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2007 MLB Free Agent Starting Pitchers

Pirates Have Initiated Extension Talks With Four Players

By Jeff Todd | March 10, 2020 at 8:07am CDT

The Pirates have launched exploratory talks with at least four players about possible long-term deals, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports on Twitter. Jon Heyman of MLB Network had previously reported that the club intended to explore deals of this kind with some young talent.

Among the targets are outfielder Bryan Reynolds, middle infielder Kevin Newman, and starter Joe Musgrove — all relatively youthful, quality MLB players. The Bucs have also approached top prospect Ke’Bryan Hayes, per the report.

As we discussed when the initial news arose, this is hardly surprising in the full context. The Bucs, like many lower-budget organizations, have long relied upon early-career extensions to achieve value. And there are indications that there’s a broader push to lock up relatively inexperienced players around the game, though we’ve yet to see an onrush of dealmaking.

There are some interesting elements here, though. Hayes is an especially intriguing target since he has yet to appear in the big leagues. That’s no longer a barrier to an extension, as we’ve seen several such accords, but it’s also not exactly commonplace.

Most recently, Luis Robert lined up on a $50MM deal — a record-setting number for a pre-MLB player. But he has risen to the ranks of the the most elite prospects in the game. And he had already secured a huge bonus ($26MM) when he signed as an amateur. Suffice to say, Robert had ample leverage.

Hayes is generally regarded as one of the fifty or so best prospects in the game, so he’s not to Robert’s level of future expectations. Perhaps a better comparable is Scott Kingery, who was promised $24MM in his agreement with the Phillies two years back. It’s arguable the market has moved north since that time, so Hayes would be justified in viewing that as a starting point.

Also of note: the lack of talks — so far as is known publicly — between the Pirates and star first baseman Josh Bell. The Bucs already agreed to a $4.8MM arbitration salary with the 27-year-old, who is coming off of a breakout 2019 season. Bell would surely cost a far sight more than any of the players listed above.

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2007 MLB Free Agent Starting Pitchers Pittsburgh Pirates Bryan Reynolds Joe Musgrove Kevin Newman

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Diamondbacks Sign Madison Bumgarner

By George Miller | December 17, 2019 at 3:50pm CDT

DECEMBER 17: The deal is now official.

Zach Buchanan of The Athletic reports further details on the contract structure (Twitter links). Bumgarner will earn just $6MM in 2020 before receiving successive salaries of $19MM, $23MM, $23MM, and $14MM. In each of the middle three campaigns, $5MM is deferred without interest. That money will be paid out in 2025-27.

DECEMBER 15: The Diamondbacks are closing in on a five-year deal that will bring free agent left-hander Madison Bumgarner to Arizona, reports ESPN’s Jeff Passan. The deal comes with an $85MM guarantee, according to Jon Heyman of MLB Network, with The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal adding that $15MM of that total will come in the form of deferred payments. Per Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic, the deal also includes a limited no-trade clause that allows Bumgarner to block trades to five teams.

It’s a somewhat surprising conclusion to Bumgarner’s first trip through free agency; while the 30-year-old had garnered well-documented interest from big-market teams like the Dodgers and Braves, the Diamondbacks were given relatively little attention as one of the teams pursuing the lefty. However, it seems that this match may have been motivated in part by the player’s interest in a team: Andrew Baggarly of The Athletic speculates that Bumgarner may have had larger offers on the table, but the geographic attraction of Arizona placed the Diamondbacks atop his list. In adding Bumgarner for $85MM, the Diamondbacks have handed out the second-largest contract in franchise history, behind only the mega-deal that brought Zack Greinke to the D-Backs prior to 2015.

And the price tag may look a bit low for Bumgarner, who was said to have his sights set on a nine-figure contract this winter. That seemed increasingly likely once the Phillies doled out $118MM to Zack Wheeler. Bumgarner is less than a year older than Wheeler and owns an undeniably stronger track record — interestingly, Bumgarner already had two championship rings by the time Wheeler made his MLB debut — but the disparity is indicative of teams’ belief in Wheeler’s projection, whereas Bumgarner’s best days could already be behind him. MLBTR had predicted that MadBum would end up with a four-year, $72MM deal. The actual contract adds another guaranteed season at a lesser rate of pay.

It may be that Bumgarner could have topped $100MM had he signed elsewhere. His reps gave other organizations the sense there there were multiple offers at that level, per Bob Nightengale of USA Today (via Twitter). Bumgarner evidently preferred to land in Arizona.

The Diamondbacks are clearly optimistic about Bumgarner’s future. While his numbers have certainly dipped noticeably from his stellar 2011-2016 span, Bumgarner is still a solid, reliable starter who has churned out 200-plus innings on a yearly basis. In 2019, his 3.90 ERA was the worst mark he’s posted in his career, but his strikeout rate reached its highest point since 2016. His home/road splits have been a noteworthy point of contention for those debating his value; having spent his entire career in the pitcher-friendly confines of Oracle Park, it’s fair to question how well he would fare in a different ballpark. With just a 35.8% groundball rate and a hard-hit rate that ranks in only the 10th percentile, skeptics may project an uptick in home runs outside of San Francisco.

Of course, we can’t discuss Madison Bumgarner without chronicling his legendary postseason ledger: during the heyday of the Giants’ early-2010s dynasty, MadBum tossed 102 1/3 innings of 2.11-ERA ball in October, including a 2014 run in which he shouldered the San Francisco pitching staff and worked 21 innings in the World Series alone.

With Bumgarner departing San Francisco after turning down the qualifying offer, the Giants will acquire a complementary draft choice in the 2020 draft, which adds to a healthy stable of picks that includes compensation received for Will Smith’s departure. The Diamondbacks, meanwhile, will surrender their third-highest draft pick as an additional cost for signing Bumgarner.

Much to the dismay of the San Francisco faithful, Bumgarner will remain the NL West, where he’ll face his former club several times every year. If it’s any consolation, Bumgarner won’t be donning Dodger blue when he makes his return. Still, the $17MM AAV that Bumgarner will earn over the next five years is certainly affordable and calls into question just how hard the Giants pushed to retain Bumgarner, even at a reasonable price. Giants fans can certainly be forgiven if there’s frustration that a franchise icon won’t spend his entire career with the team that drafted him.

Additionally, it’s possible that adding Bumgarner might afford the D-Backs greater freedom to explore trading lefty Robbie Ray, who has by now grown tired of hearing his name rumored in trades. He’s expected to earn just about $11MM in 2020, and with the Bumgarner signing representing another top-flight pitching option flying off the market, there’s a chance that pitcher-needy contenders, growing anxious at the shrinking supply of starters, could be more willing to pony up a shiny return for Ray. Even without Ray, the D-Backs’ starting rotation looks like a point of strength: Bumgarner will join rookie standout Zac Gallen, Luke Weaver, Mike Leake, and Merrill Kelly in the projected opening day rotation. Jon Duplantier and Corbin Martin, acquired in the deal that sent Greinke to Houston, loom as other options to contend for starts.

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2007 MLB Free Agent Starting Pitchers Arizona Diamondbacks Newsstand Transactions Madison Bumgarner

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Orioles Sign Will Ohman

By Tim Dierkes | February 9, 2010 at 12:25pm CDT

The Orioles signed lefty reliever Will Ohman, reports Jon Paul Morosi of FOX Sports.  The 32-year-old tallied only 22.6 pro innings last year for the Dodgers due to a shoulder injury, and they declined his $2.2MM option after the season.  Ohman didn't sign with the Dodgers until March 30th, so he didn't have much of a Spring Training.

Ohman can be very tough on lefties – he held them to a .200/.257/.314 line in 114 plate appearances in 2008.  The Blue Jays and Royals also showed interest in Ohman this winter, reported Nick Cafardo of the Boston Globe.

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2007 MLB Free Agent Starting Pitchers Baltimore Orioles Transactions Will Ohman

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2007 MLB Free Agent Starting Pitchers

By Tim Dierkes | October 13, 2006 at 12:19am CDT

I finally organized all of my free agent starting pitcher writeups into one link.  Check it out!  I also updated some of the more outdated stuff (I wrote the first one in August).  The only decent starter missing from this list is Daisuke Matsuzaka, as far as I know.

At some point, I’ll create some handy links on the sidebar where you can access free agents by position.  I’ll try to keep those updated with interested teams and who’s available.

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2007 MLB Free Agent Starting Pitchers

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2007 Free Agent Market: Starting Pitchers Part 6

By Tim Dierkes | August 25, 2006 at 2:10pm CDT

Time to finish off our free agent starter review.  The position-based free agent posts are more of a summary of the market; I’ll also do writeups of a lot of individual free agents.

Paul Wilson – Wilson’s two-year, $8.2MM deal signed before the 2005 season has turned out horribly for the Reds.  He had his second labrum surgery in June of last year and has been unable to regain velocity.  A guaranteed contract would be a bad idea, and Wilson’s career may be in jeopardy.

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2007 MLB Free Agent Starting Pitchers

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2007 Free Agent Market: Starting Pitchers Part 5

By Tim Dierkes | August 22, 2006 at 6:14pm CDT

Click here to view all of our previous 2007 MLB Free Agent posts.  Today I’ll continue my look at the free agent starting pitchers.

John Thomson – Thomson turned 33 in October.  Elbow soreness and a blister slowed him down in the beginning of the season, followed by shoulder problems from a mild labrum tear.  He’s going to take the rehab approach and hopes to start fresh in ’07.  Thomson made $4.75MM this year; he spent two years as a solid innings eater from 2003-04.  That seems like a long time ago. 

Steve Trachsel – Trax will turn 36 on Halloween. He’s been with the Mets since ’01, and had been quietly dependable until last year.  Trachsel’s K rate is dangerously low this season and he hasn’t walked this many in a long time.  He’s dealt with back spasms this season but has been fairly healthy overall.  The 15 wins look nice, but Trachsel may no longer belong on a contender by 2007.  He’s another one of these guys who can be had for $5MM.

Jeff Weaver – Weaver turned 30 this season.  His awful 2006 has been surprising.  When the Angels signed him for one year and $8-9MM, it seemed like a smart, low-risk move.  On the plus side, Weaver has maintained good control and a tolerable strikeout rate.  On the other hand, he’s allowed a ridiculous number of hits and home runs.  Those rates almost have to regress, and Weaver could be a mild bargain in 2007.

David Wells – Boomer, 43, returned in August from knee problems.  I’m sure it’s still hurting him, but it was a good month (2.67 ERA in four starts).  That month enabled the Red Sox to trade him to the Padres for George Kottaras.  Wells still makes for an intriguing $3MM mercenary that a lot of teams would love to have pitching in a big game.

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2007 MLB Free Agent Starting Pitchers

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2007 Free Agent Market: Starting Pitchers Part 4

By Tim Dierkes | August 14, 2006 at 10:45am CDT

2006 League Averages for Pitchers:
AL: 4.59 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 3.20 BB/9, 6.38 K/9, 1.14 HR/9
NL: 4.56 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 3.43 BB/9, 6.60 K/9, 1.12 HR/9

Mark Redman – The Royals inexplicably failed to trade the 32 year-old lefty this July.  Redman has only posted a sub-5 ERA in one month out of the entire season (June).  He’s earning $4.5MM for his efforts.  He’ll probably end up as someone’s fifth starter next year.

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2007 MLB Free Agent Starting Pitchers

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2007 Free Agent Market: Starting Pitchers Part 3

By Tim Dierkes | August 11, 2006 at 11:19pm CDT

2006 League Averages for Pitchers:
AL: 4.59 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 3.20 BB/9, 6.38 K/9, 1.14 HR/9
NL: 4.56 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 3.43 BB/9, 6.60 K/9, 1.12 HR/9

Mark Mulder – A lost season for Mulder, who had rotator cuff surgery in September.  He won’t be ready for Opening Day.  You can blame his batting-practice like perfomance on the injury, though was K rate is identical to last year.  When you’re this hittable things can get ugly in a hurry; just ask Bruce Chen.  He could bounce back somewhat next year in his age 29 season, but shoulder surgery is tough to return from. 

Tomo Ohka – The 30 year-old missed a chunk of the season with a rotator cuff injury.  Ohka is reliably a tick above average in the NL.  He’s a solid fourth or fifth starter and should get something close to two years and $12MM.

Ramon Ortiz – Ortiz, 33, gives up a ton of hits but compensates with good control.  If you can get 200 innings of league average ball out of him for $3MM, that’s not too bad.

Chan Ho Park – Park remains quite hittable, but at least he’s harnessed his control in San Diego.  He earned a whopping $15MM in 2006 to finish off his awful contract.  Any starter who keeps his ERA under 5 and WHIP under 1.40 will hook on somewhere.

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2007 MLB Free Agent Starting Pitchers

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2007 Free Agent Market: Starting Pitchers Part 1

By Tim Dierkes | August 6, 2006 at 7:09pm CDT

As you may or may not know, MLBTradeRumors.com is your destination for all varieties of free agent info.  In fact, we’ve already begun (scroll down to see everything we’ve written on 2007 MLB free agents since February).   It’s time to take a look at starting pitchers (which will require several posts).  I’ll omit players who are highly likely to have options exercised or that I don’t deem worthy of starting for any club.

2006 League Averages for Pitchers:
AL: 4.59 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 3.20 BB/9, 6.38 K/9, 1.14 HR/9
NL: 4.56 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 3.43 BB/9, 6.60 K/9, 1.12 HR/9

For league average, think your Jake Westbrooks and Kevin Millwoods of the world.

Tony Armas Jr. – The righthander turned 28 this season.  In his career, Armas has been a part of the Mike Stanley and Pedro Martinez trades.  I wouldn’t say Armas has bounced back to his Montreal level of performance, but he did an OK job keeping the ball in the yard and limiting the free passes.  Health has always been a problem; Armas has never pitched 200 innings.  This year, it’s been a forearm strain and back spasms.  He had shoulder surgery last September; it had bothered him for years.  Despite the concerns, I’m thinking something like two years and $8MM for him.

Pedro Astacio – The 36 year-old righty has tossed just 90 innings this year because of a strained forearm.  He might be able to snag a Major League contract somewhere; the Rockies offered him over a million last offseason.

Bruce Chen – Even Scott Boras can’t make Chen’s 2006 season look good.  Still, throw him in front of a capable outfield defense in a cavernous ballpark and he could be a bargain at the back of your rotation.  He did, after all, post a 3.83 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 2005.  Jacobs Field or PETCO could make some sense.  The southpaw made about $4MM in 2006.

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2007 MLB Free Agent Starting Pitchers

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