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Astros Interested In Lance Lynn

By Connor Byrne | July 29, 2017 at 8:36pm CDT

The American League-leading Astros have shown interest in a bevy of starting pitchers leading up to Monday’s trade deadline, and the latest is Cardinals right-hander Lance Lynn, tweets Jon Morosi of MLB Network. While the teams were recently embroiled in a hacking scandal that resulted in Major League Baseball forcing the Cardinals to send two draft picks and pay a $2MM fine to the Astros, the clubs are “comfortable” dealing with each other, per Morosi.

As Morosi points out (on Twitter), Astros general manager Jeff Luhnow is quite familiar with Lynn, having been in St. Louis’ front office when the team used a first-round pick on the hurler in the 2008 draft. Lynn has enjoyed a nice career with the Cardinals since debuting in 2011, but with his contract up at year’s end and the Redbirds sitting at 51-52 (3.5 games out of the National League Central lead and seven back of a wild-card spot), he could move in the next couple days.

With the exception of 2016, which he missed on account of Tommy John surgery, the 30-year-old Lynn has typically been good for 30-plus starts and at least 175 innings of strong work per season. That has been the case again this year in his return from the procedure, as Lynn has logged a 3.21 ERA, 7.98 K/9, 3.06 BB/9 and a 44 percent ground-ball rate across 120 2/3 frames (21 starts). Lynn has also registered an 11 percent infield fly rate, which ties him for 20th among starters, and posted a 9.1 percent swinging-strike mark that’s right in line with his career mark (9.2). Additionally, per Statcast (via Baseball Savant), Lynn’s terrific .305 expected weighted on-base average against is in line with his actual wOBA allowed (.298).

On the negative side, Lynn’s velocity hasn’t gotten back to its previous levels, and there’s some luckiness behind his stellar run prevention. FIP (4.83), xFIP (4.45) and SIERA (4.39) indicate there could be regression coming, and both Lynn’s .225 batting average on balls in play and 82.3 percent strand rate look likely to trend in the wrong direction as the season progresses.

Regardless of any red flags, Lynn’s track record and results this year have put him on several teams’ radars as Monday approaches. If the Astros win the derby for the $7.5MM man, he’d presumably join Dallas Keuchel, Lance McCullers and Charlie Morton to comprise their top four starters, though Brad Peacock and Mike Fiers have pitched so well out of their rotation over the past couple months that it would be unwise to discount them.

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46 comments
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Comments

  1. chandlere

    4 years ago

    This makes no sense

    1 Like
    Reply
    • cards4141

      4 years ago

      Why not?

      1 Like
      Reply
    • Fireball7764

      3 years ago

      Cardinals need Stanton

      Like
      Reply
  2. Steven St Croix

    4 years ago

    Nah.

    1 Like
    Reply
  3. cardfan2011

    4 years ago

    lol a lot of teams are interested in Lynn. It’s one thing to be interested, it’s another to actually attempt to acquire him

    1 Like
    Reply
    • MoMustGo

      4 years ago

      Cardinals are heading for being doomed to be a second division team in 2018! No moves… grow some balls Mozeliak! Hockey will be starting in a couple of months… something to look forward for the STL sports fan… The Deadbirds are going nowhere!

      Like
      Reply
  4. costas4commish

    4 years ago

    Have the Astros e-mailed the Cards about this, or did we just hack their system to find out?

    3 Like
    Reply
    • jimbo504

      4 years ago

      hilarious…

      2 Like
      Reply
      • EndinStealth

        4 years ago

        Not really

        1 Like
        Reply
        • jimbo504

          4 years ago

          that was sarcasm if you couldn’t tell.

          1 Like
          Reply
        • EndinStealth

          4 years ago

          Ah, sorry couldn’t tell

          Like
          Reply
  5. Richard K

    4 years ago

    Yeah if the Astros called it is just customary and more than likely attempting a feeler on their relievers. this rumor is thin.

    Like
    Reply
  6. STLShadows

    4 years ago

    The Cards are just sitting back waiting for the right offer right now. I don’t think he should go unless they atleast get 2 mid level prospects because they could just give him a QO at the end of the season and get an extra draft pick

    1 Like
    Reply
    • braves25

      4 years ago

      He might accept a QO of 18M!

      Like
      Reply
      • What

        4 years ago

        He would.

        Like
        Reply
      • EndinStealth

        4 years ago

        I don’t think he would. He’ll get a long term deal. He won t pass that opportunity up. Probably a 5 year deal.

        Like
        Reply
  7. Mcgrupp81

    4 years ago

    Say he makes 10 starts between now and the end of the season. That would put him at around 175 to 180 innings his first year back from Tommy John. A team like the Astros could maybe skip him in the rotation a few times, but other teams he could land on will likely not have that luxury. How his arm holds up going into the playoffs would be a question mark. He could conceivably be used as a long man out of the pen in the playoffs, but if he pitches very well down the stretch, you’d want him starting in the divisional series.

    Like
    Reply
    • hiflew

      4 years ago

      Since he is a rental, teams are not going to really care about his long term outlook unless they intend to resign him. They will just pitch him as much as they need. It might sounds cold-hearted, but it’s true.

      1 Like
      Reply
  8. Wrek305

    4 years ago

    They came to their senses and are interested in Lynn instead of Samardzija.

    2 Like
    Reply
  9. national pastime

    4 years ago

    Samardzija sucks. He’s only had success in the NL. Just an average pitcher in AL

    Like
    Reply
    • Wrek305

      4 years ago

      Thats my point Lance Lynn is an ace compared to Samardzija. Shark would be a 6th or 7th starter for some teams. Glad the cubs got rid of that cancer.

      Like
      Reply
  10. Braves Homer

    4 years ago

    I don’t begin to know how well their rotation has been all season but the Astros offense is World Series capable, should be aiming higher for a difference making starter

    Like
    Reply
    • jimbo504

      4 years ago

      Lynn is arguably the 3rd best starter available behind Gray and Darvish.

      Like
      Reply
      • DetroitDave84

        4 years ago

        JV is better than Lynn and has 7 playoff wins. The other 3 have zero playoff wins.

        Like
        Reply
        • Wainofan

          4 years ago

          Ummm… if we want to go by post season wins, Lynn has 5, 1 World Series and 4 playoffs. He has 14 postseason starts including 2 in World Series, so if you want playoff experience he’s your man

          2 Like
          Reply
        • chucky25

          4 years ago

          that’s funny Lance has like 5 or 6 post season wins and a ring

          1 Like
          Reply
        • CompanyAssassin

          4 years ago

          JV isn’t better than Lynn, as far as this season is concerned.

          Like
          Reply
        • bluecard

          4 years ago

          JV *was* better

          Like
          Reply
        • EndinStealth

          4 years ago

          Plus JVs salary for the next two seasons is a deal breaker.

          Like
          Reply
  11. Wainofan

    4 years ago

    Lynn has tons of playoff and World Series experience so that’s worth quite a bit to a contender

    Like
    Reply
  12. KiahFJ

    4 years ago

    Lynn for Whitley, that’s all I want haha.

    Like
    Reply
    • CompanyAssassin

      4 years ago

      The Cardinals already have tons of RHP prospects. Really no LHP or infielders though, that are significant.

      Like
      Reply
    • mikecav19

      4 years ago

      Lol. Um no. No way Astros trade Whitley for him. He is viewed as untouchable along with Tucker. And for good reason. That said, Keith Law rated Astros farm at #4 for mid season rankings. A deal can be made here.

      Like
      Reply
  13. aleek556

    4 years ago

    Never ever trust anything that Morosi says about the Cardinals. None of his rumors have ever been accurate.

    Like
    Reply
  14. CompanyAssassin

    4 years ago

    I don’t understand why the Cardinals don’t seem to want to resign Lynn. I get they have 3 big starting pitching prospects, but if any of them don’t work out or someone is injured, there’s still spots. Wainwright won’t last forever and Wacha is so hit or miss, that leaves you with Leake and Martinez of who is left to start. With Lynn you’ll have that certainty of a rotation spot.

    Like
    Reply
  15. What

    4 years ago

    Being a 85% fastball pitcher, he would suffer at home with the ‘stros

    Like
    Reply
    • mikecav19

      4 years ago

      I think they view him as a reliever.

      Like
      Reply
      • EndinStealth

        4 years ago

        That’s funny

        Like
        Reply
  16. tomabsolon

    4 years ago

    Would Love to see Cards hold onto Lynn and resign him to a respectable contract. He’s been around 7 seasons now and comes to play, has a little old school mentality and Loves being in St. Louis. Not to mention I bet they don’t get a descent return for him. Waiting game next 24 hours.

    Like
    Reply
  17. badlyalan05

    4 years ago

    Hard to believe the guy when he has no mention of McHugh in Houstons rotation.

    Like
    Reply
    • mikecav19

      4 years ago

      Right. I think people dont really understand the Astros situation. A trade for Lynn would be for BP help, not starting.

      Like
      Reply
  18. lmbrgfktr

    4 years ago

    Just because the cards trade him doesn’t mean they can resign him.

    But he will be a valuable commodity. Now that teams are not loosing first round picks, there will be more buyers. More buyers equates to higher dollars.

    Lynn for Colin Moran.

    Like
    Reply
  19. Corey vauman

    4 years ago

    trade Lynn, Rosenthal, Grichuk, and Jose Martinez for Harper

    Like
    Reply
    • thor would look better in red

      4 years ago

      hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahajahahahaha

      Like
      Reply
  20. Wainofan

    4 years ago

    6 innings 2 earned runs 3 strikeouts today

    Like
    Reply
    • mikecav19

      4 years ago

      6 innings and 1 run for Astros 6th starter on Saturday. Still, he could be a valuable BP piece for Astros.

      Like
      Reply

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