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Tarik Skubal Wins AL Cy Young Award

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For a second straight season, Tarik Skubal is the American League Cy Young award winner. He beat out Garrett Crochet and Hunter Brown, the other two finalists. Skubal received 26 of 30 first-place votes. The other four voters had him second behind Crochet, and those pitchers were 1-2 in some order on every ballot.

Skubal is the first pitcher to win back-to-back Cy Youngs since Jacob deGrom took the NL honors in 2018 and ’19. He’s the 23rd pitcher in MLB history to win the award twice. Skubal cemented himself as one of the two best pitchers on the planet by turning in a 2.21 earned run average across 31 starts. He recorded 241 strikeouts, 13 more than he did during last year’s award-winning season, and won a second straight ERA title.

The Tigers’ star southpaw was fourth in the AL in innings, second in strikeouts behind Crochet, and trailed only Logan Gilbert with a 32.2% strikeout rate (minimum 100 innings). Both FanGraphs and Baseball Reference credited him the most Wins Above Replacement of any AL pitcher. He also had the lowest FIP (2.45) and SIERA (2.71). He tied Brown and Bryan Woo for second in the league with 21 quality starts, one behind Crochet.

Skubal is headed into his final season of arbitration control. With no progress on a long-term extension, there’ll surely be teams trying to pry him out of Detroit. It’s very difficult to imagine the Tigers trading their ace on the heels of two consecutive playoff appearances, though. He’ll likely be back as A.J. Hinch’s Opening Day starter and go for a third consecutive AL Cy Young while trying to get Detroit back to October.

It’s the first top three finish for both Crochet and Brown. The Red Sox could not have asked for more out of Crochet in his first season in Boston. He led the AL in strikeouts and innings pitched (205 1/3) while pitching to a 2.59 ERA over 32 starts. This was only Crochet’s second season as a starting pitcher and his first logging a full starter’s workload. The White Sox had eased him back in the second half of the ’24 campaign to not put too much stress on his arm after years working in relief. He demonstrated he’s capable of maintaining his stuff and ace level over a full season with the Red Sox, who signed him through the 2031 season in April.

Brown’s top three placement earned the Astros an extra pick after the first round of the 2026 draft under the Prospect Promotion Incentive. Houston’s ace turned in a 2.43 ERA across 31 starts. He struck out a career-high 206 batters over 185 1/3 innings. This was Brown’s first time receiving any Cy Young votes. He’s entering arbitration and is under club control for another three seasons.

Voters unanimously had Skubal and Crochet as the AL’s best pitchers in some order. Brown was the consensus choice for third, receiving 24 of 30 third-place votes. The other six third-place nods went to Max Fried. Brown and Fried appeared on all but one ballot apiece. Woo finished comfortably in fifth. Carlos Rodón, Aroldis Chapman, Jacob deGrom, Trevor Rogers and Drew Rasmussen were the other pitchers to receive at least one vote.

Image courtesy of Stephen Brashear, Imagn Images. Full vote tally available via BBWAA.

Tony Gonsolin Elects Free Agency

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The Dodgers announced Wednesday that right-hander Tony Gonsolin went unclaimed on waivers and elected free agency. He was designated for assignment last week. Gonsolin underwent a flexor repair and internal brace procedure on his right UCL back in August. The procedure came with a recovery timetable of eight to ten months.

Now 31 years old, Gonsolin looked like a potential rotation stalwart with the Dodgers early in his career. From 2019-22, he pitched a combined 272 2/3 innings with a 2.51 ERA while fanning nearly one quarter of his opponents and posting a solid 8.5% walk rate. A pair of IL stints due to shoulder inflammation, plus time off due to an ankle sprain and forearm inflammation, limited Gonsolin’s workload in that four-year period. (As did the shortened 2020 season, of course.)

Still, Gonsolin avoided major injury until the 2023 season, when recurring elbow troubles limited him to 103 frames with a 4.98 ERA. He eventually required Tommy John surgery, sidelining him for the entire 2024 campaign. A back injury hobbled him early in 2025, but Gonsolin did return to the mound for the Dodgers in late April. He started seven games, totaled 36 innings and posted a 5.00 ERA before landing back on the injured list with renewed elbow discomfort in early July. By mid-August, he was going back under the knife.

The 93.5 mph Gonsolin averaged on his fastball in this year’s return is a ways off from its 95.1 mph peak in 2020, but it’s also a bit higher than the right-hander managed to average in 2022-23. This year’s 12.2% swinging-strike rate and 24.2% strikeout rate were both comfortably better than league average. Gonsolin struggled with his command, both in terms of missing the strike zone entirely (11.5% walk rate) and lacking precision within the zone itself (2.25 HR/9), but there were some moderately encouraging signs even amid his struggles.

Given that he’s now facing another lengthy rehab that will extend from somewhere between next April and June, he’ll be capped on a short-term deal. Opportunistic clubs may look to buy low on a one-year deal, and we’ve seen pitchers in similar situations command even modest two year pacts.

Two years would be a surprise, given Gonsolin’s recent injury track record and just 36 MLB innings over the past two seasons, but it’s not entirely implausible. He could opt to increase his earning potential by waiting until he’s healthy to re-sign, but he should have interest from clubs this offseason and will be viewed as someone who could be a midseason reinforcement to a club’s pitching staff and/or a trade chip for a rebuilding club.

At Least Seven Teams Have Inquired On Ketel Marte

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While general manager Mike Hazen has characterized the trade of a star hitter from his roster as “mostly unlikely,” teams are still going to make an effort to pry second baseman Ketel Marte loose this winter. John Gambadoro of 98.7 Arizona Sports reports that at least seven teams have inquired with the D-backs about Marte’s availability in recent days. Hazen has said publicly that he’ll at least hear interested teams out as a matter of due diligence — “I still have to do my job,” he told Gambadoro just yesterday — but that’s far from the same as calling other clubs and initiating Marte conversations on his own.

Marte, 32, is coming off a trio of monster seasons in Arizona. Dating back to 2023, he’s slashed a combined .283/.368/.519 with 89 home runs, 77 doubles, 11 triples, 19 steals (in 24 tries), an 11.2% walk rate and just a 16.7% strikeout rate. Marte’s paltry 14.9% strikeout rate in ’25 was his lowest since a 13.7% mark back in 2019. On top of that excellent production, he’s owed $102.5MM over the next six seasons — an eminently affordable rate in today’s game. (The sixth year on that commitment is an $11.5MM player option.)

All of that makes a compelling case for Arizona to simply keep Marte and continue to build around him, outfielder Corbin Carroll and shortstop Geraldo Perdomo. All three have cemented themselves as star-caliber talents, thanks in no small part to Perdomo’s sensational breakout showing in 2025. All three are signed long-term and locked in through at least the 2030 season.

At the same time, the D-backs have a crowded payroll and need significant help on the pitching side of the equation. Corbin Burnes will miss most or all of 2026 following Tommy John surgery performed back in June. Zac Gallen is a free agent. Merrill Kelly was traded at the deadline. The D-backs’ top two relievers, A.J. Puk and Justin Martinez, both had UCL surgery earlier this year as well.

Presently, their rotation includes veteran Eduardo Rodriguez, coming off back-to-back seasons with an ERA just over 5.00, and 27-year-old righties Ryne Nelson and Brandon Pfaadt. Nelson had a breakout performance in 2025, but Pfaadt’s longstanding home run troubles continued as he pitched to a 5.25 ERA in 176 2/3 innings. The D-backs don’t have any other healthy starters who’ve logged even a full season at the MLB level. Twenty-eight-year-old Tommy Henry, who had UCL surgery back in June, is the only other starting pitcher on the 40-man roster with more than 105 MLB innings under his belt. He has a 5.07 ERA with worse-than-average strikeout and walk rates.

By all accounts, the D-backs still hope to contend around a core including Carroll, Perdomo, Marte, Nelson and standout catcher Gabriel Moreno. They’ll need to add at least two starting pitchers to the equation and bring in multiple relievers. They also lack clear solutions at the two infield corners and could use another outfielder — particularly with Lourdes Gurriel Jr. sidelined by a late ACL tear.

It’s a daunting task on the surface — and one that’s made even trickier by the fact that owner Ken Kendrick has already acknowledged that payroll will drop below last year’s franchise-record levels. Thanks largely to their surprising signing of Burnes, the Snakes logged an Opening Day payroll north of $190MM. RosterResource currently projects them for about $143MM in 2026 commitments, though that number could drop depending on what happens with their arbitration class. Puk, projected for a $3.3MM salary, will likely be non-tendered given that he’ll be a free agent next winter and had UCL surgery in late June. Right-hander Kevin Ginkel ($3MM projection) and outfielders Jake McCarthy ($1.9MM) and Alek Thomas ($2.2MM) could all be non-tender or trade candidates after disappointing seasons.

Those arbitration decisions won’t move the needle all that much, however — not when there are this many holes to fill. Trading Marte wouldn’t be popular but could net multiple big leaguers — presumably at least one in the rotation — and trim $15MM from next year’s payroll. The D-backs would be hard-pressed to claim they’re better in 2026 without Marte than they are with him, however, and they understandably appear to prefer keeping him and building out the club with a lighter payroll target than in ’25. Robust interest notwithstanding, it seems likely that they’ll hang onto Marte barring a massive return that also frees them to more aggressively attack the free-agent market.

Giants To Hire Hunter Mense As Hitting Coach

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The Giants are going to hire Blue Jays assistant hitting coach Hunter Mense as their hitting coach, reports Mitch Bannon of The Athletic. Yesterday, Andrew Baggarly of The Athletic reported that the Giants were targeting Mense.

Mense, 41, played baseball at the University of Missouri at the same time as new Giants manager Tony Vitello. Mense was drafted by the Marlins and played in the minor league system for a while, then spent some time in indy ball. Once his playing days were done, he pivoted to coaching, working in the Blue Jays’ minor league system.

He was promoted to the major league staff ahead of the 2022 season. It’s always tough to give one coach credit for the performance of several players, but for what it’s worth, the Jays have performed well during his time as an assistant hitting coach. Over the past four years, the Jays have a .257/.326/.416 line and 109 wRC+, which puts them fourth-best in the majors.

Last week, Blue Jays general manager Ross Atkins said there would be no “proactive subtractions” from the coaching staff. However, it seems Mense has been lured to San Francisco by his former college teammate offering him a promotion. The Giants have had Pat Burrell as their hitting coach for the past two years. It was reported last week that he would be staying with the Giants but in a different role.

The Giants have been hovering around .500 for the past four years. In 2025, they hit .235/.311/.386 for a wRC+ of 97. Perhaps a full season from Rafael Devers and/or a breakout from Bryce Eldridge will help them break through, but Mense will also try to do his part to help. The Jays will presumably look to add an assistant to replace Mense, whether that’s an internal promotion or external hire.

Photo courtesy of Nathan Ray Seebeck, Imagn Images

Orioles To Name Donnie Ecker Bench Coach

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The Orioles are hiring former Reds, Giants and Rangers coach Donnie Ecker as their new bench coach, reports the Baltimore Sun’s Jacob Calvin Meyer. Ecker was the Giants’ hitting coach in 2020-21 and worked alongside new O’s skipper Craig Albernaz on that staff. Following that stint, he was the hitting coach in Texas before being promoted to bench coach and offensive coordinator. The Rangers fired Ecker back in May after a disappointing start to the season for the Texas lineup.

The 39-year-old Ecker was a 22nd-round draft pick by the Rangers back in 2007 and spent a couple seasons as a second baseman in their system before moving onto a two-year stint on the independent circuit. Since calling it quits as a player, he’s coached in the college ranks, worked on the Cardinals’ player development staff and held several coaching roles (assistant hitting coach, hitting coach, bench coach, offensive coordinator) between the Reds, Giants and Rangers.

Ecker will be the top lieutenant for a new-look Orioles coaching staff. Beyond the hirings of Albernaz and Ecker, Baltimore has brought in Jason Bourgeois as a first base/outfield coach and hired Dustin Lind as a hitting coach. Bourgeois, a former big league outfielder who played with Albernaz in the minors, has spent the past two seasons as the White Sox’ first base coach. Lind also coached with Albernaz on the 2020 Giants. He’s been an assistant hitting coach with either San Francisco or Philadelphia in each of the past five seasons.

The Orioles still have a handful of vacancies to fill on the staff. While Lind is the top hitting coach, they’ll likely add at least one assistant after former assistant hitting coaches Tommy Joseph and Sherman Johnson were not retained.

There could also be an opening at third base coach. Buck Britton held that role after former third base coach Tony Mansolino was elevated to interim manager following Brandon Hyde’s dismissal in May. Mansolino interviewed for the full-time managerial post but was not selected for the job and has since been hired to the Braves’ coaching staff. The O’s have interest in retaining Britton, per MASNsports.com’s Roch Kubatko, but nothing has been finalized. There’s been no formal word on whether pitching coach Drew French, assistant pitching coach Ryan Klimek or Mitch Plassmeyer will be retained.

Tigers Designate Alex Lange For Assignment

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The Tigers announced that they have claimed right-hander Dugan Darnell off waivers from the Pirates. The Bucs designated him for assignment last week. To open a roster spot for Darnell, the Tigers designated righty Alex Lange for assignment.

Lange, 30, is not too far removed from being Detroit’s closer. He notched 26 saves for the club in 2023. He pitched 66 innings that year, allowing 3.68 earned runs per nine. He struck out 27.4% of batters faced and got grounders on 50.6% of balls in play, though his massive 15.6% walk rate was worrisome.

The bottom fell out from there. His 2024 started out poorly. Through 18 2/3 innings, he had a 4.34 ERA. That wasn’t an atrocious jump but there were worse signs under the hood. His grounder rate fell to 45.8% and his strikeout rate to 23.3%. His walk rate, which was already awful, climbed to 18.9%. The Tigers optioned him to the minors in May of that year. A few weeks later, he suffered an injury and required lat surgery. He missed the final few months of the season and began 2025 on the 60-day injured list. He wasn’t reinstated from the IL until August.

A few days after coming off the IL, he was optioned to the minors and spent the rest of the year there. That burned his third option, meaning he will be out of options going forward. He’s also eligible for arbitration, with MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz projecting him for a $900K salary next year. He was likely going to be non-tendered next week but the Tigers have instead bumped him off the roster today to make this claim.

Lange will be in DFA limbo for a week at most. The waiver process takes 48 hours, so the Tigers could take five days to explore trade interest. They probably won’t find much, given that Lange has been injured for most of the past two years. His work in Triple-A this year resembled his past self, not in a great way. He logged 23 1/3 Triple-A innings in 2025 with a 4.63 ERA, 29.6% strikeout rate and 54.7% ground ball rate but a 14.3% walk rate.

If he were to clear waivers, he would have the right to elect free agency. He doesn’t cost much and still has three years of club control, so perhaps some rebuilding club could take a shot on him and hope for a bounceback.

Darnell, 28, still has a limited track record. He made nine appearances with the Rockies in 2025, logging 11 2/3 innings. In September, he underwent surgery to address a torn left hip labrum. The timeline given at that time was eight months. The Pirates claimed him off waivers in October but have now lost him to the Tigers.

Since the major league track record is so shallow, the Bucs and Tigers were presumably more interested in his work on the farm. He has 255 1/3 minor league innings under his belt with a 3.74 ERA. That includes 53 2/3 Triple-A innings this year, in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League, with a 3.19 ERA, 28.8% strikeout rate, 8.7% walk rate and 43.5% ground ball rate. He can give the Tigers some extra bullpen depth whenever he has recovered from his hip surgery.

Photo courtesy of Charles LeClaire, Imagn Images

Marlins Could Spend More Than Previous Offseasons

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A couple of lower-payroll clubs could spend a bit more than usual, as Ken Rosenthal and Will Sammon of The Athletic report that agents are saying the Pirates and Marlins are showing a greater willingness to spend. MLBTR covered the Pirates in this post.

“We have put ourselves in a position based on the improvement we made in 2025,” Marlins president of baseball operations Peter Bendix said, per The Athletic. “We think we can put together a really exciting team for 2026 and also continue our quest to build a foundation of talent at all levels that will allow us to stay good for a long period of time.”

For Bendix, spending more is a low bar to clear. This is his third offseason since being hired to run the club’s front office. In his first, they only signed one free agent to a big league deal, giving shortstop Tim Anderson $5MM. Last winter, they signed infielder Eric Wagaman to a split deal and then gave $3.5MM to right-hander Cal Quantrill. It would be hard to spend less.

There are reasons to be more aggressive now. As Bendix alluded to in his quote, the Marlins flashed some encouraging signs in 2025. They went from 62 wins in 2024 to 79 this year. They were 35-32 after the All-Star break.

That perhaps gives the club a bit of momentum heading into 2026. They also have almost nothing on the books, thanks to the aforementioned lack of spending over the past few years. As of right now, they have literally one player signed to a guaranteed contract for 2026. Sandy Alcantara is owed $17MM next year, followed by a $21MM club option for 2027 with a $2MM buyout. Other than that, the future payroll is completely clean.

No one will expect them to jump to the top of the market but they could make a few targeted strikes. It has already been suggested that they could target the infield corners and/or the bullpen, including a connection to Devin Williams.

The Athletic downplays the corner infield pursuit a bit, suggesting the Marlins may not want to block internal options. That could include guys like Graham Pauley, Connor Norby or Deyvison De Los Santos. It’s also possible Agustín Ramírez ends up moving from catcher to first, especially once Joe Mack reaches the majors.

Instead, it’s suggested by The Athletic that the Fish could add to the rotation, even though it’s already a strength. They currently project to have a starting group including Alcantara, Eury Pérez, Edward Cabrera, Ryan Weathers, Braxton Garrett, Max Meyer, Ryan Gusto, Dax Fulton, Adam Mazur, Thomas White, Robby Snelling and others.

There are some question marks in there but the group is strong enough that rumors have swirled around Alcantara and Cabrera. Perhaps a trade could be combined with a free agent signing. Last offseason, the Marlins traded Jesús Luzardo to the Phillies for prospects and then signed Quantrill.

Presumably, they would be aiming higher this time around. It would be quite shocking for them to target the top free agent starters like Dylan Cease or Framber Valdez but perhaps signing someone like Michael King, Zac Gallen, Brandon Woodruff, Shota Imanaga, Chris Bassitt or Merrill Kelly would be feasible, depending on how those markets play out. Time will tell how it all goes for the Marlins but they are going into the winter with a bit of optimism and could be more interesting than they have been in a few years.

Photo courtesy of Sam Navarro, Imagn Images

Twins Add Grady Sizemore To Coaching Staff

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The Twins have hired former big league outfielder and former White Sox coach/interim manager Grady Sizemore to their coaching staff, reports Bobby Nightengale of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune. He’ll serve as new manager Derek Shelton’s first base coach and will also be the team’s primary outfield and baserunning instructor. Last year’s first base coach, Ramon Borrego, will slide across the diamond and coach third base. Borrego will also continue working with the team’s infielders.

Now 43 years old, Sizemore tormented the Twins as a division-rival in Cleveland during his days as a player — particularly early in his career. From 2004-08, Sizemore looked like he was on a Hall of Fame trajectory. He made three straight All-Star teams, won two Gold Gloves and took home a Silver Slugger — a testament to his well-rounded excellence. By the time Sizemore was headed into his age-26 campaign, he’d already appeared in 682 MLB games and slashed .279/.370/.491 (127 wRC+) with 111 home runs and 117 doubles in 3109 plate appearances. Baseball-Reference valued his age-21 through age-25 seasons at nearly 26 wins above replacement. FanGraphs was more bullish, crediting him with more than 28 WAR.

Of course, injuries would derail that scintillating start to Sizemore’s career. After missing only a combined nine games from 2005-08, Sizemore never topped 106 games in a single season again. He underwent elbow surgery in 2009, knee surgery in 2010 and back surgery in 2012. Sizemore played sporadically from 2009-15, hitting a combined .238/.309/.393 in just 1615 plate appearances before retiring.

After several years away from the game, Sizemore wanted back into the sport badly enough that he took an internship with the Diamondbacks. A year later, he interviewed for and landed a job on the White Sox’ coaching staff. When Chicago fired then-manager Pedro Grifol late in the 2024 season, Sizemore served as the interim manager down the stretch. He was a candidate for the managerial vacancy that went to Will Venable last offseason but was still retained in 2025, holding the title of White Sox’ offensive coordinator.

Sizemore is the latest addition to what’ll be a largely revamped Minnesota coaching staff. Borrego and pitching coach Pete Maki have been retained, but much of the rest of the staff will look different under Shelton than it did under former skipper Rocco Baldelli. Former Twin LaTroy Hawkins has already been tabbed as the team’s new bullpen coach, and the Twins have moved on from third base coach Tommy Watkins, bench coach Jayce Tingler, catching coach/assistant bench coach Hank Conger and bullpen coach Colby Suggs. They’re reportedly eyeing Yankees hitting coach James Rowson as a potential bench coach under Shelton. Rowson was also the Twins’ hitting coach from 2017-19.

David Fletcher To Retire

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Veteran infielder David Fletcher is retiring, reports Robert Murray of FanSided. The 31-year-old spent the majority of his seven-year MLB career with the Angels.

Los Angeles took Fletcher in the sixth round of the 2015 draft. The 5’9″ infielder posted strong batted-ball skills at each level of the minors, reaching Triple-A in 2017. Fletcher put up a healthy 143 wRC+ over 58 games with Triple-A Salt Lake in 2018, earning a callup to the big-league club. Los Angeles had Andrelton Simmons penciled in at shortstop, but an Ian Kinsler trade opened up regular playing time at second base. Fletcher hit .275 over 307 plate appearances in his first taste of MLB action.

Fletcher delivered his best results in the shortened 2020 season. He slashed .319/.376/.425 across 49 games. Fletcher bounced around the infield, making starts at second base, shortstop, and third base. He also appeared once in right field. The strong campaign helped Fletcher land a five-year, $26MM extension just before the 2021 season.

Following the extension, Fletcher took over as the Angels’ full-time second baseman. He played a career-high 157 games in 2021. Fletcher earned strong defensive marks (9 DRS, 8 Outs Above Average) in 1,212 innings at second base. He also swiped 15 bags, after coming into the season with just 13 career steals. Fletcher’s production at the plate, however, trailed off considerably. He scuffled to a 69 wRC+ over 665 plate appearances. Fletcher was dropped from the leadoff spot to ninth in the order by May. He regained the leadoff spot midseason, but closed the year back in the nine hole.

Hip and hand injuries derailed Fletcher’s 2022 campaign. He was available for just 61 games. Fletcher once again performed well in the field, while he struggled as a hitter. He opened the 2023 season healthy, but went 2-for-16 in April and was demoted to Triple-A Sacramento. Fletcher appeared in just 33 games with the Angels that year. Los Angeles flipped him to Atlanta in December 2023, allowing the team some short-term financial flexibility.

Fletcher’s career would take some twists and turns after his tenure with the Angels. Atlanta passed him through waivers shortly after the trade. Unsurprisingly, no team wanted to pick up the rest of Fletcher’s deal, and he went unclaimed. He spent the majority of the season in the minors with Atlanta, but not as an infielder. Fletcher transitioned to pitching that season, utilizing a knuckleball to try to make an MLB comeback. He made 22 appearances across two levels, posting a 6.39 ERA. During the middle of the 2024 season, a report emerged linking Fletcher to the bookmaker used by Shohei Ohtani’s former interpreter, Ippei Mizuhara. According to the report, Fletcher placed bets with the illegal Southern California gambling ring, though those wagers were not on baseball.

Fletcher ditched the pitching experiment and went back to the infield in 2025. He played in 83 games across Double-A and Triple-A this past season, slashing .185/.233/.258. Atlanta declined his $8MM club option last week. He elected minor league free agency, but will now head into retirement.

We at MLB Trade Rumors congratulate Fletcher on a solid career and wish him the best in his future endeavours.

Photo courtesy of Gary A. Vasquez, Imagn Images

Reds’ Krall Further Downplays Chances Of Hunter Greene Trade

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Reds president of baseball operations Nick Krall has already downplayed the idea of trading from his rotation this winter, but the fact that he didn’t expressly state he will not trade ace Hunter Greene led to some fan bases, and surely some rival teams, clinging to the faint hope that Cincinnati’s top starter might be available. At this week’s GM Meetings, Krall again downplayed the idea of trading a starting pitcher and was a bit more forceful with regard to Greene in particular (link via Gordon Wittenmyer of the Cincinnati Enquirer). Krall still declined to speak in absolutes but came close when speaking about the possibility of trading Greene, specifically:

“…[T]hat’s a hard one to actually say, ’Hey, we’re going to trade the guy that has a chance to be the ace of your staff and top-of-the-rotation guy going into the postseason.’ We’re looking to figure out how to get better, but right now that’s not on the table.”

Greene, 26, is signed for another three seasons and owed a guaranteed $41MM in that time. His contract contains a club option that, if exercised, would bring his four-year earnings total to $60MM. He could slightly boost his 2028-29 salaries via All-Star nominations and Cy Young voting.

Cy Young consideration is hardly far-fetched for Greene. Early in the 2025 season, he looked squarely in the National League mix. A pair of groin strains wound up limiting him to 19 starts and dashing those hopes, but when he was healthy Greene turned in a 2.76 ERA with a 31.4% strikeout rate and 6.2% walk rate in 107 2/3 innings. A year prior, he gave the Reds 150 1/3 frames of 2.75 ERA ball.

Greene, the No. 2 overall pick in the 2017 draft, is one of baseball’s hardest throwers and clearly one of the most talented overall pitchers in the NL — if not in all of MLB. Among the 78 pitchers who have tossed at least 250 innings since 2024, his 2.76 ERA ranks sixth, trailing only Paul Skenes, Tarik Skubal, Chris Sale, Zack Wheeler and Yoshinobu Yamamoto. His 29.2% strikeout rate ranks eighth among that same set of pitchers, and the 21.1-point differential between his strikeout and walk percentages sits 11th in the sport.

The Reds could extract a king’s ransom for Greene, but it’s never seemed likely that they’d pull the trigger on moving a potential four years of control over a Cy Young-caliber arm who only just turned 26 — particularly coming off a late run to the postseason. The Reds need to add multiple bats to their lineup, and the front office isn’t expecting much of a payroll bump, but teams generally balk at trading this much affordable control over a player this talented.

The safe bet will be to expect Greene to again head up one of the game’s best rotations. He’ll be joined by Andrew Abbott, Nick Lodolo and Brady Singer, with top prospect Chase Burns (another former No. 2 overall pick) the early favorite for the final spot. Top prospects Chase Petty and Rhett Lowder, both former first-rounders themselves, loom in the upper minors. Lefty Brandon Williamson and righty Julian Aguiar are on the mend from 2024 Tommy John surgery and should be options in 2026.

Given that wealth of pitching, other clubs will surely try to pry some arms loose. Singer has just one year of relatively pricey club control remaining (projected $11.9MM salary), making him the most prototypical trade candidate of the bunch. Lodolo has two years of arbitration control. Abbott has three. The potential return the Reds could extract from another club would improve with every additional year of control they’re willing to surrender, but as Krall has said in the past, dealing from the established group might simply necessitate signing a veteran to backfill those lost innings.

If the Reds are indeed loath to part with pitching talent, they could look into trading a controllable young position player for a more established hitter that’s closer to free agency. Shortstop Elly De La Cruz isn’t going anywhere, and the Reds only just traded for third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes at the deadline. But the Reds also have Matt McLain, Sal Stewart, Christian Encarnacion-Strand and Spencer Steer on the roster and won’t find regular at-bats for the whole bunch. (Encarnacion-Strand’s stock is in the tank after two injury-marred, unproductive seasons.) Prospects Cam Collier and Edwin Arroyo aren’t too far from MLB readiness themselves.

There are ways to go about trading for an offensive upgrade without sacrificing much or any of the current rotation depth, and while the payroll isn’t set for a big increase, there’s still room to splash around some cash on the open market, too. The Reds currently have a payroll projection of about $97.5MM, per RosterResource. That’s before factoring in potential trades or non-tenders of arbitration-eligible names like Gavin Lux (projected $5MM salary), Will Benson ($1.7MM projection) and Sam Moll ($1.2MM projection). Cincinnati opened the 2025 season with a roughly $112MM payroll and finished close to $120MM. They could use a bullpen arm or two as well, but there should be space to sign at least one prominent bat in free agency.

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