MLBTR is rebooting itsĀ “make or break year” series, in which we analyze players who enter the season with up-and-down track records but also an opportunity to stake a claim to significant future earnings.Ā
This time last year, Mets catcher Travis d’Arnaud was looking to build off of a 2015 season in which he established himself as an offensive force, but also continued to deal with a troubling run of injuries. Now, he’s not only still facing the critique that he can’t stay healthy, but also needs to restore his trajectory as a high-quality option behind the dish.
Injuries remain the major question mark. Over his professional career, d’Arnaud has suffered a series of concussions that are all the moreĀ concerning given his position of choice. And that’s not all. The hard-workingĀ backstop’s health read-out sounds like a game of Operation, as he has racked up problems high, low, and in-between. Hand and elbow, foot and knee, and back injuries were all on the list even before the 2016 season.
There’s no denying the trouble that d’Arnaud had last year, both before and after a rotator cuff strain sent him to the DL and further clogged his medical rap sheet. He ended the year with a .247/.307/.323 batting line and just four home runs over 276 plate appearances.Ā While his 6.9% walk rate and 18.1% strikeout rate aren’t out of line with career norms, the anemic .076 isolated slugging mark represents a big step back.
The defensive side of the equation brings yet more questions.Ā While he continued to rate well in the pitch-framing department, d’Arnaud cut down just 17 of the 61 baserunners who attempted to steal against him — though certainly the Mets’ staff deserves a hefty share of the blame there. Despite d’Arnaud’s stalling bat, which he hopes to fix with improved swing mechanics, Mets manager Terry Collins says that “the defensive side” is “where we’ve got to really focus.” As John Harper of the New York Daily News recently reported, the young backstop’s pitch calling may have compromised his standing with the Mets’ talented pitching staff.
Given those struggles, there’s a lot for d’Arnaud to prove to an organization that has designs on contending in 2017. That’s not to say that the club doesn’t have confidence in a rebound, as it did decide to pass on potential upgrades behind the dish this winter. Light-hitting veteran Rene RiveraĀ isn’t really suited for more than reserve duty, while Kevin Plawecki has yet to translate his offensive success in the upper minors to the game’s highest level. As Harper writes, the organization could change tack and seek an alternative — as soon as this year’s trade deadline — if d’Arnaud fails to recover his standing.
All that said, there are reasons toĀ hope that the former first-round draft pick can make good on his obvious talent. After a solid 2014 season, d’Arnaud turned in a big (albeit injury-shortened) 2015 campaign at 26 years of age. In his 268 plate appearances that year, d’Arnaud slashed a robust .268/.340/.485 and swatted a dozen long balls, leading some to expect he’d soon establish himself as one of the game’s premier offensive threats from behind the plate. Defensively, the metrics love d’Arnaud’s pitch presentation, which many organizations have adopted as a critical element in assessing catching value. And he only just turned 28 years of age, so it’s not as if there aren’t prime seasons remaining.
While he’s still young,Ā d’Arnaud’s future direction will be determined on the field this year — so long as he can stay in uniform and avoid yet more trips to the DL. His limited playing time has also tamped down his earnings, so he’s only set to take home $1.875MM in his first season of arbitration eligibility; cost pressures, then, won’t likely play much of a role. But as the Mets plot a course for the three further years over which they control d’Arnaud, which coincide with the team’s contract rights over several other core players, they’ll no doubt be assessing carefully the extent to which d’Arnaud is capable of providing the offensive production and defensive workĀ that the organization needs at the catching position.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
TheGreatTwigog
Love this series
mets1987
As a mets fan i really hope he is gone after this yr hopefully at the deadline as a throw in piece in a package with something else as part of a big deal for a big name
livinlarge
As a Mets fan I would think you would like to see him succeed. Especially since he is affordable and there are no immediate better options out there. I get it, he has been frustrating to watch get injured time and again. But as a Mets fan, I’m rooting for Travis.
frankthetank1985
Agree.
metseventually 2
There’s a clear change in his swing this spring. He’s stopped the point before the swing and is focused on making contact again. If all goes well, he’ll be a force in the 7/8 hole. Throwing is still an issue…
JYD5321
Ridiculous. The catching position requires a certain physicality. He doesn’t have it. No amount of “chances” are going to alter that. He has shown (on and off) some ability with the bat, and he’s a good athlete relative to most C’s, so a few good months, maybe. But not a season, and certainly not season after season. Funniest statement: .”the young backstopās pitch calling may have compromised his standing with the Metsā talented pitching staff” Wrong. He never had any standing with them. It goes beyond pitch calling. He’s too overwhelmed by the position to help himself, let alone anyone else..
Our young pitchers deserve a proven veteran backstop that understands his role in the pitching game, can avoid major injuries, fight through minor ones, and still give the team something with the bat.
TdA deserves a chance to switch positions. 3b looks bare from where I’m sitting, and it’s a natural spot for a C to switch to. It should have been done awhile ago, but the Mets base decisions like this on what they want to see (or what they’re paying to see), not what they do see (or should see)..
BrodiesHairisGreezy!
You’re on-target again. However I dont believe TDA ia a major-league player offensively or defensively. More of a AAAA player than anything else. He’s been give multiple chances to step up. He, like Pwalecky, can’t seem to do it.. To me, these two are backups to Rene Rivera. He at least can perform well defensively and the pitchers respond to him very well.
MrMet19
TdA has always looked like a strong bet to put it all together, the bat is there but the injuries are restricting it. Hope he breaks out big time this season.
chesteraarthur
make or BREAK is a perfect series for him to be in.
Larry David's Joe Pepitone Jersey
TDA is now 28, I think it would be fair to go in a different direction if he falters this season. He has gotten multiple chances, and injuries can’t be used to completely scapegoat his performance. The Glenn Sherlock hire strikes me as (in part) a last ditch effort to at least get him to a point where he isn’t a defensive liability.
I still want to see d’Arnaud succeed, I just have doubts at this point. His struggles aren’t for a lack of effort, he doesn’t strike me as complacent.
pplama
Would love to see one of these on Avisail Garcia.
Although I don’t know anyone who still has any faith in him..
showman
I thought d’Arnaud has had pretty excellent framing numbers, but he never throws anybody out and he lets through several million passed balls an inning on average, roughly. What is “pitch-calling”? Don’t the pitchers pick their own damn pitches
showman
What has Alderson been doing all winter, by the way? Now is the time to strike: add Alvarez, Pagan, Blanton, Lincecum; profit.
metseventually 2
LOL- they have players in the minors who are better than Alvarez, 5 outfielders who are better than Pagan, a full bullpen and guys who they drafted in the last round who are better than Lincecum.
mikeyank55
“You can never have too much pitching” is the axiom that comes to mind here. Once the Mets’ pitching staff starts springing leaks, those guys will be off the boards and they will be forced to trade something for nothing. History always repeats itself with the metsies…the track record for mismanaging arms is legendary!
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Alvarez – one dimensional player with awful defense. Duda is better, though of course Duda’s health is in question.
Pagan – Not gonna happen. Pagan doesn’t bring anything to the table that a mix of Granderson and Lagares won’t.
Blanton – moot because he already signed, but wouldn’t have been a bad pickup
Lincecum – including him suggests to me that you’re joking
sagbagels
media need to stfu…thats why mets players go nuts and end up sucking half the time…these media idiots keep writing stupid articles
metseventually 2
Yeah- but TDA hasn’t produced. The end.
kingjenrry
He has when healthy.
attgig
then they shouldn’t be playing in NY.