Headlines

  • Buck Showalter Will Not Return As Mets Manager In 2024
  • Tim Wakefield Passes Away
  • Felix Bautista To Undergo Tommy John Surgery, Signs Through 2025 Season
  • Rockies Sign Charlie Blackmon To One-Year Extension
  • Reds Sign Nick Krall To Extension, Promote Him To President Of Baseball Operations
  • Giants Fire Gabe Kapler
  • Previous
  • Next
Register
Login
  • Hoops Rumors
  • Pro Football Rumors
  • Pro Hockey Rumors

MLB Trade Rumors

  • Home
  • Teams
    • AL East
      • Baltimore Orioles
      • Boston Red Sox
      • New York Yankees
      • Tampa Bay Rays
      • Toronto Blue Jays
    • AL Central
      • Chicago White Sox
      • Cleveland Guardians
      • Detroit Tigers
      • Kansas City Royals
      • Minnesota Twins
    • AL West
      • Houston Astros
      • Los Angeles Angels
      • Oakland Athletics
      • Seattle Mariners
      • Texas Rangers
    • NL East
      • Atlanta Braves
      • Miami Marlins
      • New York Mets
      • Philadelphia Phillies
      • Washington Nationals
    • NL Central
      • Chicago Cubs
      • Cincinnati Reds
      • Milwaukee Brewers
      • Pittsburgh Pirates
      • St. Louis Cardinals
    • NL West
      • Arizona Diamondbacks
      • Colorado Rockies
      • Los Angeles Dodgers
      • San Diego Padres
      • San Francisco Giants
  • About
    • MLB Trade Rumors
    • Tim Dierkes
    • Writing team
    • Advertise
    • Archives
  • Contact
  • Tools
    • 2023-24 MLB Free Agent List
    • 2024-25 MLB Free Agent List
    • Transaction Tracker
    • Arbitration Tracker
    • Agency Database
  • NBA/NFL/NHL
    • Hoops Rumors
    • Pro Football Rumors
    • Pro Hockey Rumors
  • App
  • Chats
Go To Pro Hockey Rumors
Go To Hoops Rumors

Dodgers Considering Qualifying Offer For Tyler Anderson

By Darragh McDonald | November 9, 2022 at 3:57pm CDT

According to Jon Heyman of the New York Post, there’s a “good chance” the Dodgers will extend a $19.65MM qualifying offer to left-hander Tyler Anderson.

Teams have until 4pm Central on Thursday to decide whether or not to issue qualifying offers to eligible players, giving the Dodgers about 24 hours left to make a final decision. If they indeed extend the offer to Anderson, he will have 10 days to talk to other teams and decide whether to accept it or turn it down.

The fact that Anderson is even a candidate for the offer speaks to what an incredible breakout season he had in 2022. Coming into the year, he had a career 4.62 ERA and fairly average peripherals with a 20.5 strikeout rate, 7.1% walk rate and 39.1% ground ball rate. The Dodgers gave him a one-year, $8MM deal for his age-32 season.

That turned out to be a tremendous bargain for the club, as Anderson’s work in Dodger blue far surpassed any of his previous seasons. He appeared in 30 games and tossed 178 2/3 innings with an incredible 2.57 ERA, barely half of his previous average. His rate stats were still fairly similar to his previous ones, though he did drop his walk rate to a stingy 4.8%.

Where he seems to have made strides was inducing poor contact from opposing hitters. He was in the 98th percentile in terms of hard hit rate, going from 33% in 2021 to 28.5% in 2022. His average exit velocity was also 98th percentile while his chase rate was 95th and his barrel rate was 86th. At least part of this could be credited to his changeup, which he threw 31.6% percent of the time compared to just 24.6% of the time in 2021.

Regardless of how he did it, the improvements are enough that the Dodgers are considering a salary more than double what they paid a year ago. If Anderson were to turn down the offer and sign elsewhere, they would be entitled to draft pick compensation. Since the Dodgers paid the competitive balance tax in 2022, their pick would be pushed back until after the fourth round. A signing team would also be subject to the forfeit of at least one pick, with other penalties on the table as well, depending on whether the team was a CBT payer or revenue sharing recipient.

Whether Anderson would accept the offer or not is an interesting question.  On the one hand, this is likely his best chance at earning a hefty multi-year paycheck, since he’s coming off a season that could well be the best of his career. On the other hand, he never had a salary above $2.5MM prior to getting the $8MM from the Dodgers a year ago. If he suddenly had a $19.65MM offer on the table, it would likely be hard to turn it down. Based on his excellent campaign, plenty of teams would be interested in signing him, though having to surrender at least one draft pick would temper their offers to some degree.

Share 0 Retweet 4 Send via email0

Los Angeles Dodgers Newsstand Tyler Anderson

Mariners Claim Gabe Speier From Royals; Outright Casey Sadler, Ryan Borucki
Main
Mets Claim Tayler Saucedo From Blue Jays
View Comments (23)

Comments

  1. .

    11 months ago

    Good. Hope he accepts.

    5
    Reply
    • MannyBeingMVP

      11 months ago

      Agree, should offer, should accept. I do think three years 39 million is out there, but this match works great for both.

      3
      Reply
      • stymeedone

        11 months ago

        Wouldn’t it make more sense to offer a multi year at a lower rate? Its not like he would be expecting more than 3 years due to his past achievements.

        Reply
        • YourDreamGM

          11 months ago

          Multi year would be ideal. He definitely had a qo worthy season.

          Reply
  2. amk1920

    11 months ago

    They are better off overpaying him for one year or taking the comp pick than signing him to a big deal.

    8
    Reply
    • .

      11 months ago

      100%

      Reply
    • JackStrawb

      11 months ago

      It’s an interesting question. Teams have at least a rough idea of the money value of one year deals for older and iffy players. If you’re willing to give Anderson 1/19.65m, what’s the 2 year version of that? 2/32m?

      Reply
  3. Skombie Kirby

    11 months ago

    Stellar season but risky long term investment . He has has been a 4+ era his whole career even outside the Rocky Mountains . Qualifying Offer is definitely a best case scenario for both sides see if he can replicate last years results

    1
    Reply
    • YourDreamGM

      11 months ago

      Teams won’t be concerned about his career era whatsoever.

      1
      Reply
      • JackStrawb

        11 months ago

        Yup. Teams have been willing to spend big just on 2 seasons of improved results. Even 1-2/3 seasons as in the case of Rodon.

        1
        Reply
  4. BlueSkies_LA

    11 months ago

    Never in doubt.

    Reply
  5. HalosHeavenJJ

    11 months ago

    He’s kind of this year’s Robbie Ray with a huge breakout year right following several years of injuries.

    But he’s nearly 4 years older than Ray so he won’t get anywhere near the contract.

    I think he accepts.

    Reply
    • YourDreamGM

      11 months ago

      He looked pretty healthy to me in 2020 2021.

      Reply
  6. ohyeadam

    11 months ago

    They have an opportunity to dip under the luxury tax this year and reset their penalties. Is $20,000,000 for a one year wonder worth it? Good pitching is hard to come by and someo will pay him that or give multiple years

    Reply
    • YourDreamGM

      11 months ago

      If he pitches like he did for Pit SF he is worth half that. If he pitches like last year 20 mil is a bargain. They unlocked him so it wasn’t a fluke so probably worth it. Should be closer to 2022 than previous years.

      1
      Reply
    • JackStrawb

      11 months ago

      The Dodgers aren’t going to go under the LT in a year the Giants and Padres will be adding.

      Reply
  7. Dennis Boyd

    11 months ago

    Good decision by Dodgers. They win either way.

    1
    Reply
  8. Rsox

    11 months ago

    The last Anderson the Dodgers offered a QO to after a (at the time) career year wound up being a disaster. I would hope the Dodgers don’t really expect that he could duplicate the season he had (especially the first half) if he accepts the offer

    Reply
    • BlueSkies_LA

      11 months ago

      The lesson: stay away from those Andersons, they are bad news!

      Here’s the reality on this Anderson. He doesn’t need to duplicate a career season to be worth the QO offer, he just needs to be good enough to hold down a spot in the middle of the rotation. Seems like a pretty good bet, and on a one-year deal, anything more is gravy.

      1
      Reply
      • Rsox

        11 months ago

        But is he worth over $19 million even on a one year deal if he reverts back to his career normals of around 7 Wins and ERA of 4.5?

        Reply
        • BlueSkies_LA

          11 months ago

          He made some changes to his pitch selection last year that contributed to the improved results. I don’t claim to know what players are worth, but given that the Dodgers did extend the QO to him as expected it was because they don’t expect him to revert. Add to that, the Dodgers are seriously short of experienced starters this year, he’s a workhorse by current standards, and a lefty. Add those facts to the value proposition. On the downside, he’ll probably be seeking multiple years.

          Reply
        • JackStrawb

          11 months ago

          Wins.

          Reply
  9. Blank Frank

    11 months ago

    I had the pleasure of watching Anderson pitch this year live in Colorado. Seven masterful shut out innings. The guy can pitch. I suspect the Dodgers had something to do with that, and wouldn’t be surprised at all to see him in Dodger blue for the next 3 or so years.

    Reply

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Please login to leave a reply.

Log in Register

ad: 300x250_1_MLB

    Top Stories

    Buck Showalter Will Not Return As Mets Manager In 2024

    Tim Wakefield Passes Away

    Felix Bautista To Undergo Tommy John Surgery, Signs Through 2025 Season

    Rockies Sign Charlie Blackmon To One-Year Extension

    Reds Sign Nick Krall To Extension, Promote Him To President Of Baseball Operations

    Giants Fire Gabe Kapler

    Orioles Agree To 30-Year Lease At Camden Yards

    Padres Prefer To Retain A.J. Preller, Bob Melvin In 2024

    Brooks Robinson Passes Away

    Reds’ Matt McLain Shut Down For Remainder Of 2023 Season

    Padres Plan To Reduce Payroll To Around $200MM; Front Office Changes Possible

    Marlins Place Eury Perez On 15-Day Injured List, Select Jeff Lindgren

    Sandy Alcantara Shut Down For Rest Of 2023 Season

    Brandon Lowe To Miss 4-6 Weeks With Kneecap Fracture

    Rays Promote Junior Caminero

    Sean Doolittle Announces Retirement

    Tigers Name Jeff Greenberg General Manager

    Qualifying Offer Value To Land Around $20.5MM

    Shohei Ohtani Undergoes Elbow Surgery

    Marlins Claim Matt Moore From Guardians

    Recent

    Buck Showalter Will Not Return As Mets Manager In 2024

    Tim Anderson Willing To Move To Second Base

    Cubs Chairman Tom Ricketts On Ross, Hendricks, Payroll

    AL East Notes: Judge, Yankees, Rays, Siri, Raley, Cora

    Poll: Who’s Going To Win The World Series?

    Braves Outright Ehire Adrianza To Triple-A

    Coaching Notes: Guardians, Albernaz, Giants, Yankees, Casey, White Sox

    Tim Wakefield Passes Away

    Cubs Announce Several Roster Moves

    Twins Designate Gilberto Celestino For Assignment

    ad: 300x250_5_side_mlb

    MLBTR Newsletter - Hot stove highlights in your inbox, five days a week

    Latest Rumors & News

    Latest Rumors & News

    • Shohei Ohtani Rumors
    Trade Rumors App for iOS and Android

    MLBTR Features

    MLBTR Features

    • Go Ad-Free
    • 2023-24 MLB Free Agent List
    • 2024-25 MLB Free Agent List
    • MLB Player Chats
    • Transaction Tracker
    • Extension Tracker
    • Agency Database
    • MLBTR On Twitter
    • MLBTR On Facebook
    • Team Facebook Pages
    • How To Set Up Notifications For Breaking News
    • Hoops Rumors
    • Pro Football Rumors
    • Pro Hockey Rumors

    Rumors By Team

    • Angels Rumors
    • Astros Rumors
    • Athletics Rumors
    • Blue Jays Rumors
    • Braves Rumors
    • Brewers Rumors
    • Cardinals Rumors
    • Cubs Rumors
    • Diamondbacks Rumors
    • Dodgers Rumors
    • Giants Rumors
    • Guardians Rumors
    • Mariners Rumors
    • Marlins Rumors
    • Mets Rumors
    • Nationals Rumors
    • Orioles Rumors
    • Padres Rumors
    • Phillies Rumors
    • Pirates Rumors
    • Rangers Rumors
    • Rays Rumors
    • Red Sox Rumors
    • Reds Rumors
    • Rockies Rumors
    • Royals Rumors
    • Tigers Rumors
    • Twins Rumors
    • White Sox Rumors
    • Yankees Rumors

    ad: 160x600_MLB

    Navigation

    • Sitemap
    • Archives
    • Feeds by Team

    MLBTR INFO

    • Advertise
    • About
    • Commenting Policy
    • Privacy Policy

    Connect

    • Contact Us
    • Twitter
    • Facebook
    • RSS Feed

    MLB Trade Rumors is not affiliated with Major League Baseball, MLB or MLB.com

    hide arrowsFOX Sports Engage Network scroll to top

    Register

    Desktop Version | Switch To Mobile Version