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The Remaining Market For Outfielders

By Jeff Todd | January 19, 2016 at 10:54am CDT

We looked yesterday to see what was left on the open market in terms of starting pitching, and today we’ll turn our attention to the outfield grass. The pool of outfielders just lost a top player in Justin Upton, but it’s still flush with talent. And as the Upton signing shows, where there’s ability, there’s often money to chase it.

Clubs looking for upgrades, complements, or depth can draw from a group of free agents that still includes the following names:

Best Available

  • Yoenis Cespedes — There’s not much left to say at this point. With Upton and Chris Davis off the market, Cespedes is the only remaining free agent who warranted a nine-figure prediction entering the winter.
  • Dexter Fowler — Something of a forgotten man, it remains to be seen how much the qualifying offer will tell on Fowler’s ultimate earning level. He remains a steady, high-quality option who still has plenty of reasonable landing spots.

Bounceback Candidates

  • Austin Jackson — We haven’t heard much chatter on AJax, but he’s an interesting buy-low option — particularly since he can play center field.
  • Steve Pearce — Despite a relatively tough 2015, Pearce’s huge 2014 and his relatively flexible glove make him an intriguing player.

Platoon/Bench Options (Age 31 or Below)

  • Domonic Brown — The former top prospect will be looking for opportunity, first and foremost; a non-contender could take a shot on his upside. It doesn’t hurt that he has another year of arb control remaining.
  • Matt Joyce — Last year was a disaster, but he was a steady offensive producer for years before.
  • David Lough — With an excellent glove, a return to his near-average offensive lines of 2013-14 would make Lough a nice reserve outfielder.
  • Travis Snider — He’s still quite young, and has had his moments, but will probably be forced to earn his next chance after a down 2015.
  • Drew Stubbs — Having a center-field-capable glove goes a long way, but Stubbs has never consistently produced at the plate.
  • Delmon Young — Having a league-average-or-better bat goes a long way, but Young doesn’t play the field well and didn’t hit last year for Baltimore.

Platoon/Bench Options (Age 32+)

  • Marlon Byrd — He still has pop in the bat at 38 years of age and should draw plenty of interest, whether as a second-division semi-regular or a useful bench bat for a contender.
  • David DeJesus — While he ended last year with little playing time and even less production for the Angels, DeJesus still looked like a capable-enough reserve outfielder for most of the year with the Rays.
  • Chris Denorfia — He’s now two years removed from above-average offensive production, but teams will still have interest.
  • Jeff Francoeur — After a solid late-year run, Francoeur could land his first guaranteed deal in some time.
  • Jonny Gomes — The overall line wasn’t great, but Gomes still had above-average numbers against lefties last year.
  • David Murphy — The Halos preferred Murphy to DeJesus down the stretch last year, but he hasn’t exactly set the world afire in recent campaigns.
  • Ryan Raburn — Just … read this.
  • Alex Rios — The Royals gave him pretty significant money last year, but he ended with -1.1 rWAR and will need to bounce back in 2016.
  • Skip Schumaker — He’s more a utilityman than a pure outfield option given the light bat.
  • Grady Sizemore — There’s no longer hope for a return to stardom, but Sizemore quietly had a solid run late with Tampa Bay.
  • Will Venable — As a left-handed bat that can still play center, he’ll have plenty of appeal.
  • Shane Victorino — Could a return to health — and switch-hitting — spur a late-career renaissance?
  • Rickie Weeks — Things didn’t go well last year after a bounceback 2014, so he’ll be searching for another shot in ’16.

International

  • Alexei Bell — The veteran is not yet a free agent, but will surely be hoping for a chance to play at the major league level in the near term.
  • Guillermo Heredia — At 24 years of age, he could be near major league readiness, though he isn’t the most highly-regarded prospect from Cuba.
  • Randy Arozarena — He’s still just twenty, but is an intriguing name to watch.
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40 Comments

  1. seamaholic 2

    9 years ago

    Many of these guys are going to end up with a minor league deal. If you add in the trade candidates (who, if they were free agents, would slot in right around Fowler in that list), there are just way too many outfielders for available major league slots.

    Reply
    • Aaron Sapoznik

      9 years ago

      Yes.

      Btw-There are some potential outfield trade candidates that would slot closer to Yoenis Cespedes and not Dexter Fowler. They might include Carlos Gonzales, Ryan Braun and Yasiel Puig. There are other younger options who might be just as attractive with their potential upside and cheaper long team control such as Jorge Soler and Charlie Blackmon.

      Reply
  2. Lefty_Orioles_Fan

    9 years ago

    I wouldn’t mind if the O’s gave Dom Brown or Frenchy a chance for RF
    I mean neither of those two could do any worse than what the O’s currently have right now.

    Reply
    • Aaron Sapoznik

      9 years ago

      Brown would be a candidate for LF, not RF.

      Reply
      • Lefty_Orioles_Fan

        9 years ago

        Well, Sox he played all his 50 games in the OF last year in Right
        In addition, he has played about a 1./3rd of his games in RF in his Pro Career.
        So, I am thinking he could do it.

        He’s played more than Cespedes and some O’s types thought Cespedes could play RF for us. As for me I am thinking not., but Brown could.

        Reply
    • Philsmania

      9 years ago

      From watching Brown the last five years in Philadelphia, he was better in right than he was in left. Even there, however, he took a lot of bad routes on the ball. And, I’m not convinced he’s a platoon player.

      Reply
  3. Niekro

    9 years ago

    Was Guillermo Heredia the one whose defense was being compared to Jackie Bradley Jr?

    Reply
  4. wgomez1989

    9 years ago

    Too many Outfielders available and little space for them.

    Cespedes i see him on the Orioles, Cardinals or Indians.

    Reply
    • talkingfox21

      9 years ago

      I can’t see Cespedes to BAL. They need a SP and have already committed big money to lineup additions (Davis

      Reply
    • dtwb93

      9 years ago

      Cargo or Braun will be a Cardinal before Cespedes.

      Reply
      • hallzilla 2

        9 years ago

        It’s doubtful any of CarGO, (asking too much in prospects) Braun (making too much money, $20 mil per) or Cespedes (too risky,why’s he been on 4 teams in 2 years?) will ever be on the Cardinals. The GM has stated over and over that they are going with what they have. I realize that may be posturing so that other teams don’t feel like they have the Cards over a barrel, but I believe it’s true.

        Reply
    • Aaron Sapoznik

      9 years ago

      Don’t sleep on the White Sox. They seem to have the most favorable intangibles to offer of the remaining clubs who might still be pursuing him. It’s all on owner Jerry Reinsdorf and his willingness to open up his wallet for Cespedes.

      Many White Sox fans seemed ready to jump off a cliff following the news of Justin Upton’s signing with the rival Tigers. Before they contemplate such a move they might want to ask themselves two questions:

      1-Why did the Tigers, who had only been associated with Yoenis Cespedes in speculative reports, suddenly take comparable dollars to sign Upton, a player who had draft pick compensation attached to him and weaker defensive metrics? All signs had pointed towards a re-uniting with Cespedes after his positive showing in Detroit before his summer deadline trade to the Mets.

      2-Who are the primary suitors left still likely to sign Cespedes based on need, team finances, roster implications and status as contenders and what team might Cespedes actually prefer to play for with money being relatively equal, including league preference, personal comfort level and a favorable ‘hitter-friendly home park? Narrowing down the choices, the White Sox seem to be as sensible a fit as any of the remaining clubs being speculated.

      Reply
      • stymeedone

        9 years ago

        The Tigers, who had already had Cespedes on their team, didn’t think he was worth the asking price, because what he wants (160 MM), and what Upton accepted are quite different. Upton can do something Cespedes can’t-he can take ball four.
        The fun thing about the White Sox is how reactionary they have been to the Tigers moves. It will be interesting to see how Hahn responds to this.

        Reply
  5. Bransonreynolds

    9 years ago

    I wonder if Dexter Fowler is refusing to play LF for anyone? I know his CF D hasn’t been remarkable lately. High OBP leadoff Switch Hitter who can steal 20 a year. double digit HR’s……I mean how is he still on the market!? What a crazy offseason for OF’s.

    Reply
    • Jorge Soler Powered

      9 years ago

      People don’t want to give up a pick to sign him.

      Reply
    • kbarr888

      9 years ago

      Probably waiting for his price to drop under 3/40…….he’s good, not great.

      Reply
    • Bransonreynolds

      9 years ago

      The Indians would be dumb not to sign him. Brantley’s out. the only quality player in LF/CF is rajai davis. Let Fowler play and then when brantley’s back move davis to 4th OF. Fowler, Kipnis, and Lindor would create so many RBI oppertunities for napoli, santana, and gomes. They have the pitching staff for cheap, they need to go for it.

      Reply
  6. speculator

    9 years ago

    4 of the 2015 Angels LFs are still on the table. Talk about Death Valley. Of the 4 Murphy, a lefty, had a .280 BA with 2 game winning hits. They are nuts for not resigning him.

    Reply
    • Philliesfan4life

      9 years ago

      I guess his option was not worth picking up, Murphy was a solid hitter but I guess he would of put them over the luxury tax. I really hope Arte changes his mind and he signs cespedes.

      Reply
    • Thurman8er

      9 years ago

      Murphy would have put the Angels over the Luxury Tax. If they were going to do that, they would have signed a bigger name. It should also be noted that Murphy didn’t blow anybody away during his time in Anaheim. He hit a fairly soft .260 there, a number which the current platoon of Gentry/Nava can probably match.

      Reply
      • Philliesfan4life

        9 years ago

        He was a solid left handed bat, better then joyce and cowgill. I just hope Arte decides to open his wallet and spend on cespedes. Maybe trading for one of the rockies outfielders.

        Reply
        • Thurman8er

          9 years ago

          “Better than Joyce and Cowgill” is the ultimate example of damning with faint praise. I truly hope the Angels don’t sign Cespedes. Offense aside, I don’t like his track record of being traded from team to team. (Nor do I like the way he underhands the ball in from the OF, but that’s just me.)

          With the signing of Albuquerque, I don’t know who could still fit under the Luxury Tax, but I wouldn’t mind seeing them take a chance on a few of those names if they can get them on the cheap.

          Reply
        • Philliesfan4life

          9 years ago

          I just got a notifaction that they are not going after Cespedes, they want to stay under the luxury tax. How about a cheap option like Austin Jackson

          Reply
        • SoCalShu

          9 years ago

          I was thinking Jackson also but even he would cause them to exceed the cap.

          Reply
        • Philliesfan4life

          9 years ago

          He can take a cheap deal, like maybe a two year deal round 12 mill , 6 mill per year. Unless he wants more

          Reply
        • ryanw-2

          9 years ago

          They don’t need Cespedes, they need a table setter. Trout and Pujols led the majors in solo HR’s because no one was on base for them. Unless they were to put Calhoun back at leadoff, that trend will continue if they sign a Cespedes.

          Reply
        • Philliesfan4life

          9 years ago

          I think right now they just made it clear they are not getting cespedes, even though of all the teams he makes the most sense for the angels, Arte made this mess by signing hamilton

          Reply
        • Thurman8er

          9 years ago

          I think the Angels only have 3-4 million to give without exceeding the LT.

          Reply
        • Philliesfan4life

          9 years ago

          I know he’s not an outfielder but how about Pedro Alvarez? He won’t cost a lot of money give him a 1 or 2 year deal, let him build his value again.

          Reply
        • kbarr888

          9 years ago

          Pedro will cost more than 3-4 million. ….his arbitration estimate was like 8.4. He might play for 5-6, but that won’t help you guys out. French would work, I think

          Reply
        • Philliesfan4life

          9 years ago

          I was going to say Byrd but I doubt he comes back he could retire. Or Justin Morneau

          Reply
        • ammiel

          9 years ago

          I think the Nava option they have is being underrated by many, he hit .275 for boston over the 2012-14 period…

          Reply
    • ryanw-2

      9 years ago

      Murphy is not worth $7 million and is not the player you go over the luxury tax for.

      Reply
  7. Toolsy McUpside

    9 years ago

    I promise you that Rickie Weeks will sign as an outfielder in fantasy leagues only.

    Reply
  8. redsfan48

    9 years ago

    Not sure if he officially announced or not, but I heard Skip Schumaker was planning on retiring.

    Reply
  9. staypuft

    9 years ago

    Wonder if the mets take a look at Raburn. If they’re facing a lefty and want to give one of Granderson, Conforto, Duda a day off…

    Reply
    • budman3 2

      9 years ago

      Steve Pearce makes more sense.

      Reply
  10. Bobby A 2

    9 years ago

    Drew Stubbs consistently hits lefties and would be a good fit for the Mets or, Mariners

    Reply
  11. attgig

    9 years ago

    from bounceback candidates and platoon/bench options, it’s crazy how many OF’ers the O’s tried to plug in to work…… Pearce, Lough, Snider, Young…. Now that they signed crush, i guess they’ll try Jackson, brown, joyce, and stubbs…and hope that the rest of them work out somehow….

    (*shakes head*….should’ve signed Cespedes).

    Reply
  12. superflyny

    9 years ago

    Cespedes or not, the white sox are not contending. Todd Frazier and Brett lawrie maybe make them a 500 team. Unless cespedes becomes a 12 win player the kind of money he’s asking for does not make sense for the white sox. Personally I think the money would be better spent on a one year deal for Dexter fowler.

    Reply

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