Odds & Ends: McLeod, Yankees, Wagner, Lyon

Let's check out some Wednesday evening links….

Offseason Outlook: Boston Red Sox

Next up in our Offseason Outlook series, the Red Sox.  Their likely commitments for 2010:

C – Victor Martinez – $7.7MM
C – Jason Varitek – $3MM
1B – Kevin Youkilis – $9.125MM
2B – Dustin Pedroia – $3.5MM
SS –
3B – Mike Lowell – $12MM
IF – Jed Lowrie – $415K
LF –
CF – Jacoby Ellsbury – $450K
RF – J.D. Drew – $14MM
OF – Jeremy Hermida – $3.5MM (est.)
DH – David Ortiz – $12.5MM
1B – Casey Kotchman – $4MM (est.)

SP – Josh Beckett – $12MM
SP – Daisuke Matsuzaka – $8MM
SP – Jon Lester – $3.75MM
SP – Clay Buchholz – $415K
SP – Tim Wakefield – $3.5MM

RP – Jonathan Papelbon – $10MM (est.)
RP – Hideki Okajima – $2.5MM (est.)
RP – Ramon Ramirez – $1.5MM (est.)
RP – Daniel Bard – $400K
RP – Manny Delcarmen – $1MM (est.)
RP –
RP –

Other commitments: Julio Lugo – $9MM, Billy Wagner – $1MM, Alex Gonzalez – $500K

I decided to do things a little differently this time and put in estimates for the arbitration-eligible players (Hermida, Kotchman, Papelbon, Okajima, Ramirez, and Delcarmen).  I also left four spots open as I think the Sox will acquire players to fill most of those vacancies.  I have the Red Sox with about $124MM committed after entering 2009 around $122MM.  Their payroll was $133MM in '08 and $143MM in '07.  As they did last year, Tony Massarotti of the Boston Globe feels that the Red Sox have pretty good payroll flexibility.  Note that they could trim $5MM or so by trading or non-tendered Kotchman and Delcarmen.

Overpaying a bit for Marco Scutaro, in terms of both salary and a draft pick, seems like a legitimate possibility at shortstop.  He is the best available at the position this year.  Adam Everett is a solid, very affordable Plan B; he could battle it out with Lowrie.  It's not clear whether the Sox made a play for J.J. Hardy before he landed with the Twins.  Now that Hardy's a Twin, the trade market looks bleak.  If GM Theo Epstein is willing to wait, it'd be worth inquiring on the Angels' Maicer Izturis if they re-sign Chone Figgins and are willing to listen.  Moving Pedroia to shortstop appears to be a last resort.

Much has been written debating the merits of Jason Bay and Matt Holliday.  I'm guesing lesser players like Brad Hawpe, Josh Willingham, and Jermaine Dye could be considered as backup plans.  Or, Hermida could be given a shot.

It appears that the Sox are playing around with the idea of trading Lowell, which would put them in the mix for a corner infielder.  Adrian Gonzalez is the big fish possibly on the trade market.  Other speculative acquisitions have different strengths: Russell Branyan could add power, Nick Johnson could add OBP, Mark DeRosa brings versatility, and Adrian Beltre brings defense.  So far we've seen the Sox connected to utility infielder types like Adam Kennedy and Bobby Crosby, aside from DeRosa.

The rotation is in good shape, but most expect the Red Sox to add a starter or two for good measure in the vein of last year's Brad Penny/John Smoltz signings.  There's a laundry list of decent one-year deal options, including Rich Harden, Erik Bedard, Justin Duchscherer, Kelvim Escobar, Brett Myers, and Ben Sheets.  As for Aroldis Chapman, he'd probably be more of a long-term investment rather than a cog in the 2010 rotation.  If the Red Sox decide to prioritize pitching and pay a large cost in a contract or young players, there's always John Lackey and Roy Halladay.  A couple of considerations in acquiring a big-name starter are Beckett's impending free agency and the Yankees' targets.

Given Boston's inquiries on Scutaro, Mike Gonzalez, Rafael Soriano, and perhaps Holliday, I'm guessing they won't mind letting their #29 pick in next year's draft go.  And as we saw with the Yankees last year, once you sign one Type A, the price for the next one decreases.  Gonzalez and Soriano are two of the best free agent relievers out there, but the free agent market is packed with more affordable alternatives for a team that isn't desperate for relief help.  They could also trade a spare piece like Kotchman, much as they did last year getting Ramirez for Coco Crisp.

The Red Sox appear limited in their shortstop and power bat options, while they have tons of choices for pitching additions.  As usual, expect to see Boston linked to dozens of free agents and trade candidates this winter.

Several Clubs Interested In Jermaine Dye

Joe Cowley of the Chicago Sun-Times has the latest on free agent outfielder Jermaine Dye.  Cowley notes that while the Rangers are interested, Dye may prefer not to be a DH.  He names the Red Sox, Cardinals, and Giants as other teams that have shown interest.  Dye would presumably be a backup plan for the Red Sox and Cardinals.

What about the Yankees, who ESPN's Jerry Crasnick said yesterday discussed Dye internally?  Cowley says the Yanks denied the report, yet his source said the team asked for Dye's medical reports.

As for the Giants, MLB.com's Chris Haft notes that Xavier Nady is another outfielder on their radar.

Red Sox Rumors: Bay, Scutaro, Lackey, Bedard

Red Sox rumors from ESPN's Gordon Edes

  • Edes talked to Jason Bay's agent Joe Urbon, who indicated the timing of Bay's signing won't be affected by Matt Holliday.  Edes' team source says Bay remains Boston's top target.
  • Edes says Marco Scutaro "almost certainly remains at the top of Boston's list" at shortstop.  Scutaro's agent Peter Greenberg left open the possibility of his client signing before Monday's Winter Meetings.
  • One of Edes' Red Sox sources says John Lackey is not a target.
  • We knew of Boston's interest in Rich Harden and Kelvim Escobar, and Edes adds that the Sox are eyeing Erik Bedard.  Edes talked to Escobar's agent (also Greenberg) and learned that Boston is "at or near the top of" his client's list.  The righty plans to pitch in winter ball.  Escobar had labrum surgery in July of 2008.

Braves Sign Billy Wagner

11:36am: The Braves officially announced the Wagner signing, tweets MLB.com's Mark Bowman.  That implies he passed his physical.

1:28am: The Braves have agreed to sign Billy Wagner, according to Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports. The deal is worth $7MM and includes a $6.5MM option for 2011 that vests if Wagner finishes 50 games.

The Red Sox offered the lefty arbitration tonight, so they stand to gain the Braves' first round pick in next year's draft (#20), plus a supplemental rounder. The move is pending a physical, which could be more than a formality in this case. The 38-year-old returned from Tommy John surgery last year to strike out 15 batters per nine innings in 17 appearances with the Mets and Red Sox.

The Elias numbers rank John Lackey, Matt Holliday, Marco Scutaro and Jose Valverde ahead of Wagner, so if the Braves sign one of those players, the Red Sox would get the Braves' 52nd overall selection.

Red Sox Interested In DeRosa, Crosby

We learned yesterday that the Red Sox have expressed interest in infielders Marco Scutaro, Adam Kennedy, and Adam Everett already.  Via Twitter, Michael Silverman of the Boston Herald adds two more names to the list: Mark DeRosa and Bobby Crosby.  Of these five free agent targets, only Scutaro would cost the Red Sox a draft pick.

Despite wrist surgery, DeRosa appears to have a slew of suitors.  If he doesn't re-sign, the Cardinals will get a supplemental pick for their loss.  The following 12 teams have been linked to DeRosa in reports: the Cardinals, Mets, Braves, Twins, Yankees, Mariners, Nationals, Dodgers, Phillies, Rangers, Orioles, and Giants.  The Red Sox bring the total to 13.

Crosby has been linked to the Rockies and Rangers as a possible utility infielder candidate.

Red Sox To Offer Arb To Bay, Wagner

8:58 PM CST: The Red Sox just sent a press release officially announcing the arbitration offers.

7:22 PM CST: Amalie Benjamin of the Boston Globe confirms (via Twitter) that the offers to Bay and Wagner have been made.

6:09 PM CST: Red Sox president Larry Lucchino told The Providence Journal's Dan Barbarisi that the club will be offering arbitration to Type A free agents Billy Wagner and Jason Bay.  Lucchino said the offers would be officially sent out by tonight's 11:59 PM deadline, if they hadn't been sent already.

Neither move is a surprise, given that Boston stands to recoup as many as four extra draft picks should both players sign with other teams.

Red Sox Interested In Rich Harden

Ken Rosenthal and Jon Paul Morosi of Fox Sports are reporting that Boston is "serious about pursuing" free agent starter Rich Harden.  The Canadian right-hander had been rumored to be a target of the Red Sox given — as Rosenthal and Morosi note — the club's recent strategy of signing proven pitchers with health issues to short-term deals in an attempt to find a bargain.  Unlike Boston's signings last season (John Smoltz and Brad Penny), Harden has proven that he can pitch well in the American League, which makes him particularly attractive to the BoSox.

Harden is a Type B free agent who was not offered arbitration by his previous team, the Cubs, earlier today.  Rosenthal and Morosi were told by a source that Boston has yet to formally offer Harden a contract.

Red Sox Ask Pedroia About Playing Shortstop

3:09pm: Nick Cafardo of the Boston Globe learned from a team exec that the Red Sox will exhaust their free agent and trade options before turning to Pedroia at shortstop.

10:13am: The Red Sox asked Dustin Pedroia if he'd be able to play shortstop, according to ESPN's Peter Gammons.  Pedroia's thoughts:

"They've put it out there and I've told them I'm all for it. I can do it. I can't wait for Tito [Terry Francona] to call me and ask, 'Can you do it?' I can do it. I really want to do it."

Right now it appears that the Red Sox are just considering the switch for Pedroia.  As Gammons notes, shifting Pedroia would create flexibility, allowing the Sox to pass on Marco Scutaro and pursue Orlando Hudson or even Brandon Phillips.

As you know, other offseason considerations for the Red Sox include trading Mike Lowell and acquiring a third baseman, signing Jason Bay or Matt Holliday, and a possible Roy Halladay trade.  Gammons downplays the idea of Boston acquiring Doc, saying the chances of them trading Clay Buchholz or Casey Kelly are minimal at best.

Red Sox Interested In Adam Everett, Adam Kennedy

1:53pm: Michael Silverman of the Boston Herald says the Red Sox also expressed preliminary interest in infielder Adam Kennedy.  Kennedy, 34 in January, hit .289/.348/.410 in 586 plate appearances for the A's while playing mostly second and third base.

12:16pm: The Red Sox called to express preliminary interest in free agent shortstop Adam Everett, according to WEEI's Alex Speier.  Everett would be a defensive-minded signing, while the Dustin Pedroia idea would be more offensive-minded.  Marco Scutaro is the most prominent free agent choice, while Miguel Tejada's name has come up as well.

Are there any reasonable options for the Red Sox on the trade market?  Probably not, unless they can pluck someone from the Angels.

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