The Nippon-Ham Fighters of Japan’s Nippon Professional Baseball have made center fielder Haruki Nishikawa available to Major League clubs through the NPB/MLB posting system, the Japan Times reports. Major League teams will now have a 30-day window to negotiate with the 28-year-old Nishikawa.
The left-handed-hitting Nishikawa batted .296/.419/.388 with just five homers, 15 doubles and three triples this year, although he also swiped 37 bags in 42 tries. He’s posted an OBP of .378 or better in each of the past four seasons while striking out in 16.5 percent of his plate appearances against a 14.3 percent walk rate.
Overall, dating back to 2017, Nishikawa is a .291/.397/.401 hitter through 2433 plate appearances. He’s stolen 144 bases with an 87.8 success rate in that time. Nishikawa has three stolen base titles, three Gold Gloves in the outfield and a pair of All-Star nods in NPB. He made it known last offseason that he hoped the Fighters would post him for big league clubs this winter.
There’s an obvious lack of power that will curb Nishikawa’s earning capacity with big league clubs, but his speed, plate discipline, bat-to-ball skills and ability to play multiple spots in the outfield all will hold appeal. Sports Info Solutions’ Ted Baarda profiled him recently, likening Nishikawa’s skill set to that of Ben Revere: a fleet-footed, contact-oriented hitter with the range to play anywhere in the outfield but arm strength (or a slight lack thereof) more suited for left field or center field. (It should be noted, though, that Nishikawa’s walk rate in NPB is about three times greater than Revere’s career mark in MLB.)
While this is expected to be a rather unforgiving offseason to baseball’s middle tiers of free agents, Nishikawa’s attempt to move to the Majors could be well-timed given relatively thin group of free-agent center fielders. George Springer, of course, is one of the top overall free agents but is also likely to come with an asking price that is a nonstarter for the majority of clubs around the league as they try to scale back payroll. Jackie Bradley Jr. presents a glove-first everyday alternative. Kevin Pillar is again available, but defensive metrics are down on his work in center.
That’s not to say Nishikawa is a clear starter at the big league level, of course. It’s possible that a low-payroll club could give him the opportunity to earn that role, but any team giving him that chance would figure to have alternatives on hand in the event that Nishikawa’s bat is overmatched by big league pitching. Still, his presence adds another option to the free-agent mix in center or for any team seeking a left-hitting fourth outfielder with speed to burn.
Any team that eventually signs Nishikawa will owe a release fee to the Fighters under the aforementioned posting system. That fee, which comes on top of the contract paid to the player himself, is equal to 20 percent of the contract’s first $25MM, plus 17.5 percent of the next $25MM and 15 percent of any dollars thereafter. Nishikawa’s track record in NPB is lesser than that of countryman Shogo Akiyama, who inked a three-year, $21MM deal with the Reds last winter. It’d be a surprise to see Nishikawa top that mark, so in all likelihood his posting fee will fall squarely into that first tier, 20-percent bracket.
Nishikawa becomes the second Fighters player to be posted for MLB clubs this winter, following the previously announced posting of the team’s top starting pitcher, righty Kohei Arihara.
bleacherguy
Blue Jays should be all over this guy.
Diggydugler
Blue Jays should be renamed the “Ham Fighters”.
windmill_noise_causes_cancer
Hahaha a “ham fighters” joke hahaha
stevewpants
@diggy – I think you mean “Canadian Bacon Fighters.”
JoshKoshOsh
It’s actually “Nippon Ham” Fighters. “Nippon Ham” is the name of the parent company….
kodion
Plan “B” …if the Springer chase comes up short?
rhymo
I feel as though the jays backup plan to Springer would be JBJ first
kodion
Just re-read the terms of the posting. The way I understand it, he is timed out after thirty days. Might beat JBJ and GS to the finish line with that added “pressure”. Someone (cheap?) is going to make him Plan A.
Kid asked to be posted. Imo, there is NO way he doesn’t sign on somewhere as long as someone offers him a fair buck!
Oddvark
I’ve heard the Blue Jays are interested.
smuzqwpdmx
He may turn out not to be a very good player, but I want to see him play anyway. Traditional leadoff guys who get on and steal bases while playing good defense make the game more fun to watch.
nats3256
Seems like a dude Oakland will drool over.
baseballhobo
I doubt the Athletics sign an outfielder. They will focus on the bullpen and middle infield.
arc89
My thoughts too. A left handed bat with OBA and speed. Something that the team is lacking right now.
Whiskey and leather balls
Where are my cheap indians
Burgeezy
Won’t want to pay the posting fee
compassrose
Dipoto will go after him. Can’t have too many OFers it seems.
NMK 2
Bidding? Posting fees? Centerfield? Steve Cohen and Sandy Alderson should do serious research on this guy. If there’s any chance he can hit for an average, walk and play solid defense in CF, sign him and put the savings into other premiere talent.
MetsFan22
I don’t think he hits good enough for a contending team like the Mets
lowtalker1
The Mets are not a contender
baseballpun
If your account is a bit, I have to commend you, because it’s hilarious.
If not….yeesh.
MetsFan22
What?
mlb1225
The Mets have too many if’s right now to be a contender. Will Pete Alonso bounce back? Will J.D. Davis bounce back? What’s going to happen behind the dish? Who starts after DeGrom and Stroman? Diaz had a nice bounceback season, but he’s rarely consistent from year to year. I’m sure they’ll fill in some holes through FA, but teams that try and fill every hole through trade and free agency usually end up being mediocer.
NMK 2
If you don’t see the Mets as a contender – especially after gaining a new owner with the deepest pockets in baseball who didn’t take a hit in 2020, you may want to get your eyes checked.
They have a solid core of players and arguably the best pitcher in baseball. There are holes – catching, center field, pitching, but every team has those and free agency is just beginning. If they can add solid starters, shore up the bullpen, sign a starting catcher and ensure they have depth behind that core, they should make a deep run.
Cohen’s plans to improve the infrastructure should help for the future, but this should be a fun team to watch in 2021.
pinstripes17
In what world are the Mets a contending team? Have you watched baseball since 2016?
NMK 2
In the world where they have the deGrom, Stroman and Peterson before any free agent signings to go along with Alonzo, Smith, McNeil, Conforto and other talent? They absolutely need to make moves, but so long as they acquire talent like they’re expected this off-season, they should absolutely be contenders.
Pinstripes, as in Yankee pinstripes? Getting a little worried the other New York club may actually become talk of the town?
iverbure
How many left handed hitting OF do the Mets need?
johnnydubz
If Yanks didn’t have so many OF he would be a perfect fit. They need a lefty and a guy who doesn’t strike out so often.
whyhayzee
That’s kind of like saying, “If he wasn’t such a bad fit, he’d be a good fit.” But I know what you’re saying.
For Love of the Game
Tigers should look at him as a “buy low” candidate. But I’d be looking for 4-5 years at $3-$4 mill. a year, no more than $5 mill. including the 20% posting fee. His speed, glove, and low-power contact would play up in Comerica’s spacious center field. Plus, the Detroit area has a very large Japanese community largely supporting the auto industry and supply chain.
thebaseballfanatic
You could argue that he could be the #2 option on the market for CF after Springer. He has a good, translatable skill set and could be a great leadoff hitter. The Jays and Mets seem to be fighting over Springer at the moment, and whoever misses out could turn to Nishikawa.
whyhayzee
My dad had translatable skill. Came in handy in World War 2. (He spoke Japanese.)
astros_fan_84
Bradley is still probably the number two option, but, yeah, he’s safely number three. This speeds up the Springer/Bradley markets because teams only have thirty days to get this guy. I suspect in twenty or so days, if Springer and Bradley don’t accept offers, this guy gets an acceptable offer, and good for him. Welcome to the Big Leagues.
thebaseballfanatic
Agreed. The posting fee gives teams in the market a limited time to decide whether they want to pivot to Nishikawa, swing big with Springer or take a cheaper option with Bradley. Either way, if Haruki asked to be posted, he’s looking for an MLB deal and it’s more than likely that he’ll take one. Contact, elite defense, speed, and plate discipline. This guy would be useful to plenty of teams.
thebaseballfanatic
As for a contract, I’d have to wager a 2 or 3 year deal with for 10-15 million AAV.
Daynlokki
No chance. 3 years, 15m as his ceiling for a contract right now. Akiyama was rated more highly and got 3/21 I believe.
Priggs89
I don’t see any way he gets that kind of money
LordD99
Nishikawa might be disappointed in his market. Not saying he won’t be good in the majors, but the low power will be a question mark for teams trying to translate his skills to the majors. In this market, how many teams will be willing to pay to find out? And how much?
PiratesFan1981
People mention power from a lead off position and I find it comical. Lead off traditionally is a guy to start off any offense to potentially score some runs and put strain on the starting pitcher. There was so many guys at the lead off position that lacked power but produced very well in the lead off position. They got on base, hit at a fairly good average, stole bases, and kept pitchers off balance when on base. Traditional leader off hitters are few and far between now. Everyone reduced to power on the top of the lineup nowadays. I was hoping Billy Hamilton would have produced better with the bat and been the traditional leader off hitter the game hasn’t seen since Henderson, Otis Nixon, Kenny Lofton, and others. Closest to them was Suzuki (even though Henderson and Lofton played for a few years during his time) when he came to MLB. Those are the guys who can turn the game around with speed and being on the base pads. Lead off was one of the most exciting areas to watch as I grew up. Watching some of those guys changing the momentum of the game with their speed, was one of the things that drew me to the game. It’s a lost art
sss847
white sox when they inevitably come up short on Springer
Priggs89
pass
Oddvark
I would think teams that could specifically use a center fielder would be the best fits — Red Sox, Astros, Phillies, maybe Blue Jays, maybe Rockies. His “speedy contact hitter” profile also seems to be something especially valued by the Royals. And the Indians could use any outfield help, but they’d probably want a little more offensive production.
GareBear
I thought about the Royals too. They just signed Taylor and Kahlil Lee isn’t far off but Left and Center are potential upgrades if we want Merrifield at 2B. I’d love to see the Royals trying to add some supplementary pieces like him as the young pitchers come up and he wouldn’t be so costly that it would block them from calling up Lee.
MikeyHammer
He might be an interesting signing, an on base, bag stealing, solid fielding, disciplined, hitter, in a league of Kingmans.
iverbure
One of the things I think the mlb pa should bargain for next cba is some of these dates pushed up. Teams are using things like the non tender date as a excuse to not spend until they know the entire landscape of free agent pool.
So they should get the posting system moved up as well. If you’ve got a constant flood of guys joining the free agent pool the teams just wait out the players.
And don’t reply with the sport needs a salary cap while you drool all over yourself. The PA fought for decades for no cap.
whyhayzee
And yet they all wear caps.
Steve Adams
The posting periods for NPB and KBO were both pushed back in 2020 because they played (mostly) full seasons — just with delayed starts. NPB only just wrapped up its postseason last week, which is why players are now being posted more than a month into MLB’s offseason.
Normally, most postings would occur in early November — roughly in line with the commencement of free agency.
To your point on the non-tender deadline — agreed. It seems it lands on Dec. 2 because “it’s always been that way,” but maintaining the status quo does not align with the dramatic shift in the manner in which teams operate in today’s game.
eddiemathews
It wouldn’t surprise me at all to see him playing for the Nippon squad again next season.
tonysbrewcrew00
What happened to Revere? 308 career strikeouts isn’t a lot plus the solid contact. A lot of hitters get 300 k’s over two seasons.
smuzqwpdmx
Revere, despite his speed, was a liability in the field. Combine with his inability to take a walk and he was a guy who had to hit .300 to be useful… and it turned out he couldn’t keep hitting .300 so teams lost interest.
BasedBall
Replacement for Joc Pederson in LA?
Blue_Painted_Dreams_LA
The Dodgers have a plethora of OFs. So no chance especially with the type of profile hitter he is
astros_fan_84
Three gold gloves, a .420 OBP, and a 87% stolen base success rate. I hope he gets a chance in MLB.
HubcapDiamondStarHalo
“But he doesn’t hit many hone runs, so he stinks.”
Sarcasm alert…
24TheKid
I bet you’re really proud of this comment.
ohyeadam
Seems like a ton of players are being posted this year. I’m guessing due to budget concerns over covid, but mlb is going through the same thing and these guys aren’t gonna get anywhere near the contracts they would in a normal year.
Daynlokki
Highest Nippon league AAV is like 6m a year. Even a mediocre deal in the MLB is close to a top deal in NIP
whyhayzee
Sometimes I wonder if the Asian leagues could be an option for the minor leaguers who are going to have less playing options here in the US. And not just the Asian leagues, but in other countries as well. This could complicate the selection process for the major league teams. But the minors contracting is a loss of places to play.
Oddvark
See Carter Stewart.
smuzqwpdmx
All three major baseball leagues in Asia (NPB, KBO, CPBL) have very low caps on the number of foreign players allowed on a team’s roster, in order to promote local talent. The number of minor leaguers going there isn’t going to increase because the rules don’t allow the number to increase.
Datashark
This guy seems like a billy hamilton lite on base paths, and a duane kuiper in power, but he could hit for .270
He will overpaid of course.
Vizionaire
i say the cleveland baseball team!
Foreveryankees
Blue jays should be named the always rumoured,but never serious jays!
JayKay
He seems more like a Chone Figgins type, though whether he could/would perform better, worse, or about the same as Figgins….I’m not sure
Ducky Buckin Fent
Huh.
He sounds like Gardy.
I’d be good with the Yanks adding him & Kolten Wong. Add some lefty bats, good base running, & good defense. Things that have been absent from their squad.
As an added bonus less K’s. Though I’m not overly concerned about that.
Interesting player.
Interesting addition to the market.
cpallen712
That OBP tho. Jeeezus.
IjustloveBaseball
With both of the top available free agent CF’s on the wrong side of 30, Nishikawa could be a welcomed addition to the market.
Quite a few teams have, to a degree, the need for a capable center fielder.
The league needs more base stealers too, imo, so I hope he makes the jump!
DarkSide830
i dunno about this one chief