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Astros, Luis Garcia Avoid Arbitration

By Darragh McDonald | January 8, 2025 at 5:30pm CDT

The Astros and right-hander Luis Garcia have avoided arbitration, per the Associated Press. The righty will make a salary of $1.875MM in 2025. That’s the same salary he made in 2024, a year he missed while recovering from Tommy John surgery.

The arbitration system operates in such a way that salaries almost never go down. As such, it’s fairly common for a player to miss an entire season and then see his salary hold steady into the next year.

Tomorrow is the deadline for players and teams to exchange salary figures, so a large number of arb-eligible players should have their salaries finalized in the next 24 hours or so. Those who don’t reach agreements will be slated for arbitration hearings in the coming weeks. With Garcia now settled, the Astros still have an arb class consisting of Framber Valdez, Mauricio Dubón, Bryan Abreu, Chas McCormick, Isaac Paredes, Jake Meyers and Jeremy Pena.

Garcia has a career earned run average of 3.61 in his 352 innings, mostly as a starter, though he has been on ice for quite a while now. He had his surgery in May of 2023 and attempted to return to the mound last summer, though he had some trouble recovering between outings during his rehab assignment and was eventually shut down. In a recent mailbag, Chandler Rome of The Athletic suggested it may not be likely that he’s ready for Opening Day of 2025.

As spring training ramps up next month, it’s possible that there will be more clarity on his status, though the Astros have a notorious reputation for obfuscating when it comes to the health of their players. Whenever Garcia gets back on the mound, he should slot into a rotation mix alongside Valdez, Hunter Brown, Ronel Blanco, Spencer Arrighetti and Hayden Wesneski. Like Garcia, pitchers like Lance McCullers Jr., J.P. France and Cristian Javier will be looking to come back from surgeries this year.

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Houston Astros Transactions Luis Garcia (Astros RHP)

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Angels Sign Connor Brogdon To Minor League Deal

By Darragh McDonald | January 8, 2025 at 5:06pm CDT

The Angels have signed right-hander Connor Brogdon to a minor league deal, according to his transactions tracker at MLB.com. He has been assigned to Triple-A Salt Lake for now but will presumably receive an invite to big league spring training.

Brogdon, 30 this month, had a solid run with the Phillies earlier in his career but has faced some significant challenges more recently. From 2020 to 2022, he logged 113 innings for Philadelphia, allowing 3.42 earned runs per nine. He struck out 25.1% of batters faced while only giving out walks at a 7.3% clip. He was trusted enough to earn three saves and 16 holds in that time.

But things started to trend down in 2023. He posted a 4.03 ERA in 29 innings that year, though the underlying numbers were more concerning. His walk rate ticked up to 10.2% while he was only punching out 20.5% of opponents. The Phillies optioned him in June and he had a 5.46 ERA in Triple-A the rest of the way.

2024 was then mostly a lost season due to injuries. He was designated for assignment by the Phils in April and claimed by the Dodgers, with the latter club putting him on the injured list a few days later due to plantar fasciitis. He started up a few rehab assignments throughout the year but didn’t come off the IL until the season was over, getting outrighted off the roster in November and electing free agency.

It’s obviously been a rough couple of years but perhaps the persistent foot problems offer some explanation. If Brogdon can put those behind him and get back to his previous form, he would be a nice find, especially on a no-risk minor league deal. He showed some promise during his rehab assignments last year, throwing 13 innings with a 3.21 ERA, 34.4% strikeout rate and 8.2% walk rate. If he can earn his way into a roster spot, he is out of options but he has less than four years of major league service time, meaning he can be retained beyond 2025 via arbitration if he’s holding a roster spot at season’s end.

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Los Angeles Angels Transactions Connor Brogdon

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Pirates Interested In Randal Grichuk

By Darragh McDonald | January 8, 2025 at 4:29pm CDT

The Pirates are known to be looking for corner infield help and free agent Randal Grichuk is one player they are interested in, reports Mark Feinsand of MLB.com. They were also connected to Alex Verdugo in rumors this week.

Grichuk, 33, is coming off a strong season. He signed with the Diamondbacks for a modest $2MM guarantee, one of several veteran players left out in the cold during last winter’s frosty market. The Snakes mostly used him in a short-side platoon capacity, so Grichuk only got 279 plate appearances, but he made the most of them. He hit 12 home runs and slashed .291/.348/.528 overall for a 139 wRC+.

In his career, Grichuk has been better against lefties but also held his own against righties in 2024, in a limited sample. The D’Backs only sent him to the plate against a righty 95 times on the year but he slashed .242/.274/.527 in those for a 116 wRC+. His career line in that split is .242/.288/.449 for a wRC+ of 93. Against southpaws, he hit .319/.386/.528 for a 159 wRC+ in 2024, with a career line of .273/.324/.509 and a 121 wRC+.

Whether or not those improved results against righties are sustainable, it was a solid campaign on the whole and one that will likely earn Grichuk a raise. In addition to his offensive contributions, he’s also been a solid defender in his career. Both Defensive Runs Saved and Outs Above Average have him an above average fielder, though they were split on his 2024 season, with Grichuk producing +3 DRS and -2 OAA.

For the Bucs, their search for outfield help is understandable. Bryan Reynolds is likely to be in left field and Oneil Cruz in center, but right field is wide open. Including Reynolds, eight different guys played at least 27 innings for Pittsburgh in 2024, the other seven being Bryan De La Cruz, Edward Olivares, Connor Joe, Joshua Palacios, Ji Hwan Bae, Jack Suwinski and Billy Cook. None of them took hold of the position and many of them have been expunged from the roster.

It was reported last month that they would be looking for corner outfield upgrades, though it seemed fair to expect them to keep the investment fairly modest. They have never been a big-spending club and RosterResource projects them for a $79MM payroll next year. That’s already pretty close to the $86MM figure they had to open last year, per Cot’s Baseball Contracts.

Despite his strong season, Grichuk’s market has been pretty quiet so far. It was reported last month that the Orioles had some interest in him, though that came out after they had already signed Tyler O’Neill and thus reduced or perhaps eliminated their need for Grichuk.

The outfield free agent market has seen some movement but there’s still more to come. Juan Soto, Teoscar Hernández, O’Neill and others have signed but Anthony Santander and Jurickson Profar are still out there, with those two looking for multi-year deals. Guys like Grichuk, Verdugo, Jesse Winker, Mark Canha and others are also available and likely to end up with one-year deals.

Given the Pirates’ history, they are probably going to end up with someone in the latter group. If it’s Grichuk, he could perhaps find a platoon partner already on the roster, as Palacios, Suwinski and Bae are still there and each of them hits left-handed. Palacios and Bae have been subpar against both lefties and righties in their respective big league careers but Suwinski has been solid against righties. He has a brutal .173/.264/.306 slash and 58 wRC+ against southpaws but a .218/.323/.442 line and 107 wRC+ the rest of the time.

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Pittsburgh Pirates Randal Grichuk

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Rangers Could Be Done With Bullpen Additions

By Steve Adams | January 8, 2025 at 4:08pm CDT

The Rangers have massively overhauled their bullpen this winter, watching Kirby Yates, David Robertson, Jose Leclerc and Andrew Chafin depart via free agency while adding Chris Martin, Jacob Webb, Hoby Milner, Robert Garcia and Shawn Armstrong in their stead. It’s a group that has plenty of big league experience but lacks the track record and relative star power of their departed firemen — Yates and Robertson in particular. Be that as it may, this week’s reunion with Martin could be the final piece of the relief puzzle for Texas. General manager Ross Fenstermaker told the Rangers beat in the wake of the Martin deal that the Rangers “feel like we’ve done the bulk of our lifting at this point” (link via Shawn McFarland of the Dallas Morning News).

That’s not a firm declaration that the team is done adding. Fenstermaker was careful to leave the door open for “creative” and “open-minded” solutions to further deepen the group. However, adding a seasoned closer is not something the organization feels is a pressing need.

Texas entered the offseason making little secret of the fact that its top priority was to re-sign Nathan Eovaldi — a goal they achieved on a three-year, $75MM deal that exceeded general expectations but reflected the steep price of rotation help on this offseason’s open market. At the same time, the Rangers have been angling for ways to remain under the luxury tax, which helps to explain the decision to trade first baseman Nathaniel Lowe to the Nationals (in exchange for the aforementioned Garcia). Lowe will be replaced at first base by trade acquisition Jake Burger, who’ll earn scarcely more than the league minimum. His left-handed bat will be largely replaced by free agent signee Joc Pederson.

It’s been a creative roster shuffle — one that’s left the Rangers with a talented but injury-prone rotation, a collection of relievers more accurately described as hopefuls than locks to produce, and a reshaped lineup that the front office is hopeful can be more productive against fastballs (a fatal flaw for the ’24 club).

It stands to reason that further dealings could intensify the roster shuffle. Right-hander Jon Gray, entering the final season of his four-year contract, has been an oft-speculated trade candidate. Trading him would trim $13MM from the payroll and perhaps create the flexibility needed to pursue a reunion with Yates or Robertson — while also leaving some CBT breathing room for in-season trade activity. Moving Gray would naturally thin out the rotation depth, but any of Dane Dunning, Kumar Rocker, Jack Leiter or non-roster invitee Adrian Houser could step up to join Eovaldi, Jacob deGrom, Tyler Mahle and Cody Bradford on the starting staff.

For the time being, it looks like Martin could be the top choice in the ninth inning, but that’ll be left up to manager Bruce Bochy, Fenstermaker emphasized. The GM voiced confidence that Martin could fill the role and acknowledged that he’s in the “candidate pool” but added that the situation will “sort itself out” in the weeks/months ahead. As things stand, RosterResource projects the Rangers about $6MM shy of the $241MM luxury-tax threshold.

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Texas Rangers Chris Martin

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Rays Sign Joey Krehbiel To Minor League Deal

By Darragh McDonald | January 8, 2025 at 3:35pm CDT

The Rays have signed Joey Krehbiel to a minor league deal with an invite to major league spring training, reports Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times. The right-hander is represented by Loren Pincus.

Krehbiel, 32, didn’t crack the majors in 2024. He signed a minor league deal with the Mariners about this time last year. He went on to throw 58 innings over 54 appearances for their Triple-A club, allowing 3.26 earned runs per nine. His 22.8% strikeout rate, 10.4% walk rate and 44.9% ground ball rate were all within a point or two of typical averages.

He does have 74 innings of major league experience, most of that coming as an Oriole in 2022, though he also spent time with the Diamondbacks and Rays prior to joining Baltimore. He has a 3.65 ERA in his big league career with an 18.4% strikeout rate, 8.7% walk rate and 42.8% ground ball rate.

His previous stint with the Rays was in 2021, signing a minor league deal going into that year as well. His minor league work that year was arguably his most impressive performance in recent years. He tossed 43 Triple-A innings with a 4.19 ERA, 29.5% strikeout rate and 5.1% walk rate. That got him a brief stint on the major league roster in September, before he went the Orioles on waivers. Baltimore kept him around for a while, though he lost his roster spot during the 2023 season, which led to his minor league deal with the Mariners.

The Rays are obviously familiar with Krehbiel and got some decent results out of him a few years ago, so the two sides have reunited. If he can earn his way onto the roster, he still has an option, which is surely attractive for a team like the Rays as they frequently churn pitchers through the roster. Krehbiel also has less than two years of service time, so he could be cheaply retained beyond this year if he’s holding a roster spot at season’s end.

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Tampa Bay Rays Transactions Joey Krehbiel

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Poll: Do The Blue Jays Need More Help On Offense Or In The Rotation?

By Nick Deeds | January 8, 2025 at 3:26pm CDT

Just over a year removed from a disappointing offseason that saw the club emerge as a finalist for Shohei Ohtani but ultimately come up just short, the Blue Jays are once again in the midst of a difficult offseason where star players have repeatedly signed elsewhere despite aggressive pursuits from Toronto’s front office. The club was one of five teams seriously involved in the Juan Soto sweepstakes but seemingly finished behind both New York teams and the Red Sox in their quest to land him. Since then, they’ve fallen short in pursuits of Max Fried, Corbin Burnes, and Teoscar Hernandez in free agency as well as Cody Bellinger on the trade market.

They’ve remained connected to virtually every major free agent available this winter, and have been linked to everyone from first baseman Pete Alonso to right-handers Jack Flaherty and Nick Pivetta. Outfielder Anthony Santander is the player they’ve been most strongly connected to of all; they’ve reportedly made him a contract offer and are viewed (alongside the Angels) as potential front-runners for his services. Of course, the same was said about Toronto during the sweepstakes for Burnes before the right-hander landed in Arizona. With team president Mark Shapiro entering the final year of his contract and GM Ross Atkins under contract for just one year beyond that, the front office is surely facing plenty of pressure to make the club’s final year of team control over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette count—particularly if the club isn’t able to work out an extension with the former.

The Jays are a team that stands to significantly benefit from an infusion of impact talent in virtually all areas of the roster. Their 101 wRC+ (13th in baseball) last year was middle of the pack, as was their 3.95 rotation ERA (14th). While the club’s disastrous 2024 bullpen (29th in baseball by ERA) seems to be an obvious place to upgrade, the presence of high-quality veterans like Kirby Yates, David Robertson, and Kenley Jansen on the market create plenty of options for the Jays if they goal is to add to their relief corps without committing to a large contract.

One complicating factor is that while the Jays have been connected to a number of upper-level players on the market, it remains unclear whether they have wherewithal to land multiple impact players. Reporting shortly after the Winter Meetings suggested that Toronto may have room for only one major addition in their budget, whether that player ends up being an arm or a bat. If the club truly is only willing or able to add one high-priced player this winter, there are valid arguments for either a rotation piece or a lineup addition.

The argument for adding to the club’s rotation is a fairly simply one: the starting five lost a valuable piece over the summer in Yusei Kikuchi, and he’s yet to he replaced . Right-handers Yariel Rodriguez and Jake Bloss are solid depth options but leave something to be desired as the club’s on-paper fifth starter options. While a weak back-end of the rotation is something a club could stomach with a strong front half, staff ace Kevin Gausman is coming off a pedestrian 2024 season and just celebrated his 34th birthday. Adding a starter like Flaherty to the mix would help to lighten Gausman’s load as he looks to rebound, take pressure off Bowden Francis to repeat a breakout 2024 season that saw him pitch to a 1.53 ERA in nine starts down the stretch, and allow the club to push Rodriguez into more of a depth role.

While the club’s rotation is short on depth, that’s one area where the Toronto offense excels. Interesting young players like Addison Barger, Orelvis Martinez, Leo Jimenez, and Davis Schneider are currently projected for roles on the bench or at Triple-A on Opening Day, and that’s with Daulton Varsho expected to miss the first few weeks of the regular season. Varsho’s eventual return from the injured list should add even more depth, and with so many young hitters it’s not hard to imagine one of them taking a step forward in 2025.

While that group of young hitters (excluding Varsho) generally can’t be expected to produce on the level of a player like Santander or Alex Bregman, there is one player who could: Bichette. The star infielder struggled through a career-worst season in 2024 due to in part to injuries but had been among the steadiest All-Star level bats in baseball for several years prior to last season’s downturn.

It’s clear that the club’s offense needs at least some level of reinforcement. Of the 19 hitters to appear in at least 25 games for the Jays last season, only Guerrero was above average by measure of wRC+ and still remains with the team. While the club’s bevy of young hitters could improve and it’s easy to imagine Bichette or even Alejandro Kirk bouncing back to the more robust offensive performances they’ve offered in the past, Guerrero is the only true source of stability in the lineup.

That creates a strong argument for adding someone who can protect Guerrero, but it’s also fair to note that even a lesser addition who can provide above-average offense (e.g. Jesse Winker) could still help the lineup and leave the door open for a bigger addition to the rotation.

If you were in charge of the Blue Jays and only had room in the budget for one major addition, how would you handle the situation? Would you bolster the lineup and hope that a rebound from Gausman and a full season from Bowden in the rotation is enough to keep make up for the loss of Kikuchi and a lack of depth? Or would you add a starting pitcher and hope for a rebound from Bichette and steps forward from the club’s young hitters? Have your say in the poll below:

What Should The Blue Jays Prioritize?
Prioritize adding an impact hitter to the lineup. 74.96% (2,476 votes)
Prioritize adding an impact starter to the rotation. 25.04% (827 votes)
Total Votes: 3,303
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MLBTR Originals MLBTR Polls Toronto Blue Jays

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White Sox Designate Jacob Amaya For Assignment

By Steve Adams and Darragh McDonald | January 8, 2025 at 3:00pm CDT

The White Sox announced Wednesday that they’ve designated infielder Jacob Amaya for assignment. His spot on the 40-man roster will go to newly signed infielder Josh Rojas, whose previously reported one-year deal has now been formally announced by the club.

Amaya, 26, was just claimed off waivers by the White Sox in August. He got into 23 games for the club after that, slashing .179/.225/.194 in his 71 plate appearances. He exhausted his final option year in 2024, meaning he was going to be challenged to hang onto a roster spot through the season, so he’s been nudged off today. The Sox will now have a week to figure out what’s next with Amaya, whether that’s a trade or putting him on waivers. The waiver process takes 48 hours, so any potential deals would have to take place in the next five days.

Amaya was once a prospect of some note with both the Dodgers and the Marlins, as Baseball America ranked him as a top 30 prospect in one of those organizations in each year from 2019 to 2024. He has been considered a fairly well-rounded player, with solid defense at shortstop and the capability to play second or third base as well.

Offensively, he has generally had good strikeout and walk rates but has struggled to do significant damage at the upper levels. He has stepped to the plate 1,219 times at the Triple-A level over the past three years. His 12.4% walk rate and 21.4% strikeout rate in that time are both a bit better than average but his combined .246/.342/.380 batting line translates to a wRC+ of just 84. That indicates he’s been 16% below league average on the whole.

The profile has been enough to attract interest around the league. He was traded from the Dodgers to the Marlins a few years ago, then bounced to the Astros and White Sox in 2024. Perhaps there’s still some intrigue from clubs but his out-of-options status will make it harder for any team to carry him on the roster during the season. It’s possible some club with an open roster spot will put in a claim and try to pass him through waivers later on, or maybe the White Sox will be the club to pass him through and keep him as non-roster depth.

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Chicago White Sox Transactions Jacob Amaya

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Mariners Claim Hagen Danner

By Darragh McDonald | January 8, 2025 at 2:40pm CDT

The Mariners announced that they have claimed right-hander Hagen Danner off waivers from the Blue Jays. The latter club had designated him for assignment last month. DFA limbo normally only lasts a week but that clock is paused during the holidays. Seattle’s 40-man roster count is now 39.

Danner, 26, has a fairly limited track record as a pitcher. That’s due to his unusual trajectory, as well as some injuries. He was drafted by the Jays as a catcher in 2017 but struggled at the plate and moved to the mound in recent years. His first professional season as a pitcher was 2021, a year in which he tossed 35 2/3 innings at the High-A level, allowing 2.02 earned runs per nine. He struck out 29.4% of batters faced while limiting walks to an 8.4% clip.

Although he had only been on the mound for that one season as a minor leaguer, he was already Rule 5 eligible on account of the years he spent behind the plate. But the Jays didn’t want him to get away at that time and gave him a spot on the 40-man.

He spent most of 2022 on the injured list, only making four Double-A appearances. He was healthy again in 2023, tossing 39 1/3 innings across multiple levels, with a 3.66 ERA, 35.7% strikeout rate and 7% walk rate. He also made his major league debut, although he only tossed a third of an inning before an oblique strain sent him to the IL for about six weeks to finish the year. In 2024, he spent another two months on the minor league injured list but managed to toss 35 1/3 innings on the year with a 3.06 ERA, 24.2% strikeout rate and 8.7% walk rate.

Perhaps that big drop in his strikeout rate prompted the Jays to move on, though the Mariners are intrigued enough to give him a shot. Danner is still a fairly unknown quantity at this point, with barely 100 professional innings under his belt, but he still has an option year left. Seattle can get a close-up look at him and see how things play out. He can serve as optionable depth for one more year and, if things break right, be cheaply retained into the future since he has just a handful of service days.

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Seattle Mariners Toronto Blue Jays Transactions Hagen Danner

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White Sox Sign Josh Rojas

By Nick Deeds | January 8, 2025 at 2:20pm CDT

January 8: The White Sox officially announced the deal today, and that Rojas will make $3.5MM this year.

January 2: The White Sox are in agreement with infielder Josh Rojas on a one-year deal, according to a report from Scott Merkin of MLB.com. The financial terms of the deal are not yet known.

Rojas, 31 in June, was non-tendered by the Mariners back in November. It was an outcome few would have expected early in the 2024 season. Rojas had been a key piece of the trade that sent closer Paul Sewald to Arizona at the 2023 trade deadline and had hit a respectable .272/.321/.400 (105 wRC+) down the stretch with the Mariners. He followed that up with a torrid start to the 2024 campaign as well, hitting .318/.408/.530 (175 wRC+) through the end of April. Unfortunately for Rojas, the wheels came off completely from there. The rest of the way, Rojas hit a paltry .208/.285/.301 (75 wRC+), including a brutal .184/.265/.272 (62 wRC+) slash line over the season’s final two months while the Mariners slipped out of the playoff picture.

That tough offensive season was enough for the Mariners to decide against tendering him a contract for the 2025 season MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz projected would’ve earned Rojas $4.3MM. Even so, a weak free agent market for infielders made Rojas immediately one of the more intriguing lower-level free agent options available on this winter’s market. While Rojas has generally been an average to slightly below-average hitter in the majors since becoming a full-time player in Arizona back in 2021, he’s an versatile fielder who has posted excellent defensive numbers in each of the past two seasons. Since the start of the 2023 campaign, Rojas has +8 Outs Above Average at second base and +6 OAA at third base. Defensive Runs Saved is slightly less bullish on Rojas but still rates him as an above average fielder overall, with +2 DRS at second and +5 at third over the last two years. Rojas also has experience at shortstop and in the outfield corners at the big league level, though without the same impressive metrics backing his performance up.

That positional versatility, plus defense, and history as a league-average hitter was enough to make Rojas a sought after role player for a handful of teams this winter, including the Cubs. While the north side’s reportedly “serious” interest in Rojas likely involved him taking a part-time role backing up Nico Hoerner and top prospect Matt Shaw at second and third base, he should have a clearer path to regular reps on the south side of town. The club currently projects to utilize some combination of Miguel Vargas, Lenyn Sosa, Jacob Amaya, and Brooks Baldwin between shortstop, second base, and third base in 2025. While Vargas seems ticketed for everyday starts as a recent top-100 prospect who was the centerpiece of the return Chicago received for Michael Kopech, Tommy Pham, and Erick Fedde last summer, Rojas should be able to capture regular reps at whichever of second or third base Vargas doesn’t end up playing.

That should be particularly true against right-handed pitching, as Rojas sports a significant platoon split and hit just .133/.224/.133 against southpaws last year. It’s possible the White Sox will afford him the opportunity to prove he can hit lefties while in the thick of a rebuild, though perhaps they’ll simply platoon him with a right-handed infielder like Sosa in order to maximize his numbers ahead of what’s sure to be another fire sale at the trade deadline this year. For the White Sox, the addition of Rojas provides some stability to an infield mix that was in desperate need of attention this winter and a potential midseason trade chip. Meanwhile, Rojas will have the opportunity to be a regular with the club and could play his way into a role with a contender down the stretch.

With Rojas off the market, a handful of interesting infielders remain available in free agency for teams in need of help on the dirt. Whit Merrifield, Donovan Solano, and Cavan Biggio are among the players available who could provide versatility in a part-time or bench role, while Jorge Polanco, Paul DeJong, and Jose Iglesias are among a handful of potential regulars available in the lower tiers of free agency. One other wild card on the infield market is Hyeseong Kim, who was posted by the KBO’s Kiwoom Heroes last month and is available for MLB clubs to sign until tomorrow afternoon.

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Chicago White Sox Newsstand Transactions Josh Rojas

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Braxton Garrett To Miss 2025 Season Due To UCL Surgery

By Darragh McDonald | January 8, 2025 at 2:10pm CDT

Marlins left-hander Braxton Garrett will undergo a revision surgery on the ulnar collateral ligament in his left elbow with an internal brace, reports Craig Mish of the Miami Herald. The southpaw will miss the entire 2025 season. Mish adds that the Fish are looking at free agency as a way to replace Garrett in their rotation.

It’s another unfortunate development in the health department, both for Garrett and the Marlins. The lefty had Tommy John surgery as a minor leaguer in the summer of 2017, which led to him missing the back half of that season and all of 2018.

After recovering from that surgery, he got back on track and made it to the major leagues, serving as an up-and-down guy for the 2020 to 2022 seasons. In 2023, he seemed to establish himself as a viable big league rotation member. He tossed 159 2/3 innings for Miami that year, allowing 3.66 earned runs per nine. His 23.7% strikeout rate was around league average but he had a solid 49.7% ground ball rate and excellent 4.4% walk rate.

But 2024 was a challenge for him, as he made multiple trips to the injured list and only made seven starts. A left shoulder impingement put him on the shelf to start the year. He was back by the middle of May and made his seven appearances over the next few weeks, but then was back on the IL due to a left forearm flexor strain. He was rehabbing in September and seemed ready to come off the IL but suffered a setback when he “felt something” in the back of his elbow. He was diagnosed with an elbow impingement in October and seemed set for a mostly healthy offseason, but that prognosis has apparently changed.

It’s unfortunate for Garrett on a couple of fronts. He’s 27 years old, turning 28 in August of this year, so he’s now set to miss a full season of what could have been his prime. It will hurt him financially as well. He just qualified for arbitration for the first time as a Super Two player, meaning he’ll get four passes instead of the normal three. MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz projects him for a $1.8MM salary next year. After missing all of 2025, he’ll likely be slated for the same salary when he hopefully returns to the mound in 2026. Even if he comes back healthy and effective, he’ll be nudging up his salary from a lower foundation than if he had stayed healthy.

For the Marlins, their rotation picture has frequently changed in recent years. The Fish managed to sneak into the playoffs in 2023, partially thanks to a starting staff consisting of Garrett, Sandy Alcántara, Jesús Luzardo, Eury Pérez and Edward Cabrera. But all of those guys were either hurt or ineffective in 2024, causing the club’s competitive chances to fall apart.

There was a chance of having that whole gang back together in 2025 but Luzardo was recently traded to the Phillies and now Garrett is going to be on ice. Miami isn’t planning to compete in 2025 anyhow, based on their lack of offseason additions as well as their trades of Luzardo and Jake Burger, but it’s still less than ideal for Garrett to go down like this. Given his age and years of club control, he was in line to be part of the club’s next competitive window. That could still be the case but the path ahead is a bit foggier now.

Going into 2025, they could still have a rotation core of Alcántara and Cabrera. They could welcome back Pérez midseason, as he underwent Tommy John surgery in April of last year. Ryan Weathers, Max Meyer, Valente Bellozo and Adam Mazur are candidates to take the ball as well. Prospect Robby Snelling isn’t yet on the 40-man but could push his way into the mix.

Given the club’s lack of offseason activity, both in the previous offseason and the current one, it wouldn’t be a surprise if they just rolled with that group and let the chips fall where they may, but it seems as though they will look to add a veteran via free agency. That is perhaps related to recent reporting that they may need to get their competitive balance tax number up to $105MM in order to avoid a grievance from the MLB Players Association related to the usage of their revenue-sharing funds. RosterResource currently pegs their CBT number at $83MM, so it seems they will have to find ways to bridge that gap.

Acquiring a player making decent money from another club would be one way to do that, but free agency is obviously another. The starting pitching market has been hot but guys like Jack Flaherty, Nick Pivetta Andrew Heaney are still out there. It would be a surprise if the Marlins went after those guys, who are surely looking for notable multi-year deals, but the market also has guys that will likely be limited to one-year deals such as Kyle Gibson, Patrick Corbin, Chris Flexen, Lance Lynn, Ross Stripling, Jose Quintana, Jakob Junis, Colin Rea, Spencer Turnbull and more.

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Miami Marlins Newsstand Braxton Garrett

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