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Poll: Who’s The Best Pure Hitter In This Winter’s Free Agent Class?

By Nick Deeds | June 18, 2025 at 2:25pm CDT

In the context of free agency, MLB players are typically graded on their overall long-term value and earning power. MLBTR’s annual Top 50 MLB Free Agents list is typically topped by all-around star talents who are in the midst of their prime years. Juan Soto, Shohei Ohtani, and Aaron Judge are outliers even among top-of-the-line free agents, but previous years saw well-rounded hitters still in their prime with substantial defensive value like Carlos Correa, J.T. Realmuto, and Anthony Rendon viewed as the top hitters available in free agency.

With all respect to Realmuto, however, even his best years haven’t seen him offer the kind of offensive firepower that someone like Nelson Cruz could offer within that very same free agent class. If a team was looking specifically for a impactful addition to the lineup, they might not necessarily be drawn to the top free agent position player. This winter, there’s little question about who the top free agent position player will be in terms of overall value and earning power. With that said, there’s a number of extremely impactful hitters who figure to be available. Who’s the best choice to transform a lineup? A look at some of the options:

Kyle Tucker

Ever since the Blue Jays signed Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to a massive extension shortly after Opening Day, there’s been virtually no debate who free agency’s top overall player would be this winter. Kyle Tucker spent years as a key cog in the Astros’ dynasty, and is one of the most impressive overall talents in the game at the moment. This ranking isn’t about earning power or even overall value, but Tucker remains one of the top players in the sport even when strictly looking at offensive production. Looking at his time in Chicago this year, the star outfielder has slashed .284/.394/.515 (153 wRC+) with more walks than strikeouts, 13 homers, and 18 steals across 72 games for a first-place Cubs team this year.

That’s a phenomenal performance, but Tucker has also been remarkably consistent throughout his career. Since his first full 162-game season in 2021, Tucker’s a 146 wRC+ hitter whose strikeout rate has always been below 16%. His walk rate has never fallen below 9%, and that combination of patience and contact ability is unmatched. Among the hitters with the 30 lowest strikeout rates in the sport, Tucker walks the most. Among the hitters with the 30 highest walk rates in the sport, Tucker strikes out the least. He’s the only player within the top 30 of both categories over the past five years, and he’s combined that with the power to hit 30 homers and the speed to steal 30 bases.

Pete Alonso

After finding an extremely soft market in free agency last year, Alonso returned to the Mets on a two-year deal that affords him the opportunity to opt out after the 2025 season. That opt-out opportunity seems certain to be exercised at this point, as Alonso has taken his game to the next level for his age-30 campaign. In 69 games this year, Alonso has slashed an incredible .293/.390/.570 (169 wRC+) in 72 games. In addition to his 17 home runs so far this year, Alonso’s floating a career-high 11.0% walk rate with his lowest strikeout rate (21.1%) since 2022 while swatting an NL-best 22 doubles.

Perhaps most exciting of all is that there’s some reason to believe he’s been even better than those numbers indicate. His 20.9% barrel rate is nothing short of absurd, his xwOBA is actually more than twenty points higher than his wOBA, and that .434 xwOBA is behind only Judge and Ohtani in the majors. He remains a limited defender who doesn’t excel at first base and will be returning to free agency at age 31, but none of that stops him from being one of the most dangerous hitters in the sport who would improve virtually any lineup.

Alex Bregman

Another star player who wound up signing a short-term deal this winter, Bregman took off early with the Red Sox and slashed .299/.385/.553 (158 wRC+) across 51 games while playing quality defense at third base. It was a hot enough start to raise the question of whether he’d consider opting out of the two years and $80MM remaining on his deal with the Red Sox this winter. That’s certainly still possible, but a “significant” quad strain has now sidelined him for the foreseeable future. A lengthy injury layoff could make Bregman hesitate to leave that much guaranteed money on the table, and this weekend’s blockbuster trade that sent Rafael Devers from the Red Sox to the Giants could leave Boston brass eager to keep their other star third baseman in the fold long-term.

Setting aside the possibility Bregman doesn’t even end up returning to the open market, it’s also worth noting that his underlying numbers aren’t as strong as his actual production so far this year. Bregman’s .331 BABIP this season is nearly fifty points higher than his career mark and with his strikeout rate the highest it’s been since 2018, it’s hard to imagine him maintaining his .385 on-base percentage long-term. Even so, Bregman’s looked rejuvenated in Boston after a down year during his final season in Houston. If he manages to return from injury looking strong, he’ll have put himself firmly in the conversation.

Kyle Schwarber

It’s been quite a while since Schwarber was available to teams in free agency, as what was at the time a career year in 2022 with the Nationals and Red Sox allowed him to land a four-year deal with the Phillies. Weak defense has pushed him into a full-time DH role over the years, but Schwarber’s bat has been everything Philadelphia could’ve hoped for when signing him. He’s slashed .224/.349/.494 (131 wRC+) with 153 homers in 538 games as a Phillie while walking at a 15.4% clip. That’s excellent offensive production, but what makes Schwarber truly stand out is the phenomenal walk year he’s in the midst of.

Through 71 games, 2025 has been the best season of Schwarber’s career by virtually every metric. He’s slashing .247/.379/.544 with a wRC+ of 155, his 16.2% walk rate is the fourth-highest figure in the majors this year, and he’s even cut his typically-high strikeout rate to a more manageable 26.1%, his lowest since 2019. He’s swatted 22 homers in 314 plate appearances as well, with a .297 ISO that trails only Judge, Ohtani, Cal Raleigh, and Corbin Carroll among qualified hitters this season. While he’ll be 33 next year, expected stats give no indication he’s at risk of dropping off, as his xwOBA has been almost 30 points higher than his actual wOBA this year.

Other Candidates

While Tucker, Alonso, Bregman, and Schwarber stand as the most likely candidates to enter free agency as the best hitter available, they’re far from the only possibilities. Paul Goldschmidt is a future Hall of Famer in the midst of a resurgent season at the plate, but he’ll be 38 next year and at risk of the sort of abrupt decline many hitters in their mid-to-late 30s face. Marcell Ozuna’s 145 wRC+ since the start of the 2023 season is the 11th-highest figure in all of baseball, but he’ll turn 35 this November and his power output has already dropped off considerably this year. Ryan O’Hearn has put up brilliant numbers for the Orioles this year with a 152 wRC+, but hasn’t shown an ability to hit lefties to this point in his career and lacks the track record of many of these other players.

Who do MLBTR readers think will be the most impactful pure hitter available in free agency this winter? Have your say in the poll below:

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MLBTR Originals MLBTR Polls Alex Bregman Kyle Schwarber Kyle Tucker Pete Alonso

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View Comments (55)
Post a Comment

55 Comments

  1. Fever Pitch Guy

    4 hours ago

    Has to be Tucker.

    Bregman had a 122 OPS+ from 2020-2024, he will probably have a Duvall-type cooldown when he returns.

    Alonso and Schwarber are all-or-nothing hitters which makes them anti-pure hitters.

    10
    Reply
    • DonOsbourne

      4 hours ago

      Agreed, it’s not that close.

      5
      Reply
    • rondon

      3 hours ago

      Yes, Tucker. His consistency is underrated. He’s raised the bar for the entire Cub’s line-up. They’re all just better with him in the mix. Boy is he gonna get paid… and it’ll be crickets from Ricketts..

      5
      Reply
    • Jean Matrac

      1 hour ago

      Statistically Schwarber is better than Tucker. From Statcast:

      Average exit velocity,
      Tucker 76th percentile,
      Schwarber, 96th percentile.

      Barrell %
      Tucker, 84th percentile
      Schwarber, 95th percentile.

      Hard hit %
      Tucker 70th percentile,
      Schwarber, 99th percentile.

      Launch angle Sweet-Spot %
      Tucker 75th percentile,
      Schwarber, 68th percentile.

      Bat speed
      Tucker 51st percentile,
      Schwarber, 98th percentile.

      Squared up %
      Tucker 87th percentile,
      Schwarber, 45th percentile.

      Chase %
      Tucker 98th percentile,
      Schwarber, 90th percentile.

      Whiff %
      Tucker 74th percentile,
      Schwarber, 12th percentile.

      K%
      Tucker 88th percentile,
      Schwarber, 24th percentile.

      BB%
      Tucker 97th percentile,
      Schwarber, 98th percentile.

      Schwarber is better in exit velo, barrels, hard hit. bat speed. and BB%.

      Tucker is better in LA sweet spot, squared up, chase, and K percentages.

      I’d rather have Tucker, based on what he brings as the better all-around player, but in terms of pure hitter, I’ll take the guy with the better exit velo, barrels, hard hits, and bat speed.

      Reply
      • DonOsbourne

        56 mins ago

        I guess it depends on your definition of “pure hitter”. If say, Tony Gwynn is your model of pure hitter, your stats say that Tucker is closer to being a pure hitter.

        But if you are using more of a Moneyball-type run creation definition of pure hitter, then Schwarber is indeed the more pure hitter based on the stats you provided.

        2
        Reply
        • Jean Matrac

          33 mins ago

          To me pure hitter means quality of contact. Tony Gwynn is a fine model because he made frequent, hard hit barreled contact. Notice that Luis Arraez wasn’t on the list despite having won the batting title in both leagues. There’s frequent contact with a very low SO rate, but not much quality of hard hit balls. Tony Gwynn could hit HRs.

          But, Ted Williams is also a good model, and probably a superior one to Gwynn. The last guy with a BA over .400, but also with 521 HRs in a park that is very difficult for LHHs. despite losing seasons in his prime to military service.

          Tucker is a fine choice, and I’m not bothered by anyone voting for him. It’s just my opinion.

          2
          Reply
  2. BaseballBrian

    4 hours ago

    None of the above.

    1
    Reply
    • Qwerky

      4 hours ago

      Then who

      Reply
      • BaseballBrian

        4 hours ago

        ..Stole the cookie from the cookier jar…

        1
        Reply
        • rapidrobert19

          1 hour ago

          … Stole the Keishka?

          1
          Reply
      • BaseballBrian

        2 hours ago

        Bo Bichette

        3
        Reply
    • Brew88

      3 hours ago

      Pure

      2
      Reply
      • Pads Fans

        49 mins ago

        Arraez. Its not close.

        4
        Reply
  3. Vaccines are poison

    4 hours ago

    Foul territory says the reason baseballs aren’t flying as far, even with the same bat speed and exit velocity, is because Manfred killed the balls for this free agent class.

    2
    Reply
    • mlb fan

      4 hours ago

      “Foul territory..Manfred killed the balls”…I know, right. Many of us also believe that Rob Manfred kidnapped the Lindberg baby and may have been in Dallas the day that J.R was shot.

      They call us conspiracy nuts, but one day everyone will sleep in a basement where the walls are covered by RF shielding tin foil. Oh, Rob Manfred is also being looked at for the whole Hindenburg fiery blimp incident.

      1
      Reply
      • WadeBoggsWildRide

        3 hours ago

        Juiced or dead balls are a thing. As long as everyone in the league is getting the same ball it really doesn’t matter.

        3
        Reply
    • cwsOverhaul

      3 hours ago

      It would be a weird year with the hitter FA class bit limited, plus Vlad Jr getting 500mil threw a wet blanket to get things rolling. Unless Tucker were to suddenly miss bunch of games 2 years in a row, he is poised for 450-500mil (Yanks/Philly/LAD bidding if Cubs don’t offer similar to try to get him to stay). The other couple sluggers in their 30s usually have market skepticism anyhow as far as long-term offers.

      Reply
    • BEISBALL

      2 hours ago

      Manfred is clearly serving juiced balls to Ohtani and Judge at bats so MLB can make lots of money from the NY and LA markets.

      3
      Reply
  4. THE_HOUSE_THAT_MOSEBY_BUILT

    4 hours ago

    “No Bo?”

    4
    Reply
  5. Old York

    4 hours ago

    Based on this year, it’s Pete Alonso. Tucker’s 153 wRC+ and elite contact/patience are close, but Alonso’s power edge and higher wRC+ tip the scales for 2026 impact.

    2
    Reply
    • WadeBoggsWildRide

      3 hours ago

      The article included base running for Tucker but I am not sure it should be included in the context of this poll. WRC+ does not include it. If we are including running then Tucker wins hands down.

      2
      Reply
    • Jean Matrac

      1 hour ago

      Yeah Alonso has a strong argument. I compared Tucker to Schwarber above, but should have included Alonso. I voted Schwarber, but had I looked at Alonso’s Statcast page first I probably would have voted him.

      1
      Reply
  6. StudWinfield

    4 hours ago

    The real question is would you rather give Alonso 6 years/$250 mill or Tucker 10 yrs/$400 mill?

    Reply
    • guilderc

      3 hours ago

      In what world does Alonso get $40MM/ ?

      3
      Reply
      • StudWinfield

        3 hours ago

        If he has a 170 ops+ season he could approach it. $200+ mill gaurentee would certainly be achievable.

        Reply
        • DonOsbourne

          3 hours ago

          One outlier season at age 30 isn’t going to change that many minds. There wasn’t a big market for Alonso last winter. That won’t change a lot this winter. There’s not going to be a bidding war. He is still going to be a right handed hitting, first base only defender, on the wrong side of the aging curve. His value is derived almost exclusively from his power. Teams have seen other hitters with similar profiles decline very quickly.

          5
          Reply
      • Easy as 1 2 3

        11 mins ago

        Alonso could definitely get 40 mill but it’d be a

        3 year 120 mill deal or 2 for 80

        I don’t see a long term deal 4+ years at 40 mill a year

        But I can see a 3 year 120 mill deal with opt out after 1st season hoping to secure more long term money and security than 2 years 80 mill

        Reply
    • Gwynning

      16 mins ago

      Tucker easily, Winny.

      1
      Reply
    • Pads Fans

      10 mins ago

      Tucker.

      I do think tucker is going to get both more years and more total dollars than that though. 11-12/500? I also think that Alonso will max out at a $40 million AAV and more likely sign in the $35-36 million range.

      Would you rather give Alonso 5/$180-6/$216 million or Tucker 12/$500 million?

      Reply
  7. Lefty_Orioles_Fan

    3 hours ago

    Anthony Rendon viewed as the top hitters?.
    Does Rendon work for the mob now?

    His hits certainly are not on the playing field!!!

    Reply
    • DirtyWater04

      3 hours ago

      I had to do a double take on that sentence as well, but they are saying he was viewed as one of the top free agents at the time of his free agency, which is true.

      4
      Reply
    • nukeg

      3 hours ago

      I think it’s safe to say to maintain any type of baseball or journalistic integrity, MLBTR should refrain from mentioning Anthony Rendon altogether.

      4
      Reply
      • WadeBoggsWildRide

        2 hours ago

        At least don’t refer to him as a baseball player.

        2
        Reply
        • Gwynning

          15 mins ago

          Even he doesn’t, Wade!

          1
          Reply
  8. Rishi

    3 hours ago

    Ozuna

    Reply
    • Howiedoin

      3 hours ago

      From the Braves

      2
      Reply
      • Rishi

        3 hours ago

        I think Ozuna is a better hitter than all of those players probably. I know he’s been slumping a bit but he’s put up over 900 OPS for 2 straight years. If you watch him he is an extremely talented hitter. As long as he’s healthy next year I would expect another great year. I’m not saying he’s the most desirable player but I think he is the best pure hitter.

        Reply
      • Rishi

        3 hours ago

        Just so we’re clear I meant Alejandro Osuna.

        3
        Reply
        • WadeBoggsWildRide

          3 hours ago

          Thanks for the clarification I was certainly confused.

          1
          Reply
  9. MuleorAstroMule

    3 hours ago

    Are any of us pure?

    2
    Reply
    • WadeBoggsWildRide

      3 hours ago

      Pete Rose?

      Reply
      • Pads Fans

        47 mins ago

        Pure evil? Liar. Gambler. Pedophile. Not sure you can get any more pure evil than that.

        Reply
  10. Sadler

    3 hours ago

    You listed exactly zero “pure hitters”.

    1
    Reply
  11. chandlerbing

    2 hours ago

    nobody wanted alonso. nobody even wanted to look at him or mention his name. now he’s on track to win MVP and collect $$$
    good for him, hope he stays a met for life

    2
    Reply
  12. ChasingTime

    2 hours ago

    No one is…. When you risk that kind of money.

    Until they pay players on a performance goal scale, they’re wasting their money on the vast majority of high-end free agent contracts. And I personally enjoy watching them eat those contracts.

    In most cases giving the person incentives to reach goals, gets better results than them knowing they’re getting it no matter how much effort they put in.

    Reply
  13. Not the real Sports Pope

    2 hours ago

    Tucker and Alonzo I believe were high school teammates down here in Tampa at Plant High

    Reply
  14. Jean Matrac

    53 mins ago

    I should have added Alonso, so I will.

    Average exit velocity,
    Tucker 76th percentile,
    Schwarber, 96th percentile.
    Alonso 99th percentile

    Barrell %
    Tucker, 84th percentile
    Schwarber, 95th percentile.
    Alonso 99th percentile

    Hard hit %
    Tucker 70th percentile,
    Schwarber, 99th percentile.
    Alonso 96th percentile

    Launch angle Sweet-Spot %
    Tucker 75th percentile,
    Schwarber, 68th percentile.
    Alonso 90th percentile

    Bat speed
    Tucker 51st percentile,
    Schwarber, 98th percentile.
    Alonso 96th percentile

    Squared up %
    Tucker 87th percentile,
    Schwarber, 45th percentile
    Alonso 38th percentile

    Chase %
    Tucker 98th percentile,
    Schwarber, 90th percentile.
    Alonso 57th percentile

    Whiff %
    Tucker 74th percentile,
    Schwarber, 12th percentile.
    Alonso 48th percentile

    K%
    Tucker 88th percentile,
    Schwarber, 24th percentile.
    Alonso 56th percentile

    BB%
    Tucker 97th percentile,
    Schwarber, 98th percentile.
    Alonso 73rd percentile

    Reply
  15. JoeBrady

    51 mins ago

    could leave Boston brass eager to keep their other star third baseman in the fold long-term.
    ==========================
    I seriously doubt that. Small sample size and all, but Mayer has looked better than I expected. I’d play him for minimum wage ahead of keeping Bregman, even at the $30M he would be getting.

    Letting him go, and we’d have ~ $107M left to spend, with most of our starting spots locked up.

    1
    Reply
    • Pads Fans

      44 mins ago

      That’s funny. Thanks for the laugh Joe. Now we know for certain that you have left discussing baseball behind and have moved squarely into trolldom.

      Reply
  16. OilCanLloyd

    28 mins ago

    I’m terms of actual hits, Bo Bichette will beat them all. On pace for 170ish hits. Which would only be the 4th highest of his career.
    He’s in this conversation.
    Shame on the writer for his oversight.

    1
    Reply
    • OilCanLloyd

      17 mins ago

      Tucker is cream of crop as total package. Than everyone else.

      1
      Reply
    • Gwynning

      13 mins ago

      Luis Arraez? 3 straight batting titles and pending FA… then Bo.

      1
      Reply
      • OilCanLloyd

        10 mins ago

        Yeah that’s right.

        1
        Reply
  17. wmurphy24

    17 mins ago

    Why is this even a question

    Reply
    • Brew’88

      9 mins ago

      what is the question? I’m still pondering what the writer means by “pure”. And once you can answer, tell me who would be the best pure pitcher?

      2
      Reply

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