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Baseball Blogs Weigh In: Orioles, Barnes, D’Backs

By Zachary Links | March 9, 2014 at 8:59am CDT

On this date in 2010, Stephen Strasburg threw two scoreless innings against Detroit in his much anticipated first exhibition start for the Nationals.  The right-hander signed a record $15.1MM, four-year deal with Washington and showed that he was worth the money early on.  Here’s this week’s look around the blogosphere..

  • Camden Depot compared the Orioles’ and Nationals’ media market with others.
  • Outside Pitch spoke with Red Sox prospect Matt Barnes.
  • Inside The Zona graded the Diamondbacks’ offseason.
  • The Daily Statesman says Jhonny Peralta can make a difference in 2014.
  • Baseball News Source looks at what a Sterling Marte extension would mean for the Bucs.
  • A’s Farm previews some possible changes in Oakland.
  • Reviewing The Brew ranked the AL Central’s third basemen.
  • Climbing Tal’s Hill says the Astros will lose at least 100 games this year.
  • Mariners Brainstorm wonders if Dayan Viciedo could be an option for the Mariners.
  • Pinstripe Pundits has a hypothetical extension for David Robertson.
  • Konsume says the Royals would be better off without James Shields.
  • Hidden Vigorish wants to know how many platoons the Pirates can realistically carry.

If you have a suggestion for this feature, Zach can be reached at ZachBBWI@gmail.com.  

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Baseball Blogs Weigh In: Colletti, Izturis, Parra

By Zachary Links | March 2, 2014 at 2:30pm CDT

On this date in 2005, the Nationals in their first game ever beat the Mets in the exhibition opener.  Interestingly enough, the first and last games the Expos played were also against Mets.  This week’s look around the baseball blogosphere..

  • Lasorda’s Lair spoke with Dodgers GM Ned Colletti.
  • Blue Jays Plus wonders if Maicer Izturis can bounce back in 2014.
  • Inside The Zona talks Gerardo Parra’s new batting stance.
  • The Beanball discusses Brett Gardner’s new deal.
  • Hidden Vigorish says the Bucs’ starting pitching depth will be tested.
  • Outside Pitch sizes up the Astros’ closer options.
  • Camden Depot runs down Nelson Cruz’s red flags.
  • The Shea Faithful wonders if clubs have changed the way they evaluate outfielders.
  • Baseball News Source looks at five pitchers who are bounceback candidates.
  • Reviewing The Brew has five thoughts as we head into March.
  • MLB Reports looks into which managers are on the hot seat in 2014.
  • Rays Colored Glasses examines the trade that almost was.
  • i70 Baseball says Billy Butler is the key in KC.
  • Blogging Mets backs the Kiner’s Korner movement.

If you have a suggestion for this feature, Zach can be reached at ZachBBWI@gmail.com.  

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Baseball Blogs Weigh In

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How Clubs Determine Pre-Arbitration Salaries

By Zachary Links | February 28, 2014 at 11:36pm CDT

Earlier this month, MLBTR's Tim Dierkes learned that the Rockies have employed an unusual pre-arbitration pay scale.  As you might expect, agents are less than thrilled with the system in which Colorado pays a league-minimum $500K for players with between zero and one year of service, then bumps that up by just $1K for each additional service year before arbitration.  The pay scale is unique in that it offers only a minute bump over the minimum and doesn't factor in performance.  However, after speaking with a number of agents and baseball officials around the league, it's clear that the Rockies are far from alone when it comes to having a rigid pay scale for players with three or less years of experience, even if theirs is less generous than others.

"I'd say about two-thirds of baseball is using some kind of formula for that," one experienced agent told MLBTR. "Every system is different.  The Indians, for example, take a very sabermetric approach to it to be a little more scientific.  Others will be more about service time.  On one hand, those systems allow you to say to your client, 'This is why arbitration is so valuable, because you can let a third party sort it out objectively.'  Of course, you can't really compare an average player with a couple years of experience to a guy with less that made the All-Star team, so I have mixed feelings about it."

Many agents mentioned the Rays as a club with a similar "sabermetric" approach to calculating pre-arbitration salaries and it's believed both teams have been using that formula for several years now.  The Brewers use something similar to Tampa Bay and Cleveland, a "dumbed down" version of the sabermetric formula, as one agent put it.  Other teams, like the aforementioned Rockies, have a simpler method.  MLBTR's own Steve Adams learned that as recently as 2013, the Astros used the same basic formula as Colorado – players with 0-1 years experience would get the minimum salary ($490K at the time) with a $1K bump for each year.  Players could earn more by making the All-Star team (+$5K), being named organizational player/pitcher of the year (+$1K), and playing time in the previous year, calculated with the following formula:

Position Players: (PA/650)*$10K

Pitchers: The greater of: 1. (GS/33)*$10K 2. (G/75)*$10K 3. (IP/200)*$10,000

Houston's system came with two interesting wrinkles.  Agents were told that no player will be offered a pay cut from the salary they earned on a major league deal signed with the Astros in the previous year, an obvious plus for players and agents.  On the flipside, any player who would reject the offer and opt instead for renewal would get $5K less than the calculated scale amount (or the minimum, if the $5K penalty dipped below that point).  One player, Justin Maxwell, wound up getting his contract renewed by Houston at $492,500, just above the major league minimum of $490K.  The Astros, citing club policy, declined to comment on their pay scale.

One baseball source told MLBTR that even though the Rockies' pay scale has gotten a great deal of attention this offseason, they've been using it for the last three winters.  Even prior to that, they were using a system that was rather similar and also based on service time.  Any extra money given beyond the minimum was dictated by the raise in the league minimum from the previous year.  In the case of this offsesaon, the $1K increase reflected the healthy $10K boost in the minimum.

While agents may not be doing cartwheels over a $1K raise from year to year, there are instances in which nearly all of a club's pre-arb players will earn the league minimum, as was the case with the Marlins in 2012.  That year year saw a drastic spike in the league minimum salary from $414K to $480K, however, so the players received a notable bump nonetheless (and in some cases more, as evidenced by Chris Coghlan's $500K salary).  An executive with one club who uses a modest pay scale told MLBTR that their reasoning is rather simple.

"The thought process from our perspective always been to try and be consistent as possible," the exec said.  "The [Collective Bargaining Agreement] dictates a minimum, now $500K, for these guys.  The philosophical question is, what benefit do you get from paying them significantly above that, or even a dollar above that?  

"It's the one time in the process that the club has the edge, if you will.  We always tried to be consistent and objective and we don't want to have to try and figure out which player is more valuable than another or whether a first baseman is worth more than a relief pitcher…arbitration is all about comps, free agency is just market value, if we didn't have a pay scale, we'd effectively be choosing one of our players over another and we don't want to do that." 

The exec went on to say that virtually every agent has complained about his club's pay scale and he understands their frustrations since it's the one time in the process they don't get to negotiate their client's salary.  However, even though agents don't like the system, he says there have yet to be any negative consequences for it.  He believes that it's partially because the scale promotes consistency.  One American League executive whose club uses an "objective and subjective" method for coming up with salaries and is "in the middle of the pack" in terms of pre-arb player compensation supported that notion, saying that agents will typically protest more over how their client is paid compared to his teammates rather than the actual dollar amount.  

The other reason that the official from the modest pay scale doesn't fear any sort of retribution is because agents will approach arbitration and free agency the same way regardless of how their client is paid within the first three years.  The official used an example that came up numerous times in conversations with other executives and agents – Ryan Howard's $900K deal with the Phillies in his final year before arbitration.  The Phillies gave their star slugger more than double their obligation, but it obviously didn't buy them a loyalty discount through the arbitration process.  General Manager Pat Gillick & Co. offered $7MM, Howard's camp countered at $10MM, and the first baseman walked away with the the largest first-time arbitration salary ever.  That could be of some comfort to the Angels, who took a good deal of heat from fans and the agent for Mike Trout after they opted to pay their star outfielder just $20K over minimum last year.  In short, you'd be hard-pressed to find someone in baseball to bet on Craig Landis taking it easy on the Halos in their current contract talks if his client had received another $50-$100K a year ago.

It's worth noting there is at least one documented instance of a player taking his hard feelings into the arbitration process.  Outfielder Cody Ross told Ken Rosenthal and Jon Paul Morosi of FOX Sports in 2012 that his previous low pay was "one of the main reasons" why he went to a hearing with the Fish in 2010.  Ross won his case, coming home with $4.45MM instead of the $4.2MM he was offered.  However, that doesn't appear to be the norm.  In conversations with MLBTR, agents admitted that even in instances where they feel their client is underpaid in the pre-arb years, it doesn't affect how they approach arbitration or free agency since they're always pushing for top dollar no matter what.  Baseball people also say that while they have seen pre-arb pay come up in hearings, there is no evidence that it factors into the arbitrator's decision.

That could help explain why most clubs have opted to use rigid formulas rather than dole out significantly more money than required.  One high-ranking executive with a club that negotiates pre-arb pay with agents acknowledges that players won't take it easy on teams in arb hearings over the extra money, but he believes that it makes for a stronger relationship with the players.  

"Players will pass judgment on how a club treats them relative to anything and everything," said the National League executive.  "They'll think about how a club treats them when it comes to their family, travel, their contract, tickets…clubs are constantly being evaluated by players, justifiably, and every club can choose where they want to be evaluated well and where they're prepared to take a hit."

While that exec didn't like the notion of clubs giving their pre-arb players a near-minimum salary, he admitted that he understood the allure.  The up-front savings, even if they're not significant, are a nice perk.  On top of that, it's also less time-consuming to send an agent a dollar figure and say, "take it or leave it."   "I couldn't imagine how much longer it would all take if we were negotiating with every player," said one executive with a pay scale club.   

The player-friendly notion of negotiating appears to be going out of style throughout baseball.  "Most clubs, if they don't have a strict formula where you input the service time and certain numbers based on performance, they at last have some basic parameters in place versus 'Hey, this is what we feel like paying you,'" one exec said.  While negotiating pre-arb pay might make a player happier in the short-term, it seems that many clubs would rather expedite the process, and perhaps save a few dollars, with a pay scale.

This article was originally published on February 26th.

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Quick Hits: Rangers, Pirates, Rockies, Bonds

By Zachary Links | February 23, 2014 at 11:48am CDT

Mitch Moreland and Elvis Andrus are the only two position players remaining on the Rangers roster who played in the 2010 World Series against the Giants, the Associated Press writes.  "You realize sometimes how crazy baseball is and how everything can change in a couple of years," Andrus said. "It's crazy. That's why you have to enjoy every second, every moment of this. Because you never know what's going to happen in the future." Here's more from around baseball.

  • The Pirates are still in search of a first baseman, writes Bill Brink of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Of course, the Bucs have been linked to Justin Smoak, Adam Lind, Ike Davis, Moreland, and others this offseason.
  • The Rockies have nixed their plan to move Carlos Gonzalez to center field, writes MLB.com's Thomas Harding. Colorado told Gonzalez he'd move to center after they traded their former center fielder, Dexter Fowler, to the Astros in November. However, the arrival of Drew Stubbs means that CarGo can stay put.
  • Giants manager Bruce Bochy doesn't seem too concerned about Barry Bonds' presence being a distraction for the club during spring training, writes Henry Schulman of the San Francisco Chronicle.
  • Diamondbacks GM Kevin Towers has fortified his lineup with power this offseason and improved the bullpen and now he wants to see results, writes Dan Bickley of the Arizona Republic.
  • Astros catcher Jason Castro never let trade speculation get to him, even when it really heated up over the offseason, writes Evan Drellich of the Houston Chronicle.
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AL East Notes: Cruz, Capuano, Ortiz, Yankees

By Zachary Links | February 23, 2014 at 10:11am CDT

Nelson Cruz isn't a popular figure in some circles for his PED history, but Nick Markakis won't hold it against him.  "It doesn't change my opinion toward anything,'' the Orioles outfielder said, according to Peter Schmuck of the Baltimore Sun. "I got to be a teammate, and no matter if you disagree or agree with your teammates, they are still your teammates. He’s going to be welcome here and we are going to play as one. That’s for sure."  More out of the AL East..

  • Chris Capuano was nearly traded to the Red Sox three years ago when they were desperate for someone to win a game in the final week of the regular season, writes John Tomase of the Boston Herald.  Ultimately, however, Boston couldn't reach a deal with the Mets.  “(The Mets) actually knew about it earlier, but kind of waited until the last minute to tell me so it wouldn’t be a distraction. I didn’t have a whole lot of time to think about it. It was just a couple-day conversation that didn’t end up happening, but I was excited at the prospect of pitching for the Red Sox," said the veteran.
  • David Ortiz has few precedents when looking at what an extension might look like, writes Alex Speier of WEEI.com.  Speier looked at players who had ten or more seasons in an organization who signed deals that covered at least their age 39 seasons within a year of their free agency.  That short list includes Derek Jeter, Chipper Jones, and Mariano Rivera.
  • The Yankees have questions but no major concerns heading into spring training, writes Barry Federovitch of the Star-Ledger.  Among the question marks, however, will be whether Masahiro Tanaka can make the transition to four or five days’ rest.
  • Jorge Castillo of the Star-Ledger spoke with Yankees reliever Matt Thornton, who inked a two-year, $7MM deal this offseason, about what he expects his role to be with his new team.
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Baseball Blogs Weigh In: Orioles, Rays, Holmberg

By Zachary Links | February 23, 2014 at 8:42am CDT

On this date in 2000, the Cubs named four captains: first baseman Mark Grace, right fielder Sammy Sosa, pitcher Kevin Tapani, and reliever Rick Aguilera.  The quartet became the Cubs’ first captains since the 1960s and early 1970s, when Ron Santo held the position.  Here’s this week’s look around the baseball blogosphere..

  • Camden Depot breaks down the situation between MASN, the Nationals, and Orioles.
  • Rays Colored Glasses wonders what Tampa Bay would look like with New York money.
  • Inside The Zona asks if the D’Backs got fair value for David Holmberg.
  • Outside Pitch looks at the Tigers’ rotation to see who should start Opening Day.
  • Baseball News Source looks at the Cardinals’ enviable position.
  • Hidden Vigorish isn’t all that worried about A.J. Burnett’s age.
  • Kingdome Of Seattle Sports says Nelson Cruz won’t solve everything.
  • Climbing Tal’s Hill spoke with the wife of Astros GM Jeff Luhnow.
  • Soxspace Boston isn’t a big believer in luck.
  • Batting Leadoff talks extensions.
  • MLB Reports isn’t totally wild about the Homer Bailey extension.

If you have a suggestion for this feature, Zach can be reached at ZachBBWI@gmail.com.  

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Baseball Blogs Weigh In

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Red Sox Sign Francisco Cordero

By Zachary Links | February 18, 2014 at 11:16am CDT

TUESDAY: There's no opt-out clause in Cordero's minor league deal, tweets Peter Abraham of the Boston Globe.

MONDAY: Jon Heyman of CBS Sports tweets that Cordero's base salary upon making the team would be $1MM.

SUNDAY: The Red Sox have signed Francisco Cordero to a minor league deal, according to John Tomase of the Boston Herald (on Twitter).  The former closer last appeared in the majors in 2012 with the Astros.

Cordero underwent surgery to his non-throwing shoulder early in 2013 and was said to be targeting 2014 for his big league return.  The 38-year-old posted a 7.55 ERA, 7.1 K/9, 4.1 BB/9, 2.06 HR/9, and 39.6% groundball rate in 39 1/3 innings for the Blue Jays and Astros in 2012.  He lost the Jays' closer job in May of that year, was traded to Houston in July, and was released by the Astros in September after hitting the DL with a toe injury.  Cordero owns a 3.38 ERA, 8.7 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 over the course of 824 2/3 career innings.

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Baseball Blogs Weigh In: Fregosi, Japan, Orioles

By Zachary Links | February 16, 2014 at 12:39pm CDT

On this date in 2004, the Rangers traded Alex Rodriguez along with cash to the Yankees in exchange for Alfonso Soriano and a player to be named later, Joaquin Arias.  The trade came on the heels of the union killing the deal that would have sent A-Rod to Boston for Manny Ramirez.  Here’s this week’s look around the baseball blogosphere..

  • Angels Win remembers Jim Fregosi.
  • NPB Tracker looks at Japan’s independent leagues.
  • Camden Depot peers into the Orioles’ future.
  • Inside The Zona is less-than-thrilled with the D’Backs’ front office.
  • Rays Colored Glasses sat down with Kevin Kiermaier.
  • The Giants Cove breaks down the NL West.
  • Replacement Level Red Sox is optimistic about Felix Doubront.
  • Grading On The Curve is concerned about Archie Bradley.
  • Baseball News Source wonders what the Dodgers should do with their outfielders.
  • Outside Pitch plays trade matchmaker.
  • MLB Reports looks at the A’s payroll.
  • Players View talks Hanley Ramirez.

If you have a suggestion for this feature, Zach can be reached at ZachBBWI@gmail.com.  

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Cafardo On Cabrera, Dodgers, Santana, Hardy

By Zachary Links | February 16, 2014 at 11:50am CDT

In today's column, Nick Cafardo of the Boston Globe ranks the top managers in MLB.  Red Sox skipper John Farrell comes in at No. 1 thanks to his communication skills, ability to delegate responsibilities well, and, of course, his 2013 World Series ring.  Bob Melvin, Terry Francona, Bruce Bochy, and Joe Maddon round out the top five.  More from today's column..

  • There have been no talks concerning a contract extension between the Indians and Asdrubal Cabrera.  Cabrera can become a free agent at the end of the season, but it appears the Indians want to see how he rebounds from a down season.  Cafardo sees the shortstop as a potential target for the Yankees next offseason.
  • The Dodgers outfield surplus should work in their favor to start the year with Matt Kemp on the mend, but that doesn't mean GM Ned Colletti won't consider a move later in the season.  One National League special assistant believes that Andre Ethier would work out very well with the Red Sox.  “He needs someone to kick him in the butt, that’s why he would be perfect in Boston with [Dustin] Pedroia. That’s his buddy, and Pedroia would get the most out of him. He doesn’t have anyone like that in L.A.,” said the exec.
  • Don't be surprised if the Yankees' efforts to land Ervin Santana intensify in the coming weeks.  Even after landing Masahiro Tanaka, the Bombers could use one more solid starter to round out their starting five.
  • J.J. Hardy is in the final year of his contract with the Orioles and they would like nothing more than to keep him.  Baltimore will have to pony up some serious cash, however, as he could demand a deal of at least five years, possibly in the $15-17MM range.
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Ryan Dempster Won’t Pitch In 2014

By Zachary Links | February 16, 2014 at 9:40am CDT

Ryan Dempster won't pitch for the Red Sox in 2014 due to physical reasons and a desire to spend more time with his kids, tweets Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports.  The Red Sox are expected to place the veteran on the restricted list, meaning that Dempster will not receive his $13.25MM salary in 2014, according to Rosenthal (link).

“I don’t feel like I am capable of performing to the ability and standard that I am accustomed to. I feel it’s in the best interest of both the club but most importantly myself to step away from playing baseball at this time," said the 36-year-old (via Twitter links). "The time is right. I’m not saying retirement but I definitely won’t be playing this season."

Dempster's decision could have quite the reverb effect for the Red Sox.  If they place him on the restricted list as expected, the club will now have an additional $13.25MM of breathing room with regards to the luxury tax which would free them up to spend elsewhere.  While many of this offseason's top free agent draws are off the board, this development could pave the way for Stephen Drew to return to Boston.

The news also means that the Red Sox no longer have a surplus of starting pitching to work with.  There was some speculation that Boston would entertain the idea of dealing one of their starters for help in another area but that no longer appears to be a viable option.

In 2013, Dempster posted a 4.57 ERA with 8.2 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 in 29 starts and three relief appearances.  For his career, Dempster owns a 4.35 ERA with 7.8 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9.

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