The Cubs are in the market for notable rotation upgrades this offseason, and right-hander Michael King is among the names on their radar, per Patrick Mooney and Sahadev Sharma of The Athletic. Mooney and Sharma also double down on the Cubs’ previously reported interest in Dylan Cease, noting that the Cubs are willing to forfeit the requisite draft pick and international funds to sign a player who has rejected a qualifying offer (which both Cease and King received from the Padres).
King, 31 next May, has had an atypical arc over the past few seasons. A swingman and multi-inning reliever for several years in the Bronx, he moved into the Yankees’ rotation late in the 2023 season and posted brilliant results in nine starts down the stretch. New York shipped him to San Diego as part of the Juan Soto blockbuster of the 2023-24 offseason, and King subsequently broke out as one of the top starters in MLB, starting 30 games for the Friars and turning in a 2.95 ERA with a hearty 27.7% strikeout rate against a solid 8.7% walk rate.
It was more of the same early in 2025. King sprinted out of the gates with a 2.59 ERA and even better rate stats (28.4 K%, 7.6 BB%) in his first 10 starts. By late May, he’d claimed the No. 6 spot on our Free Agent Power Rankings here at MLBTR. A nine-figure free agent deal seemed all but certain — provided King stayed healthy.
That proved to be a major caveat. The Padres placed King on the 15-day IL in late May with what was originally termed inflammation in his right shoulder. San Diego later called it a pinched nerve in his shoulder, but it wasn’t expected to be a prominent injury … at least not at first. King, however, wound up spending nearly three months on the shelf. In late June, King publicly voiced frustration with the injury, noting that there were days where he was in significant discomfort and could barely muster any baseball activity — and that he’d wake up a day later feeling close to 100% and ready to go.
King finally returned the mound in early August, giving the Padres hope that he’d be back atop their rotation down the stretch. His return lasted all of two innings, however — but not due to his previously problematic shoulder. Rather, King landed back on the 15-day IL due to a left knee issue that popped up in his return effort. An MRI revealed no structural damage, and King hoped to be back after a minimal stint but still wound up sidelined for another month.
King returned for good in early September, but his results in four starts were rocky. He pitched just 15 2/3 innings and yielded 10 runs on 18 hits (including six homers) with an 11-to-7 K/BB ratio. Brilliant as his start to the season was, King pitched a total of 17 2/3 innings with a 6.11 ERA following May 18. He made one appearance with San Diego in the postseason, pitching one inning of relief — and striking out the side in a perfect frame.
There’s little doubting that King is among the most talented arms in the sport, but his platform year before free agency finished with more of a whimper than a roar. The Padres seemingly don’t have any qualms about his health. They issued him a $22.025MM qualifying offer despite having minimal payroll flexibility this winter. San Diego would presumably be thrilled to have King back, given the need in their rotation, but they’re reportedly aiming for a similar payroll to 2025 and King accepting the QO would put them about $10MM over where they sat in ’25. If the Padres had major concerns about his shoulder and/or knee, they likely wouldn’t have risked the QO — particularly since their compensation for him signing elsewhere will only be a pick after the fourth round (rather than after the first) due to their status as a luxury tax payor.
King isn’t necessarily the sole focus of the Cubs’ hunt for rotation upgrades (nor is Cease). The Athletic duo note that Chicago has some interest in star NPB righty Tatsuya Imai and they could rekindle last offseason’s trade talks with the Marlins about their starting pitchers. Imai will be posted for major league teams next week. Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara is signed through 2026 with a club option for 2027, while 27-year-old righty Edward Cabrera is controlled via arbitration through 2028. It’s still possible that lefty Shota Imanaga returns, whether via accepting his own QO or perhaps working out a new two-year deal.
The Cubs currently project for a payroll of about $158MM, per RosterResource, which sits around $50MM shy of their end-of-season levels in 2025. They’re nowhere close to the luxury tax, currently sitting close to $75MM shy of next year’s $244MM first-tier threshold. Shortstop Dansby Swanson is currently the only Cubs player who’s guaranteed anything beyond the 2026 season. His seven-year, $177MM contract runs through 2029. There’s quite literally no free agent the deep-pocketed Cubs can’t afford to pursue, so the only limitations on their winter additions will be self-imposed if the bidding reaches a point that’s too far beyond the comfort zone of either the front office or owner Tom Ricketts.

Of course Cubs are interested cuz they think he will sign a pillow one year make good contract. Cubs won’t pay for 6 years or anything longer term like that.
There’s no way the Cubs expect to land him on a one year deal with so many teams looking for quality SP. If he’s still a free agent in February, I could understand that – but there has to be some level of interest in a multi year deal.
I assume he means a multi-year with an opt-out after ‘26…will be interesting to see if players go this route with the looming lockout.
Not necessarily a one year contract but a two or three year with an opt-out. Even if a lockout wasn’t looming, the Cubs don’t have the appetite for long-term, big money deals.
Nope but love buying all the realestate bc of their sky high revenues from their top 2-3 ticket prices.
That’s how it works. His poor injury riddled season means he’s available to the lesser lord/wealthy merchant class teams. Still too expensive for the peasantry. Of course the high nobility will still claim First Right if they fancy him
I feel that they would pay him a Taillon level deal. 4/18 AAV to transition past Taillon in 27 while getting younger
King isn’t signing for an 18M AAV. He’s probably seeking around 25M per.
He is not getting that. He has only 1 year over 150 innings and 3 fWAR. He lacks the track record to secure a 25M AAV.
He is getting 5/120-150 from someone
No. 4/80 might be as good as it gets.
The Cubs haven’t paid at the top of the market since signing Lester in 2014. But they also really haven’t been that 1-year pillow contract either. They’ve played firmly in the middle of the market with guys like Stroman, Shota, Taillon, and Boyd (though he was a bit on the low end of that.) 4 years at an $18/20 mil AAV is their sweet spot. King might get more than that, but he’s certainly a candidate to be right in their wheel house.
Heyward was the next big signing. Then Darvish then Stroman then Taillon. I expect another getting 4-5 years. Cease would be a reach but if King wants more then just target Cease and his stability
I had him going to the Red Sox to haunt the Yankees.
I have him going back to the Yankees to haunt the Yankees IL.
This was my pick in the contest
Dumpster diving Jed interested in a guy who threw
73 1/3 innings in 2025. Jed thinking he can get him cheap while pretending the Cubs front office is actually trying to win
King comes with injury risk but he’s the best SP in this class. The risk is worth the reward with him
Over Cease and Valdez. You realize that Valdez had a 4 fWAR and Cease had a 3.4 vs .8’right?
puff puff pass next time
Using WAR to compare pitchers with major inning discrepancies is moronic. Look at the rate stats and King’s 2024 season when he was healthy. Valdez is a locker room cancer who was terrible down the stretch and will be paid like a No. 2. Cease has the highest ceiling of the three but is also the most inconsistent. King has the highest floor and will likely sign for the least of the three. He’s the safest bet in this group and could very well be the best over the lifetime of his contract
Dude. Using WAR in this scenario is flawed, but not moronic.
CC.. I get the Jed (really Ricketts) doesn’t pay top dollar if he can avoid it- but the “dumpster diving” thing doesn’t apply here. And unless you’re a White Sox fan, you can do better than that old retread.
I’m a Cub fan who knows Jed is still riding on Theo Epsteins coattails who is nothing but a yes man who should be selling snake oil at a traveling carnivals sideshow. After trading for Tucker, Jed said we’re all in then they dumped Cody Bellinger’s salary, he did nothing at the trade deadline with his explanation being we want to be competitive this year and seasons to come and now he says we can field a good team next year. What happened Jed, it’s a big drop from we’re all in to fielding a good team. But Jed got his own contract extension by stringing fans along with his lines of BS. The Cubs had the biggest dollar difference between revenue brought in and money spent on the team
I hear ya..
That about says it all. I have been saying the same thing. Look at how aggressive Jed was when his contract was on the line. Suddenly he gets his extension and he’s back in hibernation.
I just hope Hoyer passes on King. It’s not worth the risk for the money. Move along nothing to be gained here.
I get your point. But that’s what a lot of fans said about Keller, Thielbar, Boyd and Rea. Safe to say all those guys worked out pretty good in 2025. King signing with the Cubs is a typical Jed Hoyer move.
Well the difference is about 25 million bucks a year. Keller cost peanuts. Boyd was the only risk in the guys you mentioned. Hoyer is on a budget, Like it or not. In a world where you’re on a budget and any pitchers next pitch could be his last for almost 2 years why spend a bunch of money on a guy who is already 2/3 of the way there? The risk isn’t really worth the reward. Any pitcher is a gamble why throw good money away on a risk that big? Just doesn’t make much sense to me.
Can’t spell Cheap without Cubs
You can though. Now, you can’t spell Cheap Sub without Cubs.
*This comment brought to you by Subway, the official sandwich partner of your Chicago Cubs
You can’t really call them cheap with the size of their payroll. What you CAN say is Ricketts won’t do the mega deals that other large market teams like LA , NY and Philly will do. (And they don’t have the talent evaluators/ brain trust that the Rays and Brewers have so…)
They think their talent evaluators are better than they are.
Actually, you can call them cheap. They had the biggest disparity between revenue and payroll last season. So yeah, cheap applies.
Of course Jed is afraid to wade into the deep end of the swimming pool.
The writers at this site are darned impressive. The level of detail they compile on these players; their ups and downs , their health and accomplishments is incredible.
This Tim’s burner account? Just kidding…agree!
You’re not going to get a free Front Office membership, dude.
The explanation of his symptoms make me think Thoracic Outlet Sydrome might be the culprit here, and that’s a nightmare. Anything nerve related is scary.
Which teams are interested in JOE KING ??
Sign me up. King is incredibly filthy when he’s healthy. This is such a Cubs signing anyways.
Ricketts better hope he snipped enough coupons to afford starting pitchers in today’s market.
I think when a club is thinking of signing a free agent or acquiring one in a trade they should just assume the player is going to get hurt and be out a sizable piece of the contract. Baseball players have the most difficult time staying healthy. I know……I don’t know what I’m talking about. I know. They should piece a team together with players who can step right in and pick up the slack that they should know is coming. Like sign one free agent and then sign somebody to back him up because you know you’re going to need it. This pitcher is good but he’s going to have problems staying healthy. Again, I know I don’t know what I’m talking about.
Why more teams don’t include an injury option clause, especially for older players, baffles me. Understandably some players wouldn’t sign but if enough teams stuck to the idea it would work.
I do not consider anyone making $800k/ year underpaid
Totally a Cubs signing
1 injury history
2 one of cheaper starters available
3 will try getting on a 1 yr deal or something weird with 30 day opt outs
I personally am out on cease..he had one really great season..beyond that he has been a 4 era guy..at the price to get him isnt worth it..im ok with king if the price isnt to carzy..my hope is they roll the dice with Imai..whatever they do with that much money available they should have no problem getting at least one quality starter..and maybe a decent reliever
justme, too !!!
He parallels Shota but 2 years younger. Both has solid years around 173 IP then both got injured in their 2nd years starting in the majors. They are back of the rotation arms that teams will look at a discount deal hoping for a rebound seaon
Still no ace to be found!! Watch the reds and there always the brewers.
Why must the Cubs continue to look for high-cost mediocre players? There is better talent out there, proven players with a proven track record. I am not a Cubs fan who expects them to continually spend high amounts of money. Seriously though, get some true and proven talent!!!!
If it’s the cubs, easily outbid!
“Brilliant as his start to the season was” is NOT proper English. You can’t just leave “as” out to start the sentence because you feel like it. Correct grammar isn’t optional, especially if you’re a professional writer.