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Predict The NL Central Winner

By TC Zencka | July 25, 2020 at 9:28am CDT

With final roster decisions in the books and the 2020 season underway at long last, it’s time to make some predictions. We’ve started to poll the MLBTR readership on each of the game’s six divisions — starting with the AL Central. With plenty more teams primed to crack the postseason under the inclusive new playoff qualification system, let’s jump the pond and take a look at the NL Central.

Kyle Hendricks gave the Cubs an early lead in the division yesterday with a 2 1/2 hour complete game shutout of the Brewers. The Reds were right there with them in blowing away the Tigers. Many believe the Reds won the offseason, and their beefed-up lineup looks to bullrush the rest of the division. Matt Davidson took the Reds’ DH at-bats in game one, but newcomers Mike Moustakas and Nicholas Castellanos will cycle through as well. The pitching is underrated, and they’re going to be a force. The Brewers roll out two of the most impactful rostered players in the sport in Josh Hader and Christian Yelich, a dangerous pair of superstars in a short season. The Pirates are an organization in transition, and if they manage a string together a competitive 60-game season, it’ll be a surprise. Until a new champ is crowned, however, the Cardinals remain the toast of the NL Central. With Carlos Martinez back in the rotation and Matt Carpenter set to take a healthy slate of DH at-bats, the 2020 Cardinals are a slightly different shape, but no less formidable.

Which team do you think is the best of the bunch? (Poll link for app users.)

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53 Comments

  1. jdgoat

    5 years ago

    That Reds lineup and rotation could do some damage. If there defense can kind of come together and not lag too far behind they could really be a problem in the NL.

    2
    Reply
    • yankees500

      5 years ago

      Although I agree with you, as someone that has lived in Cincinnati their whole life, the Reds are known for being incompetent and for screwing things up when they matter most. I don’t see their bullpen or defense holding up this season; two things that should be vital in this sprint of a season

      Reply
    • JohhnyBets67

      5 years ago

      Their*** JDGOUT. You should’ve learned the difference by grade four! Our Canadian public school system is failing

      Reply
      • jdgoat

        5 years ago

        Ugh f me that ruined the post lol

        Reply
        • flmetfan

          5 years ago

          There, their, they’re, don’t feel bad, Er, badly?

          Reply
  2. Brixton

    5 years ago

    Cinci is deep in the lineup, high potential rotation, big arms in the pen. There only problem is defense.

    Reply
  3. Appalachian_Outlaw

    5 years ago

    It’s hard to pick against the Cardinals. Regardless of how they appear on paper, they always seem to find a way to win.

    3
    Reply
    • StlSwifty

      5 years ago

      Mike Schildt has worked wonders with the cardinals and it’s easy to see. Defense went from worst to first in his first year. More guys are stealing bases. And he seems to know how to get the most out of guys like tommy edman and kolten wong. Great coach. I think the cards take the division this year.

      1
      Reply
  4. Captain-Judge99

    5 years ago

    Starting to think my Cubbies have no chance to win the division. Hopefully playoffs somehow. I voted for the Big Red Machine to win the division

    Reply
  5. m3rozansky

    5 years ago

    Can everyone stop with “The Big Red Machine” nonsense? I know the Reds made a lot moves in the off-season but they haven’t been a playoff team since 2013. Wake me up when they win something or are known for anything other than fighting the Pirates.

    Reply
    • dugdog83

      5 years ago

      Mark your calendar in 60 days

      Reply
      • sirandrews

        5 years ago

        They’ll finish below .500

        2
        Reply
    • ksoze

      5 years ago

      Well besides being a bit of a baby, you’re right. The Big Read Machine was the 70’s not todays team. New eras need to earn their own nick names, and they haven’t done that yet.

      Reply
    • Joggin’George

      5 years ago

      I agree, they made some flashy moves but coming off an 87 loss season I don’t see enough for the turn around required to win the division.

      Reply
    • twentyforty

      5 years ago

      And wake me up when people realize a bad defense sabotages all pitching staffs.

      Reply
    • bdpecore

      5 years ago

      My guess is the Reds finish 3rd in the division behind the Brewers and Cards.

      Reply
  6. jacobsigel1025

    5 years ago

    I still can’t go against the Cardinals just yet. My 1-5 for the division is Cardinals, Reds, Cubs, Brewers, Pirates

    1
    Reply
    • Sonny 3

      5 years ago

      I agree with that.

      Reply
  7. MichaelJFoxownssteaknshake

    5 years ago

    I voted the pirates first because I have a great sense of humor.

    1
    Reply
    • gbs42

      5 years ago

      Based on your username, you really don’t.

      Reply
      • burtgummer

        5 years ago

        Well said

        Reply
  8. Cyclone37

    5 years ago

    Cards ….Cincy is deep but when u play in a launching pad it’s easy to let games get away.

    Reply
    • stan lee the manly

      5 years ago

      Especially with poor defense. The runs can really start to stack up against you.

      Reply
    • cards04

      5 years ago

      Hope your right. I’m thinking Reds tbh

      Reply
  9. mlb1225

    5 years ago

    Duh, it’s clearly the Pirates.

    But in all serisousness, the safe bet is the Cardinals. They’re always in it every year. But I really think the Reds are going to be really good this year after all the additions they made.

    Reply
  10. ksoze

    5 years ago

    What’s this drum beat about poor defense? Akiyama and Senzel are both good defenders, Castellanos and Winker not so much, but the can hide 1 as a DH. The infield is average. I’d bet the Reds end around 15 in most defensive metrics.

    Reply
    • cards04

      5 years ago

      Defense isn’t good at all

      Reply
    • NYMETSHEA

      5 years ago

      Other NL teams can hide a horrid defender at DH this year too.

      Reds defense just sucks.

      Reply
      • ksoze

        5 years ago

        Oh, very convincing argument. The Reds were 12 in MLB fielding % last season. Only the Cards ranked higher in the Central. They basically flipped a poor fielding LF (Winker) to good fielding LF (Shogo). They flipped their average fielding RF (Puig) to a poor fielding (Castellanos). Not much of a difference there, they upgraded at SS, and about the same at 2B. I don’t see why they are all of a sudden going to be the horrible fielding team you claim.

        Reply
      • ksoze

        5 years ago

        No only the Reds have the DH, you need to read the rules. LOL Yes, which gives the Reds 1 bad Defender. I’d say almost all teams have 1 they can’t hide to.

        Reply
        • Joggin’George

          5 years ago

          As far as bad defenders, though, it don’t get much worse than Castellanos

          Reply
        • earmbrister

          5 years ago

          Castellanos has improved by leaps and bounds. Yeah, he was an infielder just a few seasons ago, but he’s worked hard on his D. Castellanos spent an hour taking fly balls after the Reds opening day win. He’s well on his way to becoming an average defender. And Senzel will win a GG in CF before he’s done, which takes some more pressure off of Castellanos in a small OF.

          Reply
  11. Rangers29

    5 years ago

    Reds. I personally like the Cubs more than the Cards btw, but that race will be for 2nd. Brewers IMO are a lock for 4th, I still think they are an underrated team, but I have to take into account the loss of Moustakas and Grandal. I predict that some Pirate’s players continue to breakout, and then proceed to get traded at the deadline.

    Now, don’t get me wrong, this might be up there for the closest division in baseball along with the N.L East. Here are my Division Standings:

    Reds – 34-26
    Cubs – 31-29
    Cardinals – 30-30
    Brewers- 27- 33
    Pirates – 25 – 35

    Reply
  12. DarkSide830

    5 years ago

    Cards. most well rounded team in the Central, even if just a tad moreso then the Reds.

    Reply
  13. Mrtwotone

    5 years ago

    I picked the brewers off a hunch. Lol probably wrong but we will see

    Reply
  14. 66TheNumberOfTheBest

    5 years ago

    Cards. They are like the Patriots except they don’t cheat.

    Reply
    • brucenewton

      5 years ago

      …or win titles.

      Reply
      • Dotnet22

        5 years ago

        Might want to check the record books on that one.

        1
        Reply
      • themed

        5 years ago

        Tell us please who have more Divisional Titles. The Cardinals have more than the other teams combined. National League Pennants again the Cardinals. World Series Titles? Yes your right. The St Louis Cardinals.

        1
        Reply
    • jtkuch

      5 years ago

      Chris Correa would like a word on that last point.

      Reply
  15. Lloyd Emerson

    5 years ago

    3.73 percent of voters are on drugs and/or delusional.

    Reply
  16. MetsFan22

    5 years ago

    Reds
    Cubs
    Cards
    Brewers
    Pirates

    Reply
  17. MadThinker

    5 years ago

    The more a team can play the Tigers/ Royals/ Pirates, the better off they are.
    Each NL Central will play 10 vs Pittsburgh. Pirates play 6 games at St. Louis & 7 games at Cincinnati while hosting a majority of the games against Milwaukee & ChiCubs.

    Reds & Cardinals also have schedule advantage over Cubs & Brewers with inter-league play.

    Cardinals get 6 vs Royals along with 4 vs Tigers (so 20 games against that group of 3 rebuilding teams)

    Reds get 6 vs Tigers,along with 4 vs Royals (so again 20 games against that group of 3 rebuilding teams)

    Cubs get 6 vs White Sox along with 4 vs Royals & 3 vs Tigers (so only 17 games against that group of 3 rebuilding teams).

    Brewers get 6 vs Twins along with 4 vs Tigers & 3 vsRoyals (so again only 17 games against that group of 3 rebuilding teams).

    I have to think that 3 game difference will be just as impactful as head to head play among these 4 NL Central teams..

    I would not be surprised if either Cardinals or Reds won the NL Central & fully expect them to finish in the top 2 in the division…

    Reply
  18. justme

    5 years ago

    My best guess is the cards nobody talking about them thats when they usually excel..cubs with heyward 30 win team..without him they are a 35 win team…he kills a potential scoring inning pretty much every game he starts..they should trade a higher prospect just to get rid of him they would be a better team..brewers look like a solid wild card team..reds will under achieve again..pirates not even a consideration this year

    Reply
    • earmbrister

      5 years ago

      Guess again Justme. The Reds have the best rotation in the division, as well as the best starter at each spot #1 to #5. They added Moustaukas and Castellanos to the middle of their lineup. The Cards will be hard pressed to stay in front of Cincy.

      Reply
      • justme

        5 years ago

        You just made my point i said they would under achieve…never said they don’t have talent. In fact they probably a top 10 team in overall talent

        Reply
  19. Idioms for Idiots

    5 years ago

    I said it back in Jan or Feb and I’m sticking to it: Cubs.

    How about Hendricks last night? I wasn’t expecting a shutout from any pitcher this year, let alone on Opening Day. Either he’s already in mid-season form or Ross really wanted him to finish that game (103 pitches).

    1
    Reply
    • MannyPineappleExpress9

      5 years ago

      And today they lost 8-3.

      And couldn’t figure out how to execute a rundown.

      Reply
      • Logjammer D"Baggagecling

        5 years ago

        That run down was the endgame for their loss. It wasn’t even a tied game yet. The next batter knocked the run in. It was all downhill from that moment. They threw the ball way too many times.

        Reply
  20. Mikel Grady

    5 years ago

    Bryant
    Rizzo
    Baez
    Contreras
    Schwarber
    Hoerner
    Happ
    Caratini /bote
    Heyward
    Looks like a division winning lineup to me

    Reply
    • Mikel Grady

      5 years ago

      Still in first Cubbies

      Reply
  21. backhandjoe

    5 years ago

    2020 is so Weird! GO CREWERS GO!!!

    Reply
  22. stgpd

    5 years ago

    The virus wins

    Reply

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