The free agent market for starting pitching continues to thin out quickly, as lefty Jorge de la Rosa has reached an agreement to re-sign with the Rockies. De La Rosa agreed to a three-year, $32MM deal. The pitcher maintained flexibility by securing a player option on the third year, while the Rockies added a fourth year club option at $11MM. Today is a huge day for the Colorado franchise, as they're also nearing a six-year extension with shortstop Troy Tulowitzki. Both players are represented by TWC Sports.
De La Rosa, 30 in April, posted a 4.22 ERA, 8.4 K/9, 4.1 BB/9, 1.1 HR/9, and 52.3% groundball rate in 121 2/3 innings for the Rockies this year. He missed ten weeks with a torn tendon in his finger, but pitched acceptably upon his return. De La Rosa was one of the few starters with upside on this year's free agent market – he throws quite hard for a southpaw and is relatively young. There have been a few Oliver Perez comparisons, but Perez isn't a groundball pitcher. De La Rosa's player option gives him the freedom to test the open market or renegotiate after the 2012 season in the event he takes it to the next level and racks up a few 200 inning, 200 strikeout type seasons. He's yet to reach either of those plateaus in his career.
De La Rosa set out seeking a four or five-year deal in free agency, but ultimately stayed where he's most comfortable. The Nationals and Pirates were among his other suitors. Since De La Rosa was a Type A free agent who turned down arbitration, the Rockies would have received two draft picks if he'd signed elsewhere.
Now that De La Rosa, Ted Lilly, Hiroki Kuroda, Javier Vazquez, Jon Garland and Jake Westbrook have signed deals, there's not much left on the starting pitching market other than Cliff Lee and Carl Pavano. As I explained yesterday, many teams could be looking to add starters.
Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports first reported the De La Rosa deal was close, and Troy E. Renck of the Denver Post added details.
moonraker45
Are you telling me that there are no AA/AAA pitchers who could do a comparable job for 10 million dollars cheaper annually?
In other professional sports leagues 10+ million annually is (usually) reserved for more accomplished stars, in baseball it goes to pitchers who were lucky enough to be born left handed and have a 4.1 bb/9 ratio
progmatinee
“In other professional sports leagues…” Ever hear of the NBA?
moonraker45
Well on average NBA players get more money the MLB players thats true..
but there is also a lot less players on a team, but I still think my point stands that even in the NBA for a player to get into double digit millions, he would have to be better then (comparably) De La Rosa … Can he even be considered average?
progmatinee
In the scheme of things, DLR is way better than average. Most AA/AAA pitchers can’t sniff the big leagues. Most big leaguers become bullpen guys, and most big leaguers that manage to escape the pen become 3,4,5 starters.
While DLR is a shaky and inconsistent #2, he is a #2 and therefore he is WAY better than the “average”.
moonraker45
How is he a #2? He’s never posted an ERA under 4.20 and has a career 4.55 bb/9 and a 1.523 career WHIP
progmatinee
So you’re saying he is not one of the 64 best starters in baseball? Elias rankings would beg to differ, since they made him a Type A.
FriedCalamari
he might be right there at 64th^^!
progmatinee
For the record, I am in no way in love with DLR. I agree that he is at the very bottom of the threshold of what a “good” pitcher is.
I would have been fine also with losing DLR and getting 2 draft picks. If it would have taken $12m a year and a 4 year contract, then I would have passed and taken the picks.
IMO, this was a good compromise. 3 years at $10.5m a year is not over committing the Rockies, so thats why I like the resigning. I think the Rockies would be ABSOLUTELY ECSTATIC if DLR gave them 2 years good enough to justify an opt out.
FriedCalamari
I’ve gained some new info from wayne, it seems like a pretty fair gamble if he can lower his walk-rate and produce similar/better numbers to 2009 & 2010 and stay healthy ><
moonraker45
ahhh elias rankings to refute my argument? Nice..
well Elias Rankings are not based on 1 year’s worth of stats…
So pitchers who were either hurt, in the minors or still young and struggling, would not be ranked higher then JDR..
Just a few examples of ‘unranked’ by elias yet still much much better then JDR
Shawn Marcum, Clay Buccholz, Wade Davis, Derrek Holland, Madison Bumgardner, Brian Matusz, Fausto Carmona, Brandon Morrow, Colby Lewis, Brett Cecil, Francisco Liriano, Jeremy Guthrie, Dallas Braden, Trevor Cahill..
I’m sure I missed some, but my point stands… so he’s maybe one of the best 90 starting pitchers in the league… woopty freaking do
progmatinee
The list of players that you provided aren’t valid to the conversation, since for the most part they aren’t really available. Would the Rockies love to have Clay Buccholz, Shawn Marcum, etc, for less than $10m a year? WELL OBVIOUSLY. LOL. But how does that happen when they are under another team’s control for 3,4 more years? I don’t agree about half of your list, but regardless, any team would have to give up a lot of prospects or some solid big leaguers to get them. Such is the luxury of team control. The Rox already promoted Chacin. They don’t have another pitcher close to DLR’s level to just call up and take his place like your scenario suggests. If you think just any pitcher can be called up and pitch as well as DLR can, ha.
myname_989
That wasn’t the point at all. He was providing a rebuttle as to why the Elias Rankings (which most experts agree are flawed) is not a good measure to determine JDLR’s worth. The fact of the matter is that he is much more akin to a bottom of the rotation arm, taking his ERA, FIP, and WHIP into consideration. He’s not a top of the rotation arm by any means, and probably shouldn’t have been paid $10 million a year. He was lucky enough to benefit from a very weak starting pitching market.
progmatinee
Fair enough, but my point is that the “market” is what COL and every other team has access to anyway and for better or worse, Elias is an official element that partially sorts the “market”.
moonrakers’ original comment was “Are you telling me that there are no AA/AAA pitchers who could do a comparable job for 10 million dollars cheaper annually?”
My point is that, yes, DLR is much much better than the average AA/AAA player and more to the point, better than what the Rockies options are. Bringing up a bunch of players that aren’t even available doesn’t factor into “the market” thus the fact that those players aren’t factored into the Elias rankings doesn’t matter.
mattevilspawn
The fact of the matter is he could wind up being an ace or he could be a bust. Time will tell. The Rockies are obviously banking on more development.
In light of the pending Tulo deal, I’m a little weary of the three-year commitment. Personally, I would have gone two years with a third year club option. The $ compensation doesn’t bother me as much as the longevity of the contract. Unless a pitcher is a proven, durable ace (e.g., Felix, C.C., Halladay and the like), my max commitment would be three years. Too many things go wrong with pitchers – mainly health.
And if DeLaRosa didn’t like the deal, I’d gladly accept the two compensation draft picks in the event he signs elsewhere.
myname_989
I agree with some points. The fact of the matter is that he’s not going to end up being an ace on any contending team. He’s a bottom of the rotation arm. He’s been in the major league long enough, with consistent enough numbers, for teams to see what he’s going to be able to offer. Are his numbers worth 10 million a year? No. On the other hand, like you said and I said, he benefited from a very weak starting pitching market. That doesn’t mean that the Rockies HAD to have him though. For example, I think that giving up Ian Stewart and Dexter Fowler for Gavin Floyd is a better investment. This contract may not completely block them from making deals in the future, but I think it was an unnecessary committment to the payroll. If I was a Rockies’ fan, I’d much rather have the two picks.
BobbyJohn
Elias made him a Type A because he was in the top 20% of this year’s available free agent pool. He was actually the last guy to make the cut for Type A (#6 out of 29). His Type A status is a testament to the overall weakness of this year’s crop of free agent starters.
He’s not a #2 starter. Those guys routinely pitch 200 innings per season with ERAs that are half a run or more below the league average.
Guest
Youre using Elias Rankings? The guy has ace stuff, but in no ways does that mean hes a ace.
Blazin80
I dont consider NBA part of professional sports.
The Nicker
Somewhere, Carl Pavano, Carl Pavano’s agent, and the Rays’ front office are celebrating.
FriedCalamari
can somebody fill me in on why de la rosa is worth this contract? I don’t know too much about him, his stats don’t really jump out to me that he’s worth this contract. Is it cuz he’s able to achieve a sub 5.00 ERA at Coors or something?
myname_989
Byproduct of an extremely weak free agent market, starting pitching wise. In terms of talent… He’s not.
FriedCalamari
yikes ><, the guy was rumoured to be looking for a 5 year deal with his track record? and still managed to get a really really nice deal. GJ for him and his agent.
wayne_gomes
He’s also a pretty rare free agent pitcher in that he’s left handed, can throw 95 and is under 30 years old. Has a very good changeup and has been a groundball dominant pitcher as well. The results have never been consistently great but again, LH starters with very good stuff are rarely availableLook at the LH starters in the NL, there probably aren’t 5 as talented as De La Rosa. Hamels, Kershaw, Garcia….who else is clearly better?
FriedCalamari
OK thanks, that’s what I wanted to know. Seems like a fair gamble if he can gain some better control of his pitches? his walk rate just seemed a bit high to warrant the contract and also the lack of innings pitched does pop some questions about durability. Hopefully he can stay healthy for the Rockies, they always seem to go on fire down the stretch to make it really tight and exciting for baseball fans =)
mattevilspawn
You’re right FC. If you look purely at his historical stats and couple it the question of durability, the contract is def player/agent-friendly. If you’ve seen him pitch, tho, the contract becomes more reasonable. At times he’s shown flashes of brilliance and complete dominance. At other times – like many developing pitchers – he’s been inconsistent and looked lost. (Check his May 2009 game log – it’s a perfect illustration.) The Rockies are taking a risk, hoping his talent and consistency develop.
There’s that. And the other part of the equation is that myname_989 nailed it. The DLR signing is also the result of a weak/dry SP market this winter.
wayne_gomes
I actually thought he might get more (4 guaranteed years, like that Lohse deal). I don’t think it’s a bad move for the Rockies, especially since they seem to be in that borderline playoff area as a team where marginal wins are at their highest value
Barrettman84
De La rosa stats the past 3 seasons: btw, pitching in COlorado!!!!
2008 COL NL 10 8 .556 4.92
2009 COL NL 16 9 .640 4.38
2010 COL NL 8 7 .533 4.22
okay the ERA is pretty “blehh” but to average 12 wins a season is pretty nice.
Jack Dee
So no one here has mentioned that possibility of him pitching better if he left Colorado? That’s part of why he was desirable.
It’s really not a horrible deal for the Rockies, $10 mil a year for three years for a pitcher who’s performed consistently well at Coors seems fair. I also get the feeling that in the back of everyone’s minds, people want to avoid another Oliver Perez situation, which is some pretty irrational and illogical groupthink.
brett
De la Rosa has a career ERA above 5.00, has coughed up more hits than innings pitched and has battled accuracy issues most of his career. When you see a guy with numbers like that, you don’t think of a number 1 or 2 starter–or even a 3 or 4–but a late inning setup guy, and not a good one. His historical numbers look more like Jorge Julio’s than Randy Johnson’s.
If history has its say, Jorge will regress but he has been decent over the past three years for Colorado after terrible years in MIL and KC. Maybe he’s got something figured out. He’s too much of a gamble for me, but I wish all players–with the excpetion of the a-holes–the best of luck.