Kyle Tucker’s four-year, $240MM contract with the Dodgers ended an intriguing trip through free agency for the outfielder, as Tucker opted for a shorter-term deal with an extremely high average annual value and some built-in flexibility (opt-outs after the 2027 and 2028 seasons) over a longer-term pact. Multiple reports suggested that Tucker’s only true long-term offer on the table came from the Blue Jays, and the New York Post’s Jon Heyman writes that the terms of Toronto’s offer were $350MM over ten years.
This is more in line with the 11-year, $400MM projection that MLB Trade Rumors predicted for Tucker at the start of the offseason. That price tag was naturally going to keep many teams out of the bidding from the onset, but even among the larger-market teams, there seemed to be a reluctance to give Tucker a long-term commitment — perhaps due to the injuries that cost him time over the last two seasons, and contributed to his second-half slump with the Cubs last year. The Mets were Tucker’s other primary suitor but New York was reportedly only willing to offer a frontloaded four-year deal worth $220MM with multiple opt-outs.
In terms of pure dollars, the $350MM would’ve tied for the seventh-priciest deal in baseball history, and only 15 contracts have ever topped a $35MM average annual value. It would’ve been the largest free agent deal in Blue Jays history but not their largest contract altogether, as Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s 14-year, $500MM extension from last spring takes that title. The Jays have gone bigger in the past, however, as they made Shohei Ohtani an offer similar to the heavily-deferred ten-year, $700MM pact that the superstar took from the Dodgers during the 2023-24 offseason.
This now marks the fourth time in three offseasons that the Jays have made a huge push for a player who eventually signed with the Dodgers, between Tucker, Ohtani, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Roki Sasaki. Given how the latter three played major roles in Los Angeles’ World Series triumph over Toronto last fall, missing out on Tucker as well adds some sting to the Blue Jays’ unsuccessful pursuit. It also didn’t help that longtime shortstop Bo Bichette then signed with the Mets on a three-year, $126MM deal that also included two opt-outs, leaving Toronto coming up short on seemingly their top two position-player targets of the offseason.
That being said, the Kazuma Okamoto signing filled a hole in the Blue Jays’ infield, and led to some speculation that signing Tucker for the outfield was more of priority for the Jays than reuniting with Bichette. There’s also the fact that Toronto had years to discuss long-term extensions with Bichette when he was under team control, and the acquisition of Andres Gimenez from the Guardians last winter seemed to hint that the Jays were preparing for a post-Bichette era at shortstop.
Had Tucker accepted the Blue Jays’ offer, he would’ve joined Guerrero as the team’s lineup cornerstones for the next decade. He also would’ve solidified a Jays outfield that has George Springer and Daulton Varsho both scheduled to hit free agency next winter, even though Springer primarily worked as a DH in 2025. The Jays are certainly hoping that Anthony Santander (their biggest signing from last offseason) can rebound from what was essentially a lost 2025 campaign, and Okamoto’s signing probably means that breakout star Addison Barger may be utilized more as a right fielder than as a third baseman.
For now, Toronto’s regular outfield looks pretty similar to their 2025 plan — Varsho in center field, Springer and Santander perhaps splitting time between DH and one corner slot, and some combination of Barger, Nathan Lukes, and Davis Schneider all getting time in the other corner spot. Barger figures to play some third base and Schneider can play second base, further aiding manager John Schneider’s ability to find at-bats for everyone.
Of course, it is also possible that the Blue Jays might still bolster their outfield picture with another new face. Cody Bellinger has been on the Jays’ radar both this winter and in past offseasons, and he is reportedly looking for a longer-term deal than the five-year deal in the $155MM range the Yankees have apparently put on the table. The Mets have also been linked to Bellinger’s market, though that could change now that the Amazins have splurged on Bichette. The Jays’ willingness to offer Tucker 10 years obviously doesn’t mean they’ll readily offer Bellinger anything beyond five years, but Toronto has been so aggressive in free agency that it wouldn’t be a surprise if the team pivoted to the best outfielder remaining on the open market.
Landing Tucker would’ve been another coup in what has already been an expensive offseason in Toronto. Dylan Cease’s seven-year, $210MM contract is the biggest free agent deal in franchise history, and the Jays have also invested heavily in Okamoto (four years/$60MM), Tyler Rogers (three years/$37MM), and Cody Ponce (three years/$30MM). The Blue Jays’ payroll has already soared to record heights, with RosterResource’s projection of a $310.5MM luxury tax number already putting the Jays over the maximum penalty line of $304MM. This comes with a 90 percent surcharge for the Jays as a penalty for their second consecutive year as tax payors, so Tucker’s $35MM AAV for 2026 would’ve come with a big tax hit of $31.5MM.
As much as ownership is clearly willing to spend in pursuit of a championship, one wonders if Tucker (or Bichette) represented a special circumstance, and the Jays aren’t willing to spend to such a huge extent for Bellinger or any other prominent free agents remaining. Toronto could look to lower-cost free agents or to the trade market to address any other roster holes.

But it’s Canada
You’ve ever set foot in Canada.
Just flew over and farted.
The residents were probably happy to smell better air for a few seconds.
And? I live in Canada and go watch games in Toronto. Its a nice city.
At this point I think there’s more negative jokes about LA and California than Canada…
Dodgers had to pay him 60mil AAV to get him to go there
One of the most ridiculous overpays ever
Will it be ridiculous if he helps bring them another couple championships
They won last year with out him. It was not a necessary desperation move
They will make a deep playoff run next year and cannot comment to him long term. I am sure they view it as a great investment. The issue with baseball is the dodgers are making money hand over fist while spending it like crazy.
I would rather live in Canada than current USA
Both countries are wack right now
You must live in California or Minnesota then. Ha
Vegas fan-As an American Indian I would rather you did too. Love America, or give it back.
Yeah. The Dodgers offer was insane, if Blue Jays offered 415 million though, that’s a different story.
Time to socialize/communize the dodgers profits so the rest of the teams whose entire payrolls are less than kyle tucker is making can sign free agents /s
Yeah, how about a profits ceiling? Increase the payroll penalties 500%.. Regulate the Owners. They collude more than we know.
It’s called revenue sharing and it already exists. They still don’t spend. A spending floor is what’s needed.
What’s needed are owners who are Championship-oriented. Those who aren’t will still manage to whatever floor is mandated. Nothing will change.
High risk in small markets. Wealthy people are averse to losing money. That’s why they are wealthy.
150 floor, 250 ceiling
There kind of is a spending floor…. Nobody just enforced it until the last couple years.
Any team that receives revenue sharing is supposed to spend 1.5 times the amount they receive. They just call is a “spending obligation” so it can be loosely enforced.
So teams like the A’s or Marlins who receive $70M are supposed to spend at least $105 M
Owners policing other owners.. It’s like kids guarding the candy store.
Or those owners can pay market price. The owners have never opened there books for public why? Because the actual money they make on interest rates alone on there assets is enough to make a billy goat puke …don’t think one minute there is poor owners can’t pay market prices….they want fans to think that to lower expectations….socialize/communize is a quick lazy easy answer no disrespect Samtman but please understand owners wouldn’t pay market rate value if they didn’t have it …..now does the league have to figure out a more balance way to have small market teams or teams that won’t spend any of the money they get from there share of 48% of TV money that gets up ,? Yes
I get the /s and agree. All of these big contracts come with BIG risk and the socialists miss that. Even the monster spending Dodgers weren’t so head and shoulders ahead of others in 2025. And all of these players can suffer horrendous injuries and be gone from baseball in weeks, months or a few years before their contracts are up.
They’ll be okay, which is why the big contracts work for them, but the teams, with the penalties, the insurance required and all the strain on their crossed fingers are all taking huge chances that the round ball does or doesn’t connect with the round bat and the leather gloves the way it has in the past or is projected to keep doing.
All that said, I’d say the players made good decisions for their bank accounts if not their hearts, but they ‘ve played this team sport forever and unlike hockey, basketball and football they can make a huge difference all by themselves with a swing of the bat (apologies to fans/purists of the other sports for my implication that ‘team’ is spelled differently for their lads and lasses (exceptions always exist, the Bobby Orrs, Rocket Richards, Gordie Howes, Wayne Gretzkys, Espositos, Lafleurs Beliveaus, Gilberts, Sayers, Bradshaws, etc.) but the Babe, the Hornsby, the Mick didn’t depend on a pass or a pass target to show their greatness or ability to transcend a hangover…
Attending Spring Training in 1986 I was fortunate enough to end up at the next table to the father of a retired Yankee legend. There were others there, but we engaged in a great one on one transfer fer of insights to me where this old man, now long gone, told me about how hard his son had worked to refine his skills, keep his eye on the ball (literally and figuratively), lots of “it was a different time” comments, but also that gravity and physics don’t change (much) and that’s what makes baseball the greatest challenge and best stat-comparable sport. One of my life’s highlights.
I wonder how little different our conversation would be today, almost 40 years later, despite the new wealth of stats. He told me Hornsby was the best hitter he ever saw, Babe was a nice man, Mickey could drink anyone under the table but it was how he coped with stress and expectations, his PED of choice.
How will the Blue Jays respond? Well, Bellinger makes sense. Giving him security could lead to a golden age for player and team. This article hit all the right notes. Thank you. The headlines await the pen strokes, curdling stomachs, and moving vans as the teams take things cross-country to their Spring homes. Baseball is getting ready to wow us again after football finishes, a damaged NASCAR kicks off and the Olympics spin up winter sports once again..
Keep up the good work, this is one of the best sports operations extant! We’re all ready for new seasons.
These “so and so team offered x money and lost” posts after the fact are kind of monotonous. More like these teams’ propaganda saying they tried.
Kevin Durant joining the Japanese deferrals. Won’t matter after 2027 though this foolishness will be over soon.
To Cashman:
Go ahead and offer 6/$195. The Jays are desperate to save face and replace Bichette’s bat. I think they’ll be more willing to offer 7 years.
They don’t need to save face, they’ve already signed 4 of the top 50 free agents this off-season!
They may however choose to turn it into a momentous offseason by picking up Bellinger or perhaps Suarez though. But it won’t be to save face, that’s daft.
How is deferring huge amounts of salary allowed?
The player agrees to it.
They’re usually requested by the player.
I don’t really care about the deferrals themselves. My issue is that the full contract amount should count toward the luxury tax annually. If you pay out the actual money after the fact, so be it.
What do you mean?
Agree,
Deferrals are not a big deal. Their primary purpose is to save the player income tax, which is why they mostly happen in high tax jurisdictions. But the team pays every year, just not to the player (to an escrow account) and what they pay does count for lux tax. Ohtani’s contract is $46m a year, not $70m. It was only announced as $70m to grab headlines, and as that’s roughly what it will be in 10 years with normal growth.
A brilliant move by the Dodgers.
Team Tucker was looking for 10/400 million.
Unless Tucker is a freak of nature, the value of the last 3 or 4 years of such a contract would not have held up; so instead, they ponied up and bought the best part of his career, saving $ 160 million.
@Yankee
Only a crazy person would see that as “saving money”. Ticket isn’t going to give them $60 mil worth of production, or at least not comparable to what an Ohtani, Soto, Judge, etc would provide at their current rate of production. It’s an absurd amount and nothing more than the flex of a large mindy mngmt firm that owns a baseball team. Thank God the nba has a salary cap or the Lakers would be the most lopsided team in the NBA.
Really sorry to hear about the Blue Jays loosing Bo and Kyle, especially Bo. If I was a player, I’d moved to Canada in a heartbeat.
I think the taxes in Toronto is making some players hesitant in signing with Jays….Toronto is a beautiful city no doubt safe very very clean ….in tuckers case 60 million for him 66 million in tax penalty smh crazy not to take that but dodgers money seems endless?
California taxes are as bad if not worse than Canada’s. If we were talking about any of the teams in TX or FL you would be correct though. NY taxes are extremely high as well.
Cashman replies:
But I can sign Bader for two years at a fraction of the $$$ to platoon with Dominguez in LF this year and then take over CF in ’27 when Grisham is gone.
Tucker isnt worth $350M
What does that mean? To whom?
He’s worth what a team is willing to pay him
And if helps a team win multiple championships you think the team really cares about cost
Of course he is.
If the details are accurate, Tucker may have made a mistake if total $$$ are a factor. 29 today, and 33 by the time his deal ends if he stays to its conclusion, there is a very real chance he won’t pull another $110M+ in salary after it ends.
Looking to celebrate a WS Win, it would have been nice to see him join the team but I am not disappointed the Jays didn’t get him. I am reminded of a bit of AA’s excellence from back in the day when he succeeded in dumping a “similar”, eventually albatross deal attached to Vernon Wells.
I can’t believe Tucker settled for 60M/year. He’s worth at least 150 million per season,
Time will tell but I wouldn’t be surprised if the injury prone Tucker comes to regret leaving $110 million on the table.
You guys forget 350 million dollars Canadian is only $34.50 American dollars. Plus you have to play in Canada, Blahhhhh. Canada only makes good poutine and comedians, not much else. Although I heard Toronto will be getting electricity and indoor plumbing this year and that may have swayed Tucker’s judgment a bit, he ultimately had to go to New Canada I mean Commiforna. I believe Newsome and Justin Trudeau get their 55 gallon barrels of hair gel from the same place, and Justin wants to be just like Newsome when he grows up. So there’s that.
Cody Bellinger has been on the Jays’ radar both this winter and in past offseasons, and he is reportedly looking for a longer-term deal than the five-year deal in the $155MM range the Yankees have apparently put on the table.
Seems easy enough.