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10 Bounceback Pitcher Candidates Still Available In Free Agency

By Jeff Todd | December 28, 2016 at 11:20am CDT

By this point, the free agent market has thinned considerably, especially at its upper reaches. But there remain plenty of interesting players still available.

Looking through the list of unsigned players, one finds a number of recently high-performing pitchers who can likely be had on relatively (or very) modest deals. Achieving truly adequate pitching depth remains one of the game’s elusive pursuits, so there’s always opportunity for arms.

Here are some of the most intriguing names still available, featuring five starters and five relievers:

Tyson Ross: It came as a surprise when the Padres elected to non-tender Ross rather than paying him a repeat of his $9.6MM arbitration salary in his final season of eligibility, but that move leaves the 29-year-old available for other teams to take a risk. While organizations may prefer to attempt to secure multiple years of control if they roll the dice on the health of his ailing shoulder, Ross will no doubt prefer a single-season commitment. He carried a 3.07 ERA over 516 2/3 innings from 2013-15, so the upside is evident, and it’s no surprise that most of the league has some degree of interest.

Brett Anderson: Soon to turn 29, Anderson did not show well in his brief return from back surgery last year. But he turned in 180 1/3 frames of 3.69 ERA ball in 2015, and has generally been rather good when healthy, so there could still be something left in the tank. While Anderson’s extensive injury history is a major deterrent, organizations could reasonably hope that he can at least provide some useful innings during whatever stretch he is able to contribute.

Doug Fister: Entering his age-33 season after two straight duds, it’s tough to view Fister in quite the same light that one could have a year ago, when he seemed like a solid bounceback bet. That being said, he isn’t far removed from being a quality mid-rotation starter, and was at least able to turn in 32 starts in a healthy 2016 season. Unlike the other pitchers on this list, there isn’t an immediate injury to blame for the diminished value, though perhaps that also means he comes with a greater expectation of near-term contribution. If Fister can restore some of his lost groundball luster, perhaps he’d again rate as a useful rotation piece.

Nathan Eovaldi: Teams won’t be able to expect anything out of Eovaldi in 2017, as he’s expected to miss the entire year after Tommy John surgery. But he hasn’t even turned 27 and did show a personal-best 97.0 mph average fastball and 9.3% swinging-strike rate in 2016, so he remains an intriguing candidate to receive a rehab-and-return contract.

Henderson Alvarez: The long-term health outlook is perhaps even cloudier in the case of Alvarez, who couldn’t make it back to the majors in 2016 from shoulder issues. But he, too, has yet to reach his 27th birthday and he was able to provide 187 innings of 2.65 ERA ball as recently as 2014. And Alvarez did make 11 minor-league appearances last year, so there’s at least some reason to hope that he can contribute in the season to come.

Greg Holland: An obvious candidate for this list, Holland is perhaps the most fascinating relief arm still left unsigned. Once one of the game’s most dominant pitchers, the 31-year-old figures to sign with expectations of a full 2017 campaign after finishing up his TJ rehab. Like Ross, Holland has drawn wide interest and ought to be able to generate a variety of interesting and relatively lucrative opportunities.

Luke Hochevar: Now far removed from an impressive 2013 season in which he successfully transitioned from struggling starter to late-inning pen arm, Hochevar will be attempting to return from thoracic outlet surgery (after missing 2014 due to a Tommy John procedure). There’s plenty of uncertainty in the outlook for the 33-year-old, but he did put up 9.6 K/9 against just 2.2 BB/9 while working to a 3.86 ERA over 37 1/3 innings in 2016, and could be expected to return early in 2017.

Drew Storen: Still just 29, Storen was an electric reliever as recently as 2015, when he posted 11.0 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 across 55 innings while working to a 3.44 ERA that metrics viewed as somewhat unfortunate. Though he struggled last year and showed a worrying drop in his average fastball velocity (from 94.1 mph in the season prior to 92.3 mph in 2016), Storen still put up a 10.5% swinging-strike rate that landed right at his career average. He also closed out the year by yielding just three runs in his final 17 innings while posting a 15-to-2 K/BB ratio.

Aaron Barrett: After TJ surgery derailed his sophomore 2015 season, Barret’s return was cut short with an elbow fracture. On the other hand, Storen’s former pen mate in D.C. owns a 3.47 ERA with 10.8 K/9 and 3.47 BB/9 over his 70 career MLB frames, with a 13.1% lifetime swinging-strike rate driven by his 93 to 94 mph heater and wipeout slider. Whatever team takes a shot on his future can also pick up plenty of affordable future control over Barrett, who’ll soon turn 29.

Charlie Furbush: Rotator cuff surgery is never good news for a pitcher, and returning from that procedure presents a major hurdle for the 30-year-old. But quality southpaws are always in high demand, so there’s much to be gained in the event that he can get back on track. Over his last 175 1/3 MLB frames, compiled over 2012 through 2015, Furbush provided the Mariners with a 3.23 ERA and 10.3 K/9 versus 3.0 BB/9.

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Free Agent Market MLBTR Originals San Diego Padres Seattle Mariners Aaron Barrett Brett Anderson Charlie Furbush Doug Fister Drew Storen Greg Holland Henderson Alvarez Luke Hochevar Nathan Eovaldi Relievers Tyson Ross

Extension Candidate: Jake Arrieta
Main
East Notes: ERod, Mallex, Wieters, Barrett, Marlins
View Comments (44)
Post a Comment

44 Comments

  1. phillyphan3

    8 years ago

    I’d take a flier on Storen above all the other pen arms.

    Reply
    • patborders92

      8 years ago

      Storens the least likely, the mans done

      Reply
      • start_wearing_purple

        8 years ago

        Don’t know about that, With the exception of his first attempt in Seattle he was pretty dominate for them for 2 months. I’m not suggesting giving him much but a low salary with incentives could pay off.

        Reply
        • patborders92

          8 years ago

          I saw him pitch in Toronto, he was scary awful, should of been DFA’d a lot sooner than he was

          Reply
        • Travis’ Wood

          8 years ago

          Totally agree with patborders. If you watched Storen at all last year you would know he’s toast. I’d take almost everyone on this list over Storen. He had a low ERA in Seattle but that was due to a flukily low HR% and unsustainable BB%. His K% even went down with Seattle. Wouldn’t give him more than a minor league deal with an invite to ST

          Reply
        • start_wearing_purple

          8 years ago

          Storen’s HR rate returned closer to career norms. Sometimes it’s just a matter of getting the right coach to tell you something changed.

          I did not watch him in Toronto, but I’ve seen dozens of pitchers come and go from Boston who did better or worse once leaving. Javier Lopez comes to mind, he was all over the map in Boston but after he went to SF he put in at least 5 solid years. On the other side of things when Boston traded for Andrew Miller everyone said he was a washed up mess and yet he was one of the most feared pitchers in the postseason.

          All I’m saying is I’m having trouble believing 4 months is enough to call the call washed up.

          Reply
        • Travis’ Wood

          8 years ago

          Hes lost 3 mph off his fastball which was only 95 to start. He’s completely done.

          Reply
  2. l3ade12

    8 years ago

    Nathan Eovaldi looks like a recreation project for the Pirates.

    Reply
    • tim815

      8 years ago

      Also makes sense for the Cubs.

      The question is, will a team pony up with a MLB deal for 2017.

      If he gets a MLB deal for 2017, he becomes free agency again eligible as soon as his next contract expires..

      Best for Eovaldi would appear to be a two-year MLB deal, possibly with a team opt-out for 2018, if the rehab goes sideways.

      If he doesn’t get that, a minor-league deal would make sense, as well. The team could add him after the season at Arbitration rates. Or, they could non-tender him.

      Reply
      • l3ade12

        8 years ago

        If I was a gambling man, I’d bet some major league team would give him a major league contract.

        Reply
  3. crazysull

    8 years ago

    I would add Hammel to that list and take Evoldi off the list because he can’t bounce back this season, I think he should do what Holland did last season, take the year off and rehab on his own and come back and sign with a team knowing he can help them right away

    Reply
    • Jeff Todd

      8 years ago

      I don’t see him as a bounceback pitcher. He had a solid, full season last year. If anything, he’s perhaps more of a guy viewed as likely to regress given the injury whispers and lack of apparent interest from the Cubs and other orgs.

      Reply
  4. whereslou

    8 years ago

    Hopefully Furbush can get healthy and signs back with Seattle. He has been such a steady player in the BP for us it is hard to think of not having him around.

    Reply
  5. sss847

    8 years ago

    no love for jarrod parker?

    Reply
    • pd14athletics

      8 years ago

      I hope the guy finds success somewhere. But he is a crazy long shot to ever pitch in the bigs again… any of these guys listed above is a much better bet to contribute to a major league team

      Reply
    • Jeff Todd

      8 years ago

      He has just been so busted up for so long. Hasn’t pitched in majors since 2013 and only 4 total appearances since then.

      Reply
    • davidcoonce74

      8 years ago

      He’s a double-Tommy John guy, and certainly what we are seeing is that double -TJ guys don’t make it back as starters. Thinking just off the top of my head, Mike Minor, Brandon Beachy, Kris Medlen, Cory Luebke. Sometimes they end up as good relievers, like Hudson or Soria or Isringhausen, but they don’t tend to come back as starters.

      Reply
  6. 66TheNumberOfTheBest

    8 years ago

    I think Storen would be an interesting add for the Pirates. Watson was up and down as a closer and is likely to be traded since he’s a free agent at the end of this season.

    They signed Hudson, but I don’t believe he has done much closing.

    Storen would have a chance at winning the job if he pitches well and could replace Feliz as a 7th inning guy if he can’t beat out Watson or Hudson.

    Reply
    • Travis’ Wood

      8 years ago

      Hudson is much better than Storen. Closer experience means nothing.

      Reply
  7. BlueSkyLA

    8 years ago

    I’m going to take the contrarian view on Holland. I see him getting the classic value rebuilding type of contract: one year for not a lot of money with performance bonuses. A minor league pact and a non-roster invite would not surprise me.

    Reply
    • Travis’ Wood

      8 years ago

      Lol you high? No chance Holland has to settle for a minor league deal. One year incentive laden deal is worst case scenario

      Reply
      • BlueSkyLA

        8 years ago

        Yeah, I’m high. Thanks for asking.

        But next time try reading what I wrote.

        Reply
        • Travis’ Wood

          8 years ago

          Damn you really are hopped up on something. “A minor league pact and a non-roster invite would not surprise me”. And I said “no chance Holland has to settle for a minor league deal.” So clearly I read what you wrote and responded to what you wrote. No chance in hell he settles for a minor league deal. Moron.

          Reply
        • BlueSkyLA

          8 years ago

          I’m sure you’re the life of the party too.

          Reply
        • Travis’ Wood

          8 years ago

          Why are you dancing around the fact that you’re making zero sense? I literally responded to exactly what you said and then you told me to try reading what your wrote lol guess you’re the one not reading what I’m writing.

          Reply
      • peterdrgn

        8 years ago

        yup..someone will pick up holland, he could have a big upside…he was to good for someone not to gamble on him

        Reply
        • Travis’ Wood

          8 years ago

          Exactly. Just plain stupid to think he won’t get a major league deal with the amount of interest surrounding him recently

          Reply
  8. GarryHarris

    8 years ago

    10 is hard; I’ll be lucky to get 50%:

    Jordan Zimmerman
    Alex Cobb
    Matt Cain
    Annibal Sanchez
    Doug Fister
    Wade Miley
    AJ Griffin
    Derek Hollad

    Trevor Rosenthal
    Sean Doolittle

    Reply
    • tuner49

      8 years ago

      The article is about unsigned FA- your list includes controlled players already on contracts. You could make a good list of them too.

      Reply
  9. Macho King

    8 years ago

    Those players are Spring training invites or Minor League contracts with a shot to make the club. That’s as high as I would go on any of them.

    Reply
    • Travis’ Wood

      8 years ago

      I would give Holland, Fister, Ross and maybe Anderson major league deals but I agree with the rest.

      Reply
  10. stryk3istrukuout

    8 years ago

    I always believed in Eovaldi. It’s a shame he throws that hard and hasn’t put it together yet. It’s not like he walks a ton of batters either like Daniel Cabrera or early Randy Johnson.

    Reply
    • JrodFunk5

      8 years ago

      Thank you for the Daniel Cabrera reference! Made my day.

      Reply
      • stryk3istrukuout

        8 years ago

        Not sure if that is a good or bad thing. I was huge on Daniel Cabrera. I can recall way too many fantasy baseball seasons of hanging onto him. Had a rookie card of his I came across I coveted as well.

        Reply
  11. sorayablue

    8 years ago

    Watching Brett Anderson pitch was nerve-racking; you knew he could get hurt on any pitch. I was on the edge of my seat just waiting for the inevitable injury. Just bunt on him in the first inning and he’ll hurt him self getting off the mound, his team will then require five or six bullpen arms to finish the rest of the game and that in turn will mess up the next three or four games for the team. Not even with a 10 foot pole!!!

    Reply
    • sorayablue

      8 years ago

      *himself

      Reply
  12. jd396

    8 years ago

    Jesus, Brett Anderson is only 29? I guess he’s been so injured for so long that you think he’s 39.

    Reply
  13. tugriverred

    8 years ago

    Some day soon a club is going to start targeting and developing pitchers rather than throwers . Way too much attention to velocity is putting too many arms on the shelf . Not to mention the rate of Tommy John surgery in High School pitchers .

    Reply
    • davidcoonce74

      8 years ago

      The problem is that low-velo guys don’t really pan out. You can’t teach velocity. Outside of Hendricks and Colon, I’m having a hard time coming up with current successful low-velocity starting pitchers. Well, a few left-handers but that’s a different beast altogether. If it were easy to develop a guy like Hendricks teams would be doing it, but guys like him are outliers.

      Reply
  14. MatthewBaltimore23

    8 years ago

    Two of those starters are former Marlins-Eovaldi and Alvarez. Eovaldi won’t be able to immediately contribute, but Miami could try to get Alvarez back.

    Reply
  15. gillyking

    8 years ago

    What about Joe Blanton? Not exactly chopped liver. Was LAD best all purpose Bully in 2016.

    Reply
    • jdgoat

      8 years ago

      He’s not a bounce back candidate

      Reply
  16. babs206

    8 years ago

    For the Mariners,

    I would take a chance on Doug Fister, and see how he does in Spring training.

    Reply
    • marinersarmy

      8 years ago

      Please no!

      Reply

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