11:42am: The Marlins are “closing in” on a trade of Rogers, Craig Mish of SportsGrid and the Miami Herald reports. At this point, there are still multiple teams bidding for his services, but it seems the Fish are close to selecting an offer and then turning their focus to the wide array of relievers they could move today.
10:10am: The market for Marlins left-hander Trevor Rogers has picked up some steam this morning, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports. He’s among a slew of Marlins who could potentially be moved before this evening’s trade deadline. SNY’s Andy Martino adds that the Mets are one team that’s been talking to Miami about a deal for the 26-year-old Rogers.
Rogers, the 2021 National League Rookie of the Year runner-up, has had a healthy 2024 season after missing the majority of the 2023 campaign with a biceps strain and considerable time in 2022 due to both back spasms and a lat strain. He hasn’t been the same pitcher after navigating those health troubles, pitching to a 4.53 earned run average with diminished velocity (92.2 mph average fastball), strikeout (18%) and walk (9.7%) rates in 105 1/3 innings this season.
That said, Rogers was legitimately excellent as a rookie. The former No. 13 overall pick (2017) burst onto the scene with 133 innings of 2.66 ERA ball, a 28.5% strikeout rate and an 8.4% walk rate. His fastball was averaging a much more encouraging 94.6 mph at the time, but Rogers has some track record, some pedigree as a former top pick and, perhaps most importantly, plenty of affordable club control remaining.
The silver lining to those injuries (for the Marlins anyway) is that they limited Rogers’ time on the field and thus weighed down his price tag in arbitration. He’s earning just $1.525MM this season and is under club control for an additional two years. If a club feels they can coax another level out of Rogers — even if it’s not all the way back to his 2021 form — he’s a highly appealing option. Even if another club is simply looking at him as a controllable and affordable back-of-the-rotation arm with a full slate of three option years remaining, however, there’s some value in that as well.
The Mets are a fit for just such a depth option in the rotation. Veterans Luis Severino, Jose Quintana and Sean Manaea lead a staff that also includes homegrown arms Tylor Megill and David Peterson. It’s not long ago that there was some thought to the Mets actually trading away a veteran arm like Quintana even as they looked to remain in contention, but the outlook has changed dramatically in Queens with likely season-ending injuries to both Kodai Senga (high-grade calf strain) and top prospect Christian Scott (UCL sprain).
Rogers isn’t necessarily a concrete upgrade over Megill and Peterson at the back of Carlos Mendoza’s staff, although it’s always fair to wonder how a change of scenery might impact a talented but struggling arm like Rogers. But even if Rogers is indeed viewed as a pure depth play for the Mets, there’s good reason to land that type of arm. With Scott and Senga now on the shelf and with veteran Adrian Houser’s recent DFA, the Mets don’t have any other rotation options on the 40-man roster. Southpaw Joey Lucchesi and righty Max Kranick are depth candidates in Triple-A after they both cleared waivers earlier this season, but that’s not sufficient for a team targeting a postseason berth.
Trevor Rogers isn’t as bad as his stats show. He might be worth taking on for some teams
He’s a good 5th starter, maybe a 4 if healthy. Never seen much from him. Weak fastball and gets shelled a lot.
He was on my shortlist for the Brewers before his last start in Milwaukee. Brewers should have shelled him but left him off the hook.
He isnt bad for a 5 inning starter who never wins and missed the entire eason in 2023.
Would love Rodgers on the Mets. I wonder if the Marlins would do Rodgers and Tanner Scott for Hamel, Houck, Morabito, and Vasil
LFGMets: *ROGERS. Show the guy a little respect by correctly spelling his name.
It’s right there in front of you.
Was he the 7th overall pick or the 13th? I’m confused.
Woof. 13th in 2017. I briefly muddled him with Marlins lefty Braxton Garrett’s draft slot (No. 7 in 2016) and then didn’t clean up the mistake. Apologies for the confusion!
Does it matter. Take a hard pass and move on.
Mets need to replace Senga right now. Either go all in and aim high or be sellers with all the expiring contracts. Half assing it with bottom of the rotation SPs won’t cut it. Pick a direction!
There is a revival spirit going on with the Mets over the past couple of months. The FO needs to step up big today as this could be their year ( and there have only been a few of those in their 62 year history lol ).
Half assing it now would deflate the fanbase and the Team spirit!
There’s a method to it. They’re in the mix and wildcards have won it all, but they can’t do it at the expense of the farm which could blast onto the scene next year. Luisangel Acuña and Jett Williams could be ready along with a returning Ronny Mauricio.
The Mets are in a long line of pretenders. No need for false hopes and bad trades.
Robrock30: The same logic I apply to buying tickets on Stubhub on the afternoon of a night game applies here.
You get the best seats (or players) for the lowest price when the clock is ticking down to zero.
Has Christian Scott’s UCL sprain been confirmed to be season-ending? Last I read, he was going start rehabbing after a couple of weeks.
That’s a pretty good offer. Even though the two pitchers are getting hit pretty hard in the minors, they have room to grow, and may be just working on something specific rather than using all of their pitches, some teams develop that way. I think the one went from a 2 seamer to a 4 seamer.
Anyway, fair offer in this Braves fan’s opinion. Still wish we would have drafted Houck.
No specific offer was mentioned…how do you know it was fair?
I was replying to the Mets fan up above that asked if the group he mentioned was a fair offer. LFG Mets is the user.
I hope my commentary on the offer that caused you to have to comment didn’t hurt you too badly.
Mr. Rogers could be a helper in the Mets neighborhood.
Hasn’t been the same since the tragic situation he has during the season a few years ago
He was one of a couple of guys I wouldn’t have traded back in November, hoping to get some type of potential turn around in there, but it’s clear to me it’s going to take something external to get him back. He’s totally lost his fastball, and now he can’t get away with what was never great command
*had
But what can they really get for him now? Maybe a couple of guys in short season ball? Or a couple of international guys that haven’t come over to the states yet?
If there’s any way they think they can get his stuff ramped back up somehow, you would rather avoid an Andrew Miller situation, if possible, and just continue to hold him a bit longer, but if he has some value left, and you just want to get something out of it, it makes sense to do something now, especially having waited too long to get anything from the pitchers they should have moved months ago
They’re dying to move away from Megill who is terrible
Any team that thinks they can help him improve his pitch selection and teach him a better breaking ball should be interested in Trevor Rogers. Lefty with nice command, a very nice changeup, just enough velo, still young enough to make you believe that his velo could bounce back 1-2 ticks, and not a free agent until after 2026.
If the Mets do trade for him, sit him next to Quintana during each game for the rest of the year, and have Quintana share his curveball technique with Rogers.
The Giants have an opportunity to add to their stable of pitchers with the last name of “ROGERS” !!
Next UP for the Giants: a SLY move to sign ROY ROGERS !!
Quick on the TRIGGER.
Throws a fastball that is like a BULLET.
Nice!!!
Tippecanoe and Tyler, Taylor, and Trevor too!
Quietly a good pitcher! on the right team he will win 12 games easy
Mute yourself.
Can’t wait to see how much less a team gives up for him in comparison to the Kikuchi deal
I wouldn’t overpay, but should be a semi-dependable #5 with a little upside.
In other words wait until he is placed on waivers.
I’m shocked there’s even a market for him. Whenever he’s not injured, he’s been mediocre to terrible
Only if Scott is in the deal the Mets do it.
Only way. PLEASE
Whoever he gets traded to really should pick up Taylor and Tyler Rogers from the Giants too in order to corner the market on t rogers’ and so you can get a box score where t Rogers starts, t Rogers in relief and t Rogers gets the save
Marlins saw what Houston is paying for back end rentals and figured it was the right time to get something for a few years of Rogers. Too bad Dana Brown doesn’t have many prospects left to trade.
I got the Mets or twins.
Obviously a bunch of other possibilities.
As a padres fan I hope it’s not us but lefty with years of cheap control sounds also like a preller move.
Let’s go Twins.
If the Mets try to trade for Rogers and/or Tanner Scott, they’re both free agents at the end of the year, I wouldn’t give up too much.
I just don’t see Trevor fitting into the Miami 2025 24 man roster. He has learned how to pitch this year with his lower velocity, and although he usually taps out around the 5th or 6 th inning he can be effective for someone….. he is not going to be one of our starting 5 out of 2025 Spring Training
He can be a nice tandem starter for the Mets. Start him and bring in Megill in the fifth or the other way around. Or get him 5, Butto 3 and Diaz in the 9th.
I think a lot of the people in the comments are going to be shocked when they see the insanely high return for this guy
I’d of course like the Braves to have him but I can’t see that making sense for both organizations if multiple teams are in the mix
Good pedigree and initial success, but history of injuries and underperformance that will keep his arb numbers down? 1 mil salary this season? Two more years control? This smells like a Falvey special.
I think the Twins are a great spot for Rogers and possibly Scott. They have quite a few guys that the Marlins could be interested in. Like Kirilloff, Larnach, Castro, Miranda, or Julien from the Major league roster. But, if I’m the Marlins. I want Rodriguez. He’s going to be a stud. Or, at least get Keaschall.
Do Better!!
Orioles beat out the Mets.