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Poll: Who Will Win The AL Central?

By Steve Adams | March 13, 2023 at 10:53am CDT

The Guardians rode a late surge in 2022 to a runaway division title in the American League Central, trouncing the second-place White Sox and third-place Twins by 11 and 14 games, respectively. It was a testament both to the development of several key young players in Cleveland as well as some staggering injury woes both in Chicago and Minnesota. Further down the division ranks, the rebuilds in Detroit and Kansas City both hit roadblocks, with the Tigers and Royals losing 96 and 97 games, respectively.

There was plenty of offseason activity throughout the division, however, and we can expect to see several touted prospects make their debuts in 2023 as well. Will that change the outlook? Let’s take a quick look at each team heading into the season.

Cleveland Guardians (92-70 in 2022)

The Guardians hit the second-fewest home runs of any team in baseball last season but nonetheless ranked 15th in runs scored, offsetting their lack of power with far and away the lowest team strikeout rate in baseball (18.2%). The pitching staff posted a collective 3.47 ERA, ranking sixth in the Majors, and while they were only 12th in strikeout rate (23.2%), they also had the game’s fifth-best walk rate (7.3%). Cleveland also dominated in one other key area: health. Guardians players spent the fewest cumulative days on the injured list of any team in the Majors at just 709, per Spotrac. The second-lowest team, the Orioles, clocked in at 790. Cleveland had less than one-third of the IL days of MLB’s two worst teams in that regard: the Reds (2,638) and the Twins (2,363).

Over the winter, Cleveland signed Josh Bell and Mike Zunino, adding some thump to the lineup. Zunino, in particular is an all-or-nothing hitter at the plate, but Guardians catchers in 2022 were the least-productive in the American League, so he should be an upgrade over last year’s backstops. Top prospects like catcher Bo Naylor, outfielder George Valera and infielder Brayan Rocchio are among the many hitters on the cusp of the Majors and should all be key reinforcements as Cleveland defends its crown.

Chicago White Sox (81-81 in 2022)

The White Sox were tanked by key injuries in 2022, with each of Eloy Jimenez, Luis Robert, Lance Lynn, Tim Anderson, Yoan Moncada, Yasmani Grandal, Michael Kopech, Aaron Bummer and Garrett Crochet spending at least a month on the shelf. The Sox ranked in the bottom third of the league in homers, the bottom half in runs scored and were also a middle-of-the-pack club in terms of rotation and bullpen ERA. Defensively, they were a mess, thanks in no small part to the outfield alignment. The Sox ranked 23rd in the Majors in Outs Above Average (-16), 27th in Defensive Runs Saved (-35) and dead last in Ultimate Zone Rating (-42.2).

The decision to let Jose Abreu walk in free agency was surely a blow to the clubhouse and lineup alike, but it’ll also allow Andrew Vaughn to slide from right field to his natural position, first base. Jimenez can spend significant time at DH, too, now that Andrew Benintendi has been signed to play left field. The Sox didn’t do much to address right field, where Gavin Sheets will try to fend off top prospect Oscar Colas, who should debut early in the season. They’ll hope that Mike Clevinger can replace the resurgent Johnny Cueto in the rotation, and Elvis Andrus is back to handle second base. All of baseball is pulling for closer Liam Hendriks as he battles cancer, and while his health takes priority above all else, there’s no getting around the fact that his absence hurts the relief corps as the Sox look for better results in 2023.

Minnesota Twins (78-84 in 2022)

The Twins were the opposite of the Guardians in terms of player health in 2022, and they’ll hope more than anything that their roster can remain on the field more in 2023. Even with all their health woes, the Twins still ranked in the top half of MLB in home runs and placed 16th in runs scored. Their rotation’s 4.11 ERA was 19th in MLB, while the bullpen’s ERA sat right at MLB’s midpoint.

Minnesota was the most active team in the division this offseason, improbably retaining Carlos Correa after an unprecedented free-agent saga saw deals with the Giants and Mets fall through. The Twins also traded star infielder Luis Arraez to land righty Pablo Lopez and a pair of prospects from the Marlins, giving them the deepest rotation they’ve had in some time — health permitting. Lopez, Sonny Gray, Tyler Mahle, Joe Ryan, a returning Kenta Maeda and Bailey Ober is a strong sextet around which to build the staff. Meanwhile, the Twins keyed in on defense, depth and defensive versatility with their other acquisitions. Catcher Christian Vazquez and outfielders Joey Gallo and Michael A. Taylor are all standouts with the glove (to say nothing of Gallo’s obvious power potential). Kyle Farmer and Donovan Solano can play all over the infield (and, in Farmer’s place, even behind the plate in a pinch).

The bullpen was left as is, with the Twins believing deadline pickup Jorge Lopez, sophomore Jovani Moran (who excelled late in the season) and a returning Jorge Alcala can provide the necessary boost alongside breakout star Jhoan Duran. Oft-injured top prospect Royce Lewis should return this summer, and the Twins could also get late looks at infielders like Edouard Julien and Brooks Lee.

Detroit Tigers (66-96 in 2022)

The Tigers’ 2021-22 offseason was headlined by acquisitions of Javier Baez and Eduardo Rodriguez, but by the end of the regular season those headlines shifted to a front office shuffle. The Tigers’ poor results led ownership to oust GM Al Avila and hire Giants GM Scott Harris as the new president of baseball operations. The 2022 Tigers saw key injuries to the entire core of their promising young rotation, with Casey Mize having Tommy John surgery, Tarik Skubal requiring flexor surgery and Matt Manning missing substantial time due to shoulder troubles. Center fielder Riley Greene and first baseman Spencer Torkelson didn’t develop as hoped in their rookie seasons. Baez and Rodriguez, meanwhile, didn’t live up to their respective contracts.

In Harris’ first offseason on the job, he traded relievers Gregory Soto and Joe Jimenez to add some near-MLB talent, including outfielder Matt Vierling, infielder Nick Maton and catcher Donny Sands. Free agents Matthew Boyd and Michael Lorenzen were signed to help solidify a rotation that’ll also get righty Spencer Turnbull back after he missed the 2022 season recovering from 2021 Tommy John surgery. It was the type of modest offseason that’s generally expected for a newly hired baseball operations leader as they take time to get a feel for the organization before making more sweeping changes. Prospect-wise, pitcher Wilmer Flores and third baseman/outfielder Justyn-Henry Malloy are among the names who could potentially make their debuts this season.

Kansas City Royals (65-97 in 2022)

The Royals had their own front office shakeup, as president of baseball ops Dayton Moore was dismissed after more than 15 years atop the front office. He was replaced by his own longtime top lieutenant J.J. Picollo. That decision came on the heels of a 2022 season in which the Royals, who’ve been focusing their rebuild on drafting and developing college pitchers, posted the fourth-worst rotation ERA in MLB (4.76). Right-hander Brady Singer had a breakout season, but none of Daniel Lynch, Jackson Kowar or Kris Bubic has found much success in the big leagues, and recent No. 4 overall pick Asa Lacy hasn’t progressed in the minors.

Given the manner in which the pitching stalled out, the Royals added veterans Jordan Lyles and Ryan Yarbrough while also re-signing Zack Greinke. That’ll raise the floor of the rotation while perhaps still allowing for some of Lynch, Kowar, Bubic, Jonathan Heasley or Carlos Hernandez to force their way into the picture. In the lineup, they’ll hope for further steps forward from a promising core of hitters including Bobby Witt Jr., Vinnie Pasquantino, Nick Pratto and MJ Melendez. Youngsters like second baseman Michael Massey, outfielder Drew Waters and infielder/outfielder Nate Eaton should all get prominent looks in 2023 as well.

—

Projection systems are inherently divisive, so take this for what it’s worth, but FanGraphs gives the Guardians a slight edge on the Twins in 2023, with the White Sox in third place, followed by the Royals and the Tigers. Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA, meanwhile, projects the Twins ever so slightly ahead of Cleveland, followed by Chicago in third place, Detroit in fourth and Kansas City in fifth.

Who do you think will win the AL Central?

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View Comments (138)

Comments

  1. More_Than_4000_AB_In_MLB

    3 weeks ago

    Just another season of a few teams spending all the money, just another season of too many games, just another season of Mike Trout (fragile guy) missing 40+ games, just another season of the season beginning too early as usual, just another season of the season ending too late as usual, just another season of overhyped players like Dansby Swanson the obese/gross Vladimir Guerrero Jr, just another season of boring/slow-paced games, just another season of the homerun/strikeout/walk and nothing else, etc. Done with baseball.

    Reply
    • Dustyslambchops23

      3 weeks ago

      How will baseball cope after losing such a true fan, we will never recover from this

      Reply
      • YankeesBleacherCreature

        3 weeks ago

        Jose Canseco’s alt account is right. Time to pack it up and pull the plug, fellas. Baseball had a great run. Bring in the feds. Team liquidity issues won’t cover fans’ season tickets refunds. The secondary bobblehead market will also crater so sell high on your Future HOF’er Rob Refsnyders while you can. This site will now be known as NPBTR going forward. He always knew.

        Reply
      • mike127

        3 weeks ago

        Dusty, better question would be is how is MLBTR going to survive when everybody mutes him?

        Reply
    • Clepto_

      3 weeks ago

      I can say I certainly wont miss you at the stadiums.

      Reply
      • More_Than_4000_AB_In_MLB

        3 weeks ago

        Haven’t been to a “baseball” stadium in years. What a boring, awful experience.

        Reply
        • vtadave

          3 weeks ago

          You know this is a baseball site? You seem miserable.

        • Dustyslambchops23

          3 weeks ago

          Yet here you are on a baseball website, thinking your opinion is relevant.

          Go watch something else, I can assure you no one here cares about what some miserable old man has to say

        • More_Than_4000_AB_In_MLB

          3 weeks ago

          I’m in my 30s. Just another season of the boring, stupid, IRRELEVANT, gimmicky “World Baseball Classic”

        • Dustyslambchops23

          3 weeks ago

          Well your bitterness is at an 80 year old level. So kudos

        • mike127

          3 weeks ago

          How about you watch a WBC game and tell us again how irrelevant they are. Watching the benches empty on home runs and run scoring singles is pretty dang cool.

          Do us all a favor—can you please give us your picks for the upcoming USFL games this weekend? I’m sure you are glued to your chair with something as riveting as that.

        • NoSaint

          3 weeks ago

          @Dustyslambchops23
          If you read his post aloud using Eeyore’s voice it’s freekin’ hi-larious!

        • JoeBrady

          3 weeks ago

          Haven’t been to a “baseball” stadium in years.
          ============================
          LOL!

          You haven’t seen a game in years, but are so needy for attention that you need to proclaim you are quitting BB, even though you apparently quit baseball years ago.

    • MaNameIsYeffff

      3 weeks ago

      $500 says Vlad is in better shape than this keyboard warrior

      Reply
      • More_Than_4000_AB_In_MLB

        3 weeks ago

        Wrong. I’m in much better shape and am also much faster than the obese Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

        Reply
        • avenger65

          3 weeks ago

          He lost weight before last season, then looked like he put it all back on. Good thing he plays 1b.

        • Dustyslambchops23

          3 weeks ago

          No I don’t think so

    • miggy4prez

      3 weeks ago

      BYE BYE BABY

      Reply
    • Joe says...

      3 weeks ago

      And just another season of some rando edgelord with not only a long winded rant about how they’re done with baseball, but multiple replies about it.

      Reply
      • More_Than_4000_AB_In_MLB

        3 weeks ago

        Right- a ‘rando’! The use of that word alone signifies a ‘less than intelligent’ person.

        Reply
    • drasco036

      3 weeks ago

      Good riddance loser. No one here will miss the awful post from a fragile and obese/gross poster who overhypes their opinion. Reading your posts have been an awful experience and everyone here is glad you are leaving.

      Reply
      • More_Than_4000_AB_In_MLB

        3 weeks ago

        The average person doesn’t even know or care who the fragile Mike Trout is. The sport is IRRELEVANT.

        Reply
        • all in the suit that you wear

          3 weeks ago

          Baseball is certainly not irrelevant if the people who hate it still talk about it, even creating accounts on baseball websites to talk about it.

        • SalaryCapMyth

          3 weeks ago

          @More_Than_4000. Why are you here? I’m really not trying to be a jerk. I really don’t know why you are on this site. You have said you are done with baseball yet you came here to post that? And then you decided not only are you interested enough to post how uninterested you are but you are even having a live verbal battle with other posters. What’s the point of all this?

    • Appalachian_Outlaw

      3 weeks ago

      Just another comment I stopped reading halfway through.

      Reply
    • JoeBrady

      3 weeks ago

      Done with baseball.
      ========================
      Best news I’ve heard all day. People like you don’t deserve baseball. You have focused all your bile on these that don’t count, and probably will never recognize the stuff that makes baseball great.

      Reply
    • disadvantage

      3 weeks ago

      As the saying goes: this isn’t the airport, you don’t have to announce your departure.

      Reply
      • SalaryCapMyth

        3 weeks ago

        @disadvantage. LOL! I’m going to use that one in the future. Give me an address to send royalties to please. =}

        Reply
    • Rsox

      3 weeks ago

      You must be a lot of fun at parties…

      Reply
    • DionJameskilledmyparakeet

      3 weeks ago

      You gonna quit commenting soon, too? Seems it’d be ideal for everyone.

      Reply
    • retired/advisory role

      3 weeks ago

      @ More……baseball is done with your FACE!

      Reply
  2. Stealing Signs

    3 weeks ago

    “Done with baseball”
    And yet here you are commenting on a baseball website…

    Reply
  3. Stealing Signs

    3 weeks ago

    Cleveland. I think they’re better equipped to handle the grind of a long season & it’s inevitable injuries.

    Reply
    • avenger65

      3 weeks ago

      It was close between the Guards and the Twins but I chose the Guards for one reason: Jose Ramirez. I thought he should’ve been the MVP last year. Judge got the Yankees out to a great start, but in the second half they started to fade. Judge couldn’t save them then. Without Ramirez, his team might not have made the PO. Much more important to his team.

      Reply
      • Dustyslambchops23

        3 weeks ago

        I’m a huge Jram fan and a proud yankee hater and I think that opinion is absurd.

        Judge had one of the best offensive seasons in the last 20 years and was the engine of their run production.

        He had a 1.2 OPS in the second half vs .980 in the first, what more could he have done exactly?

        Reply
    • hyraxwithaflamethrower

      2 weeks ago

      As a White Sox fan, I hate to agree with this, but they do have the best depth among the three real division contenders. White Sox may have the most talent among their starters, but it’s been hard to see with the constant injuries. Cleveland also has Francona. I’m not sure how good Grifol will be, but I strongly believe the difference between Francona and TLR was about 10 wins a year.

      Reply
  4. 2015royalelite

    3 weeks ago

    The Royals are 14-2 in Spring Training. Even with a small regression I would expect a 100 win season. Is there really any other answer to the poll question? A young team with 2 proven starting pitchers and a reworked bullpen and coaching staff. What could possibly go wrong?

    Reply
    • rsailler

      3 weeks ago

      We’ll always have Surprise.

      Reply
      • avenger65

        3 weeks ago

        Well, they still seem short at a few positions and pitching staff. I think 100 is a stretch, but I can see them challenging the Sox for third place.

        Reply
      • Pads Fans

        3 weeks ago

        I don’t think most people realize you are taking about Surprise Arizona the home of their spring training facility. I thought it was a great comment.

        Reply
  5. BenBenBen

    3 weeks ago

    Is the world ending? Steve Adams, MLBTR’s resident comma fetishist, forgot one!

    “Zunino, in particular is an all-or-nothing hitter at the plate…”

    Whew, I read on and saw that he’s back to his old tricks by throwing in wholly unnecessary ones in:

    “Jimenez can spend significant time at DH, too, now that…”

    “(and, in Farmer’s place, even behind the plate in a pinch)”

    No commas before too when it modifies a clause and no commas after conjunctions when starting a sentence. Simple rules in the major style guides that Steve thinks he’s too good for, or something.

    I also had hope that Steve’s body had been over by someone who follows basic tenets of punctuation and syntax when he started a sentence with “meanwhile.” Alas, he then destroyed this sentence with that very word:

    “Baez and Rodriguez, meanwhile, didn’t live up to their respective contracts.”

    One day, Steve will hang it up and stop making a mockery of language.

    Cue the English-haters calling me a “loser,” telling me to “shut up” (are you too much of a neanderthal to click the mute button if I trigger you so much?), or my favorite: a pedant. Damn right I’m a pedant!

    Reply
    • vtadave

      3 weeks ago

      I can speak for zero people here when I say “thanks for your service”.

      Reply
      • BenBenBen

        3 weeks ago

        I can speak for one person (me) when I say “I don’t care what you or any other loser on this site thinks.” And there are a LOT of you.

        Reply
        • Polymath

          3 weeks ago

          BenBenBen should be Ben, Ben, and Ben. Never forget the Oxford comma.

        • BenBenBen

          3 weeks ago

          You can’t have commas in usernames, but nice try. It’s hilarious when people make the false equivalence that a screenname on a baseball website should follow the punctuation rules of an ARTICLE that a JOURNALIST (and I use that term loosely, for MLBTR’s writers) was paid to write.

    • For Love of the Game

      3 weeks ago

      I always hated “parts of speech” in middle school English, and Steve proves I’m not the only one. You, on the other hand, remind me of a certain Scott S. who loved parts of speech. I hope he got a life.

      Reply
      • BenBenBen

        3 weeks ago

        Sounds like someone’s still bitter he couldn’t pass middle school English.

        Reply
    • cwsAscension

      3 weeks ago

      If you’re not British, you could get honorary status with that self-aware pedantic post.

      Reply
      • BenBenBen

        3 weeks ago

        Sounds like someone is a xenophobe.

        Reply
    • Clepto_

      3 weeks ago

      I thought you were told to Shut Up. Now do it. No one cares about your quest for perfect grammar, little one. No one is impressed, except for your mommy.

      Reply
      • BenBenBen

        3 weeks ago

        Cleptocrat: I don’t take orders from an incel on the internet who tells me to “shut up.”

        I don’t need my mom to be impressed, because your mom is very impressed with me. I’ll have her bring you down some pizza rolls once we’re done up here in the bedroom.

        Reply
    • riffraff

      3 weeks ago

      Check out the big brain on BenBenBen.

      Reply
    • NationalNightmare

      3 weeks ago

      Four stars, go home and tell your momma you’re brilliant

      Reply
      • Hammerin' Hank

        3 weeks ago

        BanBanBan this little man.

        Reply
    • disadvantage

      3 weeks ago

      ok.

      Reply
    • avenger65

      3 weeks ago

      The purpose of language is to communicate thoughts, ideas, etc. to others. It doesn’t matter what order their in, or if he used a verb in front of a noun or finished a sentence with a dangling participle, or whatever. I don’t know the “proper” way to use those things I tried but didn’t memorize it in English class.All I know is that I understood everything Steve wrote That’s all that matters.

      Reply
      • BenBenBen

        3 weeks ago

        “I don’t know the “proper” way to use those things I tried but didn’t memorize it in English class.All I know is that I understood everything Steve wrote That’s all that matters.”

        Clearly, you didn’t try very hard, because you don’t use spaces after periods, or sometimes don’t use periods at all. I’m sure there’s a night school ESL class in your area that you can enroll in. Best of luck.

        Reply
    • SalaryCapMyth

      3 weeks ago

      Oh look, baby T.S. Eliot is back. Man, you really need a pacifier! Why does someone come on a sports site to get there grammar kink on? Isn’t there sites for people like you? I think you should become a high school English literature teacher so that at least there is a place where you can point to that all young peoples hopes and dreams go to die! =}

      Reply
      • SalaryCapMyth

        3 weeks ago

        Ooooops. I should have said “their” and not “there”. Hope you didn’t pop a blood vessel! =)

        Reply
      • BenBenBen

        3 weeks ago

        Sounds like someone is still bitter about his F in middle school English. I’m only glad you don’t go shoot up a school in revenge and instead comment here.

        Reply
        • SalaryCapMyth

          3 weeks ago

          Now, now, Eliot. I expect low brow humor like school shooting jokes ought to be beneath you. I really mean that. We’ve got many posters here that are stuffed full of themselves and don’t care about anyone but to have such disregard for children being shot in schools around the country puts you in Alex Jones territory. Is that the kind of person you are?

    • Pads Fans

      3 weeks ago

      200 words. None about baseball. Get a life.

      Reply
      • BenBenBen

        3 weeks ago

        Internet commenter says someone needs to get a life! Oh, the irony!

        Reply
        • Pads Fans

          3 weeks ago

          So you are saying you are incapable of talking about baseball? Figured as much. Since I don’t wan’t to read 200 word dissertations from the grammar police, the solution is simple.

        • BenBenBen

          3 weeks ago

          200 words! How difficult! Poor baby.

    • Jon M

      3 weeks ago

      “I also had hope that Steve’s body had been over by someone”

      Ben, how could make such a rudimentary mistake as forgetting the words “of work” after “body”, and “read” before “over”? I am truly ashamed for you.

      Reply
      • BenBenBen

        3 weeks ago

        I’m not being paid to write comments and edit them. The author of this post is. Nice try, but ultimately a false equivalency. Take this L.

        Reply
        • SalaryCapMyth

          3 weeks ago

          So what’s that to you, Eliot? You don’t pay anything into it. You make jokes about children getting shot and as a side note you critique free site sports writers? You come off as educated but maybe you can’t do what you are doing among your peers? Are you just not good enough? Do you compete in boxing matches with pre-teens or something? Someone as capable and educated as you MUST feel some amount of shame to step down to us and..TRY to teach us grammar.

    • crise

      3 weeks ago

      Steve is actually in very deep trouble. Those commas are Morse code. Help him!

      Reply
  6. CubsWin108

    3 weeks ago

    this is the cheapest division in all of sports, they should add salary floors for certain divisions, ex: both the central divisions spend a lot less then other teams.

    Reply
    • Dustyslambchops23

      3 weeks ago

      Now that there is balanced schedules they should do away from division winners automatically making the playoffs.

      Reply
      • ohyeadam

        3 weeks ago

        Agreed dusty, go with the top 7 records in Each league. Drop the east/west/central divisions.

        Reply
      • Cleon Jones

        3 weeks ago

        YES! Absolutely yes.
        Geography is so ….irrelevant.

        Reply
    • cwsAscension

      3 weeks ago

      Cubs are the only financial Goliath out of the 10 Central teams. Good for your fanbase in that after this reset, they should be entitled to at least make the postseason every year like NYY/LAD unless they are poorly run.
      There will not and should not be forced spending until there is a hard cap that doesn’t blow away what mid/small market teams can do with their lower geographic revenue streams.
      It won’t happen b/c everyone makes money, including the intended design of feeder teams rotating in/out of rebuild status.

      Reply
      • drasco036

        3 weeks ago

        The cubs and cardinals pull extremely well. St. Louis doesn’t have the population but they cast a very wide net and pull in multiple cities that include Memphis and Nashville.

        Cincinnati should pull better given their location, having Columbus, Nashville, Louisville and Knoxville all in their market. The problem for the Reds is the Braves pull hard from Nashville, Knoxville and Chattanooga.

        Reply
        • enjoylindor

          3 weeks ago

          Columbus is split pretty evenly between Cleveland and Cincy

        • AaronSapoznik

          3 weeks ago

          Which is another way of saying it is still a college football city. 🙂

          Btw: I was ready to write college town but I remembered that Columbus (941,364) has by far the largest population of any city in Ohio, more than doubling those in Cleveland (363,367) and Cincinnati (309,317).

        • enjoylindor

          3 weeks ago

          Not wrong, most people I know do not follow MLB at all but everyone follows the Buckeyes here. CLE and Columbus metro areas are similar in size (just over 2 mil), despite how much Columbus has outgrown CLE in the past ~50 years

    • herethereeverywhere2

      3 weeks ago

      The 4 lowest MLB payrolls are:

      Oakland
      Baltimore
      Pittsburgh
      Tampa.

      East and West Coasts and no teams in AL Central.

      Reply
      • Pads Fans

        3 weeks ago

        Pittsburgh is not on the coast. Or even close to it really. About a 5 hour drive.

        Cleveland is on the shore of a very large lake. The North Coast?

        Reply
    • drasco036

      3 weeks ago

      Maybe that is because Chicago is the only major media market that plays in the central… ever think about that one?
      New York, Boston, Toronto and the dc area (Baltimore) are massive. As is Los Angeles, San Francisco, Dallas, Philadelphia, Atlanta, and Houston. Seattle and Denver also completely lock down their markets being that they are the only baseball teams in their areas.

      Meanwhile, the central divisions are relatively close. The white Sox and brewers have to share the market with the cubs. The royals have to share their market with the vastly more popular cardinals, Pittsburg and Cincinnati are both small and have their markets cut out as well. (Cincinnati loses a large part of Tennessee to the Braves and Pittsburg loses market to the Phillies.

      Reply
    • Buzz Killington

      3 weeks ago

      We should just do AL and NL since the playoff rules essentially changed in favor of it last year. Winning your division doesn’t mean what it used to.

      Reply
  7. NoNeckWilliams

    3 weeks ago

    MLB should not schedule games to be played in Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit or Minnesota, until at least the middle of April. Comparing stats of guys who play in domes or the south, to guys playing in 38-degree rain, is a joke.

    Reply
    • Minneapolis Dollar Pocket

      3 weeks ago

      It’s the same thinking that schedules Packers at Minnesota in September in a dome and Minnesota at Packers on the day closest to Christmas.

      Reply
    • mike127

      3 weeks ago

      I know not playing in those cities in the first half of April is impossible—you really can’t start the season with a 6-14 road trip.

      I am interested in seeing, with the more balanced schedule, how MLB handles situations of postponements, especially early in the season.

      As an example, the Cubs, before April 12th host the Rangers and Mariners on six consecutive dates. How in the world do the make up or reschedule these things if they get postponed?

      Is there a rule that they must play a DH the following day? If not, a team like Seattle may be forced to fly into Chicago on an mutual off day in September. Teams have limited off days to begin with and a “rain out” isn’t necessarily an “off” day.

      Reply
      • JoeBrady

        3 weeks ago

        I estimate the temperature rises about 2 degrees per week from April through June, so even a one-week delay might be helpful.

        Reply
      • NoNeckWilliams

        3 weeks ago

        You raise a good point about make up games. Maybe MLB should:

        – start the season two weeks later
        – have Mondays be off days, league wide, so make up games can be more easily scheduled
        – reduce the number of games from 162, to 154
        – play 7 inning double headers on Saturdays (with division opponents only) ie. 1:00 PM and 6:00 PM

        Reply
        • crise

          3 weeks ago

          Leave extra April dates open and play any needed make-up games then. If you don’t need them it’s OK because the kids are still in school and the weather sucks. Genius!

  8. Old York

    3 weeks ago

    You already had this poll back in January.

    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/01/mlbtr-poll-american-league-central-favorite.html

    Reply
    • miggy4prez

      3 weeks ago

      And now it’s March in the middle of spring training. Things change!!

      Reply
      • Old York

        3 weeks ago

        @miggy4prez

        Righ… but we didn’t have a similar poll for the other divisions back in January.

        Reply
        • ohyeadam

          3 weeks ago

          Doesn’t get the coasts bias once and the complaints start

  9. miggy4prez

    3 weeks ago

    Not detroit

    Reply
    • Motor City Beach Bum

      3 weeks ago

      Next year dude. Next year.

      Reply
  10. retired/advisory role

    3 weeks ago

    I’m picking Minnesota.

    Reply
    • Appalachian_Outlaw

      3 weeks ago

      Same. On paper, they look better than anyone else in the division. They should win it. They’ll be an early playoff out, though.

      Reply
  11. mlb1225

    3 weeks ago

    Cleveland; they’ve gotten better and didn’t lose anyone significant this off-season. The chances that a development powerhouse like them get a prospect to step-up and perform well is also likely.

    Reply
  12. stymeedone

    3 weeks ago

    I see Cleveland being the favorite. Twin likely to challenge. Chicago will trip over themselves. Detroit will rebound and surprise. KC will show that if you don’t sign players with upside, you get what you bought.

    Reply
  13. ohyeadam

    3 weeks ago

    Twins led the division most of the season until the injuries piled up. Better depth this year so they should win:)

    Reply
    • Minneapolis Dollar Pocket

      3 weeks ago

      Twins starters need more opportunities to throw quality starts. There were too many games last year that had innings pitches dominated by the bullpen.

      Reply
      • ohyeadam

        3 weeks ago

        Both the starters and the bullpen last year were built to fail over a full season. Signing archer and Bundy knowing full well they can’t get through 5 innings was never going to work.

        Reply
  14. Old York

    3 weeks ago

    It’s going to be tight between the Twins and Indians, but I’m going with the Twins to win the division. Somewhere around 86 to 88 wins.

    Reply
    • debubba

      3 weeks ago

      It really depends on if Buxton stays healthy. He can carry them IF he stays on the field. This is coming from a Guardians fan…

      Reply
  15. paule

    3 weeks ago

    153 people voted for KC? I didn’t know that there were so many people from Kansas City on this site.

    Reply
  16. enjoylindor

    3 weeks ago

    Who cares, Guards clear

    Reply
  17. baseballdadof4

    3 weeks ago

    my heart says the Cleveland baseball team should win it. Yes they over-performed last season, however, they did address their glaring weaknesses (no HR & a guaranteed out @ C). But then we all know that bullpens rarely do great year to year. I could see the ChiSox giving them a run, if they can stay healthy, but they lost Abreu who absolutely feasts on Cleveland pitching. I voted for the Tribe and will listen to as many games as possible!

    Reply
    • retired/advisory role

      3 weeks ago

      Thank you for not referring to the Cleveland baseball team with the ridiculous name they have now. Indians forever!

      Reply
  18. Buzz Killington

    3 weeks ago

    Ok, who voted Tigers and or Royals?

    Reply
    • martras

      3 weeks ago

      Tigers and Royals fans, I’d imagine.

      Reply
      • Buzz Killington

        3 weeks ago

        I mean wishful thinking but not bad to have some optimism I guess.

        Reply
      • The Saber-toothed Superfife

        3 weeks ago

        It’s still spring training……….

        Reply
  19. HalosHeavenJJ

    3 weeks ago

    Most difficult to predict in the AL.

    Chicago under performed last year and could bounce back this year. The Twins are on the mix.

    I went with Cleveland but not confidently. Solid pitching is hard to beat.

    Reply
    • hyraxwithaflamethrower

      2 weeks ago

      I can honestly see those three teams finishing in any order. If I had to put money on it, I’d bet on Cleveland for the depth and having the best manager, but it wouldn’t be with great confidence.

      Reply
  20. martras

    3 weeks ago

    It’s truly rough when people feed the trolls… I voted for the Twins as I don’t think the White Sox’s pitching staff is as scary this year and I believe the Twins have improved where the needed to. I don’t have trust in the Guardians’ young core to not succumb to a sophomore slump.

    Detroit and Kansas City seem to be a mess, but I expect the Tigers to rebound quicker.

    Reply
  21. GarryHarris

    3 weeks ago

    Every team in the AL Central will be much better than last year except the Tigers. I think Cleveland has the pitching and the position players are making themselves known. Minnesota look like they have a good team but I said that a couple years ago then the entire team went on the IL. So Its between the Guards and Twins. The pen will determine the top team. I think the Kansas City will surprise with their your coming of age. Chicago has no defense. Detroit has no order.

    Guards
    Twins
    Royals
    White Sox
    Tigers

    Reply
  22. KranzwithaK

    3 weeks ago

    I picked the White Sox banking on a return to health of a team ravaged by injuries last year. Also, not having a clueless manager this year can’t hurt right?

    Reply
    • martras

      3 weeks ago

      Biggest improvement for the White Sox could be having Lynn all year and Kopech turning a corner. Cease, Lynn, Kopech all pitching well would be a formidable rotation. Giolito is in a contract year so he’ll be incentivized. Clevinger is a dark horse, but after his return from TJ, he was down 2mph on his fastball and is over 30.

      Reply
  23. miltpappas

    3 weeks ago

    I vote for Cleveland, but I won’t check that stupid name. To me, they’re the Indians.

    Reply
    • enjoylindor

      3 weeks ago

      The Guardians will be fine without your support

      Reply
      • martras

        3 weeks ago

        Based on fan attendance, no, the Guardians need as much support as they can get.

        Reply
    • retired/advisory role

      3 weeks ago

      I’m with ya Milt. Indians forever!

      Reply
    • The Einheri

      3 weeks ago

      Just call them the Guar Indians.

      Reply
  24. Pads Fans

    3 weeks ago

    I think the Guardians will win the Central, but hoping the Twins can compete for it,

    Reply
  25. Cleon Jones

    3 weeks ago

    Best pitching usually prevails between teams that are close, ergo, its Clev’s to win. Minny seems better on paper but for me there remains a lot of “show me” with that pitching staff. Sox cant possibly be worse than last year, they just underperform it seems, and ugly fielding. KC on the rise but a way to go b4 theyre competing, and Detroit …what a hot mess.

    Reply
    • hyraxwithaflamethrower

      2 weeks ago

      The Sox’ fielding seems likely to improve. Their OAA for the infield was exactly 0, so league average. It was their OF OAA that tanked, which has largely been resolved by having Colas and AB instead of Vaughn (shudders at the memory) and Eloy. Defense won’t the strength of this club, but it should improve to near league average.

      As for pitching, Giolito is the biggest question mark for me. If he returns to form, having Cease, Gio, and Lynn at the top of the rotation matches up well against any top 3 in the division. Clevinger is a question mark, but I don’t expect much from a #5 starter. All that to say, while I expect some regression from Cease, probably enough that Bieber is once again the best pitcher in the division, I don’t think pitching is what will undo the Sox this year. I think it’ll be whether their offense can finally get in sync and hit some HR’s. You are right, though, that they’ve underperformed in recent years.

      Bad injury luck for both the Twins and Sox certainly hurt them a lot last year. I’m hoping for that to not be a factor again.

      Reply
  26. Logjammer D"Baggagecling

    3 weeks ago

    Spiders or Twins. I voted for the Spiders.

    Reply
    • Jon M

      3 weeks ago

      The Spiders aren’t an option.

      Reply
  27. nrd1138

    3 weeks ago

    As long as the Sox fail to be able to hit the rotation in Cleveland, the Guardians will likely win it again this season.

    Reply
    • hyraxwithaflamethrower

      2 weeks ago

      Not convinced. The balanced schedule means fewer head-to-head matchups, so if Cleveland wins the season series by a game or two, that can easily be undone by the Sox doing better against other teams. They went into the last series with a chance to win the season series against Cleveland, lost a tough one at the start, then just gave up. I don’t think it’ll be one-sided this year.

      Reply
  28. Buuba ho tep

    3 weeks ago

    Detroit tigers

    Reply
  29. Ticky33

    3 weeks ago

    Man everybody’s gonna have a Stroke When they get the surprise of their lives when the Tigers win the central If they stay healthy 80 or 85% Of the season at least There’s no way Our players are going to be as bad as they were last year poof (wakes up from his dream) awww son of beach I hate it when I dream Lol no but seriously Please God Guide the Tigers to a Cinderella season and at least make the playoffs lmfao

    Reply
  30. Play the Game

    3 weeks ago

    The WhiteSox stay Healthy and win the Division. Kopech has a great year.

    Reply
    • hyraxwithaflamethrower

      2 weeks ago

      Possible, but also possible that they can’t stay healthy and can’t re-learn all the fundamentals they forgot under TLR and win 80-85. Even a path to 75 wins in there. The division has had 3 winners in the last 3 years, so who knows what this year brings?

      Reply
  31. cleveland_spider

    3 weeks ago

    Excited for this season as a Guards fan. Hope I just didn’t jinx it

    Reply
    • hyraxwithaflamethrower

      2 weeks ago

      I really wished they’d have been renamed the Spiders. I get that Guardians is more Cleveland-centric, but Spiders is just a much better name, imo.

      Reply
  32. hyraxwithaflamethrower

    2 weeks ago

    Between More_Than_4000_AB_In_MLB and BenBenBen, there’s an awful lot of crying for attention on this post. Muddies the waters for those of who came to a baseball site to, I don’t know, talk about baseball?

    Oh crap! Commas! I dared to use commas. Call the pedantic grammar police and have them throw me in the nearest maximum security prison for my dissolute ways! Guess I won’t be coming back, either.

    Reply
    • AaronSapoznik

      2 weeks ago

      He’s trying to make all of us ‘comma’tose.

      Reply
  33. BeeVeeTee

    2 weeks ago

    The key for the White Sox is for guys like Anderson, Grandal, Jimenez, Moncada and Robert to stay healthy and be in the same line up then all of the baseball can finally see the hype of the White Sox’s offense. Plain and simple. If these guys can stay healthy along with the starting rotation then the White sox will run away with the division.

    Reply

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