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Weak-Hitting Positions For NL Contenders

By Tim Dierkes | May 30, 2013 at 10:48am CDT

Even contenders have their flaws.  Defining contenders as any team Clay Davenport gives at least a five percent chance of reaching the playoffs and using weighted on-base average, let's identify the weakest offensive production by position in the NL.

  • Catcher: Reds (.263), Diamondbacks (.265).  For the Reds, giving Devin Mesoraco the clear starting catcher role over Ryan Hanigan would boost their offensive production out of the position, but of course this position is about a lot more than hitting.  The D'Backs are in a tough spot.  They have a major commitment to Miguel Montero, and he's been brutal so far this season.  They probably just have to hope he pulls out of it.
  • First base: Rockies (.289), Phillies (.317).  The Rockies have used Jordan Pacheco, Todd Helton, and a little bit of Michael Cuddyer at first base this year.  In theory, the Rockies could go with Cuddyer at first and someone like Tyler Colvin in right field.  The trade market is bleak at the position, as Justin Morneau and Carlos Pena would not be clear upgrades for Colorado.  Corey Hart could be an interesting option, once he comes off the DL.  The Phillies owe Ryan Howard roughly $98MM through 2016, so they'll just have to hope he can start drawing some more walks and begin to add positive value.
  • Second base: Nationals (.227), Diamondbacks (.284).  Second base has been a black hole for the Nats, with Danny Espinosa and Steve Lombardozzi struggling.  Fans are calling for the return of 2011 first-round pick Anthony Rendon, but he probably needs to gain more experience at second base first.  The D'Backs have used Martin Prado at second baes a decent amount in Aaron Hill's absence.  Should Hill require surgery on his hand fracture, perhaps the D'Backs will look into an acquisition.  Maybe third base prospect Matt Davidson, hitting .311/.342/.544 at Triple-A this month, could help the situation.
  • Shortstop: Dodgers (.219), Pirates (.248).  Hanley Ramirez should return from a hamstring injury next week, providing a lift to the Dodgers' abysmal offensive production at shortstop.  The Pirates signed Clint Barmes in the 2011-12 offseason for his defense, but it barely makes up for the automatic outs at the plate.  Jordy Mercer, John McDonald, and Chase D'Arnaud aren't much better, and highly regarded prospect Alen Hanson is still at High A.  Good luck finding a decent-hitting shortstop on the trade market, though.  The White Sox, should they drop out of contention, could offer up Alexei Ramirez at a premium.
  • Third base: Pirates (.259), Rockies (.280), Dodgers (.288).  It's been a power-only show for the Pirates' Pedro Alvarez at the hot corner, as he's striking out a ton and owns the fifth-worst qualified OBP in the NL (.257).  Aramis Ramirez would be a fun pick-up, though intra-divisional trades can be tricky.  Chase Headley would be a huge addition, but only if the Padres are willing to listen.  The Rockies will give rookie Nolan Arenado some time to find his footing.  Less Luis Cruz should be enough to give the Dodgers a lift.
  • Left field: Diamondbacks (.300), Reds (.300), Giants (.302).  The D'Backs have used six different left fielders, and figure to stick with Jason Kubel and Cody Ross.  With Ryan Ludwick and Chris Heisey on the DL, the Reds have been employing Xavier Paul of late, and he's been solid overall.  The Giants' combo of Gregor Blanco and Andres Torres was never meant to be offense-first, and Torres has heated up in May anyway.  Should one of these teams turn to the trade market, Josh Willingham, Carlos Quentin, Michael Morse, Jason Bay, Raul Ibanez, Melky Cabrera, and Alfonso Soriano are some candidates.  Several of those players don't work for the Giants, however.
  • Center field: Dodgers (.278), Braves (.278), Phillies (.288).  Center field is not an offense-first position, but in general these teams just need to get more out of their incumbents.  Matt Kemp might miss some time with a hamstring strain, which could allow for Joc Pederson to get a look with the Dodgers.  It seems crazy for the Braves to push B.J. Upton into a full-blown platoon with Jordan Schafer months after committing $75.25MM over five years, but that could be an option at some point.  The Phillies were looking mostly for defense from Ben Revere, but .263/.302/.294 is still tough to stomach.  John Mayberry Jr. can pitch in a bit.  As for the trade market, Peter Bourjos, and Franklin Gutierrez could become available when healthy.  David DeJesus, Chris Coghlan, and Alejandro De Aza could also be options.
  • Right field: Phillies (.294), Braves (.313).  Delmon Young hasn't done much for the Phillies in right so far.  The Braves' Jason Heyward has been terrible, and we'll see how long they can wait that slump out.  Trade options could include Giancarlo Stanton, Alex Rios, Andre Ethier, Nate Schierholtz, Chris Denorfia, Morse, and Hart.
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Blue Jays Designate Ramon Ortiz For Assignment

By Tim Dierkes | May 28, 2013 at 3:39pm CDT

The Blue Jays designated righty Ramon Ortiz for assignment, tweets Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca.  Ortiz, 40, tossed 23 1/3 innings for the Jays this year, most recently in relief of Brandon Morrow today after his early exit due to forearm soreness.  Thad Weber, who also was scored upon in today's loss against the Braves, was optioned to Triple-A.

Ortiz picked up a ring with the 2002 World Champion Angels, a club for which he tallied a career-high 217 1/3 regular season innings before adding 13 more in the postseason.  With 87 career wins, Ortiz is currently tied at 44th with Adam Wainwright.  Signed by the Blue Jays to a minor league deal in December, Ortiz had his contract selected April 15th, was designated for assignment April 23rd, rejoined the 40-man roster on May 9th, and was removed again today.

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Toronto Blue Jays Transactions Ramon Ortiz

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Dr. Lewis Yocum Passes Away

By Tim Dierkes | May 28, 2013 at 3:38pm CDT

Today baseball is mourning the loss of Dr. Lewis Yocum, the well-known sports surgeon who had served as the Angels' team physician.  Yocum, 66, fell victim to liver cancer.  Mike DiGiovanna of the L.A. Times has a statement from the team:  

"The Angels family and Major League Baseball have lost one of baseball’s finest gentlemen and a truly outstanding professional with the passing of Dr. Yocum.  His talents extended the careers of countless professional athletes, and he extended quality of life for so many others he advised, treated and operated on during his distinguished career. His contributions and impact in the medical field will long be remembered across the country. He represents the standard for others in his profession to attain."

Several MLB players have already extended their condolences for the man who helped extend their careers, including Jordan Zimmermann, LaTroy Hawkins, C.J. Wilson, Josh Tomlin, Vinnie Pestano, and Mike Aviles.

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Potential Non-Tender Candidates

By Tim Dierkes | May 28, 2013 at 3:30pm CDT

The non-tender deadline is December 2nd this year, a mere six months away.  Let's take a look at some arbitration eligible players who might be on the chopping (or at least trading) block before then due to the combination of rising salaries and lackluster performance.

  • Ike Davis, Mets.  If Davis doesn't turn things around this year, what will the Mets do in the offseason?  One thing about a player having a terrible year is that he doesn't get a big arbitration raise afterward.  So if Davis' salary for next year is to remain below $4MM, the Mets would at least be able to find a team willing to see if a change of scenery helps.
  • Clayton Richard, Padres.  The pitch-to-contact thing doesn't work so well when you also walk a bunch of guys and over 30% of your flyballs leave the yard.  Richard is earning $5.24MM, and should his struggles persist, I imagine the Padres would not bring him back even at the same salary.
  • James McDonald, Pirates.  McDonald's velocity is down, and walks have been a problem.  He's at $3.25MM this year and sports a 5.76 ERA.
  • Luke Hochevar, Royals.  This is a tricky one.  Hochevar's move to the bullpen has gone well, but will the team want to commit $5-6MM for a reliever in 2014?
  • John Axford, Brewers.  Axford quickly lost his closer job again and has a 6.33 ERA on the season.  The silver lining is that he is unscored upon in his last seven appearances.  Axford's save totals have gotten him to $5MM already, and even if he doesn't add any more this year and keeps pitching well, it will be a tough call to retain him through arbitration.
  • Chris Perez, Indians.  Similarly, saves have gotten Perez up to a $7.3MM salary.  He's struggled with walks this year and is currently on the DL with shoulder soreness.  If he comes back, pitches OK, and adds some more saves, the Indians might have a hard time committing $8MM+ for 2014.  Perez would probably be more of a trade candidate than a non-tender candidate.
  • Ryan Roberts, Rays.  Already earning nearly $3MM, Roberts has a .236/.288/.364 line so far.
  • Jeff Niemann, Rays.  Niemann had shoulder surgery in April, and the Rays will be forced in December to decide whether his 2014 season might be worth $3MM.
  • Alfredo Aceves, Red Sox.  Aceves survived last year's non-tender deadline and scored a $2.65MM salary, and the team wasn't able to trade him.  A 6.57 ERA so far in 2013 earned him a demotion today, so he might not make it to the non-tender deadline.
  • A few more non-tender candidates to consider: Nolan Reimold, Emilio Bonifacio, Roger Bernadina, Chris Heisey, Chris Getz, Brennan Boesch, Sam Fuld, John Lannan, Marc Rzepczynski, and Chris Volstad.
  • Plenty of other arbitration eligible players probably aren't non-tender candidates, though their teams could be reluctant to pay them higher salaries through arbitration.  A few names that come to mind in this bracket include Rick Porcello, Alex Avila, Tommy Hanson, Pedro Alvarez, Ivan Nova, Phil Coke, and Mitchell Boggs.  Some of these players could become trade candidates if their current teams prefer not to pay them next year.
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Outrighted To Triple-A: Buckner, Rondon

By Tim Dierkes | May 28, 2013 at 12:48pm CDT

Today's minor moves…

  • The Angels outrighted righty Billy Buckner to Triple-A, tweets J.P. Hoornstra of the Los Angeles News Group.  Buckner had been designated for assignment Sunday to make room for Kevin Jepsen.  Buckner, 29, has a 4.56 ERA, 7.6 K/9, 4.8 BB/9, and 0.57 HR/9 in 47 1/3 Triple-A innings this year, and he also fired five scoreless innings to beat the Royals on Saturday.  Buckner was drafted by the Royals in the second round in '04, a round which also produced notable big leaguers Dustin Pedroia, Hunter Pence, Yovani Gallardo, Kurt Suzuki, Jason Vargas, and Seth Smith.  The Royals ultimately traded Buckner to the Diamondbacks in '07 for Alberto Callaspo, who was eventually dealt to the Angels for pitchers Sean O'Sullivan and Will Smith.  Smith remains in the Royals' organization, serving as rotation depth at Triple-A.
  • The Yankees outrighted southpaw Francisco Rondon to Triple-A yesterday, according to the International League transactions page.  Rondon had been designated for assignment Saturday, upon the Yankees' waiver claim of David Huff.  The 25-year-old Rondon has a 7.46 ERA, 6.9 K/9, 6.4 BB/9, and 1.29 HR/9 in 35 Double-A innings this year.  He became a six-year minor league free agent at the end of last season, but the Yankees re-signed him in October and added him to the 40-man roster in November to prevent him from being taken in the Rule 5 draft, as Mike Axisa of River Ave. Blues explained.
  • Six players currently reside in DFA limbo: Edinson Rincon of the Padres, Ramon Ortiz of the Blue Jays, Michael Bowden of the Cubs, Robert Andino and Francisco Martinez of the Mariners, and Ben Francisco of the Yankees.
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Los Angeles Angels New York Yankees Transactions Billy Buckner

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Cardinals To Promote Michael Wacha

By Tim Dierkes | May 28, 2013 at 10:28am CDT

The Cardinals announced today they will promote righty Michael Wacha to start Thursday against the Royals, tweets Danny Knobler of CBS Sports and others.  The Cards had scratched Wacha from his Monday start in anticipation of the possibility of having him start Thursday in place of the injured John Gast.  The Cardinals will need a 40-man roster spot for Wacha, but that can be opened easily by transferring Jaime Garcia to the 60-day DL.

Wacha, 21, was drafted 19th overall by the Cardinals last year out of Texas A&M, a pick the team received from the Angels as part of the compensation for the loss of Albert Pujols.  Wacha made nine starts at Triple-A this year, posting a 2.05 ERA, 5.8 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, and 0.85 HR/9 in 52 2/3 innings.  He'll be the fourth member of the 2012 draft class to reach the bigs, after Paco Rodriguez of the Dodgers, Kevin Gausman of the Orioles, and Michael Roth of the Angels.  Prior to the season, Wacha ranked 76th on Baseball America's top 100 prospects list and the same on MLB.com's, failing to rank on Keith Law's list for ESPN.  Law, however, elevated Wacha to #24 on a top 25 prospects list released today. 

Baseball America ranked Wacha sixth among Cardinals prospects, as he was part of what they considered the best farm system in baseball given the presence of Oscar Taveras, Shelby Miller, Carlos Martinez, Trevor Rosenthal, and Kolten Wong.  BA wrote that Wacha had the best changeup in the 2012 draft, adding, "It's easy to project him as a mid-rotation starter, and he could turn into something more if he finds a reliable breaking ball."  He may have since found it, as Law wrote today, "Multiple scouts have told me they've seen an above-average breaking ball from Wacha this year, which was the main concern about him coming out of Texas A&M last June."

Will there be room in the Cardinals' rotation for Wacha beyond Thursday?  Adam Wainwright, Lance Lynn, and Miller are holding down the first three spots, Garcia is out for the season, Chris Carpenter had a setback, and Jake Westbrook's elbow is improving.  Tyler Lyons is in the rotation mix, Martinez could be at some point, and Gast could be as well when he's healthy.  

If he stays up all year, Wacha will accumulate 123 days of big league service, making Super Two arbitration eligibility possible after the 2015 season.  It's unknown whether that amount of service will put him within the top 22% of the two-to-three class at that point.  Super Two players go to arbitration four times instead of the usual three, thus earning extra money.

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St. Louis Cardinals Top Prospect Promotions Michael Wacha

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Who Will Be Drafted First Overall?

By Tim Dierkes | May 28, 2013 at 8:28am CDT

Carlos Correa of the Astros, Gerrit Cole of the Pirates, Bryce Harper and Stephen Strasburg of the Nationals, and Tim Beckham of the Rays have the honor of being the last five players drafted first overall.  Outfielder Byron Buxton was drafted after Correa last year by the Twins, yet was regarded as the draft's best player by both Baseball America and ESPN's Keith Law.  BA and Law both had Correa second.  2012 marked the first draft with MLB's firm slot values, and the Astros were allotted $7.2MM to sign their first overall pick and $11.2MM in total.

In what Baseball America's Jim Callis described as "a perfect storm for Houston," Correa was "a legitimate top-of-the-draft talent" who nonetheless would have been expected to last until the sixth or seventh pick, which had slot values of $3MM and $3.25MM, respectively.  Since the slot values are not firm for each pick but rather part of a team's pool for their first ten picks, the Astros were able to sign Correa for $2.4MM under slot (still worthwhile for him), and use the savings to draft and sign Lance McCullers, Jr. and Rio Ruiz to over-slot deals.

This year, Callis believes the top tier of the draft is limited to college pitchers Jonathan Gray and Mark Appel, and college third baseman Kris Bryant.  In BA's mock draft Friday, Callis mentioned the Astros have narrowed their field to those three plus college third baseman Colin Moran and presumably high school outfielder Clint Frazier.  BA and Law both see Gray and Appel as the draft's top two talents.  The Astros probably wouldn't admit it if they take one of the position players instead, but if that happens, they will seemingly be employing last year's strategy again with their bonus pool money.  That leads us to today's poll question:

Who will the Astros draft first overall next week?
Jonathan Gray 49.74% (3,762 votes)
Mark Appel 31.91% (2,413 votes)
Kris Bryant 10.72% (811 votes)
Colin Moran 4.38% (331 votes)
Clint Frazier 3.25% (246 votes)
Total Votes: 7,563
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2013 Amateur Draft Houston Astros MLBTR Polls

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Second Biggest Contract Of The 2013-14 Offseason

By Tim Dierkes | May 27, 2013 at 3:17pm CDT

Getting the second-biggest free agent contract of the offseason isn't a bad thing – just ask Josh Hamilton, Prince Fielder, and Jayson Werth.  But while those players all signed for more than $100MM, it's not clear yet if anyone in the 2013-14 free agent class will receive a nine-figure contract aside from Robinson Cano, who could reach $200MM.  That leads us to today's poll question…

Which free agent will receive the biggest contract?
Shin-Soo Choo 34.13% (4,392 votes)
Jacoby Ellsbury 29.00% (3,732 votes)
Brian McCann 8.05% (1,036 votes)
Tim Lincecum 7.89% (1,016 votes)
Nelson Cruz 6.85% (881 votes)
Hunter Pence 5.19% (668 votes)
Matt Garza 4.58% (590 votes)
Chase Utley 2.97% (382 votes)
Mark Reynolds 1.34% (173 votes)
Total Votes: 12,870
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Cubs Claim Alex Burnett

By Tim Dierkes | May 27, 2013 at 2:03pm CDT

The Cubs claimed righty reliever Alex Burnett off waivers from the Orioles, tweets MLB.com's Carrie Muskat.  Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com first reported Burnett had been claimed. Burnett had been designated for assignment Thursday to open a roster spot for highly regarded young pitcher Kevin Gausman.  For the Cubs, Burnett will replace Kyuji Fujikawa, who will be placed on the DL today with an elbow injury.

Burnett was claimed off waivers by the Blue Jays from the Twins on March 29th and quickly designated for assignment, at which point the Orioles claimed him.  The 25-year-old made two relief appearances for Baltimore, surrendering three runs in his most recent outing.  For his career, he has a 4.73 ERA, 5.7 K/9, 3.8 BB/9, and 0.74 HR/9 in 171 1/3 innings in parts of four seasons.

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Baltimore Orioles Chicago Cubs Transactions Alex Burnett

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Mariners Designate Francisco Martinez

By Tim Dierkes | May 27, 2013 at 1:54pm CDT

The Mariners designated outfielder Francisco Martinez for assignment, according to a team press release.  The move opens a 40-man roster spot for infield prospect Nick Franklin.  In addition to selecting Franklin's contract, the Mariners also optioned Dustin Ackley and Lucas Luetge and recalled Hector Noesi.

Martinez, 22, was hitting .206/.242/.254 in 136 Double-A plate appearances.  Two years ago, Martinez, Charlie Furbush, Casper Wells, and Chance Ruffin were traded by the Tigers to the Mariners for pitchers Doug Fister and David Pauley.  In 293 2/3 innings since the trade, Fister has a 3.10 ERA, 7.5 K/9, 1.6 BB/9, and 0.64 HR/9 for the Tigers, and he remains under their control through 2015.  Fister's ERA since the trade is 13th in all of baseball among those with 250 innings.  Tigers GM Dave Dombrowski acquired four-plus years of something close to an ace, while Mariners GM Jack Zduriencik is left with reliever Furbush and converted starter Ruffin. 

 

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