Phillies Rumors

Odds and Ends: Lowry, Mantei, Inge

By Tim Dierkes | March 4, 2008 at 8:32am CDT

Link time!

The White Sox had a scout watching Noah Lowry’s disaster yesterday. Maybe that affected him.
Todd Zolecki says Ruben Amaro Jr. is the frontrunner for the Phillies’ GM job next year, with Mike Arbuckle the other main candidate. Meanwhile, Bob Ford thinks the Phils should’ve paid $200K for Cole Hamels’ happiness.
Looks like Matt Mantei’s comeback attempt may come to an end. Despite Jim Leyland’s comments, you have to think Dave Dombrowski will troll the market for relievers. Leyland also talked about how he’s not going to force Brandon Inge to catch.
Jeff Sackmann discusses some clubs that would stand to gain around three wins by signing Barry Bonds.
Jonathan Papelbon’s contract is likely to be renewed today, and he’s probably not getting $900K.
Tom Haudricourt offers up a primer on renewals, arbitration, free agency, all that stuff.

Hamels Not Jazzed With $500K

By Tim Dierkes | March 2, 2008 at 7:23pm CDT

Players seem to be getting disgruntled earlier and earlier these days. The Phillies renewed Cole Hamels’ contract at $500K, and he called it a "low blow." Seems that the perceived slight will stick in Hamels’ craw and make future dealings more difficult. Jim Salisbury does not agree that Hamels has been disrespected.

Hamels has one more year of slumming it under a million bucks before he’ll shoot up to at least the $4-5MM range. While Hamels isn’t entitled to more than the $500K he received, some might say the Phils are being penny-wise and pound-foolish. But would giving Hamels a few extra hundred thousand now really have an effect on future negotiations?

Stark’s Latest: Patterson, Lohse, Lofton, Clemens

By Tim Dierkes | February 29, 2008 at 9:41am CDT

Finally, new info regarding some of the remaining free agents. Jayson Stark has the scoop.

Seems there’s a chance Corey Patterson takes a cheap deal to return to Baltimore. He could be relegated to fourth outfielder duty in that case. Stark says the Marlins have discussed Patterson internally, but aren’t sure if they could afford the Boras client. Patterson would be a nice stopgap for Cameron Maybin, who’d be well-served with some time in Triple A. Ken Rosenthal also mentioned the Florida possibility.
One of the most surprising free agents at this point is Kyle Lohse. Stark shoots down the notion of Lohse signing with the Met or Phillies on a one-year deal. Rosenthal tossed out the Cards and O’s as slight possibilities. It’s tough to be impressed with Boras’ work with Patterson and Lohse this year. Stark’s colleague Buster Olney even speaks of rumors that Lohse could ditch Boras.
Kenny Lofton wants a Major League deal, and the offers so far have been minor league (including one from the Reds). I don’t find this an unreasonable demand on Lofton’s part; he’s still a useful player. He’s OK with starting the season late and coming in as a mercenary when a spot opens up.
Stark talked to a friend of Drayton McLane who believes the Astros’ owner could roll the dice on Roger Clemens at the right price.

Odds and Ends: Choo, Inge, Lohse, Francona

By Tim Dierkes | February 25, 2008 at 9:42am CDT

Let’s round up some rumors and links.

Not only is Shin-Soo Choo out of options, but he’s recovering from Tommy John surgery and may have to join the South Korean military.
Brandon Inge sat out a demanding drill on Friday, causing Tom Gage to wonder if trade talks are ongoing. Dave Dombrowski spoke on the topic recently, saying all the right things about Inge.
Kyle Lohse is not interested in a minor league deal or playing in another country. He’s still waiting by the phone though.
Funny anecdote involving J.P. Ricciardi’s son.
Terry Francona was extended through 2011, with club options for ’12 and ’13.
Kenny Williams and Billy Beane: opposites attract. Given their strong relationship, perhaps the Sox could look to acquire Mark Ellis during the season if the current options fall through.
Wow – Scott Rolen would’ve accepted a trade to the Phillies. The Phils discussed him internally but decided not to pursue it.
The Giants briefly considered Sean Casey, who is "really good at life" according to Aaron Boone.

Rumor Royalty: Todd Zolecki (Phillies)

By Tim Dierkes | February 23, 2008 at 2:00pm CDT

Todd Zolecki is our Rumor Royalty recipient for the Phillies. Todd covers the team for the Philadelphia Inquirer and also keeps a blog, the soon-to-be-renamed Zo Zone. Todd has kindly agreed to answer a handful of reader questions for the series.

————————————————————————————————————————
MLBTR: Does signing Ryan Howard to a long term contract make sense for the Phils?

Zolecki: It depends what price we’re talking about. Before and after winning $10 million in arbitration, Howard is seeking major money. Maybe in the $200 million range. The Phillies are not the Yankees or Red Sox, so if they commit that type of money to one player, it almost certainly would cost them elsewhere. That could mean Cole Hamels going elsewhere. Or Brett Myers. Or others. I’m not sure the Phillies want to do that, and get stuck in a contract they hate like the Rangers and A-Rod.

————————————————————————————————————————
MLBTR: For many years, the Phillies’ farm system has been lackluster with respect to pitching. Why is this the case, and do you think the farm system is improving in this respect?

Zolecki: There’s no question it’s been a source of frustration. The Phillies haven’t had a homegrown 20-game winner since Chris Short in 1966. That’s remarkable. There are millions of theories out there, but lately it seems like they’ve had better success. Hamels. Myers. Kendrick. They like Carlos Carrasco, Joe Savery, Josh Outman and Kyle Drabek (who’s recovering from Tommy John) in the minors. Will these guys pan out? We’ll see. But it seems like they are turning some things around. Of course, things would be easier if they spent a little more money to sign players in the draft.

————————————————————————————————————————
MLBTR: Do the Phillies have the goods to acquire Joe Blanton without hurting the ’08 team?

Zolecki: I don’t think so. The Phillies are very hesitant to give up some of their top talent because they don’t have much at the moment.

————————————————————————————————————————
MLBTR: What was your opinion of the Brad Lidge trade? Do you think he can handle Philly?

Zolecki: I like it. They got him relatively cheaply — Geoff Geary, Michael Bourn and Mike Costanzo. If Lidge pitches like they think they can, the Phillies improved their bullpen and rotation with one move. That’s tough do. Fortunately for them, Myers is versatile and should transition back into the rotation.

Ryan Howard Fallout

By Tim Dierkes | February 22, 2008 at 11:50am CDT

Ryan Howard winning a $10MM salary yesterday was kind of a big deal. Let’s examine this first-year arbitration record.

A source of Jayson Stark’s thinks the Phillies would’ve won had they submitted above Miguel Cabrera’s $7.4MM. Seems that even slightly above would’ve done it, because then Howard losing would’ve still set a record.
Tom Haudricourt talks about how Prince Fielder is now in line for the same $10MM for his ’09 salary. And he doesn’t see Scott Boras relenting and doing a multiyear deal. Stark adds Ryan Braun, Ryan Zimmerman, and Hanley Ramirez as other young stars who will be affected. Zimmerman, arbitration-eligible after ’08, will be renewed for ’07.
It doesn’t sound like the Phillies will sign Howard long-term, in part because there is no precedent. There is talk of $200MM, something no one expects of the Phils. On the plus side, Howard is theirs for the 2008-11 seasons. They may have to keep giving him record-breaking salaries though. A trade is a strong option before he hits free agency, but that’s a ways off.
Jim Salisbury thinks Howard’s win might result in another monster year. He expects the Phils to eventually at least talk about a multiyear deal with Howard (maybe once the sting wears off).

Ryan Howard Wins Case

By Tim Dierkes | February 21, 2008 at 5:54pm CDT

THURSDAY, 9:07am: Victory for the players! Howard gets his $10MM. It’s a first-year arbitration record salary. As Keith Law has pointed out – "the effect of this loss is cumulative" for the Phillies. Another effect will be on Prince Fielder’s 2009 salary.

WEDNESDAY, 9:31am:MLB.com’s Ken Mandel says Phillies’ assistant GM Ruben Amaro Jr. met with Ryan Howard’s agent Casey Close minutes before the player’s arbitration hearing. They looked into a last-minute agreement but it could not be done. The hearing began at 8:30am CST; $3MM hangs in the balance. We should know within a day.

Players are 0-5 in hearings so far. But as we discussed, that’s not terribly unexpected. Jim Salisbury has a cool inside look at arbitration hearings (hat tip to ShysterBall). Tom Gordon talks about his experience here. Also, Jon Heyman takes a look at Chien Ming Wang’s team’s losing argument.

Astros Win Loretta Case

By Tim Dierkes | February 19, 2008 at 9:46am CDT

Arbiters ruled in favor of the Astros over Mark Loretta today, saving the team $2.15MM. I guess the 20% pay cut thing doesn’t apply here. With the Jose Valverde savings, that makes $3.65MM for Houston. That’s probably right around what Shawn Chacon will get.

Three hearings remain undecided; the players will probably snag at least one victory in the cases of Ryan Howard, Oliver Perez, and Francisco Rodriguez. Keith Law explains again why the Phils paying Howard more than they have to does not make sense.

Historically teams have won 57.7% of cases. So we might’ve expected the teams to be 3-2 instead of 5-0 this year but it’s not exactly a huge upset.

Burrell Enters Contract Year

By Tim Dierkes | February 19, 2008 at 9:00am CDT

All sorts of players are entering contract years, and it’s become a popular Spring Training topic. Pat Burrell mentioned over a month ago that he’d love to re-sign with the Phillies. Todd Zolecki chronicles Burrell’s trials and tribulations over nine years playing for the Phils. He’s set to earn $14MM this year, finishing up the extension Ed Wade engineered.

Other major power threats in Burrell’s free agent class: Mark Teixeira, Adam Dunn, and perhaps Manny Ramirez. Dunn, by the way, hasn’t had any extension talks with the Reds.

Burrell Enters Contract Year

By Tim Dierkes | February 19, 2008 at 8:49am CDT

Other major power threats in Burrell’s free agent class: Mark Teixeira, Adam Dunn, and perhaps Manny Ramirez. Dunn, by the way, hasn’t had any extension talks with the Reds.

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