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Offseason Outlook: Los Angeles Dodgers

By Steve Adams | October 31, 2024 at 5:00pm CDT

After years of aggressive activity on both the trade and free agent markets -- to say nothing of savvy drafting and player development -- the Dodgers stand alone on top of the MLB mountain. They erased a 5-0 deficit in Game 5 to topple the Yankees by a score of 7-6, securing the largest comeback ever in a clinching game. It's the eighth World Series win in Dodgers history and the fourth time they've topped the Yankees in the Fall Classic. Now, president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman, general manager Brandon Gomes and the rest of L.A.'s baseball operations outfit must turn their focus to a 2025 title defense.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Shohei Ohtani, RHP/DH: $698MM through 2033 ($678MM deferred, without interest, through 2043)
  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto, RHP: $270MM through 2035 (player can opt out after 2029 or 2031 seasons)
  • Mookie Betts, OF/INF: $265MM through 2032 ($128MM deferred [$45MM signing bonus, $83MM of salary] through 2044)
  • Tyler Glasnow, RHP: $111.5625MM through 2028 (includes $21.625MM player option for 2028)
  • Freddie Freeman, 1B: $81MM through 2027 ($36MM deferred, without interest, through 2040)
  • Will Smith, C: $96.45MM through 2033 ($45MM deferred through 2043)
  • Chris Taylor, OF/INF: $17MM through 2025 (includes $4MM buyout of 2026 club option)
  • Max Muncy, 3B: $12.5MM through 2025
  • Tommy Edman, INF/OF: $9.5MM through 2025
  • Ryan Brasier, RHP: $4.5MM through 2025

2025 commitments: $214.5MM ($93MM deferred)
Total long-term commitments: $1.565 billion ($887MM deferred)

Option Decisions

  • Clayton Kershaw, LHP: $10MM player option
  • Miguel Rojas, SS: $5MM club option ($1MM buyout)
  • Austin Barnes, C: $3.5MM club option

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • Dustin May (5.059): $2.135MM
  • Michael Kopech (5.041): $5.2MM
  • Brusdar Graterol (4.167): $2.7MM
  • Tony Gonsolin (4.152): $5.4MM
  • Evan Phillips (4.136): $6.2MM
  • Gavin Lux (4.114): $2.7MM
  • Alex Vesia (4.078): $1.9MM
  • Connor Brogdon (3.139): $800K
  • Anthony Banda (3.135): $1.1MM

Non-tender candidates: May, Gonsolin, Brogdon

Free  Agents

  • Teoscar Hernandez, Jack Flaherty, Blake Treinen, Walker Buehler, Joe Kelly, Enrique Hernandez, Kevin Kiermaier (retiring), Daniel Hudson (retiring)

As is often the case, the first "question" of the offseason for the Dodgers will center around the dugout. Dave Roberts, who's helmed the club for nine seasons en route to eight division titles, four National League pennants and World Series wins in 2020 and 2024, is slated to enter the final season of his contract. A change would register as a shock after Roberts' first World Series win in a 162-game season. An extension to avoid lame-duck status next year seems like it'll be in order, though it's possible that'll be held off until spring training. Broadly speaking, changes on the staff will likely be minimal, unless the Dodgers see a coach or coaches hired away for promotions on other staffs.

With regard to contractual options on the actual roster, there's not a lot of drama. Clayton Kershaw has already committed to returning to the Dodgers next season. Exercising his $10MM player option seems like the most straightforward means of making that happen, but perhaps the two parties will connect early to hammer out slightly different terms. Miguel Rojas' $5MM club option is a net $4MM decision when factoring in the $1MM buyout. After the season he just had, that should be a no-brainer, even if he's ticketed for a more limited role in 2025. Austin Barnes is an organizational favorite, but the Dodgers are deep at catcher. He's a borderline call, but maybe shelling out $3.5MM (and a presumptive 110% luxury tax) for a veteran backup isn't something the organization cares to do with Hunter Feduccia, Diego Cartaya and Dalton Rushing all on the the near-MLB depth chart.

Talk of Juan Soto will dominate the offseason, but we'll get to him in a bit. Starting pitching figures to be the primary focus for a Dodgers club that patched its staff together in the rotation and watched several young arms go down with long-term injuries. Righty Gavin Stone is likely out for all of 2025 following shoulder surgery. River Ryan, Kyle Hurt and Emmet Sheehan all had Tommy John surgery this season. Dustin May's return from flexor surgery was derailed by a bizarre and frightening tear in his esophagus that required surgery. Tony Gonsolin had Tommy John surgery last August and should be back in '25, but he'll be on an innings restriction. Walker Buehler and deadline pickup Jack Flaherty are free agents. Last season's breakout right-hander Bobby Miller endured a nightmare 2024 campaign, logging an 8.52 ERA in the majors and a 6.00 mark in Triple-A.

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Burch Smith, Daniel Johnson Elect Free Agency
View Comments (51)
Post a Comment

51 Comments

  1. kellin

    7 months ago

    Dodgers really do just need to bring back Buehler. His post season performances should have guaranteed that.

    2
    Reply
    • UWPSUPERFAN77

      7 months ago

      I was amazed at how well he played. Horribly overpaid but shut me up with WS performance!

      2
      Reply
      • JCL10

        7 months ago

        How is 8 millions dollars horribly overpaid?

        2
        Reply
  2. Joe says...

    7 months ago

    Congrats to the Dodgers. Hoping for a rematch next year.

    4
    Reply
    • Yankee Clipper

      7 months ago

      I’m hoping for a Boone-less Yankees next year….

      2
      Reply
  3. Butter Biscuits

    7 months ago

    We’ll be back next year stronger than this year

    1
    Reply
  4. bag o ballz

    7 months ago

    man 1.565 billion in commitments – that is nuts

    2
    Reply
    • Daryl Pauley

      7 months ago

      Tells you how much money there is in baseball. Nobody seems to want to say it out loud.

      5
      Reply
      • El Kabong

        7 months ago

        There’s so much money that “small market” owners refuse to sell. It’s easy money for them. Invest nothing in the team, then put tens of millions of dollars in your pocket each year while crying poverty.

        3
        Reply
        • panj341

          7 months ago

          You must know Bob (spend nothing) Nutting , the Pirates owner.

          1
          Reply
        • El Kabong

          7 months ago

          Bobby, darling. You’re about to receive another colossal revenue-sharing check from your big-market friends. How much of it will you spend to improve your team?

          Nuttin, honey.

          1
          Reply
      • Hammerin' Hank

        7 months ago

        “Baseball is dying, I tell you.”

        Reply
    • niel.marshal

      7 months ago

      I dont really get it, why NBA and MLB still refuse to give it a go to place a big ad in their jersey. Bibigo pay 100M (20M per year for 5 years) for their tiny ad in the right chest of the Lakers jersey. Imagine the price for the middle chest, the big one that replace the team name. It could be sold for big money, money that can pay for, well, anything.

      Snapdragon paid 60M euro to Manchester United for the premium place on their jersey. DXC technologies paid 25M for their logo in their right hand jersey. Including with Adidas, Manchester got almost 105M just for the ads hanging in their jersey.

      I know its the top team in the premier league. Even the bottom feeder in the PL still can get around 30M-35M ish for the ads money in their jersey. Money that can they spent for adding player.

      1
      Reply
      • bag o ballz

        7 months ago

        you are basically talking about Japanese baseball where teams are named by their corporate subsidizer and not the locality

        Reply
  5. desertdawg

    7 months ago

    Now looking forward to the Dodgers spending another billion dollars on FA payroll signings, why not they brag they have the wealth to outspend most teams two times over, so a payroll of 300 to 400 million cannot be out of the realm of possibilities in this off season.

    Reply
    • UWPSUPERFAN77

      7 months ago

      Not enough punishment to exceed the luxury salary cap. BTW, should also be a minimum salary cap to avoid being a team like the Athletics.

      2
      Reply
      • Fever Pitch Guy

        7 months ago

        UWP – Of course it’s a matter of opinion, but a 110% penalty and loss of draft picks and loss of international bonus pool money are pretty stiff penalties.

        Why do you think the Yanks didn’t sign Snell last offseason? Because they didn’t want to pay $63M for one year of his services, which is what it would have cost with all the penalties.

        2
        Reply
        • Hammerin' Hank

          7 months ago

          Agreed. There are enough penalties already.

          1
          Reply
  6. letitbelowenstein

    7 months ago

    They’ll sign Soto or Burnes. Guaranteed.

    Reply
    • mlb fan

      7 months ago

      “Soto or Burnes”..Burnes, Snell or Fried are much more likely. The Dodgers value defense and Soto just doesn’t have it. I can’t see Soto manning the expansive Dodger’s outfield. Besides, I doubt the Dodgers are looking for a full-time DH anyway, since they already have Ohtani.

      Reply
      • JCL10

        7 months ago

        Snell is not happening. Dodgers FO is never gonna align with his high walk approach.

        Reply
    • Shrutefarm

      7 months ago

      As a Dodger fan, I would welcome Burnes.
      Let Flaherty walk.

      1
      Reply
    • Hammerin' Hank

      7 months ago

      I Guar-An-Tee it.

      Reply
    • larry48

      7 months ago

      Soto is not a good player, he’s a great hitter but that’s all. I don’t think the Dodgers will sign Soto. I think Dodgers resign Buehler, Flaherty, t Herandez and Treinen. then 1 or 2 free agent top pitchers.

      Reply
  7. UWPSUPERFAN77

    7 months ago

    Too bad about Muncy and Taylor being player options. They should both go along with Barnes. You can add Kiki to that list too! BTW congratulations on winning the series!

    2
    Reply
  8. niel.marshal

    7 months ago

    Please re-sign Kike, Walker and Teoscar. These guy prove can perform very well in postseason, something that very rare in 2022-2023 postseason.

    Also take Sugano and Sasaki since both of them would love play in west coast and LA.

    I would love Willy Adames sign with LA also, but his postseason number was mediocre (.216 BA). So, if the price is right, sign him please AF

    2
    Reply
    • Hammerin' Hank

      7 months ago

      Postseason numbers are small samples and pretty much irrelevant when it comes to a front office making free agent decisions. Especially batting average, lol.

      Reply
    • JCL10

      7 months ago

      I would love to have Sasaki but there is 0 chance he gets posted.

      Next year though…

      Reply
    • JCL10

      7 months ago

      I don’t see the Dodgers signing Adames. Their lineup is already too righty heavy and adding him to the mix wouldn’t help.

      Reply
  9. wayneroo

    7 months ago

    Thanks for all of these Offseason Outlooks, to you Steve and the whole staff. You all do a great job.

    1
    Reply
  10. highflyballintorightfield

    7 months ago

    They’ve tried short term, very high AAV, offers to top FAs. Bauer accepted, Harper didn’t. They probably will try again, hard to predict if any9ne will go for it.

    Reply
  11. Shrutefarm

    7 months ago

    Mad props to Blake Treinen for gutting through 7 outs to get the ball to Buehler.

    2
    Reply
    • JCL10

      7 months ago

      Need to resign both. ASAP

      1
      Reply
  12. panj341

    7 months ago

    Can’t see them non tendering those pitchers.
    They have the money and if they bounce back they are a bargain.

    Reply
  13. Bobcastelliniscat

    7 months ago

    Dodgers off season plan is to sign every available free agent. Their long term plan is to sign every male baby born in the United States, Japan, Korea and The Dominican Republic.

    Reply
  14. mab51357

    7 months ago

    A little off topic but I’m a Giants fan. Wanted to get this said. As a Giants fan is supposed hate the Dodgers as I have for 50 years or more. Don’t get me wrong but the Dodgers have given me plenty to hate all those years. And yet before this post season began it seemed to me that they have a lot of classy players on their roster. That’s because they actually do. How do you hate players that are really good people. I have a lot of respect for some of the professional and classy people they have. So I decided to root for them once they made it to the WS. (made it a little easier because I hate the Yankees even more) Now that all the dust is settled and they are 2024 champions I would like to CONGRATULATE them on a great postseason run. They play the game the proper way and to have high character players like Freeman, Betts, Ohtani,Teoscar,Kershaw, and many others including Manager Dave Roberts. I’m sure there are more. Great job to you all and have a great parade for your fanbase. You all deserved it this year. I’m actually happy the Giants are in the division too. Lastly, come the start of next season I will not be rooting for the Ducking Fodgers. Just a heads up. Lol

    6
    Reply
  15. jvent

    7 months ago

    Congrats to the Dodgers, now the Mets should sign Buehler and Treinen

    Reply
    • El Kabong

      7 months ago

      Buehler returning to the Dodgers is probably the safest free-agent bet of the off-season. The organization recognizes Buehler’s value to them and vice versa.

      Reply
      • norcalblue

        7 months ago

        Stupid money will soon show up El Kabong and Walker wants to be paid. Don’t be surprised if Buehler goes elsewhere. I’d love to see him return; but don’t count on it.

        1
        Reply
        • El Kabong

          7 months ago

          He’ll be back, and the Dodgers will give him a fair deal, just like they’ve been doing with Kershaw. If Buehler wants to be paid, what better team than his current one that is always in the mix for a championship? I would be stunned if he went elsewhere. Since Kershaw has announced he intends to keep pitching, it wouldn’t surprise if the Kershaw/Buehler Return-to-LA press conference was a joint affair.

          Reply
        • Hammerin' Hank

          7 months ago

          He’ll go to whoever offers him the most money.

          Reply
        • MT17

          7 months ago

          While this might be true of some players, Buehler has said over and over that he loves nothing more than pitching in the postseason. That doesn’t mean he’ll sign with the Dodgers, but I doubt he’ll sign with a team that has little hope of going to the postseason just for some extra money.

          Reply
  16. BlueSkies_LA

    7 months ago

    Gonsolin and May are pretty unlikely nontenders. It’s hard to see where that idea is coming from. Buehler seems like a good case for a QO.

    Reply
    • El Kabong

      7 months ago

      BlueSkies, Do you think Gonsolin or May end up in the bullpen? It’s weird knowing that starting pitcher May will be a free agent next winter, even though he’s pitched less than 200 MLB innings.

      Reply
      • BlueSkies_LA

        7 months ago

        I wouldn’t be surprised to see both of them in the pen next season. The way the Dodgers worked through this postseason they and probably other teams should be thinking about a pitching strategy of having several relievers who can go multiple innings.

        Reply
      • JCL10

        7 months ago

        May should be Dodgers closer.

        Less stress on his arm, and he’s got the stuff, and the mojo to be an elite closer.

        Reply
        • BlueSkies_LA

          7 months ago

          I’ve pegged him as a potential late innings guy even before the injuries. He doesn’t command enough pitches to be an effective starter in today’s game.

          Reply
        • JCL10

          7 months ago

          That sinker/slider combo is nasty. Brusdar 2.0

          Reply
    • Thirsty Pig

      7 months ago

      Yeah. . I agree with BlueSkies. . .why are May and Gonsolin non-tender candidates?

      Reply
      • El Kabong

        7 months ago

        Thirsty Pig…

        Yeah, that’s ridiculous. Andrew Friedman would never consider non-tendering those guys. They are extremely talented pitchers who make next to nothing.

        Reply
  17. Informed Sportsball Discussion

    7 months ago

    Dave Roberts saw Manny Machado blow up the Nord Stream pipeline.

    True story.

    Reply

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