and Sherman’s colleague Jon Heyman reported Cortes’ availability earlier today.  Flaherty would form a dynamic 1-2 punch with ace Gerrit Cole.  Even sans Cortes, the club could be adequately covered for the rest of the regular season with Carlos Rodon, Marcus Stroman, and Luis Gil, with Clarke Schmidt on the mend from a lat strain.  It’s also worth noting that Gil will surpass his professional career-high in innings (108 2/3) if he records five or more outs tonight in Philadelphia, so the Yankees may need to back off to keep him fresh for October.

Cortes, who leads the Yankees with 124 1/3 innings this year, owns a 4.13 ERA at present.  With a 17.4 K-BB%, he’s an entirely capable big league pitcher, though he lacks the strikeout stuff Flaherty has shown this year.  Cortes is under team control through 2025 as an arbitration eligible player, and will earn a raise on this year’s $3.95MM salary.

According to Cot’s Baseball Contracts, the Yankees’ competitive balance tax payroll currently sits around $315MM.  The club pays a 110% tax on anything above $297MM.  A Cortes-Flaherty contract swap-out would increase the team’s CBT hit by around $3.3MM for the remainder of the season, which would carry a tax of about $3.6MM.  But given that the Yankees are considering all sorts of different scenarios, we won’t know where the dust settles until about 24 hours from now.

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Detroit Tigers New York Yankees Jack Flaherty Nestor Cortes

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Lucas Erceg “Drawing Significant Interest”

By Tim Dierkes | July 29, 2024 at 2:46pm CDT

Hard-throwing Athletics righty reliever Lucas Erceg is “drawing significant interest,” according to Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic.  Erceg, 29, is controllable for five seasons beyond this one.

Erceg, a second round pick by the Brewers back in 2016, had served as a two-way player in college but didn’t get serious about pitching until 2021.  This year, his second for the A’s, Erceg has cut his formerly worrisome walk rate down to 8.3%.  That’s paired with a healthy 26.3 K% and a 98.8 average fastball velocity that ranks 13th in MLB.  Erceg also has a strong 50.5% groundball rate and excellent barrel and hard-hit rates, so the ingredients are in place for an ERA lower than his current 3.68 mark.

Erceg spent a couple weeks on the IL for forearm tightness earlier this season.  He’s shown no ill effects with his fastball velocity, but did struggle for a couple of weeks upon his return.  Erceg’s past three outings have been scoreless, however, including a save Friday in Los Angeles.

Erceg’s bullpen-mate Mason Miller, one of the few relievers in baseball who throws harder, fractured his left pinkie a few days ago.  That moves Erceg up in the pecking order for A’s manager Mark Kotsay, along with fellow trade candidate Scott Alexander.  According to Rosenthal, the A’s have also “exchanged names” with teams on Alexander, a veteran lefty who bears little resemblance to Erceg as a pitcher.

Michael Kopech, who sits just above Erceg on the velocity rankings, landed with the Dodgers in a three-team deal Monday afternoon.  ESPN’s Kiley McDaniel connected the Phillies to both relievers earlier today, though he was unsure how the Phillies’ acquisition of Carlos Estevez affects their interest. Erceg, who will not be arbitration-eligible 2026 at the earliest, could be of particular appeal to teams with competitive balance tax concerns.

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Athletics Philadelphia Phillies Lucas Erceg Scott Alexander

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Jack Flaherty Scratched From Start Tonight; Trade Expected Soon

By Tim Dierkes | July 29, 2024 at 1:16pm CDT

Tigers righty Jack Flaherty is being scratched from tonight’s start in Detroit against the Guardians, according to Joel Sherman and Jon Heyman of the New York Post.  Heyman says a trade “should be expected soon,” so the Tigers aren’t taking any chances.  Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press isn’t aware of a deal in place, but agrees the Tigers “still plan to trade him.”

Flaherty, 29 in October, has a 2.95 ERA in 18 starts this year.  Among pitchers with at least 100 innings, his 32 K% ranks fifth in all of MLB.  Flaherty will be a rental, given the one-year, $14MM deal he signed with the Tigers back in December.  The Tigers enter play tonight 5.5 games out in the wild card race, but their estimated 5.2% chance at the playoffs evidently is not enough to convince president of baseball operations Scott Harris to hang on to his co-ace and just issue a qualifying offer after the season.

Flaherty, a first-round pick by the Cardinals a decade ago, finished fourth in the NL Cy Young voting in 2019.  An oblique strain cost him more than two months in 2021, after which he strained his shoulder and had to work out of the bullpen.  Shoulder issues persisted into 2022, a season in which Flaherty tallied only 36 innings.  Amid an unimpressive ’23 season, the Cardinals shipped their former ace to the Orioles in an uneventful deal.  Just shy of a year later, the old Jack Flaherty is back, to the great benefit of the Tigers and his likely new team.  Flaherty missed a few starts in June due to a back injury, but he avoided the IL and has taken his last three turns with excellent results.

If a Flaherty trade is prospect-focused, it will represent a nail in the coffin on the Tigers’ 2024 season.  The club’s rotation depth is perilously thin behind Tarik Skubal and Flaherty, featuring veteran Kenta Maeda and rookie Keider Montero.  Reese Olson is on the IL with an apparently mild shoulder injury, while Casey Mize is working his way back from a hamstring injury.

Flaherty is a top target for many contenders, given his excellence, past success, and availability.  The Padres, Dodgers, Yankees, and Astros have been linked to him, and even the Orioles haven’t been ruled out despite the pitcher’s struggles with that club last year.  That’s likely not a complete list of suitors for Flaherty.

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Detroit Tigers Jack Flaherty

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Live Chat With Fantasy Baseball Expert Nicklaus Gaut

By Tim Dierkes | July 29, 2024 at 9:55am CDT

Fantasy baseball expert Nicklaus Gaut will be holding a live chat today at 11am central time, exclusively with Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers. Use the link below to ask a question in advance, participate in the live event, and read the transcript afterward.

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Sponsored: Rapsodo Athletes Shine At 2024 MLB Draft

By Tim Dierkes | July 25, 2024 at 10:48am CDT

The following is a paid advertisement from Rapsodo. Rapsodo is the leading provider of baseball analytics technology, offering simulators that combines high-speed cameras and radar to capture and analyze athlete performance metrics. From pitch velocity and spin rate to launch angle and exit velocity, Rapsodo’s products provide comprehensive data to help pitchers refine their mechanics, hitters improve their swings, and coaches make data-driven decisions to enhance team performance.

The 2024 MLB Draft has officially wrapped up. It featured an exciting first round live from Cowtown Coliseum in Fort Worth, which included Travis Bazzana going first overall. MLB clubs then flew through 19 more rounds, picking the future faces of their franchise.

This year’s draft was showcased by future stars of the game from seniors in college and those grinding at the JUCO level to Rapsodo’s NIL athletes and stars from high school. It’s a reminder of the impact technology like Rapsodo is having on the next generation of baseball.

Rapsodo NIL Athletes Get Drafted in the First Round

This year, 90% of first-round picks have one thing in common: Rapsodo. Our industry-leading player development tools have been pivotal in helping these athletes fine-tune their skills.

By providing unparalleled insights into their pitching and hitting mechanics, Rapsodo has helped these players climb to the top of draft boards. The result? A first round packed with athletes poised to make an impact in the majors.

Chase Burns – RHP (1st Round, 2nd Pick)

Burns was the first of Rapsodo’s NIL athletes to be drafted in the 2024 MLB Draft and it didn’t take long. The Wake Forest pitcher was picked up by the Cincinnati Reds with the second overall pick of the draft.

Chase was originally projected as the sixth best prospect by MLB Pipeline, so the jump to No. 2 was a pleasant surprise. The 6’4” right-handed pitcher led all of D1 Baseball with 191 strikeouts, 30 K’s more than the next closest pitcher.

With his signature fastball that tops out at 101 MPH and a spin rate of 2,700 RPMs, he also mixes in a slider, curveball, and circle changeup into his pitch arsenal.

Jac Caglianone – TWP (1st Round, 6th Pick)

Drawing comparisons to Shohei Ohtani as the next great two-way player, Jac Caglianone was the sixth overall pick of the draft, getting picked by the Kansas City Royals.

The LHP/1B combo can touch 100 MPH on the mound and 115+ MPH off the bat. He hit 68 home runs over his last two seasons at Florida which included a stretch of hitting a home run in nine straight games, tying an NCAA record.

As a pitcher the lefty struck out 170 through 34 appearances (148 1/3 innings) across his three years in Gainesville.

The Royals will allow him to start his MLB career as a two-way player.

Vance Honeycutt – OF (1st Round, 22nd Pick)

Honeycutt is a five-tool player out of North Carolina and was taken by the Baltimore Orioles with their first round selection.

As one of the best defensive outfielders in this year’s draft, the former Tar Heel helped lead his team to the College World Series, including a walk-off hit in the opening game against Virginia.

Vance finished his career in Chapel Hill with 65 HRs and 76 stolen bases. Honeycutt slashed .318/.410/.714 this season with 28 HRs and 28 stolen bases, ranking 1st and 3rd in the ACC.

Blake Burke – 1B (CB-A, 34th Pick)

The biggest jump made by a Rapsodo athlete in the MLB Draft was Blake Burke. The first baseman, originally projected 66th by MLB, was taken with the 34th overall pick by the Milwaukee Brewers.

The power hitter was part of the College World Series champions Tennessee Volunteers, hitting 50 home runs in his time at Knoxville, which ranks second all-time.

Burke made a huge contribution to the Volunteers championship season, especially on the offensive side of the ball. He batted .379 with 108 hits, 20 home runs and 61 RBIs – all of which were career bests.

Brody Brecht – RHP (CB-A, 36th Pick)

As a two-sport athlete playing for Iowa baseball and football, Brecht decided to focus on baseball this season. The decision paid off for the Ankeny native, as he was picked by the Colorado Rockies.

His pitch arsenal consists of a four-seam fastball that reached 104 MPH this year. He also has a sweeper and a slider that is potentially his best pitch, getting up to 91 MPH.

Get Drafted with Rapsodo

At Rapsodo, our mission is to give athletes everywhere the tools they need to play like never before. By delivering precise, real-time data, we enable players and coaches to make informed decisions that lead to significant improvements. The 2024 MLB Draft is a testament to the power of our technology.

For pitchers and hitters alike, Rapsodo’s advanced analytics provide the data, data visualization, video replay and more to help develop players, create a more competitive environment, and advance recruiting / getting the next level.

Join the ranks of the next generation of baseball and get drafted with Rapsodo.

If you’re interested in learning about our new PRO 2.0 product and taking your game to the next level, email playerdevelopment@rapsodo.com and let our team of experts walk you through our products.

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Tim Dierkes’ MLB Mailbag: Skubal, Rooker, Orioles, Padres

By Tim Dierkes | July 24, 2024 at 11:58pm CDT

Today's mailbag marks the last one before the trade deadline, and covers the likelihood of Tarik Skubal and Brent Rooker trades, what the Orioles, Padres, Tigers, and other teams might do, and much more.   For further discussion of many of these topics, check out the MLBTR podcast as well.

Paul asks:

How aggressive do you see Detroit being in moving Tarik Skubal? As an O's fan I am wondering if a package centered around Basallo and some lesser guys like Norby and Stowers could get it done.

I do not expect the Tigers to trade Skubal.  They've got the AL Cy Young favorite under control through 2026 at well below-market arbitration prices.  In a couple of months, president of baseball operations Scott Harris will reach his two-year anniversary with the team.  Trading Skubal right now seems like a bit of a surrender for 2025-26, at a point in his tenure where it seems like Harris should increasingly be pushing chips in.

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Live Chat With Fantasy Baseball Expert Nicklaus Gaut

By Tim Dierkes | July 22, 2024 at 10:05am CDT

Fantasy baseball expert Nicklaus Gaut will be holding a live chat today at 11am central time, exclusively with Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers. Use the link below to ask a question in advance, participate in the live event, and read the transcript afterward.

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  • Join exclusive weekly live chats with Anthony.
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BetterHelp 101: Understanding Online Therapy And How To Find Support (Sponsored)

By Tim Dierkes | July 15, 2024 at 9:45am CDT

This is a sponsored post from BetterHelp.  As a BetterHelp affiliate, MLB Trade Rumors receives compensation from BetterHelp if you purchase products or services through the links provided.

As society’s knowledge of mental health grows, more treatment opportunities are available to a more significant number of people living with mental health challenges. One such option is online therapy, which allows individuals to receive mental health support from a device with an internet connection from any location.

What Is BetterHelp?

BetterHelp is an online therapy platform that works with a database of over 30,000 counselors, therapists, social workers, and psychologists from all 50 US states and some countries worldwide. This platform aims to break down barriers that often keep people from seeking help, such as financial burdens, a rural location with limited options for therapy, or a lack of accessibility in one’s area.

Understanding BetterHelp

BetterHelp may work differently than meeting with a traditional therapist. Below are some ways individuals can use online therapy via this service.

Signing Up

Signing up for BetterHelp often takes a few minutes. The initial sign-up process is a questionnaire which asks prospective clients about the following:

  • Reasons for seeking therapy and goals
  • The individual’s diagnosis or mental health challenge
  • Therapist gender preferences
  • Whether they’d like to meet with an LGBTQ+, Black, or Asian therapist
  • Preferences for individual, couples, or teen therapy
  • Gender, age, sexuality (optional), pronouns, and relationship status
  • Spiritual identity
  • Past experience in therapy
  • Intimacy challenges
  • Substance use habits

After filling out the questionnaire, which may take around five to ten minutes, prospective clients will be directed to fill out their name, email, and password. Then, they will be sent to the payment page, where they can choose a plan. After the payment has been processed, it often takes around 48 hours for a therapist to be matched with them.

Payment

BetterHelp plans are charged monthly for four weeks of therapy. The overall monthly cost covers four sessions with the therapist (one per week) and access to all of BetterHelp’s other resources, such as support groups and classes. Cost ranges from $65 to $100 per week, which can be more affordable than traditional therapy.

The match process

Therapists are matched with clients based on the client’s responses to the questionnaire upon signing up. The only limitation is that a therapist must be licensed to practice in the state the client lives in to be able to work with them. Clients can change providers at any time for any reason.

Using the platform

Individuals can log in through the app or website to use the BetterHelp platform. There, they can find their messages with their therapist, a journaling feature, options to schedule appointments, and extra resources. Through the settings section, clients can check their billing information, change their therapist, and edit their profile. Weekly sessions with a therapist can be held via phone, video, or live chat, all through the app or website.

Extra resources

BetterHelp offers resources that might not be offered by in-person providers, such as the following:

  • Weekly support groups
  • Online classes by mental health experts
  • Goal tracking options
  • Journaling and journal prompts
  • Worksheets

All features are included in the platform’s weekly price, so clients can access them without paying extra.

BetterHelp’s outreach

BetterHelp works with the broader community to offer support to non-profit organizations and individuals in need. They have given over 65 million dollars in discounts and financial aid to cover therapy for low-income individuals and donated over 95,000 months of free therapy to communities in need. BetterHelp partners with over 100 non-profit organizations.

Who might benefit from an online therapy platform?

Online therapy is often more flexible and convenient than in-person options. This option might benefit people with a busy schedule, such as parents, full-time workers, and athletes, who may not have the time to commute to an extra appointment. Many of the most evidence-based modalities, such as cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) and dialectical behavior therapy (DBT), are available online.

Is online therapy effective?

Since 2021, four out of ten US adults have used this option. One study reported that over 71% of participants believed it was more effective than face-to-face therapy. Another study found that online therapy often led to increased quality of life for clients with anxiety and depression and was more affordable.

Takeaway

By seeking support online, financial, locational, and accessibility barriers can be removed, allowing more people to receive the support they seek. To get started, consider working with a platform like BetterHelp.

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Live Chat With Fantasy Baseball Expert Nicklaus Gaut

By Tim Dierkes | July 15, 2024 at 8:57am CDT

Fantasy baseball expert Nicklaus Gaut will be holding a live chat today at 11am central time, exclusively with Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers. Use the link below to ask a question in advance, participate in the live event, and read the transcript afterward.

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  • Join exclusive weekly live chats with Anthony.
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Tim Dierkes’ MLB Mailbag: Skubal, Cardinals, Verdugo, Chisholm

By Tim Dierkes | July 10, 2024 at 3:45pm CDT

In this week's mailbag, I get into a possible extension for Tarik Skubal, potential fits for Ivan Herrera and Alex Verdugo, and many more trade-related questions.

Kevin asks:

Is a short term extension possible? Tarik will make about 30 million in arbitration for 2025 and 2026. What if Detroit offered him 100 million for 2025/26/27 and 28 ? Slight two year delay for Tarik but money in hand and manageable amount for Detroit. Thoughts?

Skubal, perhaps the current favorite for the AL Cy Young award, turns 28 in November.  As Kevin said, the lefty has two more years of arbitration eligibility before hitting free agency in advance of his age-30 season.

Skubal is a Boras client, but there is reason for him to consider locking in a big payday now.  His 2022 season ended on August 1 due to something alternately called forearm inflammation and then just "left arm fatigue."  He went on to have flexor tendon surgery on August 17 of that year.  As a result, Skubal's 2023 debut was on July 4th, and he returned a different pitcher.  He averaged 94.29 miles per hour on his four-seam fastball in 2022, and after he returned from surgery the following year, that was up to 95.81.  He started throwing his four-seamer more and his strikeout rate leapt forward, turning Skubal into one of the game's best pitchers.

This year, Skubal's fastball velocity has climbed further still, up to 96.99 mph.  Since June 19th, he's at 97.47.  In very Jacob deGrom-like fashion, Skubal is now throwing a full three mph faster than he was before his surgery.

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