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Reds Avoid Arbitration With Trevor Bauer

By Jeff Todd | January 10, 2020 at 1:29pm CDT

The Reds have worked out a deal with right-hander Trevor Bauer, according to MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand (via Twitter). He’ll pitch for $17.5MM in 2020 rather than going to a third-straight hearing.

The MLBTR/Matt Swartz model projected a beefier raise than the $4.5MM that Bauer will ultimately receive. But as Matt explained recently in a detailed breakdown of Bauer’s case, the model’s predicted $5.6MM raise (to a $18.6MM salary) felt a bit lofty when examining specific recent comps.

It’s an important number, not just for Bauer and the Reds. As the above-linked post explains, this sets a new reference point for pitchers of this type — i.e., those that have thrown a lot of innings and perhaps even produced a big strikeout tally in their platform year, but with uninspiring results in the earned-run department.

Bauer had secured big victories in hearings with the Indians in each of the prior two offseasons. But he saw eye to eye with his new organization, which picked him up in a surprising trade in the summer of 2019.

This time around, Bauer was carrying a somewhat less enticing statistical record. He racked up the innings (213) and strikeouts (253), but ended the 2019 season with only a 4.48 ERA as well as a losing record (which does factor for arbitration).

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Cincinnati Reds Transactions Trevor Bauer

Mariners Claim Sam Haggerty
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Cubs Avoid Arbitration With Kris Bryant, Javier Baez
View Comments (37)
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37 Comments

  1. scarfish

    5 years ago

    Good thing his case isn’t going to drone on and on

    4
    Reply
    • dynamite drop in monty

      5 years ago

      Lol

      Reply
    • Deleted Userrr

      5 years ago

      Zing

      Reply
  2. statman

    5 years ago

    Overpay for over-rated pitcher.

    Reply
    • Les Chesterfield

      5 years ago

      Yeah 200+ innings and 250ks just scream over rated. If you were a fish; would u be a jelly fish ?

      4
      Reply
      • jdgoat

        5 years ago

        He’s reached both of those totals exactly once in his career, guy

        Reply
        • earmbrister

          5 years ago

          Bauer needs to find a way to pitch deeper into games, and guru Derek Johnson should be able to help him with that. The Ks limit his innings pitched obviously, but he should push 200 IP more regularly.

          Reply
    • iml12

      5 years ago

      I have to agree one freak phenomenal season and pretty much league average outside of 2018

      Reply
  3. DarkSide830

    5 years ago

    have fun with this mess Reds

    Reply
    • stan lee the manly

      5 years ago

      Bring back Puig and the two can take turns melting down so one guy doesn’t have to carry the entire load. Load management at its finest.

      Reply
    • fieldsj2

      5 years ago

      Unfortunately I think your right. I can definitely see GABP getting in his head. I hope I’m wrong!

      Reply
  4. Ahimsa

    5 years ago

    I pity the NLC.

    Reply
  5. julyn82001

    5 years ago

    Agreed. Most Regular American workers won’t ever come close to the money some of these athletes make. Unreal!

    Reply
    • Badfinger

      5 years ago

      And no athletes will ever come close to the money the owners make.

      7
      Reply
      • dynamite drop in monty

        5 years ago

        Exactly

        1
        Reply
      • TheBoatmen

        5 years ago

        Cole may make more than the Pittsburgh and Tampa owners.

        1
        Reply
      • bleedpinstripes

        5 years ago

        Magic Johnson, Michael Jordan, Derek Jeter off the top of my head.

        Reply
    • Old User Name

      5 years ago

      Most Regular Americans don’t have the skills these guys have.

      4
      Reply
      • sufferforsnakes

        5 years ago

        Many Americans contribute more to society than these guys.

        2
        Reply
        • Old User Name

          5 years ago

          Never underestimate the value of entertainment. There’s a reason there’s so much money available to these guys.

          1
          Reply
  6. Robust Scouting

    5 years ago

    The guy will give you 30 starts. 180 Innings. 200Ks. In today’s game, that’s worth 17M. Doesn’t matter if he’s a goofball or not.

    5
    Reply
    • Ahimsa

      5 years ago

      I like the guy myself. Not afraid to think outside the box, Not a sheep that follows every one else.

      3
      Reply
    • DarkSide830

      5 years ago

      and he’ll probably also have an ERA near 5.00. yep, great value.

      Reply
      • MoRivera 1999

        5 years ago

        Three times in the last 8 years did he hit north of 4.48.

        Reply
        • MoRivera 1999

          5 years ago

          Or I should say, three times in the last eight years did he hit 4.48 or more…

          1
          Reply
        • dynamite drop in monty

          5 years ago

          Damn DarthSide is gonna have to eat his Rebel Alliance Pilot Helmet

          2
          Reply
      • earmbrister

        5 years ago

        Darkside, Bauer slots in as the #2 pitcher on any other team in the NL Central. We’ll gladly take him as our #3.

        Reply
  7. kingquackatac

    5 years ago

    Never will forget the day after he was traded to the Reds, showing up as a regular Joe w/wife to catch the Indians in Cleveland. Even went thru the turnstyle in a crowd of fans LOL. No other player…

    3
    Reply
  8. ParkerIsMakingMessick

    5 years ago

    Glad he got paid. He was probably my favorite pitcher ever to come through Cleveland. He was always fun to listen to and hear him talk about baseball. I would like to see him win the Cy this year.

    4
    Reply
  9. megaj

    5 years ago

    Ouch, this one is painful

    Reply
  10. snoopy369

    5 years ago

    I’m shocked it didn’t go to a third arbitration – I thought Buaer really preferred to go to hearings. I wonder if it ended up low because he came in lower than he could have – like, he came in at 18MM or something like that (or even $17.5MM and the Reds also went in at $17.5MM, making the arbitration case pointless)…

    Reply
  11. Sid8766

    5 years ago

    No, cases like Trevor Bauer who will make $17.5 million & had a losing record & 4.48 ERA is why these small market owners won’t pay that

    Reply
    • MoRivera 1999

      5 years ago

      As a commenter above noted, he’ll give you “30 starts. 180 Innings. 200Ks.”

      He’s had an ERA of 4.48 or higher three times in the last eight years.

      Reply
      • wordonthestreet

        5 years ago

        Yea we know. You said it 3 times in these comments already

        Reply
      • earmbrister

        5 years ago

        Mo4, including his age 21 and age 22 seasons, where he had for starts per year, is misleading. Bauer Had one year with an ERA of 4.55, and another year with an ERA of 4.48. Put more simply, he has a career ERA of 4.04, which is somewhat above average

        Reply
    • Reggie Bars

      5 years ago

      What does having a losing record have to do with anything? That’s one of the most meaningless stats in baseball.

      Reply
  12. bobfromboyntonbeach

    5 years ago

    He was pitching injured a lot last year. If he is healthy he’s worth every penny,
    Wish we had him back in Cleveland this year……

    Reply

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