February 17th: The Padres made it official today, announcing that they have signed Canning to a one-year deal with a mutual option for 2027. Mutual options are almost never picked up by both sides, so that provision just allows the Padres to kick part of the payment into the future in the form of a buyout. Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports that Canning is guaranteed $2.5MM in the form of a $1MM salary and $1.5MM buyout on that option, with another $1.5MM available via performance bonuses. Outfielder Tirso Ornelas has been designated for assignment as the corresponding move for Canning.
February 14th: The Padres have signed right-hander Griffin Canning, as initially reported overnight by the Divine Sports Gospel. Canning’s deal will be official once he passes a physical, according to FanSided’s Robert Murray. San Diego has a full 40-man roster in the wake of the Nick Castellanos signing, so the Padres will have to make another move to open up 40-man space for Canning, who is represented by Wasserman.
It’s something of a SoCal homecoming for Canning, who was born in Mission Viejo and played his college ball at UCLA. The 29-year-old also spent his first first Major League seasons with the Angels, posting a 4.78 ERA over 508 innings (starting 94 of 99 games). This was less than was expected of a pitcher who was once viewed as a top-100 prospect, and the Angels parted ways with Canning via a trade with the Braves last offseason for Jorge Soler. Atlanta then chose to non-tender Canning, since the Braves’ chief goal of the trade was to unload Soler’s contract.
Canning then signed a one-year, $4.25MM contract with the Mets that initially looked like it was going to be a steal, as the righty posted a 2.47 ERA over his first nine starts in New York. Some struggles over his next seven outings boosted his ERA to 3.77, yet that’s unfortunately where Canning’s story ended, as he suffered a season-ending ruptured Achilles tendon in late June.
Reports from earlier this offseason suggested that Canning is hoping to be ready for Opening Day, or at least relatively early in April. He was feeling good enough to throw for scouts in a showcase last week, and his velocity was up to 93mph even at this relatively early stage in the preseason ramp-up process. The Mets, Cardinals, and White Sox were all linked to Canning earlier this winter, but he’ll now be part of San Diego’s rotation mix.
The Padres’ starting pitching situation has been a key issue for the team all winter, as Dylan Cease left for the Blue Jays in free agency and Yu Darvish will miss all of 2026 while recovering from an internal brace procedure. Re-signing Michael King helped the Padres restore some stability, and Canning joins a list of arms that consists of King, Nick Pivetta, Randy Vasquez, JP Sears, and Joe Musgrove in his return from Tommy John surgery. Assuming everyone is healthy, Canning will probably push Vasquez or Sears into a relief or depth role once Canning is ready to pitch.
While 76 1/3 innings isn’t the largest of sample sizes, Canning’s 2025 season saw him post a 50.9% grounder rate, in a marked change for a pitcher who had only a 39.5% groundball rate during his time in Anaheim. Keeping the ball out of the air helped somewhat counter-act all of the hard contact Canning was allowing, as his 45.7% hard-hit ball rate was only in the 11th percentile of all pitchers. Canning’s 10.7% walk rate was the highest of his career, and his 21.3% strikeout rate was nothing special.
Pivetta’s breakout in 2025 is evidence that the Padres can help pitchers unlock their potential, but for now, Canning projects as a back-end starter with some upside. How Canning responds to his Achilles injury is another x-factor, and his health history also includes a stress fracture in his back that cost him the entire 2022 season.
Terms of Canning’s deal aren’t yet known, though it is fair to assume he’ll earn something close to the $4.5MM he received from New York in 2025. The price tag was surely attractive to the Padres, who have been operating within a seemingly limited budget this offseason. Not counting Canning’s deal, San Diego is projected (by RosterResource) for roughly a $220.9MM payroll and a $265.48MM luxury tax number — both are slightly up from 2025, when the Padres had a $211.1MM payroll in 2025 and a $263MM tax number. The addition of Canning’s contract now puts San Diego over the second tier ($264MM) of tax penalization.

Phils go get Zack Littell
Crazy he’s not signed yet.
Hold the press! The Phillies just signed an 11-year old shortstop!
x.com/DanClarkSports/status/2023731670650679718?s=…
Dumpster diving is underway.
Griffin was well on his way to a 2.5 WAR season last year. I’m convinced NOTHING makes you happy, Danny ol’ boy.
LFGSD 💛
Well, Littell had an actual 3.2 fWAR. Not a fabricated one.
Flyball pitcher (Littell) pitching in Citizen’s Bank Ballpark may not end well..
So Zack Littell is the answer to your offseason? This?? This would make you happy?? And when he has hypothetical back-to-back bad starts you’re going to be the first one to say “horrible signing!” C’mon Dan-O, this is a quality pick-up. You’re hatin’ just to hate. Go Pads 🤙🏽
Take it from an Angels fan who had to watch this guy for years. Dude is not a good pitcher and is made of glass. Those numbers with Mets were a mirage. Dodgers will love mashing him.
He is coming off a freaking ruptured Achilles. Preller I guess doesn’t have enough financial leeway to obtain a less riskier, better starting pitcher. Padres state of affairs.
@DanFan, its a sad state of affairs to already be well on your way to being better than you were last year, when you won 90 games and made the playoffs???? Hmmmm……..
Preller doesn’t need a TOR starter. He has 3. He needed some depth. He has delivered in spades with 3 minor league deals with an NRI and 2 major league deals. The 5th spot in the rotation is guaranteed to be filled with a player with a history of playing in the majors.
Why you choose to be a consistent whiner in the middle of the best stretch of baseball in San Diego history is beyond my comprehension. The only real answer is you are not a Padres fan at all and are only on this site to troll.
I have been following this team since 1969 and am a season ticket holder. I sat and watched the ugly. I saw many a stupid move and cheap owners. But what I see now is a lost opportunity. Funds available from more than generous ownership being squandered by a GM who is all risk and never mans up to his mistakes. They will never win a WS with him calling the shots. And this dumpster dive he is doing now should not make anyone feel confident on this season.
I’m rooting for Canning. He looked good last year before he got hurt!!!
@Gwynning. That’s canning he will have a good month or two and implode. As far as the deal it’s definitely low risk, if it blows up you could cut him easily.
Don’t quote me, but that seems to be the plan-ishhhh… hoping Griff just flat balls out though, feel like he was always due a breakthrough! Cheers Huds 🤙🏽
9 years on the Mets?
I’m sure it only felt like 9 years, Nine long years
Yeah, I saw that. I wonder if it was an automated choice that got selected by accident. You couldn’t get to that figure even using the updated system for measuring dog years in its first year of life.
I like the signing
AJ “Blue Horseshoe” Preller loves veterans on the wrong side of 30. But overall this is a good cheap rotation fill.
He’s 29. You consider that the bad side of 30? You would prefer someone older?
He’ll be 30 on May 11th but I see your point.
Im with rizdakc99 on this one. If being on the wrong side of 30 is 29, then that means Im on the right side! And at my age, it means Im really good. Woohoo, rizdakc!
Aging like a fine wine at over double 30.
Not bad, thank God it ain’t verlander or scherzer
I was hoping for Littell, but this singing will give the Padres some cheap competition for the 4th/5th spot with Vazquez and Sears.
Pitched well for the Mets before his Achilles ruptured.
Canning back to SoCal. Good for him. He should help the Padres rotation if he’s back to full strength from his injury.
Calling it now. Niebla will work wonders with Canning, and he’ll have an era under 4 this year. Great signing by AJ.
Or he’ll be injured again.
Hank, or both. Canning comes back in May, makes 15-16 starts, has an ERA of around the 3.77 he had for the Mets, and ends the season on the IL. I would be good with that for the money he is being paid.
We hear this from every Padres fan after every mediocre pitcher is signed: “Niebla will work wonders.” Well I’m sure Niebla isn’t a miracle worker and his success rate is not 100%.
Lugo, Wacha, Kolek, Pivetta, Vasquez etc. He’s got a damn good record of taking guys who haven’t maximized their potential, tinkering, and them coming out better on the back end. Hate all you want, but we’ve seen it over and over.
Niebla is not just a miracle worker, he is a wizard.
How can anyone feel comfortable being represented by Wasserman now?
He’s selling the agency, apparently. But he belongs in jail
In the country right now, there is no way he is going to jail over this. So we as a society have to completely shun them in order to get at least a little justice.
Sadly, you are correct
Not defending him but he’s a Hollywood elite so none of this crap is surprising. The few email exchanges he had prove nothing and isn’t anywhere close to what the feds had on Harry Weinstein.
He also has the support to remain Chairman of the LA28 Olympic and Paralympic Games organizing committee. So yeah…
Good depth signing for the Padres. The only question is how good will he be coming off that injury.
Also not sure when he is expected to be healthy.
I hear it takes about 9 months to recover from that injury.
Simm – like King’s injuries, at least they aren’t dealing with arm / shoulder so, hopefully pitching is up to speed quick. I get that the whole body affects pitching performance but there is hope not being arm related.
They’re guessing around mid March/early April. They’ve got some early off days too, so they’ll probably give him a couple of ST innings/simulated games, and then IL him while he ramps up. Sounds like they expect him to be in the rotation mid/late April or early May.
Haven’t seen the contract figures yet, but I would imagine he’s cheap given the injury and unlikely to be fully ready by opening day. Once healthy he’ll compete for 4/5 spot (along with about 5 other guys).
Or I should say more than 5 other guys including Vasquez, Sears, Marco Gonzalez, Hart, Waldron, Omar Cruz, Triston McKenzie, and maybe even Mendez
Sears has to be better this season, right? I’m not sure McKenzie or Gonzales are totally healthy at this point. I hope they are! Because they are good when healthy. I believe Waldron is out of options so he’s gone if he doesn’t make the team…I think. Correct me if I’m wrong. Hart might end up a swing man. Might be his most useful role for us.
@winnie yeah, Sears and Canning are comparable proven talents. We gave up a lot for Sears and I’m hoping he can return to his #4/5 SP level that he was in Oakland
Brito and the lHP at AAA that I can’t think of his name right now as even further “maybe” guys thst get some early ST innings and maybe more during WBC.
Of course WBC is during the same week of my ST trip – arrrgh.
Jackson Wolf
If our starting pitching holds for us, we’re in the playoffs IMO. The bullpen is there and the hitting should be quite improved.
Jagger Haynes and Eric Yost could be SP’s for us in a pinch I suppose. But I don’t know about lengthy MLB stays.
If they can sort McKenzie out and get him back to where he was he could be a nice arm for them.
LT at least you won’t have to stand in long lines for Tatis autographs. I’m still working on a possible trip to Peoria in March….
If you end up being there the 11-15th reply to me somewhere so we can meet.
Jagger but Jackson can also be in the group.
San Diego incoming 81-81 season. Sorry but it doesn’t look tantalizing. I guess with two stars , one aged star, and a plus bullpen one can dream. But the starting rotation is threadbare and this bullpen in particular is due for regression. It’s not going to be able to save that starting rotation which is not going to be even average. Now that I think about it 81-81 sounds optimistic.
Lol, theyre better at this point than they were last year at the same time, and ended with 90 wins and in the playoffs. Theyll win 90 again easily this year……
PECOTA projects 81 wins. Fangraphs 79 with 23% chance of making post season.
How are the Padres better without Cease and Suarez? Adam, Musgrove, and King are going to be relative unknowns coming back from injury. Could we say the bullpen is due for regression? Could we see Pivetta revert to his frustrating Fenway Park days ?? Machado another year older. Did Tatis ever come out of his power slump last season? Oh, and a first year manager who has zero experience doing anything of the sort. Hopefully all those clubhouse issues we heard about last year were due to Shildt’s perfectionist tendencies. I just think there is too much uncertainty and areas where things could go awry to be so certain of another 90 win season.
Ignorant- sure if you look at the glass empty.
or maybe even completely empty in his case!
Iggy is playing devil’s advocate; he sees the flip side of the same coin we’re lookin’ at. I like our chances and we’re still wet behind the ears here in Spring! Go Pads!!!
Over/under $4.5MM per, 1.5 years
Gwynn my guess it’s around that number with an option and a buyout. Prob around 2m salary for 2026.
I’d guess 3 mil with incentives that can push it to 5 +
Over slightly, with 12,902 contingencies, options and bonuses
I’ll double down and take the under on your contingencies!
Over. $5.75M + incentives.
👀
Lol. That’s quite a f’n bargain for Canning I must concede! Good for Preller!
Can he come back soon and well from his torn achilles is the major question.
Brew, I would think that Canning’s arrival from rehab to compete for a rotation spot in May is part of the plan. Injuries happen and the Padres will know more about what the other starters they have brought on and have in the minors are bringing to the table by then. Canning is the real deal and I think seeing his resurgence after leaving is part of the reason that they changed pitching coaches. This was a good signing and probably a cheap one.
Stove top is simmering with a full pot of roster soup. Grab a ladle and fill your bowl.
Not a bad signing. Canning isn’t the worst 5th starter. SD were busy with the last minute shopping.
They are good at waiting till those prices drop.
Seems like SD and Arizona are adding last minute pieces to try and position themselves for 2nd. Should be a tight 3 way race for 2nd place and push for a wild card.
3 way? Only 2 f9ghting for 2nd. Pads are 2nd best for now, fighting with AZ. SF is solidly in 4th…….
Definitely a three-way race for second with first place having a 20 game lead. NL West will have seen better days. It’s like the Dodgers and then everyone else at .500 or worse. Wild Cards all coming out of the East & Central.
I can see a West team getting a wild card and agree all three are neck and neck. I’m not sold on the Mets…too many unknowns. Milwaukee same thing. I think the 3x West teams are battling with the Mets, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh and Cincy for two wild card spots with LA, Cubs shoo ins and the Braves and Phillies having an edge. Even the Braves and Phillies have some question marks. Should be an exciting season.
Ah, yes, their lineups are totally neck and neck……lol
Tatis
Merrill
Machado
Laureano
Sheets
Bogaerts
Crone
Andujar/Casty
Fermin
Arraez
Devers
Adames
Chapman
Lee
Ramos
Bader
Aldridge
Bailey
Top 4 are close, after that, there is zero comparison. Padres are far and away a better lineup/team. SF is solidly in 4th.
No. They are not, Thats the fan in you talking. I think they have enough to finish 2nd though but they did not improve this offseason. Arizona and SF needed to do more in the offseason to move ahead of them and didn’t.
Solid pickup. Griff is a dude.
Sneaky good signing.
Long as I don’t have to see Waldron Sears Hart pitching in the 5th spot they could have signed Phillip Rivers for all I care
Waldron needs to pitch every 5th day! Revive the knuckleball for all of humanity son!
If Waldron stops throwing it like Waldron and starts throwing it like Wakefield I’m all for the knuckler
I’d even take RA Dickey or Charlie Hough.
Canning signed with the Mets “which initially looked like it was going to be a steal, as the righty posted a 2.47 over his first 9 years in New York. Some struggles over his next seven outings boosted his ERA to 3.77”
-Those must have been 7 really really bad outings to raise a 9 YEAR ERA of 2.47 all the way to 3.77.
Two of his last seven starts were very good. Overall he had 11 excellent starts and five poor ones. I’ll take that.
Your missing it, I was joking pointing out the error in writing that they said 7 poor starts raised his 9 YEAR earned run average by over a full run lol
Shrewd move for SD.
Best of luck, Griff.
Really hope this works out. Would love to undo that trade and rid our roster of Soler.
@halosheavenjj. There’s a good possibility that soler has a good year it’s his free agency year. I’m sure he has bought some tainted horse meat from Mexico. If he gets traded at the deadline. the canning trade is a win for the angels
Solid BOR signing, would also take Giolito.
His first NINE YEARS in New York???
DISCOMBOBULATED NINE YEARS!
But he’s not allowed to talk about it!
The Padres are operating on a limited budget? Who knew?
Theyre a top 7-8 payroll, their budget is fine……
Vermonster, I think that is what he is saying.
The Padres will have a hugely bloated budget nearing 280 million and an embarrassingly feeble amount of wins given such an ungainly budget.
Canning’s success with the Mets is one of the reasons the Angels hired a new pitching coach.
White Sox should have been all over this guy. They couldn’t even get Quintana?
Pivetta’s breakout in 2025 is evidence that the Padres can help pitchers unlock their potential, but for now, Canning projects as a back-end starter with some upside.
Canning was having a career year with the Mets before he was injured.
Pivetta vastly outperformed his Philly numbers in Boston.
There’s some evidence that maybe the Mets and the Red Sox know what they’re doing. Honestly, this “pitching lab” nonsense is wearing thin.
Mariners, Brewers, Cubs, Rangers pretty good with pitchers too.
Keep adding arms…we’re gonna need all the pitching we can get!
Welcome back to Socal GC. Im calling it here first Angels vs Padres World Series 2026
Somewhere in a corner David Stearns is curled up crying upon hearing this news.
9 years of 2.5 ERA on a 1 yr $4M contract is quite the steal
Wow, that’s HOF numbers. 2.47 ERA over 9 years with the Mets. Please proof-read your work before posting.
“the righty posted a 2.47 ERA over his first nine years in New York.”
Ummm, he only had 16 starts for the Mets.
That’s hard to do over 9 years!
Wishing canning good luck in San Diego. In New York he started to show the promise and the stuff that we expected when he was with the Angels.
Smart signings of Canning and Marquez, 2 experienced guys who know how to pitch.
Better than Quintana. Rather bet on him. Could get what 3 or 4 of him vs 1 Quintana. I like the wide net.
2 or 3
Would have loved ChiSox signing him to that nickel/dime salary. Damn
It’s all a marketing scheme so they can have a special Canning event at the stadium. Bring your jars and food, and we’ll supply the heat! One signed Canning jar per person.
Goldmine.