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The MLB Offseason Begins

By Steve Adams | November 2, 2015 at 9:09am CDT

Congratulations to the Kansas City Royals, who rode what has become a signature late-inning comeback in last night’s Game 5 at Citi Field to the end of a 30-year World Series drought. The Royals were masterful in late innings, as ESPN’s Buster Olney points out (Twitter link), scoring 40 runs in the eighth inning or later this postseason (no other team scored more than five). While many — myself included — were skeptical of Kansas City’s ability to make another World Series run, the Royals silenced critics and can bask in their victory all winter. That will be easier said than done for the team’s players than their front office, however, as like every other baseball operations department, Kansas City GM Dayton Moore and his staff now must turn their focus to the offseason.

Here’s a schedule of the most important dates facing front offices this winter…

  • Nov. 2: First day of an exclusive five-day negotiation window which all teams have with their free-agent-eligible players.
  • Nov. 6: Final day for teams to extend qualifying offers to free agents. Qualifying offers must be submitted by 5pm ET.
  • Nov. 7: Players become eligible to sign with any team.
  • Nov. 13: Deadline for players to accept or reject qualifying offers. Players must formally make their decision by 5pm ET.
  • Nov. 9-12: GM Meetings are held in Florida. While not as active as December’s Winter Meetings, the groundwork for many trades and free-agent signings will take place here, and a few moves figure to be completed.
  • Dec. 2: Deadline for teams to decide whether or not to tender contracts to their arbitration-eligible players. The free agent market should expand to some degree on this day, albeit with relatively minor names.
  • Dec. 7-10: Winter Meetings in Nashville. These four days are among the most chaotic of the year for those who follow trades and free agency — often even more so than the days leading up to the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline. MLBTR will be providing 24-hour, around-the-clock coverage while the Winter Meetings are in effect. It should be noted that the Rule 5 Draft will be held on the final day of the Winter Meetings.

Of course, we’ve already begun our best effort to prepare for the offseason here at MLBTR. Our list of 2015-16 free agents has been up since last September and is up to date (though please let us know via the contact form if there are any omissions). MLBTR’s Free Agent Tracker launched in late October and will be updated throughout the winter as agreements are reached. Those wanting to get a head start on plotting out potential courses of action for their favorite teams will want to keep our Arbitration Projections (courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz) in mind and check out our 2015-16 Offseason Outlook series as well. We’ve also been breaking down the top names available and will continue to do so in our Free Agent Profile series.

A more comprehensive look at the top free agents will be available on Friday evening, after qualifying offer decisions have been made. At that point, we’ll launch our annual Top 50 free agent list and Free Agent Prediction contest. This year’s list will come fully equipped with not only team predictions for each player on the list but also contract predictions as well for the entire Top 50 as well.

This winter features one of the deepest classes of free agents in recent memory, which should make for a highly interesting offseason. We’re looking forward to the action and will cover it to the fullest extent. Happy offseason!

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33 Comments

  1. Philliesfan4life

    10 years ago

    Angels – need to break the bank and go over the luxury tax. It would be worth it
    Cubs – I see them as the favorite to sign david price, but won’t be shocked if they make a package to trade for an ace or a shut down relief pitcher.
    Giants – another even year, do they make another run? Will be shocked if they snagged greinke away from the dodgers.
    Royals – I don’t see them re-signing gordon, they will look to buy low on a cheap option to replace him.

    Reply
    • willfromsaratoga12866

      10 years ago

      Angels fan,

      Gordon has a player option, so he has until 11/6/15 17:00 EDT to decide if hes staying in KC one more year for $12.5M, if he opts out then whoever signs him will have to forefit a compensatory draft pick. (Ask Stephen Drew and his pig headed agent how that worked out for them).

      Boras knew the rules declined a $10M qualifying offer, then Drew couldnt play the next season because nobody wanted to forefit a draft pick just to pay $10M for a player hitting .190 in the postseason and THEN complained about his client being caught in purgatory. Thats why there is the risk added so agents cant always just get greedy and ask for more money even for a player that didnt earn it.

      Reply
      • myaccount

        10 years ago

        Gordon will decline that option because he can probably get ~$100M more on the open market. Comparing him to Drew is pointless.

        Reply
  2. est1890

    10 years ago

    November 20: Date reserve lists must be set (adding players to 40-man roster for purposes of Rule 5 draft).
    December 10: Rule 5 draft, the last day of the winter meetings in Nashville
    Jan. 12 — Salary arbitration filing.
    Jan. 15 — Salary arbitration figures exchanged.
    Feb. 1-21 — Salary arbitration hearings.

    Reply
  3. 3Men&ABibee

    10 years ago

    Come on tribe. Time to add to the offense… 🙂

    Reply
  4. Meow Meow

    10 years ago

    In which I anxiously wait to see if the Sox make smart moves or desperate moves

    Reply
    • highfivecity

      10 years ago

      I sure hope they don’t go for a Price or Cueto; there are options on the trade market, and they need the money to restore the bullpen.

      Reply
  5. slasher016

    10 years ago

    I really hope this year’s contest doesn’t require a facebook account…

    Reply
    • Mike 97

      10 years ago

      Get into the modern days man.

      Reply
      • Cam

        10 years ago

        Targeted advertising? Facebook sharing personal information with third-party businesses for profit? Screw the modern days.

        Reply
    • sallier 2

      10 years ago

      You would think it should only require being registered here.

      Reply
    • Jeff Todd

      10 years ago

      I have no idea what Tim has planned this year, but as he noted in various comment sections last year, the reason for it is really logistical. There aren’t any nefarious motives.

      That said, I will also issue my annual statement of oneness with those who don’t use facebook. I only registered and only use it to do the contest, and I probably wouldn’t have done that were it not part of my job.

      Reply
  6. mrnatewalter

    10 years ago

    Is there a deadline on exercising player options, or can that be done anytime?

    Reply
    • Jeff Todd

      10 years ago

      5 days after WS ends.

      Reply
  7. bobbleheadguru

    10 years ago

    What I wish Tigers would do:
    1. Trade JD Martinez for two young/cheap/high upside pitchers that are ready for the MLB (Like Norris and Fulmer). Stockpile like the Mets.
    2. Sign Heyward.

    Cheaper solution (AAV wise) with more production than simply signing JD to a long term contract and signing two mediocre, older Starting Pitchers.

    Reply
  8. moe 3

    10 years ago

    Here’s hoping the Cards sign Heyward

    Reply
    • Philliesfan4life

      10 years ago

      I don’t think they re-sign him

      Reply
      • Lance

        10 years ago

        I don’t see it, either. He came back and had a nice season but he’s not a star and if the Birds didn’t tally up to sign one of their top five hitters in STL history, I don’t see it happening this time around either unless Heyward loves Busch so much he’s willing to take less.

        Reply
        • Philliesfan4life

          10 years ago

          The angels could use his bat and his defense, An outfield of Trout-Calhoun-Heyward would be pretty good

          Reply
          • Halo27

            10 years ago

            Would rather see Gordon with the Halos. Less money and years. Good defense and really grinds out at bats.

            Reply
            • Philliesfan4life

              10 years ago

              thats if Arte decides to break the bank and go over the 189 lux tax. They need an ace as well, I do like the rumor of them going after longoria

              Reply
        • stl_cards16 2

          10 years ago

          Not saying the Cardinals will re-sign Heyward, but it’s pretty different circumstances.

          First off, Pujols was 5 years older when he hut free-agency and starting to decline. Heyward still has a few prime years left.

          Also, with the TV contract extension, Ballpark Village bringing in big money, the “new” ballpark paid off, and 5 straight years of deep (besides this year) playoff runs. The Cardinals are in great position financially to raise payroll substantially.

          All that said, Mozeliak isn’t the kind to just go spend for the sake of spending. The Cardinals will be big players for Heyward, but it will have to be on a contract the team is comfortable with.

          Reply
        • David M.

          10 years ago

          “not a star”- No…not a star at all…not with that being in the top 10 position players in all the game in Wins Above Replacement Player and having elite defense…All at 26 years old..He is the free agent I am most excited for–here’s hoping he is a Cubs next season.

          Reply
          • myaccount

            10 years ago

            All that may be true, but WAR is not a tell-all. He is not one of the ten best position players in the game.

            Reply
  9. BlueSkyLA

    10 years ago

    Congrats to the Royals and their fans. This team really showed how the game should be played.

    Reply
  10. Mike 97

    10 years ago

    Hope the Rangers can do something.

    Reply
  11. disgruntledreader 2

    10 years ago

    Am I right that this Friday (5 days after the completion of the World Series) is also the deadline for exercising options?

    Reply
  12. willfromsaratoga12866

    10 years ago

    Red Sox need to move fatso or Hanley or BOTH. Would Mets have any interest in Hanley as a RHB option at 1B and give Wright (whos too fragile to play everyday) supplement at 3B for say Addison Reed or John Niese ?

    Reply
  13. commercecomet7

    10 years ago

    Mariners start year 38 without a sniff of the World Series. 20th manager on board. Need a new bullpen , catcher and three outfielders.

    Reply
  14. commercecomet7

    10 years ago

    Three athletic outfielders no Trumbos

    Reply
  15. chicubbies1

    10 years ago

    I did the math.

    Cubs get Zimmermann at $24 mil/season over 6 years….. roughly what Lester got last year.

    Then they sign Heyward to a 10 year 190-200 mil deal with an opt out after 4-5 years.

    Then trade castro, vogelbach, and Almora to the white sox for jose quintana and a minor league prospect.

    Then if they can, sign 35 year old Zobrist to a 2 year 20 mil deal or 3 year 27 mil deal.

    Team would then be
    C Montero/Ross
    1B Rizzo
    2B Baez/Zobrist
    3B Bryant
    SS Russell/La Stella
    LF Schwarber/Coghlan
    CF Heyward
    RF Soler/Szczur

    SP Arrieta
    SP Lester
    SP Zimmermann
    SP Quintana
    SP Hendricks/Hammel/Wood

    CL Rondon
    SU1 Strop
    SU2 Neil Ramirez
    RP Grimm
    RP CJ Edwards
    RP Hendricks/Hammel/Wood
    RP Hendricks/Hammel/Wood

    That’s a solid offense, top tier rotation, and a solid bullpen. If they do this and their arb. eligible players get what is projected this is a $150ish mil payroll team. About 30 mil more than the 2015 team. Which is about the bump i see them moving up.

    Reply
    • David M.

      10 years ago

      Cubs trade Soler to Indians along with other pieces for Chisenall and Carrasco or Salazar-
      Cubs Trade Castro to Padres for T Ross (again, more pieces involved both sides)
      Cubs Sign Heyward to 7 year $155 million dollar deal

      1. Heyward CF
      2. Russell SS
      3. Rizzo 1B
      4. Bryant RF
      5. Schwarber LF
      6. Baez 3B
      7. Montero C
      8. Pitcher
      9. LaStella 2B

      Rotation:

      Arrieta
      Lester
      Carrasco/Salazar
      Ross
      Hendricks or Hammel(depending on if Hendricks is included in any trade)

      Bullpen Moves=internal
      Resign Cahill
      Tender Clayton Richard
      CJ Edwards with bullpen for entire season

      Neil Ramirez, Justin Grimm, Pedro Strop, Trevor Cahill, Clayton Richard, CJ Edwards, Hector Rondon, (maybe) Travis Wood)

      Will definitely have a few smaller moves in there, perhaps in the bullpen or depth on the bench…but these moves make the most sense…improves the team defensively, improves the teams contact rate and OBP, improves the teams balance offensively, etc…in 1.5-2 season when Almora is ready to come up and Montero is gone Heyward slides over to RF and Schwarber is either a catcher or we move Bryant back over to 3rd, keeping Schwarber in LF and having Contreras at C….all of these moves ensures the Cubs will be able to extend their “core-4” which, by all accouts, is K Bryant, Russell, Schwarber, and Rizzo….

      Reply
      • SixFlagsMagicPadres

        10 years ago

        I don’t know if the Padres would want Castro. Unless, like you said, more pieces are involved.

        Reply

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