The Royals’ Rotation Looks Stronger Than Ever
The Royals had one of baseball’s best rotations in 2024. Kansas City starters posted a 3.55 earned run average that trailed only the 3.38 mark of Seattle’s star-studded staff. They logged 911 innings, again second-best in MLB behind the Mariners. Seth Lugo and Cole Ragans placed among the top four in AL Cy Young balloting. Michael Wacha and Brady Singer weren’t at that level, but they each topped 160 innings with a mid-3.00s ERA.
Kansas City’s offense wasn’t nearly as productive. Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez (to a much lesser extent) carried an otherwise well below-average position player group. The Royals tried to balance things with one of the bigger trades of last offseason — swapping Singer to Cincinnati for Jonathan India and former well-regarded outfield prospect Joey Wiemer.
There’s risk any time a team trades a productive starting pitcher. The “no such thing as too much pitching” cliche exists for a reason. Still, the Royals felt comfortable moving on from Singer in large part because of Kris Bubic. He had undergone Tommy John surgery in April 2023. He returned in a relief role for the second half of last season. They decided early in the offseason that Bubic would return to his old rotation job.
Bubic is running with the opportunity. He has worked to a 1.98 ERA over his first seven starts. The 27-year-old southpaw is working nearly six innings per start and has only once surrendered more than three runs. He has rattled off quality starts in four of those appearances, ranking second on the team behind Lugo. Bubic is one of seven pitchers who has topped 30 innings with a sub-2.00 ERA through the season’s first six weeks. He has punched out an above-average 23.7% of opponents against a solid 7.7% walk rate.
While the strikeout rate is more good than exceptional, there’s probably some untapped upside in that regard. Bubic fanned 32.2% of opposing hitters en route to a 2.67 ERA in 30 1/3 innings last year. It wouldn’t be fair to expect him to fully repeat that as a starter — it’s easier to miss bats when you only face a hitter one time and can throw harder in short stints — but his per-pitch metrics are more impressive than this year’s strikeout rate would suggest. His 13.2% swinging strike rate ranks 20th in MLB (among 124 pitchers with 30+ innings). He’s 16th in whiff rate on pitches within the strike zone. While he’s never going to rival Ragans in terms of overpowering hitters, Bubic’s stuff plays.
Scouting reports have raved about his command dating back to his college days at Stanford. He has always had a fantastic changeup that makes him particularly tough on right-handed hitters. His breaking ball works more for weak contact than whiffs, but he’s able to miss bats with his fastball despite pedestrian 92-93 MPH velocity. The pitch plays above its speed at the top of the zone, where it gets good life that makes it difficult to differentiate from the changeup.
Bubic isn’t likely to maintain a sub-2.00 ERA all season, of course. He’s gotten some fortunate results on balls in play that should even out. Even if he ends up with an ERA in the low-3.00s rather than keeping up at a Cy Young pace, he should compensate for whatever production they lost by dealing Singer. Ragans, Lugo and Wacha remain an excellent top three. Michael Lorenzen is a fine if unexciting fifth starter, while Kyle Wright provides an interesting wild card as he finally nears his return from the shoulder surgery that wiped out his ’24 season.
The Royals may find themselves with an even better rotation than the one they rolled out a year ago. They’re leading MLB with 217 1/3 innings. Only the Mets (2.71) have a superior ERA than Kansas City’s 3.02 mark. The Royals are also eighth in strikeout/walk rate differential. Every pitching staff is dependent on health, but Kansas City may end up with baseball’s best rotation if their top four arms continue taking the ball.
They’ll need continued excellence from their starters to compete in a deceptively strong AL Central. The Royals have won five straight to push their record to 22-16. It’s the fourth-best mark in the American League but has them in third place in the division behind Detroit and Cleveland. The Central surprisingly produced three playoff teams a year ago. There’s a real chance it’ll do the same in 2025.
As was the case last season, Kansas City will approach the deadline in need of an offensive boost. They enter play Thursday ranked ahead of only the White Sox, Blue Jays, Rangers, Pirates and Rockies in scoring. India hasn’t provided the jolt they were anticipating at the top of the lineup. He’s hitting .228/.331/.299 with one homer through 148 plate appearances. Perez isn’t producing the same way he did last season, and the outfield has again been terrible. Maikel Garcia is out to a strong start, but he and Witt have been the only real sources of offense.
The Royals need to win low-scoring games all year, but they’re well positioned to do so as long as their pitching staff avoids major injuries. Lucas Erceg, Carlos Estévez and Hunter Harvey provide a better bullpen nucleus than they had at this point last season (though Harvey has been sidelined for a month due to a teres major strain). They’ll again be built primarily behind their rotation, which looks as strong as ever despite the offseason trade.
Image courtesy of Gregory Fisher, Imagn Images.
The Astros’ Second Ace
The last time that Hunter Brown was tagged on MLBTR's pages was almost one year ago. Brown had just thrown a five-inning relief appearance after Cristian Javier failed to advance past the second inning. Houston had been running a six-man rotation and was potentially considering dropping Brown to the bullpen or to Triple-A, as he'd allowed 26 runs over 23 innings through the end of April.
A lot can change in a year.
Brown struck out seven while allowing just one run in that May 11 relief outing. His return to the rotation six days later didn't go well, as he gave up four runs in five innings against Milwaukee. After that, Brown reeled off eight consecutive quality starts. He allowed more than three runs in just three of his final 22 appearances. He'd made it through six innings in just one of his first eight starts. He failed to complete six innings only three times from the middle of May onwards.
Unlock Subscriber-Exclusive Articles Like This One With a Trade Rumors Front Office Subscription
- Access weekly subscriber-only articles by Tim Dierkes, Steve Adams, and Anthony Franco.
- Join exclusive weekly live chats with Anthony.
- Remove ads and support our writers.
- Access GM-caliber tools like our MLB Contract Tracker
Angels Outright Touki Toussaint
The Angels announced that Touki Toussaint cleared waivers and was outrighted to Triple-A Salt Lake. He was designated for assignment yesterday when the club called up Héctor Neris and Connor Brogdon. While Toussaint has the right to decline the assignment in favor of free agency, the team did not indicate he planned to do so.
It was a brief big league stint for the 28-year-old righty. The Angels selected his contract on Saturday. He pitched the following day, allowing two runs in as many innings with a trio of strikeouts and one walk. It was Toussaint’s second stint with the Halos. He allowed a 4.62 ERA in 25 1/3 innings for them three years ago.
A former first-round pick by Arizona, Toussaint has pitched in parts of eight big league seasons as a swingman. He owns a 5.42 ERA in 282 1/3 MLB frames. He has recorded a roughly average 23.1% strikeout rate while walking more than 14% of opposing hitters. Toussaint has allowed 4.84 earned runs per nine over parts of seven seasons in Triple-A. He’s worked in long relief this year with Salt Lake, walking 14 of 96 batters faced with a 5.32 ERA.
The Angels have cycled through middle relievers as their bullpen has struggled to the worst results in the league. Entering play Wednesday, only Washington had a higher bullpen ERA than the Angels’ 6.95 mark. They’ve given up an MLB-leading 24 home runs. The Angels don’t have a single reliever who has logged a sub-4.00 earned run average.
Orioles Acquire Luis F. Castillo From Mariners
The Mariners announced that they’ve traded righty Luis F. Castillo to Baltimore for cash. Seattle had designated him for assignment yesterday as the corresponding move for the Leody Taveras waiver claim. Baltimore optioned Castillo to Triple-A Norfolk and designated lefty Walter Pennington for assignment to create a 40-man roster spot.
Castillo, the now-former teammate of the Seattle All-Star starter of the same name, has five major league appearances under his belt. He signed a minor league deal over the offseason and was selected onto the big league roster in early April. Castillo took a pair of turns through the rotation. He surrendered seven runs (six earned) on 12 hits and seven walks across seven innings. He struck out five.
Those were Castillo’s first two major league starts. His previous big league experience consisted of a trio of relief outings for the Tigers in 2022. Castillo spent the next two seasons in Japan. He didn’t miss many bats but managed a 2.96 ERA over 94 1/3 innings for the Orix Buffaloes a year ago. The 30-year-old has made four starts for Seattle’s top farm team in Tacoma. He has managed a 12:5 strikeout-to-walk ratio while surrendering eight runs through 14 1/3 frames.
Castillo sits in the 91-92 MPH range with both his four-seam fastball and sinker. There’s not much swing-and-miss upside but he has a full slate of minor league options. He’ll join Brandon Young and Chayce McDermott as depth starters who are on optional assignment to Norfolk.
Pennington, 27, heads back into DFA limbo for the second time in as many weeks. He was designated for assignment and released by the Rangers at the end of April. Baltimore grabbed him off release waivers. He made one appearance apiece at High-A Aberdeen and with Norfolk. Pennington hasn’t been able to find the strike zone, walking six of 10 batters faced while allowing seven runs (five earned) in one combined inning.
Initially drafted by the Royals, Pennington was traded to Texas last summer in the Michael Lorenzen deadline deal. He’s only a season removed from posting a 2.13 ERA with a 32.2% strikeout rate over 63 1/3 Triple-A innings. Pennington had been pitching at the Rangers’ complex before they moved on, and his pair of appearances with Baltimore affiliates were clearly alarming. He’ll likely wind up back on waivers in the next few days. If he goes unclaimed, he would not have the requisite service time to decline an outright assignment.
Royals Sign Stephen Nogosek To Minor League Contract
The Royals added reliever Stephen Nogosek on a minor league deal and assigned him to Triple-A Omaha. The move was announced by the affiliate.
Nogosek, 30, signs out of the Mexican League. He’d made 10 appearances for the Diablos Rojos. The surface numbers aren’t all that impressive. The righty gave up 10 runs (six earned) on 12 hits over nine innings. He struck out 13 while issuing only two walks, though, and the run prevention isn’t as dire in the league context. The average Mexican League hitter owns a .294/.371/.460 batting line, while the league’s earned run average sits at 5.75.
An Oregon product, Nogosek was drafted by the Red Sox and traded to the Mets as a prospect. He made 33 appearances for New York over parts of four seasons. He owns a 5.02 ERA across 57 1/3 big league innings. His 22% strikeout percentage and 8.9% walk rate were serviceable numbers for a middle reliever, but he allowed far too many home runs.
Nogosek had a brief stint in Triple-A with Washington last year. He was released in May after a disastrous 11-game showing. Nogosek gave up 18 runs while walking 18 hitters in only 15 2/3 frames. That required stints in Mexico and the independent Atlantic League to find his way back to affiliated ball.
Kris Bryant To Undergo Ablation Procedure On Back
Kris Bryant is headed for an ablation procedure on his lower back tomorrow, Rockies manager Bud Black tells reporters (including Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post). The skipper called it “a minimally invasive procedure” and expressed optimism that Bryant could resume baseball activities within a few days.
It’s nevertheless the latest frustration as Bryant tries to manage his persistent back pain. He has been out since April 14 with what the team called lumbar degenerative disc disease. It’s the ninth injured list placement of the former MVP’s three-plus seasons in Colorado. Six of them have been related to his back and/or side. Bryant also battled left foot issues early in his Rox tenure and fractured a finger in 2023.
Bryant owns a .244/.324/.370 slash line over 170 games in a Colorado uniform. The Rockies used him exclusively at designated hitter early this season to reduce his workload. He hit .154 with two extra-base hits (both doubles) in 11 games. This is the fourth season of his seven-year, $182MM free agent deal. Bryant unsurprisingly made clear last month that he’s not thinking about retirement.
Black provided a few other injury updates this evening (via Thomas Harding of MLB.com). Infielders Ezequiel Tovar and Thairo Estrada are ramping up baseball activities, while starter Austin Gomber has pushed his long toss regimen to 90 feet. It’s most relevant regarding Gomber, who has been out all season with shoulder inflammation. He opened the season on a rehab assignment but suffered a setback that necessitated a move to the 60-day IL last month. Gomber received a platelet-rich plasma injection and is back throwing, though he’s still a ways off another rehab stint.
Tigers Outright Manuel Margot, Release Kenta Maeda
The Tigers announced they’ve activated veteran outfielder Manuel Margot from the 10-day injured list and sent him outright to Triple-A Toledo. He evidently was placed on waivers earlier this week and already went unclaimed. Detroit also placed Kenta Maeda on unconditional release waivers after designating him for assignment last week. Once he clears waivers, he’ll be a free agent. Margot’s removal from the 40-man roster drops their count to 38.
Margot signed a split contract at the end of Spring Training. Parker Meadows, Matt Vierling and Wenceel Pérez were injured, leaving the Tigers scrambling for outfield depth. Margot started five games through the season’s first week and a half, but inflammation in his left knee sent him to the shelf on April 8.
Javier Báez kicked out to center field and has had an excellent start to the season, hitting .309/.350/.479 in 28 games. Zach McKinstry is rotating between third base and the corner outfield. He’s out to a .291/.375/.427 start over 32 contests. Kerry Carpenter is playing right field regularly, while Riley Greene is locked into left field. Báez and McKinstry probably won’t remain this productive, but the Tigers have little reason to take either out of the lineup while they’re playing well. While Detroit could’ve used Margot off the bench while optioning a younger hitter like Justyn-Henry Malloy or Jace Jung, they elected to stick with their current position player group.
Margot has well over the three years of service time to decline an outright assignment in favor of free agency. The Tigers didn’t provide any indication that he’d do that, however. His contract pays at a $200K rate for time spent in the minors (and a prorated $1.3MM for his time on the MLB roster or injured list). He’d join Akil Baddoo, Brewer Hicklen, Jahmai Jones and Ryan Kreidler among outfield depth in Toledo if he accepts the assignment.
Maeda’s release was the expected outcome. Teams have five days following a DFA to try to line up a trade, but that rarely happens with veterans on lofty salaries. The Tigers needed to find a trade partner by Tuesday or place Maeda on waivers. He would’ve been able to decline an outright assignment without forfeiting any salary, so the Tigers simply released him.
The 29 other teams technically have an opportunity to grab Maeda off waivers, but doing so would require assuming the remainder of his $10MM salary. That obviously isn’t happening. They’ll wait until he clears and becomes a free agent. If Maeda signs elsewhere, his new club would only be responsible for the prorated portion of the $760K league minimum for whatever time he spends on the MLB roster. The Tigers will pay the remainder of the salary.
It closes the books on a disappointing year-plus tenure in the Motor City. Detroit signed Maeda to a two-year, $24MM free agent deal during the 2023-24 offseason. The former Cy Young runner-up had fanned 27% of opponents with a 4.23 ERA during his walk year with the Twins. While it looked like a solid rotation pickup, Maeda’s production tanked immediately in Detroit. He allowed a 6.09 ERA over 112 1/3 innings a year ago, losing his rotation spot in the process. Maeda opened this season in low-leverage relief and didn’t fare any better, giving up eight runs (seven earned) over eight innings. He allowed nine free baserunners — six walks and three hit batters — while recording eight strikeouts.
Angels, Hunter Strickland Agree To Minor League Deal
The Angels are in agreement with Hunter Strickland on a minor league contract, according to the MLB.com transaction log. The veteran reliever, who’ll head to Triple-A Salt Lake, had been on a minor league deal with the Rangers. Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reported this afternoon that Texas had granted Strickland his release.
It didn’t take long for the 36-year-old righty to find his next landing spot. Strickland is plenty familiar with the Angels organization. He spent all of last season with the Halos. An offseason minor league deal led to a call-up by the second week of April. Strickland managed a career-high 73 1/3 innings over 72 appearances in middle relief. He posted a 3.31 ERA, though free agent interest was muted by his pedestrian 19.4% strikeout rate.
Texas added Strickland on a non-roster deal midway through Spring Training. He only made two appearances in camp, was released, then returned to the organization on a new minor league contract. Strickland pitched 12 times with Triple-A Round Rock. He surrendered 14 runs in 15 1/3 innings, striking out 15 while issuing nine walks.
The Angel bullpen has been a disaster through the season’s first six weeks. They have an MLB-worst 7.02 ERA despite logging the league’s smallest workload (109 innings). Angel relievers have allowed an MLB-high 23 home runs while ranking in the bottom third of the league with a 20.7% strikeout rate. Strickland’s Triple-A performance isn’t going to get him an immediate call, but there’s a clear path back to the big leagues if he can find something more closely resembling last year’s numbers.
Jays Notes: Kikuchi, Bloss, Turnbull
The Blue Jays kicked off a series against the Angels this week, providing an opportunity for Toronto reporters to catch up with new Halos starter Yusei Kikuchi. The veteran left-hander tells Hazel Mae and Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet that the Jays did not make him a free agent offer before he signed his three-year contract with the Angels.
Toronto traded Kikuchi to the Astros last summer. It was one of the bigger deadline rental deals, as the Astros parted with three upper level players (Jake Bloss, Will Wagner and Joey Loperfido) for a couple months of Kikuchi’s services. He was excellent down the stretch, working to a 2.70 ERA while averaging six innings per start across 10 appearances.
Kikuchi added that he wasn’t surprised that the Jays didn’t look to bring him back in free agency, noting that Bowden Francis did strong work after replacing him in the rotation. Francis was Toronto’s best pitcher in the second half, pitching to a 1.80 ERA while striking out nearly a quarter of opposing hitters. That certainly earned him a spot in the Opening Day rotation alongside Kevin Gausman, José Berríos and Chris Bassitt. The Jays still needed a fifth starter but elected to focus most of their offseason resources on rebuilding the lineup. Their only significant rotation move was a short-term investment, as they added Max Scherzer for $15.5MM on one year.
Scherzer’s recurring thumb injury sent him to the injured list after his first start in a Toronto uniform. That tested the Jays’ relatively thin rotation. Bloss, who made three big league starts with Houston before the trade, is one of the top depth arms on the 40-man roster. He has struggled to a 6.46 ERA over six appearances with Triple-A Buffalo, though, and he’s now facing an alarming health situation.
The Jays sent the 23-year-old for imaging on his elbow after his most recent appearance, relays Mitch Bannon of The Athletic. The team hasn’t provided any other specifics, but they’re skipping at least one start. Bloss last pitched on Saturday, allowing four runs on five hits and three walks across 3 1/3 innings.
Bloss’ injury comes days after the Jays signed both Spencer Turnbull and José Ureña to add some amount of veteran stability until Scherzer returns. Ureña, who’d begun the season in Triple-A with the Mets, jumped right into the fifth rotation spot. He tossed 74 pitches and worked 4 1/3 frames of two-run ball in his team debut tonight. Turnbull is much further off, as he spent the entire offseason unsigned before signing a prorated deal in the $1.27MM range. He’s on the 40-man roster but agreed to be optioned to the team’s Florida complex to get into game shape.
Manager John Schneider said this evening that Turnbull had kept his arm loose by throwing to collegiate hitters in recent weeks (via Mae). The skipper added that the optional stint can last up to 35 days before the Jays need to recall Turnbull onto the big league roster.
Nationals Sign Adrian Sampson To Minor League Deal
The Nationals signed righties Adrian Sampson and Parker Dunshee to minor league contracts this evening. Both players were assigned to Triple-A Rochester, which announced the moves.
Sampson is the far more experienced of the duo. The 33-year-old righty has pitched in parts of five big league seasons. He has worked 292 2/3 innings in a swing role, turning in a 4.43 earned run average. Sampson’s 17.5% strikeout rate isn’t especially impressive, but he throws enough strikes to be a serviceable depth arm. He spent all of last season working out of the rotation for the Rangers top affiliate. Sampson posted a 5.64 ERA with an 18.8% strikeout percentage against a solid 7.2% walk rate through 28 appearances in a tough setting in the Pacific Coast League.
Texas never promoted Sampson last year, and he returned to minor league free agency at season’s end. He’d remained unsigned throughout the offseason but now gets another opportunity. Shinnosuke Ogasawara and prospect Andry Lara are on the 40-man roster and working out of the Rochester rotation. The Nats are light on non-roster rotation depth. Joan Adon and Konnor Pilkington have some big league experience but are working mostly in relief (exclusively in Adon’s case) in the minors this year.
Dunshee, 30, is a former A’s draftee who received a cup of coffee with the Braves last year. He made one appearance for Atlanta, allowing five runs over 2 1/3 relief innings in his big league debut. The Wake Forest product had strong numbers at the top two levels of the Braves’ system, however. He combined for a 3.34 ERA while striking out nearly 32% of opposing hitters over 59 1/3 frames. Dunshee was bombed for five runs in two-thirds of an inning in the Mexican League earlier this year, but he’ll get a chance to work out of Rochester’s bullpen.