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Trade Deadline Outlook: Milwaukee Brewers

By Darragh McDonald | July 15, 2025 at 11:59pm CDT

MLBTR’s team-by-team look at the upcoming deadline continues with the Brewers. Milwaukee is firmly in a playoff spot and should be looking to buy. However, their financial restraints and apparent surplus of starting pitching could allow them to do some selling or some classic "baseball trades."

Record: 56-40 (82.9% playoff probability, per FanGraphs)

For other entrants in this series, see this post.

Buy Mode

Potential needs: Infield

As of a few months ago, starting pitching would have topped the list of potential needs, but that's no longer the case. The Brewers had a number of injuries early in the year, which spurred them to make a late-spring signing of Jose Quintana and an early-season trade for Quinn Priester. Since then, some of the injured pitchers have returned healthy while several young arms have stepped up to post encouraging results. Now the Brewers seemingly have a rotation surplus they could theoretically deal from. More on that later.

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2025 Trade Deadline Outlook Front Office Originals MLBTR Originals Milwaukee Brewers

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Trade Deadline Outlook: St. Louis Cardinals

By Tim Dierkes | July 15, 2025 at 11:35pm CDT

The Cardinals reached the All-Star break in a tricky position.  With about 40% of their season remaining, they're only 1.5 games back in the Wild Card and have a real shot at the playoffs.  That's the case despite an offseason in which they did not attempt to improve the club, in what longtime president of baseball operations John Mozeliak termed a "reset."  And Mozeliak will be navigating the July 31st deadline as a lame duck, given the club's stated plan to give his job to Chaim Bloom for the 2026 season.

Mozeliak put it this way nine days ago (Katie Woo of The Athletic reporting): "I do feel like where we are in the week leading up, or the 72 hours leading up to the trading deadline, may affect how we make our decisions."  He further explained, "When we talk about all-in, I do think based on where the franchise is, based on payroll down and thinking more of the long view, we’re still trying to balance today’s success with ultimately having long-term success."

Record: 51-46 (28.5% playoff probability, per FanGraphs)

Buy Mode

Potential needs: Right-handed bat, pitching depth

Regarding the transition to Bloom, Mozeliak said, "When we get closer to the deadline, if there’s something that could impact how the future looks, clearly we’ll take a look at in a more collaborative sense."

With relative stability on the pitching staff, Mozeliak's deadline focus on the buy side may be on an offense that ranks fifth in the National League with 4.58 runs scored per game.  Within that respectable showing, however, is a team that ranks 10th in the NL with an 88 wRC+ against left-handed pitching.

Mozeliak acknowledged the deficiency but also said, "I do feel like where they’re going to be in a week or two is not a glaring hole in terms of trading deadline thoughts," given Ivan Herrera's July 13th activation and minor injuries affecting other righty bats like Nolan Arenado and Willson Contreras.

Brendan Donovan has been an everyday player, generally at second base, despite consistent struggles against southpaws over the last three seasons.  Alec Burleson, currently deployed in the corner outfield, has been similar.  Center fielder Victor Scott II has sat against some lefties in the last month in favor of Garrett Hampson.  Lars Nootbaar, on the IL for a left costochondral sprain, had been sitting here or there against lefties but often with Donovan or Burleson in his spot and Thomas Saggese getting the start at second base.

Given that Mozeliak said "I don’t think we’re ever going to take away from the guys we’re trying to see play," it may be difficult to find the ideal addition.  An improvement over Hampson as Scott's platoon partner could be one answer.  Perhaps a call to the White Sox regarding Austin Slater or Michael A. Taylor of the White Sox would make sense.  A homecoming for Randal Grichuk could work, though he hasn't played much center in recent years.  Maybe the Astros will find Chas McCormick expendable once he completes his rehab assignment for an oblique strain.

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2025 Trade Deadline Outlook Front Office Originals MLBTR Originals St. Louis Cardinals

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Trade Deadline Outlook: Cincinnati Reds

By Steve Adams | July 15, 2025 at 11:25pm CDT

The Reds are three games over .500 but 7.5 games out of first place in the NL Central. Their best path to the postseason is a Wild Card berth. They're 2.5 games back at the moment as they look for their first playoff bid since 2020 (just their second since 2013) and their first playoff win since back in 2012.

Record: 50-47 (Playoff odds 11.1%, per FanGraphs)

Other series entries: Rockies, Giants, Phillies, Pirates, Astros, Marlins, Athletics, Orioles, White Sox, Nationals, Cubs, Rays, Dodgers, Braves, Yankees, Angels, Mets, Blue Jays, Mariners

Buy Mode

Potential needs: Corner outfield, first base, second base, reliever

The Reds' primary need, regardless of position, is simply another bat -- or multiple bats -- to bolster what has been a stagnant offense. Ideally, that'd come in the outfield corners. Austin Hays has been great when healthy but has only made it into 44 games due to a trio of IL stints. He and utilityman Gavin Lux lead the team in plate appearances as a left fielder. Jake Fraley, who just returned from a shoulder injury, leads the pack in terms of plate appearances as a right fielder. The Reds have used eight different players in right field and ten in left. No one has more plate appearances at either position than Fraley's 140 in right field.

Fraley and Lux are both hovering around league-average offensive output that's driven largely by plate discipline. Neither is slugging even .400. Fraley has a .152 ISO (slugging minus batting average) that's right in line with the .154 league average. Lux is down at .114. Neither is going to provide much power, and neither can hit left-handed pitching.

A righty-swinging corner outfield bat would fit the Reds nicely -- all the better if it's someone controlled beyond the current season. The Reds are fringe contenders in 2025 but have the rotation talent to make a stronger run in 2026 with better health.

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2025 Trade Deadline Outlook Cincinnati Reds Front Office Originals MLBTR Originals

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Trade Candidate: Charlie Morton

By Anthony Franco | July 15, 2025 at 10:35pm CDT

Charlie Morton’s time with the Orioles couldn’t have begun much worse. He started his first five appearances and lost all of them. His best outing in that stretch was a five-inning start in which he recorded 10 strikeouts but allowed five runs. By the end of April, he’d lost his rotation spot. He carried a 9.45 earned run average with nearly as many walks (21) as strikeouts (26) through 26 2/3 innings.

Morton spent the next three weeks working out of the bullpen. He allowed eight runs (seven earned) over 16 1/3 innings across six appearances. It was better than his early-season production but wasn’t a full-fledged turnaround. Injuries reopened a rotation spot at the end of May.

The 41-year-old Morton has seized the new starting opportunity. He has allowed two or fewer runs in six of his past eight starts. Over that stretch, he carries a 2.76 ERA. Morton has fanned more than a quarter of opponents with a vastly improved 7.5% walk rate. His 12.4% swinging strike percentage during that time is a top 30 mark in MLB. Morton’s fastball has gained some life. The heater averaged 93.7 MPH in April but has climbed to 94.4 MPH since the beginning of June.

Morton’s April struggles still leave him with a 5.18 ERA on the season. Yet he’s coming up on two months of the mid-rotation form he showed throughout his time with the Braves. This version of Morton is the pitcher the Orioles expected when they signed him to a $15MM free agent contract.

It’s an important development with two weeks until the deadline. Morton has quietly reemerged as an intriguing trade chip for a Baltimore team that is nine games below .500. As recently as six weeks ago, he seemed closer to a DFA candidate than a trade asset. He’s now probably the most appealing of Baltimore’s three impending free agent starting pitchers.

Zach Eflin has struggled since his suffering a lat strain in mid-April. He’s on the injured list with a lower back strain, though it seems likely he’ll return to make a start or two before July 31. Tomoyuki Sugano has a 6.62 ERA in seven starts since the beginning of June. Opposing hitters have a .327/.380/.520 slash line in that time. Sugano has a 14% strikeout rate and has allowed 1.72 homers per nine innings on the season. The O’s are going to have a difficult time drumming up interest.

Morton is owed a little more than $6MM the rest of the way. That’ll drop to roughly $4.75MM from the deadline through season’s end. That’s a decent sum for two months, but it’s reasonable if an acquiring team feels he’s back to being a playoff-caliber starter. Baltimore is going to get plenty of calls on All-Star slugger Ryan O’Hearn in the next couple weeks. Morton is pulling alongside Cedric Mullins and relievers Seranthony Domínguez and Gregory Soto in their next tier of rental trade candidates.

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Baltimore Orioles MLBTR Originals Charlie Morton

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Shintaro Fujinami Signs With NPB’s Yokohama DeNA BayStars

By Anthony Franco | July 15, 2025 at 8:43pm CDT

Former big leaguer Shintaro Fujinami has returned to Japan. He signed with the Yokohama DeNA BayStars of Nippon Professional Baseball, the team announced. The hard-throwing righty was released from a minor league deal with the Mariners last month.

This probably marks the end of Fujinami’s two and a half seasons in affiliated ball. The 6’6″ righty has an upper-90s fastball but hasn’t been able to harness his stuff. The rebuilding A’s took a one-year, $3.25MM flier on Fujinami in advance of the 2023 season. They initially gave him a rotation opportunity, but he struggled mightily in seven starts and quickly moved to the bullpen.

While Fujinami had an 8.57 ERA in 34 appearances with the A’s, they managed to flip him to the Orioles at the trade deadline. He tallied 29 2/3 frames of 4.85 ERA ball for Baltimore. Fujinami secured a big league split deal from the Mets in his return to free agency. He never made an MLB appearance with New York, spending time on the injured list before being designated for assignment.

Fujinami pitched in Puerto Rico over the winter to land another affiliated opportunity. He secured a minor league contract with Seattle in January but struggled to a 5.79 ERA with 26 walks in 18 2/3 Triple-A innings. He’ll now head back to NPB, where he owns a 3.41 earned run average in parts of 10 seasons.

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Manfred On Twins Sale, Media Rights, Potential For Bay Area Expansion

By Darragh McDonald | July 15, 2025 at 7:18pm CDT

MLB commissioner Rob Manfred spoke to the media ahead of tonight’s All-Star game, touching on various topics, including the sale of the Twins, the ongoing media rights situation and the possibility of the Bay Area getting a future expansion franchise.

The Twins have been on the block for almost a year now, as it was back in October that the Pohlad family announced it would be exploring a sale. Per Dan Hayes and Evan Drellich of The Athletic as well as Phil Miller of the Star Tribune, Manfred chalked up the ongoing delay to the Justin Ishbia situation.

Justin Ishbia and his brother Mat were connected to the Twins early in the sale process. However, Justin abandoned his pursuit of the Twins and doubled down on his connection with the White Sox. Justin was already a minority owner of the Sox and, by early June, had a deal in place to become the eventual owner of that franchise.

The way Manfred frames it, Ishbia was initially viewed as such a frontrunner for the Twins that other potential bidders backed off. “You know this is a small business, right?” Manfred said. “All those bankers that are out there, there ain’t that many of them, they all talk to each other. When it becomes clear that you have a leader in the clubhouse, everybody else kind of backs away, right? Because they kind of get a feel for price. And unless they’re prepared to top, they’re going to move on and do something else. So a big part of the delay in Minnesota was associated with the leader in the clubhouse made a decision to do something else.”

However, interest has supposedly ramped up since Ishbia pivoted to the Sox. “I know some things that you don’t know,” Manfred said. “I can tell you with a lot of confidence that there will be a transaction there, and it will be consistent with the kind of pricing that has taken place. There will be a transaction. We just need to be patient while they rework.”

It has been reported since March that the Pohlad family is hoping to get $1.7 billion for the Twins. A $1.5 billion number which was floated by one potential bidder was considered “a non-starter.” Last year, the Angelos family sold the Orioles for $1.725MM. Rays owner Stuart Sternberg reportedly has an agreement in principle to sell the Rays for $1.7 billion this year. Perhaps the market has been set in a way which will allow the Pohlad family to get their asking price, though today’s piece from The Athletic notes that the Twins are carrying a fairly high debt load of $425MM.

Manfred also addressed the league’s media rights situation, per Drellich. Manfred previously noted that he hoped to have something to announce before the All-Star game in relation to the collapsed ESPN deal but it appears nothing is across the finish line yet. He said today that progress is being made but he didn’t specify a new target date for getting something done.

It was reported back in February that ESPN opted out of their deal with MLB for the 2026 through 2028 seasons. That deal included broadcast rights for Sunday Night Baseball, the Home Run Derby and the Wild Card round of the playoffs. ESPN still has the rights for the current season but those products are still up for grabs after 2025.

ESPN’s deal would have seen them pay $550MM annually, had they not opted out. They were reportedly willing to go as high as $200MM in order to keep the rights but MLB balked at that price. NBC reportedly made some kind of offer in May but it’s unknown what kind of number was floated, apart from it being “much less” than $550MM. Last month, Andrew Marchand of The Athletic reported that MLB and ESPN had renewed talks and that Apple and Fox had also been connected to the package, in addition to NBC.

On another note, Manfred left the door open for a future expansion franchise coming to the Bay Area, per Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle and John Shea of the San Francisco Standard. “In terms of expansion,” he said, “open book. You know what? People who want baseball should participate in the expansion process when we start that process, and I think by being wide open, with no predeterminations as to where it’s going, we’re going to end up with the best locations if we want to expand.”

The Bay Area still has the Giants but recently lost the Athletics, who are in the process of moving from Oakland to Las Vegas. Manfred cited recent changes in government as increasing the odds of a new franchise coming back to Oakland. “I don’t have any problem with any government official in Oakland,” Manfred said. “I thought Mayor [Sheng] Thao was not particularly helpful when we got down to brass tacks, but I don’t think I’m going to have to deal with her going forward.”

Thao was mayor of Oakland in 2023 and 2024 but was ousted in a recall election in November. Various reports have indicated that the relationships between Thao, A’s owner John Fisher and Manfred were not especially rosy. Slusser reports that Manfred previously swore off Oakland due to the unsuccessful negotiations, so his more neutral tone today is perhaps noteworthy. Both Slusser and Shea float San Jose as another possibility for the area, even if Oakland isn’t viable.

For the theoretical possibility to become a reality, a viable group would have to emerge and enter the bidding. Over the years, various groups have formed with the hopes of getting expansion franchises in places like Nashville, Salt Lake City, Orlando and Portland.

Manfred has consistently said expansion won’t be on the table until the A’s and Rays have new homes figured out. The A’s are scheduled to open their new stadium in Vegas in 2028. The Rays had a deal which fell apart in the wake of hurricane damage to The Trop, which then led to the aforementioned in-process sale. It expected that the Rays’ new ownership group will eventually pursue a new stadium in Tampa proper, as opposed to the club’s previous home in St. Petersburg.

Photo courtesy of Brett Davis, Imagn Images

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Manfred: Longer Break In 2028 For All-Star Game And Olympics Is Possible

By Darragh McDonald | July 15, 2025 at 6:26pm CDT

MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred spoke to the media today, ahead of tonight’s All-Star game, addressing various topics relevant to the league. One subject that got a lot of discussion was the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics and the potential of MLB players participating. Baseball will be an event at the Olympics, with Dodger Stadium being the venue, but it’s still not confirmed if MLB players will be able to play. Manfred suggested it could be possible for the league to have a slightly longer midsummer break to include both the All-Star game and the Olympics, while also not impacting the regular season.

“It is possible to play the All-Star game in its normal spot, have a single break that would be longer but still play 162 games without bleeding into the middle of November,” Manfred said, per Chelsea Janes of The Washington Post. “That is possible.”

MLB players have never participated in the Olympics. Baseball has occasionally been an event in the games, but has been played by minor leaguers or college players. In recent years, it has not been unusual for MLB players to compete in international play. The World Baseball Classic has been running every few years since 2006, even though the COVID-19 pandemic threw the normal schedule off for a bit.

The main difference with the Olympics would be the timing. The WBC is held in March, ahead of the MLB regular season. The ’28 Olympics are scheduled to take place in Los Angeles from July 14th to 30th. Per J.J. Cooper of Baseball America, the baseball field would include six teams, set by qualifying tournaments, who would then play from July 15th to 20th. Per Evan Drellich of The Athletic, the league would prefer that to be a little earlier. The All-Star break is usually the second Tuesday of July, which would be July 11th in 2028. The opening ceremony of the Olympics is scheduled for July 14th.

There are logistical challenges but it’s theoretically possible to line everything up. The fact that the games are taking place in the United States is also convenient, compared to a distant country where travel would be more of a concern.

It has been suggested in the past that perhaps the league could look to skip the All-Star game for one year, with the Olympics taking over as the main midsummer event. Manfred’s comments today point to both taking place, which would raise some interesting questions. Presumably, there could be a lot of overlap in terms of All-Star selections and Olympic rosters. If a player is planning to play in the Olympics and is also selected for the All-Star game, would they simply skip the latter like injured players do? Would some try to do both?

In terms of the scheduling, the details there aren’t clear either. In recent years, the MLB season has sometimes had some teams start the regular season in mid-March in order to play games in other countries such as Japan or South Korea. Starting the regular season earlier for all teams could perhaps allow for a longer midseason break, though that would lead to many weather-related annoyances in certain parts of the country.

Per Cooper, insurance is another potential hurdle. For the WBC, there are insurance policies in place to compensate an MLB team if one of their players is injured. But the WBC is put on by MLB, whereas the Olympics are put on by the International Olympic Committee. As noted by Cooper, it’s unclear if the IOC would be willing to pay the insurance premiums or if MLB would be willing to do so. MLB wouldn’t be directly benefiting from the event, since the IOC receives the proceeds, though the league would obviously hope that the Olympics would help to grow the MLB brand and expand its reach. Cooper mentions the possibility of Olympic committees of individual countries covering the insurance premiums but says this is the least likely scenario.

Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports that the logistical challenges could lead to San Francisco hosting the 2028 All-Star game. She says the league and the MLBPA would prefer a West Coast club host that year, in order to be near the Olympics in Los Angeles. She points out that San Diego, Seattle and Arizona have all hosted the All-Star festivities fairly recently, whereas the Giants last hosted back in 2007.

Slusser adds that MLBPA executive director Tony Clark also seemed open to the players agreeing to the Olympic plans, though with some details still to be worked out. “There’s just a lot of conversation that needs to be had sooner rather than later to see how viable this is,” Clark said. “But we’re hopeful that we can figure our way through it for the benefit of the game.”

If it comes to pass that the Giants host in 2028, it will kick things down the road for other clubs that have been waiting their turn. Last year, Manfred acknowledged that the Blue Jays were due, since they haven’t hosted since 1991. However, the Phillies are hosting in 2026, a decision that was made long ago to coincide with the 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence. It seems likely that the Cubs, who haven’t hosted since 1990, will be hosting in 2027. Putting the 2028 game in San Francisco would mean the Jays and other teams hoping to host would probably have to wait until 2029 at the earliest.

Manfred still seems to have a Toronto All-Star game on his radar, per Shi Davidi of Sportsnet. “Obviously, (the Blue Jays) are kind of perking up to the top of the list based on time,” he continued. “I’d like to be back in Toronto. Rogers has made a really significant investment in terms of improvements in the stadium. TBD at this point, beyond that.” Davidi adds that the Orioles and Red Sox are also interested. Baltimore last hosted in 1993 and Boston in 1999.

Photo courtesy of Brett Davis, Imagn Images

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Rays To Play Home Games At Steinbrenner Field Throughout Playoffs

By Darragh McDonald | July 15, 2025 at 3:30pm CDT

If the Rays are able to engineer a deep postseason run, they will be allowed to stay at Steinbrenner Field. “Our rule has always been that people play in their home stadiums during the World Series Game,” MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred said this week, per Marc Topkin of The Tampa Bay Times. “And I’m not of a mind to change that rule. I understand it’s a unique situation. It’s different, but that’s where they’re playing. That’s where they’re going to play their games.”

The issue has been a theoretical talking point for a while. Tropicana Field suffered significant hurricane damage in the offseason, making it unplayable for the 2025 season. The Rays made arrangements to move to Steinbrenner Field for the year. The facility is normally the home of the Tampa Tarpons, the Single-A affiliate of the Yankees.

The capacity of the field is a bit more than 10,000. During the 2024 season, all 3o MLB venues had a capacity of at least 34,000. This year, the Rays and Athletics are both playing in minor league parks on a temporary basis. As mentioned, the Rays had to move due to the hurricane damage to The Trop. The A’s are building a new stadium in Las Vegas but couldn’t work out a deal to stay in Oakland for the interim, so they are playing at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento. That’s the home of the Sacramento River Cats, the Triple-A affiliate of the Giants.

For the Rays and A’s, playing in those venues was generally viewed as acceptable for the regular season but it was fair to wonder if the league would allow postseason games to be played at either spot. For the A’s, it quickly became a non-issue for this year as that club slipped in the standings. But the Rays have been in contention all year, having been in a postseason spot for much of the season.

Last month, it was reported by Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic that some preliminary conversations had occurred about what to do. Having playoff games in such a small venue would be less than ideal. “The league sets aside about 7,500 tickets for players, umpires, visiting teams, sponsors, broadcast partners, media and others” for World Series games, Rosenthal wrote last month. For pre-World Series games, the number is smaller but still notable. That lesser capacity would be a concern for the Players Association as well as the league, since players get a cut of gate receipts in playoff games. Beyond that, there would be concerns around the aesthetics of the broadcast as well as the straightforward logistics of getting all the media into the smaller facility and properly set up to cover the game.

But forcing a team to vacate its home turf for the postseason could be seen as a competitive disadvantage and it seems the league has opted to let the Rays stay. It may be a moot point, as they are not guaranteed to make the playoffs. They are currently a game and a half back of the Mariners for the final American League Wild Card spot. They would need to get the top Wild Card spot or win the East division to play any home games in the first round. Under the current playoff format, the top two division winners get a bye past the first round. The third division winner and the top Wild Card team each get to host the opening round for a best-of-three, with the two lesser Wild Card clubs being on the road for that entire series.

Last month’s reporting indicated that the league was comfortable with the Rays hosting the earlier rounds but was more concerned about the ALCS and World Series. It now seems that, if that becomes a reality, the league is willing to let the Rays stay at their temporary home and figure out how to make it work. Manfred tells Topkin that they will have conversations about potentially finding ways to add more capacity. “We’ll do the best we can to make the facilities good and service as many fans as we can,” Manfred said.

Marc Topkin of The Tampa Bay Times provides a bit more info on the Rays and their upcoming sale. It was reported this week that owner Stuart Sternberg has an agreement in principle to sell to a group led to Patrick Zalupski for $1.7 billion. Though that could become official as soon as September, Topkin notes that the transfer of power wouldn’t occur until the offseason. If the Rays manage to win the 2025 World Series, Sternberg would be handed the Commissioner’s Trophy.

Photo courtesy of Kim Klement Neitzel, Imagn Images

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MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | July 15, 2025 at 1:00pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good morning! Hope everyone enjoyed the Derby last night! We’ll get going at 1pm CT today, but feel free to submit questions ahead of time.
  • Greetings!
  • Let’s begin.

Tim

  • What’s a comparative contract to what bichette is looking for?

Steve Adams

  • He’s going to hit free agency ahead of his age-28 season and as (assuming this keeps up) a well above-average hitter in six of his seven MLB seasons, with an injury-ruined 2024 campaign being the outlier.I don’t see any reason he wouldn’t be looking to top the deals signed by Javier Baez (6 years, $140MM), Trevor Story (6/140), Dansby Swanson (7/177) and Willy Adames (7/182) — especially since he’s going to hit free agency a year younger than all of them were when they got to the market.

Brian

  • Biggest Phillies need at deadline…OF help or bullpen arms?

Steve Adams

  • Bullpen help, but it doesn’t have to be one or the other.

Steve Cohen

  • Who would you list as the leading Candidates for ROY in each league? Does Jacob  Misorowski have a legitimate shot?

Brewers Fan

  • Assumig Misiorowski wins the ROY, how does that change his status with us? Do we lose a year of control? He wasn’t promoted early enough to get a draft pick through the promotional program thing right? The rules around that stuff always confuse me…

Steve Adams

  • I love Misiorowski, but Rookie of the Year talk is pretty premature with only five starts. I think it’s fine that they took the buzzworthy rookie and put him on the All-Star team, but to call him the ROY favorite when Drake Baldwin is hitting .279/.351/.479 with plus defense in 65 games feels aggressive.Miz could absolutely end up getting there, but he needs to stay healthy and needs to remain as effective as he’s been, which isn’t a surefire thing for a guy who’s walking 11% of his opponents and benefiting from a .160 BABIP.

    Misiorowski will earn a full year of service if he finishes first or second in ROY voting. The Brewers wouldn’t get a pick for that since he wasn’t called up until  midseason.

Curious A’s Fan

  • Is JJ Bleday the A’s best (realistic) trade chip at the deadline?

Steve Adams

  • They’d be selling low, but I can see it. Jeffrey Springs is a more realistic trade option who’d net a decent return, though.

My Name

  • With Buxton’s comments about having a no trade clause, will reporters be done with the trade rumors?

Read more

Steve Adams

  • I’ve never understood the Buxton trade speculation. He has a full NTC and has said repeatedly he’s happy where he is, and the Twins have given zero indication they’re motivated to trade him, Lopez, etc.

Seebs

  • When do you see Crawford coming up and Kepler being traded for a bag of balls?

Steve Adams

  • I could see Kepler being moved regardless of a Crawford promotion. Phils could try to add another outfielder who’s a better fit and simultaneously ship Kepler elsewhere. Doesn’t seem like it’s been the most … agreeable … fit so far.

Desertdawg

  • Do you see the D’Backs going complete fire sale this trade deadline?

Steve Adams

  • No, but I think they’ll trade some impending free agents …. Suarez, Naylor, Gallen, Kelly, Grichuk, Beeks,, Miller if he’s healthy

Mark

  • Why don t the braves just sell their not going anywhere this season

Steve Adams

  • They will — partially anyway. I’d be surprised if they don’t trade Raisel Iglesias and Marcell Ozuna. Maybe Rafael Montero.

Chris H

  • Do the Angels have enough to get E. Suarez from the D-Backs?  In general, I think they should be sellers at the trade deadline, but the hole at 3B has to be filled by someone other than Moncado, Rengifo, or Newman.

Steve Adams

  • Moncada has been fine when healthy. Trading anything of note — and Suarez will cost plenty of note — for a rental upgrade would be a significant misstep for the Angels.

Frustrated Nats Fan

  • How long will THIS rebuild last?

Steve Adams

  • Depends on the direction in the offseason and the Lerners’ willingness to spend to improve the roster.With Gore, Abrams, Wood, Crews and House there’s a decent foundation in place, but that was true last offseason and the biggest move ownership seemingly was comfortable with was re-signing Trevor Williams.

    I’m skeptical they’ll have the pitching to contend and am warming to the idea of them trading Gore for a king’s ransom, but that feels like it’d be an offseason endeavor so that whoever is dictating the return in that package is the permanent GM and not an interim solution.

bass

  • top 2 likeliest closers to be traded at deadline?

Steve Adams

  • David Bednar and Kyle Finnegan?

JT Snow

  • What FV would Joe Ryan bring back?

Steve Adams

  • Multiple young big leaguers and/or 50-FV types.

Trade Deadline Question

  • Good afternoon Steve,
    Who do you think will be the biggest name traded before the deadline?  Bregman might be off that list due to the Red Sox recent 10 game winning streak.  So who do you think will be the biggest name/contract that’s traded?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think Bregman was ever plausibly on that list. There was some speculation and there were reports to the effect of “If the Red Sox made him available, Team X would be interested.”But realistically, trading a player with a $40MM AAV and a pair of opt-outs remaining is extraordinarily difficult.

    Biggest names that have a real chance to move… Sandy Alcantara, Mitch Keller, Eugenio Suarez, Zac Gallen, Adolis Garcia, Raisel Iglesias, Marcell Ozuna, basically any impending free agent in Baltimore

Jax and Duran

  • Which one of us is most likely to be dealt this month? Are either of us talking extensions with out current employer?

Steve Adams

  • Neither, but Jhoan Duran costs more so I suppose nominally it’d be him. Would take a silly offer from another club to try to force the Twins’ hand.

RAGBRAI

  • If I put the o/u at 3.5 Pirates traded by the deadline, which would you take?

Steve Adams

  • Over.David Bednar, Andrew Heaney, Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Caleb Ferguson will all go. Dennis Santana, Mitch Keller, Adam Frazier, Tommy Pham could all go, too. Teams will try on Oneil Cruz, but that seems like a reach.

JN

  • Would Naylor or Suarez cost more to get from AZ?

Steve Adams

  • Suarez, but Naylor should still net a real return.

JErry DIpoto Mind Trick

  • What kind of player could Harry Ford bring back?

Steve Adams

  • He’s a near-MLB-ready catching prospect with a sizable offensive ceiling; he should get them a bat they can control for multiple years, if they move him (which isn’t a given). I’ve seen people ask if Ford would net both Suarez and Naylor, but:1) I don’t think I’d give up Ford for two pure rentals
    2) Not that the D-backs “wouldn’t want” Harry Ford, but they already have a high-end catcher in Gabriel Moreno, so I wonder whether Ford would really be their focus, particularly given the overall depth of the Mariners’ farm system.

Matt Arnold

  • Could I move a young arm for Lawrence Butler or Tyler Soderstrom to give the A’s a young controllable arm in the rotation?

Steve Adams

  • I think you could build a viable trade framework between the A’s sending Soderstrom to the Brewers, sure. Something built around Logan Henderson, perhaps.

Draft Day

  • Sooooo many shortstops taken in the first round of the draft! Why do you think that happened?

Steve Adams

  • Shortstops are generally the best players/athletes on their teams and can slide down the defensive spectrum. Shortstops, pitchers, catchers, third basemen and center fielders are going to dominate the top rounds of the draft in a given year. I’m not sure there was an unprecedented number of shortstops selected or anything within this year’s first few rounds — though 15 of the first 30 is obviously quite a lot. Just happened to be the nature of this year’s class, I supposse.

Brewer Fan

  • Idk how much you follow draft prospects, but any team you think had a particularly good draft?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t focus hugely on the draft. It’s not my area of expertise or anything. I’m not a scout, and if we were going to cover the draft in earnest, it’d be something that’d require a resource to dedicate more than like half their time to, which isn’t a great ROI for us.There’s tons of great draft content at Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, FanGraphs, Baseball Prospectus, ESPN (Kiley McDaniel) and The Athletic (Keith Law).

Soler

  • Would halos have to eat some of his contract to trade him?

Steve Adams

  • They’d have to eat almost all of it. He’s a bat-only player whose bat has been 18% worse than average, and he’s earning $13MM this year and next.

the sad Braves fan

  • How much has Marcell Ozuna’s value declined by his hip injury and poor performance. Thank you for doing these chats!

Steve Adams

  • It’s down, for sure, but there aren’t going to be tons of impact bats available on the market, so he should still garner plenty of interest and net a return of some note.

rocky colovito

  • would not dbacks get more for Suarez if they exercised his $15 M option for next year and traded so team receiving gets 1/2 years of service?

Steve Adams

  • Suarez doesn’t have a $15MM option. They had a $15MM option on him for the 2025 season, which they picked up. He’s a pure free agent at season’s end.

Cards Fan

  • Do you see the Cards buying or sellers at the deadline?

Steve Adams

  • Both? I think they’ll trade Fedde and be open to moving Helsley but could also see them swinging deals to bring in some younger big league arms, for instance.

Patrick

  • Are the Reds buyers or sellers? If buyers, who would they go after?

Steve Adams

  • I’m working on their entry in our ongoing Trade Deadline Outlook series right now. I lean toward modest buyers and expect them to be in on a variety of right-handed-hitting bats and/or some help at 1B.They do have a tough start to the second half with the Mets, Rays and Dodgers standing as three of their first four series opponents, so if it goes south in a hurry that could change.

Orioles

  • What are we doing with Mayo? He’s just sitting on the bench and he needs AB’s

Steve Adams

  • I have long since given up trying to understand what the Orioles are doing with Coby Mayo and Heston Kjerstad. At this point I just hope both of them get traded so they can get an honest everyday look somewhere.You could argue that Kjerstad sort of got that this season, but it was like four weeks of mostly regular at-bats before they started reducing his role.

    I’m not even a huge Kjerstad believer — I like Mayo more — but I still find it baffling that he’ll be 27 in February and have close to two years of MLB service but so far has all of 300 MLB plate appearances across parts of three seasons.

Detmers

  • Lots of halos questions but would cubs send Cassie for detmers 1 for 1? Who says no?

Steve Adams

  • I’m the resident “Detmers will be good eventually!” guy, and I still wouldn’t do Caissie/Detmers 1-for-1 if I were the Cubs.

Jays Hopeful

  • Will the jays swing big this trade deadline? Will they consider moving Arjun Nimmala or Trey Yesavage for a real upgrade?

Steve Adams

  • I expect the Jays to be one of the most active and aggressive buyers at the deadline and don’t think they’ll really have anyone truly off limits. Yesavage is close enough to the majors that he could help in the second half, though, so I can’t imagine him going unless it’s for a controllable and meaningful pitching upgrade.

Natitude

  • What would the potential return be on Mackenzie Gore and 2 years of control?  Should the Nats new leadership entertain such an offer?

Steve Adams

  • Should top what the White Sox got for Garrett Crochet. I don’t think it’d happen before the offseason though, if at all.

Adam

  • Does Willi Castro bring back a real return?

Steve Adams

  • If the Twins sell some veteran pieces, yeah, Castro should net them a nice prospect. That’s not the direction the team is considering right now though, and they open the second half with series against the Rockies, Dodgers and Nats — so two of three pretty winnable series right out of the gate.

Braves Fan

  • I think the Braves should consider trading Murphy. SD needs a catcher. Could Atl pay some of Murphy’s contract and get a better return?

Steve Adams

  • I think they probably will, but catchers are tough to trade midseason — it’s hard to learn an entirely new pitching staff on the fly, mid-playoff push — and there will be more interested clubs in the offseason.Also not at all convinced the Padres have the money to add Murphy. If they had that kind of payroll space, they’d have put together a more interesting slate of offseason additions than Jason Heyward, Connor Joe, Martin Maldonado, Elias Diaz, Jose Iglesias and Gavin Sheets.

    (Yes, they signed PIvetta, but they backloaded that deal in mammoth fashion,  which only further points to limited 2025 resources)

Yoshida

  • Do the redsox trade him?  How much of the contract would they have to eat?

Steve Adams

  • 80-90% of it?Jesse Winker, another LHH “outfielder” who’s best relegated to platoon DH work, got a year and $7.5MM this winter.

Daniel Byrne

  • Tigers are deficient in the bullpen. Do you anticipate they will try to strengthen it?

Steve Adams

  • Every contender will try to strengthen its bullpen. Tigers are no exception and will probably be more aggressive than most, given the steps back from Hurter, Holton, Brieske, etc. this year.

Chris Young

  • Adolis is available? Who am I getting for him?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think Garcia has massive trade value, given his salary and looming arbitration raise. But I do think the Rangers will listen on him for those reasons. They’ve tried, unsuccessfully, to retool their offense. Garcia probably gets a raise to $13MM+ for his final season of club control. Texas already has more than $131MM on the books next year, and that’s not even including Joc Pederson’s $18.5MM player option, which he’ll exercise.So you’re at $150MM in payroll and need to replace Tyler Mahle, Patrick Corbin and Jon Gray on the roster, plus half the bullpen (Shawn Armstrong, Hoby Milner, Chris Martin, Luke Jackson).

    And you have questions at catcher and the infield corners.

Colin

  • Jose Ramirez available? I’d love to see him in Seattle for a package starting with Harry Ford, Williamson and a bunch of prospects

Steve Adams

  • No, and he has a no-trade clause. But that sort of trade would be tons of fun (and cost more than Ford, Williamson and a smattering of mid-range prospects)

Taker55

  • Who is in the running for this year’s most unforeseeable QO? Trent Grisham?

Steve Adams

  • Grisham is a decent one. Ryan O’Hearn, Tyler Mahle are another couple options after a quick scour of my free agent leaderboards. Probably blanking on an under-the-radar name or two

bill

  • Any chance K Ruiz gets offloaded by the Nats to a team looking for a change of scenery upgrade a t C

Steve Adams

  • With all due respect to Ruiz, I’m not sure which team that’s hoping to add a catching upgrade looks at him and thinks, “Yeah, that’s our guy.” His bat has declined three straights years. His framing is poorly rated. He’s not great at blocking balls. And he’s owed $35MM over five seasons from 2026-30.

FA

  • Any chance Rizzo or Candelario or more of the free agents sign soon? Deadline seems like the time to sign imo

Steve Adams

  • Candelario already signed a minor league deal with the Yankees. Seems like David Robertson is gearing up to sign soon.

Philly A’s

  • Do you see any of this year’s draft picks making it to a bullpen this year?

Steve Adams

  • Gage Wood joining the Phillies in September seems feasible.

Suarez

  • If he isn’t moved, can he get a QO?

Steve Adams

  • He can and wil
  • will*

Guest

  • By telegraphing his extreme need for a left fielder, isn’t Preller harming his bargaining position?

Steve Adams

  • Anyone who watched the Padres sign Connor Joe and Jason Heyward this winter and then saw their LFs produce a combined .221/.282/.322 slash through the All-Star break would know they badly want a left fielder whether Preller stayed silent or whether he took out nationwide billboards proclaiming that he’s interested in any and all left fielders.

Tom Kelly’s blues

  • Is a 56 win 52 loss record on 7/31 good enough for the Twins to buy?

Steve Adams

  • Yeah. I imagine that’d probably give them a share of the Wild Card in the AL or put them within 1-2 games. I doubt they even need to be quite that far over .500.That said, the Twins are up for sale and had major payroll concerns over the winter. I don’t know that they’re going to have the resources to make any significant adds, and even if they did, this front office tends to be pretty conservative on the buy side of things.

Jerry Dipoto

  • Over/under 1.5 trades for me this deadline?

Steve Adams

  • Over

Baines3

  • Best guess-Luis Robert to…

Steve Adams

  • Giants or Reds, with White Sox eating most of the remaining guarantee. (Total guess — I just picked two plausible buyers who rank near the bottom of the league in terms of offense versus left-handed pitching, since that’s one thing Robert is still doing well)

Norbert

  • Do the Angels trade Trout?

Steve Adams

  • No

Darthyen

  • Doesn’t Lourdes Gurriel Jr. make the most sense for what the Blue Jays need (not including pitching) He won’t cost much in prospect return mostly money (depending how much money, if any, Ariizona sends in the deal), he fills the RH left field bat with power and even play some passable first base. Bringing in Gurriel, with everyone healthy, will push Barger to third 80-90% of the time, Clemment to utility role, Lucas to some platoon/bench role and the rest to the minors

Steve Adams

  • He’s a league-average bat who’s owed $18MM beyond the current season ($14MM 2026 salary, $4MM buyout on a 2027 option).There are better and/or more affordable LF options. Not sure I’d call Gurriel a RH bat “with power,” either. He has average power, I suppose, although that’s playing at a stadium that’s very beneficial to right-handed hitters. (Rogers Centre is as well, but a bit less so)

John

  • Would Harry Ford net the M’s Willi Castro and Griffin Jax (assuming Twins are sellers)?

Steve Adams

  • Have to imagine the Twins would do that even if they weren’t intent on selling.

GM Joe

  • Last year I believe there was no top 100 prospect traded.  Does this trend continue???

Steve Adams

  • Depends how you view “top-100 prospects.” Thayron Liranzo was a 50-FV guy at the time and wound up pretty quickly landing on Top 100 lists post-draft. Agustin Ramirez was a top-100 guy, or close to it. Jake Bloss had crept onto the back end of BA’s Top 100 at some point.People get overly hung up on numerical rankings of prospects when the gap between someone ranked, say, 60th in the game and someone ranked 115th is pretty negligible.
  • Also, for what it’s worth, multiple Phillies beat writers saying Dombrowski is going to be more aggressive in his search for bullpen arms and target the Emmanuel Clase types of the world certainly suggests the Phils will be willing to splash some prospects around.
  • Ok, I’ve got to wrap this up. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social if you have more questions.If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut, weekly subscriber-only chats with Anthony Franco and me (where your odds of getting a question answered are much better), direct Q&A opps with Darragh McDonald, access to our new Trade Deadline Outlook series, access to our Contract Tracker, GM Tracker and our Agency Database, and more. It all starts at $2.99/month.

    Thanks and enjoy the rest of your week!

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Guardians Place Paul Sewald On Injured List

By Steve Adams | July 15, 2025 at 12:24pm CDT

The Guardians placed right-hander Paul Sewald on the 15-day injured list due to a right shoulder strain, reports Tim Stebbins of MLB.com. The move is retroactive to July 12, and a corresponding transaction has not yet been announced by the club. It’s not clear how long Sewald is expected to be out.

It’s the second time this season that the 35-year-old Sewald has been placed on the injured list due to a strain in his throwing shoulder. The former D-backs and Mariners closer signed a one-year, $7MM deal with Cleveland in free agency and struggled for much of April before heading to the IL for what would wind up being a stay of more than two months. Sewald was only reinstated from the injured list on July 5, but it seems his return will only last for a week.

In his limited time with the Guardians, Sewald has pitched to a 4.70 ERA with terrific strikeout and walk rates of 29% and 6.5%, respectively. That’s all come in a sample of just 15 1/3 innings. Sewald allowed eight runs in 11 2/3 innings prior to his original IL stint (6.17 ERA) and returned with 3 2/3 shutout frames before now heading back to the 15-day IL. He’s been more homer-prone than usual in that small sample (1.76 HR/9) and has seen his fastball velocity dip from an average of 91.4 mph last year to just 90.3 mph this season.

Sewald has never thrown particularly hard, but his velocity has been in a steady decline in recent seasons. He averaged a career-best 92.5 mph in 2022 but dipped to 92.2 mph, 91.4 mph and 90.3 mph in subsequent seasons. His swinging-strike rate has dropped accordingly in each season, though he’s still managed to continue posting strong strikeout rates.

Sewald’s placement on the injured list just over two weeks before the trade deadline is increasingly notable, given his team’s recent slide in the standings. The Guardians dropped 10 straight games from June 27 through July 6, though they lessened some of that sting by closing out the first half with six wins in seven games. They’re now three games under .500 and four and a half games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League.

Cleveland will open the second half with winnable series against the A’s, Orioles, Royals and Rockies — all of whom have records that are comparable to or worse than the Guardians’ own mark of 46-49. If the Guards slip further down the standings, they’d be increasingly likely to listen to offers on short-term veterans like Sewald. If he’s facing a notable absence, that scenario is off the table. Conversely, if the Guardians slice through that slate of opponents in the two weeks between now and the trade deadline, they’d presumably be more apt to add to the club, and Sewald’s absence could increase the front office’s desire to add to the bullpen.

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Cleveland Guardians Paul Sewald

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