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Submit Your Questions For This Week’s Episode Of The MLBTR Podcast

By Darragh McDonald | September 22, 2025 at 9:55am CDT

On the MLB Trade Rumors podcast, we regularly answer questions from our readers and listeners. With the next episode set for Wednesday, we’re looking for MLBTR’s audience to submit their questions and we’ll pick a few to answer.

Only a few days remain in the 2025 regular season. Do you have a question about the final week? The playoffs? The upcoming offseason? If you have a question on those topics or anything else baseball-related, we’d love to hear from you! You can email your questions to mlbtrpod@gmail.com.

Also, if you want to hear your voice on the podcast, send us your question in audio form and we might play it. iPhone users can find instructions on how to do so here.

In the meantime, don’t forget to subscribe to the podcast on Spotify and Apple Podcasts.

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The Opener: AL Playoff Race, Padres, Brewers, Pitchers’ Duel

By Nick Deeds | September 22, 2025 at 8:56am CDT

As we enter the final week of the 2025 regular season, here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on:

1. AL contenders prepare for a hectic week:

No teams in the American League have games scheduled for today, giving everyone in the league a breather ahead of a wild final week of the regular season. Only the Blue Jays have clinched a postseason spot among the AL’s teams, and even they haven’t clinched a division title. The Yankees and Mariners appear all but guaranteed a playoff spot at this point, but the Red Sox and Tigers are still facing realistic scenarios where they’re on the outside looking in come October. The Astros and MLB’s hottest club, the resurgent Guardians, are vying for that final spot in the playoffs. With series coming up between Cleveland and Detroit, Boston and Toronto, and Detroit and Boston before the regular season comes to a close, there are plenty of big games to watch throughout the week that will impact the AL playoff picture in a big way.

2. Series Preview: Brewers @ Padres

Over in the NL, one big series between playoff contenders is set to commence today when the Brewers head to San Diego. Milwaukee has already clinched the NL Central but will still need to fend of the Phillies to secure home field advantage throughout the playoffs. The Padres, meanwhile, have not yet clinched a playoff berth (although they’re very close to doing so), and they also sit just three games back of the Dodgers in the NL West.

San Diego would love a late hot streak to pry the NL West away from the Dodgers, but Brewers ace Freddy Peralta (2.65 ERA) stands in the way of that today. The Friars will counter with Nick Pivetta (2.81 ERA) opposite Peralta. Randy Vasquez (3.94 ERA) will take on an as-of-yet unannounced Brewers starter for Game 2. The series wraps with Milwaukee’s Quinn Priester (3.25 ERA) on the mound, while the Padres’ starter for that final game is still TBD. The set is scheduled to kick off at 6:40pm local time in San Diego this evening.

3. Star lefties face off in the NL East:

Neither the Braves nor the Nationals are a factor in the postseason race, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t intrigue to be found in their game this evening. One of the top up-and-coming lefties in the game, Nationals southpaw MacKenzie Gore, is set to take on reigning Cy Young winner Chris Sale in Atlanta. First pitch will be 7:15pm local time.

It’s been an up-and-down year for Gore, who looked like a Cy Young contender early on but started to slip during the summer months and wound up taking a trip to the injured list. He’s posted a 1.74 ERA in two starts since returning and will look to finish the season on a strong note. Sale had a chance to repeat as the NL’s Cy Young winner until a ribcage injury sidelined him over the summer. He’s been elite when healthy, posting a 2.35 ERA with a 32.3% strikeout rate, but he’s been limited to 115 innings and 19 starts this season.

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The Opener

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Brewers Place Brandon Woodruff On 15-Day Injured List

By Nick Deeds | September 21, 2025 at 11:22pm CDT

The Brewers announced today that they’ve placed right-hander Brandon Woodruff on the 15-day injured list with a right lat strain. Woodruff’s IL placement is retroactive to September 18. Left-hander Robert Gasser was recalled from Triple-A in a corresponding move and is slated to start today’s game for Milwaukee.

Woodruff’s retroactive placement on the shelf means that he’ll be eligible to return in time for the start of the NLDS on October 4. Of course, that would require Woodruff to be shelved for only a minimum stint on the IL, which is far from guaranteed. According to Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Woodruff is suffering from a “moderate” lat strain in the words of manager Pat Murphy, and it is too early to tell how Woodruff’s playoff availability may be impacted by the injury.  MLB.com’s Adam McCalvy reports that Woodruff is seeing a doctor in St. Louis today in order to get his injury assessed after the strain occurred during the righty’s bullpen session on Saturday.

At the very least, the news brings Woodruff’s regular season to an abrupt end. Woodruff will end the regular season with 12 starts under his belt, and a 3.20 ERA/3.18 FIP in 64 2/3 innings of work with a sensational 32.3% strikeout rate. Woodruff made just 11 starts in 2023 due to shoulder issues and ultimately went under the knife in October of that year. That caused him to miss the entire 2024 season, and an ankle injury during his rehab this season delayed his return to the big league mound until early July. He immediately slotted back into the top of Milwaukee’s rotation upon his return, and helped to sustain the hot streak that thrust the Brewers to the best record in all of baseball.

The timing of this latest ailment is surely frustrating for both the Brewers and Woodruff himself, given its proximity to the playoffs. Woodruff acknowledged as much himself in comments made to reporters (including McCalvy) this morning. Woodruff noted that he “wasn’t surprised” by the injury and noted he’s been managing his shoulder for some time, adding that a setback could have occurred in June or July and that it’s just “crappy timing” that this happened to come up right before the postseason.

With Woodruff sidelined, the Brewers’ potential postseason rotation is in flux. Freddy Peralta and Quinn Priester appear to be locks to start playoff games, but there’s little certainty outside of that. Woodruff would obviously get starts if and when he returns, and Jose Quintana could find himself in the conversation as well depending on his own recovery from injury. While those two are shelved, however, they’ll likely be forced to choose between struggling rookie Jacob Misiorowski and fellow rookie right-hander Chad Patrick to round out the rotation. Perhaps Gasser can put himself into the discussion with a strong outing today, but the southpaw has not yet pitched in the majors this year after undergoing elbow surgery last year and has just 38 innings of work in the minors under his belt this season.

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Milwaukee Brewers Newsstand Transactions Brandon Woodruff Robert Gasser

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Padres Notes: Bogaerts, Bader, De Vries, Gore, Kwan

By Mark Polishuk | September 21, 2025 at 10:58pm CDT

The Padres are expected to activate Xander Bogaerts from the 10-day injured list prior to Monday’s game with the Brewers, Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune writes.  The shortstop might’ve already been back this weekend except a planned on-field workout on Friday was canceled due to rain, delaying Bogaerts’ return until the start of the six-game homestand that will conclude the Friars’ regular season.

A left foot fracture has kept Bogaerts out of action since August 27, and it wasn’t clear if he would be able to play again before the postseason, even if the injury wasn’t expected to keep Bogaerts out of any October action.  Bogaerts has hit .262/.330/.387 with 10 home runs over 534 plate appearances, for a decent but unspectacular 103 wRC+.  He has displayed some good plate discipline and augmented his work at the plate with 20 steals (in 22 attempts) and very good defense in the view of the Outs Above Average metric (+7).  Jake Cronenworth and Jose Iglesias have handed most of the shortstop duty over the last four weeks, and with Bogaerts back, Cronenworth should return to his usual second base position.

Returning Monday gives Bogaerts six games to ramp up for a postseason trip that has been all but officially clinched.  San Diego seems likely to finish as the NL’s second wild card team, unless the Padres can overcome the Dodgers’ three-game edge in the NL West race, or if the Padres somehow fritter away their five-game edge over the Reds (who hold the third and final wild card slot).

Though the Padres surely wish they’d been able to overtake Los Angeles for the division lead, a 25-22 record since the trade deadline has at least helped San Diego more or less lock up its fourth playoff berth in the last six years.  President of baseball operations A.J. Preller was his typical active self at the deadline, swinging five trades in July to add a variety of roster upgrades.

The many players actually acquired were just the tip of the iceberg, as the New York Post’s Jon Heyman writes that “the Padres were in on every top player” even somewhat available at the deadline.  Most of those trade targets were cited on MLBTR’s pages, but Heyman adds that the Padres also had interest in Harrison Bader, who instead went from the Twins to another NL power in the Phillies.

San Diego’s interest in Bader was logical, as the Padres had a clear need in the outfield.  Rather than Bader, the Padres ended up acquiring both Ramon Laureano and Ryan O’Hearn from the Orioles for a six-prospect trade package, addressing both left field and first base in one fell swoop.  O’Hearn’s bat has cooled off since the deal while Laureano has played really well, so there probably aren’t any regrets in the Friars’ front office about missing out on Bader, who has exploded since arriving in Philadelphia.

The largest of the Padres’ deadline deals saw Mason Miller and JP Sears acquired from the Athletics for four minor leaguers, including elite prospect Leo De Vries as the headliner.  De Vries was far and away the most prominent prospect moved at the deadline, and it took the inclusion of a controllable young arm like Miller to convince the Padres to move the young shortstop.

This doesn’t mean that other teams didn’t ask.  San Diego was known to have made a push to pry MacKenzie Gore away from the Nationals, even though Washington wasn’t going to move Gore for anything less than a haul.  Heyman writes that the Nats’ ask from the Padres was a five-player package that included De Vries, so it isn’t too surprising that the Padres turned elsewhere.

Steven Kwan was another outfielder on the Padres’ wishlist, and a De Vries-for-Kwan trade was floated between the Padres and Guardians even though Heyman says that neither team wanted a straight-up swap.  Kwan (like Gore) is arbitration-controlled through the 2027 season, so while two-plus years of control is still a lot of an established player, it perhaps wasn’t enough of a long-term add to convince Preller to move De Vries.

From Cleveland’s perspective, the Guardians often pursue at least one MLB-ready piece when trading their veteran assets.  De Vries only just made his Double-A debut after his move to the Athletics’ farm system, and while he is posting strong numbers, he doesn’t turn 19 until next month and isn’t expected to reach the majors until 2027.  While the Guards were only 54-54 on July 31, keeping Kwan has paid dividends, as has helped contribute to the September surge that has now given Cleveland a chance at not just a playoff spot, but even the AL Central title.

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Cleveland Guardians Notes San Diego Padres Washington Nationals Harrison Bader Leodalis De Vries MacKenzie Gore Steven Kwan Xander Bogaerts

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MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Mark Polishuk | September 21, 2025 at 9:31pm CDT

Mark P

  • It’s the second-last Weekend Chat of the regular season, so get those questions in now!

Yosef

  • Out of the dodgers free agents. Realistically who do you think they’ll keep ?

Mark P

  • At least one of Rojas/Hernandez, Vesia’s club option is likely being picked up, and Muncy’s club option will still probably be exercised (though I wouldn’t be totally shocked if it isn’t).

    Beyond that, the other FAs will be let go, and Kershaw is retiring.

Hot Stove

  • With this hot streak do the reds squeak their way into the playoffs?

Mark P

  • Cincinnati is in a wild card spot right now, by dint of holding the tiebreaker over the Mets. The Reds’ final six games are against the Pirates, and against a Brewers team that will probably be resting guys.  So, the Reds’ fate is in their own hands, and it helps that the Mets have just been spiraling.

    I think I wrote just in last week’s chat that the Reds had really missed an opportunity to take hold of the wild card race.  Clearly they read the Weekend Chat and were so enraged that they went on this winning streak!

Austin Hays

  • Will my option be picked up by the reds this year?

Mark P

  • It’s a $12MM mutual option with a $1MM buyout.  Mutual options are virtually never exercised by both sides, so Hays will head to free agency again.

Dan

  • Will Sonny Gray agree to waive his no trade clause with a rebuild coming?

Mark P

  • He wasn’t willing to waive it last year when it also seemed like a rebuild was coming, so I’d lean towards Gray returning.  If he indicated he was willing to be moved, I can see the Cards exploring deals.  Susan Slusser recently reported that the Giants have Gray on their offseason trade radar, and laid out some plausible reasons why Gray might be willing to approve a deal to San Francisco in particular.

Read more

Tim

  • Did you think Morton and Paddock were big movies at the trade deadline?    Morton over 7 era for the tigers.  Paddock over 6.

Mark P

  • I didn’t mind either at the time, and to be fair other moves (most notably Kyle Finnegan) have really worked out.

    At the time of the deadline, the Tigers clearly felt they just needed final touches rather than any major additions.  Hindsight is obviously 20-20 on that, but if they do end up collapsing entirely and missing the playoffs, you’ve got to believe the front office will finally get more aggressive with bigger moves this winter

Yesavage Fan

  • Will Trey Yesavage get a spot in the bullpen or perhaps even the rotation for the playoffs. He is electric on the mound as I had the pleasure of knowing him since middle school and graduating with him.

Mark P

  • It’s cool that you have such longtime ties to a big leaguer!  Well, maybe not “long time” since middle school wasn’t too long ago for Yesavage.  lol, man, do I ever feel old in seeing all these players debut who are so young.

    Toronto’s rotation is a total question mark after Gausman and Bieber.  Yesavage might end up getting a start almost by default, if Bassitt is hurt, Scherzer can’t get on track, and if the Jays stick to the plan of having Berrios as a reliever.  It’s a real roll of the dice asking a rookie to make a high-pressure playoff start so early into his career, yet it’s may not that different from having be, say, a multi-inning guy in a similar role

  • Frankly, I think the likeliest scenario is Gausman, Bieber, then “pitching chaos” based on matchups and availability

M

  • do we think the Astros or the tigers miss the playoffs?

Mark P

  • Will the Astros or Tigers miss the playoffs?

    Both are in (24.8% | 126 votes)
    Astros make, Tigers miss (23.0% | 117 votes)
    Tigers make, Astros miss (52.1% | 265 votes)

    Total Votes: 508
  • I opted to leave out the “both miss” answer since the Rangers’ collapse has erased that possibility

Fish Fan

  • Are the Marlins for real? Only 4 games out with a week left in the season? Who saw that coming? Is Clayton the manager of the year?

Mark P

  • I wonder how many people read this comment, thought “wait, what?” and then did a double take at the standings.  After losing seven of their first eight September games, Miami is now 10-1 in its last 11 games.

    The math is by no means in their favor to actually make the postseason, but the fact that we’re having this conversation is a testament to the Marlins’ underrated year.

Charleston Chew

  • How far can the Mariners make provided they get in?

Mark P

  • There’s basically no doubt at this point that Seattle is at least getting in, and they’re really putting an iron grip on the division title.  The Mariners should worry every single opponent they face in October, and are a legit threat to win it all.

Cleveland

  • Manzardo looks unplayable as a 1B, which is saying something. Could Alonso be in the Guardians budget? A lot of money freed up.

Mark P

  • Alonso won’t be even remotely in their price range.

Drake

  • Do you think the A’s try to lock up any others of their offensive core? (Langeliers, Kurtz, Wilson, Soderstrom)

Mark P

  • On paper yes, though it remains to be seen if last spring’s extension flurry was just to avoid MLBPA pressure and to hit their spending minimum.

    If last winter was an anomaly, it may take for the Vegas move to actually happen before we can start thinking about the A’s operating in a somewhat more normal fashion.  Not that they’ll start spending big or anything, but at least more common moves like locking players up to early extensions.

  • In Kurtz’s case, I think he has already priced himself out of the Athletics’ comfort zone.

Angry Rangers Fan

  • The rangers HAVE to sign either Tucker, Schwarber, or Bregman right? Get a proven hitter to help Seager and Langford in that lineup

Mark P

  • Assuming that Texas indeed stayed under the tax line and reset their taxpayer status, I can see them making (or trying to make) one big splash.

Carl

  • Charlie Morton……prolly at the end of his career. Awesome career tho!

Mark P

  • Absolutely.  Despite the tough ending, Morton should be proud of his many achievements, if this is indeed the end of the road for him.

Ken

  • Rank from most to least likely to resign with their current team: Alonso, Schwarber, Bregman, and Tucker

Mark P

  • Schwarber, Bregman, Alonso, and then a big gap before Tucker.  I’d guess Schwarber staying in Philly is borderline probable given how the organization loves him, and Tucker is almost definitely leaving Chicago

Yankees

  • Do the Yankees shop McMahon for a third baseman that can hit and field, instead of just a one dimensional gap filler?

Mark P

  • It was surprising to see New York eat all of McMahon’s salary at the deadline, so if they were willing, I guess another might be too.  But, as good as McMahon’s glove is, the bat just isn’t there.

    Since the rest of the lineup is full of sluggers, the Yankees might be fine having one glove-first spot in the batting order….especially if Volpe’s defensive issues continue on the left side of the infield.  I don’t think the Yankees make that trade for McMahon if they were just going to flip him this winter.

Mookie B.

  • How wrecked are we without Smitty?

Mark P

  • It’s a big loss.  The Dodgers have withstood all manner of injuries before, but missing Smith makes that lineup considerably weaker.

Gaurdsball?!

  • Are we riding a negative run dif into a division title?!

Mark P

  • A minimal offense suddenly isn’t such a big problem when your pitchers are allowing roughly 1.5 runs per game.

Rafael Ramirez

  • Do you think Kim picks up his option with the Braves?

Mark P

  • I think just last week I felt he’d just exercise his player option and take the one-year payday, with the idea of having a full and healthy 2026 to re-establish himself.

    But, after Kim has continued to hit for several more days now, I think he might have built enough of a platform for Boras to market him for a multi-year deal this winter.  It’ll likely be one of those contract that has multiple opt-outs attached, yet taking such a deal allows Kim more flexibility and more money than simply taking the $16MM for 2026

  • The other wrinkle here is that the Braves generally don’t do business with Boras clients.  It’s obviously not a hard rule since, you know, Kim is on the team right now.  But, it might add some interesting layers to any talks between Kim and the Braves about an extension.

Natitude Dude

  • When will the Nats have a GM in place? Any leading favorite(s)?

Mark P

  • This post runs down the known candidates linked to the vacancy already:
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/09/nationals-have-interviewed-red-…
  • Hard to say if there’s any kind of a favorite, but the Washington Post reported that Josh Byrnes has yet with the Lerner family.  It’s possible other candidates have at well, so it’s maybe too soon to dub Byrnes as a top choice

Guest

  • Will the Astros pay Valdez?

Mark P

  • My prediction is that he’s pitching elsewhere in 2026

SFGigantes

  • Besides Sonny Gray(as previously mentioned) could SFG get Sandy Alcantara from Marlins in the offseason and not have to give up Josiah Gonzales? I wanted us to go get him at the deadline, even tho we had fallen apart.

Mark P

  • The Marlins being so competitive makes me wonder about Alcantara’s availability.  Chances are that the Fish will still be open to moving that salary and garnering a big return if one can be found, yet if the Marlins think they can properly contend in 2026, perhaps they think about adding instead of subtracting.

Marky Mark

  • Whats on the Sunday Night Chat Playlist?   

Mark P

  • “The Crystal Ballroom,” an incredible U2 b-side track

Cal Raleigh

  • Do you think I can break Judge’s home run record?

Mark P

  • Went yard for the 58th time tonight.  Five homers in six-plus games is a tall order, especially since I can see the M’s resting Raleigh for a game or two to keep him fresh for the playoffs.

Joseph

  • What would it take for the Orioles to land MacKenzie Gore this offseason? He would seem like a great fit next to Rogers and Bradish.

Mark P

  • It may depend to some extent on who the Nats’ next PBO/GM is, but I’d expect Washington to still keep a very high ask on Gore’s services.  Even though he faded in the second half and got hurt, a controllable (for two more years) pitcher who has shown frontline stuff merits a big price tag.

    I’d also think it unlikely that the Orioles in particular could get much traction in talks with the Nats, if there’s any bad blood lingering from The Neverending MASN Dispute

Derek

  • If the White Sox pick up Robert’s option, would a trade for Bohm work since it fills a need for both teams?

Mark P

  • Just as salary offset, since Bohm doesn’t have much value to a rebuilding team like the ChiSox.

Acuna

  • Any chance Braves trade me,would look good in right field  for the Cubs?

Mark P

  • There’s zero chance Acuna is traded.  Why would the Braves do that?

carpathian florist

  • Bigger disappointment- Mets missing the postseason or tigers missing the postseason?

Mark P

  • Certainly the Mets, based on payroll and higher expectations going into the season.

Pirates

  • Do we take a big swing trade wise in the offseason? Maybe trade for Taylor Ward by giving some of our insane pitching depth?

Mark P

  • Ward is set for free agency following the 2026 season, so I’m not sure if the Bucs want to give up one of their prized young arms for just one year of his services.

Cookie Monster

  • What is it going to take for the Cubs to fire everyone?  Non

Mark P

  • They’ve made the playoffs and will finish with the third or fourth best record in the National League.  Hoyer just signed an extension two months ago.  Counsell is under contract through 2028.

Bucs Fan

  • Thoughts on Cherington’s comments? Any free agents/trades Pirates could go/make after this offseason?

Mark P

  • If not necessarily Taylor Ward, getting 2-3 experienced and proven bats would be a huge help.  Since we can’t assume the Pirates will spend to sign anyone notable, that puts the onus on Cherington to trade a controllable young pitcher for a controllable young hitter, and hope to score much bigger than the Priester-for-Yorke swap.

pizzashill

  • Can you name a catcher season you would take over 2025 cal Raleigh?

Mark P

  • Probably some Josh Gibson years, but that might literally be it in all of baseball history.  Just an incredible year for Raleigh.

Bostonpaul

  • Who do you see thr Red Sox extending qualified offer to after the season?

Mark P

  • Giolito probably, and the others are all either ineligible (Bregman, Story if he opts out) or non-candidates

2027 Season

  • Is it all but certain that we will have both a salary cap and floor for the 2027 season?  It seems to be the middle ground between yes floor and yes cap, and the fans seem to be in favor.

Mark P

  • The fans don’t have a say in CBA talks.  The players have long been steadfast in refusing any sort of cap, and I don’t see them bending now.

Twins

  • Will Minnesota spend money this off-season

Mark P

  • Nope

Moneyball

  • Thoughts on a Severino for Cronenworth trade? Pads probably need pitching, even just depth, unload cronenworths contract. A’s could use a vetern left handed infielder with uncertainty around Gelof, Hernaiz, etc.

Mark P

  • Cronenworth is owed $60MM from 2026-30, and he has a partial eight-team no-trade clause.  Chances are that the A’s are on that list just because most guys don’t want to play in a minor league park.

    Severino only has $42MM remaining on his deal (over the 2026-27 seasons), so the money doesn’t entirely match up either.

Some guy

  • Realistic expectations for my White Sox next year?

Mark P

  • Getting under the 100-loss mark.  Chicago has 98 losses with six games remaining, so they’ll almost surely hit triple digits again.

    It shouldn’t be overlooked that this is still a big improvement over their rock-bottom showing in 2024, by almost a 20-game margin.  Obviously 2024 was an outlier and 2025 has been more of a “normal” type of bad season, but there are some signs of progress.

Vito Acconci

  • Best Radiohead album? the Bends, OK Computer, Kid A, Amnesiac, or A Moon Shaped Pool?

Mark P

  • Don’t forget “In Rainbows,” which might be my pick

BB fan

  • What is going on with Minnesota with their penny pinching?

Mark P

  • Ownership has heavy debts, and wasn’t able to find anyone to both buy the team and take on all/most of that debt.  Between that and the loss of TV revenue, the impact is being felt on the baseball payroll.

Jeff

  • If Scherzer can’t get right, do the Jays leave him off the playoff roster entirely?  Hard to see a spot for him in a 12 man pen with Lauer and Berrios down there.

Mark P

  • It’s hard to see Scherzer being omitted entirely, given his long history.  Plus, like I mentioned earlier, there’s enough uncertainty about the 3rd/4th starter roles that Scherzer might well still end up with a rotation job

Ron Washington

  • Should I return next season?

Mark P

  • He wants to, and I can see the Angels bringing him back as something of a do-over since health issues sidelined him for so much of this year

Alpa Chino

  • Who ya got for NL ROY?

Mark P

  • Off the top of my head, Cade Horton, but I’d have to double-check all the numbers

JeffyM

  • If Santander and Bo are both back for the playoffs who do you think gets left off?  Loperfido, France and IKF?

Mark P

  • France is likely off.  I’d like to keep both IKF and Loperfido if possible, and for a Jays team that’s had trouble scoring runs lately, you’d think Loperfido (who’s still got an OPS in the high 800s) would get more at-bats.

Hunt for Reds October

  • No matter how it turns out (hopefully for the better), isn’t it still obvious the Reds HAVE to improve the offense in the off-season?  How often do we have to face this before they actually do anything?

Mark P

  • Agreed.  With the pitching becoming such a strength, adding some real bats could make Cincinnati into a big threat quickly (if they aren’t already).

Mets choke fest

  • Who’s to blame for the Mets collapse?

Mark P

  • The pitching has just evaporated.  To that extent it’s on the rotation themselves, yet David Stearns’ unusual (but usually successful) method of building a pitching staff really backfired on the Mets this year.

Dodger Dave

  • Mark, if the Dodgers put Teo on the market this Winter, what kind of interest/return do you think they can get for him?

Mark P

  • There’s $33MM owed to Hernandez through 2027, counting the buyout of his 2028 club option.  There’s also a ton of deferred money involved in his contract as a whole, but let’s go with $33MM as a baseline.

    Hernandez currently has an exactly average 100 wRC+, with a big decrease in power from 2024 and his already-low walk rate has hit a new career low.  His trade value isn’t nil, but a lot of teams are going to see this season as a pretty good reason to stay away

Guest

  • Naylor to the Reds? Or is he staying where he is?

Mark P

  • Naylor would be a very nice boost to the Cincinnati offense, but I’m not sure if the Reds are willing to meet his asking price.

Marsey

  • Bees?

Mark P

  • Beads?!

Gapsmith

  • Realistically, how far can the Phillies go without Zach Wheeler?

Mark P

  • Common sense would seem to dictate that the Phils can’t win without their ace.  The rest of the rotation is still good, however, and the offense might just be able to outslug other teams, so I can’t rule Philly out.
  • We’re about two hours in here, so let’s call it a wrap.  Thanks for all your questions and comments, and let’s rev up for what might be a wild final week of the regular season!
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Cubs Designate Nate Pearson For Assignment

By Mark Polishuk | September 21, 2025 at 6:53pm CDT

The Cubs designated Nate Pearson for assignment, according to the right-hander’s official MLB.com profile page.  The move clears a 40-man roster spot for right-hander Eli Morgan, who was activated from the 60-day injured list and optioned to Triple-A Iowa.

Pearson first joined the Cubs in a trade from the Blue Jays at the 2024 deadline, and he seemed to benefit from the change of scenery.  After posting a 5.63 ERA in 40 innings for Toronto prior to the deal, Pearson stabilized things and posted a 2.73 ERA across 26 1/3 innings for the Cubs.  Even though the secondary metrics had a less-favorable view of Pearson’s performance, it looked like he had earned himself a spot in Chicago’s bullpen picture for 2025.

However, Pearson got off to a rocky start and found himself optioned back to Triple-A by the middle of April.  He has been recalled and optioned down a couple of more times since, with the end result of an ugly 9.20 ERA and more walks (10) than strikeouts (seven) over 14 2/3 innings in the Show.  Pearson’s numbers in Iowa have been considerably better, yet even his 2.22 ERA and 30.6% strikeout rate over 44 2/3 Triple-A frames have come with the red flag of a 12.9% walk rate.

Walks have been a persistent issue throughout Pearson’s career, and his seemingly improved control in 2024 may have proven to be a mirage based on his 2025 numbers.  He has also had a lot of trouble keeping the ball in the yard, as Pearson has allowed 28 home runs over his 156 2/3 career innings in the majors.  Formerly one of baseball’s top pitching prospects during his time in the Jays’ farm system, Pearson battled injuries while in the minors, and a move to relief pitching still hasn’t allowed him to find a niche on a Major League roster.

Pearson has two years of arbitration eligibility remaining, so between that team control and his past prospect pedigree, there is a chance he might get claimed as a reclamation project.  Since the 29-year-old has more than three years of MLB service time, he has the right to elect free agency rather than accept an outright assignment to Triple-A, assuming he clears waivers.  It seems probable that the Cubs might just release Pearson if he clears waivers — since he is a clear non-tender candidate anyway, an early release would give Pearson an early jump on the offseason free agent market.

Morgan posted a 12.27 ERA over 7 1/3 innings before his season was all but erased by an inflamed ulnar nerve in his throwing arm.  The righty’s last MLB appearance was on April 14, and a setback during a minor league rehab assignment in June pushed his clock back even further.

Finally returning to the mound in August, Morgan has looked quite sharp in posting a 1.69 ERA over 10 2/3 innings with the Cubs’ high-A and Triple-A affiliates.  With his 30-day rehab window over, he is now back on the 40-man roster and continuing his rehab work in Iowa, and it is unclear if he might get another look in the majors before 2025 is over.  Given his long layoff, it seems unlikely that Morgan would factor into Chicago’s playoff roster plans unless other pitchers get hurt.

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Chicago Cubs Transactions Eli Morgan Nate Pearson

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Astros Notes: Pena, Alvarez, Rodgers, Polanco

By Mark Polishuk | September 21, 2025 at 6:16pm CDT

6:16PM: During the Astros’ pregame radio show, GM Dana Brown said that Pena’s oblique injury “could be just a two-day thing.  It’s minor based on the initial evaluation of it.”  Pena will still get some testing done out of due diligence. (Hat tip to Chandler Rome).

5:40PM: As the Astros head into a critical matchup with the Mariners tonight, Houston will be without one of its key players for at least this game and perhaps beyond.  Jeremy Pena was included in the initial lineup but has now been scratched due to left oblique soreness, according to an announcement from the team.

Needless to say, losing Pena would be devastating to the Astros’ chances of winning the AL West, or even making the postseason given how the standings have narrowed.  The Astros trail Seattle by two games in the division race after losing the first two games of this weekend series, and another loss tonight would put Houston out of the playoff picture entirely, as the surging Guardians would have a matching 84-72 record and the tiebreaker edge.

Because the Astros don’t play on Monday, it provides some extra time to evaluate Pena’s condition.  If it is just a matter of soreness and tonight’s scratch was more of a precautionary move, it’s possible the shortstop could be back in action as soon as Tuesday.  Oblique issues are notoriously hard to project, however, so even if Pena remains short of an actual oblique strain, there might still be enough discomfort that the Astros don’t want to risk putting him into a game.

Pena is having the best of his four Major League seasons, hitting .304/.363/.477 with 17 homers and 20 steals (in 22 attempts) over 543 plate appearances.  Each of those slash categories is a new career high for Pena, and he has also matched his personal best in stolen bases.  Between his big numbers and excellent defense, Pena has been worth 5.7 fWAR this season, even though he missed all of July recovering from a rib fracture.

Injuries have been the biggest problem of Houston’s season, as it is rather remarkable that the Astros are still in the race given how many key players have missed substantial amounts of time.  Yordan Alvarez is one of those figures, as the slugger has been limited to 48 games due to a hand injury that included a finger fracture, and most recently a sprained ankle that sent him back to the IL on September 16.

Alvarez provided media (including the Houston Chronicle’s Matt Kawahara) with an update on his status today, saying that he has yet to begin baseball activities since the inflammation in his ankle hasn’t fully settled.  On the plus side, Alvarez is no longer wearing a protective boot, and he feels he is healing a little quicker than expected.  In the absolutely best case scenario, Alvarez would be eligible to be activated off the IL on Friday, when the Astros visit the Angels in the opener of their final series of the year.

One player who won’t be an option is Brendan Rodgers, as manager Joe Espada confirmed to MLB.com’s Brian McTaggart and other reporters that Rodgers’ season is officially over.  The news is no surprise, as Rodgers hasn’t played in a big league game since June 14.  Initially sidelined by an oblique strain, Rodgers suffered a concussion and a nasal fracture after an on-field collision in his first minor league rehab game in July.  He returned to play one more minors game in August but was then sidelined by back problems.

Signed to a minor league deal in February, Rodgers made the Opening Day roster, and thus locked in a $2MM salary for the 2025 season.  He hit .191/.266/.278 over 128 PA and 43 games before his injuries prematurely ended his season, and Rodgers will surely have to settle for another minor league contract with Houston or another club this winter.

Rodgers was brought aboard to add second base depth due to Jose Altuve’s planned move to left field, and he may have been a fallback plan after Houston missed on signing Jorge Polanco.  The Astros were the runners-up to the Mariners in signing Polanco, as the veteran infielder told Ryan Divish of the Seattle Times that Houston was “very close.  They made a good offer, but Seattle came back with a better offer.”

The Mariners were also given the chance to counter, as Divish writes that Polanco’s agent gave Seattle a last chance to top the Astros’ offer.  The end result was a one-year, $7.75MM guarantee plus a mutual option for 2026 that has now vested into a player option.  Missing out on Polanco might well end up being the difference for the Astros in the AL West race, as Polanco rebounded in a huge way from a lackluster 2024 season to hit .265/.325/.489 with 24 homers for the M’s this year.

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Houston Astros Notes Seattle Mariners Brendan Rodgers Jeremy Pena Jorge Polanco Yordan Alvarez

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2025-26 Qualifying Offer Projected To Be Around $22MM

By Mark Polishuk | September 21, 2025 at 4:07pm CDT

This offseason’s qualifying offer will be worth approximately $22MM, according to Joel Sherman of the New York Post.  The exact figure won’t be known for another five or six weeks, though Sherman writes that the final total will probably be a little under $22MM, according to sources within both the league and the players’ union.  This would track with Sherman’s early estimates about the QO in each of the last two seasons — he reported a $20.5MM approximate for 2023-24 that ended up being $20.325MM, and a $21.2MM projection for 2024-25 that wound up at $21.05MM.

The value of the QO is determined by calculating the mean salary of the league’s 125 highest-paid players.  This has usually meant an increase in the year-to-year value of the qualifying offer, as detailed in this breakdown…

  • 2012-13: $13.3MM
  • 2013-14: $14.4MM
  • 2014-15: $15.3MM
  • 2015-16: $15.8MM
  • 2016-17: $17.2MM
  • 2017-18: $17.4MM
  • 2018-19: $17.9MM
  • 2019-20: $17.8MM
  • 2020-21: $18.9MM
  • 2021-22: $18.4MM
  • 2022-23: $19.65MM
  • 2023-24: $20.325MM
  • 2024-25: $21.05MM

As a reminder, the qualifying offer is a one-year deal that teams can issue to any of their own free agents.  A player is eligible to receive a QO if he has spent the entire 2025 season on his current team’s roster, and he hasn’t received a QO in the past.  (Here is the list of active players who have already received a qualifying offer.)

Once the World Series is over, teams have a five-day window to decide whether or not to issue a QO to any of their eligible free agents.  A player who receives a qualifying offer then has 10 days to decide on accepting or rejecting the offer.  Of the 144 players who have ever been issued qualifying offers, only 13 have accepted, as the top free agents are naturally looking for a richer and longer-term commitment than a one-year pact.

If a player accepts a qualifying offer, they’ll simply return to their team on that one-year, $22MM contract for the 2026 season.  (The two sides can still negotiate a longer-term extension after a QO is accepted.)  If the player rejects the qualifying offer, he is still eligible to be re-signed by his previous team, but he can now gauge the rest of the market.

Even if a player turns down the qualifying offer, simply being issued the offer has a larger-term impact.  Should the player sign elsewhere, his former team will receive some manner of draft compensation in return.  By that same token, a club that signs a QO-rejecting player will have to surrender at least one draft pick, and potentially some money from their international bonus pool.  These factors have been known to influence the market for certain players, if teams are wary about giving up draft/bonus assets in addition to the financial cost of a signing.

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2025-26 MLB Free Agents Newsstand

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Red Sox Activate Wilyer Abreu From IL, Designate Ali Sanchez

By Mark Polishuk | September 21, 2025 at 3:20pm CDT

The Red Sox announced that outfielder Wilyer Abreu has been reinstated from the 10-day injured list.  Catcher Ali Sanchez was designated for assignment in the corresponding roster move.

Abreu returns after missing a little over a month due to calf tightness.  As of two weeks ago, Sox manager Alex Cora didn’t have a set timeline for Abreu’s return, so it’s good news that Abreu has been able to make it back with a week to spare in the regular season, let alone before the playoffs begin.  Abreu is in the lineup as the designated hitter tonight, which could be a sign that his calf isn’t quite 100 percent, or the Red Sox might simply just be easing him back into action.

Assuming his calf is generally okay, Abreu should step right back into his normal strong-side platoon role as Boston’s everyday right fielder against right-handed pitching.  One of the sport’s best defensive outfielders, Abreu won the right field Gold Glove in 2024 and he is a strong candidate for a repeat, with +15 Defensive Runs Saved and +8 Outs Above Average to his ledger in 2025.  Between his superb glovework and solid bat (.253/.325/.486 with 22 homers in 395 plate appearances), Abreu has quickly become a major all-around piece of the Red Sox roster.

Sanchez’s 2025 began on a minor league contract with the Blue Jays, and he was claimed off waivers by the Red Sox in early August.  The Sox DFA’ed him 10 days after that claim, and after rejecting an outright assignment, Sanchez landed with the Mets on another minors deal.  He then found himself on the way back to Boston in a trade on September 1, as the Red Sox wanted some additional depth behind the Carlos Narvaez/Connor Wong catching combo.  Over 12 big league games in 2025, Sanchez has a .522 OPS over 23 plate appearances (all but two of them with Toronto).

Sanchez has a career slash line of .183/.220/.283 over 133 career PA in parts of four different MLB seasons, as his bat hasn’t been productive enough to hold down a regular role even if his well-regarded glove keeps getting him looks.  Sanchez is out of minor league options, which is part of the reason why he has been such a regular on the waiver wire.  Because he has been previously outrighted, Sanchez has the ability to elect free agency if he clears waivers and is assigned to Triple-A, though he is probably more likely to just accept the assignment and stay in the organization as depth.

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Boston Red Sox Transactions Ali Sanchez Wilyer Abreu

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Ivan Herrera To Undergo Elbow Surgery, Return To Catching After 2025 Season

By Nick Deeds | September 21, 2025 at 2:44pm CDT

Ivan Herrera is expected to undergo surgery to remove loose bodies from his throwing elbow after the 2025 season comes to a close, as first reported by Jim Hayes of FanDuel Sports Network. Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat adds that Herrera is expected to be “full-go” by the time Spring Training roles around in February. The surgery is aiming to help correct his struggles with throwing behind the plate, which led the Cardinals to move him off catcher into a full-time DH role in July.

That should help facilitate a return to catching in 2026, and Jones wrote for MLB.com yesterday that Herrera has spoken with manager Oli Marmol and incoming president of baseball operations Chaim Bloom to work out a plan for an offseason program designed to get him ready to return to catching next year. Jones adds that the club’s plan for Herrera’s offseason was created with the knowledge of the youngster’s impending surgery and with plans on how to incorporate his rehab into his winter assignments.

Being able to rely on Herrera has a regular part of the club’s catching corps next year would be a game changer for the Cardinals. The 25-year-old has enjoyed a major breakout with the bat this year, as he entered today slashing .279/.366/.447 across 100 games this year before clubbing his 17th home run of the season in today’s game against the Brewers to push his wRC+ up to 134 on the season. That’s a top-25 figure in baseball among players with at least 400 plate appearances, tied with star outfielders Bryce Harper and Byron Buxton. In other words, Herrera’s 2025 season has placed him in the upper echelon of hitters across the league regardless of position.

If Herrera can make the shift back to catcher without missing a beat with the bat, he would go from being a valuable middle-of-the-order hitter to a player with legitimate star potential. Only Cal Raleigh and Will Smith have hit better than Herrera while serving as primary catcher this year, and only five other catchers even have a wRC+ of 120 or higher on the year. That’s especially valuable for a club like St. Louis that simply hasn’t gotten much offensive production from the catcher position this year. Willson Contreras remains a quality bat, but was pushed into an everyday first base role over the offseason with no signs that he could return to the club’s catching mix any time soon. That’s left the lion’s share of playing time behind the plate for Pedro Pages, who has hit just .233/.276/.368 in 109 games for the Cards this season.

Herrera would constitute a massive upgrade over Pages offensively for St. Louis, and Marmol told reporters (including Jones) yesterday that the youngster is “committed” to putting in the work necessary to enter Spring Training as part of the catching mix for 2026. Assuming that offseason program goes well, it wouldn’t be hard to imagine Herrera entering Spring Training as the favorite to start the majority of games behind the plate for the Cardinals, with Pages and Yohel Pozo in the mix for either the job backing up Herrera or to step in as the club’s catching tandem in the event that Herrera isn’t able to hack it defensively at the position even after surgery.

If Herrera is able to get most of his reps behind the dish, that would create flexibility for other position players on the club to get reps at DH and create more playing time for the rest of the club’s large positional group. Players like Alec Burleson, Nolan Gorman, and Thomas Saggese have no settled position with the Cardinals and could benefit from the flexibility created by Herrera moving to catcher and opening up more DH at-bats.

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St. Louis Cardinals Transactions Ivan Herrera

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