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Submit Your Questions For The MLB Trade Rumors Podcast

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Each week on the MLB Trade Rumors podcast we’ll answer questions submitted by our readers. With the next episode due out Wednesday morning, we’re looking for MLBTR readers to submit a voice memo with their question and we’ll pick three to answer.

This week, I’ll be joined by MLBTR founder Tim Dierkes. If there’s anything you’d like to get myself and Tim’s thoughts on then please submit your questions to mlbtrpod@gmail.com.

Voice memos will be played out on air so speak clearly and cleanly. Please start your recording with your name and try and keep it as succinct as possible – no more than 15 seconds. An example might be: “Hey guys, Simon here in Minneapolis, what are your thoughts on the Pablo Lopez extension and do you think the Twins will try and extend any of their other starters?”

We look forward to hearing from you!

In the meantime, don’t forget to subscribe to the podcast on Spotify and Apple Podcasts.

You can also listen to Episode 2 on Spotify, Apple Podcasts and wherever you get your podcasts! On that episode, Steve Adams and I discussed the Rays’ hot start to the season, Grayson Rodriguez’ call-up to the Orioles, the state of the Angels’ bullpen and much more.

Giancarlo Stanton Expected To Miss Four To Six Weeks

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Yankees slugger Giancarlo Stanton is expected to miss the next four to six weeks of action, reports Brendan Kuty of The Athletic. The Yankees placed Stanton on the 10-day injured list yesterday due to a hamstring strain and recalled top shortstop prospect Oswald Peraza in his place, but it seems Stanton will miss a good bit more than the 10-day minimum. An MRI revealed a Grade 2 strain of Stanton’s hamstring, as ESPN’s Marly Rivera first reported last night.

With four homers and three doubles already under his belt in just 54 plate appearances, Stanton has had his power on display early. He’s walked in an uncharacteristically low 3.7% of his plate appearances but also fanned at just a 20.4% clip with a higher contact rate than usual. The resulting .269/.296/.558 batting line checks in 32% better than league-average, by measure of wRC+. Stanton’s four long balls trail only Aaron Judge among Yankee hitters, and his 11 runs plated tie the surprisingly productive Franchy Cordero for the team lead.

Unfortunately for the Yankees, absences of this nature for Stanton have become all too familiar. This is the slugger’s tenth placement on the injured list dating back to the 2019 season, and a whopping eight of those have come due to leg injuries of sorts. Dating back to ’19, Stanton has missed time with hamstring, quad, knee and Achilles injuries. In that time, he’s played in just 303 of 562 possible games (53.9%), including 13 of this year’s 16 contests for the team.

With Stanton once again sidelined for the foreseeable future, the Yankees will have some questions to sort out in the lineup. A combination of Judge, Cordero, Oswald Cabrera, Willie Calhoun and Aaron Hicks can be leaned on in the outfield, though Harrison Bader’s impending return also calls that group’s stability into question — particularly with the team now viewing Isiah Kiner-Falefa as a viable option in center field (five games, two starts in ’23).

The remaining three years and $30.5MM on Hicks’ contract has bought him an extended leash so far, and perhaps that’ll continue to be the case even when Bader returns. Before long, however, the Yankees will need to make some decisions in the outfield. It’s possible that further injuries will alleviate some of the urgency to do so, but otherwise they’ll certainly be on the clock when Stanton is ready in late May — if not later this month when Bader returns from an oblique strain.

Big Hype Prospects: Neto, House, Kjerstad, Bibee, Pages

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This week on Big Hype Prospects, we take stock of the latest early-season top performers. Please note, BHP will return after a three-week hiatus.

Five Big Hype Prospects

Zach Neto, 22, SS, LAA (MLB)
(AA) 34 PA, 3 HR, 3 SB, .444/.559/.815

The Angels recently called up Neto in an attempt to improve their shortstop situation. The 2022 draftee skipped Triple-A and only has 201 minor league plate appearances to his name. He’s shown a BABIP-forward hitting approach predicated on ground ball contact. While he can hit for power, there’s reason to question his ability to consistently elevate the ball. Should he remain in the Majors, it’s possible he’ll look overmatched this season. Nothing he does is particularly smooth or easy. His swing is high effort, and his fielding footwork runs counter to the economical mechanics we’re accustomed to seeing. He entered play Monday 0-for-8 with two strikeouts through his first two big league games.

Brady House, 19, 3B, WSH (A)
24 PA, 2 HR, 1 SB, .333/.500/.833

Considered one of the most powerful prospects in the minors, House has controlled the strike zone well through an Alfonseca-handful of games. Four of his six hits have gone for extra bases. His 2022 campaign was a tale of two seasons. He handled A-ball pitchers early in the season before injuring his back. When he returned, he limped through the remainder of the campaign. At this rate, he’ll find himself in High-A within a few weeks. Public scouting reports tend to focus on whether or not House will achieve enough contact to get to his prodigious power. Opinions remain mixed.

Heston Kjerstad, 24, OF, BAL (AA)
42 PA, 5 HR, 3 SB, .314/.429/.800

A former second-overall pick – the sort selected in order to save money to spend on later rounds – Kjerstad entered the 2022 Arizona Fall League in desperate need of proving himself. He was named AFL MVP and has continued to show well this season. The early returns are offset by a career-worst swinging strike rate. As yet, it hasn’t been a problem. Due to a health scare, major hamstring injury, and the lost COVID minor league season, Kjerstad has missed a lot of development time. He’s already a tad on the old side for Double-A. We should see him advance to Triple-A within the next couple months. In the last half-season, he’s morphed into a high-probability big leaguer. Now the question is whether he’s a regular or mashtastic, strong-side platoon bat.

Tanner Bibee, 24, SP, CLE (AAA)
11 IP, 12.27 K/9, 2.45 BB/9, 0.00 ERA

A fly-ball pitcher known for missing bats and limiting walks, Bibee’s first two turns in Triple-A have gone about as well as possible. Of 41 batters faced, he’s allowed five hits and three walks compared to 15 strikeouts. He’s considered both highly polished and Major League-ready by two evaluators I surveyed. Health allowing, we’ll see him in Cleveland sometime this season. His fastball and slider are his primary weapons. He commands them well and generates plenty of swinging strikes. His curve isn’t expected to improve and will mostly be used for called strikes early in the count when hitters are trying to ambush a high heater. The scouting report available on FanGraphs notes his changeup is still a (promising) work in progress.

Andy Pages, 22, OF, LAD (AA)
41 PA, 2 HR, 2 SB, .393/.561/.750

The Dodgers made the curious decision to return Pages to Double-A after he hammered 26 home runs in 571 plate appearances last season – possibly because he managed a modest 102 wRC+. He’s angling for a quick promotion. In addition to the heady results, he has more walks than strikeouts and a 6.4 percent swinging-strike rate. We’re dealing with a tiny sample, but there’s cause for optimism. He’s always been an extreme pulled, fly-ball hitter. The profile led naysayers (myself included) to consider him a future second-division player. While he continues to pull the ball (at a comical 68.2 percent rate), his fly-ball rate has dropped to a normal 40.9 percent. He’s yet to hit an infield fly. Inching down his launch angle even a little could help to explain the surge in contact rate and also lead to more consistently positive results. For now, this is a developing story to watch. I have no intel on him purposely adjusting his swing. This is merely an observation of his small sample statistical outcomes.

Three More

Emmet Sheehan, LAD (23): One of the best pitching prospects to appear in the 2022 AFL, Sheehan has tasty stuff and poor command. He’s credited with a feel for making adjustments, leading internal evaluators to frequently praise his work. The Dodgers appear to be managing his workload in the early going.

Gage Workman, DET (23): Workman has… worked… to improve his swing decisions as a professional, manifesting in early success this season. He’s also trimmed his swinging-strike rate to a tolerable 12.3 percent. Questions regarding his hit tool – he ran a 40 percent strikeout rate last season – have most observers assuming he’ll top out as a toolsy utility guy. If he’s drawing free passes and cutting down on whiffs, he could turn into a Chris Taylor-like talent.

Andrew Abbott, CIN (23): Abbott’s early results are noteworthy (0.00 ERA, 71.4 K%, 2.9 BB%). Scouts tend to downplay his potential due to a long history of command issues and inconsistent mechanics. Solving the mechanics could lead to rapidly improving command. His fastball and curve work well together, suggesting a floor as an innings-eating middle reliever.

Rays Select Cooper Criswell

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The Rays have selected the contract of right-hander Cooper Criswell from Triple-A Durham, per a team announcement. In a pair of corresponding moves to accommodate his promotion, right-hander Trevor Kelley was optioned to Triple-A while righty Shawn Armstrong was moved from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. The Rays also announced that top prospect Taj Bradley is on today’s taxi squad. Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times tweets that he’ll likely be added to the 26-man roster to start tomorrow’s game in Cincinnati.

Criswell, 26, made his big league debut with the Angels in 2021 but tossed just 1 1/3 innings, and he had a similarly brief run with the 2022 Rays, tossing 3 1/3 frames. He’s out to a fine start in Durham this year, with a 3.09 ERA and 10-to-1 K/BB ratio in 11 2/3 innings of work. The Rays are expected to use lefty Jalen Beeks as an opener in today’s contest, so Criswell will give Tampa Bay another fresh arm to help navigate the waters of this bullpen day. It could be a brief stay on the big league roster for Criswell, particularly if he throws multiple innings today, as the Rays will need to make another move to get Bradley on the roster for tomorrow’s contest.

Armstrong, 32, posted a 3.60 ERA with a 26% strikeout rate and 6% walk rate in 55 innings as a Ray in 2022. He’s missed the entire season so far due to a neck injury incurred in spring training. The shift to the 60-day injured list pushes his earliest possible return date back to May 29; it’s retroactive to his initial placement on the IL, not the move from the 15-day to the 60-day. Neil Solondz of Rays Radio tweets that Armstrong would’ve likely needed about that long to finish mending and build back up to game readiness anyhow, so the decision was likely a fairly straightforward one for the team.

The Opener: Baty, Fried, Rangers

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As the third week of the 2023 regular season begins, here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world throughout the day today.

1. Baty to be recalled:

The Mets are reportedly poised to call up top prospect Brett Baty later today, prior to the club’s 9:10pm CT game against the Dodgers. Baty, 23, has torn up Triple-A in the early going this season to the tune of a .400/.500/.866 slash line. Of course, the club will have to make a move to make room for Baty on the active roster, though he does already have a 40-man roster spot.

The club’s only optionable bat (beyond stars Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil, both of whom are locked into the everyday lineup) is Luis Guillorme, leaving the option of sending him to Triple-A one potential route. The Mets could also have an injury they’ve not yet made known, which would pave the way for an IL stint to open that roster spot. Outside of that, it’s possible the club could designate a player like outfielder Tim Locastro or even struggling third baseman Eduardo Escobar, who figures to lose substantial playing time to Baty, for assignment.

2. Fried set to return:

Rotation reinforcements are coming in Atlanta, as ace Max Fried is poised to return from the 15-day injured list today to make this evening’s 8:40pm CT start against the Padres. Fried suffered a hamstring strain on Opening Day and left his first start of the season early. Now that Fried is set to rejoin the team, the rotation appears to be set, with right-hander Bryce Elder settling into the fifth spot over rookies Jared Shuster and Dylan Dodd after he impressed with a 1.53 ERA over 17 2/3 innings while filling in for Fried.

Throughout the early part of the season, the Braves have been able to utilize a nine-man bullpen by carefully managing their roster so only four starters are on the active roster at a time. With Fried’s activation, the club’s ability to do that seems set to come to an end, meaning the roster move to make space for Fried could shed some light on the club’s preferred bullpen structure when able to utilize eight relievers.

3. Rangers to unveil City Connect uniforms:

The Rangers are expected to unveil their City Connect uniforms today, following the Braves’ announcement earlier in the month. Later in the season, the Mariners, Reds, Orioles, and Pirates are expected to announce City Connect uniforms, joining 14 clubs that had unveiled jerseys of their own over the past two seasons. The Rangers unveil their jerseys as the club is out to one of its best starts since the team’s most recent playoff run back in 2016, with the club currently 9-6 with a 1.5 game lead in the AL West. You can read more about the jerseys unveiling and related promotions here.

Red Sox Announce Several Roster Moves

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The Red Sox announced a series of roster moves ahead of this morning’s game against the Angels. The club has optioned infielder Bobby Dalbec to Triple-A and designated right-hander Jake Faria for assignment, while activating right-hander Brayan Bello from the 15-day injured list and recalling outfielder Jarren Duran from Triple-A.

Faria, 29, was selected to the roster just yesterday, is DFA’d without making an appearance for Boston. A career 4.70 ERA (90 ERA+) pitcher with a 20.9% strikeout rate and 10% walk rate in the major leagues, Faria will now likely look to catch on with another club, as the Red Sox have seven days to waive, trade, or release the right-hander. Faria last pitched in the major leagues in 2021, as he spent all of the 2022 season in the minors with the Twins.

Bello’s activation is no surprise, as he had already been announced as the starter for this morning’s game against the Angels. Long considered to be one of the club’s top prospects, Bello made his major league debut in 2022 and held his own, posting just a 4.71 ERA (90 ERA+) in 57 1/3 innings of work, though his strong 2.94 FIP, inflated .404 BABIP, and somewhat low 68.2% strand rate all indicate there was some bad luck baked into Bello’s performance last year. The 23 year-old will step into the Red Sox rotation, potentially replacing fellow young right-hander Tanner Houck in the long term, though the club appears poised to use a six-man rotation for the time being.

Dalbec, 28 in June, was a 4th round pick by the Red Sox in the 2016 draft, and impressed early in his career with a 114 wRC+ in 545 plate appearances in the 2020 and 2021 seasons. That impressive start to his career had a major red flag, however, as Dalbec was striking out in 35.8% of his plate appearances over that time. That penchant for strikeouts has continued in the years since, while Dalbec’s power dissipated. Dalbec hit 33 home runs, 24 doubles, and 5 triples from 2020-2021, but has managed just 12 home runs, 9 doubles, and 2 triples in 364 plate appearances since the start of the 2022 season. Dalbec will now head to Triple-A and serve as infield depth for the club going forward.

Duran, 26, figures to make his season debut today against the Angels. Despite an impressive .299/.366/.468 career slash line in the minors, including a .266/.353/.498 line in 641 Triple-A plate appearances, Duran has struggled mightily at the major league level since his debut in 2021, posting a career wRC+ of just 68 and -0.8 fWAR in 91 career games in the big leagues. Duran figures to provide further outfield depth behind starters Alex Verdugo and Masataka Yoshida in the corners and the current center field platoon of Raimel Tapia and Rob Refsnyder.

Yankees Recall Oswald Peraza, Place Giancarlo Stanton On 10-Day Injured List

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4:18PM: Stanton has a Grade 2 hamstring strain, ESPN’s Marly Rivera reports (Twitter link). The increased severity of the strain likely means a longer stint on the IL, with Stanton facing perhaps at least a month away.

10:30AM: According to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com, the Yankees have recalled shortstop Oswald Peraza to the major league club. To make room for Peraza on the active roster, MLB Network Radio’s Jim Bowden notes that Giancarlo Stanton is being placed on the injured list with a left hamstring strain, for which he’s set to undergo an MRI this afternoon.

Peraza, 23 in June, made his big league debut for the Yankees last season, impressing with a .306/.404/.429 slash line (good for a 146 wRC+) in 18 games while playing strong defense at both second base and shortstop. Peraza spent spring training battling for the starting shortstop job with the Yankees, though he ultimately lost out on the role to top prospect Anthony Volpe. A consensus top 100 prospect in his own right, Peraza has 502 plate appearances at the Triple-A level across the past three seasons, posting a .263/.331/.434 slash line in that time.

As for Stanton, this hamstring issue is the latest in a series of leg injuries over the past few seasons. Stanton went on the IL twice in 2022, once for a minimum stay due to a calf strain and once for a month due to tendonitis in his left Achilles. Stanton also missed two weeks in 2021 with a quad strain, most of the shortened 2020 season due to a hamstring strain, and most of the 2019 season due to a knee sprain. For a player with Stanton’s injury history, a hamstring issue is of particular concern, though the extent of the injury and a timetable for Stanton’s return to action will not be known until the results of today’s MRI are revealed.

When healthy, Stanton has been long been among the game’s most fearsome hitters. Though he hasn’t quite reached the heights he did with the Marlins (where he posted a 149 wRC+, made four All Star appearances, and won an MVP award from 2012-2017) since his trade to the Bronx, Stanton has still posted a strong 129 wRC+ in a Yankees uniform while clubbing 115 home runs in just 461 games. That being said, he’s seen a downturn in his overall production in recent years, as he has gotten on base at just a 32.7% clip since the start of the 2021 season, including a concerning .297 OBP in 110 games last year. Some of that can be attributed to a deflated .227 BABIP, but it’s also worth noting that Stanton’s 30.3% strikeout rate in 2022 was his highest in a full season since his rookie year.

While Stanton is on the shelf, Peraza seems likely to step into the lineup at second base, allowing Gleyber Torres to fill in for Stanton at DH. Stanton’s injury leaves the Yankees outfield mix in further flux, as Harrison Bader has not yet played for the club in 2023 due to an oblique strain. That leaves reigning AL MVP Aaron Judge as the club’s regular center fielder, while Franchy Cordero, Willie Calhoun, Oswaldo Cabrera, and Aaron Hicks mix and match in the corners.

Red Sox Select Jake Faria, Place Chris Martin On 15-Day IL

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10:38PM: There are “no red flags as far as structure” to Martin’s shoulder, manager Alex Cora told MassLive.com’s Chris Cotillo and other reporters.  The Red Sox are hopeful that Martin might be facing just a minimal 15-day absence.

12:12PM: The Red Sox announced a series of roster moves this afternoon, placing right-hander Chris Martin on the 15-day IL (retroactive to Thursday) with right shoulder inflammation. To replace Martin on the active roster, the club has selected the contract of right-hander Jake Faria from Triple-A. To clear a 40-man roster spot for Faria, the club has transferred right-hander Wyatt Mills, who is suffering from right elbow inflammation, to the 60-day IL.

Martin debuted with the Rockies back in 2014, but struggled to a 6.19 ERA in the first two seasons of his big league career before departing for Japan, where he dominated in the NPB to the tune of a 1.12 ERA in 88 1/3 innings of work. That performance earned him another shot in the big leagues, where he’s been a successful setup man ever since. Since the start of the 2018 season, Martin has posted a 3.41 ERA (135 ERA+) with a 3.06 FIP in 221 2/3 innings of work.

While his top-level run prevention numbers last season left something to be desired in the beginning of his season as a member of the Cubs, his 4.31 ERA in his 31 1/3 innings as a Cub were inflated by a .393 BABIP. Underlying metrics saw him strike out 30.1% of batters while walking just 3%, leaving him with a 3.01 FIP during his time with in Chicago. Those strong underlying stats manifested in a dominant stretch run following a midseason trade to the Dodgers: in 24 2/3 innings in Dodger blue, Martin posted a fantastic 1.46 ERA with a microscopic 1.13 FIP.

That left Martin entering free agency with a 3.05 ERA, 2.18 FIP, 32.9% strikeout rate, and 2.2% walk rate in 2022. Those numbers were strong enough to net him a two-year, $17.5MM deal with the Red Sox, where he figured to slot into the back of the Boston bullpen alongside fellow offseason signing Kenley Jansen. Those plans will now be put on hold for awhile, however, with Martin headed to the IL. No timetable has been announced for his return. While Martin is on the IL, John Schreiber and Josh Winckowski figure to handle late-inning duties alongside Jansen.

With Martin on the shelf, the Red Sox turn to Faria. The 29 year old did not pitch in the majors in 2022, though he has a career 4.70 ERA (90 ERA+) with a matching 4.74 FIP in 203 big league innings with a 20.9% strikeout rate a 10% walk rate. After spending 2022 in the minors with the Twins, where he struggled to a 7.48 ERA in 43 1/3 innings of work, Faria signed a minor league deal with the Red Sox back in February.

Mills was acquired from the Royals in a trade this winter, but was shut down last month with elbow inflammation. He has a career 6.21 ERA in 42 big league innings, albeit with a much more palatable 3.84 FIP.

Rockies Notes: Marquez, Grichuk, Bard, Senzatela

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The Rockies provided updates to MLB.com’s Thomas Harding (Twitter links) and other reporters about several injured players, including right-hander German Marquez.  After Marquez was placed on the 15-day injured list last Wednesday due to forearm inflammation, the initial diagnosis was Marquez had avoided any serious injury and might be back in relatively short order.  A good step was taken in that direction today as Marquez started throwing for the first time since his IL placement, engaging in a game of catch prior to the Rockies’ game with the Mariners.

It remains to be seen how long Marquez might be sidelined, as even with a minor forearm issue, the Rox aren’t going to rush the hurler back into action.  Marquez’s first three starts in the year resulted in a 4.41 ERA over 16 1/3 innings, and while it’s a small sample size, early points of interest include some improved control (a very good 3.2% walk rate) and a marked increase in Marquez’s usage of his slider.  The righty is still allowing a lot of hard contact and is striking out batters at a subpar rate, but that was also often the case for Marquez in his better seasons.

Randal Grichuk and Daniel Bard both started rehab assignments at Triple-A today, after first working in games during extended Spring Training.  Neither player has yet made their season debut — Grichuk underwent surgery in early February to correct a bilateral sports hernia, while Bard was placed on the 15-day IL just prior to Opening Day due to anxiety issues.  Grichuk naturally has a more set recovery timeline, as he was initially expected to be back by mid-April, and it looks like he’ll return to Colorado’s lineup only slightly after that projected date.  Bard’s timeline is more fluid due to the uncertainty of anxiety issues, but the start of a rehab assignment indicates that he might be closing in on a return to the Rockies’ bullpen.

Antonio Senzatela’s return is still a ways away, as the righty is recovering from a torn ACL suffered last August.  However, Senzatela did pitch two innings in an extended Spring Training game on Friday, and he’ll pitch in another extended camp game on Tuesday.  Depending on how Senzatela comes out of Tuesday’s outing, the Rockies might then set a course for his rehab plan.  The initial expectation was that Senzatela might be back in the majors by May, and Colorado starting the season with Senzatela on the 15-day IL (instead of the 60-day IL) is indicative of their hope that the right-hander don’t miss too much more time.

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