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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | October 27, 2025 at 3:00pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good afternoon! And happy World Series. We'll get going at 3pm CT, but as always, feel free to submit questions ahead of time if you prefer.
  • Greetings! Let's begin

Eeyore

  • Lifelong Mariners fan here… also a big fan of Eugenio Suarez, especially what he brings to the clubhouse..  Wondering what it might take for the M’s to retain him and maybe use him at DH and 3rd.  Dreaming of an offseason where Naylor gets signed, a trade lands Brendan Donovan and Suarez is still in the fold… all with Colt Emerson getting called up at so e point.

Steve Adams

  • I don't think there's any chance they keep both Suarez and Naylor and then add someone like Donovan. Individually they're all fine fits, but Suarez is probably going to command $20MM+ annually over 2-3 years, and the Mariners aren't going to spend for a player in his mid-30s when they have Emerson waiting in the wings.Naylor reunion seems possible, particularly if they move some other pieces to make the financial aspect work (assuming ownership isn't going to green-light a major spending hike).

    Donovan fits the Mariners well, but he's versatile, cheap and good at just about everything on the diamond. He fits every contending club well. Mariners do have a better farm than a lot of (most of) the other teams who'll be looking into him, though.

walterj23

  • If Hoyer of the Cubs declined to bring Imanaga back could the Cubs have enough money to sign Cease and Woodruff  ?

Steve Adams

  • The Cubs have enough money regardless of Imanaga. They have about $162.5MM in luxury obligations next year, per RosterResource. They could pick up their option on Imanaga, their option on Kittredge and their option on Rea and still be under $200MM in tax considerations. That's enough room to sign Cease and Woodruff and keep under the line in all likelihood -- and that doesn't even consider possible non-tenders (Reese McGuire, Eli Morgan) or trades of any veterans on the roster.

Rangers13

  • What teams with a need for defensive help would be possible trade partners for AGarcia or Semien if the acquiring team thinks they might be able to return them to close to previous offensive form and who might be options back to the Rangers from those teams?

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Front Office Originals MLBTR Chats

3 comments

MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Mark Polishuk | October 26, 2025 at 6:25pm CDT

Mark P

  • The Weekend Chat is upon us!  We’ll wait a minute for the questions to start piling up, then get cracking….

Guest

  • Reds trading front of line pitcher this off-season?

Mark P

  • If by “front of the line” you mean Greene, Abbott, or Lodolo, probably not.  Petty and Burns likely aren’t going anywhere either, so Singer might be the most realistic starter Cincinnati would deal to obtain some real hitting help

Angela

  • Want do you see the phillies  doing this off-season

Mark P

  • Well, my outlook on the Phillies offseason could be summed up as….
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/10/offseason-outlook-philadelphia-…
  • The TL;DR version is that my guess is that the Phils re-sign Schwarber and Realmuto, Suarez departs, Bohm is non-tendered or traded, and the team brings in a significant everyday outfielder to replace Castellanos (who will probably be released, in lieu of a salary-dump trade)
  • Now, whether or not this “significant everyday outfielder” is more of a stopgap or, say, Kyle Tucker or someone more eye-opening remains to be seen

Guest

  • Does Luis Arraez make more or less than 12 million AAV in free agency?

Mark P

  • Less.  I admit that Arraez is a tricky player to evaluate, but most modern front offices will look at his lack of defensive utility and lack of overall offensive production rather than just his batting averages

Jonny Venters

  • You’re the GM of the Pirates, and Bob Nutting has told you he intends to raise the payroll as high as $210 million in 2026(don’t laugh!).  What moves do you make this offseason to put PIT in contention?

Mark P

  • First I get up off the ground, since that news would’ve caused me to faint.

    Then, heck, sign Tucker, sign Schwarber, go all out on bats.

Dan

  • Who do you believe is the favorite to be the next Braves manager?

Mark P

  • The Braves are purposely keeping news quiet, but Mark Bowman of MLB.com had an interesting report the other day pointing towards Danny Lehmann as a name under increasingly serious consideration.

    Hard to call Lehmann the “favorite,” per se, but given the lack of other names, I guess it’s maybe him by default?  Just as notably, Bowman reported that guys like Ross, DeRosa, and Gibbons weren’t being considered

Read more

Doug

  • Should the Mets be engaging the Rays in trade talks this offseason? The Rays can offer short-term bullpen help (Fairbanks), as well as offense at 2B (Lowe) and/or 1B (Yandy Diaz) that wouldn’t require Stearns to go long-term on any of those players (and likely not impact the top of the farm system prospects). What would be a framework of a potential deal between the Mets and Rays?

Mark P

  • The Rays tend to want at least one MLB-ready player in such a notable trade, so they’d ask for one of the Mets’ young starters.  This might not necessarily work for a NYM team that needs rotation depth anyway, but to your point, Tampa combining two of their trade chips into a single deal might be intriguing on this front.

Guest

  • What routes do you see the Red Sox taking? I feel there are a million different ways they could go. I feel signing Tucker then trading both Duran and Abreu in two different trades for pitching is the way to go.

Mark P

  • This seems a touch complicated when the Sox could just trade one OF for a pitcher, and then perhaps sign another arm.  Tucker probably won’t be on Boston’s radar when the Sox already have so much in the outfield pipeline.

C-Daddy

  • Stress level out of 10 with your beloved Blue Jays in the playoffs.

Mark P

  • Oh man, I’ve been a borderline nervous wreck all October, lol.  Playoff baseball is both the best and kinda the worst!

    My stress level is somewhat mitigated by my amazement that the Blue Jays actually won the pennant and are battling it out in the WS.  Obviously it would be disappointing to get this close and then fall short, but this whole season has been such an unexpected joy that it’s all gravy at this point.

Mark

  • Do you think that Mike Trout is going to be traded?

Mark P

  • No

Chaim Bloom

  • Who should I go after in free agency, but also remain in rebuild territory?

Mark P

  • The Cardinals’ free agent targets will probably be veterans on one-year deals, with the idea being that St. Louis could then potentially flip them at the deadline.  They don’t want to block any of their young players to any great extent, but signing a starting pitcher to eat innings and act as an experienced leader for the kids makes sense, especially if Gray is moved

Allen

  • Seattle needs a bat for 2B/3B and are said to be shopping Castillo. Who are the top targets? Might they pay some salary?

Mark P

  • The M’s might still be open to moving Castillo to free up some payroll space, yet don’t forget that Colt Emerson will be making his MLB next year.  It’s probably safe to pencil him in at 2B or 3B, leaving the Mariners looking at just the other position.  It could be as simply as re-signing Polanco, if they think he’ll be able to return to regular second base action

Guest

  • A lot of Giants fans want them to pursue Skubal in light of trade rumors that he’ll be made available. But I say wait til he’s FA and take a run at him then, otherwise you spend all your trade capital on someone who will walk at the end of 2026 cause he’s a Boras guy and Boras discourages extensions.

Mark P

  • This makes sense, though having Skubal on the roster for a year and (in theory) winning him over with the organizational atmosphere and the Giants’ intent to win will help them in a bidding war next winter.  Not that Skubal would necessarily be taking a hometown discount or anything, maybe he’d be more open to staying in a known environment if the money is pretty equal all around

Ang T

  • IF Harper made available for trade by PHI, which teams would be the top suitors?

Dave Dombrowski

  • What CF could I get for Bryce Harper on the trade market after my idiotic comments about him after the season?

Mark P

  • “Idiotic” is the wrong word.  I’ll bet Dombrowski wishes he’d phrased his answer differently in that press conference, but Dombrowski said nothing incorrect about Harper’s 2025 season.  I can also understand why a competitive guy like Harper would be upset by the comments, plus the fact that Dombrowski didn’t mention the obvious caveat that Harper was dealing with a wrist problem for a decent chunk of the year.

    This seems like much ado about nothing, ultimately, in part because Harper has a no-trade clause and doesn’t want to go anywhere.  If Dombrowsk was playing 4-D chess and Harper now has extra motivation to have another MVP-level season, everyone wins.

Ghost

  • What would a reasonable offseason look like for the White Sox to try to progress towards respectability?

Mark P

  • Getting a good return in a Luis Robert trade. Picking up a couple of other veterans that turn into good deadline trade chips.  If the White Sox were ever willing to spend money, I’d suggest taking on a bad contract or two in order to try and obtain some better prospects from teams.

Natitude Dude

  • Alec Bohm to the Nats to play 1B/3B? Thoughts.

Mark P

  • Bohm is a free agent next winter, so I don’t think he’s much of a fit on a Nationals team that likely isn’t trying to win in 2026.

Rays Days

  • If there is a 2027 work stoppage or lockout
    Would it behoove the rays to just pick up Lowe’s and  Diaz’s options for next year and then wait and see what 2027 brings

Mark P

  • Lowe has a club option for 2026, whereas Diaz is under contract next year (with a club option for 2027).

    Sure, it’s possible the Rays might just stand pat with both guys.  Fairbanks is the most obvious trade candidate of the three, so he’s the only one I’d be truly surprised to see still in a Rays uniform on Opening Day.  The Rays might want to keep Lowe and Yandy around to help a lineup that needs more pop anyway.

Tennessee fan

  • Does the Vitello hiring make the Giants a more desirable destination seeing that Vitello’s recruiting skills have reportedly been outstanding?

Mark P

  • This is an interesting aspect of Vitello’s hiring that I haven’t seen addressed in much depth.  The Giants’ issues in luring (most) top free agents to San Francisco have been well-documented, yet keep in mind, there’s a world of difference between talking a top high schooler or college player into coming to Tennessee and talking a top free agent into signing with your team.
  • Ultimately it’ll come down to what the Giants are offering financially, of course, but if they’re offering comparable money, maybe a great pitch from Vitello could be a tie-breaker in some cases.

John Stanton

  • Everyone in Seattle loves Naylor. Should I just give him want he wants to stay and play for us or is this just the Naylor charm talking and my money could be better spent elsewhere?

Mark P

  • If Naylor doesn’t re-sign, the Mariners will need a first baseman anyway.  So why not go all-in (to some extent) to bring back a known quantity who has already proven that he can hit in Seattle?

Trip

  • Where do you see Freddy Peralta next year?

Mark P

  • On Opening Day, Freddy Peralta will be playing for….

    The Brewers (27.7% | 102 votes)
    Another team (72.2% | 265 votes)

    Total Votes: 367
  • I totally see the logic in trading Peralta, but I’d lean more towards him staying put.  The fact that Peralta is making just $8MM is such a big help to the Brewers’ budget and their rotation that it would be a really huge offer to get Arnold to pull the trigger on a deal.

Drew

  • Who are you hearing will be the Padres next manager?

Mark P

  • Based just on speculation, my guess is Ryan Flaherty.  A known quantity in SD, and he was apparently Preller’s preferred choice in the last managerial search before he was overruled by upper management.

White Sox Fan

  • What would Tyler Soderstrom cost in a trade? Sox need some power bats. I also can see Rhys Hoskins as a good fit on a 1 yesr deal

Mark P

  • Signing Hoskins is a far, far likelier scenario than the A’s dealing away a controllable talent like Soderstrom.  The LF experiment with Soderstrom worked out far better than expected, so the A’s suddenly have no logjam between him, Rooker, and Kurtz

Dodger Fan

  • Do you think the Dodgers will go out and get some OF help this offseason or give one of their young minor league studs a chance to come up and play LF?

Mark P

  • You can’t rule LA out on a big signing like Tucker just because they’re one of the few teams in that spending tier.  But, I can see the Dodgers being a bit cagier and looking to add an outfielder who is controlled just for 2026.  Perhaps a Conforto-esque free agent on a one-year deal, except obviously with the hope that this player produces way more than Conforto did

Gussie Busch

  • Where do the Cards start? Fire sale and see what’s left? Not sure the fan base will give it 3 years. The past two generations of fans have never experienced this.

Mark P

  • You’re selling the STL fans short, since there have been tons of questions/comments in these chats alone over the last few years from Cardinals supporters wanting to blow things up.  A rebuild is at least a direction, rather than the team spending 2024-25 largely treading water.

Marky Mark

  • Whats on the Playlist tonight?

Mark P

  • Dolores O’Riordan’s cover of “Go Your Own Way”

bmcferren

  • Are the Cubs willing to take on salary to trade Ian Happ? Is Happ willing to waive his no trade clause to play left field in hometown of Pittsburgh?

Mark P

  • Happ is making $18MM, and he is coming off a very solid year.  The Cubs probably don’t feel they should have to take on money in any trade, plus Happ probably won’t be too keen on waiving his no-trade protection.  And, if he is, it’s hard to see him leaving a contender to join the woeful Bucs (hometown pride notwithstanding)

Miguel Andujar

  • Does it make sense for me to come back to the Yankees to help Judge win a championship?

Mark P

  • Andujar is one of the free agents I see as a great low-key add for a lot of teams.  Not sure he’s an ideal fit for the Yankees specifically unless they kept him in LF full-time, not to mention any bad blood that might exist between the two sides

A. A.

  • Texas needs to shed salary, but needs a catcher. We need a shortstop. How conceivable is a deal built around Sean Murphy and Corey Seager

Mark P

  • With like $140MM of a gap in salaries between the two, this doesn’t seem very realistic.  Seager is terrific when he’s healthy, but teams would be very wary about his ability to stay off the IL over the course of his contract.  Perhaps especially if you’re a Braves team that was crushed by injuries last year, this doesn’t seem like a fit.

Sharon Peters

  • clayton kershaw starting a World Series game yes or no?

Mark P

  • Kershaw isn’t better right now than any of Yamamoto, Glasnow, Ohtani, or Snell, so no.

Moreno-gels

  • is there any hope for the Angels to add any talent this offseason??  Or just another year of losing records and wasting Mike Trout?

Mark P

  • Not to be pessimistic before the Angels’ offseason has really gotten underway, but I find it hard to see that team competing in 2026.  We’ve already gotten the weirdness of the managerial search and Suzuki getting just a one-year contract, so things are already off to a strange start for the team.

Reds Hopeful

  • Brady Singer for Wilyer Abreu as the two main pieces make sense for both teams?  I like Abreu in Cincy better than what it would take to get Duran. Seems like a better candidate to hit 30 HRs too.

Mark P

  • Singer is a free agent next winter, so the Red Sox would want a more controllable pitcher if they’re giving up Abreu

silent george

  • is schwelenbach expected back full go by spring training? any long term worries with that injury or just a fluke thing?

Mark P

  • Schwellenbach was getting ready to start throwing again even before the 2025 season was over, so he should be ready to roll for the start of spring camp

PCM2013

  • How much does Boston want to move off Masataka Yoshida (if at all)? Would they consider a Yoshida-Taijuan Walker bad contract swap? Feels like a move to the other team’s stadium could help both players – Fenway helping Walker’s flyball stay in the yard, and CPB helping Yoshida’s power numbers.

Mark P

  • Yoshida is owed $36MM over the next two seasons, and Walker is owed $18MM for 2026.  So there’s a financial gap right there, plus Walker posted decent numbers in 2025 and showed that he could again operate as a competent Major League starter.

    Yoshida, meanwhile, missed most of the season due to injury and didn’t hit well when he returned to action.  For the Phillies in particular, adding Yoshida to a lineup that hopes to have Schwarber back at DH isn’t a fit whatsoever.

Bob

  • Do the Marlins make playoffs? with there young core

Mark P

  • It’s optimistic to view Miami as a playoff team right now, but it can’t be ruled out given how much progress they made in 2025.  A few canny moves this winter might well put the Fish right into the playoff picture.

LAD

  • Can you see a scenario in which LAD sits out the offseason?  They’ve got a stable of top100 OF talent and talk of pursuit of an OF on a long term deal.  A ton of SPs rehabbing in the minors and a pen that needs a remake.

Mark P

  • You said it yourself, the bullpen needs enough work that the Dodgers won’t be sitting anything out.  But in general, obviously LA is in a lot better overall shape than most teams, so I wouldn’t expect a ton of blockbuster moves.  (One blockbuster move, however? Sure.)

Chief

  • It appears the Royals are going to count on Caglianone to take a big role in 2026. Your thoughts?

Mark P

  • As a top prospect, KC isn’t going to give up on him this soon, naturally.  Some more time at Triple-A seems like it might help to get Caglianone’s confidence back a bit, and adding another outfielder or two lessens the pressure on Caglianone to be good immediately.

Bader

  • Phillies will top any offer I get in FA right? They need my exact skill set

Mark P

  • As well as Bader performed in Philly, two months of production isn’t too likely to overwhelm his previous few years of subpar hitting.  The Phils surely have some interest in bringing him back, but not at any price

Phillies guy

  • Bohm and Castellanos to angels for Ward and Soler   Who says no

Mark P

  • This exact deal seems like the Phillies benefit a lot more than the Halos, so it needs some tweaking.

Core

  • Do you see a scenario where the Pirates trade Joey Bart? He had a bad year and he can’t field. Henry Davis at every day sounds better plus Rafael Flores and maybe a Shawn Ross. Tell me your thoughts? What do they do if they trade Bart.
    1. Call up Shawn Ross.
    2. Henry Davis Everyday and flores backup.
    3. or Sign a free Agent and let Spring decide

Mark P

  • What’s up with the Pirates and all their catchers with two first names?  Henry Davis, Joey Bart, Shawn Ross, Omar Alfonzo, Rafael Flores….well, maybe not that last one, but come on, surely there’s someone in the world with “Flores” as a first name

    Anyway, onto the actual question!  I agree that Bart might be moved, as giving Davis another big dose of playing time seems like a more important big-picture decision.

Ang T

  • Do the TB Rays stay in St. Pete, move to Tampa Proper, or a different location in the future?

Mark P

  • From what I understand of Tampa/St. Pete geography, it seems like having a ballpark in actual Tampa is the much more preferable location for all parties.  It’s just that it seems very difficult to find available land in an area that checks every box the team is looking for, not to mention the finances involved in actually getting the stadium built.

Guest

  • Two Braves notes: 1. Despite how much people like to speculate on a Murphy trade, the Braves have been perfectly fine playing two starter-level catchers alongside each other before. 2. Re: Bowman’s report for Lehmann, while I’m not opposed to him, worth noting that his wording was “his candidacy has seemingly strengthened over the past couple weeks”, and that may be just really mean he thinks Lehmann has a better argument simply because of the Dodgers’ World Series run. At the very least, that part seemed more speculative than other parts apparently backed up by sources.

Mark P

  • Anthopoulos has known Lehmann dating back to their days together in LA, so that seems like more of a factor than the Dodgers having another deep playoff run.  Bowman indeed didn’t state that Lehmann was any kind of favorite or even that he was necessarily a top candidate, but it does seem like Lehmann is indeed a candidate.  This is basically all we’ve got to go on given how the Braves are keeping such a tight lid on things.

    As to your point about the catching situation, it’s also worth noting that Murphy’s trade value isn’t exactly at a high point right now.  If Baldwin continues to hit well and avoids a sophomore slump, Atlanta might look to move Murphy next offseason, but doing so now both leaves the club a bit thin at catcher and it’s a bit of a sell-low on Murphy.

Tony Rendon

  • Do you think the Angels have any expectations for me in 2026?

Mark P

  • If Rendon didn’t have a no-trade clause, he’s actually someone I’d suggest in “bad contract swap” scenarios involving the Angels.  Even if the Halos were taking on more money overall, getting something back in the form of a player that is guaranteed to actually play in 2026 is more preferable to the team than keeping Rendon around
  • One drawback is that Rendon is both owed $38MM in 2026 and that would also be his luxury tax number, which is a bigger hit for teams trying to limit their tax bill

Kevin in Pa

  • Do starting pitchers like Quintana and Jordan Montgomery make sense for the Cards rotation this season or will they target lesser starters? Thanks

Mark P

  • Both make some sense, though Montgomery is recovering from Tommy John surgery and won’t be back until closer to midseason

Card Fan 60+ years

  • I remember B Gibson pitching a no-hitter, Torre batting .363, Whitey ball in the eighties. Pujols departing was a major blow, but nothing was like being told we would not compete in 2025. Being told we are losers does not sit in the midwest and I would rather find something else to do than watch.

Mark P

  • I don’t doubt that many Cards fans share your opinion, given the lower attendance numbers this season.  But, if the Cards actually had gone ahead with more of a proper rebuild last winter, at least you could’ve said “ok, this stinks, but at least I can see that they’re trying to get better.”

    Having a 2025 campaign that was basically a year of stasis made little sense to me, and probably added to the discord amongst the St. Louis fanbase

John

  • Who is the best option for the Royals to trade for to shore up their outfield needs this offseason? Or do they go the free agent route?

Mark P

  • Since the Royals have a need in both LF and 2B, Brendan Donovan might be the best fit since he can play either position (or toggle between the two)

Bosox Fan 1

  • Will the Red Sox show an  interest in J. T. Realmuto?

Mark P

  • Narvez’s bat cooled off a lot as the season went on, but the Sox seem fine enough with him as their 1a catcher that any pursuit of Realmuto wouldn’t be a top priority

liptowi

  • Do you pull the plug on Volpe if he has a meh spring training and just go with Caballero or O. Cabrera until the trade deadline  (with Lombard in the wings for 2027)?

Mark P

  • Caballero did enough in his short time in the Bronx that the Yankees might want to give him a real look as their shortstop (at least) until Volpe is healthy.
  • Going out to get another veteran SS this winter is probably less likely due to Caballero’s presence.  And, due to the fact that the Yankees themselves haven’t given up on Volpe (even if it feels like 95% of Yankee fans have)

Sneaky

  • is the reason not many questions are about Cleveland because Cleveland is not going to do much beyond signing Hedges as C2 ? It sure seems when all the hype is pumping that they have several “extra” prospects that could fetch some help

Mark P

  • The Guardians almost surely won’t be making any big signings, and it’s trickier to try and predict which trades they “might” make. There aren’t any obvious trade candidates on the roster (ala Naylor last year) going into this offseason, since chances are Kwan won’t be shopped until either the deadline or next offseason.

Rick

  • I’m thinking the Dodgers may go for Murakami for 3rd/1st base as Muncy & Freeman are getting close  to end of their contracts. What do you think? Thanks

Mark P

  • This would suggest the Dodgers would use Murakami as a LF for at least one season, since Muncy’s club option is very likely to be exercised. Can’t be ruled out, but it feels like the Dodgers probably wouldn’t be mentioned as a Murakami suitor if it wasn’t for their long history with landing Japanese talent

Chopper to Chipper

  • Bees?

Mark P

  • Beads?!
  • And with the catchphrase now achieved, we can call it a wrap on the chat. Thanks to everyone for all the questions, and it’s wild to think that this might be the last Weekend Chat of the 2025 season.  Enjoy the World Series this week, and let’s hope my nerves can handle it.
  • If you’re interested in more baseball Q&A, one of the many benefits of our Trade Rumors Front Office subscription is the exclusive weekly live chats. The more limited field means you’re about 10 times more likely to get a question answered, as opposed to battling for space with hundreds of other questions in today’s chat. For more on our memberships, check out this link:

    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/membership?ref=chat-10-26-25

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MLBTR Chats

15 comments

Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

By Anthony Franco | October 24, 2025 at 12:30pm CDT

Anthony Franco

  • Good afternoon, hope you're all well! Looking forward to another of these
  • Busy week for us with offseason prep so I'm going to keep this one at an hour. Let's get going

Bo nose

  • I sure hope Bichette's addition to the Jays' roster is not a sentimental move nor one anticipating contributions defensively. Ordinarily a plus bat, the area where, arguably, the Blue Jays are strongest as a team right now, he has been feeble against L.A. over the past two years. That's only six games but, combined with the lay-off, is his best usage more likely to be as a super-sub PH than in any starting defender capacity? I think the noise about using him at 2nd is just that, noise.

Duffy Scliff

  • Does Toronto realistically have a shot in this series? Does the fact that LAD hasn’t played in awhile hurt them?

Anthony Franco

  • Dodgers are favorites but it's like 55-45, they've definitely got a shot. L.A.'s bullpen still feels like a weakness and the Jays should put up a much better fight against the rotation than Milwaukee did
  • We'll see on Bo. Obviously if he can move at all, then playing him at second would be ideal. Use Clement at third with Barger in RF and IKF as a defensive sub late in games. If he's so hobbled that he can't field a ground-ball, well he's at least a better pinch-hitting option than Loperfido would've been

Hopeful Halo

  • What do you think the angels chances are to land a top starter like Valdez?

Anthony Franco

  • Would be out of character for Moreno and they've got so many other needs that I don't think using most of the budget on one top starter would be the wisest choice anyway
  • I could see them more in on Gallen or a boring innings eater like Littell. They'll need to spend something on a center fielder and a third baseman and should at least bring Kenley back to solidify the back of the bullpen

Japanese Players

  • Who do you think gets the highest contract for Japanese pitchers coming over this year? Imai seems to be the one getting most of the conversation now. I do wonder if he might be getting a little to hyped now? It does seem sometimes we get hyped for a player and they struggle coming over.

Anthony Franco

  • Yeah it'll be Imai. He's a bit of split camp guy but I'd be surprised if he signs for less than $130M
  • I think the recent track record for the top NPB starters is pretty good actually. Yamamoto's phenomenal. Tanaka worked out really well, Imanaga was excellent value at 4/53. Jury's still out on Sasaki but for even if he's only a late-inning reliever, that's well worth what the Dodgers paid with the hard capped bonuses

Rangers13

  • How much do you expect Okamoto to cost?

Anthony Franco

  • We all landed at three years and between $33-45MM but there's a really wide error bar on the predictions for players (especially hitters) coming over from foreign leagues
  • Seems like he's at least equally interesting as Jeimer Candelario or Jurickson Profar were though

Ding a ling

  • Has Dillon Dingler really changed his hit tool? Both FanGraphs and MLB gave him a 30 as a prospect, but this past season, he hit for a respectable average. Who's the real Dillon Dingler?

Anthony Franco

  • Yeah definitely think he's better than a 30 hit tool. Big step forward in his in-zone contact rate, fewer chases. Hits the ball hard enough to post decent results on balls in play, even if he's probably not turning in a .345 BABIP every year
  • Feels like a 50 hitter with average pop who plays really strong defense behind the plate. Good player

Mike Yastrzemski

  • Please find me a home?

Anthony Franco

  • I fully expect the Royals to bring him back on a one-year deal for $10-12M. He hit well there and it's obviously an ongoing need
  • If they go elsewhere, Philly, Pittsburgh or Cleveland would work. Wouldn't pick the Giants to do it after they traded him but it's not like Luis Matos/Drew Gilbert seized the RF job. If they focus most of their resources on the rotation and Yaz is out for $8M in February, I don't see why they wouldn't be willing to circle back

Arthur Dent

  • Any chance the Guardians will entertain offers in Steven Kwan? If so, what would Cleveland be looking for in return?
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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | October 20, 2025 at 2:00pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good morning! We'll get going at 2pm CT today, but feel free to submit questions ahead of time, as always.
  • Good afternoon! Sorry to be a couple minutes late. Let's begin!

Tx Ranger stuff

  • With what’s out there and what he’s gonna cost would you keep Adolis García and hope he hits? And what about Jonah Heim.

Steve Adams

  • I think both are as good as done in Arlington. Garcia is going to make around $12MM after consecutive disappointing seasons at the plate. Heim took a huge step back and is going to earn around $6MM after a pair of ugly years. Chris Young alluded to payroll uncertainty when talking about Bochy's departure.
  • At catcher, there isn't a ton out there in free agency beyond JT Realmuto, but the Rangers could try for Minnesota's Ryan Jeffers via trade or go more direct and sign Victor Caratini. I just don't think spending $6MM or so to hope Heim returns to his 2023 levels is where they'll go.
  • In the outfield, they've got Wyatt Langford and Evan Carter. There'll be plenty of trade options even if the limited slate of corner OF bats in free agency doesn't appeal to them ... Lars Nootbaar, Taylor Ward, Brendan Donovan, Brenton Doyle, Alek Thomas, Jake McCarthy, JJ Bleday, Matt Wallner, Trevor Larnach ... any of those names could be out there in trade talks.

Buster Posey

  • Outside of 2B and RF, where can I look to improve this club other than trying to stockpile quality arms?

Steve Adams

  • Second base and right field are the primary avenues to bolstering the lineup in San Francisco, but they could also look at first base/DH and see if Bryce Eldridge can headline a package for a notable starter (e.g Joe Ryan, Andrew Abbott, etc.)Could also look into some of those same OF options I listed for the Rangers -- plus Tucker, Bellinger, Grisham, etc. -- and plug Heliot Ramos into more of a DH role.

Luis Arraez

  • Am I playable at 3B anymore? Boston would be nice... Hell it's not like Casas will be healthy, I can play 1B by Memorial Day after Triston ruptures a fingernail or something

Steve Adams

  • Cannot fathom someone signing Arraez to play third base. He's just a poor defender wherever he's at ... first base, maybe you could get something close to average, but even that's a stretch. I think Arraez is going to sign a contract that makes a lot of fans say "Uh, that's it?" But he's basically just a (very good) singles hitter with a middling OBP ... He's the type of guy I can see ending up with a boring one-year deal or maybe a cheap two/opt-out in February if he goes out looking for a notable long-term contract.

For Love of the Game

  • Given that Scott Boras advises his clients to test the free agent waters, no team is really going to drain their top prospect ranks by offering so much for Skubal that the Tigers would write off contending in 2026 (and likely 2027) for a chance to be even better in later years, right?  If I'm wrong, what would that offer look like?

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MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Mark Polishuk | October 18, 2025 at 1:45pm CDT

Mark P

  • It occurs to me that I could’ve been called myself “Moderator Mark” for the last six years of these chats.  While I wince at the missed opportunity, let’s take some of your questions and address some admittedly more relevant baseball topics!

Ca$hman

  • Does Trent Grisham get a qualifying offer? Does he accept it if offered?

Mark P

  • The Yankees will very likely extend the QO, and Grisham will surely turn it down.  Coming off such a big platform year, Grisham is looking for a pricey multi-year deal, not a one-year payday.

Optimistic Giants Fan

  • What’s the crummiest bullpen thats ever won the World Series in your opinion?

Mark P

  • Just from recent memory, the 2019 Nationals and 2023 Rangers didn’t exactly have great pens, though they had just enough relievers get it together for just long enough in October.

Braves Fan

  • What will the Braves do at SS if Kim walks? Do we see Profar or Murphy traded to help fill that hole?

Mark P

  • The likelier scenario is that the Braves trade from their farm system or perhaps move a pitcher to land another shortstop.  Murphy doesn’t have a ton of trade value at this point, plus Atlanta might want to keep depth at catcher in case Baldwin has a sophomore slump.  Also, the Braves have to be thinking Murphy has a rebound in him, and THEN the club might be more inclined to deal him if Baldwin is firmly established as the top catcher.Profar’s PED suspension probably cooled a lot of teams on his services.  Plus, if the Braves dealt Profar, then that’s another hole to be addressed for left field.

Brady

  • Do you think the Tigers should go all in this offseason?

Mark P

  • Scott Harris has kept things pretty low-risk during his time in charge of the front office, so an all-in push in Skubal’s last year of control doesn’t seem likely.  Same with Tigers ownership, who seem content to keep spending in check.Granted, the team has made it to the ALDS in each of the last two seasons, so it’s not like things are going poorly in Motown.  But the ceiling for this team definitely seems higher, especially with an ace like Skubal in the rotation

Mark

  • Will A. Garcia be a Rangers next year or trade bait?

Mark P

  • Trade bait or probably even a non-tender.

Read more

Craig Breslow

  • can you see me making a package deal with the Cardinals for Gray, Contreras and Wynn

Mark P

  • Cardinals aren’t going to move all their trade chips in one deal, and moving Winn doesn’t seem likely at all.

Cal

  • Is Cal Raleigh the MVP?    Only 6 players have hit 60 homers.  And I am a catcher with a platinum glove. Who play 159 games

Mark P

  • He’d be my pick, if I had a vote.  Judge’s numbers are overall better, but the degree of difficulty for a catcher hitting 60 home runs in that home ballpark is wild

Ryan

  • What bats do the Pirates sign or trade for this offseason?

Mark P

  • Spencer Horwitz-type players, in all likelihood.  This isn’t necessarily a bad thing since Horwitz had a good year, and obtaining controllable young hitters is something the Pirates should absolutely be doing.Of course, what they also “should” be doing is being willing to spend more on hitting.  Until they do so, however, I’ll continue to assume they’ll keep looking for cost-effective bats rather than more proven talent

Arte Moreno

  • Could you see Bo Bichette shifting to 3B or 2B this off-season?

Mark P

  • Bichette’s arm isn’t great, so 2B seems to be the more likelier option if he is open to a position change.From both a financial and common-sense standpoint, it would make sense for Bichette to move off shortstop.  Being willing to play 2B opens the door for more potential suitors, plus it solves concerns about his glovework at short.

TameImp

  • After a really rough postseason  – what is Luke Weaver looking at in FA? Less than what Holmes got last year?

Mark P

  • Holmes isn’t an ideal comp since he signed as a starting pitcher.  Weaver said in September that he is open to considering a move back to rotation work, though it depends how many teams share a belief that he can return to his early-career starting form.Chances are Weaver remains a reliever, and still lands a multi-year deal.  A one-year “prove it” sort of pact is possible, and Weaver might even prefer such a contract since it would allow him to re-enter the market next winter on the heels of a better platform year

Freddy

  • Any chance that Buxton changes his stance on his no trade clause?

Mark P

  • Only Buxton knows this for sure, and he was adamant even after the deadline fire sale that he wants to remain in Minnesota.

o-birds

  • Is Albert Pujols an actual candidate to manage the O’s? l just don’t see it and what are our chances of signing Valdez or Gallen?

Mark P

  • He’s supposed to interview for the job, so I assume Pujols isn’t being called in just to talk about his three-homer game in the 2011 Series.Valdez/Gallen would represent a new frontier for the O’s in terms of free agent spending.  Even before the Mike Elias era, the Angelos ownership was famously wary of committing big money to pitchers.  The catch here is that I wonder how much Gallen will earn in the wake of his so-so 2025 numbers, and if that could drop him into Baltimore’s price rang
  • range

Mark

  • Do you think The Pirates will make Jared Jones and/or Oviedo available this off season? When is Jones expected to be ready and what do you think it would cost the Red Sox to trade for either of these pitchers?

Mark P

  • Jones is expected back by May, as he underwent a brace surgery rather than a Tommy John surgery.  He could conceivably return before then, to boot.While everything seems okay with his recovery to date, there’s still enough rehab to come that I can see teams shying away from a pitcher coming off major UCL surgery.  Or at least, Jones might draw less attention than some of the other arms Pittsburgh has on offer.

    Oviedo only logged 40 1/3 innings in his own comeback year, as he was sidelined by a lat injury in the wake of his Tommy John rehab.  I’m not sure he was viewed as a prime trade chip even before all these injury woes, so his value is pretty low at the moment

  • As it relates to the Red Sox, Boston is probably going to be aiming higher with their pitching search

Guest

  • I was thinking after the regular season that Judge was the MVP, but Raleigh is seriously carrying the Mariners throughout the postseason. Will this sway any voters?

Mark P

  • Awards voting is done after the regular season, before the playoffs begin.

Starting Pitchers

  • Who has more value relative to expected prospect cost in a trade? Peralta or Skubal?

Mark P

  • Peralta will earn $8MM next year, and Skubal will cost roughly $17.8MM (as per Matt Swartz’s arb projection).  Even with that big gap in price tag, Skubal should net a bit more in a trade return because he is arguably the best pitcher in baseball.  Peralta is a very good pitcher in his own right, but maybe more of an ideal No. 2 starter on a contender

Robbie Baseball

  • Honest question, how is George Springer not a candidate for the MLBPA Comeback Player of the Year award?

Mark P

  • The award usually goes to players returning from injury, not players coming back from a bad season.  DeGrom has to be the top choice for the AL honors.

Guest

  • what is you take on ontani thowing 6 shut out innings ant hitting 3 home runs been a 55 year old baseball fan and thats simpiy amazing

Mark P

  • You can’t make this stuff up.  Ohtani is delivering iconic performances on a regular basis, and even he outdid himself last night.  Maybe literally the best game anyone has ever played, and in a playoff game to boot.

Trade

  • Jose Soriano for Brett Baty who says no?

Mark P

  • Not sure either side would see that as a total fit.  The Mets obviously need starting pitching, but Soriano is maybe too grounder-dependent for what they’re looking for

Kevin in Pa

  • Bloom mentioned the Cards would be in the market for pitching. Does this mean Quintana or more like Cease? Thanks

Mark P

  • The Cards are in rebuild mode, so Cease doesn’t fit.  Veteran innings-eaters like Quintana are more likely, but the priority will be giving rotation spots to the younger arms

Brian S

  • Do you think Bubic and Isbel could have value as a trade package for an upgrade in CF for the Royals. If so, who’s a team needing SP who could trade a young CF with offensive potential?

Mark P

  • Bubic is only controlled through 2026, and Isbel is a fantastic fielder who can’t hit.  I’m not sure that’s enough to land “a young CF with offensive potential” since those types of players are generally kept by their teams.Moving Bubic for a corner OF might be the smoother fit for Kansas City.  As much as the Royals need outfield help, Isbel’s glove is at least a big plus, so they’re probably fine staying with him as the primary center fielder as long as they get some pop for the corners.

Bats or Arms

  • Bigger priority for Breslow: resign Bregman or find an actual #2 to slot behind Crochet?

Mark P

  • Finding another quality pitcher.  If Bregman leaves, the Red Sox can arguably fill that 3B hole with Marcelo Mayer, even if that’s putting a lot of pressure on a youngster.

Dick Monfort

  • What’s a realistic timeline for the Rockies to get back to contention? The whole organization is a dumpster fire. 5-7 years?

Mark P

  • Depends on who the GM hire is, but that sounds about right.  In theory, a new GM/PBO will be given the freedom to overhaul basically everything about how the organization operates, which will take a lot of time.

Guest

  • Not sure I’ve seen it mentioned anywhere, but if the Reds want more offense, maybe they could swing a trade for Benintendi with the White Sox eating much of the financial cost.  Obviously Benny hasn’t exactly been an offensive powerhouse the past few years, but if you look at expected homers by ballpark, the Reds’ ballpark should be one of the most beneficial ones for him, and LF/DH is enough of a question mark for them where the fit actually isn’t that bad.

Mark P

  • I see your logic, but if the Reds are looking for a true upgrade, they can do a lot better than Benintendi

MLB Owners

  • Saw an ESPN article before the NLCS saying it could impact CBA negotiations. You buy that? Seems like the cap crowd could make a pretty good case based on that blowout of a series. The Brewers just weren’t in the class of the Dodgers.

Mark P

  • So, “blowout.”  Let me be clear, the Dodgers were definitely a lot better than the Brewers in that series and were the clear winners.  But, LA also scored only 15 runs over the four games, and only because they had an all-time performance from their rotation.And, if the Brewers get a big hit in the ninth in Game 1 and win, does everyone’s perceptions of the NLCS change if the Dodgers win in five games rather than a sweep?

    Right now MLB is having its cake and eating it too, in regards to the Dodgers and the upcoming CBA talks.  The Dodgers are a convenient boogeyman to present as an example why the league “must” have a salary cap, yet having a team like the Dodgers is an enormous boost to revenues across the board in terms of TV ratings, fan interest, merch, etc.

H-Town O’s

  • Could you see the rangers trading Garcia for Mountcastle?

Mark P

  • That’s an interesting concept of basically one non-tender for another.  Yet for either team, I feel like they’d want to explore the market to aim higher for their needs.

White Sox

  • Are the White Sox going to loosen the purse strings and actually sign someone worthwhile? Or will it be another penny-ante off-season?

Mark P

  • The Sox are still at least two more years away from contention.  In the bigger picture, they might not really start spending to the degree that fans expect until after Justin Ishbia fully buys the team

Kyle

  • Arenado for Yoshida, who says no?

Mark P

  • Yoshida has no value to a rebuilding team like St. Louis.

Brian

  • Phillies would be wise to use money in other areas over giving Schwarber 5yrs at 30+AAV for a guy with 1 +tool. The OF needs work?  What do u think?

Mark P

  • This does make logical sense, except Schwarber is such a premium bat and such a leader in that clubhouse that losing him would be a real blow to morale (in addition to the lineup).

Pat

  • Do teams startthinking about lockout when offering new contracts?

Mark P

  • The upcoming CBA talks and the likelihood of a lockout are definitely on teams’ minds.  It’ll also be on free agents’ minds when considering their options this winter.

Desiree

  • What, if anything, would prompt the Pirates to make Paul Skeens available?

Mark P

  • If Skenes demanded a trade, that might prompt some movement, but he doesn’t have much leverage to force the team to do anything.It is certainly possible another team calls Cherington this winter and says “look, I know Skenes isn’t available, but we’ll give you [absurd Godfather offer] for him.”  Skenes is as close to untouchable as anyone in baseball, but if the Pirates are realistic about their inability to retain him long-term, they should at least consider a deal if another team offers the absolute moon and stars

Tim

  • Let’s get this one out of way, you’re going to get ask alot this offseason. Jo Adell finally gets traded this winter?

Mark P

  • I’m not sure why the Angels would move Adell after he’s had the best season of his career.  The Angels’ outfield alignment is imperfect to say the least, yet trading Ward or even Soler in a salary dump seems more plausible than moving Adell

Arenado Fever?

  • Why do so many people want Arenado on their favorite team?

Mark P

  • Some fans are just that dissatisfied with their own third basemen that even the diminished version of Arenado seems like an upgrade.  Or, they think he’ll bounce back with a change of scenery.  Or, some fans might just not realize how much Arenado fell off in 2025.

Kyle

  • If the Brewers do move Peralta what kind of return would they be looking for? A prospect package, or major league talent in an area of need?

Mark P

  • I can see it looking pretty similar to the Burnes trade package.  Peralta doesn’t have quite the Cy Young ceiling of Burnes, but he’d be available at roughly half the cost.  At the very least, the Brewers would want one MLB-ready young player, and one slightly more longer-term prospect (or a CBR pick).

romorr

  • “”look, I know Skenes isn’t available, but we’ll give you [absurd Godfather offer] for him” So Spencer Jones and Volpe should get the deal done, right? Maybe throw in Will Warren if the Pirates ask for more.

Mark P

  • That would be the Godfather 3 of trade offers

Albert Pujols

  • Can a manager also be a player ? Player/manager?

Mark P

  • Player/managers used to be relatively common back in the day.  I think the most recent player/manager was Pete Rose with the Reds in the 1980’s, and, uh, that didn’t work out great for many reasons.That should be the next challenge for Ohtani, becoming a hitter/pitcher/manager if Dave Roberts were to retire.

Craig Breslow

  • Did Masataka Yoshida do enough for me to trade him this off season?

Mark P

  • An 88 wRC+ in 205 plate appearances, so nope

Baseball Fan

  • Admittedly, I’m not a Tigers fan, so I hadn’t watched them this season until Skubal’s start the other night against the Mariners. Does the rumored contract extension numbers make sense for him or is that a steep overpay?

Mark P

  • The Tigers’ initial extension offer seemed absurdly low, both in terms of money and the idea that Skubal would take such a relatively short-term deal.So yeah, Skubal and Boras aiming for a record-setting pitching contract is certainly within reason for them, given how well Skubal has performed.  Anything Detroit offers has to be $300MM, at least, since that’s where Boras wants to move the market.
  • We’re cutting things a little short on the chat today since some pretty fascinating news on the Giants’ managerial search is breaking.  Thanks to everyone for all the questions!
  • If you’re interested in more baseball Q&A, one of the many benefits of our Trade Rumors Front Office subscription is the exclusive weekly live chats. The more limited field means you’re about 10 times more likely to get a question answered, as opposed to battling for space with hundreds of other questions in today’s chat. For more on our memberships, check out this link:https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/membership?ref=chat-10-18-25
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Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

By Anthony Franco | October 17, 2025 at 3:29pm CDT

Anthony Franco

  • Good evening everyone, hope you've enjoyed your week!
  • Looking forward to another of these, let's get it started

Twins

  • They can say its not a rebuild all they want but what we're seeing seems clear. Why not just rip the band aid off, trade Pablo and Joe Ryan for a ton, and start over?

Bradke Hrbek

  • Imagine a world where the Twins aren't inclined to continue their trade deadline fire sale this offseason... what kind of trade offer would convince them to give up Joe Ryan anyway?

Anthony Franco

  • Yeah I expect both Ryan and Pablo to go by the deadline at the latest. Two years on each and even if they're hoping for an accelerated rebuild, the bullpen and bottom part of the lineup are in such bad shape that it's not fixable in one offseason
  • As far as Ryan goes, I assume it looks pretty similar to the Crochet deal. I was a little lower on that one for the White Sox because I'm not a huge Braden Montgomery fan. But I assume Chicago viewed that as two of the 50-60 best prospects in MLB with Teel/Montgomery, a solid third piece in Meidroth, and then a lottery ticket reliever in Gonzalez
  • Ryan's not as good as Crochet is now but I think it's debatable whether he's as valuable as Crochet was then. Higher ceiling with the lefty working in the upper 90s with huge strikeout rates, but Crochet had yet to show he could hold that level over a full season with an ace workload

Astros fan

  • If Alonso leaves, do you think the Mets would have any interest in Christian Walker? How much of his salary do you think they would be willing to pay?

Anthony Franco

  • I'd rather just see what Vientos can do there, but I'm probably lower on Walker than the rest of the MLBTR staff. I'd need the Astros to pay him into the $8-10M range annually to consider it, and only after I've exhausted other options on the FA market
  • The defensive grades collapsed. He was essentially unplayable in the first half, very good in July and August, then pretty bad again in September. Chase up a little bit, contact way down. The trend lines are rough

Guarded Indian

  • Not so much a question as a statement, but I really hope you guys are wrong about Nick C. coming to Cleveland.  I'd rather run it with Kwan, Delauter, Valera in the OF, Manzardo at DH with Kayfus at first.  Unfortunately, this does seem exactly like the kind of move my Guards would do.

Anthony Franco

  • I agree, don't love the fit there and would rather have Kayfus/Manzardo split 1B/DH. Seems like Nick feels differently (though he's also just highlighting a few possibilities for a low-stakes poll) and it's true that they need better out of right field, but I assume DeLauter's going to end up there. I wouldn't want Castellanos playing the outfield every day

Omar Minaya

  • Seems to be increasing smoke around a potential Skubal trade. How would you rank the potential suitors?

Alex

  • For so many reasons, I don't think it particularly likely from either side, but out of curiosity, if the Tigers were to make Skubal available, what sort of cost would teams be looking at? For my frame of reference, let's say it's the Cubs inquiring. It seems like something that would be so astronomical that no team would consider it, but to reference the Yankees/Soto trade a few years ago (which feels like a similar situation) it's not like that set the Yankees back too much. Is Skubal in another tier than Soto, or would we be looking at something similar?

Anthony Franco

  • I disagree that there's increased smoke about Skubal getting traded. They lowballed him on an old extension offer. It doesn't look great, but it's not like it impacted his 2025 performance
  • Doubt they're getting an extension done but I never expected them to. I'd be floored if they didn't hold him into next season and be prepared to QO him after what they hope is a long playoff run
  • If they did trade him, I think it's a better return than what San Diego got for Soto. He's making half the arbitration salary that Soto was and top-end pitchers take on an increased importance in the playoffs. A team is only trading for Skubal if they think they're inner circle contenders
  • But the Tigers are coming off consecutive playoff berths. They have an elite farm system already. They just squandered the division in part because they were too conservative at the deadline, and they're not under any short-term financial constraints with Skubal/Baez as their only notable contracts. If they trade Skubal now, at what point are they actually trying to win?

Tony Torcato

  • Should the Giants pull the plug on Marco Luciano, and possibly even Luis Matos? Heliot Ramos might also be on the bubble for his subpar defense in LF and regression at the plate, would you agree/disagree? Giants need to remake their outfield, and concentrate on pitching and defense to get back to a championship level, imo.

Anthony Franco

  • Pretty close to it. I probably wouldn't keep Luciano on the 40 all offseason, it's just not going to work. I still have a semblance of hope for Matos as a decent role player but he's out of options so he might get squeezed out during Spring Training
  • They're not cutting Ramos though. Even if they wanted to focus on outfield defense, they could trade him

Dan S.

  • Trent Grisham and Harrison Bader are coming off very good platform years, but both looked more like second-division regulars or part-time/platoon guys in recent seasons. Grisham's offensive breakout came with an alarming defensive drop and Bader's wOBA outperformed is xwOBA by a massive .043 points. What kind of contracts are they looking at this winter?
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Front Office Originals MLBTR Chats

3 comments

Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat, Today 3pm CT

By Steve Adams | October 13, 2025 at 3:00pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good afternoon! I'll get this going in a couple hours, but feel free to submit questions ahead of time, as always.
  • Hello there!
  • Let's get underway

Mariners

  • Mariners have announced starters for games 3 and 4 already, and woo is not among them. Do you think he appears in the ALCS at all?

Steve Adams

  • Adam Jude with the Seattle Times reported a bit ago that they're targeting a Game 5 start for Woo, so as long as the M's don't sweep, yeah I expect to see him.

Gavin Cordes

  • Should the Padres trade Pivetta for prospects and use that money to sign King longterm

Steve Adams

  • This might've felt more plausible if King had repeated his 2024 season, but his earning power was crushed pretty heavily by all the health struggles this year. I think they can probably find a way to try to keep him on a creative deal like the ones president AJ Preller has dreamt up with Robert Suarez, Nick Martinez and Pivetta himself. The Padres are pretty good at manipulating player options and back/front-loading contracts to mitigate the CBT hit but do so with a notable guarantee and a crack at returning to free agency early for the player in question.And really, because of that, I doubt Pivetta has the value many would see upon first glance at his numbers. He can opt back into free agency next season.Pivetta  was only paid $4MM this year. He's still guaranteed $51MM over three years, with $19MM of that paid out in 2026.
  • Any team trading for him knows that if he pitches like he did in '25, he's opting out, effectively rendering him a one-year rental. If he struggles or suffers a major injury, they're on the hook for $51MM guaranteed.
  • As with all player option/opt-out contracts, there's just far more downside than there is upside.

Eutaw Street

  • I know Alonso wants a 7 year deal, but those long term deals are just not popular with teams anymore. And I think it’s even less likely for a power hitting first baseman. Could something like a 4 year/$180 million deal with a 5 year player option do it for Alonso?

Steve Adams

    • I don't think Alonso has any delusions of signing a 7-year deal this winter, and I don't think any team in its right mind would do 4/180. We're going to end up predicting some $60-70MM less than that on our top 50

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Front Office Originals MLBTR Chats

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MLBTR Live Chat

By Mark Polishuk | October 12, 2025 at 12:10pm CDT

Mark P

  • The Weekend Chat is upon us!  We’ll get things started in a minute or two after the questions start to pile up….

Dave

  • Update on G Stone and R Ryan for Dodgers for beginning of 26

Mark P

  • Definitely the top question on Dodgers fans’ mind as the NLCS begins.  🙂

    Both should be on track to be ready for the start of Spring Training.  It doesn’t appear either pitcher has had any setbacks.

Julio

  • Can my team beat the mighty canadiens

Mark P

  • The Mariners would definitely beat the Montreal Canadiens in a baseball game.

Mike Cutter

  • Will the royals Sign Yaz back .

Mark P

  • A reunion would make a lot of sense.  KC desperately needs outfield help, and Yaz played really well for them in a brief spell.  While it’s safe to assume Yaz wouldn’t keep up those numbers over a full season, it wouldn’t hurt the Royals to sign him to a relatively inexpensive one-year deal as just a part-timer, if necessary

NY Mess

  • Pete wants 7 years. Five seems too long. What is realistic?

Mark P

  • I think he’ll get five years.  It’s hard to imagine any team giving Alonso seven years, and that might’ve just been an aim-high negotiating tactic that will eventually get reduced to a more manageable number.

Angela

  • Want do you see the phillies  doing this off-season

Mark P

  • I’m slated to write the Phillies offseason outlook piece, so stay tuned on that front.  But broadly speaking, I think they need to shake things up as much as they can with the roster.  That means doing all they can to retain Schwarber, but parting ways with Bohm, Stott, Castellanos, and maybe Realmuto.  (The latter one I’m more lukewarm about, since JTR walks, the Phils then have to find another catcher somewhere.)

Michael King

  • Should I opt in with the Padres after the season I just had?

Mark P

  • I assume by “opt in” you mean accept a qualifying offer, since there’s no scenario where King and the Padres both trigger the mutual option.
  • Assuming the mutual option is declined and the Padres issue the QO, I think there’s a more than decent chance King accepts.  He’ll still draw plenty of interest on the open market, but with his injury-riddled 2025 hanging over his head, he might prefer a QO in a familiar locale than rolling the dice on a short-term opt-out laden deal (or a one-year pillow deal) on a new team entirely

Read more

Brady

  • Who will be the Phillies opening day third baseman?

Mark P

  • As noted earlier, I think they’ll non-tender Bohm.  Maybe they find a trade partner before the non-tender deadline, but after last winter, I think teams realize the Phillies are ready to move on from Bohm and will just wait until he’s cut.

    As for who might take over, 3B is a less difficult position to fill than catcher, but obviously losing Bohm opens up another hole in the lineup.  Bregman would be a mighty interesting possibility if he doesn’t work out an extension with Boston.  Arenado is probably a no-go due to his decline over the last couple of years.

  • On the trade front, I feel I’ll be saying this about a lot of teams, but Brendan Donovan would be a very good fit in Philly

White Sox Fan

  • Is there any value in picking up Luis Robert’s option and trying to trade him?

Mark P

  • The White Sox are kind of damned if they do, damned if they don’t.  Exercise the option, and they’ll still have difficulty finding a trade.  Decline the option and Robert just walks for nothing, apart from some meaningless payroll savings

World Series Bound

  • Chances of a MIL/SEA world series coming soon?

World Series

  • Dream matchup of remaining teams? M’s Brewers would be wild given M’s have never been and Brewers have never won.

Mark P

  • As a Blue Jays fan, I’m not exactly keen on the Mariners winning the pennant, haha

    But if the Jays had to lose, a Mariners/Brewers WS would indeed be a lot of fun. Off the top of my head, I think 1980 (Phillies/Royals) was the last time there was a World Series between two teams seeking their first ring?

Nancy’s Friend Sluggo

  • I keep hearing people suggest the Tigers should trade Skubal this off-season so they don’t lose him for just a QO, but I think they absolutely should keep him and go for the World Series again in 2026. What do you think about the issue?

Mark P

  • Skubal (who is a Scott Boras client) would require a gigantic extension offer to keep him off the free agent market.  The Tigers have plenty of open future payroll space, and if you’re going to go overboard to sign anyone, it might as well be for the best pitcher in the game.

    That being said, I doubt Skubal is still a Tiger in 2027.  There’s even a decent chance he isn’t a Tiger in 2026, if another team presents the front office with a knockout offer.  Despite their success over the last two years, it feels like the Tigers are kind of in a weird spot with their fanbase, and dealing Skubal away would undo a lot of the goodwill generated from back to back playoff appearances

Go Pads

  • If the padres packaged Cronenworth and Estrada, what kind of return could they expect?

Mark P

  • Even with Estrada added, I don’t think you’ll find many (or any) teams willing to take on Cronenworth’s contract.  Cronenworth isn’t even a bad player, but his deal is just that big an overpday.
  • In this scenario, San Diego still has to eat money, or take on an unwelcome contract in return

Steve M

  • begging Dolan to spend some money. Do you see any realistic players that can help our beleagured offense via free agency?

Mark P

  • Acquiring a bat via trade seems more realistic for the Guardians than signing someone notable to a decent-sized FA contract

TC Bear

  • How likely is Torii Hunter managing the Twins in 2026? Any other managerial candidates you like for MN?

Mark P

  • There haven’t been any public rumblings about the Twins’ managerial search, so the team is keeping things pretty close to the vest.  Hunter may be on the radar, or the club may prefer someone more low-profile as the Twins go through what is likely a rebuild in all but name only

    It is possible one of the younger Pohlads may become manager in a Little Big League type of scenario, but probbbbbably unlikely

GoBias Industries

  • Bees?

Mark P

  • Beads?!

Yadi Molina

  • Am I getting any consideration for one of the manager openings?  Should I get some consideration?

Mark P

  • My assumption was that Molina was a bit of a manager-in-waiting in St. Louis, sort of the way that Pujols might’ve been in this same capacity in LA once he was ready and willing to take the job.

    But, the Cards seem content to stick with Marmol in the dugout.  There’s also the question of Bloom perhaps eventually wanting to hire his own manager once the rebuild is through, rather than feel obligated to pick a St. Louis legend

John

  • When we look back on Paul Skenes’s career 15 years from now, will he have played in the postseason in a Pirates uniform?

Mark P

  • In 15 years, we’ll be like “oh yeah, huh Skenes started with the Pirates, I remember that.”

    For comparison’s sake, it’s been only seven years since Gerrit Cole pitched for Pittsburgh but that feels like either a lifetime ago, or a “wait, Cole was a Pirate?” reaction

Trade

  • Taylor Ward for Brady Singer who says no?

Mark P

  • This seems like a very good need-for-need type of swap. Ward will be a bit more pricey (as per our arb projections), but that shouldn’t be an obstacle for a Reds team that badly needs offense

Dan S.

  • Can the Orioles put together a package for a playoff-caliber starter centered around Coby Mayo, or did Mayo’s 2025 struggles tank his value to the point where they’re better off giving him a shot at the everyday 1B job next year?

Mark P

  • Mountcastle is pretty likely to be non-tendered, so if Mayo is also dealt, that leaves 1B for either a new player or maybe Basallo.

    Mayo didn’t do great in his first extended taste of MLB action, but also didn’t do anything that raises serious questions about his overall value.  He’d still get a lot of attention if the O’s shopped him, even if they’re looking for at least a mid-rotation arm

King Tuck

  • Do you think there’s any chance Tucker agrees to a short term deal? Like a “prove it deal”. Maybe similar to Bregman or Bellinger?

Mark P

  • I have some doubts over Tucker getting $400MM, but also think he can do better than a shorter-term opt-out contract.

John

  • do you think the Jays tender Eric Lauer for 2026?

Mark P

  • Definitely. He’s a no-brainer to be retained.  With Bassitt and Scherzer both possibly leaving in free agency, Lauer might be penciled in for another starting role

Lou Brown

  • Jays went worst to first this year, what team has the best chance to accomplish this in 2026?

Mark P

  • Thought about making a poll out of this question, except Baltimore would likely win in a landslide.  Even if you have doubts about the O’s overall, their chances of a turn-around in 2026 seem a lot better than those of the White Sox, Angels, Nationals, Rockies, or Pirates.

Chris

  • Who is starting alongside Judge in the Yanks OF on opening day?

Mark P

  • Bellinger and Dominguez.  New York isn’t giving up on Dominguez this soon, and my guess is that the Yankees pony up to re-sign Bellinger to a big contract.

Richard

  • Mariners need to bring Naylor back! Show him the money!!!! With almost 25 mil coming off the books with both Mitches (Haniger and Garver) leaving what are the odds they resign him?

Mark P

  • Naylor has already become such a legend in Seattle that I can see the M’s go above and beyond their usual financial comfort zone to re-sign him.  Dipoto has already been vocal on the subject, and one would imagine ownership could be swayed as they see more and more extra dollars flow in from playoff revenue.

    Plenty of teams will be looking into Naylor’s market, and I can see him waiting for Alonso to leave the market in order to capitalize on some desperate teams.  This might leave the M’s in a waiting game since I don’t see them as bidders for Alonso.

Mark

  • J. Duran for Caglione. Who says no?

Mark P

  • The Red Sox are likelier to say no, in part because I think the Royals would say yes.  Remember, the Royals are sorely in need for OF help, and Jac might already be without a position on a team with Pasquantino/Perez eating up a lot of the 1B/DH time

Mike Tex

  • Was it wise for the Cubs to announce Jed’s extension at the trade deadline?

Mark P

  • It’s fair for Chicago fans to point out flaws in the team’s approach, but in the macro sense….the Cubs won 92 games, made the playoffs, won a WC series, and almost squeaked into the NLCS.
  • Working out an extension and then just sitting on it for a few months doesn’t really change anything, unless you’re suggesting that the Cubs should’ve moved on from Hoyer entirely

Walter

  • What right handed bats could Cleveland pursue in FA or trade? Thinking Hoskins or Willson Contreras.

Mark P

  • Hoskins is likelier due to a lesser salary, since I have a hard time seeing the Guards absorbing most or all of Contreras’ deal.

hope in the desert

  • what are the chances the diamondbacks get Masanori Murakami, do you think it would be a good fit

Mark P

  • Murakami and Pavin Smith are both LHH, but that’s not necessarily a huge obstacle since Murakami could be a DH, or get some 3B/OF time if the Diamondbacks are okay with his glovework.  Arizona isn’t at the top of my list as natural Murakami candidates, but I can sorta see it

Tim

  • You see the Angels going after Framber or Suarez?

Mark P

  • I’ll repeat my usual line about the Angels and top free agents….barring a huge overpay, why would a star player with choices opt to join a team that hasn’t won anything in a full decade?

    Now, the Pujols aspect adds a wrinkle to this situation.  Maybe it’s slightly easier for the Halos to lure players if they’re excited by the idea of playing with a legend as manager.  But, I wouldn’t suddenly expect free agents to start bumping the Angels up their wishlist just if Pujols is in the dugout.

Carl

  • Does the Paul Toboni era begin with a bang or a whimper this offseason? Presumably he didn’t leave a great job in Boston just to re-sign Josh Bell.

Mark P

  • So far he’s focused on overhauling a lot of the team’s development staff, which isn’t unexpected given how the Nats have struggled to build their own pipeline
  • Overall, the rebuild is still on in DC, so don’t expect any splashy moves

Micky Batt

  • Randy Arozarena has one year left of club control for the M’s.   Do they just ride out next year with him and not sign him to a multi-year extension?

Mark P

  • Leaning towards riding it out.  With their pitchers getting more expensive and the possibility of more money spent on Naylor or Polanco, Arozarena seems expendable
  • Maybe kind of a sneaky trade candidate this winter, but it’s more likely he’s still in Seattle on Opening Day

Royce Lewis

  • Do I end up somewhere else this off-season?

Mark P

  • He’s still inexpensive, so the Twins are under no financial pressure to move him.  The Twins also surely don’t want to sell low, in case Lewis stays healthy and figures it out elsewhere

Everybody’s doin’ the fish?

  • Are Marlins fans the happiest of the NLeast teams going into the offseason? What SHOULD do they do in the offseason to keep the riding the wave?…or maybe I should ask…what are they probably going to do?

Mark P

  • Are Marlins fans the happiest of the NL east teams going into the offseason?

    This gets my vote as “whoa….wait…” eye-opening comment of today’s chat session, lol.  I think this is actually correct, even with the caveat that Miami fans may have never been truly pleased with their team.

    As noted in past chats, I don’t think this year’s relative success will suddenly turn the Marlins into free-spenders or spin them directly towards wanting to contend.  They can get a bit more aggressive with the types of talents they seek out, but maybe moreso in trades than in free agency.

Kyle

  • Is the fact that the DH is mostly used for either a proven masher or as a carousel for off days for position players that versatile bench options can fill in for preventing the rise of another Ohtani? At least in US baseball development? It feels a bit weird that another team hasn’t tried something with someone, bc even half of Ohtani as a hitter and pitcher is an all star

Mark P

  • Ohtani’s emergence probably means that you’ll see a few more guys give it a real go as a two-way player.  But beyond the reasons you mentioned, the biggest obstacle against “another Ohtani” emerging is that is exceptionally hard to be both a big league-caliber hitter AND big league-caliber pitcher, let alone a star in both fields.  Ohtani is an utterly unique talent.

Joe E

  • who should the Astros try and acquire?

Mark P

  • The best team trainers and medical staff that money can buy

Sam Francisco

  • Giants big spenders and traders?

Mark P

  • I see the Giants being aggressive this winter.  They have holes to fill, and with a new manager coming in, Posey will want to further put the stamp on the roster being ’his’ team.

    Luring free agents to SF will continue to be a little tricky, and it’ll be interesting if Posey is more active on the trade front.  Maybe not quite to the huge extent of a Devers-type blockbuster, but if FAs aren’t biting for whatever reasons, the Giants could pursue the trade route again

Houston

  • Do I win the AL West?

Mark P

  • The Rangers may be cutting payroll, the Athletics’ pitching (and ballpark) is still a big issue, and the Angels are the Angels.  So overcoming the Mariners won’t be easy, but it wouldn’t be a shock to see the Astros rebound to another division title just because the rest of the West is pretty thin.

Slappy Slapster

  • As commented earlier, Singer for Ward makes sense. Thoughts on Bubic for Ward?

Mark P

  • Also a sensible move, though Bubic at a projected $6M makes him a valuable trade chip for players with a higher ceiling than Ward.

SKUBAL AND CROCHET

  • Odds Boston tries to pry Skubal and uses Duran/Abreu + some prospects?

Mark P

  • The Sox will absolutely at least check in on Skubal, and can offer enough in return to make Detroit think about it.  Skubal probably isn’t any likelier to sign an extension in Boston than he is in Motown, however, so the Sox will have to gauge how much they want to give up for what’ll very likely be a one-year rental

Skip

  • Can Joe Ryan return a top 10 global prospect? What teams are most interested in him?

Mark P

  • If the Red Sox did go big on a pitcher trade, Ryan is the likelier candidate than Skubal.  Actually, Pablo Lopez is the likeliest of all since the Twins would welcome saving some money, but sticking with Ryan, the two sides already had some talks at the deadline.

    Ryan is projected to make $5.8MM in 2026 and is arb-controlled through 2027.  That’s an inexpensive price for a frontline pitcher, so he’d fit into any team’s budget.

  • With just two years of team control, however, that’s probably not enough to pry a top-10 prospect

Bernie Brewer

  • Does Woodruff come back to the Brewers? Won’t his injury situation limit his opportunities elsewhere?

Mark P

  • Woodruff looked so good in his limited outings this season that I think he’ll get plenty of attention in free agency.  Not necessarily on a long-term contract, however, which might keep the Brewers in play to some limited extent.  Woodruff is an interesting qualifying offer candidate, in fact, if the Brew Crew wanted to go that route

Ricky

  • Would bichette accept playing 2B for the Jays

Mark P

  • Bichette’s reps surely have a strategy in mind for explaining their client’s inconsistent-at-best defense, but the easier route would indeed be a willingness to change positions.  An elite shortstop makes more than an elite second baseman, but Bichette’s bat will get him paid anyway, and a position change might even help him if he becomes a plus at 2B.

    As I and many others have pointed out, the Andres Gimenez trade seemed like Toronto’s hedge against a Bichette departure.  So if Bichette was willing to go with 2B, a path can now emerge towards a reunion with the Jays.  I still feel that overall, Bichette will sign elsewhere.

Pumpsie

  • Would Rice and Caballero be better next year than McMahon and Goldschmidt was last year? If so, where does McMahon go? Angels?

Mark P

  • McMahon’s contract won’t be the easiest to trade.  The question the Yankees should be asking if Caballero over Volpe, not McMahon.

    Rice is pretty much looking like a lock to be the starting 1B (and occasional catcher) next year.  Goldschmidt will likely head elsewhere.

Guest

  • Does Colt Emerson start next season with the M’s

Mark P

  • If he has a big spring, I can see the Mariners putting him on the Opening Day roster and aiming for the PPI bonus.  Crawford is still the shortstop, but Emerson could be tabbed for a hole at 2B or 3B

Cubs

  • Cubs have to re sign Tucker after what they gave up for him right ?

Mark P

  • You’d think so, but all signs point to Tucker leaving

Oriole Orange turned Blue

  • I don’t understand why teams let their players play through injuries rather than just letting them heal up?  It seems risky to let an already injured player possibly further aggravate the problem further.  Why not just put the injured player on the IL and let the back up play?   Austin Hays used to play injured for the Orioles and it drove me crazy! He’d have an All Star half season bookended by an injured other half.  The same with Colton Cowser now.  Broken finger and then broken ribs, but he plays through it with dismal results.  Kyle Tucker and Gleyber Torres the same thing.

Mark P

  • It depends on the player and the injury in some cases.  Like the cliche goes, there’s a difference between playing “hurt” and “being injured,” since over the course of a six-month baseball season, pretty much everyone is varying degrees of banged up.

    You’re not wrong that in many cases, having an obviously struggling player on the field is doing more harm than good, even if a team has no ready-made backup option to use.

    But sometimes, a player is able to play through injury just fine, like Tucker over his first month after the hairline fracture.  Or in Torres’ case, if he gets sports hernia surgery in mid-July when it first arose, then he’s likely gone for the rest of the season.  That’s not a welcome outcome for a player like Torres who is chasing a free agent contract, plus the simple fact that he wanted to keep contributing to a Tigers team that was (at the time) flying high

Twins fan

  • Does a trade based around Joe Ryan and Coby Mayo make sense for either team involved?

Mark P

  • The Orioles should be burning up the Twins’ phone lines for Ryan or Lopez.

JeffyM

  • Do Yesavage and Lauer just slide into the rotation for Scherzer and Bassitt next year, or do you think the Jays are active on a starting pitcher in FA or trade?

Mark P

  • Next year’s rotation lines up as Gausman, Yesavage, Berrios, and Lauer, so there’s definitely a need for at least one and probably two more starting pitching additions.

Ebenezer_Batflip

  • Any chances for the Reds to trade Hunter Greene for Jarren Duran + other players or prospects? Feels like those two teams are good potential trade partners with each having a surplus of what the other needs.

Mark P

  • Greene has a higher ceiling for me than Duran, so if I’m the Reds, I see if I can talk Boston into another starter.

Hits Like Rays

  • Your thoughts on the new Rays’ owners being able to really raise the player payroll if Tampa will not spend “one dollar” to help build a stadium?  Or are the Rays now more likely to just blackmail some other city and re-locate?

Mark P

  • The new group’s desire to have a new ballpark ready for Opening Day 2029 seems wildly optimistic, so I don’t think Tampa fans should feel entirely safe yet about the Rays staying in the Tampa/St. Pete area

Mac

  • You’re NHL Stanley cup finalists for 2025 -26

Mark P

  • Continuing the long history of players finding immediate championship success as soon as they leave the Leafs, I’ll pick Mitch Marner’s Golden Knights to hoist the Cup by beating the Panthers in the finals

Jason C

  • What do you see the Atl doing this offseason?

Mark P

  • Lots of bullpen moves, a new shortstop, maybe a new second baseman as well, plus at least one starting pitcher.  Technically Atlanta could have a rotation surplus between a new arm and their current staff if everyone is healthy, but everyone won’t be healthy.
  • That’s it for today’s chat.  Thanks for everyone’s questions, and I hope everyone enjoys Game 1 of the ALCS!  We’ll be back with more chatty goodness next weekend.
  • If you’re interested in more baseball Q&A, one of the many benefits of our Trade Rumors Front Office subscription is the exclusive weekly live chats. The more limited field means you’re about 10 times more likely to get a question answered, as opposed to battling for space with hundreds of other questions in today’s chat. For more on our memberships, check out this link:

    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/membership?ref=chat-10-12-25

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MLBTR Chats

15 comments

Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

By Anthony Franco | October 10, 2025 at 3:30pm CDT

Anthony Franco

  • Good afternoon everyone, hope you're well! Looking forward to another of these, let's get going

NY Reds

  • Would Benge Or Jett Williams be enough to get Lodolo? Mets must be in on Zach Littel right?

Anthony Franco

  • I think Benge would at least get their attention. Doubt the Reds would be super keen on moving Lodolo for a prospect but unless they're way down on him because he had a bad few weeks in Triple-A, Benge seems like the kind of talent who'd get their attention. Not as convinced on Williams, whose offensive ceiling seems lower
  • Littell for the Mets? Sure. He's kind of boring though, that'd need to be their second of two rotation acquisitions

RJ

  • Do the Angels bring back Moncada to play 3rd next season? Or do they look elsewhere?

Anthony Franco

  • Moncada has to be like Plan F. If he's the only option available in February for $5M again, sure. They'll probably make a run at Geno, could trade for Alec Bohm or wait and see if the Phils non-tender him

Glenn inSeattle

  • How are the Mariners going to fill their openings at 1st and 3rd?

Anthony Franco

  • I buy that they're going to try to keep Naylor. If he ends up at four years in the low-mid 70s, I could see them doing that. If it gets to five years and closer to $100M, not so much. I'd probably put them on a Ryan O'Hearn type fallback at that point
  • Not sure they need to as big at third. Emerson's not far off, Williamson can handle the position defensively if nothing else. If they bring Polanco back to rotate between 2B/3B/DH and still have Bliss and Young in the mix at second, I feel like that's enough to at least bide their time to see if Emerson can take the job in the second half

Dan S.

  • When will the MLBTR Top 50 come out? One of my favorite bookmarks every off-season.

Anthony Franco

  • Five days after the end of the World Series
  • That's the cutoff point for teams/players to make option decisions and teams to decide whether to issue qualifying offers. There aren't many guys who'll make the Top 50 if the team declines a club option (Imanaga this year would be the main candidate) but player option/QO decisions have a big impact on the market, so we wait until those are in
  • Also planning to do a top offseason trade candidates list (probably not 50 but at least 20-30) that we expect to drop the morning after the World Series ends

Baseball been very, very good to me.

  • Who do you think matches up better with the Dodgers in a seven game series, Cubs or Brewers and why? Who do you think will win tomorrow nights game 5, assuming the starters are Imanaga and Misirowski? Obviously, the starters are sppeculative and both would be on super sjhort leashes.

Hope

  • Any teams that have a good shot of beating the Dodgers? I am so worried by how they are ruining baseball. They are gonna go back to back

Anthony Franco

  • I'll still take Milwaukee but predicting any single MLB postseason game is 55-45 at best
  • I do think the Brewers have a better shot at beating the Dodgers. I'd consider L.A. the favorite over either of them but it's not like they're unbeatable with that bullpen
  • Sasaki being a lights out reliever has been huge so far. Their actual relievers aside from Vesia are pretty bad

Cat_Herder

  • You're Toronto.  Would you rather Detroit or Seattle win tonight?

Anthony Franco

  • Detroit. I think Seattle's a deeper overall team and the Jays wouldn't see Skubal until Game 3
  • Non-zero chance that they'd only have to face him once in the series, especially if they take the first two at home

Stockholm, AZ

  • Hey Anthony! I know pitching is top priority, but who will play the outfield for the Diamondbacks next year? Hard to believe they won’t at least try to trade McCarthy or Thomas. And who will be on the infield corners? Lawlar has looked lost so far.

Anthony Franco

  • Yeah I'm coming increasingly around on the idea that they'll dangle Lawlar for pitching. Another team that'd probably need to be in on Bohm or Josh Jung if they do that. Blaze Alexander's a utility guy
  • Agree that they also need to add an outfielder, though I think it'll probably be a lower-cost platoon type given the expected payroll rollback and their pitching needs
  • Carroll, Thomas and an Austin Hays type. Hope for Lourdes to make it back around the All-Star Break and/or that Ryan Waldschmidt hits his way to the majors quickly

Duffy S Cliff

  • What are potential landing spots for Munetaka Murakami? Could my Red Sox go after him? What do you think his ceiling is in MLB?
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Front Office Originals MLBTR Chats

9 comments

MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | October 7, 2025 at 12:59pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good morning! I’ll get going around 1pm CT, but feel free to submit questions ahead of time, as always.
  • Good afternoon! Let’s get underway

Derek

  • Do Alec Bohm and A Garcia get non tendered? Not sure either team wants to commit 10+million to them

Steve Adams

  • I think Bohm will be non-tendered. Garcia has a chance to be traded somewhere to a team looking to buy low, but a NT is still possible there. I think he’s done with the Rangers one way or another.

Brooklyngail

  • Your prediction. Does HSK pick up his option and stay in Atlanta or does he test the market?

Steve Adams

  • No, I expect him to head back to the market. He got more than 1/16 when he was fresh off shoulder surgery. Even if it’s another two-year deal with an opt-out, he should be able to lock in more guaranteed money now that he’s healthy — plus the market is devoid of actual shortstop options.Braves could always try to get him to sign on for a new three- or four-year deal before he declines the option, but if my choices are “he exercises it or declines it,” I’m pretty comfortably in the latter camp.

Depressed Oriole

  • Mountcastle worth 8 mil in a trade or non tender more likely?

Steve Adams

  • I’d lean toward the non-tender, but he’s not a Nate Lowe-esque lock to be non-tendered. I could see a team giving up a negligible return to plug him in at 1B/DH at that price.

Squints

  • Does Woody end up back with Brewers next year?

Read more

Steve Adams

  • No, I fully expect him to turn down his end of the mutual option and land a multi-year deal beyond what the Brewers feel they can pay. Given how adept they’ve proven at finding affordable starting pitching, paying market price for Woodruff coming off shoulder/lat injuries doesn’t seem like the best use of their resources — fan favorite or not.

Guest

  • Rank the projected total contract value of the top SP this winter: Bieber, Valdez, King, and Suarez

Steve Adams

  • Framber and Ranger are ahead of Bieber and King based on recent health, age and track record. I’d probably go Bieber ahead of King right now just because King’s health is a total wild card and Bieber is healthy/pitching in October.Valdez and Suarez are both comfortable nine-figure guys for me

Ian

  • Any realistic landing spots for Alonso other than the Mets?

Steve Adams

  • Plenty. I don’t think he’ll be back in Queens. Red Sox, Angels, Reds, Mariners, Padres, Rangers, Guardians all make varying degrees of sense, though skeptical about the Texas fit after the Bochy departure and the “financial uncertainty” talk. Obviously not all of those teams are realistic fits (Cleveland’s not paying him $100MM+), but having some of those clubs on the periphery of the market is enough to keep some of the others bidding more seriously. Pretty good fit in Boston, where Craig Breslow sidestepped when asked if he could commit to Casas as his 1B next year the other day.

Adge

  • Do you like Toronto to sign one of Bieber, Framber, King, Cease, Woodruff,or Ranger,

Steve Adams

  • I like the Jays to add at least one notable starter this winter, yeah — whether that’s signing one of those guys or trading for a Mitch Keller, Joe Ryan, whoever.Currently they have Gausman, Yesavage, Berrios, Lauer and a bunch of question marks. (Lauer is a question himself, really)

    And after 2026, Gausman is a free agent and Berrios can opt out. I think they’ll be in the market for multiple SPs

MoonbeamMcSwine

  • Does Chaim Bloom “clean house” w/ the Cardinals.. choosing to stock their farm system over competing against perhaps the toughest division in baseball (w/ Milwaukee & Chicago)?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t expect too many “untouchables” for the Cards this winter. They’re not moving Masyn Winn or JJ Wetherholt, but beyond the pricey veterans (Arenado, Gray, Contreras) I expect them to be open to offers on Brendan Donovan, Lars Nootbaar, Nolan Gorman, Alec Burleson, JoJo Romero, etc. etc.

Larry from Clarksville

  • Can you explain Imanaga’s contract and if you think the Cubs exercise the club option given his alarming home run issues?

Steve Adams

  • Cubs have to choose whether to pick up a three-year, $57MM club option — effectively extending him through 2028. If they decline, he can pick up a $15MM player option for 2026 or decline and head to free agency.If Imanaga exercises his player option, the Cubs would have a two-year club option after 2026. If the team declined that, he’d have another player option for 2027.
  • I am increasingly coming around on the idea that maybe they just don’t want to commit $19MM per year to him for another three seasons, which would’ve seemed silly to me a few months ago. I was texting a bit with MLBTR’s Tim Dierkes and Anthony Franco about this last night. Tim, being in Chicago and closer to the situation than I am up in St. Paul, said he still leans toward the Cubs taking the safe route and picking up the option, but yeah … them declining is definitely a scenario that seems plausible now in a way that was not true even in like, July.
  • I think if the Cubs decline their option, he’ll turn down the player option and do better than $15MM on the open market.

Adam W.

  • Will Pete Alonso or Alex Bregman get a bigger free agent contract this winter?

Steve Adams

  • Bregman, easily

Craig

  • Wandy Peralta of the Padres has a 4.45 million player option for 2026.  Do you think he exercises the option to remain in San Diego or does he decline and become a free agent?

Steve Adams

  • I could see it going either way but I lean toward exercising it since he also has a $4.45MM player option for 2027. He’s guaranteed two years and $8.9MM right now, and the last time he was a free agent (two years younger, throwing a bit harder and with a better K%), the market didn’t exactly love him.

Luxury Tax

  • Does contract money changing hands a/effect a teams luxury tax total? If the Reds were to add an expensive player via trade this winter but the former team sends some money with that player, how does the luxury tax “hit” get allocated? All on Cinci because they have the player? readjusted for Cinci because their dollars will be smaller than the contract? *Cinci used as a placeholder since we all know they will never approach even the hint of Luxury Tax waters*

Steve Adams

  • The money changing hands impacts the CBT hit. If the Cardinals were to trade Sonny Gray back to Cincinnati for a reunion (sticking with your “this won’t happen” motif), the CBT hit would be recalibrated to reflect what’s remaining on the contract. So for the Cardinals, Gray has been a $25MM CBT hit. He signed a three-year, $75MM deal, and CBT hits are based on AAV.When the player is traded, however, the acquiring team is taxed based on what’s left. Gray would be a $40MM CBT hit for the Reds.

    If the Cards kicked in $25MM to help offset that, then he’d still count $25MM against the Cardinals’ tax number and $15MM against the Reds’.

  • (That $40MM being derived from Gray’s $35MM salary in 2026 plus the $5MM buyout on his 2027 option)

TxDude

  • Will we ever see the Red Sox be a force in free agency like they used to be? I feel like it was always either Boston or New York that all the FAs wanted to sign with

Steve Adams

  • They just guaranteed $120MM to Bregman last winter!But I get the question. That was more an opportunistic “soft” (heavy usage of air quotes there, haha) landing for Bregman. I imagine at some point, they’ll be more willing to spend aggressively early in the winter but think the actions of ownership over the past five to eight years have increasingly suggested they prefer not to revisit the “let’s beat the market for a 31-year-old David Price” well anytime soon.
  • So … probably somewhere in between the two extremes we’ve seen. Possibly as soon as this winter, since I do think they’ll look into higher-end SPs

Carson

  • Is there a team that would be interested in a Josh Jung trade? He surely has some value with 3 remaining years of club control and a relatively cheap projected $3M ARB1.

Steve Adams

  • Absolutely. Tigers, Pirates, Nats, Marlins, Mariners, Royals (move Maikel Garcia to 2B) … I can think of plenty who’d love to roll the dice on Jung, and I do think the Rangers will be open to exploring that possibility this winter.

Cleveland

  • Think we could pry one of Adley/Neto with our farm?

Steve Adams

  • Neto feels like an extreme long shot. Rutschman a bit more plausible, but Mike Elias has spoken repeatedly — including on our podcast — about how he fully anticipates Adley to be catching in Baltimore next year. He’s naturally stopped short of definitively declaring “I will not trade this player,” but they’d be selling low and Basallo hasn’t exactly shown he’s ready for a full season as a big league catcher yet. O’s also probably aren’t all that keen on dealing Rutschman “just” for prospects.(Nor would the Angels be keen on doing that with Neto, for what it’s worth)

PolarBearLeaving?

  • You mentioned Alonso and also Bregman.  If what you say is true about Alonso leaving/not being resigned, what about the Mets signing Bregman to play 3rd and Murakami to play 1st.  That would certainly change the vibe and core and you might make up some (but not all) of Alonso

Steve Adams

  • Yeah I think the Mets will be in on both Bregman and Munetaka Murakami, who, for those unaware, is a 25-year-old (26 in Feb) corner infielder who’s hit 22 homers in 224 PAs in Japan this season and will be posted in the offseason. He also has significant defensive and strikeout concerns, but he’s still going to get paid by a major league team because of the 80 raw power.

John

  • Could Cedric Mullins return to the Orioles?

Steve Adams

  • If he’s out there in February and hasn’t found a deal to his liking, sure I can see him going back for a year. I wouldn’t predict it as likely, but it’s not as through any bridges were burned there (at least not that I’m aware of)

Mr. Skenes

  • Am I pitching for the Pirates next year?

Steve Adams

  • Yyyyyyyup

Allen

  • Brooks Lee didn’t make a claim to his SS spot after the Correa trade. Are there any SS available in trade? Preferably in the Twins budget

Steve Adams

  • They’ll give Lee a full year to show whether he can hack it, and if not, they’ve got Kaelen Culpepper, another former first-rounder and top-100-y guy, coming along relatively quickly

@tayyyburrr

  • Lifelong Padre fan here. Does AJ Preller get any credit for at least trying to build a winner?  I know “we” haven’t won anything, but being an annual “contender” has to count for something, right?!?

Steve Adams

  • Gets credit from me. I wish there were more GMs/presidents of baseball ops like Preller, Dipoto, Dombrowski, etc.
  • I feel like so many baseball ops leaders today operate with a risk-averse approach, so as not to risk their job security. And that’s understandable! These guys are paid enormous seven-figure salaries. But it’s also boring. Give me chaos. Always chaos. It’s more fun. Preller is pure entertainment. And he’s better than his detractors give him credit for.

Craig Breslow

  • Would the Royals take Duran straight up for Bubic?  Should I?

Steve Adams

  • The Royals would. The Red Sox wouldn’t.
  • Three years of control remaining for Duran to one for Bubic.

BeBopCola

  • What was your preseason World Series pick and what is it now?

Steve Adams

  • Dodgers over Mariners so now I have to stubbornly stick to it!

GM job

  • As an impartial non Rockies fan. who would want their GM job given the terrible state of affairs throughout their organization ?  They have almost no chance of making the playoffs for many years in the NL West with LA,SD, AZ and SF.  Thanks.

Steve Adams

  • There’s only 30 of these jobs, first and foremost. So yes, plenty of people would want it. Beyond that, imagine being able to claim your legacy as the person who finally brought winning baseball to Colorado. You’d be a legend.Any front office leader is hypercompetitive and driven by challenge. Turning the Rockies around is an Everest-ian challenge (to use a terrible mountain-related analogy)

Jim

  • What prospects would the A’s have to give up in order to get Brady Singer from the Reds?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think Singer would cost a ton in trade. He has a little surplus value, probably, but one year of him at $12MM … it’s not like he’s some raucous, unmitigated bargain. Couple middle-of-the-pack prospects (40 FV types) probably gets it done. He’d cost less than Springs cost them last winter.

Natitude

  • Zac Gallen a fit in Washington?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think the Nats will be aiming that high in free agency, but any pitcher who can be reasonably expected to pitch anywhere close to league-average innings is a “fit” in D.C. based on what they have on the depth chart right now.Still amazed that the Nats (and Rockies, especially) passed on Alek Manoah. Don’t get me wrong, he’s probably just bad now, but for a bit more than $2MM, why not take the shot? He has minor league options left!

Cards

  • Am I the only cardinal fan that still has high hopes for Gorman? Sure he strikes out a ton and has a low average but I still believe there’s a 40 homer slugger around the corner.

Steve Adams

  • I think there should be a balance between “having hopes” and “having high hopes.”Hoping for Gorman to turn into a decent strikeout-prone slugger who’s a defensive liability but hits righties well enough to be a 2-ish win player, sure. But a 40-homer season from a guy whose power has dropped in consecutive seasons and who’s fanned in 34% of his career plate appearances feels ambitious to me.

PJ

  • You see Bendix aggressively trying to move Sandy this offseason or has he backed off on the prospect?

Steve Adams

  • I see him listening to whatever offers are presented and being content to carry Alcantara into the season if he’s getting low-balled coming off an uneven season.

Hector Villanueva

  • Where are earth so the Cubs play Moises next year. I think he’s ready, but he’s not an MLB catcher, they have Busch at 1st, and Suzuki at DH.

Steve Adams

  • They don’t need to pencil him in for 600 PAs. They can option him, and injuries will create openings for him. Plus, they could wind up playing Suzuki in the OF more if (when?) Tucker signs elsewhere. Obviously they still have Alcantara, but he didn’t exactly set the world on fire in AAA this year.Even if they were to go with Happ-PCA-Alcantara in the outfield and Suzuki at DH, there’s still a path for Ballesteros to get 300+ plate appearances next year with minimal time at catcher. And come 2027, Happ and Suzuki are free agents, which only makes it easier to get Moises into the lineup.

HomerHanky

  • Besides a new manager, what do YOU believe are the Twins biggest needs this off-seeason?

Steve Adams

  • An entire bullpen

Yates to Rangers?

  • Hi Steve. With Kirby Yates having a lousy year with the Dodgers, do you think a reunion to be the Rangers closer is possible?

Steve Adams

  • Plausible enough, but no reason to necessarily think it’s likely

Melchez

  • The Rockies need some talent… 1. Trade Kyle Freeland for prospect(s)… 2. Sign aging free agents looking for a chance to build up value and flip at deadline (1B Carlos Santana, DH Marcel Ozuna, CF Cedric Mullins) and 3. what’s stopping them from loading up on rule 5 guys?  They have very little on the farm that’s close.  Rockies have a long road ahead.

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think Freeland nets them much in a trade.A 40-year-old Carlos Santana’s not getting anything at next year’s deadline. Mullins, sure … adding some closer-to-prime-aged pillow guys like that makes sense, but those guys will have understandable concerns about playing at altitude regularly and what it does to recovery and performing on the road.

    Rule 5? Sure, go nuts. They should have several roster spots to work with, and I agree, why not grab two, three — even four guys if you like them better than what’s in your system? Obviously they won’t all stick, but might as well take some looks in spring training/early in the season.

Pontiac bandit

  • Steve, forgot about Owen Cassie in the Cubs OF next year, higher grade prospect then Alcantara.

Steve Adams

  • Ah yeah true, brain fart. Point generally still stands though. Two OF spots open post-2026, and injuries create ample opportunity, especially when the OF/DH is a carousel of 3-4 guys.
  • Or rather a carousel of 4-5 guys. Words. Numbers. Hard. Brain no work good.

Roper

  • Could the Redbirds and Rangers match up on a Gray-Semien trade?

Steve Adams

  • The Cardinals want to create more opportunities for younger players. Bringing Semien aboard when he’s signed for three more years doesn’t really accomplish that. They’d much prefer to just keep Gray and have him eat innings until the deadline.

I don’t know’s on 3rd

  • This the year the M’s acually spend big on a hitter(not like the 2/24  Garv got)??

Steve Adams

  • It’s just not really Jerry Dipoto’s preferred method of team-building, but I could see them at least trying to re-sign either Geno or Naylor (former feels likelier, given the prior connection and the fact that he’ll naturally be capped to a shorter term because of the age discrepancy)

Cardinals

  • What team do you think would actually take the contract of Sonny Gray? Mets, Giants, Phillies, Braves or Orioles have the money, maybe the Angels or Tigers as outside?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think anyone would take the whole contract
  • $40MM for one year is too steep for Gray — particularly for a team like the Mets or Phillies, who are third-time luxury payors in the top tier of penalty. It’s a 110% tax for them, meaning Gray costs them $84MM for one year.
  • Cardinals need to eat $10-12MM or so just to move him for no return. Probably $15MM+ to get any kind of semi-decent prospect.

Twins fan

  • Do you think Lewin Diaz will get MLB interest again after his 50 homer season in Korea?

Steve Adams

  • I do
  • Teams passed him around waivers like 10 times a few offseasons ago because they love the glove at 1B and he had power upside. He’s still under 30. I don’t think he’s going to sign a mammoth contract or anything, but yeah I think he has a real chance to get a major league deal

Still-Krazy

  • Does Ke’Bryan Hayes have any trade value

Steve Adams

  • Reds took basically the whole contract and gave up an actual prospect at the deadline. Hayes hit better in CIN than in PIT (albeit not much better). He could have some marginal value, but the Reds don’t make that trade if they’re not interested in keeping him for the foreseeable future.

dub nation..under God

  • can Reds…in any way….sign Schworber?

Steve Adams

  • Sure. If they offer more money than the Phillies. Simple, right?! Haha… It’s not likely, but hey, Schwarber’s from Cincinnati area.I would not bet on it, but I imagine they’ll talk to him and give it some kind of try.

Dale

  • Would a Taylor Ward for Brady Singer trade make sense?

Steve Adams

  • I think there’s some sense to that, yeah.

pitching chaos for everyone

  • The best ways to improve Mets defense is let Alonso leave, trade for Hoerner, and move Soto to primary DH. Any of those remotely likely?

Steve Adams

  • I think they’ll let Pete leave. The others, not particularly likely.

My name jeff

  • Where will nolan arenado get traded to this winter, and what will it take to get him

Steve Adams

  • This is framed like Arenado has positive value. He does not. It’ll take the Cardinals eating $30MMish of his remaining contract.

Oz

  • No mention of Raisel Iglesias.  What kind of contract does he get?

Steve Adams

  • No reliever in the past decade has gotten more than 2 years for a free agent contract or extension starting at age 36 or older. So Iglesias is probably capped at two years. The high end of this range is Blake Treinen getting two years and $22MM total.I think Iglesias comes in around 1/14 or 2/20.
  • (If you like that sort of answer, you can research stuff like that within seconds in our Contract Tracker!)

Dave

  • Do the Royals cut bait on India or pay him 9 million and hope he doens’t suck again?

Steve Adams

  • Non-tender

Ang T

  • Would adding 1 yr/$25M be enough to keep Edwin Diaz from opting out of his contract with the Mets?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think so, but he re-upped in Queens really quickly last time, so maybe he’s just motivated to stay put. But I think his market value is $80MMish over four years, and tacking on 1/25 really “only” brings him closer to 3/60.

Jason

  • does trevor larnach have any trade value or is he a non-tender?

Steve Adams

  • Can see him being flipped  for a nominal return. I don’t think he’s netting much, but low-spending/payroll-crunched teams might be intrigued as a change-of-scenery guy and his arb price is under $5MM
  • I’ve got to call it for the week.Tim’s mailbag will run later today (I think) or possibly tomorrow, and Anthony will have a subscriber chat on Friday. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social.

    If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut (during the season), weekly subscriber-only chats with Anthony and with me (where your odds of getting a question answered are much higher), extra insight from Darragh McDonald, access to our Contract Tracker (a vital offseason resource) our Agency Database, our GM Tracker, our ongoing Offseason Outlook series and more.

    Thanks everyone, and enjoy your week!

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