MLBTR Chats

Ben

• Are the stories about the Piratss being aggressive legit or pr?

Steve Adams

• Fully expect them to spend some money this winter. I’ll be stunned if they actually sign Schwarber, but I do think they’ll add an actual bat or two.

Braves fan

• I can see the braves signing bichette, use him as SS until our minor options are ready or albies declines even more then expected, is there any other options viable to be our SS if we dont kim?

Steve Adams

• I’d be shocked if the Braves deviated from their typical MO and spent that heavily on a free agent, but the fit works. I imagine Dubon gets the nod at SS if they can’t bring Kim back or find an outside-the-box option on the trade market. Beyond Kim and Bichette, there’s just not much for shortstop help.

C. Morel

• Am I going to have to accept a minor league deal, or will I get a 1 year prove it?

Steve Adams

• He’s a minor league deal guy for me (not that like, a year and $2.5MM would stun me or anything… but I’m not putting him on my nonexistent 40-man roster haha)

BrewerFan

• If the Cardinals were offering to eat all but say 5mm of Arenado’s deal, what would the Brewers have to surrender to get him?

Steve Adams

• They’d just have to take the remaining $5MM. Maybe give up a low-level prospect you’ve never heard of and would never hear of again after the trade.I’m not convinced every team would even put Arenado on the 40-man roster right now, even with the Cardinals eating the whole contract. He was so bad at the plate last year, and his glove is more good than elite at this point.

Cincinnati kid.

• How about reds trading Nick Lodolo to Boston for Jarren Duran and Garrett Whitlock. Fair for both sides

Steve Adams

• I wouldn’t give up Duran alone for Lodolo, let alone Duran + Whitlock.I like Lodolo, but he has less remaining club control than Duran and has all of one healthy season on his résumé.

Cardinals

• This a good trade for them? Why are your grades for each side?

Steve Adams

• I think it’s silly to definitively grade a trade that’ll take years to play out mere minutes after it happened. I do prefer the Cardinals’ side of things, but I get why the Red Sox made the move and it could easily work out great for them if Fitts is like a garden-variety fourth/fifth starter and Clarke never develops any semblance of command.

Mrs. Met

• Bichette at 3B?

Steve Adams

• I wouldn’t want that arm at third base, personally, but I can see some teams being open to the idea.

Chris Young

• What am I up to next? Do you think I should trade Seager?

Steve Adams

• There’s no indication that the Rangers have any plans to trade Seager. I see there’s been plenty of blogs speculating on the matter since the Semien trade, but Seager is a 32-year-old with six years and $186MM left on his contract. I don’t think there’d be a long line of teams unless the Rangers were paying down the contract, and I don’t think it makes sense for a team that’s trying to win now to trade its best offensive player.Brandon Nimmo said right after the trade to Texas that he only agreed to waive his no-trade provision after talking to Chris Young and making sure the Rangers weren’t going into any kind of rebuild. I don’t think the Rangers dumping Semien’s ages 35-37 seasons means they’re shopping a 31-year-old Seager (32 in April, but still)

Joseph

• Do you think the Giants are loading up on Outfield options on the fringes in preparation for potentially moving Helloit Ramos and Luis Matos?

Steve Adams

• I don’t think either of those guys has much value — certainly not Matos at this point. Claiming Justin Dean and acquiring Joey Wiemer for cash just seems like adding a couple of role players to vie for at-bats in spring training, and not much more.

Picking Sterns Brain

• Percent chance the Mets sign Tucker now? I don’t personally love Beli’s home/away splits last year and really hope we are not the team to finally give him that long term deal.

Steve Adams

• Have to consider them a viable landing spot, but there are several of those. I don’t know … 10%? Any hard percentage is just a made up number right now, ha. I think it’s realistic, but hardly a given.

Cherington

• Who plays SS for Pirates next year? A stopgap until Griffin is ready?

Steve Adams

• We’ll see how aggressive they are this winter in adding other bats. If they add a couple real hitters to the lineup — I know, I know — then I don’t think it’s crazy to suggest Griffin could hit his way onto the opening day roster with a big spring showing.If not that, they could always just play Nick Gonzales there or sign a Jorge Mateo type to keep the seat warm for a couple months, yeah.

AJ Preller

• Am I going to be allowed to spend while the Siedler brothers figure out what’s going on with the team? Is my window closed to win a championship?

Steve Adams

• San Diego Union-Tribune reported at the time the sale exploration was announced that the 2026 payroll would be about the same as in 2025, which gives Preller a whole lot of nothing to work with.
• They’re about $10MM or so shy of last year’s payroll. I was surprised the tendered Jason Adam with payroll concerns, a deep bullpen and him coming off that ruptured tendon

John

• Nationals make sense for geno Suarez?

Steve Adams

• Nats aren’t going to sign a notable veteran like that to a multi-year deal, no. They’ll give Brady House another look and maybe add some utility types or minor league deals who can also factor in if House looks overmatched again

Sparky

• I know the Reds are not going after the big contracts…but would they go after any of Geno Suarez (not the smallest contract), Adolis Garcia, JJ Bleday, Miguel Anduja for a power bat or bats?  Any chance of Devin Williams in the bullpen, or Pagan back?…very frustrating with the Reds and their ownership.

Steve Adams

• I think the Reds absolutely have the capacity to add one major contract this offseason, even if it’s an Alonso or Schwarber type. Not saying they will win the bidding, but they should be involved in the markets for both. They’re $20-25MM under last year’s payroll and could always further reduce current projections by trading Brady Singer, Tyler Stephenson, Gavin Lux, etc.Still surprised they tendered contracts to Will Benson and Sam Moll, though the latter signed for only like $100K north of the minimum, so meh.
• As for the names you suggested, none of them will be expensive outside of Devin Williams, so yeah, Reds can be involved for any of the bunch

Matthew

• If J.T. Realmuto signs elsewhere, what are some realistic options for the Phillies at catcher?

Steve Adams

• Trade for Ryan Jeffers. Sign Victor Caratini. Try to pry one of the Cardinals guys free (Jimmy Crooks, Ivan Herrera). See if the Reds will listen on Stephenson.

CHISOX FAN

• Are we going to trade Quero? That would be stupid. Every team needs  two catchers. What’s wrong with having two good ones?

Steve Adams

• I don’t think the White Sox getting interest in both is any sort of sign that they’re planning to trade one of the two, but there’s no sense in not listening.Also, I’m not entirely sure Quero is a “good catcher” — at least not yet. The glove needs a lot of work, and his offense was pedestrian. He’s young and there’s plenty of development time left for him, of course, but I feel like the White Sox currently have one good catcher (Kyle Teel) and a possible second one.

Angels OF

• Can Bleday, Tauchman or Yaz fit LF for halos. If halos pay 8 mill of Soler contract would there be any takers maybe KC or Cleveland.

Steve Adams

• Soler is a 34-year-old DH coming off a below-average offensive season and his highest strikeout rate since 2020. I don’t think paying down to $5MM is enough. He might not get a big league deal if he were a free agent.Bleday/Tauchman/Yaz for the Angels in LF seems fine, sure, but they should be looking more at center fielders than corner guys. You can’t play Adell in CF after how bad he looked there in 2025.

AstrosFAN

• Do you think Jesus Sanchez could go to Kansas City in Astros shop him?

Steve Adams

• He’s another guy that I thought was a very strong candidate to get non-tendered. I know Houston needs some LH balance in that lineup and traded for him this past July, but I thought they’d cut their losses given how bad he was there.Royals, Guardians, Pirates, Reds all make varying degrees of sense, but the return is going to be negligible. I think they should’ve just moved on, saved the $6-7MM and looked for alternative solutions. Especially with Jim Crane once again reluctant to cross the CBT threshold.

Adam

• Does the Sonny gray return up the value of other starting pitchers on the trading block?

Steve Adams

• Modern front offices don’t really subscribe to the “If he cost this, then this guy is going to cost even MORE” mentality. They’ve got their models for how they value players and aren’t going to deviate much, if at all, from them because of how another team valued a completely separate asset.

Joe Ryan

• Am I still a fit in Boston after the Gray trade?

Steve Adams

• Still have two rotation spots up for grabs, but I think Red Sox fans have disproportionately hinged their hopes on Ryan, specifically, since they were interested in him at the deadline. (Rob Bradford — who is great! Hi Rob! — frequently hyping him probably helps fan the flames a bit, too)
• But sure, you could acquire Ryan, and go with a Crochet-Ryan-Gray-Bello front four and leave the fifth spot up to a Tolle/Early/Sandoval/Crawford competition. Guys are going to get hurt, so you’ll need all those other arms at some point anyhow. (Plus, Early or Tolle might be part of the ask to get two years of Ryan)

Rally Monkey

• Combining questions: How about a change of scenery framework of Soler for Arenado? Money coming from STL would have to be involved (all but 5 MM in 2027 perhaps). Cards could get out from next year’s commitment and save a bit of money while Angels get a slightly above average defensive 3rd basemen and rebound candidate.

Steve Adams

• There’s no reason for the Cardinals to take on Soler. They’re not going to want him on the roster. They could eat some of his contract and just release him, but that’s no different from just agreeing to pay down more of Arenado’s contract.I don’t see any way the Halos get out of the Soler deal short of simply releasing him.

Veteran Righthander

• On Marlins suggesting they will bid on some players, perhaps even spend–about how much would they need to show the league/other owners that they were attempting to be competitive?

Steve Adams

• They’d try to push their luxury tax/CBT number up into the same 105 range the A’s targeted last year. For Miami, that’d mean adding another $35MM or so in AAV — but 40-45 might be safer to make sure they avoid any kind of grievance that’d come up in CBA talks.

Ben

• The obvious move for the Orioles is to spend on at least one (ideally more) arm that can slot into the rotation alongside Rogers, Bradish, and the pupu platter… is the Ward acquisition the end of looking for bats? While it’s reasonable to expect bounce backs from a number of guys (Adley, Gunnar’s power, Cowser, etc), I don’t feel confident in JUST Ward bolstering that lineup… maybe a mid-tier bat such as a reunion with O’Hearn or Yastrzemski or even a guy like Willi Castro?

Steve Adams

• The Athletic was out here writing the day after the Ward trade that Baltimore hasn’t even ruled out a run at Kyle Tucker. I don’t think they’re done shopping for bats at all, although echoing a common refrain here, I was surprised they tendered a contract to Ryan Mountcastle.

Buster Posey

• Is trading Bryce Eldridge a viable option this offseason, with Devers looking to take 100-110+ games at 1B next year? Packaging Bryce and some other MLB-ready arms, plus some mid-level prospects, possibly attract an offer from Scott Harris of the Tigers for Skubal?

Steve Adams

• I still see almost 0% chance that the Tigers trade Skubal.But separately, yes the Giants can and probably will at least consider the idea of trading Eldridge. Have to think he could be an important part of a trade if the Twins shop Joe Ryan or Pablo Lopez, or if the Marlins are listening on Edward Cabrera, or when the Nats shop MacKenzie Gore, etc.

Kyle

• Would any of the dodgers pitching prospects or a guy like Wrobleski get Cowser from the Orioles? Fits need for need

Steve Adams

• I’m pretty down on Cowser overall. I wouldn’t trade Wrobleski for him. But yeah, that would (or should!) get Baltimore’s attention

Murakami

• In your top 50 FA rankings, you had Murakami ranked 4th. I see a lot of negativity around him (defense, inability to hit fast balls). How big of a variance was there in these rankings (i.e., how much farther down the list could you see him to have been reasonably ranked)?

Steve Adams

• We base them on earning power. I can definitely see us being high on Murakami — potentially very high — but I can also see us being low on him. Murakami and Imai are the two far and away highest-variance players on our list.That said, I’d be pretty shocked if Murakami came in south of $90MM, so for me there was never any way he was going to be lower than No. 12 or so. (We had Josh Naylor 12th with a five-year, $90MM prediction)

Byron Buxton

• Who do you see covering the outfield with me in Minnesota next year (I will still be in Minnesota next year, right?)

Steve Adams

• Unless the Pohlad family orders further payroll reduction and the Twins trade Joe Ryan/Pablo Lopez — at which point I believe Buxton would ask for a trade — then he’ll be back, yeah.Alan Roden and Matt Wallner probably open the season in the corners, but by the summer they’ll be talking about potential promotions for top prospects like Walker Jenkins and Emmanuel Rodriguez (health permitting)

John

• this is a dumb question, but if it’s looking like a 2027 lockout, why don’t they try to ramp up cba talks now?

Steve Adams

• They had some preliminary talks during the GM Meetings last week

Addy Barg

• I’m a rare Blue Jays fan that doesn’t want the team to resign Bichette. I just don’t see him aging well on a 7-8 year contract, especially with how poor the defense is. I would rather they spend elsewhere. Thoughts?

Steve Adams

• I think the bat is going to age as well as you can reasonably expect. I get the defensive concerns, but I’m on the opposite end of the spectrum from you. I’d be pushing hard to keep him around for the next eight years or so. He’s such a good hitter, fans love him, clubhouse loves him, etc

Dale

• Would you agree that the Twins have a high-variance crop of players? As in, a lot of young — but with big league experience — guys, who if they all somehow took steps in the right direction, could end the rebuild before it even starts?

Steve Adams

• I do agree with that. The farm is deep, and that doesn’t even include guys like Keaschall, Roden, Lee, Lewis and Taj Bradley — any of whom could be an above-average regular next season.I have a hard time seeing that many things go right for them and would like their chances far more if ownership actually let the front office spend. ….But I don’t expect them to do that, either.

Walter

• Gavin Williams and Steven Kwan for Hunter Greene and Spencer Steer. Would free some payroll for the Reds to get Schwarber.

Steve Adams

• Trading Hunter Greene — even for Williams/Kwan — would be antithetical to signing Schwarber, which is a win-now move. Greene is the best player in that package you laid out.And the Reds don’t need to shed payroll to sign Schwarber. Or at least they shouldn’t. You can backload the deal a bit to make 2026’s salary more manageable, and they’ll have Singer/Stephenson/Lux off the books next winter, with no truly exorbitant arb raises due

David

• Did any of the non-tenders surprise you?

Steve Adams

• No one who was non-tendered surprised me — just surprised by how many middling players were tendered contracts. Teams this year almost exclusively non-tendered guys with five-plus years of service. Are the Pirates, Guards, etc. going to run the Jack Suwinskis and Will Bensons of the world through waivers, knowing they’ll go unclaimed and can be stashed in AAA as depth since they won’t reject the outright? It was just weird.

Jeff Torborg

• Do Vientos/Tong/Mauricio get Buxton and Pablo Lopez to Queens??

Steve Adams

• Nope

John

• Best starting pitcher available for trade? Available with more than a 30% chance to get traded

Steve Adams

• MacKenzie Gore, Edward Cabrera, Joe Ryan, Mitch Keller … I think like half our Top 40 Trade Candidate list for the offseason was starting pitchers, ha:https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/mlb-rumors-top-trade-candidates…

Guarded Indian

• Where is the tracking for the prediction contest?  I think I have a couple correct already.  I love this contest!

Steve Adams

• Not sure. I can check with Tim when the leaderboard is going up. But there will be one sooner than later.

Christopher Morel

• I’d be a perfect fit for the Royals bench and as an insurance policy for Caglianone.  What’s the chances I sign a one year deal in Kansas City?

Steve Adams

• Disagree and think the Royals already have enough low-OBP guys who can’t really hit. That’s sort of their problem every year, especially in the outfield.

Buc Stops Here

• Adolis Garcia seems like a great sign for the Pirates as a bounce-back candidate. Can 3/$45m get it done?

Steve Adams

• If the Pirates (or anyone) thought Garcia was worth that, he wouldn’t have been non-tendered
• The Rangers couldn’t find a trade partner at one year and around $12MM. He’ll probably sign for a year and $7-10MM plus incentives.

BRADY

• RATE SONNY GRAY TRADE  THANKS

Steve Adams

• READ EARLIER IN CHAT THANKS
• 🙂

It’s Richard Fitts!

• If CY can somehow sign Luis Arráez, Devin Williams and find this years Patrick Corbin (John Means?) can we make a playoff run in 26?

Steve Adams

• Rangers fans really want Luis Arraez, it seems (at least based on these chats). I … would not, haha.I do think there’s enough talent in the Texas core to make a run with some more additions, and there’s still room to add while keeping the payroll a good ways south of last year.
• Ok. I’ve got to call it for the week.Tim’s mailbag will run tomorrow (I think), and Anthony will have a subscriber chat on Friday. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social.If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut (during the season), weekly subscriber-only chats with Anthony and with me (where your odds of getting a question answered are much higher), extra insight from Darragh McDonald, access to our Contract Tracker (a vital offseason resource) our Agency Database, our GM Tracker, our Offseason Outlook series and more.

  Thanks everyone, and have a great week! Happy Thanksgiving to all.

Troy

• Thoughts on the Brewers this offseason? Giving Woodruff the QO was not on my bingo card. Will Attanasio finally spend and go get a bat?

Mark P

• Trading a starter for a hitter might be the likelier scenario, given how the Brewers are still working with a limited payroll.  Having Woodruff back is a nice bonus for the team, and it makes it perhaps slightly likelier they’ll now be open to moving Peralta, but it’ll naturally still take a huge offer

TennesseeMG

• What kind of deal do you expect Imai to get and who ponies up for it?

Mark P

• The top 50 list had him going for six years and $150MM, and I agree with that general projection.  This is a rare instance where I don’t think the Dodgers will land him, since on paper, L.A. already has a ton of money invested in its rotation.  While it wouldn’t surprise anyone if Imai did just sign with the Dodgers, I can see the Giants or Red Sox swooping in there

Bobby Cox

• You see the Braves getting Diaz would help pen alot but with giving 16 mill to inglesias I thinking no

Mark P

• Iglesias’ return definitely shuts the door on any talk of Diaz to Atlanta.
• The Braves probably keep it relatively inexpensive with the rest of their relief acquisitions. Maybe trading for a reliever is a likelier scenario than a prominent signing.

Guest

• Ryan Helsley becoming a starter? Good idea?

Mark P

• I don’t really get the logic.  Helsley has never been a starter in the majors and he hasn’t started at any level since 2019.  If I’m the Tigers or any other team thinking about Helsley as a starter, I’d just play it safer and acquire an actual starter

Natitude

• Any chance the Nats make a run at Pete Alonso?  Similar to the Werth signing of years ago, the Nats may need to overpay in the market to lure a proven veteran commodity to join the youth movement in DC for the future.

Mark P

• That seems like a bolder move than I’d expect from the Nationals at this stage.  If anything, it seems like the organization is taking a step back to retrench after the disappointment of 2025, and to let Toboni have some time to remodel the front office to his liking.

Reds country

• If the A’s were willing to move soderstrom, what would a fair package from the reds look like?

Mark P

• I’ve written this before, but the ship has almost certainly sailed on the idea of the A’s trading Soderstrom.  He was a very strong defensive left fielder, so now there aren’t any questions about how he’ll fit into the Athletics lineup

Corbin’s Elbow

• Diamondbacks and Pirate lining up for a trade involving Lawlar and young pitching?

Mark P

• That would make a lot of sense for both parties.

Anonymous guy

• brewers sign Jona heim?

Mark P

• Heim should be able to find at least a timeshare with another team, just because the catching market is so thin.  Chances are he won’t have to settle for a backup job in Milwaukee or in any other spot with a set #1 catcher

MLBTR

• Was Iglesias really the best the Braves could do with $16m? Don’t they need more and even with potential spending it seems a misstep??

Mark P

• I disagree.  The signing made sense for the team, since Iglesias was still quite solid last season.  The shorter term also allows Atlanta to pivot next winter if Iglesias does start to decline.

JQ

• How much do you expect it will take for the Royals to bring back Yastrzemski

Mark P

• Not a ton?  Yaz is 35, so probably a one-year deal at most.  I’m not sure how busy his market will necessarily be since probably a lot of teams view Yaz as a fallback option.  The Royals are likely in that group too, but might have an edge due to their past relationship.

  If I’m KC, I aim to land a true upgrade for one outfield spot, and then aim a little lower for a decent semi-everyday type like Yastrzemski for another outfield spot.

Green Monstah

• Are you surprised the Red Sox didn’t non-tender Connor Wong?

Mark P

• Wong looked like a breakout just a year ago, so I’m not that surprised Boston wanted to hang onto him for a while longer.  As noted, catcher isn’t a position of great depth league-wide, so why not just bring back Wong in at least a backup role and see if he can rebound.

Concerned fan

• Woodruff called the Brewers bluff, and now the payroll is more than maxed out. What move can the Brewers make to improve the offense without spending money or reducing payroll from current levels?

Mark P

• If the Brewers were really concerned that Woodruff’s QO was going to throw their payroll out of whack, they wouldn’t have made the offer in the first place.  Given how Woodruff pitched in 2025, I think the team is pleased with the idea of having that kind of ace-level upside in the rotation, if (big if) Woodruff can stay healthy.
• As mentioned earlier, trading from their rotation depth could be one way for the Brew to add a bat without breaking the bank

MarioSoto

• I know the odds or the Reds signing Schwarber are low but let’s say they did. Would he and some bullpen additions be enough to put the Reds as front runners in the division?

Mark P

• “Frontrunners” may be a stretch since by this point, I’m just assuming the Brewers will always figure out a way to win the NL Central.

  But obviously sure, having Schwarber alone would put the Reds in very good position to at least back to the postseason.

Buster Posey

• Colton Cowser or Chandler Simpson to the Giants? Which one would move the needle?

Mark P

• Cowser has done more at the MLB level and he was a more highly-touted prospect. If I’m the Giants trying to upgrade the outfield, he’s the one I’d target.

  With Ward now in the mix and Baltimore’s outfield more crowded, there might be a better chance Cowser is available, but naturally the Orioles would still be asking for a lot

Padres

• Jake Cronenworth to Toronto for Lauer and a prospect.

Mark P

• Cronenworth doesn’t bring anything to the table that the Toronto lineup doesn’t already have, plus he’s expensive.  Lauer might end up being a valuable piece for the Jays again in a swingman role.

Detroit.

• Who do you think is detroit first priority in the relief market?

Mark P

• Adding pitchers who can miss some bats.  Frankly, Helsley would make way more sense for the Tigers’ bullpen than he would their rotation.

Guest

• Nathan Lukes trade for relief pitcher?  Maximize his value?

Mark P

• Lukes did a lot for the Jays last year, but he seems like the most expendable trade chip for the team to go out and get some pitching help

Guest

• Thoughts on what else Braves might do this offseason to fill needs, specifically the rotation as well lineup if they stick with Dubon as starting SS?

Mark P

• Dubon is probably the backup plan for the shortstop position.  He’ll do if the Braves can’t find anyone else, but I think the Braves are indeed still on the hunt.

Andy Asks About Mariners

• Who’d net the most in a trade, Bryce Miller or George Kirby? I think Gilbert and Woo are untouchable while Castillo would not net much.

Mark P

• Kirby’s the much more valuable trade asset.  Miller’s extra year of control doesn’t outweigh Kirby’s better track record.

Big John

• thoughts on why players sign so early in the offseason (ala Naylor).  do they leave money on the table for not letting teams really get into a bidding war?

Mark P

• For one, most players generally don’t sign early, as they take their time to gauge the market and enjoy (if that’s the right word) getting the opportunity to be a free agent.

  In Naylor’s case, it was a perfect storm of the team really wanting him back, Naylor having Seattle as his preferred choice, and the M’s immediately coming up with an offer that Naylor’s camp found acceptable.  If Naylor ultimately just wanted to stay in Seattle all along, why bother dragging things out for a few more weeks just to the test the market, since then he runs the risk of the M’s pivoting to someone else.

Pirates

• Which are we more likely to do…. Sign Schwarber, Extend Griffin, Extend Skenes

Mark P

• Extending Griffin is far and away the likeliest of those three scenarios

Mike

• Why doesn’t the league expand?

Mark P

• Rob Manfred has long stated that the league wanted to get the A’s and Rays’ ballpark situations figured out before looking more fully at expansion

O’sFanDan

• Could you see a trade centering around Cowser and Bubic?

Mark P

• Bubic is only under control through 2026, so probably not.  I realize that the Orioles just dealt a controllable younger player in Gray-Rod for a one-year player in Ward, but Cowser doesn’t have Rodriguez’s larger injury history

HOF

• Who’s getting in this year? Beltran and that’s it?

Mark P

• Beltran likely gets over the 75% line, and Andruw Jones might sneak in as well.  I can see the veterans committee electing someone (not Bonds or Clemens, though)

Nolan

• Are the Bucs REALLY in on Schwarber?

Mark P

• I’ve got no reason to believe they haven’t been in touch with his agent, or asked what kind of contract Schwarber is looking for.  How realistic their chances are remains to be seen, but I can believe Cherington is doing his due diligence.

My name

• Is there any way the Guards sign Alonso?

Mark P

• Find it hard to believe the Guardians spend that much, or that Alonso’s market would slump to the point that Cleveland would get involved

Kevin

• What does Jim Edmonds have to do to be elected to the HOF? His stats are very good

Mark P

• Edmonds absolutely needs to land on a veterans committee ballot someday, since I think he has a better case than half the guys on the current ballot.

  Still can’t figure out why Lou Whitaker isn’t on the ballot either.

MARCUS

• will the REDS actually trade HUNTER  GREEN

Mark P

• Doubt it.

Jorge Polanco

• Now that they have Semien, what would the Mets be looking for in a Jeff McNeil trade?

Mark P

• I’d think pitching, or perhaps a center fielder if one can be obtained.

Tiny Tigs

• It’s this a make or break year as fall as figuring out what kind of owner Ilitch junior really is? A lot of people thought the Tigers would spend last off season. Now, coming off a near complete collapse and another 2nd round exit, will the Tigers actually spend? Or is Mike’s son just not as committed to trying to win a world series as he was.

Mark P

• While I agree that the Tigers should be more willing to spend more and adopt more of a win-now attitude, your take is a bit of a “glass half-empty” perspective of the last two seasons.  Another way of looking at it is “hey, this team made the second round two years in a row, they seem to be on the right track.”

Jonny Venters

• What do you think it would take for the Angels to land Lars Nootbar?

Mark P

• Nootbaar is a question mark for Opening Day, so if I’m the Angels, I aim for an outfielder without as many health concerns.
  https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/10/lars-nootbaar-may-start-2026-se…

Your name

• Who will the Phillies sign????

Mark P

• Chalk answer, but I think the Phils re-sign both Schwarber and Realmuto.  Beyond that, bringing in a reliever or two seems feasible, but Schwarber/JT might be in terms of big-ticket free agents

Sentimentally

• I’d love to see Yastrzemski land in Boston.

Mark P

• If the Red Sox didn’t already have 15 left-handed hitting outfielders, it would be a fun story

DePodesta

• Do I begin the rebuild this offseason, at the deadline, next off season or wait until a new CBA

Mark P

• As soon as humanly possible.

Trent Girsham

• The Yankees didn’t expect me to take the QO, did they?  Am I blocking Dominguez and Jones?

Mark P

• Like with the Brewers/Woodruff answer earlier, the Yankees wouldn’t have made the QO to Grisham if they weren’t prepared for the possibility that he’d accept.

  If Grisham is penciled into center field again, that leaves LF for Dominguez and Jones if the Yankees were intent on seeing what either or both can do with steady big league playing time.

MVBees

• Can anyone beat Judge and Ohtani next year? Who has the best shot in each league?

Mark P

• If Ohtani is going to be pairing his usual offensive numbers with (health permitting) strong pitching numbers going forward, I don’t think anyone’s beating him in the MVP race for the rest of the decade.

  For Judge, Raleigh came within a hair of beating him in this year’s vote.  It did take a truly special season for Raleigh, of course, and who knows if he (or anyone) can get to that level in the future.  In theory Judge might slow down since he’s entering his age-34 season, but I’m not holding my breath.

I’m a player

• Chris Young has moved salary with the trade and non tenders, is he now a player in the free agent market? Alonso, Bellinger, Tucker, which one is the best fit?

Mark P

• None of those players seem like fits for the Rangers’ limited payroll.  Between Semien’s contract and the non-tender savings, that still saves only a little bit of money since Nimmo has a hefty contract in his own right

Kevin McGonigle

• Please convince me that I will be on the opening day roster. Gleyber’s return makes me doubt that it’ll happen

Mark P

• The Tigers’ GM has already all but officially said McGongile is starting the season in Triple-A

ivylander

• Hard to imagine the O’s carrying both Mountcastle and Mayo on their opening day roster. Which one is more likely to help bring in a starting pitcher?

Mark P

• Mayo has way more trade value.
• I’m a little surprised that the O’s tendered Mountcastle a contract, if anything

Your name

• Would the Athletics make sense as an Arenado suitor

Mark P

• In theory yes, since the A’s are so thin at third base.  But I have a hard time seeing Arenado waiving his no-trade clause to play in a minor league ballpark for a team that isn’t yet a contender.

Murakami and Okamoto

• I’ve seen mixed reports on whether these guys will stick at third in the majors or not. What say you?

Mark P

• Having not seen them play, I’m also going by scouting reports.  The feeling is that Okamoto is the likelier of the two to at least competently play 3B, as some teams might just put Murakami at 1B right away and not even experiment.

Willy Mays fan

• Will the giants make a change at 2nd base. Plus 10 guys on the 40 man who play the outfield isn’t sustainable especially with a few of them out of options. Plus the need pitchers. Your thoughts please.

Mark P

• Casey Schmitt isn’t a bad option at 2B, if the rest of the Giants lineup was more loaded.  But in general, Schmitt seems more to me like a good “first guy off the bench” than someone I’d rely on as a regular starter.

Coach L

• Could you see the Orioles trading Rutschman to the Pirates for pitching?

Mark P

• The O’s value Rutschman highly enough that I don’t see them moving him for anyone Pittsburgh has, unless it was somehow part of a package for Skenes

Giants

• Theres been a lot of talk about the Giants trading Eldridge, but does that really make sense? They’ve struggled to produce a position player prospect with Star potential tools, finally pull it off, and now people are talking about them trading him? Is trading Eldridge really the only way the Giants could make meaningful upgrades?

Mark P

• SF has about $168MM committed to next year’s payroll, and their tax number is $54MM under the threshold.  They can add to their roster in a ton of ways just be spending some money, rather than trading Eldridge

Braves Fan

• How valuable is that PPI draft pick. Is it better to use in a trade or keep?

Mark P

• PPI picks can’t be traded.  The only draft picks eligible to be traded are the Competitive Balance Round selections

Guest

• When will owners wise-up and figure out that these long term contracts that pay players past the age of 34/35 never work  out?

Mark P

• Enough of them do work out that teams will always keep making these signings as the price of doing business.

Sparky

• I know the Reds won’t be alone, but will they make a push in the Garcia/Bleday/Lowe/Morel market…plus maybe Geno Suarez, or is Geno too much and they go after a couple of the first group?

Mark P

• The past history makes me wonder if Suarez and the Reds could be a fit.  He’d be more of a clear-cut upgrade for Cincinnati than anyone from the non-tender crew.

My Name

• Albert Pujols was a hot candidate to manage a team. Now he isn’t. What happened?

Mark P

• It’s not uncommon for guys to be interviewed for several managerial openings over several years before finally landing a job.  Pujols draws more attention because he’s a huge game, naturally, but perhaps thinks just didn’t click for him in this hiring cycle.

  Managing in the WBC might raise his profile and make him more of a hotter candidate for next offseason’s round of managerial hirings

Kyle

• If the Rays and Mariners go back to the trading well. What do you think that trade looks like?

Mark P

• These two are such frequent trade partners that I’m somewhat surprised Harry Ford isn’t a Ray already.  I’ve got to believe Ford’s name has been floated in multiple talks between the two.

Joe

• Would the Angels be willing to take McMahon and Grishom from the Yankees

Mark P

• Grisham can’t be moved until May 15, so no.  As for McMahon, I’d prefer a better-hitting 3B if I was the Halos

A’s

• Does McNeil make sense for the A’s?

Mark P

• I can see that, with some money heading to the A’s to cover some salary.  McNeil fits right in at second base for the A’s, and he can chip in as a center fielder too

Buster

• Do you think this is the year Bonds and Clemens finally make it into the HOF?

Mark P

• Nope.  I guess it depends on who makes up the committee panel, but I have a difficult time seeing the “hard no” they received last time suddenly swing into 12 of 16 votes

Phillies

• Do we have time to let Justin Crawford show what he can do or should we move him now for a professional upgrade?

Mark P

• Let Crawford play.  Crawford coming at least a cromulent big leaguer on a minimum salary for a few years would be an enormous help to a Phillies team with their payroll commitments
• We’re just about to hit two hours, so let’s call it for the evening.  Thanks to everyone who submitted a question!
• If you’re interested in more baseball Q&A, one of the many benefits of our Trade Rumors Front Office subscription is the exclusive weekly live chats. The more limited field means you’re about 10 times more likely to get a question answered, as opposed to battling for space with hundreds of other questions in today’s chat. For more on our memberships, check out this link:

  https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/membership?ref=chat-11-23-25

Guest

• Dustin May & Beuhler to the Padres for 3 million apiece?

Steve Adams

• I’m pretty much out on both pitchers, but that’s the sort of move the Padres probably have to make. $3MM might be light, especially on May (although honestly, I’m not sure I’d even give him that if it were my call).

Joshua

• Passan floated the idea of the Nats dealing MacKenzie Gore and CJ Abrams in the same deal. I think this would make a TON of sense for a team like the Dodgers, Blue Jays, Red Sox, etc. Virtually any team that is close and could use Abrams at 2B. Using the Dodgers as a template, what could this deal look like?

Steve Adams

• Saw that. Also saw he said it’s “not quite Max Scherzer and Trea Turner from 2021” referring to the Dodgers trade, but I don’t agree with that. Max was a rental. Turner had 1.5 expensive years left. Gore has two years. Abrams has three. Price should very arguably be significantly higher than what the Dodgers gave up for Max/Trea (which was then-top-100 prospects Josiah Gray and Keibert Ruiz, plus a couple of middle/lower-tier guys further down the org ladder)
• Gore alone should command close to a pair of top-100 prospects. I don’t find him any less desirable than Garrett Crochet a year ago, and he landed a four-player package headlined by Kyle Teel and Braden Montgomery (both top-100 names).
• If you’re trying to peddle Gore/Abrams in a combo deal on the Dodgers, you’ve got to be looking at two of De Paula, Freeland, Hope, Sirota, etc. at the very least, plus significant value beyond that. It should take a massive haul.

Adam Steves

• Senga for Fairbanks. Who says no?

Steve Adams

• Fairbanks is a free agent

Erik Gonzalez

• True or false: Cleveland can trade Kwan AND have a better offense in 2026

Steve Adams

• True, but being a better overall team probably require them spending money, which is a hard sell for Cleveland ownership. You could potentially get a young MLB-ready OF back in the deal though, and given that Kwan was only a league-average hitter last season, it’s not crazy to think the new OF would provide more offense. But I doubt said new OF would also post top-of-the-scale defensive work and plus baserunning.

Willie Monteanez

• With the Braves success with swing guys like Reynaldo Lopez and Grant Holmes and past interest in Jeff Hoffman. Do you think they’ll be in on similar profile guys like Brad Keller, Luke Weaver, and Nick Martinez this offseason?

Steve Adams

• I picked Keller to go there in part based on that history and in part because the Braves love nothing more than loading up on Georgia natives, ha.

Trade Proposal

• Mitch Keller for Jarren Duran. Who says no?

Steve Adams

• Keller is good but not worth Duran

PhilsPhansince1965

• Are you as skeptical about Murakami being worth what he will be paid as I am? Too many question marks despite the 80 grade power potential.

Steve Adams

• Sure. He might be like … Miguel Sano.He might also be a 26-year-old Schwarber-esque bat with a bit more defensive utility if he can play a passable 1B.

  For a big-market team, that’s worth the risk. I’m enough of a believer in the power that I’m probably on the more bullish side from where you seem to be. If I were running the show somewhere and bidding climbed north of $200MM,  I’d probably tap out, but it all depends on how much financial support you can expect from ownership in the near future.

Brewers Oz

• Shota seems like an obvious candidate to take the QO… you predict 3/45.If he takes the QO then that means, he just needs 2/23 without a QO hanging over his head.

  Thoughts?

Steve Adams

• Pitchers get hurt all the time and the trend lines on him are down. If he can lock in 3/45 right now, a lot of people would consider that better than accepting and trying again.Tyler Anderson rejected a $19.65MM QO to sign for 3/40.

Guest

• Any sense that Jeremy Pena could be available in talks with Correa and Paredes both being present?

Steve Adams

• I talked about this on a podcast maybe 5-6 weeks ago, kind of tongue-in-cheek and with a “this won’t happen but hey let’s talk about it” possibility. I’d be stunned, but a year ago I would’ve been stunned to see Kyle Tucker traded.Moving Pena would be nuts, but the return would be exorbitant. And Astros owner Jim Crane has been reluctant to pay the luxury tax in the past, so I wonder about their appetite for signing a meaningful SP/OF in free agency. And Pena is a Boras client with two years left, so he’s not going to sign an extension.

  Again, I would be genuinely shocked, but after last winter’s Tucker saga, I think it’s worth keeping in mind as like a “less than 3% chance this happens but it’s not COMPLETELY impossible to see” scenario.

Arizona

• Last night Arizona cut a player who had some bullpen upside before getting hurt as a rookie. The control they had over CMDO was valuable. Do you think this portends a Gallen QO accept?

Steve Adams

• No. I think you’re reading way too much into it. Montes De Oca had back surgery. There’s no 60-day injured list in the offseason. They knew he wouldn’t be claimed on waivers coming off the surgery (or at least felt strongly that he’d clear) and they can retain him without giving him a 40-man spot all winter if they pass him through waivers.
• With the deadline to protect guys from the Rule 5 looming this afternoon, his outright was surely about that and unrelated to Gallen, who feels very likely (to me) to reject his QO today

AstrosFAN

• Could Bryan Abreu be available at 2026 deadline?

Steve Adams

• If Houston’s out of the playoff picture or on the fringes, sure. He’s a free agent next winte.r

Chris

• Donovan to Yanks. What would a pitching return look like? Warren or Gil plus one of their top 5 pitch prospects? Good luck today!

Steve Adams

• Warren + a 50 FV pitching prospect (Ben Hess, Bryce Cunningham, etc) doesn’t feel crazy to me. Might to the Yankees — but I’m probably not as high on Warren as some. (Not that I think he’s bad or anything, to be clear)

Sam

• Royce Lewis has expressed overwhelming optimism about the team’s outlook with Shelton’s hiring, a 180 of what Twins’ fans currently feel. Do you have any optimism about this winter for the Twins, Steve?

Steve Adams

• I have minimal faith that the Pohlad family will actually greenlight real spending. But the Twins are going to be something like $40-55MM shy of their Opening Day payroll from 2025 after the non-tender deadline passes … if ownership says “Hey, you can spend back up to that level again”, then yeah, it could be a fun offseason and a fun 2026.But… I’ve lived in Minnesota for 35-36 of my 40 years on this planet and have little to no faith the Pohlads will do that, ha.

Kyle Crockett

• The Reds WILL sign a big bat this off season

Steve Adams

• Sign or acquire, I agree. Almost picked them to sign Pete Alonso. I think he’s totally viable

Guest

• Pittsburgh in the running for Naylor and Schwarber?! Could Alonso be in their sights?

Steve Adams

• I think Alonso’s going to cost less than Schwarber
• I also imagine the Pirates probably prefer left-handed power, since PNC Park is where righty power goes to die. Ben Cherington has even referenced this in the past. Doesn’t completely eliminate the possibility of going for a righty power bat like Alonso, Eugenio Suarez, etc. — but I think lefties generally make a bit more sense.

Dan

• Mountcastle: does anyone trade for him as maybe the biggest change-of-scenery guy available, or is this a clear non-tender case?

Steve Adams

• I think he’s non-tendered. At his best, he’s been like a 1.5 to 2 WAR guy. And he’s coming off a terrible, injury-ruined season now.
• The Rays couldn’t find someone who wanted to commit $11MM to Pete Fairbanks on day one of the offseason. Teams are pretty reluctant to commit early dollars to fringe roster guys like this. I think most feel they probably have a league minimum bat who can be at least reasonably projected to be within striking distance of Mountcastle’s production in  2026.

Skip Skip Schumaker

• Luis Arraez to Texas 3 years 50 million get it done?? Perfect leadoff in Texas.

Steve Adams

• I wouldn’t go anywhere near that contract if I were a team, but yeah, that’d get it done from Arraez’s standpoint

jd

• what would senga actually return in a trade. $15M per year is 5th starter money, not sure why Mets would just give him away

Steve Adams

• It’s better than fifth starter money, and the Mets are paying a 110% tax because of the luxury obligations there, so he’s costing them more like $31.5MM per year. They clearly lost faith in him down the stretch.I don’t think he’s teeming with surplus value or anything, but if they could clear the contract and add even a middle-tier prospect, they might just prefer to be done and open the roster/rotation spot (and payroll space) for other more certain pursuits.

International Players 2025

• Who gets the most money in what order? Any surprise team get any signings?

Steve Adams

• Our Top 50 list is based on earning power/expected contracts:
  https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/2025-26-top-50-mlb-free-agents-…
• If the Pirates are serious about going after Naylor/Schwarber, then I don’t see any huge reason they couldn’t pursue a Murakami or Okamoto. They don’t really have much of a foothold in NPB, but every team has to take a first step in that regard at some point (and they’ve spent more modestly on KBO talent in the past)

jd

• how is $15M better than 5th starter money (for a playoff team) . He makes less money than montas

Steve Adams

• That terrible Montas contract shouldn’t be a barometer — and the Mets paid him hoping he’d be more than a No. 5. Michael Lorenzen, Colin Rea, Kyle Gibson, Lance Lynn and plenty more have all signed at $10MM or less on playoff hopefuls in recent years.Plus it’s not 1/15. It’s two years and $28MM remaining. Even contending clubs aren’t giving out 2/28 to someone they hope is their fifth starter.

Baseball fan

• Who are the 3 most likely to accept the QO?

Steve Adams

• Gleyber and Imanaga are the only ones for me who really feel like they should even consider it (though as I referenced earlier, I think Imanaga can do decently on a three-year deal … it’s just a question of if he considers something like 42-45 over three preferable to 22 over one. Some guys will, some guys won’t).I can see why some would think Grisham or Woodruff should accept, but I think they should both reject without too much fretting.

Richard

• Morning, could the Ms still be in play for Murakami? Do you see him sticking at 3rd?

Steve Adams

• I’d be surprised. Could still go after him if they just want him and Naylor to share 1B/DH long-term though.

Big Bob

• The Reds trade for Ward or Greene?

Steve Adams

• Is this trade FOR Riley Greene? If so, no, I can’t see Greene being available.
  I also can’t see them trading Hunter Greene.As I continue to say weekly, I’m going to keep putting Brady Singer-for-Taylor Ward out there until it becomes reality, ha. Works well for both clubs.

who’s on 1st

• Arozarena’s arb # really suprised me. with Sea’s overcrowded OF, would a Randy for Alex B work for both teams. I know some are down on Bohm but he does provide some reasonable production at 3B. and will be cheaper than randy.

Steve Adams

• I can see Seattle listening on Arozarena, but he’s way better than Bohm. No chance I move Randy for him. Bohm is borderline to even be tendered a contract, for me.

Ken

• could or would A’s make Soderstrom available? If yes, they could get a haul of young pitching

Steve Adams

• They absolutely could get a big haul of quality young pitching. I’m of the mindset that Soderstrom is too good and they should be trying to extend him to build around him, Kurtz, Butler, Wilson, Langeliers and Rooker. That lineup is awesome.Getting pitchers to go to Sutter Health is going to be hard, but I’d be looking at trading from the farm or overpaying Severino style before trading Soderstrom.

  My colleague Anthony Franco thinks they should be listening on Soderstrom, for what it’s worth. (He also thinks Soderstrom is great — just feels similarly to you, perhaps, that he’s a movable chip to bring in the type of arms the A’s badly need)

Kodai Senga

• When I first signed with the Mets in 2023, it was widely reported that I had an opt-out after year 3 (2025). What happened to that, and even though I was a mess the second half of 2025, wouldn’t it still make sense for me to opt-out if I had the option? $14 million a year is cheap for someone with my potential, even though I’m an enigma wrapped up in a riddle.

Steve Adams

• The opt-out was conditional on him pitching a combined 400 innings in his first three seasons. Losing all of 2024 and a big portion of 2025 wiped that out. He only has 285 career IP in the majors.

Joshua

• Sodertstrom for MacKenzie Gore and Luis Garcia….who says no (and if it is a no, is this at least close?). Thanks.

Steve Adams

• I don’t think it’s close, no. Garcia is another non-tender candidate, and Gore has less control than Soderstrom. It doesn’t work for the A’s. (Obviously, for the Nats, they’d be all over this)

AL Central Casting

• What level of prospect or MLB-ready player could the Twins reasonably expect in a Joe Ryan trade? They could use a C or 1B – would Soderstrom be a good target? Could they get Rushing or Eldridge? Henry Ford?

Steve Adams

• I think any of Bryce Eldridge, Tyler Soderstrom, Dalton Rushing or Harry Ford could/should be in play as a possible headliner if they’re going to move Ryan.The Twins are pretty deep in corner OF prospects, particularly left-handed ones (Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, Hendry Mendez), so maybe Soderstrom’s not the best fit from a pure roster standpoint. Could play him at 1B, of course, but he was so good in left field last year.

  Generally though, yes, I think it’d take a headliner like that, plus at least one other top prospect.

Austin Hays

• Who is my next team and what is my next contract like?

Steve Adams

• I’d expect him signing another one-year deal in the $5-6MM range — though I guess something like the 2/13 the Royals gave Hunter Renfroe a few years back wouldn’t totally stun me.He’ll go to a team that’s not viewing him as a starter. Hays just increasingly feels like he’s going to be a Randal Grichuk type — sign a string of one-year deals around $4-7MM per season, depending on the quality of his prior platform. Guards, Giants, Royals, Pirates, Rox all really struggled against LHP last year. Any team with a LHH corner feels like a viable fit.

  Even Austin Hays himself can’t accurately tell you who his next team is right now. Nor could the GM/president of the team that’ll eventually sign him

Gob Bleuth

• Expecting the Jays to spend significantly more than last year after the deep, profitable playoff run?

Steve Adams

• I think the Jays will be one of the most active, biggest-spending teams of the offseason, yes

Chris

• What are the chances the Braves resign Kim or sign Bichette for SS?

Steve Adams

• Kim feels totally plausible. Bichette would shock me, if only because the Jays just haven’t gone anywhere near that financial stratosphere in something like 8 years under Anthopoulos.
• Not on a free agent, anyway
• Same goes for the top FA arms like Cease, Framber, etc.

Pete from LI

• Can the Mets release Montas, who will not play in 2026. To clear a spot on 40 man roster?

Steve Adams

• I don’t see why they wouldn’t.

Ang T

• who is the next top 50 free agent domino to fall? I think Edwin Diaz to the Mets

Steve Adams

• Unless Steve Cohen just decides he wants Diaz back at all costs, I don’t think they’re going to re-sign him at all. Paying $21-22MM per year for a reliever doesn’t feel like something a David Stearns-led front office is going to be excited about.
• Since I continue to get “How much do you think will [player] get in free agency” questions, I’ll remind everyone that our contract predictions for 50 free agents were published less than a week ago:
  https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/2025-26-top-50-mlb-free-agents-…

Kenley

• Do you see any way I return to the Dodgers?

Steve Adams

• Feel like Kenley’s goal is just going to be “who’s going to give me the ninth inning and leave me there” — which doesn’t feel like a Dodgers thing to do.
• He’s 24 saves from 500, and if he can continue to be effective into his early 40s, it’s not completely out of the question that he could eventually push for 600. I don’t think that’s likely, but he posted a 2.59 ERA in 2025 and is at 2.99 over his past six seasons right now. Who’s to definitively say he can’t still be a semi-productive reliever at ages 41 and 42, and make things interesting?It’d be fun to see and isn’t entirely outlandish anyway

Ken

• Tyler O’Neill and a prospect for Mitch K? Wracking my brain for a MLB trade to match Mitch’s contract. Is this it?

Steve Adams

• O’Neill has negative value. Keller does not. Including TON in the trade gets the O’s further away from getting Keller.

FA Prediction Contest

• when is this being released? did i miss it?

Steve Adams

• The prediction contest went live awhile back. We promoted it regularly until it closed last Thursday:https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/enter-the-mlbtr-free-agent-pred…

  Sorry! Hopefully you’re back in there for next year’s!

Goat

• After learning about the Rangers shopping Adolis Garcia, who are some candidates to trade for him?

Steve Adams

• That the Rangers will shop Garcia has been readily apparent for a couple months now. There’s no way he’s back next year. Highlighted him and Jonah Heim on our Top 40 trade candidate list 2-3 weeks back:
  https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/mlb-rumors-top-trade-candidates…Giants, Tigers, Guardians, Royals, Reds, Marlins all jump to mind as easy fits, but Texas might also just non-tender him.

lincekid

• if the Giants don’t want to give out long deals to pitchers, or forfeit draft picks to the next tier of pitchers, and I don’t want to rely on 40 year old pitchers, where does that leave them?

Steve Adams

• Trading Bryce Eldridge? Signing Cody Ponce out of the KBO? ….Lucas Giolito?

Ballyhooed Plausiblilities

• Could a player who is going to miss a full year of arbitration due to injury (tanner houck) be non-tendered and then sign a creative two year minor league deal with a major league option in the second year? Wondering due to the 40-man roster spot and CBT impacts

Steve Adams

• Can’t put a major league option on a minor league deal. If Houck is non-tendered, he’d probably just sign a one-year deal elsewhere. He only has 4+ years of service, so even on a one-year deal, his new team would control him through 2027 via arbitration.

Suarezes Prediction

• I predicted all three going to the D-Backs. Too much?

Steve Adams

• “It
• Augh
• “It’s a bold strategy, Cotton. Let’s see if it pays off for ’em”

JeDi Mind trick

• Do you think a Skubal trade actually happens? What could you see the Ms giving up to get this over the finish line?

Steve Adams

• As I’ve said and will continue to say, I’d put the odds of a Skubal trade at like 0.25%. (Not 25% — one-quarter of one percent)People will want to talk about it all offseason. It’s going to generate clicks and social media engagement and views on MLB Network, so the narrative won’t go away, but I think there is next to no chance he is traded.

KC Guy

• Do the Royals roll out Massey again at second base, or do you see them upgrading the position over the winter?

Steve Adams

• Upgrade

Royals

• With this being the 40 man protection deadline, do you see any big names getting DFA in the next few hours?  Big is relative, but like Jonathon India, Adolis Garcia, etc.

Steve Adams

• Yeah India and Garcia are clear non-tender candidates and could be DFA before then if the trade markets are dry and those teams want the 40-man spots for Rule 5 protections

Marc

• With the deadline to tender a contract two days after the deadline to add players to the 40-man roster for the Rule 5 draft, why doesn’t every team DFA planned non-tenders by today’s deadline rather than waiting two days and not being able to fill those roster spots with spots with trades? This has been happening  more each year, but at least a dozen likely nontenders remain by the second deadline. Sure, there may be a handful who get traded or sign a deal before Friday, but far more end up just being nontendered with the roster spot left open.

Steve Adams

• Some of those clubs are planning to fill those spots with free agents or trade acquisitions anyhow. If anyone has a prospect they’re sure will be taken (or feel there’s a decent chance will be taken), and minimal roster space beyond the non-tender candidates on the roster, then sure they’ll DFA a Jonathan India, Adolis Garcia, Jonah Heim, etc.If you’re planning to add two big league starters, multiple relievers and an outfielder eventually anyhow, then it doesn’t really matter. If anything, you don’t want that 40-man spot occupied by someone you might have to DFA and lose via waivers anyhow; you run the risk that maybe he’d have gone unclaimed in the Rule 5 but another club just claims him post-DFA since they wouldn’t be required to carry him on the active roster all year.
• Alright, I’ve got  to wrap up for the week. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social if you’d like to ask me more questions, mock my opinions and/or hurl insults my way.If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut, weekly subscriber-only chats with Anthony and me (where your odds of getting a question answered are much, much higher), extra insight from Darragh McDonald, access to our Contract Tracker (a vital offseason resource) and our Agency Database, our GM Tracker and more.

  Thanks everyone!

Mitch

• Dodgers could pretty easily trade for  a Kwan loke player rather sign Tucker. I think that hype is there just because they are the Dodgers. They need to clean up 40 man space and have a ton of depth at the same positions in the minors

Steve Adams

• I’m sure they’ll look into both. Kwan would cost quite a bit in a trade, and I’d take Tucker over him in a heartbeat. But sure, if the Dodgers feel Tucker’s asking price is prohibitive, Steven Kwan is a nice alternative.

AJ

• over/under 2.5 years for OHearn?

Steve Adams

• We predicted two but were at three years for a long while. I don’t think three is out of the question, but my very fake and not at all off-the-cuff odds would be like 70% two years and 30% three years.

Action M’s

• Josh Naylor aside . I’m of the opinion the Mariners are in need of bullpen arms. Options, they could turn to in that area?

Steve Adams

• The Mariners haven’t spent much on bullpen arms under Jerry Dipoto — in part because they’re so good at finding quality contributors on the scrap heap. (Hey there, Gabe Speier)I don’t expect them to spend heavily on the ’pen. Guess they could re-sign Caleb Ferguson, but they already have Munoz, Brash, Speier, Bazardo, Vargas … it’s a strong group as is, and I’m curious to see what Hancock would do over a full year in the ’pen.

Cards

• Ive always thought teams should be more open to trading within their divisions. For example if the Cubs wanted Donovan, who cares the cards aren’t going to be good anytime soon and if you can get good prospects back it’s a win for both teams.

Steve Adams

• I don’t have a ton of insight other than to say I generally agree with this. Lots of clubs caught up in optics. I get that you don’t want to strengthen a division rival for years to come, but I still feel it’s a bit of a blind spot for a lot of clubs.

Donovan

• Do you think Brendan Donovan could hold down SS for the Braves? He and Gray would make amazing pickups and fill 2 huge needs for them.

Steve Adams

• I’ve wondered whether the Braves might consider this. I kind of like it as an out-of-the-box option for one year, given the lack of alternative options. It’s a leap of faith in a guy who hasn’t played there much, but there’s just not a ton out there and I think Donovan is probably athletic enough to make it work short-term if you give him an offseason and spring training to prepare. Worst case, he’s well below average and you move him into a utility role and plug Nick Allen’s glove back in there.

Doghouse Riley

• Have the Giants absolutely ruled out signing a FA pitcher like Suarez?

Steve Adams

• Ranger or Robert? I assume you mean Ranger.Greg Johnson downplaying the idea of a long-term deal doesn’t mean they won’t ultimately sign a pitcher for multiple years, or even to a semi-long-term pact. The Giants were putting out signals to their beat last year that they might not go wild with spending or anything, and then they signed Adames and traded for Devers.

  In the wake of Johnson’s comments, I don’t expect them to go long-term on a FA SP, but if something they deem the right opportunity presents itself, I’m sure they’ll consider it.

  Johnson making the comments he did feels different than, say, White Sox GM Chris Getz pretty strongly indicating last week that he doesn’t want to sign free agents for more than a year.

John Travolta

• What type of contract do you think Cedric Mullins will fetch?

Steve Adams

• I tried to push for Mullins on a two-year deal to get him to the back end of the list, but most of the rest of the staff was pretty set on him as a one-year guy in the $10-12MM range. He was awful after April, and the 30-30, 6-WAR season from 2021 feels like a clear outlier at this point.I like him to do a bit better than that, but whatever he signs, I don’t expect it to go beyond two years and don’t think it’ll have an especially high AAV.

JC

• Let’s say the Pirates flip Burrows and Keller for bats, also freeing up capital for a few years on Keller’s deal. Opening day rotation starts Skenes-Chandler-Ashcraft-Oviedo. Do you add a 5th starter (classic Cherington soft-tossing lefty) or give Hunter Barco a shot?

Steve Adams

• You’re forgetting Jared Jones as a potential entrant in that rotation. He’ll be more than a year removed from Tommy John surgery.But I still think if they traded Keller and Burrows both, then yes, they’d add a cheap one-year SP in February or so.

Charlesco

• Hello, can Murakami hit high speed pitches? I saw one stat but I do not believe is real.

Steve Adams

• He’s struggled greatly against fastballs north of 95 mph, but those are also quite rare in NPB, where the average heater is like 91 mph. Guys like Seiya Suzuki and Jung Hoo Lee also had some concerns about their ability to handle plus MLB velo, but they sorted it out as they became more accustomed to seeing it.Talked to an NL scout recently who said he’s more concerned with Murakami being able to adjust to better breaking stuff here than he is about his ability to adjust to fastballs, where he thinks Murakami will be fine after more exposure to said velo.

Mets fan

• Make me believe diaz and alonso will come back. If they do what else do we need plus a top level starter?

Steve Adams

• I don’t believe Alonso will be back. Diaz, maybe if Steve Cohen just swoops in and acts aggressively early on, but we’re already further into the offseason now than we were last time he re-signed with the Mets.I didn’t choose either to re-sign, but Diaz feels more plausible.

Jim

• A’s don’t get a PPI pick because Nick Kurtz spent 3 weeks in AAA. What about in future years if he finishes top 3 in MVP voting; do the A’s get a PPI pick then? Or are they out of luck because he debuted 3 weeks into the 2025 season?

Steve Adams

• They’d get a pick in that MVP scenario.

Oz

• If you are advising Alex Anthopoulos, do you urge him to make a big push to bring Raisel Iglesias back and, if so, what contract do you offer him in terms of years and money?

Steve Adams

• I don’t think Iglesias, specifically, is a must-have. Generally, just adding some quality arms in the back of the ’pen seems wise, though. I have Iglesias at 2/25

PaulF

• Is Casas with Alonzo so far fetched? Gives two power bats , one from each side, and both can at least take field defensively. Current DH not so much. More outfield depth still a weapon if trade needed. And we still have money .

Steve Adams

• If the Red Sox signed Alonso, I’d expect them to trade Casas, but sure you could make it work if you just dump Yoshida.

James

• Will Rendon be released?

Steve Adams

• Wouldn’t surprise me.

Adell

• Do the Angels keep Adell and believe the breakout or sell high based on last year to add multiple pieces

Steve Adams

• I don’t know that you’re selling that high on Adell. He hit 36 homers, but he was terrible defensively and his OBP was under .300.He’s a useful player and I do think he could fetch them an arm to plug into the middle/back end of the rotation, but he’s not going to fetch them a major haul — at least not in my view. But hey, even a serviceable fourth starter with a few years of control would be big for the Angels, given their perennial need for pitching. And Adell’s defensive grades would surely tick up if he weren’t being forced to masquerade as a center fielder.

Johnny U

• do you feel the Reds bring in a 1B/DH or an OF as their big bat, via trade or signing?

Steve Adams

• I expect them to be open to it but think it could just as likely be in the OF — or that they could (should) add one of each

PhilsPhansince1965

• How much of the Tajuan Walker contract can we unload this winter if we take back a couple of nominal prospect types?

Steve Adams

• I think you could dump half to 60% for no return. They’re not going to get a good prospect even if they eat the whole thing, but if they absorb 75% or more, I suppose you could get the “nominal” prospect you’re referencing here.

POBO Paul

• Breslow says the Bosox are looking for a starting pitcher.  Would they hve any intereat in Mackenzie Gore?  What kind of return could we expect?

Steve Adams

• I’m sure the Red Sox do have interest, and I’ve said before that last year’s Crochet-to-Boston trade is a decent framework for what to expect re: Gore.

Adam

• True or False. The Reds have a top 5 rotation in all of baseball

Steve Adams

• Off the cuff, I think this is probably right. Greene-Abbott-Lodolo-Singer-Burns, with Petty/Lowder waiting in the wings. Tons of talent there.

AstrosFAN

• Could Christian Walker go back to the Diamondbacks?

Steve Adams

• I tried to kick around an Eduardo Rodriguez-for-Christian Walker framework but couldn’t get there. The D-backs need innings, too, and they have cheap 1B options in Locklear/Pavin Smith. Paying $20MM per year for another first baseman — even one they love — and reducing their rotation to basically Brandon Pfaadt and Ryne Nelson doesn’t seem prudent.Can’t count on E-Rod for a ton right now, but at least you can hope he gives you innings.

Benson DuBois

• Are the Pirates going to have a hard time dealing Keller?  There are good free agent options at 3 years/$54MM.  No need to trade a good bat for Keller if you can get a comparable talent on the open market.

Steve Adams

• Keller at 3/54 is solid value. It’s true there are pitchers like Merrill Kelly or Chris Bassitt who could be had on shorter deals, but they’d require larger AAVs and are already 37.If Keller were a free agent coming off this season (really his past several seasons) and heading to market ahead of his age-30 campaign, you’re not getting him for “only” three years. There’ not necessarily a ton of surplus value AAV-wise, but a durable 30-year-old midrotation arm is going to get four or five years.

Drive to left by Castellanos

• Any chance the Phils swap Casty to St. Louis for Arenado? Then flip Bohm to the Angels for Ward? Arenado has two years left, so that could appeal to the Cards.

Steve Adams

• Arenado’s contract is even less desirable than Castellanos’. And I’d rather have Taylor Ward than Alec Bohm.

Bregman or Tucker

• Who gets the higher aav?

Bailey Ober

• If Pablo and Joe are traded, what will become of me? I may as well get traded too then, right?

Steve Adams

• Eh, the Twins would be selling low enough that the return would be pretty negligible. And if you’re trading Lopez/Ryan, you need SOMEONE to pitch innings. I think they’d hang onto Ober. Could always move him in July if he’s bounced back (and/or if younger arms have jumped into the rotation mix)
• Fwiw, i am very much team Tucker in this poll, too.

MLP

• Iron Man Adams back on the mound again today, I see.  If the Cubs were to find a deal acceptable to Ian Happ or Seiya Suzuki, how much of their final year salaries would they have to absorb to get a useful return?

Steve Adams

• I don’t think they’d need to eat money for either player, but both have full no-trade clauses.

Brian

• Do the Yankees prioritize Tucker or Bellinger? If Tucker, will that put Bellinger on the back burner until Tucker is signed? (I.e. just like waiting for Soto to sign before pivoting)

Steve Adams

• In general, I think Tucker feels likelier to sign earlier. Boras tends to be pretty comfortable waiting. They’re in a tough spot with Bellinger a little bit. If his market does pick up early, the Yanks could run into the same scenario they saw with Willy Adames last winter … interested, but unwilling to commit until they know how the bigger fish pans out. By the time Soto was off the board last winter, it was too late on Adames.

Tim

• Heard some early rumors Kazuma Okamoto wants to play for the Halos? You hearing any truth to that?

Steve Adams

• I don’t know anything about the Angels podcaster who reported that. I wouldn’t put much stock in it this early. Like most free agents, you can assume Okamoto’s priorities will be:1) Role (he’s not going to sign as a part-time player)
  2) Money
  3) Winning
  4) Location

  Maybe he became an Angels fan during Ohtani’s heyday there. But even still, if a contending club offers him its everyday 3B job at comparable or greater money to what the Angels put out, then that prior affinity for the Halos won’t matter much

LaTroy Hawkins

• Any chance I’m both the bullpen coach and opening day closer in Minnesota this year?

Steve Adams

• I endorse this.

Dan

• Harrison Bader makes too much sense for the O’s IMO.

Steve Adams

• Bader is a plus defensive OF who can hit a little bit and will at absolute max cost three years — two seems likelier. He fits/makes tons of sense for a lot of teams.

Gabe’s Gaffs

• What’s the over/under on the number of players the Marlins churn through with Kapler as the GM

Steve Adams

• Kapler isn’t running baseball operations. He’s the GM, but Peter Bendix is the president of baseball ops. Kapler is the No. 2 in that hierarchy

AA

• Who is DH for Atlanta next year?

Steve Adams

• I imagine after years of having a set DH, they’ll just rotate guys through the position this year

Cleveland

• I would say Cleveland makes the most sense for a Ketel Marte trade. Good farm, and he could hit in front of Jose, which has been a problem for years trying to find production there. They also have the farm to pull it off.

Steve Adams

• I don’t think Arizona is trading Ketel Marte. Even if they did, I have a hard time seeing a low-payroll club like the Guards make that move when Travis Bazzana is so close to the majors and plays the same position.

Yoshida

• Is it possible that I end up just like Rusney Castillo and in AAA playing out my contract?

Steve Adams

• Rusney was sequestered in AAA because of the now-defunct rule that his contract didn’t count toward the Red Sox’ CBT bill unless they added him back. Yoshida’s 18MM AAV counts for the Sox no matter what they do with him.He might still end up playing in AAA, but if he does, it’ll be because he’s just not performing well enough to merit an MLB look

Derek Shelton

• What other former Twins greats will I bring onto my coaching staff?

Steve Adams

• Star Tribune reported this morning that the Twins want James Rowson as a bench coach

Djboy2898

• What would it cost the Giants to get trade for Brandon Lowe? Would trading Ramos for Mitch Keller or Pablo Lopez be enough

Steve Adams

• Ramos isn’t enough for either, especially Lopez
• Brandon Lowe … it’s one year at $11.5MM. Notable injury history, plenty of swing-and-miss. He has some value but it’s not through the roof or anything. Couple of 40 or 45 FV prospects

Jed

• Matt Shaw and a TOR starter or go outside the organization to fill 3rd base and go lesser in the rotation?

Steve Adams

• Latter scenario is likelier. I’m not personally huge on Matt Shaw after 2025. I don’t think it’s at all out of the question that he just puts it together in his second year, but there weren’t a ton of positives in his rookie campaign other than the plus DRS rating at 3B.I assume there are teams (probably including the Cubs) who are higher on Shaw than me, so in the very hypothetical scenario (which Cubs fans should not at all want), I’d be seeing what kind of SP I could get with Shaw as one of the headliners and then looking at 3B alternatives.

  I put the Cubs on Kazuma Okamoto on our Top 50 for this reason (and because I had a hard time placing Okamoto in general, ha)

Arte Moreno

• What’s a realistic return for Taylor Ward?

Steve Adams

• I will call for the Brady Singer/Taylor Ward trade until I’m blue in the face. Or until it happens. Or until one of them is traded for a different player

Tim

• Clase and Ortiz definite banned from baseball?

Steve Adams

• I don’t see how either comes back from this.

Vrmind

• Back to ATL: Baldwin just won ROY, they got Murphy coming off an injured/down year. How do you see that playing out? Just rotate the two through C/DH or start shopping Murph this off-season just to get rid of the contract?

Steve Adams

• Rotate them. They’d be selling low on Murphy. Having both gives them a nice C/DH tandem next year, protects against further health trouble for one or the other, and keeps open the possibility of eventually dealing Murphy when his value is higher.
• Alrighty, I’ve got to call it this week. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social if you have more questions.If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut, weekly subscriber-only chats with Anthony and me (where your odds of getting a question answered are much, much higher), extra insight from Darragh McDonald, access to our Contract Tracker (a vital offseason resource) and our Agency Database, and more.

  Thanks all!