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Marlins Working To Trade Nolasco ASAP

By Tim Dierkes | June 26, 2013 at 10:59pm CDT

WEDNESDAY, 10:59pm: The Marlins are surprisingly open to eating some of Nolasco's contract, but only if the prospect return is significantly better than alternative deals, tweets Jim Bowden of ESPN.com.  Meanwhile, the Padres continue to have talks with the Marlins on multiple players, including Nolasco, but nothing is close or imminent, a source tells Bowden (Twitter link).

5:21pm: The Marlins have told other clubs that they have teams willing to take on all of the prorated portion of Nolasco's $11.5MM salary, tweets Buster Olney of ESPN.com.  Nolasco is owed roughly $6MM between now and the end of the season.

TUESDAY, 12:41pm: The Marlins have been aggressively working to move starting pitcher Ricky Nolasco as soon as possible, tweets ESPN's Buster Olney.  So far the Orioles, Yankees, Diamondbacks, Padres, Rockies, and Giants have been connected to the righty, and the Marlins' aggressive approach was noted by Andy Martino of the New York Daily News yesterday.  And earlier today, ESPN's Jayson Stark wrote that Nolasco might win the "Most Likely to Get Traded Before the All-Star Break pool."  Moving Nolasco with over a month remaining until the July 31st trade deadline makes sense, because there's added value to a contender in having him for all of July.

Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports has a new article on Nolasco, where he names the Giants, Dodgers, Padres, Rockies, and Orioles as interested parties (the NL West teams have expressed interest).  As opposed to Olney's report, Rosenthal writes, "The Marlins are 'kicking around' names in a potential Nolasco trade with clubs, sources say, but their talks have not progressed to the point where a deal is close."

Nolasco, 30, has a 3.68 ERA, 6.9 K/9, 2.2 BB/9, 0.81 HR/9, and 41.6% groundball rate in 100 1/3 innings this year, making him one of the better available starting pitchers.  He has about $6MM remaining on his contract, after which he'll be a free agent.  Another of the top starting pitchers available, Matt Garza, is under pursuit by the Padres and Dodgers, according to Rosenthal.  Any player traded midseason becomes ineligible for a qualifying offer in the offseason, removing the possibility of draft pick compensation and increasing the player's value to winter suitors.

Click here to see a leaderboard I've created of all the potentially available starting pitchers.

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Baltimore Orioles Chicago Cubs Colorado Rockies Los Angeles Dodgers Miami Marlins San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants Matt Garza Ricky Nolasco

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Trade Market For Catchers

By Tim Dierkes | June 25, 2013 at 8:08pm CDT

Last summer, catchers Geovany Soto and George Kottaras were traded in July, while Kurt Suzuki and Kelly Shoppach were dealt in August.  This year's market for backstops appears similarly uninspiring.  The Tigers and Yankees are a couple of teams that could be in the market.

Starters

John Buck (Mets), Ryan Doumit (Twins)

Buck, 32, has hit .176/.263/.243 in 152 plate appearances since May 5th.  Anthony Recker serves as Buck's backup.  Mets fans await the big league debut of Travis D'Arnaud, the key piece in the R.A. Dickey trade over the offseason, as D'Arnaud recovers from a broken bone in his foot.  At last check, D'Arnaud was cleared to run in water.  If D'Arnaud needs more than a month, Buck could still be moved in August given his $6MM salary and lackluster hitting.  The Mets' goal should be modest with a Buck trade; he can back up somewhere and they can receive some salary relief.

Doumit, a switch-hitter, still has decent pop.  He's more of a catcher/designated hitter/occasional first baseman/corner outfielder.  The Twins gave him a two-year, $7MM extension in June of last year, so it's possible they'd prefer to retain him for 2014.

Backups

Dioner Navarro (Cubs), Hank Conger (Angels), Carlos Corporan (Astros), Jeff Mathis (Marlins), John Baker (Dodgers)

Navarro should be particularly available, since he's a free agent after the season.  He has a .468 SLG in very limited duty the last couple of years.  Conger and Corporan have also shown a bit with the bat this year as backups; their availability is uncertain.  Mathis made his season debut in mid-May after a broken collarbone, and has only 57 plate appearances on the season.  He's under contract for $1.5MM in 2014, with a club option for '15.

Other Possibilities

Should the Phillies adopt a more certain seller stance, impending free agent Carlos Ruiz should be available.  His season began in late April after he tested positive for Adderall, and then he later missed time with a hamstring injury.  We've yet to see whether he can be an asset offensively this year.  He's earning $5MM.  The Brewers' Jonathan Lucroy is signed through 2016, possibly '17, and I imagine they'll keep him.  Ditto for the Angels and Chris Iannetta, who is signed through '15.  I can picture the White Sox moving Tyler Flowers, though he wouldn't really help a contender.

Biogenesis Effects

The Yankees' Francisco Cervelli is currently recovering from a broken hand; the team has used Austin Romine to back up Chris Stewart in his absence.  If Cervelli is suspended for his connection to Biogenesis, the Yankees' desire to add a veteran could increase.  There's also Padres starter Yasmani Grandal, who has already served a 50-game suspension for testing positive for testosterone.  If MLB manages to slap a 100-game suspension on him, he could be done for the season.  The Padres would presumably turn back to Nick Hundley, but could at least look for a backup having cut Baker earlier this month.  They did subsequently add Chris Robinson to their Triple-A club, for which Rene Rivera is playing well.

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2013 Trade Market

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Minor Moves: MacDougal, Tallet, Mather

By Tim Dierkes | June 25, 2013 at 5:15pm CDT

Today's minor moves…

  • The Phillies have signed right-hander Mike MacDougal and assigned him to Triple-A Lehigh Valley, tweets Lehigh Valley radio announcer Matt Provence (via Matt Gelb of the Philadelphia Inquirer on Twitter). The 36-year-old was released by the Reds earlier this month.
  • Lefty reliever Brian Tallet has retired, reported Burt Wilson of Lancaster Newspapers.  MLBTR has confirmed the news; Tallet is pursuing a career in coaching.  Tallet pitched to a 4.79 ERA in nine seasons with the Indians, Blue Jays, and Cardinals, earning over $5MM.  He pitched for the Padres' Triple-A club last year, joining the Lancaster Barnstormers of the Atlantic League this spring.  Tallet was a useful reliever for the Jays from 2006-08, compiling a 3.38 ERA over 173 innings.  He was known for sporting quality facial hair.
  • The Reds released outfielder Joe Mather, Baseball America's Matt Eddy revealed in his minor league transactions post for June 13-19.  Mather had signed a minor league deal out of the Atlantic League with the Reds in May, but hit .174/.287/.291 in 102 Double-A plate appearances.  Mather was drafted by the Cardinals in the third round in 2001, a round that also produced big leaguers Scott Hairston, Jack Hannahan, and Ryan Theriot.
  • Eight players currently reside in DFA limbo: Wade LeBlanc of the Astros, Quintin Berry of the Royals, Eric Thames of the Mariners, Josh Wilson of the Diamondbacks, Jose Valverde of the Tigers, Collin Cowgill of the Mets, Yamaico Navarro of the Orioles, and Ross Seaton of the Astros.
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Cincinnati Reds Philadelphia Phillies Toronto Blue Jays Transactions Brian Tallet Joe Mather Mike MacDougal

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Stark On Astros, Ethier, Brewers, Papelbon, Stanton

By Tim Dierkes | June 25, 2013 at 1:46pm CDT

The latest column from ESPN's Jayson Stark is jam-packed with trade-related information.  Highlights:

  • One National League executive predicted that the Cubs' Matt Garza will be the first pitcher traded; he's thought to be eminently available, as the Cubs are not comfortable with his asking price on a potential new contract.  The Padres and Dodgers are among the teams pursuing Garza, reported Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports earlier today.
  • The Astros are looking for volume in any deal they make, one NL exec told Stark.  Bud Norris is an obvious trade chip for Jeff Luhnow and company, while I imagine Carlos Pena, Jose Veras, Erik Bedard, Lucas Harrell, Wesley Wright, Ronny Cedeno, and others can be had as well.
  • The Dodgers are not actively dangling right fielder Andre Ethier.  What's more, the team still views itself as a buyer despite being eight games out.  They may be interested in adding a third baseman they can control for multiple years, implies Stark.
  • Nationals first baseman Adam LaRoche could be dealt, hears Stark, in a scenario where Ryan Zimmerman moves to first base, Anthony Rendon moves back to third base, and Danny Espinosa gets healthy.  LaRoche's name is not out there at present, however.
  • The Brewers will "gladly listen" on third baseman Aramis Ramirez, as well as any position player other than Jean Segura, Carlos Gomez, and Ryan Braun.  I wonder if that means names such as Jonathan Lucroy and Norichika Aoki will be in play next month.
  • Execs who spoke to Stark seem divided on whether the Brewers want to trade Yovani Gallardo, with one saying, "To be honest, I think they would love to move him."  Click here for thoughts from Brewers GM Doug Melvin on the situation.
  • The Phillies are talking to the Red Sox and Tigers about closer Jonathan Papelbon right now, one exec tells Stark, even if they say otherwise.
  • Officials of three teams that have talked to the Marlins about slugger Giancarlo Stanton are convinced owner Jeffrey Loria won't trade him this summer.  In an April poll of over 13,000 MLBTR readers, over 40% thought Stanton would be dealt this summer.
  • Other teams say the Tigers are willing to surrender top prospects Nick Castellanos or Avisail Garcia if necessary.  The team is focused on finding a closer.
  • The Braves are "all over the bullpen market," which jives with a couple of other reports today.
  • The Giants "have taken on a whole new fervor in the last week in their hunt for another starter."  They've been connected often to Nolasco, but there are around 20 viable candidates out there of varying quality.  The Orioles could make a move before the All-Star break, hears Stark, and they seem to be prioritizing starters over relievers.
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Atlanta Braves Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox Chicago Cubs Detroit Tigers Houston Astros Los Angeles Dodgers Miami Marlins Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies San Francisco Giants Washington Nationals Adam LaRoche Andre Ethier Aramis Ramirez Giancarlo Stanton Jonathan Papelbon Matt Garza Nick Castellanos Yovani Gallardo

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Cubs Designate Carlos Marmol; Release Ian Stewart

By Tim Dierkes | June 25, 2013 at 11:31am CDT

The Cubs finally pulled the plug on longtime reliever Carlos Marmol today, announcing they've designated him for assigment.  The team also announced the suspension of third baseman Ian Stewart was settled and upheld, and he was granted his unconditional release.  The team selected the contract of outfielder Brian Bogusevic to replace Marmol.

USATSI_7271470

Marmol had become a symbol for the Cubs' struggles this year, with a 5.86 ERA, 6.8 BB/9, and 1.95 HR/9 in 27 2/3 innings.  He began the season as the team's closer, apparently as a way of building trade value, but lost the job after allowing five runs in his first three outings.  Marmol, a converted catcher/outfielder, joined the team's bullpen in 2007, snagged an All-Star nod in '08, and ascended to the Cubs' closing job late in 2009.  He peaked in 2010, striking out nearly 42% of batters faced while racking up 38 saves.  That season earned him a three-year, $20MM extension in February 2011.  Marmol had always had major problems with walks, and now the team will eat the remaining $5MM+ on that ill-advised contract.  During November of last year, it seemed like Marmol was headed to the Angels for Dan Haren before the Cubs pulled the plug and the Halos declined Haren's club option.

Stewart's departure was inevitable after a June 11th Twitter rant criticizing the team for letting him "rot" in Triple-A, where he's authored a .168/.286/.372 line since returning from a quad injury.  The Cubs handed him a ten-game suspension without pay for the comments for violating the loyalty clause in his contract.  The Cubs had non-tendered Stewart in December and re-signed him for $2MM later that month.  Given that he cleared outright waivers in May, teams were not anxious to take on his salary, nor was Stewart willing to abandon the money and elect free agency at that time.  The Cubs ultimately recoup about $110K of Stewart's salary, writes Gordon Wittenmyer of the Chicago Sun-Times.

Bogusevic, 29, was born in Oak Lawn, Illinois, as was this post's author.  The Cubs signed him to a minor league deal in November, and the former first-round pick posted a .319/.418/.512 line with 10 home runs in 304 Triple-A plate appearances this year.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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Chicago Cubs Transactions Carlos Marmol Ian Stewart

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Analyzing The Free Agent Starters

By Tim Dierkes | June 25, 2013 at 10:44am CDT

I've compiled a FanGraphs custom leaderboard of the 42 current starting pitchers who will be eligible for free agency after the season, leaving out a few with club options such as James Shields and Jon Lester.  Crunching a few basic numbers:

  • You won't find a better innings-eating free agent starter this year than Bronson Arroyo.  He leads with 100 2/3 innings after 15 starts, even though others have made 16 starts.  Arroyo still looks strong if we look at the past calendar year, though Hiroki Kuroda comes out on top with 225 1/3 innings.
  • Jason Hammel, Josh Johnson, and Matt Garza are the hardest throwers of the group, all averaging 92.7 miles per hour on their fastballs.  A.J. Burnett isn't far behind at 92.3, and he leads in strikeout rate and percentage.
  • With a 1.1 BB/9, Bartolo Colon gets the nod for best control.  Ervin Santana and Dan Haren have also been stingy with the free pass.
  • If you don't mind small samples, Chien-Ming Wang and Jake Westbrook are the most extreme groundballers.  If you do mind, then it's Tim Hudson.  Meanwhile, Phil Hughes gets the fewest groundballs, though others such as Freddy Garcia and Haren have had more extreme issues with home runs.  Westbrook hasn't allowed any home runs in his 51 innings, while Jorge De La Rosa has allowed only five in 93 innings.
  • Jason Marquis is getting by with an unsustainably low batting average on balls in play (.237), with Garza and Santana also below .250.
  • Among those with ten starts, Santana is the ERA leader at 2.64, followed by Kuroda and Colon.  SIERA likes Santana as well (3.49), but likes Burnett even more (3.23) and gives a nod to Roberto Hernandez (3.51).  Colon leads the past calendar year with a 2.68 ERA, with Kuroda checking in at 3.00 and Paul Maholm at 3.10.  Colon is also rocking a 1.41 ERA over his last 51 innings, and Joe Saunders is coming on strong in his last five outings.
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2014 MLB Free Agents

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Brewers’ GM Melvin Discusses Gallardo

By Tim Dierkes | June 25, 2013 at 1:22am CDT

Brewers GM Doug Melvin continues to be frank about how the trade deadline may shape up for his underachieving team.  Talking to Anthony Witrado of Sporting News, Melvin said on Monday, "For us to win games moving forward, Yovani [Gallardo] should be a part of that, but some teams get in pennant races and need that one guy to get them over the hump.  It’s not a slam dunk that I’m going to trade Yovani or [Kyle] Lohse, but you never know. There’s a lot we have to consider about our club right now." 

Gallardo is "already a guy teams are charting," an NL Major League scout told Witrado.  The 27-year-old righty may emerge as the best starting pitcher available this summer.  Cliff Lee may not be available (and some teams would be priced out anyway), while Jake Peavy is on the DL with a rib fracture and Matt Garza comes with the uncertainty of a ten-month layoff.  Plus, as Melvin explained, "That Yovani is not a free agent like guys like [Zack] Greinke or Anibal Sanchez last year, he has more value than just two months of a rental, so the package from another team has to be something that will wow me."

Gallardo will have about $2.6MM remaining in 2013 salary at the July trade deadline, and then is owed $11.25MM in 2014 and has a $13MM club option with a $600K buyout for 2015.  He can block trades to ten teams, including the Orioles.  Having strung together 21 scoreless innings over his last three outings, Gallardo chopped his ERA from 5.25 to 4.09 in the course of about two weeks.  Overall he hasn't missed bats this year like he used to, but he still looks like a sub-4.00 ERA pitcher moving forward.  The Orioles, Padres, and Giants are among the contenders known to be seeking starting pitching, but almost any team could make room for Gallardo.

Melvin spoke in praise of relievers John Axford and Francisco Rodriguez, who appear to be trade candidates.  The Brewers make for an interesting seller, as Lohse is another useful starter and they could offer up one of the market's better bats in Aramis Ramirez.

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Milwaukee Brewers Kyle Lohse Yovani Gallardo

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Trade Candidate Leaderboards

By Tim Dierkes | June 24, 2013 at 3:42pm CDT

FanGraphs is loaded with fantastic MLB statistics and related tools, and one of my favorites is the ability to create custom leaderboards.  With trade season around the corner, I created three leaderboards to allow you to sort the stats for all the MLB players I currently consider viable trade candidates.  You can see which available first baseman has the best walk rate, which available starting pitcher gets the most groundballs, which available reliever has the biggest strikeout rate – the possibilities are endless.  Please note that the player selections are subjective, and some are much more available or movable than others, and use the leaderboards as a framework or starting point.  They consist of reasonably-available veterans from the Astros, Brewers, Cubs, Mariners, Marlins, Mets, White Sox, Angels, Dodgers, Phillies, and Twins, with a few players on contending teams sprinkled in.

Position Player Trade Candidate Leaderboard

Starting Pitcher Trade Candidate Leaderboard

Reliever Trade Candidate Leaderboard 

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Uncategorized

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Mets To Promote Carlos Torres, Won’t Opt Out

By Tim Dierkes | June 15, 2013 at 4:00pm CDT

SATURDAY, 4:00pm: The Mets will promote Carlos Torres rather than allow him to opt out and go elsewhere, according to Adam Rubin of ESPNNewYork.com (on Twitter).  The move was first reported by Chris Cotillo of MLBDailyDish.com (Twitter link).  

THURSDAY, 12:43pm: Torres worked out a deal with the Mets where the right-hander will continue to start in Triple-A but can also contact other MLB clubs, MLBTR has learned.  If he finds a 25-man roster spot somewhere, then the Mets have 48 hours to put him on their own active roster or he can declare free agency and sign with that other club.  A couple of NL West teams already have some interest in the 30-year-old.

MONDAY, 10:58pm: The Pacific Coast League Pitcher of the Week could soon become a free agent.  30-year-old righty Carlos Torres, currently working out of the rotation of the Mets' Triple-A affiliate, has the ability to opt out of his contract Wednesday, MLBTR has learned.  Over his last four starts, Torres has allowed three earned runs in 32 innings.  Overall he has a 3.89 ERA, 8.4 K/9, 2.4 BB/9, and 0.88 HR/9 in a dozen starts this year.

Torres signed a minor league deal with the Mets in November, after tallying 53 innings out of Colorado's bullpen in 2012.  A 15th round pick of the White Sox in 2004, Torres tossed 42 frames with the big club in 2009-10 before spending 2011 in Japan.  As Matt Musico of MetsMinors.net wrote today, Torres has an unclear path to the bigs with the Mets, with top prospect Zack Wheeler soon to bump Jeremy Hefner or Dillon Gee to the bullpen.    

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New York Mets Carlos Torres

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Stark On Miguel Cabrera, Kershaw, Nolasco, Stanton

By Tim Dierkes | June 8, 2013 at 4:41pm CDT

Jayson Stark's latest Rumblings & Grumblings column for ESPN came out yesterday; here are some highlights.

  • There have been enough informal conversations between Miguel Cabrera and the Tigers on a contract extension that both sides expect a deal to get done, a friend of the player tells Stark.  The tricky part is that a new deal would begin with the 2016 season, at which point Cabrera will be 33.  It seems likely that Cabrera would need an average annual value in the $30MM range, but Stark's sources picture anywhere from three to five additional years.
  • Some of Stark's sources don't consider Yankees second baseman and #1 2014 free agent Robinson Cano the type of player to build a team around.  One exec, though, told Stark, "I can't imagine him leaving."
  • Stark hears Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw seeks a ten-year deal, which would be the first for a pitcher since Wayne Garland signed a ten-year, $2.3MM deal in 1977 (those were different times).  One exec can't possibly see Kershaw leaving L.A., and could picture $200-210MM over seven years.  Even that would be well beyond C.C. Sabathia's record seven-year, $161MM deal, which was signed on the open market with the Yankees after the '08 season and included an opt-out clause.  I feel that Kershaw's agents at Excel Sports Management have to score an opt-out in any new deal, especially with the Dodgers giving them to Zack Greinke and Hyun-Jin Ryu.
  • One exec suggests the Angels offer Mike Trout the Buster Posey deal, which amounted to eight years and $159MM in new money.  Stark says "folks around the game" do not see Trout signing, however.
  • The Orioles and Yankees are "leading the parade of teams that already have interest" in Miami's Ricky Nolasco.  The 30-year-old is easily the highest-paid Marlin, and should have about $7.7MM remaining on his contract at the trade deadline.  Nolasco has a 3.61 ERA in 82 1/3 innings, and sports his best strikeout rate since 2010.
  • Would anyone sign Alex Rodriguez, if the Yankees end up releasing him?  "No chance," says one executive.
  • The Marlins have shown no interest in dealing right fielder Giancarlo Stanton midseason, say clubs that have inquired, though Stark thinks Marcell Ozuna's emergence could push them toward trading Stanton this winter.  Stanton should return from a hamstring injury next week.  
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Baltimore Orioles Detroit Tigers Los Angeles Dodgers Miami Marlins New York Yankees Clayton Kershaw Giancarlo Stanton Miguel Cabrera Ricky Nolasco

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