Anthony Franco
- Good afternoon everyone, hope you've enjoyed your week! Steve's off today and it's been pretty busy so I'll probably have to keep this one around an hour
Pudge
- What is Detroit thinking?? Vladdy's final year of Arb was 28Mil. 30 is closer than 19.
Anthony Franco
- Covered this in more detail in the Skubal writeup itself but the $19M is way closer to the precedent we've seen for starting pitchers than $32M -- both in terms of max value and raise relative to the previous season
- Skubal's trying to get a $22M raise, which is unheard of in arbitration. I understand why he's trying to do this -- both in terms of wanting to be valued as a top five player in MLB, which he is -- and to break the ceiling that arbitrators have put on starters
ThePhillyPope
- The Phils don't seem to be "in" on any starting pitching this off season. IMO the rotation after Sanchez & Luzardo is very suspect. Nola is average at best, Walker is worse, Painter is unproven, and we have zero idea how/if Wheeler will come back from his surgery. What are your thoughts?
Anthony Franco
- The budget isn't infinite and they were right to make Schwarber the priority. I'd still like to see them add a swingman (or give Keller a rotation opportunity, but it seems they closed the door on that right away) but I'm alright with the rotation for the moment
- If Painter continues to struggle and/or Wheeler comes back shaky, it becomes the priority at the deadline. I think they're talented enough both at the top end and in the lineup that they can give it a few months to see how things shake out
MetsFan
- Has your projection for Kyle Tucker changed since the beginning of the offseason? I know you guys originally predicted 400/11, curious if that's changed since he's still unsigned so close to spring training.
Anthony Franco
- I'd probably drop into the 350-375 range at this point. Tim Dierkes was there the whole time and deferred to Steve, Darragh and myself in agreeing to 400. Still would be surprised if we're looking at three or four with opt-outs though
jrizz1e
- does the diamond sports group news from yesterday put the market on any sort of hold?
Anthony Franco
- Doubt it matters much at the top end since it's mostly mid-market teams that are fighting the TV stuff. Could see it trickling down a little more to the mid-tier guys, though they're the ones who get the hit the hardest for remaining unsigned close to Spring Training anyway
- I wonder a little bit about the Angels though. They feel like they should've been involved on Suárez (Ranger and Geno, really), Gallen, etc. and a dark horse on Belli. This could be Arte Moreno's excuse to do essentially nothing
Kay
- Rob Manfred HAS to know that a free agency deadline is a non-starter, right??
Anthony Franco
- Yeah I can't imagine the PA's agreeing to that. Players resoundingly hate it
- It's just an opportunity for Manfred to frame it publicly as something he wants that'd be exciting for the sport, and I'm sure there are plenty of fans who agree with that, though his primary motivation (which he leaves unsaid) is cost suppression
Brian
- Is bellinger worth 30 million a year?
Anthony Franco
- For the Yankees or Mets on a four-year deal? Sure. For six or seven? Pass
Dana Brown
- Would Abreu and Blubaugh be enough for Cowser from Orioles?
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“This could be Arte Moreno’s excuse to do essentially nothing.”
Yep. Losing out on 50 million will be the reason why he won’t take the money “saved” from Rendon (and Ward) and put it anywhere but his pocket. He cares more about that than anything else.
For whatever it’s worth, Arte deserves a lot of grief, but calling him cheap isn’t really fair. The Angels have spent the majority of his ownership as a top 10 payroll. In the last few seasons, he’s dropped down into the mid tier.
The issue isn’t as much about his willingness to spend so much as how he’s spent it.