Anthony Franco
- Hey everyone, hope you've all enjoyed your week!
- Looking forward to another of these, let's get it going
Reds
- Four guys under contract (Hayes, Greene, Trevino, Pagan) and less than $80 million in payroll per BR. They can't be serious about not signing anyone, right?
Anthony Franco
- Not sure where you've got the sub-$80M mark but I think they're more like 105 once you factor in arb projections and minimum salary players to build out the roster
- They should've non-tendered Lux and should still shop him and Steer, kick around ideas about swapping Singer for a bat. I don't expect them to do much in free agency, though
- They've never gone beyond $64M on a free agent and Schwarber was a special case from ownership's perspective
Breslow
- There's been rumors that the Dodgers may be looking to unload Teoscar to open up their OF a bit - do you think a swap of Teo for someone like Jordan Hicks would make some sense? Teo could become the RH DH bat the Sox are looking for while dumping Hicks $$ - relatively small net payroll add for Boston and LAD saves some money and gets back a live arm....
Anthony Franco
- Don't think it does a lot for the Dodgers. Teoscar's rough out there but so much of the deal was in a signing bonus so the remaining salary commitments (plus option buyout) is 2/33, a lot of it deferred. Hicks is due a straight 2/24 and isn't good. Teoscar should be a DH but he's still at least an offensive contributor
Robert from SC
- How much did the Braves improve with the Suarez and Yaz signings?
Anthony Franco
- Didn't love either move. Would've stopped at two years on Suarez and one on Yaz. The latter's a weird roster fit anyway unless they're trading Profar or more concerned about Murphy's health than they've really let on
- Suarez is a good, not great reliever who's entering his age-35 season. Obviously the bullpen's better with him than without, but if the velocity drops from 98-99 to like 96-97, eh
- Already doesn't have huge swing-and-miss rates because he doesn't throw a breaking ball
Willson Contreras
- Is there a taker for me if I waive the no trade? Mets? Someone else?
Anthony Franco
- Mets make the most sense, Boston could work there. Arizona, San Diego, Texas all fit positionally but probably require the Cards to eat more than half the money
Hmm
- If a team loves the Rule 5 player they chose, but don't really want to keep him on the MLB roster all season per the MLB rules, can they work out a deal with his previous team to keep him or must they pass him through waivers first, and then if he passed through waivers, must offer him back to his previous team?
Anthony Franco
- Needs to go through waivers and get offered back to the original team first. They can then try to trade for him back, which does happen sometimes -- usually for cash
Who signs first?
- Kyle Tucker, Framber Valdez, or Bo Bichette - who do you think signs first of this trio?
Anthony Franco
- I'll take Bo, largely on the assumption that he goes back to Toronto
Pete Alonso
- Do you think I crack 183 home runs with the Orioles, which would put 10th on the all-time home run franchise leaderboard?
Anthony Franco
- That's an average of 37 per season unless they extend or re-sign him down the line. I'll take the under, think I'd set it more at like 160
Coldstove season
- Has this been one of the slower starts to an offseason in recent memory or am I falling for some recency bias? The Winter Meetings in particular felt much less active than usual.
Anthony Franco
- Agree that the Meetings were quieter than usual. Offseason as a whole maybe a little slower than normal but not dramatically so. I get some version of this question every year
- I think there's been a decent amount of movement overall but it's not all that exciting because so much of it has been the bullpen market
Curious A's Fan
- Your call: Do you overpay for a FA pitcher like Bassitt or M. Kelly (2+ year contract) OR trade Colby Thomas for a rental SP like Singer or Bubic?
Anthony Franco
- I'd trade Thomas for Bubic (assuming the medical review checks out) but not for Singer. I don't think a two-year deal at $16-18M per for Merrill or Bassitt is much of an overpay, so I'm fine with that direction if they want to give Thomas a chance to play his way into the outfield mix again
- I would be out on either of those guys if it got to three years though
Joe from Milwaukee
- The Brewers have made giant trades before when they had other young, controllable pieces in place (Yelich). Do you think they pull off a Ketel Marte/Corey Seager sized trade since almost all of their position players are controllable for at least a few more seasons? Or maybe James Wood if they prefer to get more out of their CF?
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MLBTR Chat Transcript
Mark P
- The Winter Meetings are about to begin, so there’s plenty to discuss! Let’s take a minute for the questions to pile up, and then launch the Weekend Chat…
Tim
- We going to see alot more signings and trades the next few days?
Mark P
- Oh heck yeah. While the Winter Meetings aren’t the epicenter of offseason activity, it will be very busy over the next few days
Zach
- If the Rangers were to trade Jung and a couple of lower level prospects to the pirates could they get Joey Bart and some RP?
Mark P
- I don’t think the asking price for Bart would be all that high, but a Jung/Bart swap would be interesting given their shared history as top prospects.
Every fan in Cincinnati
- We are all dying to know what the Reds will realistically do this week. Any clues? Is Schwarber going to shock everyone and come hit 60 plus bombs each year?
Mark P
- As fun as it would be to see Schwarber return to his hometown team, it would be stunning to see him leave Philadelphia.
I do think the Reds will add at least one reliable, everyday-ish type of hitter to the lineup. Whether that add comes in the next week or two months from now, who knows, but some kind of an upgrade would be immensely helpful.
- For teams like the Reds and Pirates who might be willing to stretch the budget for Schwarber, they should still be willing to spend that money but spread around over multiple players (assuming Schwarber goes elsewhere).
Dave
- Now that the Mariners traded Harry Ford, who is the backup catcher? Would they consider a reunion with Garver and/or Murphy, and if so, who is more likely to come back?
Mark P
- Either of these guys or another clear-cut backup type is possible. Frankly, a backup catcher in Seattle is likely to play infrequently enough that it might not be a priority for the team right now.
Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Anthony Franco
- Good afternoon everyone, hope you're well!
- There's a lot already queued up so apologies in advance for anything I can't cover. Let's get rolling
Black and Gold Bleeder
- Do the Pirates have a reasonable shot at either Suarez or Okamoto?? They need power from the third base position before anything else.
Anthony Franco
- Yeah it seems like either of those should be viable with their current spending posture, especially if Geno ends up at two years. Not sure how a low-OBP righty bat would play at PNC but agree that third base is a need and they should be after offense wherever they can get it
Giants fan
- As a giants fan im confused on the direction they should go. Signing a pitchers to longterm contracts doesn't seem to be the giants course. The giants have money to spend a knowledgeable fan base too. 10 outfielders on the roster not enough infield depth. The giants as mentioned in your trade rumors comments today lists a solid core of young pitchers but lacking experience. Trades are possible. Please give your thoughts.
Anthony Franco
- Well I think they should sign Kyle Tucker but that's an ownership question more than a front office one. If they're limited to the Gallen/King tier in free agency (I'd prefer the latter for any team), then they're probably leveraging some of those upper level starters for an outfielder
- Nootbaar's available and Cardinals are targeting high level starters. I wouldn't give up Roupp for Noot but if STL likes Whisenhunt or McDonald, maybe that gets the ball rolling
- Similar logic with Ketel (Roupp/Birdsong should be on the table there), but I have a tough time seeing Arizona moving him at all -- much less in division
Mariners
- What/who do you think makes the first major move at the meetings? What team/free agent? Is it a trade or a signing?
Anthony Franco
- Based on my annual last place finishes in the Top 50 contest, I recommend ignoring any of my predictions
- But give me Framber to Baltimore
David
- Stearns says he wants to prioritize defense this off-season which he proved with the Semien trade. However there is always talk of moving Vientos to first which would probably be a drop from Alonso since he’s never played there. What do you think the Mets will do at 1B if they don’t resign Pete to bolster the defense
Anthony Franco
- Disagree a little with the premise, not like Pete's an elite defender there either. I think having Vientos log any meaningful time at 3B would cut against the infield defense priority, so the question is whether they think he'll bounce back enough at the plate to warrant 1B/DH time or whether it's time to move on entirely
- If the goal is solely to upgrade the defense, they'd probably be best off signing Bregman and moving Baty to first. I think that's too far in the other direction and still expect them to get something done with Alonso personally
Gonzo for Gonzo
- Thoughts on the Pirates-Red Sox deal? Losing the best nickname in baseball and a RH OF plus having to dump Criswell seems like a steep price for the Sox, they must believe they can unlock something with Oviedo. Makes lots of sense for Pirates if the Password can hit at the MLB level.
Anthony Franco
- Yeah I like it more for Pittsburgh but I'm not super enamored with either player, so I get the logic on both sides
- Oviedo's probably the seventh-best starter that Pittsburgh had. They ran out Tommy Pham and Alexander Canario in LF for most of last season. I'm concerned about Garcia's approach and still think they should be in the outfield market, but he has minor league options and enough promise (power, youth, upper minors track record) that he's a guy they should absolutely be willing to roll the dice on
- Wasn't going to have the opportunity for everyday reps that he'd need to develop the approach, so I'm fine with Boston moving on. Would've expected them to do better than Oviedo, but Tim Dierkes's immediate response was "not sure why Garcia is considered a Top 100 prospect, but I'll leave that to the experts" and I tend to agree
- I don't think Oviedo's more than a five-and-dive starter unless the Sox can teach him a splitter or something, but he'd be more interesting to me out of the bullpen so maybe he becomes a surprise relief weapon in the playoffs
Matt
- How about Brandon Lowe for one of Roupp/Birdsong?
Anthony Franco
- More than I'd give up for one year of Lowe
- Like the player and fit in SF though
DodgerFan
- Seeing the initial reports that Teoscar Hernández was being discussed on the trade market didn’t sit well with me, but after thinking it over, I can understand why the Dodgers might explore it. Two-part question:
- What kind of return could the Dodgers realistically get for Teo, and would they be able to move his full contract?
- Do you view Bader as a legitimate fit for an everyday center-field role, or is it more likely they fill that spot internally (Edman, Kim, Pages)?
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MLBTR Chat Transcript
Steve Adams
- Good morning! Chatting a bit early today, as I have some afternoon commitments. Feel free to send in questions ahead of time, as always. We’ll get going at 11am CT!
- Hello! I’ll get going in a minute. Feel free to start adding questions to the pile!
Question
- How many questions do you guys usually get on these chats?
Steve Adams
- Several hundred. More as we get closer to the Winter Meetings, trade deadline, busier times of year in general. I think last week topped out around 800 participants, and I imagine we’ll hit similar or greater levels this time around
Leave it to Beavers
- Is Bubic available? Would Heston Kjerstad be enough for a 1 for 1 or has his stock fallen too far?
Steve Adams
- The Royals are open to moving a starting pitcher for an outfielder. President of baseball ops JJ Picollo has publicly said as much. Bubic only has one year left before free agency, so he’s certainly someone they’ll listen on.That doesn’t mean they’re outright shopping him, however. And while Kjerstad was a high-profile prospect for several years, I think his stock has cratered so much that I wouldn’t give much consideration to trading Bubic for him. I’m not convinced Kjerstad even makes it through the offseason on Baltimore’s 40-man roster.
DC Fan
- Odds CJ Abrams gets traded? Nunez is pretty good.
Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Steve Adams
- Good afternoon! Hope everyone enjoyed the holiday. I'll get going at 3pm CT today, but as always, feel free to send in some questions in advance if you prefer!
- Hey there! We'll get started a few minutes early today
JeDi Mind trick
- Is Tatis really available? What kind of package from the M’s would it take?
Steve Adams
- Tatis isn't going to be moved, no. The Padres have payroll concerns, but the idea of them trading Tatis isn't really rooted in much more than wishcasting.Plus, he still has nine years and $286MM to go on his contract. Moving a contract of that size and lining up on younger talent going back to San Diego would be an immense undertaking. And I don't know that the Mariners are looking to add another $250MM+ outfielder alongside Julio.
Next Rangers moves?
- What are the chances of the Rangers signing Luis Arraez for 3B and getting either Yates or Robertson back to close?
Steve Adams
- I have seen fans -- Rangers, in particular -- suggest Arraez at second base and third base. I cannot fathom a team playing him regularly at third base, and second is only moderately more likely. If you sign Arraez, just play him at first base.I also doubt Texas is spending that type of one-year money on a reliever, though I suppose maybe Robertson's price isn't all that high after a so-so run in his return to Philly
Cody Ponce should sign with...
- Plenty of teams need pitching. Cody Ponce is a very interesting name for a variety of teams; especially those that would be more comfortable with handing out shorter term contracts to starters. Given that Ponce appears in line for a contract worth $10M to $14M a year over 3 or 4 years, which teams do you see as being the most aggressive/better fits for him?I could see the Brewers, Orioles, and Giants being the most aggressive for him due to need and cost.
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MLBTR Chat Transcript
Mark P
- It’s Sunday night and time to chat! We’ll launch things after the queue starts to fill up…
Anthony
- Tucker and Imai for the Yanks?
Mark P
- I’d be surprised to see New York spend to quite that level in bringing in two top-level guys. Bellinger and Imai seem like a more reasonable duo, if the Yankees make two big purchases
Rhett lowder
- Am I eligible for rookie of the year? I am under the innings limit but have over a year of service time on the 60 day IL.
Mark P
- Lowder is no longer considered a rookie
AstroFAN
- Could Tyler Mahle go to Houston?
Mark P
- Seems like a reasonable fit. Bringing in another guy with a recent injury history might not be entirely ideal for an Astros team that wants to cover innings, but Mahle on a one-year works with the budget
Chase
- How can the Phillies be both prioritizing re-signing Schwarber AND be far apart on years and money? He’s seen this organization wildly overpay Trea Turner and Aaron Nola. Why shouldn’t he get the same? Pay the man.
Mark P
- Todd Zolecki’s report from the other day didn’t say anything about Schwarber and the Phillies being “far apart” in anything, necessarily. He said that they’re “not close to a deal,’ which would relate to some kind of a gap in negotiations, or maybe just a timing issue.
- Consider this scenario…..Dave Dombrowski says “Kyle, you know how much we want you back. Take your time looking around the market, and all we ask is that you give us a chance to match any offer.”
Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Darragh McDonald
- Hello, everyone.
- If you are American, I hope you're feeling okay today.
- If you're not American, I also hope you're feeling okay today, on this unremarkable Friday.
- Anthony is off for the holidays, so I'm filling in. As always, sorry for the downgrade.
- I will be back at noon but feel free to drop questions ahead of time.
- Okay, hello!
- Already lots of questions in the queue, so let's dive in.
walterj23
- Which is the most likely going to happen to Cubs 2b Nico Hoerner before the season starts , trade him for other pieces , extend him before the season starts , or simply let him play out his final year of his contract and tag him with a qualifying offer next winter ?
Darragh McDonald
- I would guess the Cubs just let 2026 play out and see where they're at. A lot could change between now and then. Happ and Suzuki are impending free agents, in addition to Hoerner. What do they have in Matt Shaw? What about Jefferson Rojas? What about Caissie and Alcantara?
- They can then decide where to put their resources, which could mean re-signing Hoerner or one of the outfielders or something else.
Uke
- How does upcoming labor stuff affect signings? Are players more or less likely to sign long term deals? Are teams more or less likely to sign long term deals? Or does no one know what it all means?
Darragh McDonald
- This is a great question.
- A few weeks ago, I would have guessed that players would not want to be free agents in the 2026-27 offseason. But that doesn't seem to be the case.
- Bieber and Flaherty both triggered one-year player options when they probably could have got multi-year deals. Four guys accepted the QO. I expected Gleyber but not Shota, Woodruff or Grisham.
- That's five guys who probably could have got solid multi-year deals and avoided the lockout. Maybe that's small sample noise but it doesn't seem players are scared about being out there next winter.
Bobby Higginson
- Any chance the Tigers get involved in the top tier of closers?
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MLBTR Chat Transcript
Steve Adams
- Good morning! We’ll get going at 1pm CT today, but feel free to ask questions ahead of time, as always.
Sonny in Boston
- Was this a wise move by the Red Sox? Will it help make the playoffs or hurt in taking up too much money?
Steve Adams
- They’re paying Gray $21MM. That’s not much for Boston. I think they overpaid a bit in terms of the talent they gave up but don’t consider it like an egregious, “what are they thinking?!” style of move. In general, I think teams are too reluctant to trade prospects, so it’s kind of nice to see a trade where it actually feels like the buying club gave up a bit too much.
- In general, I think teams are too reluctant to trade prospects, so it’s kind of nice to see a trade where it actually feels like the buying club gave up a bit too much. Boston is better with Gray than without. Hard stop. It helps them in 2026… maybe hurts down the line if Clarke ever develops even below-average command.
Transaction Thinker
- The Sonny Gray article mentioned that it’s been years since a mutual option was exercised by both sides; I was wondering which player/team was involved.
Steve Adams
- Aramis Ramirez and the Brewers in the final season of Ramirez’s career
- The offseason prior, Matt Belisle and the Rockies both picked up their ends of a mutual option
- I’ve been with MLBTR full-time since 2013 (which is insane to think about, jeez) — and those are the only two times a mutual option has been exercised in my entire time here.
Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Steve Adams
- Good afternoon, everyone! Offseason is officially underway and some weird/wildly unexpected things are already happening! (I don't think anyone had "Mets trade Nimmo" on their bingo card, but if you did, kudos to you)
- We'll get going at 2pm CT, but feel free to send in your questions ahead of time!
- Good afternoon! Let's get underway!
Texas two step
- People are posting Texas is in a rebuild, I say no.
Steve Adams
- No, they're not. Brandon Nimmo said publicly today (this'll be on the site soon) that he wouldn't have waived his no-trade clause to go to a rebuilding team. The Rangers expressly told him this isn't a rebuild and that they're aiming for a swift return to postseason play.
Th Big Hurt
- If the White Sox do make one of their catchers available who's a team in need of catching and what would return be?
Steve Adams
- Rays, Nationals, Guardians, Padres, Rangers all come to mind. If they're trading Edgar Quero or (especially) Kyle Teel, the return has to include controllable, MLB-ready starting pitching.I don't think a team is going to give up a ready-made midrotation arm for Quero, given his defensive struggles and the pedestrian output at the plate, though. And it would take a pretty impactful young pitcher for me to really consider parting with Teel.
I'm not surprised we've seen reports on both young catchers drawing trade interest, but I lean toward it being likelier that the ChiSox just hang onto both.
AZ
- I’ve noticed in MLBTR articles that when player acquisition is discussed, the front office executive referenced is sometimes the POBO and sometimes the GM. Does that reflect differing duties within each front office or is it more of a name recognition type reason?
Steve Adams
- We just reference whatever title the team has given him. In most cases, the top decision-maker in a front office now is the president of baseball operations. But some teams still just have "GM" as the top spot (Yankees/Cashman, White Sox/Getz, Pirates/Cherington to name a few)
- Also have the Red Sox, who are the only org where "chief baseball officer" is the top title. The Twins originally gave that title to Derek Falvey as well way back in 2016, but they retitled him the more conventional POBO title in conjunction with one of his recent extensions.
Redlegs
- Andrew Abbott and Chase Petty enuf for Soderstrom?
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MLBTR Chat Transcript
Mark P
- How kind of the Mets and Rangers to make that trade before the Weekend Chat started! Let’s see if we can fit this chat in between any more breaking news items tonight…
‘Ners
- Who is the mariners starting 3rd baseman this season, not named Williamson or Suarez?
Mark P
- Colt Emerson
Guest
- Will the Cardinals target anything specific (i.e. young, controllable pitching over hitting) in the Donovan return? Seems like they have a large list of suitors for him, so they should be able to target what they want.
Mark P
- Probably pitching, but you’re right in that the Cardinals will be getting plenty of good offers. If the best offer of the bunch involves a controllable young bat, the Cards will be open to it
Mr Met
- What is happening? What is the logic behind the trade for both teams?
Guest
- Thoughts on the Mets and Rangers trade?
Mark P
- It’s a fascinating trade for both sides. I think both teams made the trade for the same reason — they think the player they’re giving up is a lesser long-term investment than the player they’re getting. Given Semien’s declining numbers, Texas might think he’ll never get back to his old self at the plate. The Mets might have soured on the idea of paying Nimmo for five more years, and Semien represents a shorter-term commitment.
Marlins Fan
- I know the Marlins will be in the market for late inning arms but why not convert Max Mayer to possibly close games out
Mark P
- It’s probably a little early to convert Meyer to relief pitching just yet, despite his injury issues
Guest
- Do you think the Astros trade Christian Walker at all?
Mark P
- Probably unlikely, given that Walker is owed $40MM and is coming off a very shaky season. But then again, I wouldn’t have thought Semien would’ve been dealt in the wake of his unspectacular year, yet here we are
