Click here to view the transcript of today’s chat with MLBTR’s Anthony Franco.
By Anthony Franco | at
Click here to view the transcript of today’s chat with MLBTR’s Anthony Franco.
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Moderator: I don’t think many teams are breaking the lockout rules.
Also moderator: Here’s an example of someone finding ways of breaking those rules.
Well I mean, he never said he doesn’t think no teams are breaking the rules. Just not many.
Fair enough. Team executives probably just miss Buster Olney so much they call him from their wives phones. They’re probably above doing that to sign players.
I assume their wife already had his number… 😉
Let’s hope not. Buster is the type of guy you call from your wives phone because you know he won’t take your wife. Until you find his trade rumors in her DM’s
Buster Olney is a reporter/journalist. There’s a big difference between talking to the media, which admittedly is forbidden, and having discussions with players or their agents.
In other words, he’s a minor rulebreaker, whose actions have zero impact. That’s a far cry from anyone that would be a major rulebreaker, using back channels to do so, that would have a major impact.
What’s naïve is to think teams aren’t weighing risk/reward in regard to breaking the rules. It doesn’t give any team that much of an advantage, but could wind up being very punitive if caught. I can see why you think what you do because people love conspiracy theories.
There isn’t going to be any team/FA signing announced within hours of the lockout ending because that will look extremely suspicious.. And no FA is going to sign with a team, regardless of previous illegal contact, if another team is going to offer a better deal when the lockout ends.
The fact that an executive would take such steps, only to call Buster Olney, tells you these executives are being extremely circumspect. There wouldn’t be much of a penalty if an executive was caught talking to the media. But if contact with a player or agent was revealed, that deal could be voided with additional penalties like cash or loss of draft picks.
Any executive caught would justifiably lose, their job, and could also justifiably be called an idiot, for being so stupid.
@ tad2b13;
Over the years I’ve known some MLB players and managers. As with any industry, back channeling does go on. But it’s mostly a feeling out process – i.e. “these guy’s would be interested in speaking with you when the time is right – please don’t commit elsewhere until we can talk”.
I agree with you in that I doubt a major actor (that was smart enough to become a major actor) would endanger his/her career by blatantly breaking the rules.
As for the Buster Olney and the guy on MLB.TV, they’re really the Hedda Hopper’s and her sister (the Coen Brothers recently made a movie set in 1951 with characters like them), Walter Winchell-type gossip columnists. Who knows who’s using who.
When do you guys think the lockout will be over and do you think the Mets can get Matt chapmen and Kris Bryant?
I guessed 2/14 in the contest. Don’t know if they have the prospects for Chapman but Cohen is not shy about spending money (Bryant).
Agreed
Lockout will be over in a few weeks and there is zero chance that the Mets get both Bryant and Chapman. I know, you expect to be able to trade Cano, Dom Smith, and McNeil for everyone. lol
I really hope so but I believe the Mets have the money to spend and get good players like chapmen and manea and maybe Bryant LGM !!!!!
No talks even scheduled right now, and you think this will over in a few weeks!? While I’m sure everyone would like to see this over on that time table, I think we are in February before this is settled. Also, Chapman AND Bryant is not going to happen in Queens, nor should it from a roster standpoint. Frankly, I’d be surprised if they got either one.
I just hope it will be over soon and that the Mets make the right moves and whatever it takes to make those Moves !
Roy DeMeo:
While I doubt the Mets get Chapman and Bryant, I disagree that getting Bryant categorically won’t happen. If the Mets throw enough money at Bryant they can sign him. They probably won’t but I would never say never.,
February is in a few weeks…..
Regarding the Steve Cohen quote, yeah, they can be worth 5x or more their slot bonus. They can also be worth nothing. A number of 1st and 2nd round picks never sniff the majors. The owners are still getting a good deal, but it’s an investment that has more inherent risk in it than football or basketball because the baseball draft is more of a crapshoot. You also have to wait longer to see that return.
Is Zack Greinke a shoe-in HOFer?
Yeah
One of those guys that will be on the fence for some people, but 219 wins, 2800 Ks, and 73 WAR is pretty damn good. I think he’s one of the better pitchers of his era, so I would say yes. Padding the stats a little more won’t hurt, but I think he’s in if decided he was done right now.
The stats are there and I didn’t realize how young he was when he broke in, but I never really had him in that Verlander/Scherzer/Kershaw group of shoe-ins in my head.
Yeah, so strange to me that he’s a borderline guy with some people when we have all the readily public information available. Dude has clearly been a beast to anyone paying attention to our beloved sport.
But then, I also don’t understand why Kevin Brown is such a meme either. If you played video games in those formative years in that era, he was like the guy to pick up. Nerdy nerd, I know
I believe he broke the bar for a Sp on highest contract ever inked during his time- With that comes responsibility
He never lived up to the LAD contract but not many players did with us during that stretch. Those teams were severely flawed yr to yr with no direction coming from above
Kevin Brown didn’t just break the record for starting pitchers. He was the first ever $100 million player. At one point he was the highest paid player in baseball history period. Kevin Brown isn’t a name you would expect to hold that honor. Then again, neither is Mike Hampton. I think he’s the one who broke Brown’s record. That only lasted a couple days though. Then A-Rod shattered them all. There was a period in time though that the 2 highest paid players in MLB history were Kevin Brown and Mike Hampton. 2 starting pitchers who both got worse after they signed those deals.
Speaking of Brown, wasn’t he “juiced?” He did seem to have an anger management problem if I
remember correctly…..
Anger = juicing???
There are lots of fiery players. That doesn’t mean they’re using PEDs.
Anthony, would you consider doing an article about why you think banning the shift would increase three true outcomes? I am genuinely curious about that. My own personal opinion is that it wouldn’t do much anyway because homers are the best outcome and who cares where the defense is when you’re slugging it out of the park. Great chat as usual!
Thanks, I’ll explain it a little more here. I generally agree that most players aren’t going to modify their approach too much regardless of the defense. As you said, homers are super valuable and strikeouts are still going be rampant, making it hard to string hits together.
What I expect — and it’s obviously just a theory I can’t test unless there’s a ban in place — is that if you ban the shift, teams will roster more pull-oriented sluggers.
Which hitters are most adversely affected by the shift? It’s guys like Joey Gallo and Ryan Howard, not Nick Madrigal or David Fletcher. Power hitters who try to pull the ball because it’s the best way to hit homers also tend to strike out more often and hit more rolled-over grounders. If you ban the shift and allow more of those pulled grounders to get through for singles, that kind of player becomes more valuable and, I’d guess, more prevalent.
Yes, but some guys would have their singles drop in elevating their batting average. This isn’t football,
fielders should stay where are supposed to stay!
jorge78, what do you mean by “supposed to?”
Players have shifted to varying degrees since the game began. Basemen at one point stood 2-3 steps from the bag, but that changed when teams realized there are better locations to position them. Teams created the Williams Shift to counter Ted Williams’ pull tendencies. Teams adjust as they learn more, and defensive positioning has been evaluated extensively the last several seasons.
If you think players should be in more traditional positions, that’s understandable, but that doesn’t mean that’s where they’re “supposed to” be.
jorge78:
Interesting that you should compare to football. I am against rules limiting shifts for the very reason that I don’t want baseball to become as over-regulated as football.
When you look at football you see players that aren’t allowed to catch a ball, and aren’t allowed to run more than a couple yards down the field from the line of scrimmage. It’s a penalty for illegal touching if a lineman gets accidentally hit with a pass.
I’ve seen where a QB throws to the strong side WR, it’s a great throw/great catch, with impressive yards gained after the catch for a huge gain. But it gets called back, with a 5 yard penalty, because the weak side WR lined up a yard back from the line of scrimmage, leaving the weak side lineman uncovered. A beautiful play called back for illegal formation.
That’s exactly the kind of stuff I don’t want to see in baseball, but you will if they legislate against the shift. You could see a guy hit a weak grounder, but get awarded 1B because the umpire ruled the fielder was too far from the base when the pitch was made. No thanks.
Thanks for the reply, man! Makes sense.
While home runs are valuable in MLB. Remember Chris Carter 41 home runs in 2016 to be out of MLB the next year (2017) at 30 years old. Chris Carter resurfaced in 2019 in the Mexican leagues and hit 49 home runs.
@ Juiced Balls;
My experience following MLB over a number of decades is that ultimately it’s balanced teams that get to the WS. Some may have more pitching or more speed or more defense or more power hitting – but ultimately the teams that succeed can win games in multiple days.
Whereas HR’s can make up for a lot of sins in a game, the reality is that teams that were based on HR’s the past few years – starting with the Twins (they set a HR record in 2019), Yankees, and now White Sox, are playoff good but not WS worthy, especially since some of the juice was taken out of the baseball.
Much depends on whether the franchise and its fans want to be titillated and entertained or if they want their team to win.
@samuel
I am titillated and entertained when my team wins. Aren’t you?
You see Votto as outside looking in on HOF or did he just slip your mind?